6:15

Archive›Leicester · 25 June 2026

Leicester

25 June 2026 · 6 races

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6:15 — British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
5f · Good · CLS5 · 10 runners
Green Titan to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Green Titan led, as the map showed.

Nasserein won at 29.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Green Titan
Prominent · 3
Tallahassee LassieNassereinIt'sbeenemotional
Midfield · 3
Kaiulani SpiritChiantiArticulate
Hold Up · 3
South WestFly TestDrum Major
Green Titan is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 10-runner 5f maiden and, with no other natural leader to dispute, Billy Loughnane can control the fractions from the off on Good to Firm ground at Leicester. The prominent trio of Nasserein, Tallahassee Lassie, and It'sbeenemotional will track close behind without forcing a genuinely hot pace, meaning the tempo is likely to be honest but sustainable rather than scorching. Hold-up horses Fly Test, South West, and Drum Major will be operating off a pace that may not generate enough of a furlong-and-a-half kick to pull them into contention, especially as both Fly Test and South West carry recorded fade patterns. The race shape strongly favours those who can race prominently or lead at a controlled tempo — front-running and close-tracking profiles are the primary beneficiaries on this configuration.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Green Titan Controls Cleanly
68% probability
If Green Titan is allowed to stride into an uncontested lead and set a sustainable, measured pace that suits his stamina profile.
If Green Titan is allowed to stride into an uncontested lead and set a sustainable, measured pace that suits his stamina profile.
Green TitanNassereinTallahassee LassieIt'sbeenemotional
B
Prominent Racer Runs Through
17% probability
If Green Titan's early fractions are slightly too quick for him to sustain and a prominent tracker pounces inside the final furlong.
If Green Titan's early fractions are slightly too quick for him to sustain and a prominent tracker pounces inside the final furlong.
NassereinTallahassee LassieIt'sbeenemotionalChianti
C
Closer Gets Late Run
10% probability
If the pace is quicker than expected and the field spreads, opening a clear racing line for a hold-up horse to finish strongly.
If the pace is quicker than expected and the field spreads, opening a clear racing line for a hold-up horse to finish strongly.
Drum MajorKaiulani SpiritFly TestSouth West
D
Race Blows Wide Open
5% probability
If Green Titan misses the break or encounters trouble and the field has no clear pace-setter, causing a chaotic, muddling run.
If Green Titan misses the break or encounters trouble and the field has no clear pace-setter, causing a chaotic, muddling run.
ArticulateChiantiKaiulani SpiritNasserein

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHGreen TitanTallahassee Las…NassereinIt'sbeenemotion…Kaiulani SpiritChiantiArticulateSouth WestFly TestDrum Majorp1. Green Titan3. Tallahassee Lassie2. Nasserein4. It'sbeenemotional5. Kaiulani Spirit6. Chianti7. Articulate8. South West9. Fly Test10. Drum Major
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Green Titan's draw and break — if Loughnane gets away cleanly and crosses to the rail, this race is effectively over for the hold-up horses before the first furlong is complete.
WATCH
Fly Test and South West both carry documented fade patterns; if either is allowed to drift into the betting on the back of hold-up market support, their in-running profile makes them poor each-way propositions at 5f on quick ground.
WATCH
Nasserein runs just 8 days after his last start — monitor any market drift that could signal the stable is managing the horse rather than expecting a peak run.
NOTE
The Going Report lists the 6:15 race as Good to Firm throughout multiple entries, confirming fast conditions that will stretch stamina reserves in the final furlong and could expose Green Titan's Soft-ground form base if he has set even a moderate pace.
NOTE
Articulate is a debut runner for a yard with 0/12 over 14 days — watch for any significant market move, as that would be the primary signal that connections expect more than the public data suggests.
6:45 — Greenhouse Sports 'Team For Life' Handicap
7f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners
Dancing With Drums likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dancing With Drums led, as the map showed.

