Archive›Leicester · 9 May 2026

Leicester

9 May 2026 · 7 races

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5:25 — British EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C And D) (EBF Qualifier) (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

5f · Good · CLS5 · 10 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

5:55 — British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Good · NOV · 9 runners

Galba to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Distant Moon and Masked Warrior led; the map had Galba in front.

King's Cavalry won at 1.83 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Galba

Prominent · 3

Masked WarriorKing's CavalryBridget's Baby

Midfield · 3

Race To The EdgeDistant MoonAble Astra

Hold Up · 2

Blazing SamAshley Pool

Galba will lead from the gate with no other confirmed front-runners, setting what should be a manageable gallop over this 7f trip. The prominent runners King's Cavalry, Masked Warrior and Bridget's Baby will likely track just behind, while the debutants Distant Moon and Race To The Edge represent unknowns in terms of positioning. With only one leader and several hold-up horses likely to be too far back on this relatively sharp track, this race shape strongly favours the prominent runners who can track Galba and have first strike when the pace lifts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Galba Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Galba maintains a steady tempo without being challenged early

The leader gets an uncontested run to the final furlong where his stamina can tell, while the prominent trackers may find themselves in a tactical bind. King's Cavalry or Masked Warrior would need to time their challenge perfectly to catch a horse who has dictated terms.

GalbaKing's CavalryMasked WarriorDistant Moon

Prominent Pair Strike

35% probability

If King's Cavalry and Masked Warrior both travel strongly tracking Galba

These two experienced runners can use their tactical speed to collar the leader in the final two furlongs, with their recent form giving them the edge over the unraced newcomers. The pace will suit their style perfectly as they won't have to make up significant ground.

King's CavalryMasked WarriorGalbaDistant Moon

Newcomer Surprise

12% probability

If Distant Moon shows natural speed and positions prominently from the start

The Godolphin runner benefits from tracking the steady pace set by Galba and unleashes superior class in the closing stages. His pedigree suggests he should handle this trip and the going won't be an issue.

Distant MoonKing's CavalryMasked WarriorGalba

Hold-up Horse Late Surge

8% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a crawl to halfway

One of the hold-up runners like Able Astra or Ashley Pool gets a perfect setup to unleash a sustained finish down the outside. However, this seems unlikely given Galba's front-running style and the competitive nature of the field.

Able AstraMasked WarriorKing's CavalryGalba

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Galba goes too fast early as he may set this up for the prominent trackers King's Cavalry and Masked Warrior

WATCH

Monitor Distant Moon's early positioning as any prominent showing would make him very dangerous late

NOTE

Check if any of the hold-up horses show early speed as this would completely change the pace dynamic

WATCH

Watch for market support for Race To The Edge's replacement if a late substitute is declared

NOTE

Observe if Masked Warrior travels with his old enthusiasm despite the long absence

6:25 — Smooth Radio Ladies' Day 4th July Book Now Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Emperor Caradoc likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

This Farh and Dark Side Thunder led; the map had Emperor Caradoc in front.

Mumayaz won at 9.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Emperor Caradoc

Prominent · 1

This Farh

Midfield · 2

Dark Side ThunderMumayaz

Hold Up · 2

Invincible SpeedFiscal Policy

Emperor Caradoc will likely lead from the start with This Farh pressing close behind, creating a manageable early pace in this small field. The four hold-up horses (Fiscal Policy, Dark Side Thunder, Invincible Speed, Mumayaz) will settle behind, but with only two genuine pace angles up front, there won't be sustained pressure early. This sustainable tempo will allow the leaders to kick clear in the final furlong, making life difficult for the closers on quick good to firm ground. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can sit close to the pace and have something left to respond.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leaders Sustain Kick

45% probability

If Emperor Caradoc and This Farh maintain their positions without early pressure

The sustainable pace allows both to arrive with energy intact, and the good to firm surface helps their finishing kicks hold off late challenges. Emperor Caradoc's recent 6f wins on this surface give him the edge over This Farh's longer trip preferences.

