4:43

Archive›Limerick · 10 June 2026

Limerick

10 June 2026 · 8 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →
4:43 — Limerick Optional Claiming Race
1m4f · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 12 runners
Peace Walk to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Kakori and Glendower led; the map had Peace Walk in front.

Merlin The Wizard won at 3.25 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Peace Walk
Prominent · 2
WolfpackDreamed To Dream
Midfield · 5
GlendowerBlackjack HillsTaj CrownTimandiZammawar
Hold Up · 4
Tyson FuryMerlin The WizardMetamorphicKakori
Peace Walk will attempt to lead this field but faces little early pressure from a field dominated by hold-up horses and a few prominent runners in Dreamed To Dream and Wolfpack. The pace will be sustainable rather than testing, with the majority of the 12-runner field settling in behind and looking to make late moves. This tactical setup strongly favours horses that can quicken from off the pace, as the lack of pace pressure will allow closers to wind up effectively in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Slow Pace Suits Closers
60% probability
If Peace Walk gets an uncontested lead and sets steady fractions
The lack of early pace allows hold-up horses to conserve energy and unleash strong finishing kicks. Tyson Fury and Wolfpack benefit most from this tactical scenario given their class advantage.
Tyson FuryWolfpackMerlin The WizardMetamorphic
B
Moderate Tempo Emerges
25% probability
If Dreamed To Dream or Wolfpack press Peace Walk early to create genuine pace
A more honest gallop plays into the hands of horses that can travel prominently and maintain their position. This suits the Gordon Elliott-trained Wolfpack who has shown he can win when getting the right race setup.
WolfpackTyson FuryPeace WalkGlendower
C
Front Runner Dominates
10% probability
If Peace Walk gets soft fractions and kicks clear turning for home
The returning front-runner capitalises on ring-rustiness behind him and his 608-day absence becomes irrelevant. His early career form suggests he had ability before being campaigned in handicaps beyond his rating.
Peace WalkBlackjack HillsTyson FuryMetamorphic
D
Chaos and Interference
5% probability
If the large field and mix of inexperienced horses creates trouble in running
Several runners get hampered or forced wide, allowing an outsider to benefit from a clear passage. The apprentice riders on Dreamed To Dream and Zammawar could contribute to scrimmaging.
Taj CrownKakoriGlendowerTimandi

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHPeace WalkRPR71Wolfpackt · RPR92Dreamed To DreamRPR80Glendowert · RPR68Blackjack Hillsb · RPR62Taj Crownv · RPR59TimandiRPR73ZammawarRPR44Tyson Furyp · RPR94Merlin The Wiza…RPR75Metamorphict · RPR68KakoriRPR685. Peace Walk2. Wolfpack6. Dreamed To Dream7. Glendower8. Blackjack Hills9. Taj Crown10. Timandi11. Zammawar1. Tyson Fury3. Merlin The Wizard4. Metamorphic12. Kakori
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Peace Walk could steal this if given uncontested lead after 608-day absence
WATCH
Watch for trouble in running with 12 runners and three apprentice jockeys aboard
NOTE
Tyson Fury's class advantage could be decisive if he gets clear run from off the pace
WATCH
Several runners including Wolfpack and Blackjack Hills have shown tendency to fade late
NOTE
Ground may be softer than ideal for Glendower who showed best form on quicker surfaces
5:13 — Conference & Banqueting Facilities @ Limerick Handicap
1m4f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 19 runners
Leeward likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Femme Beauty and The Holy Apostle led; the map had Leeward in front.