Moonhall Lass won at 2.62 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Dancing With Drums
Prominent · 2
No GainCall Glory
Midfield · 5
Moonhall LassBerning HotMontpellier GreenJackson StreetMini Mac
Hold Up · 3
Midnight's DreamBass PlayerArnaz
Dancing With Drums is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 11-runner 7f handicap on Good to Firm ground at Leicester, and with no credible challenger for the lead, T P Queally's mount should be able to control tempo without being harassed from the break. Call Glory and No Gain are the likeliest horses to push into a prominent position behind the leader, giving the race a clear shape: a single pace-setter, two chasers in behind, and a large cluster of hold-up types scrambling for ground in the back half. This structure strongly favours runners who can sit close to the pace without burning energy fighting for position — prominent-to-midfield racers who can track the steady, uncontested gallop and pounce in the final two furlongs on fast ground will be ideally placed. This field contains far more true hold-up types than the map can accommodate at the rear — Berning Hot, Moonhall Lass, Montpellier Green, Jackson Street, and Mini Mac are all genuine come-from-behind horses who will be competing for space and may not achieve their natural position, with Moonhall Lass and Berning Hot — both in form — the most likely to secure a workable pitch given their class edge over the group.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Controlled Lead, Front Rewards
58% probability
If Dancing With Drums bowls along unchallenged at a comfortable pace and the hold-up pack fails to close from the rear.
If Dancing With Drums bowls along unchallenged at a comfortable pace and the hold-up pack fails to close from the rear.
Dancing With DrumsNo GainCall GloryMoonhall Lass
B
Prominent Pair Swamp Leader
22% probability
If Call Glory or No Gain press Dancing With Drums into a stronger-than-expected gallop and the leader is overhauled in the final furlong.
If Call Glory or No Gain press Dancing With Drums into a stronger-than-expected gallop and the leader is overhauled in the final furlong.
No GainMoonhall LassCall GloryBerning Hot
C
Hold-Up Horse Late Surge
13% probability
If Dancing With Drums sets too strong a pace early and the race truly falls apart in the straight, opening a late lane.
If Dancing With Drums sets too strong a pace early and the race truly falls apart in the straight, opening a late lane.
Moonhall LassBerning HotBass PlayerArnaz
D
Outsider Capitalises on Chaos
7% probability
If the pack of repositioned hold-up types disrupt each other mid-race and a lightly-regarded runner finds a clear run at the right moment.
If the pack of repositioned hold-up types disrupt each other mid-race and a lightly-regarded runner finds a clear run at the right moment.
Jackson StreetMini MacBass PlayerArnaz

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHDancing With Dr…No GaintpCall GloryMoonhall LassvBerning HotMontpellier Gre…Jackson StreetMini MacbMidnight's DreamBass PlayertpArnazt1. Dancing With Drums2. No Gain3. Call Glory4. Moonhall Lass5. Berning Hot6. Montpellier Green7. Jackson Street8. Mini Mac9. Midnight's Dream10. Bass Player11. Arnaz
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Dancing With Drums holds the race by the throat from the front — if T P Queally controls fractions with no pressure, the race could be over as a contest turning for home; watch whether Call Glory or No Gain push close enough to ensure a true gallop.
WATCH
Moonhall Lass and Berning Hot are both natural closers squeezed into a midfield draw on the map — watch how cleanly Billy Loughnane and L Morris can find their natural positions at the back of the field without getting shuffled back too far on a course where fast-ground 7f can be unforgiving late.
WATCH
Montpellier Green is returning from 187 days off and drops sharply in trip from 11-16f to 7f — if he shows any signs of greenness or sluggishness early, he could prove a hazard in the pack of hold-up types bunched together mid-race.
NOTE
No Gain is equipped with a tongue-piece and has won over a longer trip on Good ground — watch whether Charles Bishop elects to push forward to press Dancing With Drums or settles for a tracking position, as that tactical call will define which scenario unfolds.
NOTE
The going is reported Good to Firm at Leicester for this 7f contest despite the card header showing Good — fast ground favours prominent racers who don't need the race truly strung out, reinforcing the front-biased shape.
7:15 — Global Harvester Handicap
1m4f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners
Clipsham Noble likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Coverbridge led; the map had Clipsham Noble in front.

Pureis King won at 1.53 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Clipsham Noble
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 5
MynaAbilaMajestic LeoDuke OrsinoCoverbridge
Hold Up · 3
Pureis KingPisanelloOttoman
Clipsham Noble is the sole confirmed front-runner in this nine-runner 1m4f handicap and, with no rival likely to press hard for the lead, will dictate a controlled, sustainable gallop from the outset on good to firm ground at Leicester. The field is saturated with hold-up types — Myna, Abila, Duke Orsino, Coverbridge, Majestic Leo and Pisanello all want to come from off the pace — meaning a significant portion of the field cannot secure their natural position and will race closer than ideal. Of those redistributed hold-up horses, Myna and Pureis King carry the best recent form and are most likely to edge into the more prominent midfield berths, while the remainder settle into a bunched chasing pack. With a lone leader setting a measured tempo over this trip on fast ground, the race shape strongly favours horses who can travel prominently in behind Clipsham Noble and produce a sustained run from two furlongs out — late closers dependent on a truly run race face the prospect of not enough pace to exploit.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Clipsham Noble Leads Cleanly
58% probability
If Clipsham Noble breaks well and controls the tempo unchallenged at a steady-to-fair pace, this shape plays out as a procession from the front.
If Clipsham Noble breaks well and controls the tempo unchallenged at a steady-to-fair pace, this shape plays out as a procession from the front.
Clipsham NobleMynaPureis KingOttoman
B
Prominent Stalkers Pounce
22% probability
If Clipsham Noble is tracked closely by Myna or Pureis King and the leaders quicken early in the straight, the race resolves between the top two or three.
If Clipsham Noble is tracked closely by Myna or Pureis King and the leaders quicken early in the straight, the race resolves between the top two or three.
Pureis KingMynaOttomanPisanello
C
Closers Deliver Late
12% probability
If the early pace is unexpectedly strong enough to string the field out and create a true end-to-end gallop, hold-up horses from the redistributed group land a late blow.
If the early pace is unexpectedly strong enough to string the field out and create a true end-to-end gallop, hold-up horses from the redistributed group land a late blow.
OttomanPisanelloMynaAbila
D
Pace Collapse Breaks It Wide Open
8% probability
If Clipsham Noble is taken on unexpectedly early or loses its action, the race degenerates into a chaotic sprint finish that scrambles the order.
If Clipsham Noble is taken on unexpectedly early or loses its action, the race degenerates into a chaotic sprint finish that scrambles the order.
MynaPureis KingOttomanDuke Orsino

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHClipsham NoblepMynahAbilapMajestic LeotbDuke OrsinoCoverbridgePureis KingPisanelloOttomanp1. Clipsham Noble2. Myna5. Abila6. Majestic Leo7. Duke Orsino8. Coverbridge3. Pureis King9. Pisanello4. Ottoman
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Clipsham Noble's price in-running — if it quickens clear turning into the straight with no pressure, the race may already be over for anything held up deep.
WATCH
Myna's position at the break: if Myla Coppins can secure a prominent midfield berth rather than being trapped wide or deep, it becomes the most dangerous threat to Clipsham Noble given the consistent recent form.
WATCH
Pureis King's fades-in-finish flag is significant at 1m4f — watch whether it travels strongly to the two-furlong pole; if it hits the front too soon given that flag, it may not see out the trip.
NOTE
The bunched hold-up group (Abila, Duke Orsino, Coverbridge, Ottoman, Pisanello) risk a scrimmage leaving the back straight — any traffic trouble through the pack at the three-furlong mark could cost several horses their chance simultaneously.
NOTE
Going is described as Good To Firm for this race despite the headline race card showing Good — fast ground and a steady pace set by one front-runner will test stamina reserves of any horse who does not travel kindly.
7:45 — Samworth Brothers Handicap
5f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners
Startling likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dunnington Lad led; the map had Startling in front.

Bibendum won at 2.25 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 3 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Startling
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 3
BibendumBang On The BellDunnington Lad
Hold Up · 2
Over SpicedThe Coffee Pod
Startling is the sole confirmed front-runner in this six-runner 5f handicap and, with no other genuine pace-pressurers to challenge him, Billy Loughnane can dictate a controlled, sustainable gallop from the outset on good to firm ground at Leicester. That uncontested lead is significant on a flat, quick-ground sprint: Startling can bowl along at a rhythm of his own choosing without burning energy fighting for position. The lack of early pressure means the pace is unlikely to be truly searching, which compresses the finish and typically favours horses who can travel close to the speed rather than deep closers who need a strong pace to run into. With five of the remaining six runners carrying hold-up profiles — and Bibendum, Bang On The Bell, and Dunnington Lad all genuine rear-of-field types who cannot all find their natural position in a six-runner field — the tactical verdict is clear: prominent racers and horses handy to a steady gallop are most favoured here, while true hold-up horses face a test of whether the fractions are sharp enough to reel in a front-runner who has had it entirely his own way. The field holds more hold-up types than the race shape can accommodate, with Startling virtually certain to lead and Over Spiced and The Coffee Pod the most likely to take up handy ground behind.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Startling Leads Unopposed
67% probability
If Startling gets a clean break and sets a controlled pace with no challenger pressuring him at any stage.
If Startling gets a clean break and sets a controlled pace with no challenger pressuring him at any stage.
StartlingOver SpicedBang On The Bell
B
Closers Reel In Late
14% probability
If the pace proves genuinely strong enough or Startling fades, allowing the hold-up horses to finish with purpose.
If the pace proves genuinely strong enough or Startling fades, allowing the hold-up horses to finish with purpose.
Bang On The BellOver SpicedThe Coffee Pod
C
Prominent Runner Pounces
11% probability
If a hold-up horse secures a better-than-expected pitch just off the pace and sustains a challenge from two furlongs out.
If a hold-up horse secures a better-than-expected pitch just off the pace and sustains a challenge from two furlongs out.
Over SpicedBibendumBang On The Bell
D
Pace Collapse Scramble
8% probability
If Startling hits the front too hard early, the field bunches and a late surge from a horse with good recent form turns the race into a sprint finish.
If Startling hits the front too hard early, the field bunches and a late surge from a horse with good recent form turns the race into a sprint finish.
Over SpicedBang On The BellBibendum

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHStartlingBibendumvBang On The BellbDunnington LadOver SpicedpThe Coffee Podh1. Startling4. Bibendum3. Bang On The Bell5. Dunnington Lad2. Over Spiced6. The Coffee Pod
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch Startling's break from the stalls — if Billy Loughnane gets a clean jump and establishes the lead uncontested within the first furlong, the scenario probability shifts strongly in favour of the front-runner holding on as no rival has the natural inclination to chase.
WATCH
Monitor Over Spiced's early positioning under Ashley Lewis — with five hold-up types, the horse that gets widest ground or quickest to a pitch just off Startling's heels will be best placed, and Lewis's recent trainer form (2/17 T14) adds a mild flag.
WATCH
The Coffee Pod's 73-day break is a tangible fitness concern — if Lewis Edmunds is quietly positive pre-race it upgrades, but a horse returning from this layoff without a prep run in a fast-ground sprint is a risk, and the sim-going record (0W2P) offers no confidence it will run to form fresh.
NOTE
Bang On The Bell and Dunnington Lad are both natural hold-up horses racing out of their comfort zone — if either appears to be tracking the pace actively in the early stages rather than dropping to the rear, it likely signals a positive ride and should be noted as a late threat.
8:15 — Mark Carr Leicester Legacy Handicap
1m2f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners
Captain Cairney likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Fille Imbassee led; the map had Captain Cairney in front.

Fille Imbassee won at 2.38 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 3 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Captain Cairney
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 3
Pacific GloryFille ImbasseeBaron Wagstaff
Hold Up · 2
BradburyZooter
Captain Cairney, a natural prominent racer redistributed to the front, is the sole pace-setter in this six-runner 1m2f handicap on good-to-firm ground at Leicester, and with no genuine front runner to push him, he will dictate a controlled, sustainable gallop throughout. The remainder of the field — Bradbury, Pacific Glory, Zooter, Fille Imbassee, and Baron Wagstaff — are all hold-up or midfield types who will track the pace at varying distances, setting up a steadily-run race with few tactical complications. Pacific Glory, Fille Imbassee, and Baron Wagstaff are true hold-up horses redistributed into midfield positions on the map because the field is saturated with closers; in reality, all three may find themselves further back than ideal, making clean ground and a strong late run harder to execute. With Captain Cairney controlling a modest pace on fast ground and no genuine pressure from behind, this race shape most strongly favours horses with tactical speed who can sit close to the action and respond when the tempo increases — a prominent or close-tracking profile has the clearest edge over pure hold-up finishers in this configuration.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Cairney Controls, Trackers Score
65% probability
If Captain Cairney sets a steady, uncontested pace and the race is decided by those who track him closest into the straight.
If Captain Cairney sets a steady, uncontested pace and the race is decided by those who track him closest into the straight.
BradburyZooterCaptain CairneyFille Imbassee
B
Closers Land Late Surge
16% probability
If Captain Cairney sets a genuinely strong pace that softens up the field and gives the hold-up horses a target to run at.
If Captain Cairney sets a genuinely strong pace that softens up the field and gives the hold-up horses a target to run at.
BradburyPacific GloryZooterBaron Wagstaff
C
Captain Cairney Steals It
11% probability
If the pace is so gentle that Captain Cairney, having conserved energy throughout, has enough in reserve to hold on and win on the bridle.
If the pace is so gentle that Captain Cairney, having conserved energy throughout, has enough in reserve to hold on and win on the bridle.
Captain CairneyBradburyZooterFille Imbassee
D
Hold-Up Horses Dominate
8% probability
If the pace collapses mid-race or a tactical mix-up bunches the field, allowing the redistributed closers to produce their true running style.
If the pace collapses mid-race or a tactical mix-up bunches the field, allowing the redistributed closers to produce their true running style.
Pacific GloryFille ImbasseeBaron WagstaffZooter

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHCaptain CairneypPacific GloryFille ImbasseehBaron WagstaffBradburyetZooter3. Captain Cairney5. Pacific Glory4. Fille Imbassee6. Baron Wagstaff1. Bradbury2. Zooter
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Captain Cairney is unchallenged for the lead and could exploit a walking pace early — watch for Loughnane on Bradbury to position close enough to cover if Cairney kicks off a slow tempo in the straight.
WATCH
Pacific Glory, Fille Imbassee, and Baron Wagstaff are all true hold-up horses crowded into midfield on the map; if they cannot find clear daylight in a small six-runner field on the far-side straight, their finishing kicks will be wasted.
WATCH
Baron Wagstaff returns from 71 days off for a trainer with 0 wins from 4 in the past fortnight — fitness on reappearance is a live concern and could see it drop away when the race quickens.
NOTE
Good-to-firm ground is confirmed for this 1m2f on the going report despite the listed going showing as Good — all runners appear suited to the faster surface based on sim-going profiles, but check for any late going updates that could alter the picture.
8:45 — Dr T B Connors Memorial Handicap
1m · Good · HCAP · 7 runners
Napolian likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Pentonville led; the map had Napolian in front.

Napolian won at 5.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it led.

0 of 2 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Napolian
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 4
Station BarVenturingAlbertini StarNorcross Brow
Hold Up · 2
PentonvilleRitaal
Napolian is the sole confirmed front-runner in a seven-runner field at Leicester's flat mile, and with no genuine rival to challenge for the lead, he is likely to control tempo from the outset at a pace entirely of his own choosing. The going report confirms Good to Firm conditions for this race, which suits a true-run mile where stamina and a clean tactical position matter. The remainder of the field — Pentonville, Ritaal, Station Bar, Venturing, Norcross Brow, and Albertini Star — are all natural hold-up or prominent types, and the field holds more hold-up horses than the race shape can accommodate at the rear; Station Bar, Norcross Brow, and Venturing are the most likely to find themselves shuffled into midfield rather than their preferred deep position. With a solo leader setting a measured, uncontested gallop, the race shape strongly favours horses who can travel prominently just off the pace and produce a sustained finish, making hold-up horses reliant on a fast enough tempo to create the gaps they need — which here looks unlikely to materialise.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Napolian Controls Unchallenged
65% probability
If Napolian bowls along at a comfortable, uncontested clip and the backmarkers fail to generate enough pace to close.
If Napolian bowls along at a comfortable, uncontested clip and the backmarkers fail to generate enough pace to close.
PentonvilleRitaalNapolianStation Bar
B
Prominent Stalker Pounces
18% probability
If a hold-up horse secures a handy position early and produces a decisive run two furlongs out.
If a hold-up horse secures a handy position early and produces a decisive run two furlongs out.
PentonvilleStation BarRitaalNapolian
C
Pace Collapse, Closers Arrive
10% probability
If Napolian sets too slow a gallop early and the field concertinas, turning the finish into a sprint.
If Napolian sets too slow a gallop early and the field concertinas, turning the finish into a sprint.
RitaalPentonvilleNorcross BrowVenturing
D
Hold-Up Horses Land Late
7% probability
If the pace proves genuinely strong and gaps open in the final furlong for those held up deepest.
If the pace proves genuinely strong and gaps open in the final furlong for those held up deepest.
Station BarNorcross BrowVenturingAlbertini Star

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHNapolianStation BarVenturingAlbertini StarhNorcross BrowPentonvillepRitaalp3. Napolian4. Station Bar5. Venturing6. Albertini Star7. Norcross Brow1. Pentonville2. Ritaal
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Napolian's stamina over 1m is completely unproven — he has run all five career starts over 6f, and if he ties up in the final two furlongs after setting the pace, the whole race shape unravels for horses who have tracked him.
WATCH
Station Bar and Venturing are both true hold-up types forced into midfield by the crowded rear; watch whether jockeys Charles Bishop and William Carson attempt to push forward early, which could create minor positional friction behind Napolian in the first two furlongs.
WATCH
Venturing returns from 132 days off with no turf or Good to Firm form — monitor market moves at the off; if weak in the market, the layoff concern is live and he is unlikely to be a factor.
NOTE
Good to Firm ground is faster than the race headline states as "Good" — the official going report lists all Leicester races including this one as Good to Firm, so horses with a confirmed Good to Firm record (Pentonville, Station Bar) have a quiet edge over those with only AW or Soft form.
NOTE
Albertini Star is a declared non-runner — confirm scratchings before finalising any race-shape assessment, as his removal reduces the field to six and slightly simplifies the hold-up traffic problem at the rear.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 25 June 2026.

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Leicester pace map, 25 June 2026 — PaceMap