Emperor CaradocThis FarhFiscal PolicyInvincible Speed

Hold-Up Heroes Rally

30% probability

If the early pace becomes pedestrian and the closers get perfect splits

Fiscal Policy and Invincible Speed, both Course & Distance specialists, benefit from patient rides and strong finishes when the race opens up late. Their proven Leicester form makes them dangerous if the race falls apart.

Fiscal PolicyInvincible SpeedEmperor CaradocDark Side Thunder

This Farh Takes Over

15% probability

If This Farh improves on the drop back to 6f and outbattles Emperor Caradoc

The David Loughnane runner uses his class edge to overcome trip concerns, getting first run on Emperor Caradoc who has been running more regularly. This Farh's higher rating tells late despite the distance compromise.

This FarhMumayazEmperor CaradocFiscal Policy

Pace Collapse Special

10% probability

If both leaders go too hard early and completely fold

The race becomes a sitting duck for the best closer, with Dark Side Thunder's recent Leicester second form making him the value pick. Mumayaz's proven track record at Leicester also comes into play when the race shape completely changes.

Dark Side ThunderMumayazInvincible SpeedFiscal Policy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Emperor Caradoc breaking too fast from the stalls - if he opens up 3+ lengths early, he may not sustain

WATCH

This Farh getting outpaced early - needs to sit closer than usual on this shorter trip to be effective

NOTE

Invincible Speed's position turning in - his best Leicester efforts came from prominent positions despite hold-up style

NOTE

Dark Side Thunder getting a clear run - visor suggests he may be keen early and need luck in running

WATCH

The overall pace through halfway - if pedestrian, completely flips the form book toward the closers

6:55 — Best Ticket Deals Online At leicester-racecourse.co.uk Handicap

1m4f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Sword Of Wessex likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

John Galt led; the map had Sword Of Wessex in front.

John Galt won at 9.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Sword Of Wessex

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 4

Kurios LadyJohnny BoomIwantmytimewithyouTrojan Truth

Hold Up · 1

John Galt

With Sword Of Wessex being the only confirmed front runner in this six-runner field, he'll face no early pressure and can dictate terms at his preferred rhythm over 1m4f. The remaining five runners all show hold-up tendencies, meaning they'll settle behind and look to finish strongly in the straight. This creates a tactical scenario where Sword Of Wessex can control the fractions unchallenged before the closers mount their challenge. This pace shape clearly favours hold-up horses who can produce sustained finishes, as they'll get the perfect target to aim at.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Closers

65% probability

If Sword Of Wessex dictates moderate fractions without pressure

The hold-up brigade get ideal conditions to unleash finishing kicks, with the leader potentially vulnerable in the final furlong after making all the running. Kurios Lady and Iwantmytimewithyou can capitalize on the longer trip and tactical advantage.

Kurios LadyIwantmytimewithyouJohn GaltJohnny Boom

Front Runner Steals March

20% probability

If Sword Of Wessex builds an unassailable lead through soft sectionals

His recent Yarmouth success with headgear change suggests improved form, and controlling the pace could see him kick clear when the closers are still winding up. The 4lb rise may not stop his momentum.

Sword Of WessexTrojan TruthKurios LadyJohn Galt

Late Surge From Experience

10% probability

If the older horses Johnny Boom or Trojan Truth find their best form

Despite extended breaks, both have proven 1m4f+ credentials and could outbattle the younger rivals in a grueling finish. Trojan Truth's C&D winning experience becomes crucial.

Johnny BoomTrojan TruthSword Of WessexKurios Lady

Pace Collapses Completely

5% probability

If Sword Of Wessex goes too slowly and kicks too late

The hold-up horses converge simultaneously in a messy sprint finish where anything can happen. This chaos could favor the most unexposed runner or best current form.

John GaltIwantmytimewithyouJohnny BoomKurios Lady

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Sword Of Wessex setting fractions - if he goes too fast early he'll be vulnerable, too slow and he invites pressure.

WATCH

Kurios Lady's position turning for home - she needs clear room to unleash her proven finishing kick.

NOTE

John Galt's turf adaptation - his all-weather form suggests ability but surface switch adds uncertainty.

