Archive›Killarney · 9 May 2026

Killarney

9 May 2026 · 8 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

1:22 — Killarney Avenue Hotel Maiden Hurdle

2m1f · Good · MDN · 16 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

1:53 — Mongey Communications Maiden Hurdle

2m1f · Good · MDN · 19 runners

Approval to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Magico led; the map had Approval in front.

Magico won at 3.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

7 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Approval

Prominent · 4

IndividualismPure LogicMinella MateJerry From Kerry

Midfield · 8

Ellis BrittleBackinbusinessRoyadBud FoxGoodmanconWhet The AppetiteScreaming EagleStrong Contender

Hold Up · 6

Money ShufflerMagicoChou ChouCalzaghiAncient MythTyson Fury

Approval will take them along at a steady gallop without pressure, as the only confirmed front-runner in this 19-runner field. The lack of pace pressure means the tempo will be manageable through the early stages, with prominent racers like Pure Logic, Jerry From Kerry, Minella Mate and Individualism tracking within striking distance. This should set up a sprint finish from the final hurdle, where horses with finishing kick will be crucial. The sustainable pace and tactical finish strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late acceleration.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Prevail

65% probability

If the steady pace allows hold-up horses to get into contention turning for home

The manageable gallop will suit closers who can quicken, with Magico's Flat speed particularly potent in a sprint finish. Bud Fox and Tyson Fury also possess the tactical speed to strike late when the pace lifts.

MagicoBud FoxTyson FuryAncient Myth

Prominent Tracker Strikes

20% probability

If one of the prominent racers can slip the field turning in

Pure Logic or Minella Mate could capitalise on their forward positions when the pace quickens, getting first run on the field. Their race-fitness and proven hurdles form gives them an edge over the newcomers.

Pure LogicMinella MateJerry From KerryIndividualism

Pace Collapses Early

10% probability

If Approval stops or falls, leaving no genuine pace

The race becomes a messy tactical affair with no rhythm, suiting experienced hurdlers who can adapt. Goodmancon's recent hurdles experience could prove decisive in a slowly-run scramble.

GoodmanconPure LogicTyson FuryJerry From Kerry

Front-Runner Dominates

5% probability

If Approval gets an easy lead and kicks clear at the last

The lack of pace pressure allows the leader to dictate completely and steal a march on rivals. Only applies if Approval shows significantly more ability than his Flat form suggests.

ApprovalIndividualismCalzaghiMagico

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Approval must handle the hurdles on debut as the only pace-setter - any early mistake leaves the race without rhythm

WATCH

Magico's hurdles bow for Mullins could be significant given his Flat ability and Townend's booking

NOTE

Pure Logic's 163-day layoff needs monitoring given his previous consistency over hurdles

WATCH

The three McNamara runners (Approval, Calzaghe, Individualism) suggest stable confidence but all face question marks

NOTE

Bud Fox needs to bounce back from disappointing recent form but his early bumper win has worked out well

2:25 — MD O'Shea's Tourist Attraction Mares Hurdle (Listed Race)

2m1f · Good · LST · 10 runners

Break My Soul likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Redwood Queen led; the map had Break My Soul in front.

Sainte Lucie won at 2.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Break My Soul

Prominent · 3

Sainte LucieQueenofthelodgeDisco Dancer

Midfield · 3

Dunsy RockTir OgKatherine

Hold Up · 3

Royal HollowRedwood QueenBynx

Break My Soul is the confirmed front runner and will set a sustainable pace from the start, likely uncontested through the early stages. With most of the field sitting prominent or held up (Royal Hollow, Redwood Queen, Bynx, Katherine), the pace will build gradually rather than being fierce early. Break My Soul's ability to dictate terms without pressure creates a tactical advantage for those who can travel kindly in behind and produce a sustained finish. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can sit close enough to the pace to strike when Break My Soul comes under pressure in the final half-mile.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Break My Soul maintains her jumping fluency and the pace stays manageable through halfway

Break My Soul's class edge from Grade 1 company shows as she kicks clear after the last, with the hold-up horses struggling to close the gap from too far back. Her proven stamina at this trip and beyond makes her tough to peg back when allowed to dictate.

