Archive›Leopardstown · 4 June 2026

Leopardstown

4 June 2026 · 7 races

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5:30 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

7f · Good To Soft · MDN · 11 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

6:00 — BOYLE Sports Apprentice Handicap

7f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 11 runners

Thru And Thru to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Great Mover led; the map had Thru And Thru in front.

Bella Isabella won at 10.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Thru And Thru

Prominent · 4

Bella IsabellaPlayin CoolFlaming RibGreat Mover

Midfield · 3

Send HarryEddie GLoingseoir

Hold Up · 3

MallavellyDark ViperMehman

Thru And Thru will lead uncontested with no other confirmed front-runners in the field. The prominent runners Bella Isabella, Flaming Rib, Playin Cool, Great Mover and Send Harry will likely sit just off the pace, creating a moderate gallop rather than true pressure. With multiple hold-up horses including Mallavelly, Dark Viper, Mehman, Eddie G and Loingseoir needing to be delivered late, the lack of early pace pressure strongly favours prominent runners who can track the leader and kick clear before the closers get organized.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Lead Holds

45% probability

If Thru And Thru gets soft fractions and stays strong

The leader gets an easy time in front with no pace pressure, allowing her to save energy for a sustained kick. The hold-up horses face too much ground to make up over 7f on good-to-soft going.

Thru And ThruBella IsabellaPlayin CoolGreat Mover

Prominent Takeover

35% probability

If the prominent runners apply pressure from 3f out

Bella Isabella, Flaming Rib or Playin Cool track the leader closely and exploit their superior tactical position when Thru And Thru weakens. The multiple hold-up horses get caught wide and deep with insufficient time to close.

Bella IsabellaFlaming RibPlayin CoolSend Harry

Late Surge Success

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely in the middle stages

The lack of early pressure creates a crawling gallop that turns into a sprint finish. Mallavelly or Dark Viper benefit from their superior class and finishing kick over the shorter effective distance.

MallavellyDark ViperMehmanLoingseoir

Pace Collapse Muddle

5% probability

If Thru And Thru goes too slowly and gets swamped

The race becomes a messy affair with no clear pace dynamics, allowing an outsider to benefit from the tactical confusion. Multiple horses converge in a blanket finish with the best-handicapped prevailing.

Eddie GGreat MoverSend HarryLoingseoir

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Thru And Thru's fitness after 50-day break could see her fold quickly if the prominent runners apply any pressure

WATCH

Mallavelly's ability to get a clear run from his hold-up style with multiple horses likely to be in similar positions

NOTE

Bella Isabella's early positioning as the most likely to benefit if tracking the leader closely

WATCH

The effectiveness of Flaming Rib after 169 days off from a stable struggling for winners

NOTE

Dark Viper's adaptability to the sharper 7f trip when his best efforts come over longer distances

6:30 — King George V Cup (Listed Race)

1m4f · Good To Soft · LST · 5 runners

Emmeleia to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Endorsement led; the map had Emmeleia in front.

Endorsement won at 1.25 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Emmeleia

Prominent · 2

EndorsementAmadeus Mozart

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

YousaynothingatallSo Must I

With Emmeleia declared a non-runner, this small field loses its natural pace-setter, leaving prominent racers Endorsement and Amadeus Mozart to dictate from the front. The early gallop will likely be modest with both horses content to track each other through steady fractions over the extended 1m4f trip. Hold-up horses So Must I and Yousaynothingatall will settle at the rear but face the challenge of making up significant ground in the straight. This measured pace scenario clearly favours the prominent runners who can control proceedings and kick clear when the real racing begins.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front Running

55% probability

If Endorsement or Amadeus Mozart establish an uncontested lead through steady fractions

The pace-setter gets an easy time of it before quickening approaching the straight, while the hold-up horses struggle to make up the leeway from the rear. Superior class tells when the leaders can dictate their own kick.

EndorsementAmadeus MozartSo Must IYousaynothingatall

Dual Speed Battle

25% probability

If Endorsement and Amadeus Mozart engage in a prolonged speed duel from the home turn

Both prominent runners compromise each other's finishing kick, opening the door for the hold-up pair to close strongly. The stronger stayer among the closers capitalizes on the pace collapse.

YousaynothingatallSo Must IEndorsementAmadeus Mozart

Class Separation

15% probability

If the superior-rated Endorsement can settle and quicken decisively in the final two furlongs

Ryan Moore's mount uses his higher official rating to outclass these rivals when the pace lifts, despite any tactical compromises. The Ballydoyle second-string cannot match the acceleration.

EndorsementAmadeus MozartYousaynothingatallSo Must I

Stamina Test

5% probability

If the extended trip and yielding ground creates a genuine staying test

The race becomes a slog that favours horses with proven middle-distance form over 1m4f+. Previous winners at this distance hold the edge over those stepping up significantly.

YousaynothingatallEndorsementSo Must IAmadeus Mozart

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Monitor if Endorsement shows any rustiness early given the 25-day gap since his last appearance

WATCH

Watch for Amadeus Mozart to steal a march if he can get first run on his stablemate Endorsement

NOTE

Observe whether So Must I or Yousaynothingatall can get competitive positions given their hold-up styles

WATCH

Check early pace development with Emmeleia withdrawn as the confirmed front-runner

7:00 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Fillies Maiden

1m2f · Good To Soft · MDN · 14 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

7:30 — BOYLE Sports 'Home Of The Early Payout' Handicap

1m1f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 8 runners

Red Autumn to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

How'sthebai led; the map had Red Autumn in front.

How'sthebai won at 3.50 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Red Autumn

Prominent · 3

Johnny SodaRyefield DasherSunrush

Midfield · 2

MonvoeSweet Baby Zou

Hold Up · 2

Son Of BeautyHow'sthebai

Red Autumn stands alone as the only confirmed front runner in this 8-runner handicap, meaning he can dictate an uncontested lead and control the fractions throughout. With prominent runners Sunrush, Johnny Soda and Ryefield Dasher likely to track him at a respectful distance, the pace should be sustainable rather than cut-throat. The majority of the field comprises hold-up horses (Son Of Beauty, How'sthebai, Monvoe, Sweet Baby Zou) who will need the pace to collapse or rely on a strong finish. This race shape clearly favors horses with tactical speed who can position prominently and avoid traffic, as the soft ground will make it difficult for hold-up horses to make up significant ground in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front Running

45% probability

If Red Autumn gets an easy lead and sustainable fractions

Red Autumn can use his class advantage and fresh legs to hold off challengers, while prominent trackers like Johnny Soda benefit from the tow. The hold-up brigade struggle on yielding ground to make up the leeway.

Red AutumnJohnny SodaSunrushHow'sthebai

Late Closer Surge

30% probability

If the early pace is genuinely steady and the field compacts

The yielding ground plays to stamina types like Monvoe and How'sthebai who can use their recent form momentum. Sweet Baby Zou's cheekpieces and trip increase also come into play despite her finishing concerns.

MonvoeHow'sthebaiSweet Baby ZouSon Of Beauty

Prominent Tracker Pounce

15% probability

If Red Autumn goes too fast early or ties up late

Sunrush and Johnny Soda get perfect trips tracking the leader and have enough pace to strike when the front runner weakens. The ground conditions favor Johnny Soda's recent soft ground form.

Johnny SodaSunrushRed AutumnMonvoe

Pace Collapse Scramble

10% probability

If Red Autumn goes very slow and kicks hard late

The race becomes a sprint finish where any horse can win from any position. Ryefield Dasher's long absence becomes less relevant and Sweet Baby Zou's finishing issues are minimized.

Ryefield DasherSweet Baby ZouHow'sthebaiSon Of Beauty

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Red Autumn's fitness after 74-day break - any sign of laboring late could open the door for closers

WATCH

How'sthebai's early position with Colin Keane - if he gets handy early it signals confidence in his stamina

WATCH

Johnny Soda's tactical approach - needs to track the pace closely to use his recent momentum

NOTE

Sweet Baby Zou settling in cheekpieces on quick turnaround - first-time headgear can be transformative

NOTE

Monvoe's finishing kick from the rear - his recent late surges suggest he has the engine for another bold show

8:00 — BOYLE Sports Best Odds From 8am Handicap

1m1f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 16 runners

Lead contested: Diamond Exchange v WalhaanHISTORIC

How it ran

Molto Amichi led; the map had Diamond Exchange and Walhaan in front.

Daler won at 13.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up.

8 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Diamond ExchangeWalhaan

Prominent · 3

SonoranHaranaCoul Dreamer

Midfield · 6

Majestic KingLough LeaneNo More PorterGotta Catch'em AllElusive DukeCooley's Mist

Hold Up · 5

BooyeaPillar Of HopeDalerLahore Da KingMolto Amichi

Diamond Exchange and Walhaan are confirmed front runners who will contest the early lead, with Coul Dreamer, Harana and Sonoran likely to press them from prominent positions. This honest gallop over 1m1f at Leopardstown will stretch the field and create a true test of stamina. The strong pace will set up perfectly for hold-up horses with tactical speed to finish strongly in the final two furlongs. This race shape clearly favours hold-up performers who can capitalize on the expected collapse of the early pace-setters.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Benefit

60% probability

If Diamond Exchange and Walhaan duel early and Coul Dreamer/Sonoran press them hard

The strong gallop will tire the leaders and prominent racers, allowing patient hold-up horses to sweep past in the final furlong with superior finishing kicks. Booyea, Molto Amichi and No More Porter can exploit the pace collapse.

BooyeaMolto AmichiNo More PorterMajestic King

Prominent Racer Survives

25% probability

If one of the prominent racers gets an easier lead than expected with Walhaan struggling

Sonoran or Harana could survive the pace if they secure ideal positions just behind a modest gallop and have enough left to hold off late challengers. Their class advantage over pure hold-up horses becomes decisive.

SonoranHaranaDiamond ExchangeCoul Dreamer

Front Runner Dominates

10% probability

If Diamond Exchange gets an uncontested lead with Walhaan pulled up early

The Jessica Harrington filly could dictate terms and prove too classy for this field, using her recent C&D form advantage. Her progressive profile suggests she can handle the pressure of leading throughout.

Diamond ExchangePillar Of HopeWalhaanLough Leane

Pace Collapses Completely

5% probability

If both main pace-setters are pulled up or fade dramatically early

The race becomes a sprint finish from the back with the most talented hold-up horse winning. Elusive Duke's long absence becomes less relevant in a slowly-run affair.

Elusive DukeLahore Da KingCooley's MistGotta Catch'em All

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Diamond Exchange could get uncontested lead if Walhaan struggles early, making her very dangerous

WATCH

Booyea's reapplication of cheekpieces combined with strong early pace creates winning conditions for him

WATCH

Molto Amichi needed his comeback run and this drop in grade suits his hold-up style perfectly

NOTE

Walhaan's recent hurdle form suggests stamina concerns that could see him fade or be pulled up

NOTE

Majestic King faces quick turnaround after impressive Gowran win just three days ago

8:30 — Leopardstown Premier Lounge Handicap

1m · Good To Soft · HCAP · 17 runners

Two And Two likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Only One Scobie led; the map had Two And Two in front.

Only One Scobie won at 26.00 — led, where the map had it raced midfield.

2 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Two And Two

Prominent · 4

AlmeiydaDown The GlenNicky LarsonGlamazon

Midfield · 7

ChiracWicklow GapNo More HidingDe SongbirdOnly One ScobieCamecloseBalance Of Trade

Hold Up · 5

Jp's ExpressThemisLove OrchidCosmic FunkBear Right

Two And Two is the sole confirmed front-runner and will set his own agenda from the gates, likely joined by prominent racers Glamazon, Almeiyda, Nicky Larson and Down The Glen in the early positions. With 12 of the 17 runners holding up or racing in midfield, there's significant pressure building behind what should be a moderate early pace. The yielding ground will make it harder for the large hold-up contingent to make up ground in the straight, creating a traffic jam scenario. This pace shape strongly favours prominent racers and those who can get early position, as the sheer volume of hold-up horses will struggle to find racing room when the pace lifts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Racers Dominate

65% probability

If the moderate early pace allows prominent runners to conserve energy while hold-up horses get caught behind traffic.

Two And Two sustains his lead while Glamazon, Almeiyda and Nicky Larson finish strongly having avoided the scramble behind. The yielding ground aids stamina over speed, suiting those who race handily.

Two And TwoNicky LarsonGlamazonAlmeiyda

Hold-Up Traffic Jam

20% probability

If the large pack of hold-up horses creates a wall of traffic in the straight as they all look for gaps simultaneously.

Chirac and Cosmic Funk get clear runs but most hold-up runners are trapped behind faltering leaders. The prominent racers maintain their advantage as the chasers can't get into contention.

ChiracDown The GlenTwo And TwoCosmic Funk

Late Surge Success

10% probability

If the pace collapses completely and the hold-up brigade gets a perfect passage through.

Balance Of Trade and Wicklow Gap benefit from their recent strong-finishing efforts, while the early leaders fade on the testing ground. Clean runs allow the closers to demonstrate their stamina.

Balance Of TradeWicklow GapCosmic FunkChirac

Pace Collapse Upset

5% probability

If Two And Two goes too fast early and prominent runners also commit too soon.

The race becomes a staying test where lightly-weighted hold-up horses with stamina prove best. This scenario requires significant pace pressure that seems unlikely given the setup.

Love OrchidJp's ExpressBalance Of TradeThemis

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Two And Two could get an uncontested lead with no other confirmed front-runners, making him very hard to peg back

WATCH

Traffic problems in straight as 12 hold-up/midfield runners all converge at once looking for racing room

NOTE

Balance Of Trade showed improved form when getting clear run on Monday after slow start, similar scenario possible

WATCH

Wide draws affecting De Songbird, Jp's Express and Wicklow Gap in large field where early position crucial

NOTE

First-time equipment changes on Love Orchid (cheekpieces) and Cameclose (cheekpieces for blinkers) worth monitoring

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 4 June 2026.

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