WATCH

Trojan Truth shaking off rustiness - the 201-day break is substantial even for a horse who goes well fresh.

NOTE

Both 5lb claimers Mason Paetel and Owen Lewis getting their mounts settled early in the small field.

7:25 — Heather Small Plays Leicester Races 4th July Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Lead contested: Tattie Bogle v Al HofzanHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Zubaru won at 2.88 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Tattie BogleAl Hofzan

Prominent · 3

AlbeseeingyerCypriot DiasporaFenlander

Midfield · 1

Call Glory

Hold Up · 3

ZubaruTexEnpassant

Tattie Bogle and Al Hofzan will ensure a genuine pace from the start, with both confirmed front-runners likely to dispute the early lead. Albeseeingyer, Cypriot Diaspora and Fenlander should track them prominently, while the hold-up horses Tex, Enpassant, Zubaru and Call Glory will need the pace to collapse late. The honest gallop set by two willing pace-setters should create a fair test over this 7f trip. This race shape clearly favours the prominent racers and hold-up horses who can pick up the pieces if the leaders tie up.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leaders Maintain Gallop

45% probability

If Tattie Bogle and Al Hofzan sustain their effort through the final furlong

The honest pace will suit those racing just behind the leaders who can strike late without needing a collapse. Prominent racers like Albeseeingyer and Cypriot Diaspora are perfectly positioned to capitalize.

AlbeseeingyerCypriot DiasporaFenlanderTattie Bogle

Front Pair Collapse

30% probability

If both pace-setters weaken markedly in the final quarter-mile

This creates the perfect scenario for hold-up horses to unleash late runs from off the pace. Zubaru and Call Glory have the tactical speed to pick up the pieces when the gallop falls apart.

ZubaruCall GloryTexEnpassant

Sustained Speed Throughout

15% probability

If the pace remains strong but sustainable to the line

The form horses with proven stamina at the trip will prevail in a true-run race. Tattie Bogle's recent Musselburgh win and Albeseeingyer's C&D form make them the natural beneficiaries.

Tattie BogleAlbeseeingyerCypriot DiasporaZubaru

Messy Moderate Pace

10% probability

If the two leaders compromise each other early and settle into a steadier rhythm

This tactical affair would favour versatile horses who can adapt their running style mid-race. Fenlander and Call Glory have shown the ability to be effective from different positions.

FenlanderCall GloryAl HofzanCypriot Diaspora

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Tattie Bogle and Al Hofzan must be monitored early as their pace battle could compromise both horses' finishing effort

WATCH

Zubaru carries a 9lb penalty after his recent win and any sluggish break could prove fatal from his hold-up style

NOTE

Tex returns from 275 days off and needs close attention for market confidence given the lengthy absence

WATCH

Call Glory requires strong early pace to be effective and may struggle if the leaders settle down too early

NOTE

Albeseeingyer showed good form at this C&D last month and her position tracking the leaders could be crucial

7:55 — Go West Plays Leicester Races 4th July Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Fillyfudge likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Fillyfudge led, as the map showed.

Myna won at 9.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Fillyfudge

Prominent · 1

Pure Theory

Midfield · 6

Majestic LeoVersatileMooretown LadMynaEager PucciniClipsham Noble

Hold Up · 4

Oasis SunriseLuminous ApproachCity EscapeGert Lush

Fillyfudge is the only confirmed front runner and will dictate terms from the bell, likely going off at a measured gallop over this staying trip on good to firm ground. With no pressure from other pace angles, she can control the tempo through steady sectionals before the field bunches up turning for home. The lack of early speed creates a tactical race where hold-up horses can get into contention, but those needing cover may struggle if the pace becomes too sedate. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can track Fillyfudge and horses with a turn of foot, while pure hold-up horses face the risk of a slowly-run affair that negates their finishing kick.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Trackers

45% probability

If Fillyfudge sets steady fractions without serious challenge through the early stages

The measured tempo allows prominent runners to stay close and strike with superior fitness or class when the race develops. Late runners get their chance but face horses already in perfect striking position.

Oasis SunrisePure TheoryCity EscapeVersatile

Slow Pace Favors Form

30% probability

If the lack of pace pressure creates a crawling tempo that becomes a sprint finish

The race becomes all about raw speed and current form rather than stamina, suiting horses showing recent improvement or those with proven finishing kicks. Class horses can overcome poor positions through pure acceleration.

Oasis SunriseMooretown LadClipsham NobleMyna

Fillyfudge Wire-to-Wire

15% probability

If Fillyfudge's unopposed lead allows her to build an unassailable advantage through controlled sectionals

The front runner can dictate every phase and kick clear when the field starts their moves, proving too far ahead to catch. Her recent hurdles win suggests retained ability that translates to the flat.

FillyfudgePure TheoryVersatileCity Escape

Messy Pace Helps Outsiders

10% probability

If early positioning issues or interference creates a stop-start tempo that disrupts the favorites

The uneven pace levels the playing field and allows unconsidered runners with tactical speed to pick up the pieces. Horses drawn poorly or held up by choice suddenly find clear runs.

Clipsham NobleVersatileGert LushMyna

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Fillyfudge could steal this if allowed uncontested lead as the sole pace angle - monitor early positioning of prominent runners

WATCH

City Escape returning after long break for new trainer Evans - watch market confidence and how sharply she breaks

WATCH

Pure Theory fitted with cheekpieces and tongue-tie suggests connections desperate for improvement - note early positioning

NOTE

Oasis Sunrise quick return after impressive Bath win - observe if 9lb rise affects her natural finishing kick

NOTE

Several hold-up horses may struggle if pace becomes too steady - watch for traffic problems in straight

8:25 — 'Picnic At The Races' Monday 25th May Book Now Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

The Sweet Escape to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Star Start led; the map had The Sweet Escape in front.

Union Island won at 26.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

The Sweet Escape

Prominent · 3

Union IslandStar StartSharma d'Amour

Midfield · 3

TonalStudy UpMercurius Power

Hold Up · 3

Up The JazzSuper HitYokkell

The Sweet Escape is the only confirmed front runner and will be allowed to dictate terms from the front without pressure. Union Island and Star Start as prominent racers will likely settle just behind but won't apply early pressure on good to firm ground. The lack of pace pressure means The Sweet Escape can control fractions and save energy for the finish, while the large contingent of hold-up horses including Study Up, Up The Jazz, Yokkell, Tonal, and Super Hit will need the pace to collapse late. This race shape clearly favors front runners and prominent racers who can position close to the pace early.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If The Sweet Escape gets an easy lead and sustainable fractions

The front runner controls every call and has enough left to resist late challengers on the good to firm surface. The hold-up brigade arrives too late having given the winner too much rope.

The Sweet EscapeUnion IslandStar StartSharma d'Amour

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Union Island or Star Start track the leader perfectly and pounce late

The experienced prominent racers use their tactical positioning to strike when The Sweet Escape begins to tire in the final furlong. Their racing styles are ideally suited to this pace scenario.

Union IslandStar StartThe Sweet EscapeUp The Jazz

Hold-Up Hero Charges

15% probability

If the pace completely collapses and one closer gets the perfect run

A strong stayer like Yokkell or Up The Jazz gets a dream passage through beaten horses and powers home. The front end completely capitulates under the sustained pace.

YokkellUp The JazzTonalSuper Hit

Pace Duel Develops

10% probability

If Union Island or Star Start press The Sweet Escape from early

The prominent racers engage the leader sooner than expected, creating a genuine pace battle. This opens up the race for the hold-up horses to sweep past tired leaders.

Study UpTonalSuper HitYokkell

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

The Sweet Escape breaking smartly and getting first run - if uncontested he becomes very hard to peg back

WATCH

Union Island's early positioning - if he settles closer than usual he can exploit the pace scenario perfectly

WATCH

Yokkell's finishing kick - her Leicester course experience could be crucial if getting the right run through

NOTE

Star Start's natural pace - may be the only horse willing to take on The Sweet Escape if needed

NOTE

The hold-up horses bunching turning in - if they're all fighting for room the front runners escape

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 9 May 2026.

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