Break My SoulSainte LucieDunsy RockDisco Dancer

Prominent Striker Prevails

30% probability

If the pace quickens from the third-last hurdle and Break My Soul comes under sustained pressure

Sainte Lucie or Dunsy Rock, sitting in the perfect stalking position, produce telling moves to collar the leader in the final furlong. Their fresher profiles and tactical positioning prove decisive against a tiring front runner.

Sainte LucieDunsy RockBreak My SoulQueenofthelodge

Hold-Up Horse Charges

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely in the middle section and becomes a sprint finish

Royal Hollow or Redwood Queen unleash powerful finishing kicks from the rear, with their stamina and late pace proving superior to the prominent runners. The lack of early pace allows them to get into contention despite their hold-up style.

Royal HollowRedwood QueenBynxKatherine

Pace Collapse Surprise

10% probability

If Break My Soul makes a jumping error or loses her position early in the race

The race becomes a messy affair with no clear pace-setter, allowing an outsider like Queenolthelodge or Tir Og to benefit from the chaos. The tactical advantage shifts to horses whose jockeys can adapt quickly to the changed circumstances.

QueenofthelodgeTir OgDisco DancerBynx

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Break My Soul's jumping fluency in the early stages will determine if she can maintain her tactical advantage throughout

WATCH

Sainte Lucie's position tracking the leader through the middle section as Townend will want her close enough to strike

WATCH

Royal Hollow and Redwood Queen getting into contention turning for home despite their hold-up styles

NOTE

Bynx showing any signs of fitness despite the 191-day layoff as she has course winning form when right

NOTE

The pace through halfway as a slow tempo would dramatically change the complexion of the finish

3:00 — Kelly Bros Handicap Hurdle

2m1f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Walhaan to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Impero led; the map had Walhaan in front.

Ragmans Corner won at 10.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Walhaan

Prominent · 4

ImperoBecassePlaytimeWholelotofbusiness

Midfield · 4

Icare DesboisCappa HillFast FelixPaul's Dream

Hold Up · 1

Ragmans Corner

Walhaan is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms from flag to finish without early pressure. Behind him sits a cluster of prominent runners - Becasse, Wholelotofbusiness, Impero, Paul's Dream, Cappa Hill, Fast Felix and Playtime - creating congestion and potential traffic problems turning for home. With only Ragmans Corner holding up, this becomes a race about who can best position themselves in the prominent pack and avoid the inevitable squeeze. This pace setup strongly favours horses with tactical pace who can sit handy but avoid the scrum - those who can track the leader without getting embroiled in the mid-pack traffic.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Walhaan Controls Tempo

45% probability

If Walhaan sets steady fractions and isn't pressured early

The veteran gets an uncontested lead and kicks clear before the prominent pack can organize, with those best positioned behind benefiting from the honest gallop. Tactical speed from handy positions proves decisive as the field spreads out late.

WalhaanBecassePlaytimeWholelotofbusiness

Prominent Pack Carnage

35% probability

If the seven prominent runners bunch up and interfere with each other 2-3 out

Traffic problems eliminate several fancied runners as they check and stumble over each other in the straight. Clean passages and room to maneuver become more valuable than raw ability.

Fast FelixPaul's DreamRagmans CornerCappa Hill

Late Hold-Up Surge

12% probability

If the pace collapses and becomes stop-start with the prominent bunch going too slow

Ragmans Corner gets the perfect setup to unleash his finishing kick from the rear as the others tire from positional battles. The race becomes a sprint finish where stamina reserves matter most.

Ragmans CornerImperoIcare DesboisPlaytime

Pace Collapse Scramble

8% probability

If Walhaan stops quickly and multiple prominent runners challenge simultaneously

A messy finish develops with no clear tactical advantage as tired horses battle up the hill. Class and recent form become the deciding factors in a war of attrition.

WholelotofbusinessBecassePaul's DreamFast Felix

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for a pile-up at the second-last flight where Becasse, Wholelotofbusiness, Impero, Paul's Dream, Cappa Hill, Fast Felix and Playtime will converge

WATCH

Monitor if Walhaan gets an easy lead early - his recent form suggests he may not sustain the gallop

WATCH

Check Ragmans Corner's jumping rhythm after 173 days off - any mistake eliminates his hold-up chance

NOTE

Observe claiming riders Thomas O'Connor and Carl Millar in traffic situations with Fast Felix and Impero

NOTE

Watch for Playtime to get outpaced early given his inexperience in this grade

3:35 — Gerard O'Sullivan Memorial Novice Chase

2m7f · Good · NOV · 6 runners

Butch Cassidy likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Butch Cassidy and Da Capo Glory led, as the map showed.