Lord Aus won at 2.88 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Leeward
Prominent · 2
DelusionalBrave Approach
Midfield · 10
Lord AusGlen EchoRetro GalFemme BeautyAmethyst StoneCelestiallyRoyal SapphirePoint CartwrightSofi's GiftCurious Jane
Hold Up · 6
ServareCascade CanyonBlissful BonitaKirkland SiouxChestnut PalaceThe Holy Apostle
Leeward represents the only confirmed front runner in this 19-runner field and should get an easy lead without pace pressure. The prominent runners like Delusional and Brave Approach will sit handy but won't challenge early, while the majority are hold-up performers who need cover and late room. This sets up a classic scenario where the pace will be steady early before quickening, creating a searching test over the final 3f on good-to-soft ground. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late finishing kicks, as they'll benefit from the modest early gallop and have tactical advantage with so many runners needing the same trip.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Hold-Up Brigade Dominates
65% probability
If the early pace remains steady and the field stays bunched turning for home
The lack of early pace pressure allows hold-up horses to get into perfect striking positions before unleashing late runs. Horses like Lord Aus, Femme Beauty and Delusional benefit from the tactical setup and superior finishing kicks.
Lord AusFemme BeautyDelusionalPoint Cartwright
B
Front Runner Steals It
20% probability
If Leeward gets away with very soft fractions and kicks clear entering the straight
The uncontested leader builds an unassailable advantage while the hold-up horses are still organizing behind. Leeward's stamina comes into play over this extended trip despite his finishing concerns.
LeewardServareCascade CanyonThe Holy Apostle
C
Prominent Press Benefits
12% probability
If Delusional or other forward runners apply earlier pressure to Leeward
The increased pace stretches the field and suits horses positioned prominently who can strike before the back-markers get organized. This scenario favours the few horses able to race handily without needing cover.
DelusionalBrave ApproachServareKirkland Sioux
D
Traffic Chaos Decides
3% probability
If the large field creates significant interference problems in the straight
Poor draws and traffic issues eliminate several fancied runners, allowing an outsider with a clear run to capitalize. This chaotic finish suits any horse getting a dream passage through the pack.
Amethyst StoneRetro GalCelestiallyPoint Cartwright

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHLeewardRPR61Delusionalv · RPR71Brave ApproachRPR74Lord Ausp · RPR70Glen EchoRPR66Retro GalRPR64Femme Beautyt · RPR72Amethyst StoneRPR69Celestiallyp · RPR73Royal SapphireRPR63Point CartwrightRPR67Sofi's GiftRPR70Curious JaneRPR69ServareRPR75Cascade CanyonRPR70Blissful Bonitap · RPR70Kirkland SiouxRPR60Chestnut Palacep · RPR77The Holy ApostleRPR715. Leeward3. Delusional6. Brave Approach1. Lord Aus7. Glen Echo8. Retro Gal2. Femme Beauty9. Amethyst Stone10. Celestially11. Royal Sapphire4. Point Cartwright12. Sofi's Gift13. Curious Jane14. Servare15. Cascade Canyon16. Blissful Bonita17. Kirkland Sioux18. Chestnut Palace19. The Holy Apostle
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Leeward must be monitored closely for any early pressure as he's the only pace angle and could steal this if uncontested
WATCH
Traffic problems are inevitable with 19 runners over 1m4f at Limerick, watch for horses drawn wide or needing room
NOTE
Lord Aus and Delusional both showed improvement last time and represent the main dangers to favorites
WATCH
Several horses including Femme Beauty have stamina doubts at 1m4f based on recent evidence
NOTE
The going has been consistent as Good To Yielding all day, favoring horses with proven form on similar surfaces
5:50 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
1m · Good To Soft · MDN · 14 runners
Res Ipsa to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Stable Lane led; the map had Res Ipsa in front.

Res Ipsa won at 1.20 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Res Ipsa
Prominent · 1
Stable Lane
Midfield · 8
Willie's MillShorten The WinterPimlico PiranhaCamino LadI Carry You HomeSix WingsPoet's WillowShay's Dream
Hold Up · 4
Henry HudsonRoman SandsFootstepstogloryHighwayman
Res Ipsa stands alone as the only confirmed front-runner in this 14-runner maiden, giving him an uncontested lead from the gates. With most rivals adopting hold-up tactics and only Stable Lane showing prominent tendencies, the pace will be controlled and sustainable early. The lack of pace pressure allows Res Ipsa to dictate fractions before the field converges in the final 2-3 furlongs. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems behind.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Uncontested Leader Dominates
45% probability
If Res Ipsa gets easy fractions and maintains his kick
His Frankel breeding and previous second suggest he can sustain the gallop when the field closes. The combination of tactical advantage and superior ability should prove decisive.
Res IpsaCamino LadPimlico PiranhaStable Lane
B
Prominent Tracker Pounces
30% probability
If Stable Lane or a debutant tracks the leader closely
They avoid the scramble behind while staying within striking distance of Res Ipsa. Superior fitness or natural ability allows them to reel in the leader in the final furlong.
Stable LaneShorten The WinterRes IpsaWillie's Mill
C
Hold-Up Horses Find Gaps
15% probability
If the pace becomes genuinely slow and hold-up runners get clear runs
The patient tactics pay off as they sweep past tiring leaders with sustained finishing kicks. Traffic problems are minimal and the best horses rise to the top.
Henry HudsonI Carry You HomeCamino LadPimlico Piranha
D
Debutant Surprise Package
10% probability
If one of the newcomers shows exceptional natural ability
Raw talent overcomes tactical disadvantage as a well-bred newcomer powers through despite the unfavourable race shape. Breeding tells in the closing stages.
Willie's MillPimlico PiranhaShorten The WinterRes Ipsa

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHRes Ipsat · RPR86Stable LaneRPR65Willie's MillRPR-Shorten The Win…RPR-Pimlico PiranhaRPR-Camino LadRPR-I Carry You HomeRPR68Six Wingst · RPR27Poet's Willowt · RPR25Shay's DreamRPR8Henry HudsonRPR65Roman SandsRPR54FootstepstogloryRPR48HighwaymanRPR291. Res Ipsa4. Stable Lane5. Willie's Mill6. Shorten The Winter3. Pimlico Piranha2. Camino Lad7. I Carry You Home8. Six Wings9. Poet's Willow10. Shay's Dream11. Henry Hudson12. Roman Sands13. Footstepstoglory14. Highwayman
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Res Ipsa breaks cleanly and dictates uncontested fractions - any early pressure could compromise his stamina reserves
WATCH
Traffic develops behind the leaders in the final 2f as multiple hold-up horses converge simultaneously
NOTE
Debutants Camino Lad and Pimlico Piranha for market moves indicating significant ability on breeding
WATCH
Stable Lane handles the sharp drop in trip from 1m4f to 1m on turf debut for new surface
NOTE
I Carry You Home for signs of improvement after 326-day absence with strong O'Brien booking
6:20 — Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Memorial Handicap
1m · Good To Soft · HCAP · 10 runners
Lead contested: Pierre Royal v Fast TaraHISTORIC

How it ran

Earls led; the map had Pierre Royal and Fast Tara in front.

Monvoe won at 2.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
Pierre RoyalFast Tara
Prominent · 4
Noli TimereRoyal SaxoFlame Of ForestDragon Of Malta
Midfield · 1
Highbury See See
Hold Up · 3
MonvoeEarlsCalm The Jets
Pierre Royal and Fast Tara will contest the early lead, with Fast Tara's recent race sharpness giving her the edge to dictate terms. Four horses wanting prominent positions (Royal Saxo, Noli Timere, Flame Of Forest, Dragon Of Malta) will create congestion behind the leaders, while the hold-up brigade (Earls, Calm The Jets, Highbury See See, Monvoe) faces a traffic nightmare. Fast Tara's honest gallop will string them out, but the prominent runners risk getting shuffled back when the pace lifts. This race shape strongly favours horses that can secure an untroubled position either on the pace or with clear running room - tactical speed trumps pure finishing kick.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Front Runners Control
45% probability
If Pierre Royal and Fast Tara get away with soft fractions early
The leaders dictate throughout and one stays on strongly, as the hold-up horses struggle to make ground through traffic. Fast Tara's recent form edge and race fitness prove decisive over Pierre Royal's 370-day absence.
Fast TaraPierre RoyalRoyal SaxoNoli Timere
B
Prominent Traffic Chaos
30% probability
If the four prominent runners get shuffled back in the congestion 2f out
Royal Saxo or Noli Timere find clear water when others are stopped, exploiting their class advantage. The French-trained Royal Saxo's superior rating tells when getting a smooth passage.
Royal SaxoNoli TimereFast TaraMonvoe
C
Hold-up Hero Emerges
15% probability
If Monvoe gets the splits perfectly timed by his 7lb claimer
The progressive 3-year-old's recent C&D win and lightweight burden allow him to power through late. His two recent victories show he's peaking while others have question marks.
MonvoeEarlsFast TaraRoyal Saxo
D
Pace Collapse Finish
10% probability
If both leaders go too fast early and tie up in the final furlong
The race becomes a sprint from the 2f pole favouring horses with tactical speed rather than pure stamina. Flame Of Forest's 7f speed or Dragon Of Malta's Listowel record could surface.
Flame Of ForestDragon Of MaltaHighbury See SeeCalm The Jets

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHPierre RoyalRPR93Fast Taratv · RPR92Noli Timerep · RPR93Royal SaxoRPR95Flame Of ForestRPR96Dragon Of Maltatb · RPR94Highbury See SeeRPR93MonvoeRPR92Earlstb · RPR94Calm The JetsRPR882. Pierre Royal1. Fast Tara4. Noli Timere3. Royal Saxo5. Flame Of Forest6. Dragon Of Malta7. Highbury See See8. Monvoe9. Earls10. Calm The Jets
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Pierre Royal's 370-day absence could see him blow up badly if forced to make the running from the start
WATCH
Watch for traffic problems affecting Royal Saxo, Noli Timere, Flame Of Forest and Dragon Of Malta when the pace lifts 2f out
WATCH
Monvoe needs Reese Holohan to time his challenge perfectly from the back as the 7lb claimer lacks experience in these tactics
NOTE
Fast Tara's jumping from Listed class to handicap company could produce a bold front-running display if getting easy fractions
NOTE
Earls may find this more competitive than his Roscommon second suggests, with the veteran needing everything to fall right
6:50 — Twilight Summer Racing @ Limerick Handicap
1m · Good To Soft · HCAP · 19 runners
Out On Friday to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Hexagonal led; the map had Out On Friday in front.

Java Wood won at 7.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

5 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Out On Friday
Prominent · 5
ArdeurHexagonalOhmaliMagsGenuine Jim
Midfield · 7
Java WoodRobot RockJasmine AffanalisBella ColombiaMythical RockFriars GateNotforalongtime
Hold Up · 6
Goofy GanderUsuario AmigoPerfect JudgementBucaneer's SpiritFaire La NoubaLady Arwen
Out On Friday is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 19-runner handicap and should dictate terms without pressure early. With limited pace pressure from Ardeur, Hexagonal and Ohmali who may sit prominently, Out On Friday can control the gallop through steady fractions. The lack of natural pace in a big field will create a tactical affair with hold-up horses like Bucaneer's Spirit, Usuario Amigo, and Jasmine Affanalis getting ideal positioning behind the pace. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and late closers who can exploit the sustainable pace and produce finishing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Controlled Pace Finish
65% probability
If Out On Friday sets uncontested fractions and the field bunches up turning for home
The lack of early pace allows hold-up horses to get perfect trips and unleash finishing kicks in the final two furlongs. Late runners with tactical speed have every chance to swamp the leaders.
Bucaneer's SpiritJasmine AffanalisUsuario AmigoJava Wood
B
Prominent Tracker Success
20% probability
If Ardeur or Hexagonal press Out On Friday enough to quicken the pace slightly
The moderate pace increase still favours those tracking the leaders who can kick clear before the hold-up horses fully wind up. Prominent racers get first run on the field.
OhmaliPerfect JudgementHexagonalArdeur
C
Leader Capitalises
10% probability
If Out On Friday's connections recognise the lack of pace and inject tempo mid-race
The veteran front-runner uses experience to control when the race begins in earnest, kicking clear before hold-up horses can respond. His stamina over longer trips proves decisive.
Out On FridayHexagonalArdeurOhmali
D
Pace Collapse Sprint
5% probability
If the pace becomes crawling and the field remains tightly bunched until the final furlong
The race becomes a lottery sprint finish where positioning and luck matter more than ability. Any horse with a clear run can grab it in a desperate finish.
Lady ArwenBella ColombiaPerfect JudgementMythical Rock

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHOut On FridayRPR74ArdeurRPR74Hexagonaltp · RPR75OhmaliRPR76Magsh · RPR69Genuine JimRPR68Java WoodRPR73Robot Rockt · RPR70Jasmine Affanal…RPR73Bella ColombiaRPR71Mythical Rockp · RPR73Friars Gatetp · RPR74Notforalongtimep · RPR73Goofy Ganderh · RPR63Usuario AmigoRPR75Perfect Judgeme…p · RPR76Bucaneer's Spir…p · RPR76Faire La NoubaRPR77Lady ArwenRPR765. Out On Friday6. Ardeur7. Hexagonal8. Ohmali9. Mags10. Genuine Jim4. Java Wood11. Robot Rock2. Jasmine Affanalis12. Bella Colombia13. Mythical Rock14. Friars Gate15. Notforalongtime16. Goofy Gander3. Usuario Amigo17. Perfect Judgement1. Bucaneer's Spirit18. Faire La Nouba19. Lady Arwen
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Out On Friday could get uncontested lead and prove hard to peg back if Wesley Joyce judges pace correctly
WATCH
Watch for slow starts from Goofy Gander and Robot Rock which could prove costly in tactical race
NOTE
Bucaneer's Spirit and Jasmine Affanalis are the two form hold-up horses best suited to exploit the pace
WATCH
Wide draws for Ohmali and Robot Rock require tactical speed to get good positions from poor starting berths
NOTE
Perfect Judgement needs clear run from hold-up position after being hampered by loose horse last time
7:20 — Cosgrave Transport Handicap (Div I)
7f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 14 runners
Linger For Longer to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lorr's Girl and James Henry led; the map had Linger For Longer in front.

Imnotleavinyou won at 8.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Linger For Longer
Prominent · 4
VerhoyenJazzy DancerCarvalhalBright Image
Midfield · 5
Oxford CircusShe's On The BallBeau ArmyLorr's GirlHalf Nutz
Hold Up · 4
James HenryRacing RoyaltyImnotleavinyouShelbourne Flyer
Linger For Longer is the sole confirmed front-runner and will set the tempo uncontested through the early furlongs. With Verhoyen, Jazzy Dancer, Carvalhal and Bright Image providing prominent support, a moderate pace develops as the field bunches approaching the turn. The lack of early pressure allows the pace to quicken gradually rather than collapse dramatically in the closing stages. This measured tempo strongly favours hold-up horses who can pick off tired leaders, particularly those with proven finishing kicks like Imnotleavinyou and James Henry.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Hold-Up Horses Dominate
55% probability
If the early pace remains steady and quickens gradually from 3f out
The moderate tempo allows closers to position perfectly and unleash their finishing speed when it matters most. Horses like Imnotleavinyou and James Henry thrive when able to time their challenges precisely.
ImnotleavinyouJames HenryShelbourne FlyerOxford Circus
B
Prominent Runners Strike
25% probability
If Verhoyen or Jazzy Dancer track the pace and kick clear approaching the final furlong
Their tactical positioning proves decisive as they avoid traffic problems while maintaining striking distance throughout. The steady gallop suits horses who can quicken from handy positions without needing room to manoeuvre.
VerhoyenJazzy DancerCarvalhalBright Image
C
Linger Leads Throughout
12% probability
If no serious challenge materializes to Linger For Longer's early dominance
The mare gets an easy time in front and reserves enough energy to repel late challengers up the straight. Her proven front-running ability becomes decisive when the pace doesn't collapse completely.
Linger For LongerHalf NutzBeau ArmyRacing Royalty
D
Surprise Breakthrough Performance
8% probability
If the moderate pace becomes a sprint and catches form horses napping
Improving types like Oxford Circus or Beau Army benefit from the tactical nature and grab places from horses expected to do better. Fresh legs and lower expectations prove advantageous when established runners fail to fire.
Oxford CircusBeau ArmyShe's On The BallLorr's Girl

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHLinger For Long…RPR60Verhoyenb · RPR63Jazzy Dancerp · RPR61CarvalhalRPR65Bright Imaget · RPR64Oxford Circusp · RPR64She's On The Ba…RPR56Beau ArmyRPR56Lorr's GirlRPR65Half NutzRPR54James HenryRPR64Racing Royaltyb · RPR63Imnotleavinyout · RPR66Shelbourne FlyerRPR645. Linger For Longer6. Verhoyen7. Jazzy Dancer8. Carvalhal9. Bright Image4. Oxford Circus10. She's On The Ball11. Beau Army12. Lorr's Girl13. Half Nutz2. James Henry14. Racing Royalty1. Imnotleavinyou3. Shelbourne Flyer
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Imnotleavinyou has been runner-up in three consecutive starts and the softer ground should suit her staying-on style perfectly
WATCH
Linger For Longer could steal this if allowed uncontested fractions early, as front-runners often prosper when not pressured
NOTE
James Henry returns from a year's absence but showed promise when third last time and holds strong each-way claims
WATCH
Verhoyen's 100th career start suggests he's fully wound up, and his Fairyhouse sixth gives him solid recent form
NOTE
The 7f trip on good-to-soft ground should favour horses with proven stamina rather than pure speed merchants
7:50 — Cosgrave Transport Handicap (Div II)
7f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 14 runners
Harry Longabaugh to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Methgal led; the map had Harry Longabaugh in front.

Unfamiliar won at 8.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

7 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Harry Longabaugh
Prominent · 2
Queen Of NewarkUnfamiliar
Midfield · 7
DinamineExceedingPick A WindowSosperiTynamiteRun Forrest RunGobi Star
Hold Up · 4
Zabriskie PointMethgalGreen IconConcaire
Harry Longabaugh is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 14-runner handicap, meaning he can dictate terms without pressure through steady fractions on good to soft ground. With most runners holding up or racing in midfield, the early pace will be comfortable, allowing Harry Longabaugh to string out the field. The lack of pace pressure creates a scenario where the leader can kick clear in the straight before the hold-up horses can mount their challenges. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and the lone front-runner, as the soft pace will blunt the finishing kick of the many hold-up horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Leader Dictates Terms
55% probability
If Harry Longabaugh gets uncontested fractions and maintains his kick
The comfortable pace allows him to establish a winning margin before late closers can respond. Hold-up horses face an impossible task as the race becomes a procession.
Harry LongabaughUnfamiliarQueen Of NewarkMethgal
B
Prominent Tracker Strikes
25% probability
If a prominent runner like Unfamiliar or Queen Of Newark can track the leader and outstay him
They benefit from the steady pace while avoiding the traffic problems that will hamper the many hold-up horses. The tactical advantage of racing handy proves decisive.
UnfamiliarQueen Of NewarkHarry LongabaughConcaire
C
Hold-Up Horse Finds Gap
12% probability
If the pace collapses completely and one hold-up horse gets a perfect run through
A horse like Exceeding or Dinamine could exploit late gaps if the leader stops quickly. The soft ground may help their stamina kick in the final furlong.
ExceedingDinamineMethgalConcaire
D
Pace Collapse Scramble
8% probability
If Harry Longabaugh fades badly and multiple hold-up horses converge together
The race becomes a messy sprint finish where any of the many closers could prevail on a day when nothing goes to plan. Class could tell in a tight finish.
Zabriskie PointGreen IconSosperiTynamite

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHHarry LongabaughRPR63Queen Of NewarkRPR69UnfamiliarRPR65DinamineRPR67ExceedingRPR62Pick A WindowRPR56Sosperib · RPR64TynamiteRPR64Run Forrest RunRPR63Gobi StarRPR61Zabriskie Pointv · RPR66Methgaltb · RPR64Green IconRPR63Concaireh · RPR641. Harry Longabaugh3. Queen Of Newark2. Unfamiliar5. Dinamine6. Exceeding7. Pick A Window8. Sosperi9. Tynamite10. Run Forrest Run11. Gobi Star12. Zabriskie Point4. Methgal13. Green Icon14. Concaire
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Harry Longabaugh must be watched closely in the betting as his front-running monopoly creates a significant tactical edge that the market may underestimate
WATCH
Monitor how aggressively the prominent runners Unfamiliar and Queen Of Newark position themselves, as sitting too far back negates their style advantage
NOTE
Watch for any market moves on Exceeding given his unlucky run last time and proven ability to find improvement
WATCH
Check if any hold-up horses show early urgency to get closer, as breaking their natural pattern could indicate connections fear the pace scenario
NOTE
Observe the behaviour of returning Sosperi with first-time blinkers after his long absence, as any market confidence would be telling
8:20 — Racing Again On June 19th Handicap
2m1f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 16 runners
Autumn Twist likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Pass The Buck and Good Onya Mate led; the map had Autumn Twist in front.

Our Lucky Lady won at 2.88 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Autumn Twist
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 10
TatumQuiz TestMr RangoMiss AustralieLauderdale KingOur Lucky LadyEllaatAlmenfeeBynxSioux Grit
Hold Up · 5
RiyamiNod Of ApprovalLoyal TouchPass The BuckGood Onya Mate
This race lacks genuine pace with only Autumn Twist showing confirmed front-running tendencies, but even he typically sits prominent rather than leading throughout. The opening half-mile will be steady with Autumn Twist, Tatum and potentially Quiz Test settling in the first four, creating a tactical affair with most of the 16-runner field bunched behind. The real race begins from the 3f pole when the hold-up horses start making their moves on the Good To Yielding ground. This sustainable pace strongly favours hold-up horses and patient rides, as they'll have the most energy reserves for the final 2f surge.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Tactical Kick Battle
65% probability
If the pace stays moderate as expected with Autumn Twist not pressured early
The race becomes a sprint from 2f out with the strongest finishers prevailing, suiting horses that can quicken off the steady gallop. Hold-up specialists with proven stamina get first run on tiring leaders.
Our Lucky LadyMiss AustralieTatumQuiz Test
B
Early Pace Collapse
20% probability
If Autumn Twist goes too slow and the field gets backed up approaching halfway
The race turns into a messy cavalry charge with traffic problems favouring those racing wide or getting early position. Prominent racers avoid the worst of the interference.
Nod Of ApprovalTatumAutumn TwistLauderdale King
C
Strong Gallop Develops
10% probability
If Quiz Test or another forward horse pressures Autumn Twist to go faster than ideal
The genuine pace exposes stamina doubts and favours horses with proven staying power over this trip. Previous 2m+ winners and dual-purpose horses thrive.
EllaatBynxRiyamiMr Rango
D
Front Runner Dominates
5% probability
If Autumn Twist gets an uncontested lead and the field fails to close the gap
The pace-setter kicks clear approaching the final furlong and holds on, with only the fastest closers getting near. Sharp horses with turn of foot threaten late.
Autumn TwistOur Lucky LadyMiss AustralieTatum

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHAutumn TwistRPR79Tatumb · RPR73Quiz Testp · RPR74Mr RangoRPR74Miss AustralieRPR75Lauderdale KingRPR74Our Lucky Ladyh · RPR67EllaatRPR75Almenfeetp · RPR67BynxRPR73Sioux GritRPR70Riyamitp · RPR74Nod Of ApprovalRPR67Loyal Touchtp · RPR78Pass The Buckp · RPR68Good Onya MateRPR735. Autumn Twist3. Tatum4. Quiz Test6. Mr Rango2. Miss Australie7. Lauderdale King1. Our Lucky Lady8. Ellaat9. Almenfee10. Bynx11. Sioux Grit12. Riyami13. Nod Of Approval14. Loyal Touch15. Pass The Buck16. Good Onya Mate
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Autumn Twist could set too slow a pace early which would turn this into a messy sprint finish
WATCH
Our Lucky Lady racing off just 12 days turnaround after hurdles win may have stamina reserves depleted
NOTE
Quiz Test and Miss Australie both coming off recent wins and could be overbet in market
WATCH
Several hold-up horses including Pass The Buck and Good Onya Mate have shown tendencies to fade in the finish
NOTE
Track conditions described as Good To Yielding throughout the card should suit the patient hold-up horses

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 10 June 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →