Archive›Limerick · 28 May 2026

Limerick

28 May 2026 · 8 races

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4:40 — Daredevil Events Adrenaline Stunt Circus Maiden Hurdle

2m · Good · MDN · 21 runners

Lucky Vick likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Lureka Du Noyer led; the map had Lucky Vick in front.

Lureka Du Noyer won at 2.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 18 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Lucky Vick

Prominent · 3

Luker's TippleGame PointAnother Blunder

Midfield · 11

TellyouwhatLincoln MillDrumadeiseCarry On StarBallyminnion BoyGreat EntirelyMillion Dollar ManGod The HighnessKing MaxiosBlinding LightSeekthisfairland

Hold Up · 6

Kidam RoqueAdifferentballowaxLureka Du NoyerInchidaly RuaEuro AgentDenham Rock

Lucky Vick appears the lone confirmed front-runner in this weak maiden hurdle, with Luker's Tipple and Game Point likely to sit prominent behind him. With no genuine speed in the field and Lucky Vick making his hurdling debut, the pace will be pedestrian through the early stages before quickening from the second-last. The lack of pace pressure should create a tactical affair where horses with experience and tactical speed can overcome positioning. This race shape clearly favours prominent racers and those with a turn of foot who can strike late from midfield positions.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Experienced Class Tells

45% probability

If Luker's Tipple or Game Point travel smoothly into contention

The superior class and racecourse experience of these two will prove decisive in a slowly-run race where ability matters more than position. Their handlers know how to win these tactical affairs when pace is lacking.

Luker's TippleGame PointLureka Du NoyerLucky Vick

Hold-Up Specialists Strike

25% probability

If the pace becomes truly crawling and it becomes a sprint finish

Late-running horses like Lureka Du Noyer and Euro Agent can utilise their stamina and patience to outfinish tired leaders. The tactical nature allows patient rides to pay dividends when others have shot their bolt too early.

Lureka Du NoyerEuro AgentKidam RoqueAdifferentballowax

Front Runner Steals It

20% probability

If Lucky Vick gets an uncontested lead and jumps fluently

With no serious pace pressure, Lucky Vick could dictate terms and prove hard to catch despite his inexperience over hurdles. His bumper form suggests enough ability to take advantage of a weak field if left alone in front.

Lucky VickLuker's TippleGame PointLureka Du Noyer

Maiden Surprise Package

10% probability

If one of the newcomers shows unexpected improvement and jumping ability

Horses like Tellyouwhat or Drumadeise could spring a surprise if they possess more ability than their connections have revealed. Weak maidens often throw up shock results when the favourite fails to fire.

TellyouwhatDrumadeiseMillion Dollar ManGreat Entirely

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Lucky Vick could steal this if allowed an uncontested lead, watch for him dictating terms from the front

WATCH

Luker's Tipple's jumping and fitness after 159-day break, any market confidence would be significant

WATCH

Game Point's attitude problems from Flat racing, needs to show the same willing attitude as his Sligo debut

NOTE

Any late money for the newcomers Tellyouwhat or Drumadeise, particularly with their breeding backgrounds

NOTE

Lureka Du Noyer's jumping fluency after long break, his French experience could prove decisive in weak race

5:15 — Great National South Court Hotel And Dial A Bus Mares Maiden Hurdle

2m4f · Good · MDN · 16 runners

Doesthatmakesense likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Aruntothequeen led; the map had Doesthatmakesense in front.

La Cote Fleurie won at 1.73 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Doesthatmakesense

Prominent · 2

La Cote FleurieAruntothequeen

Midfield · 8

Pixie HillHumble BerkshireBecca SommersAn Bhfuil Tu ReidhChisel HillTillyiverEyecanboogieTawny Lea

Hold Up · 5

KnockarinaJessie RoeCertosaCarleys LillyArdeen Joy

Doesthatmakesense will likely lead from the start with no obvious speed to pressure her, allowing for a controlled gallop through the early and middle stages. La Cote Fleurie and Aruntothequeen are the main prominent racers who will track just behind, with the majority of this 16-runner field settling in midfield and rear positions. The pace will be genuine but not overly strong until the final half-mile when the holds-up horses begin their move. This pace shape strongly favours prominent racers and early positioned horses who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will emerge from the large field of mainly hold-up horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Doesthatmakesense maintains a steady pace without weakening dramatically

The early-positioned horses will have first run on the field and avoid the congestion behind, with La Cote Fleurie and Aruntothequeen ideally placed to strike. The hold-up brigade will struggle to find racing room and clear passages in time.

La Cote FleurieAruntothequeenDoesthatmakesenseBecca Sommers

Hold-Up Horse Finds Gap

25% probability

If the pace collapses significantly or traffic clears for one of the back markers

A well-ridden hold-up horse will benefit from the strong pace and time their run to perfection through a gap that opens. Ardeen Joy or Carleys Lilly could emerge late if connections judge the pace correctly.

Ardeen JoyCarleys LillyKnockarinaHumble Berkshire

Pace Collapse Benefits All

12% probability

If Doesthatmakesense stops quickly and no sustained pace develops

The race becomes a sprint finish where the best horse on the day wins regardless of tactics. This levels the playing field and allows any horse with ability to win, including the newcomers.

Becca SommersHumble BerkshireLa Cote FleurieAruntothequeen

Outsider Progression Story

8% probability

If one of the previous poor performers has improved significantly for new connections or schooling

The race becomes about hidden improvement rather than tactical positioning. Horses like Eyecanboogie or Knockarina returning from breaks could surprise if they've turned the corner.

KnockarinaEyecanboogieCertosaJessie Roe

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Doesthatmakesense may not sustain the gallop based on her fading pattern, potentially leaving no pace

WATCH

Traffic problems will be severe with 13+ hold-up horses requiring late gaps in a 16-runner field

NOTE

Market support for newcomers Becca Sommers and Humble Berkshire will indicate their readiness

NOTE

La Cote Fleurie's jumping on hurdles debut will determine if she can utilize her tactical advantage

WATCH

Ardeen Joy returning after 53-day break could be primed for improvement with Elliott's excellent strike-rate

5:50 — Irish Wire Products Ltd Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 19 runners

Ixigreczed to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Winter Carnival led; the map had Ixigreczed in front.

Larkins Lane won at 7.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

11 of 18 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ixigreczed

Prominent · 5

She'll Be KeptAmburanaWinter CarnivalSekifiJollie Cosmos

Midfield · 7

Boston BreezeThirsty WorkWings Of AfricaLost FeaturesBallinagaine GirlLake OkeechobeeLarkins Lane

Hold Up · 6

Let Him BGaoithe GloryRun For The BorderRanting And RavenNashville NotionsWhitewinewednesday

Ixigreczed stands alone as the confirmed front-runner and will face no early pressure from this field of predominantly hold-up horses. With 14 hold-up runners, 3 prominent types, and only She'll Be Kept offering potential early company, Ixigreczed can dictate terms unchallenged through steady fractions. The lack of pace pressure means the leader can conserve energy for the finish while the massive hold-up contingent gets strung out behind, creating a traffic nightmare in the straight. This race shape heavily favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the scramble, while hold-up horses face an uphill battle in a slowly-run affair.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

65% probability

If Ixigreczed gets an easy lead and maintains rhythm

The lack of pace pressure allows the leader to control the race completely, with hold-up horses unable to close the gap effectively in a slowly-run contest. Prominent racers get first run on the tiring leader while the majority struggle for racing room.

IxigreczedShe'll Be KeptAmburanaWinter Carnival

Prominent Racers Strike

20% probability

If She'll Be Kept or Amburana track the leader closely and time their move perfectly

The few prominent runners can position ideally behind the uncontested leader before delivering their challenge with tactical advantage. Hold-up horses remain disadvantaged by the lack of pace and crowded finish.

She'll Be KeptAmburanaJollie CosmosSekifi

Hold-Up Horse Finds Gap

12% probability

If the pace collapses completely and a strong finisher gets a clear run

A truly-run race allows one of the better hold-up types to overcome the tactical disadvantage through superior class or fitness. Traffic problems still eliminate most backmarkers from contention.

Let Him BRun For The BorderGaoithe GloryWhitewinewednesday

Pace Duel Develops

3% probability

If multiple horses challenge Ixigreczed early creating faster fractions

Unexpected pressure on the leader opens up the race for closers, though the running styles suggest this is highly unlikely. The tactical dynamic completely changes if genuine pace emerges.

Run For The BorderGaoithe GloryRanting And RavenLet Him B

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ixigreczed must be monitored for early pace - if challenged early the entire race dynamic changes

WATCH

She'll Be Kept and Amburana positioning crucial as only realistic pace pressers behind the leader

NOTE

Hold-up horses' jockeys committing too early due to lack of pace creating traffic problems

WATCH

Let Him B and Run For The Border need to overcome both class drop and wrong running style

NOTE

First-time headgear on Boston Breeze, Thirsty Work and Lake Okeechobee for potential improvement

6:20 — Irish Wire Products Ltd Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 19 runners

Not So Serious to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Qaasid won at 12.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

4 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Not So Serious

Prominent · 1

Hidalgo Des Mottes

Midfield · 11

GranlahanGeorginas JetGetaway HenryGo AvelCalm Flight AheadTantrum BoyCeltic CrossingLouloulessHob's AngelBackinabitGetaway Blondie

Hold Up · 6

QaasidMarian AvenueEvelynCoup d'EssayFriar HoganJetovango

Not So Serious is the only confirmed front runner in this 19-runner field and will get an easy lead with no pace pressure. The majority of the field are hold-up horses who will need to make their moves from the back as the pace quickens after the last hurdle. With such a weak early pace and a 2m4f trip that allows plenty of time for positioning, this becomes a tactical affair decided by who can produce the strongest finishing kick. This race shape clearly favours hold-up horses and those with proven finishing speed over the stamina-sapping distance.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tactical Hold-Up Battle

60% probability

If Not So Serious sets slow fractions and the field bunches up approaching the straight

The race becomes a sprint finish where horses with recent form and proven acceleration dominate over those returning from layoffs. Recent winners and placed horses like Marian Avenue and Hob's Angel can strike from their hold-up positions.

Marian AvenueHob's AngelEvelynQaasid

Early Leader Folds

25% probability

If Not So Serious gets headed early or fades turning for home under pressure

This opens up the race for prominent runners like Hidalgo Des Mottes to inherit a good position while hold-up horses struggle for room in the pack. The lack of genuine pace still favours those who can position closer to the action.

Hidalgo Des MottesGetaway HenryGeorginas JetJetovango

Slow Pace Suits Outsiders

10% probability

If the crawling pace allows weak form horses to stay competitive deep into the race

Horses with stamina concerns or poor recent form get a lifeline when the race lacks a proper gallop until very late. Long-priced runners with some historical ability can emerge from the pack.

BackinabitCeltic CrossingGranlahanFriar Hogan

Front Runner Survives

5% probability

If Not So Serious maintains his lead and the field fails to organise a strong challenge

The lack of pace pressure throughout allows the leader to dictate completely and kick clear when others are still organising their runs. This unlikely scenario requires the field to be particularly passive.

Not So SeriousCoup d'EssayCalm Flight AheadTantrum Boy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Not So Serious must be monitored for how easily he leads as the only pace angle - any pressure early could see him fold quickly

WATCH

Qaasid bears watching for market support given his flat ability and improvement shown last time despite long break

WATCH

Marian Avenue should be watched for how well he travels given his narrow defeat to an odds-on shot last time

NOTE

Watch Jetovango's jumping in first-time blinkers after his recent point-to-point pull-up on Sunday

NOTE

Monitor Hob's Angel for signs of vulnerability carrying 6lb more after her breakthrough win two weeks ago

6:50 — Easyfix Handicap Hurdle

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Marlpark to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Chemdawg led; the map had Marlpark in front.

Minella Diamond won at 3.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Marlpark

Prominent · 3

Minella DiamondSwelltimeWork Place

Midfield · 3

Committee MeetingAnother GlendaarsChemdawg

Hold Up · 3

CocovicKing Of The GreysTakarengo

Marlpark is the sole confirmed front runner and will set the early tempo uncontested, likely creating a sustainable gallop rather than a fierce pace. The prominent runners Minella Diamond and Swelltime will track the leader, with the bulk of the field sitting further back in hold-up positions including Chemdawg, Cocovic, and Committee Meeting. With limited early pace pressure on Marlpark, this should develop into a genuine staying test where horses need to travel strongly and finish resolutely over the final 3-4 furlongs. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce sustained finishing efforts, as the moderate early pace will leave plenty in reserve for a competitive finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

65% probability

If Marlpark sets an uncontested moderate pace as expected

The lack of early pressure creates ideal conditions for the numerous hold-up horses to close strongly, with fresh finishers sweeping past tired leaders. Chemdawg and Cocovic are perfectly positioned to exploit this scenario with their proven ability to finish fast from the rear.

ChemdawgCocovicMinella DiamondCommittee Meeting

Prominent Tracker Prevails

20% probability

If the moderate pace becomes a sprint finish where position matters

Minella Diamond or another prominent runner benefits from being close enough to kick when it matters but not having done the donkey work up front. The winner comes from those tracking Marlpark within 3-4 lengths throughout.

Minella DiamondSwelltimeChemdawgTakarengo

Front Runner Stays Strong

10% probability

If Marlpark's soft lead allows him to conserve energy for a strong finish

The lack of pressure enables the leader to dictate terms completely and prove hard to pass when the field comes to challenge. Marlpark uses his fitness advantage and tactical position to hold off late challengers.

MarlparkWork PlaceChemdawgMinella Diamond

Chaos Finish Benefits Outsider

5% probability

If the pace collapses completely creating a messy sprint where luck matters

The moderate gallop leaves multiple horses with chances turning for home, creating traffic problems and favoring those with clear runs. An unfancied runner like Another Glendaars or Committee Meeting profits from the confusion.

Another GlendaarsCommittee MeetingKing Of The GreysTakarengo

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Chemdawg carries an 8lb penalty for his recent Kilbeggan win but the rise might underestimate his improvement.

WATCH

Another Glendaars hasn't been seen for 530 days and any market support would be significant given the layoff.

NOTE

Marlpark gets an uncontested lead which transforms his chances if he can recapture his Clonmel winning form.

WATCH

Minella Diamond steps up significantly in class from maiden company just two weeks after his breakthrough success.

NOTE

Multiple hold-up horses including Cocovic and Committee Meeting return from long breaks needing the run.

7:20 — Frankie Dunworth Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

2m6f · Good · HCAP · 15 runners

Jack Inthe Jukebox likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sineads Fancy led; the map had Jack Inthe Jukebox in front.

Laska Du Breuil won at 9.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

2 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Jack Inthe Jukebox

Prominent · 3

Navy WavesJohn DixenSineads Fancy

Midfield · 7

Laska Du BreuilThe Sugarhill LadySpellacy's CrossThats AllLady AquarelleMoonshine GirlBarrowline

Hold Up · 4

CozoneWestern ModelEmbrace The DayBarryroe Madam

Jack Inthe Jukebox is the only confirmed front runner in this field of 15, giving him an uncontested lead in the early stages. With most runners adopting hold-up tactics and only Navy Waves and Sineads Fancy likely to race prominently, the pace will be modest through the first circuit. The lack of pace pressure will allow Jack Inthe Jukebox to dictate terms, but his tendency to fade in the finish creates opportunities for the strong contingent of hold-up horses to close late. This race shape strongly favours patient, staying types who can finish strongly up Limerick's testing hill.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Patient Closers Dominate

60% probability

If Jack Inthe Jukebox sets a steady pace without early pressure

The moderate gallop plays perfectly into the hands of the hold-up brigade who can unleash late kicks. Cozone, Western Model, and Barryroe Madam all possess the class and stamina to capitalise on this tactical setup.

CozoneWestern ModelBarryroe MadamThe Sugarhill Lady

Prominent Horses Strike

20% probability

If Navy Waves and Sineads Fancy press Jack Inthe Jukebox earlier than expected

The increased tempo stretches the field and favours horses racing closer to the pace who avoid traffic problems. Navy Waves' proven hill-climbing ability and Sineads Fancy's course-and-distance experience become crucial advantages.

Navy WavesSineads FancyThats AllSpellacy's Cross

Pace Collapse Benefits

12% probability

If Jack Inthe Jukebox completely fades turning in after setting crawling fractions

The race becomes a sprint finish where tactical position matters more than stamina, suiting horses with turn of foot. Moonshine Girl and Thats All can benefit from being closer to the pace when it matters.

Thats AllMoonshine GirlSpellacy's CrossThe Sugarhill Lady

Front Runner Shock

8% probability

If Jack Inthe Jukebox's new headgear combination transforms his finishing effort

He maintains his uncontested lead and kicks clear when the closers are still winding up. The lack of early pace pressure combined with improved resolution creates a surprise wire-to-wire victory.

Jack Inthe JukeboxNavy WavesCozoneWestern Model

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Jack Inthe Jukebox could steal this if his new tongue-tie and cheekpieces combination prevents his usual fade

WATCH

Navy Waves listed as non-runner but any late market moves suggest possible declarations

NOTE

Cozone and Western Model both returning from breaks but their class edge could prove decisive

WATCH

The large field of 15 could cause traffic problems for hold-up horses if the pace is too slow

NOTE

Embrace The Day, Lady Aquarelle and Barrowline all show fading tendencies that make them risky propositions

7:55 — Frankie Dunworth Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

2m6f · Good · HCAP · 14 runners

Je Suis likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Craic Eile led; the map had Je Suis in front.

Mickey Hulie won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Je Suis

Prominent · 4

RizeddaPoetic FocusCraic EileHead For Home

Midfield · 5

AnysignofhimLove Like ThisIsland McCooSomething SimpleQueen Kulina

Hold Up · 4

Doing It In StyleCharlie's GiftThe Striker DylanMickey Hulie

Je Suis will be the only confirmed front runner, setting a sustainable pace without early pressure from the 14-runner field. Poetic Focus, Craic Eile, Rizedda and Head For Home may track prominently, but most of this field comprises hold-up horses who will rely on late runs. The lack of pace pressure means Je Suis can dictate terms through the early stages, but with 10+ hold-up horses armed with finishing kicks over this stamina-testing 2m6f trip, the race strongly favours closers who can produce sustained runs from the back.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

65% probability

If Je Suis sets uncontested fractions and the field bunches turning for home

The lack of early pace allows closers to conserve energy before unleashing finishing kicks up the hill. Multiple hold-up horses converge late with The Striker Dylan, Charlie's Gift and Anysignofhim best positioned.

The Striker DylanCharlie's GiftIsland McCooLove Like This

Prominent tracker strikes

20% probability

If Poetic Focus or Rizedda can stalk Je Suis without over-racing

They get first run on the weakening leader while hold-up horses are still organising their challenges. Superior tactical position beats pure finishing speed over this demanding trip.

Poetic FocusRizeddaHead For HomeCraic Eile

Front runner survives

10% probability

If Je Suis maintains strong gallop and hold-up horses leave their runs too late

The sustainable early pace becomes a winning move as closers find the 2m6f trip stretching their stamina reserves. Je Suis holds on grimly from persistent trackers.

Je SuisCraic EilePoetic FocusMickey Hulie

Pace collapses completely

5% probability

If Je Suis weakens dramatically and prominent horses also fade

The race becomes a pure stamina test with only the strongest stayers prevailing from impossible positions. Class horses with proven stamina emerge from the pack.

Mickey HulieQueen KulinaSomething SimpleDoing It In Style

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Je Suis must be watched for early over-racing if any prominent horses challenge the pace-setting role

WATCH

Rizedda and Head For Home both show fading patterns in finishes which could be exposed over this trip

NOTE

The Striker Dylan and Rizedda face fitness concerns after lengthy absences of 210 and 243 days respectively

WATCH

Charlie's Gift has failed to build on his Sligo breakthrough and may struggle off this higher mark

NOTE

First-time cheekpieces on Doing It In Style and Queen Kulina could spark improved efforts from disappointing horses

8:30 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares INH Flat Race

2m · Good · DEFAULT · 11 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 28 May 2026.

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