Butch Cassidy won at 2.50 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Butch Cassidy

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 3

D Art D ArtThe Rebel CountyJustabitofyours

Hold Up · 2

Sandor CleganeDa Capo Glory

Butch Cassidy will set a controlled pace from the front with no obvious early pressure from this field of hold-up horses. Da Capo Glory, Sandor Clegane, D Art D Art, Justabitofyours and The Rebel County all prefer to come from behind, creating a tactical race where the leader can dictate terms. With minimal early pace pressure, Butch Cassidy can conserve energy through the middle stages before the hold-up horses make their moves from the back of the home straight. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and those with tactical speed, as the slow early gallop will make it difficult for hold-up horses to pick up the pieces.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Butch Leads Throughout

55% probability

If Butch Cassidy maintains his prominent position without serious early pressure

The De Bromhead runner can dictate a steady gallop and have enough left to resist late challenges from the hold-up brigade. His prominent style becomes a significant tactical advantage when all his main rivals need the race to develop into a stronger pace.

Butch CassidyD Art D ArtSandor CleganeDa Capo Glory

Sandor Clegane Strikes

25% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong in the closing stages allowing hold-up horses to close

Sandor Clegane's class advantage over this field becomes decisive as Sean O'Keeffe times his challenge perfectly. His recent Down Royal win shows he's in form and ready to capitalize on a truly-run race.

Sandor CleganeDa Capo GloryButch CassidyD Art D Art

Da Capo Bounces Back

12% probability

If Da Capo Glory reproduces his Cheltenham Martin Pipe form and gets the strong pace he needs

Michael Kenneally's mount has shown smart hurdles form and his unseat at Punchestown was unlucky rather than ability-related. A genuinely-run race would suit his hold-up style perfectly.

Da Capo GlorySandor CleganeButch CassidyD Art D Art

D Art Surprise

8% probability

If the recent Killarney winner's confidence boost translates to another improved performance

Thomas Cooper's charge caught the eye winning last time and Ricky Doyle knows the track well. The step up in class is significant but his hold-up style could benefit from any pace collapse.

D Art D ArtDa Capo GlorySandor CleganeButch Cassidy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Butch Cassidy could steal this if allowed to dictate a soft pace from the front with no early pressure

WATCH

Sandor Clegane needs the pace to develop strongly in the final half-mile to showcase his class advantage

WATCH

Da Capo Glory requires a genuinely-run race to be effective from his hold-up position

NOTE

D Art D Art represents value if his recent Killarney confidence boost carries over to this higher grade

NOTE

The lack of natural pace-setters could create a tactical crawl that favors front-running tactics

4:10 — Donie Sheahan Memorial Irish EBF Mares Beginners Chase

2m5f · Good · DEFAULT · 12 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Emily Love led, as the map showed.

Miss Doyenne won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

Miss DoyenneLa Note VerteEmily LoveAffinity Rock

Prominent · 2

StormalongSeventy Eight Team

Midfield · 2

My Mary EllenBeauforts Storm

Hold Up · 4

Gaoth ChuilFortunate LightingBillie FrechetteCrescent Moon

Miss Doyenne, Emily Love, La Note Verte and Affinity Rock will ensure a genuine gallop from the start over this extended 2m5f trip. The pace will be honest throughout with multiple front-runners committed to going forward, creating a searching test of stamina in the closing stages. This strong early pace and stamina-sapping finish strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late kicks, while the confirmed front-runners risk burning out in a speed duel. The race shape clearly benefits closers with tactical speed.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Closers Benefit Strong Pace

65% probability

If the four front-runners engage in a genuine speed battle from flag-fall

The strong early gallop will set up perfectly for hold-up horses to produce telling late runs as the pace-setters weaken. Gaoth Chuil and Billie Frechette are best positioned to capitalize with their finishing kicks.

Gaoth ChuilBillie FrechetteFortunate LightingCrescent Moon

Front Runner Survives

20% probability

If one pace-setter gets an easy lead while rivals cancel each other out

A lone leader could steal a march and prove hard to peg back if the pace becomes more manageable early. Miss Doyenne or La Note Verte have the class to make all if getting their own way up front.

Miss DoyenneLa Note VerteEmily LoveStormalong

Prominent Tracker Wins

12% probability

If the pace is genuine but not suicidal allowing prominent runners to strike

Horses just behind the leaders can time their challenges perfectly to sweep past tiring pace-setters. Stormalong's Listed hurdle form here gives her strong claims from this tactical position.

StormalongBillie FrechetteMiss DoyenneGaoth Chuil

Pace Collapses Early

3% probability

If the front-runners surprisingly go steady early creating a sprint finish

A tactical affair would favor horses with the most natural speed rather than stamina. The better flat performers would benefit most from this unlikely scenario unfolding.

La Note VerteEmily LoveMiss DoyenneBillie Frechette

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Miss Doyenne and La Note Verte may set unsustainable fractions if both commit to the lead early

WATCH

Emily Love returning from 203-day absence could need the run despite her proven ability fresh

NOTE

Gaoth Chuil's finishing kick could be perfectly suited if the pace is genuinely strong throughout

WATCH

Stormalong has shown disappointingly in recent chase starts despite her proven course credentials

NOTE

Any front-runner who gets an uncontested lead could prove very difficult to peg back late

4:45 — Tote Killarney National Handicap Chase

3m2f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

O'Moore Park likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Happy Jacky led; the map had O'Moore Park in front.

Pride Of Place won at 6.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up.

1 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

O'Moore Park

Prominent · 4

Happy JackyMidnight Our FredWest Cork WildwayCaesar Rock

Midfield · 4

The Gradual SlopeHermino AASupreme GiftSmallcraftwarning

Hold Up · 4

The Short GoShanbally KidPride Of PlaceKamikaz Du Plessis

O'Moore Park will take the field along from the front with little early pressure, setting a sustainable gallop over this stamina-testing trip. Happy Jacky and Caesar Rock may track prominently early, but neither will force the pace. The lack of genuine pace pressure means the race will develop into a staying test rather than a speed battle, with the finish likely to be tactical as horses bunch up turning for home. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce a sustained finish, as the moderate early pace will leave plenty in reserve for those who can quicken late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the early pace stays moderate and horses bunch up turning for home

The lack of early pace pressure allows hold-up horses to get into ideal positions and unleash their finishing kicks. Those with tactical speed benefit most from the compressed finish that develops.

The Short GoKamikaz Du PlessisSupreme GiftPride Of Place

Prominent Runners Strike

25% probability

If O'Moore Park's gallop stretches the field more than expected over the trip

The sustained pace finds out the stamina of hold-up horses while prominent trackers get first run on the leaders. Those positioned handy throughout avoid traffic problems in a strung-out finish.

Happy JackyCaesar RockMidnight Our FredThe Gradual Slope

Front Runner Maintains

12% probability

If O'Moore Park gets an uncontested lead and kicks clear turning for home

The lack of early pressure means O'Moore Park saves energy for a decisive move, while others struggle to bridge the gap. Townend's tactical awareness proves crucial in timing the acceleration.

O'Moore ParkHappy JackyThe Short GoCaesar Rock

Stamina Test Chaos

8% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint finish over the final half-mile

The race becomes a pure stamina lottery with little separation until very late. Horses who stay strongly but lack tactical speed get swamped by those with better finishing kicks.

Shanbally KidSupreme GiftWest Cork WildwaySmallcraftwarning

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

O'Moore Park's jumping under pressure - yet to win over fences and needs to handle the occasion

WATCH

Shanbally Kid's jumping reliability after recent unseating at Punchestown

NOTE

Happy Jacky's fitness levels after 253-day absence, particularly in the closing stages

WATCH

The Short Go's race positioning early - needs to be handy enough given limited recent racing

NOTE

Kamikaz Du Plessis improving through the ranks and could outrun his 149lbs burden

5:17 — Hugh Mulryan Memorial (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race

2m1f · Good · DEFAULT · 14 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 9 May 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →