Archive›Lingfield · 9 May 2026

Lingfield

9 May 2026 · 7 races

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12:55 — William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Standard · HCAP · 10 runners

Noble Horizon to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Cristo and Noble Horizon led, as the map showed.

Sweet Reward won at 3.25 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Noble Horizon

Prominent · 4

Twisting PhysicsSweet RewardMorcarWarning Sign

Midfield · 2

Double RedCristo

Hold Up · 3

TowerlandsYouthful KingSalamanca City

Noble Horizon will dictate terms from the front with no obvious early challengers for the lead. Sweet Reward, Twisting Physics, Morcar and Warning Sign will jostle for prominent positions behind the leader, creating a congested pack tracking the pace. The moderate early tempo should quicken from 3f out as the prominent group closes on Noble Horizon. This tactical setup strongly favours hold-up horses who can avoid the mid-race congestion and deliver late challenges once the prominent runners have committed.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the prominent pack applies sustained pressure from 3f out creating a messy finish

The early pace will be honest but not fierce, allowing closers to get into contention while the prominent runners get tangled up in traffic. Hold-up specialists can weave through beaten horses and time their challenges perfectly.

TowerlandsCristoSalamanca CityDouble Red

Prominent Position Perfect

25% probability

If Sweet Reward or Twisting Physics secure the ideal tracking position behind Noble Horizon

One of the prominent runners avoids the congestion and has first run on the leader turning for home. The winner comes from this tactical position with enough left to repel late challenges.

Sweet RewardTwisting PhysicsMorcarWarning Sign

Noble Horizon Stays Strong

12% probability

If the leader maintains a decisive advantage turning into the straight

Noble Horizon's uncontested lead proves insurmountable as the field leaves their challenges too late on the testing ground. The front-runner has enough in reserve to hold off all challengers despite the extended trip.

Noble HorizonSweet RewardTwisting PhysicsMorcar

Pace Collapses Completely

8% probability

If Noble Horizon sets pedestrian fractions and the field comes home in a bunch

The race becomes a sprint finish with little separation between runners entering the final furlong. Any horse with a turn of foot can prevail regardless of running style.

Salamanca CityDouble RedCristoYouthful King

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Noble Horizon's market support given the 210-day absence will reveal stable confidence in his fitness

WATCH

Sweet Reward and Twisting Physics both want prominent positions and could compromise each other's chances

NOTE

Cristo's headgear change to a pacifier suggests connections want him to settle better in hold-up role

WATCH

Morcar needs to bounce back from his latest poor effort to repeat last year's course success

NOTE

The 5lb and 7lb claiming jockeys on Sweet Reward and Warning Sign indicate connections managing expectations

1:28 — William Hill Oaks Trial Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

1m3½f · Standard · LST · 5 runners

Bloom likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Bloom led, as the map showed.

Cameo won at 4.33 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Bloom

Prominent · 1

Cameo

Midfield · 2

Amora QueenRomantic Symphony

Hold Up · 1

Prizeland

Bloom is the only confirmed front runner in this small field and should set an uncontested lead at a sustainable tempo over this stamina test. Romantic Symphony, Amora Queen, and Cameo are all prominent racers who will track behind without applying early pressure, while Prizeland is the sole hold-up horse starting from the rear. The lack of genuine pace pressure should create a tactical affair where the tempo builds gradually into a finish that tests stamina credentials. This race shape strongly favours the prominent racers who can position close enough to strike but avoid any late kick from the back.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Lead Holds

45% probability

If Bloom gets an easy lead and maintains a steady gallop throughout

The lack of early pace pressure allows the leader to conserve energy and resist late challenges over this stamina-sapping distance. Bloom's superior TopSpeed rating of 94 becomes decisive in a finish where positioning trumps pure acceleration.

BloomRomantic SymphonyAmora Queen

Prominent Pair Strike

30% probability

If Romantic Symphony and Amora Queen both track the leader perfectly and outstay her

The Godolphin and Johnston fillies can use their higher RPR ratings (109/110) to wear down Bloom in the final furlong. Their prominent style perfectly suits a race where early positioning is crucial but late stamina tells.

Romantic SymphonyAmora QueenBloomCameo

Hold-Up Horse Charges

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and creates a sprint finish

Prizeland can use her Derby-winning family stamina to power through a slowly-run race that becomes tactical. Her fresh condition (25 days off) and hold-up style could be lethal if the tempo becomes stop-start.

PrizelandRomantic SymphonyBloom

O'Brien Duo Control

10% probability

If both Bloom and Cameo work in tandem to control the race

The master trainer's two runners can dictate terms with Bloom leading and Cameo tracking, before the latter strikes late. This tactical deployment maximizes their chances by eliminating pace worries entirely.

CameoBloomRomantic SymphonyAmora Queen

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Bloom gets a soft lead through the first half-mile - she could prove unstoppable with uncontested fractions

WATCH

Monitor Romantic Symphony's position turning for home - if she's within two lengths she has the class to win

NOTE

Check Prizeland's early position - if she's closer than usual it suggests connections expect a truly-run race

WATCH

Observe the pace through the middle section - any slowdown dramatically improves the hold-up horse's chances

NOTE

Watch for Ryan Moore's tactics on Cameo - any aggressive move suggests she's better than recent form indicates

1:58 — William Hill Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings)

1m3½f · Standard · LST · 6 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Balzac and A Taste Of Glory led, as the map showed.

Maltese Cross won at 3.25 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Maho BayBalzacA Taste Of Glory

Prominent · 1

Bay Of Brilliance

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Isaac NewtonMaltese Cross

Maho Bay, Balzac, and A Taste Of Glory will ensure a strong early gallop in this small but competitive field, with all three having confirmed front-running tendencies. The pace will be honest throughout the 1m3½f trip, particularly with Maho Bay's authority from the front and Balzac's recent tactical speed. Isaac Newton and Maltese Cross will be held up off this pace by Moore and Marquand respectively, while Bay Of Brilliance sits prominent but not engaged early. This setup strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce sustained finishes, as the pace pressure will stretch the field and create opportunities for closers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Collapse

65% probability

If the three front runners (Maho Bay, Balzac, A Taste Of Glory) engage early and maintain strong fractions

The honest gallop will set up perfectly for the hold-up horses to deliver telling late runs. Isaac Newton and Maltese Cross, with their proven ability to finish strongly, will benefit most from this likely unfolding.

Isaac NewtonMaltese CrossBay Of BrillianceMaho Bay

Tactical Front Runner Wins

20% probability

If Maho Bay or Balzac can dictate fractions and kick clear in the straight

One of the classier front runners uses tactical speed to control the race and has enough left to resist late challenges. Maho Bay's recent authority or Balzac's versatility could prove decisive.

Maho BayBalzacIsaac NewtonMaltese Cross

Prominent Tracking Success

10% probability

If Bay Of Brilliance can sit handy and avoid the early pace battle

The Ralph Beckett runner gets the perfect trip tracking the leaders without engaging early, then outstays them in the final furlong. His two wins came when prominent, making this scenario plausible.

Bay Of BrillianceIsaac NewtonMaltese CrossMaho Bay

Pace Misjudged Completely

5% probability

If all three front runners go too slow early or A Taste Of Glory surprises with improved form

The race becomes a sprint finish where the lowest-rated runner's recent win gives him confidence. This would require significant pace misjudgment from the market leaders.

A Taste Of GloryBay Of BrillianceBalzacIsaac Newton

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Maho Bay and Balzac engaging in early speed battle could compromise both front runners' finishing kicks

WATCH

Bay Of Brilliance showing any signs of needed conditioning run after 194-day layoff in preliminary movements

NOTE

Isaac Newton's position turning for home - Moore needs to avoid being caught too far back if pace collapses quickly

WATCH

A Taste Of Glory attempting to match the class leaders for early speed despite significant ratings gap

NOTE

Track bias favoring any particular part of the course given good to firm conditions across all races today

2:40 — William Hill Chartwell Fillies' Stakes (Group 3)

7f · Standard · G3 · 8 runners

Copacabana Sands likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

La Brodeuse led; the map had Copacabana Sands in front.

Royal Velvet won at 2.38 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Copacabana Sands

Prominent · 2

Havana PuseyMandurah

Midfield · 3

Sunlit UplandsLa BrodeuseFouette

Hold Up · 2

Dash Of AzureRoyal Velvet

Copacabana Sands will take them along from the front with Mandurah (non-runner) out, leaving Havana Pusey as the main pace companion in a small field. The pace will be sustainable rather than scorching with only one confirmed front-runner and limited early pressure. This tactical scenario strongly favours hold-up horses who can deliver late kicks, as the pace-setters will have plenty left in the tank turning for home. The race shape clearly benefits closers and hold-up performers over early pace horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Closers Capitalize Late

60% probability

If Copacabana Sands sets uncontested fractions and the pace proves too slow for front-runners to sustain their advantage

The hold-up brigade get ideal conditions to unleash finishing kicks in the final two furlongs. Royal Velvet, Dash Of Azure and La Brodeuse can exploit the tactical advantage of racing off a steady pace.

Royal VelvetDash Of AzureLa BrodeuseFouette

Front Runner Dominance

25% probability

If Copacabana Sands uses her Group-level class to control the race and kick clear when challenged

With limited early pressure, she dictates terms throughout and has enough left to repel late challengers. Her Listed and Group 3 victories at this trip in Ireland prove her effectiveness when allowed to dominate.

Copacabana SandsHavana PuseyRoyal VelvetDash Of Azure

Prominent Tracker Wins

10% probability

If Havana Pusey tracks Copacabana Sands and times her challenge perfectly in the final furlong

The 6-year-old mare uses her experience to sit second throughout before striking late. Her recent Goodwood win shows she can capitalize when getting the right racing position.

Havana PuseyCopacabana SandsDash Of AzureRoyal Velvet

Pace Collapse Chaos

5% probability

If the early pace is so slow that it becomes a sprint finish where any horse can win regardless of position

The race becomes a lottery where tactical positioning matters less than raw finishing speed. Horses with natural pace like Sunlit Uplands can benefit from the chaotic finish.

Sunlit UplandsFouetteLa BrodeuseRoyal Velvet

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Copacabana Sands setting fractions that are too slow early, allowing the closers to swamp her in the final furlong

WATCH

Royal Velvet getting trapped behind horses in the straight after her recent Newmarket success showed she needs racing room

NOTE

La Brodeuse and Dash Of Azure showing any signs of ring-rustiness after their lengthy absences from the track

WATCH

The pace becoming genuinely slow early, turning this into a sprint finish where draw and luck-in-running become crucial

NOTE

Havana Pusey's positioning behind Copacabana Sands, as she needs to track the leader closely to time her challenge

3:15 — William Hill Each Way Extra Handicap

7½f · Standard · HCAP · 8 runners

Mr Swivell likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Foreseen led; the map had Mr Swivell in front.

Foreseen won at 19.00 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mr Swivell

Prominent · 2

ApotheosisDragon Leader

Midfield · 3

SwordThe Dragon KingForeseen

Hold Up · 2

Back In BlackChristian David

Mr Swivell will likely lead from the start with his prominent style, potentially joined early by Apotheosis and Dragon Leader who both show forward tendencies. With only one confirmed front-runner, Mr Swivell can dictate a comfortable pace without early pressure, allowing the large contingent of hold-up horses (Back In Black, Christian David, The Dragon King, Sword, Foreseen) to settle behind. The sustainable early gallop will create a tactical race where positioning becomes crucial in the straight. This pace setup strongly favours prominent runners and those with tactical speed who can position close to the pace, as the hold-up brigade may find themselves with too much to do if the tempo doesn't truly develop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Leaders

55% probability

If Mr Swivell dictates an even tempo without serious early challenges

The prominent runners maintain their positional advantage while the hold-up horses struggle to close the gap in time. Tactical pace and positioning trump raw finishing speed over this 7½f trip.

Mr SwivellApotheosisDragon LeaderChristian David

Strong Late Surge

25% probability

If the early pace becomes genuinely testing and spreads the field

The hold-up specialists find their finishing kicks more potent as the early pace-setters begin to tie up in the final furlong. Class and closing speed become the decisive factors.

Back In BlackSwordForeseenChristian David

Mid-Race Pressure Changes

12% probability

If Apotheosis or Dragon Leader challenge Mr Swivell before halfway

The increased tempo from 4f out creates the perfect setup for horses with tactical speed who can position just off the pace. Neither pure front-runners nor hold-up horses benefit optimally.

The Dragon KingChristian DavidApotheosisDragon Leader

Messy Scramble Finish

8% probability

If multiple prominent horses engage in early speed duels

The unsustainable early fractions completely change the complexion, allowing a patient outsider to pick up the pieces. Form and ratings become less relevant than race positioning.

ForeseenThe Dragon KingSwordBack In Black

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mr Swivell showing any signs of ring-rustiness after 224 days off as he's crucial to the pace development

WATCH

Christian David's ability to settle properly in blinkers as he can get keen and compromise his finishing kick

WATCH

The early battle between Apotheosis and Dragon Leader to track Mr Swivell as it could set up the race shape

NOTE

Back In Black's positioning from his draw as he needs to be handy enough to strike when the pace develops

NOTE

Sword's jumping and early alertness returning from such a long break in first-time hood for new connections

3:50 — William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap

7f · Standard · HCAP · 8 runners

Assaranca to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mystic Moment led; the map had Assaranca in front.

Assaranca won at 8.00 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Assaranca

Prominent · 3

Fresh FadeDagger StrikeOracle Mission

Midfield · 2

Mr WriterFrench Affair

Hold Up · 2

Mystic MomentHardy's Hero

Assaranca will make the running from stall with only Fresh Fade showing any inclination to lead, though she lacks early pace at 5f-6f. Oracle Mission, Mr Writer, Dagger Strike and French Affair will settle prominent behind the pace-setter, creating a reasonable gallop but nothing fierce with only one committed front-runner. The small field and single leader means moderate fractions early before quickening from 2f out as the prominent runners close. This tactical setup strongly favours the prominent racers who can track Assaranca and kick clear, rather than the hold-up horses who will struggle for a strong pace to aim at.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

60% probability

If the moderate early pace allows prominent horses to travel strongly and kick clear from 2f out

Oracle Mission, Dagger Strike and Mr Writer can track Assaranca perfectly before unleashing superior finishing kicks. Hardy's Hero and Mystic Moment will find insufficient pace to close the gap from their hold-up positions.

Oracle MissionDagger StrikeMr WriterFrench Affair

Front Runner Sustains

20% probability

If Assaranca maintains her advantage despite pressure from the prominent pack turning for home

Her light weight and recent good form at Epsom allows her to hold off challengers who leave their run fractionally late. The hold-up horses still struggle with insufficient pace to reel in the leaders.

AssarancaFrench AffairDagger StrikeMr Writer

Hold-Up Horses Rally

12% probability

If the prominent pack goes too hard trying to reel in Assaranca and tire in the final furlong

Hardy's Hero and Mystic Moment benefit from the stronger pace created by the early battle. Their class tells as they sweep past weakening leaders close home.

Hardy's HeroMystic MomentAssarancaOracle Mission

Pace Collapses Completely

8% probability

If Assaranca sets crawling fractions and no prominent horse wants to challenge until very late

The race becomes a sprint from the final 2f where pure speed matters most over tactical positioning. Fresh Fade's early pace becomes an asset in a slowly-run affair.

Fresh FadeFrench AffairAssarancaDagger Strike

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Assaranca breaks smartly and establishes clear lead before first bend as no other horse shows early speed

WATCH

Mr Writer pulls hard early and forces Daniel Muscutt into restraining battle that compromises his finishing kick

NOTE

Hardy's Hero gets further back than ideal if the early pace stays moderate around the bend

WATCH

Dagger Strike's new cheekpieces cause him to race keener than usual in the early stages

NOTE

Oracle Mission shows any signs of needing the run after his lengthy absence since December

4:25 — William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Handicap

5f · Standard · HCAP · 9 runners

Lead contested: Birkenhead v So SmartHISTORIC

How it ran

Faustus led; the map had Birkenhead and So Smart in front.

Harry Brown won at 10.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

BirkenheadSo Smart

Prominent · 2

FaustusDesert Champion

Midfield · 2

My Boy HarryHarry Brown

Hold Up · 3

Tuscan PointMaharajas ExpressShalaa Asker

Birkenhead and So Smart are confirmed front-runners who will contest the early lead, with Faustus and Desert Champion likely to press from prominent positions. The pace will be honest but not suicidal over this short trip, with the leaders setting a decent gallop before the field compacts turning for home. The relatively small field means pace won't be extreme, but the good to firm ground will allow sustained speed throughout. This race shape favours prominent racers and strong finishers who can position handy and kick, rather than pure front-runners or horses needing to come from too far back.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Pace Benefits

45% probability

If Birkenhead and So Smart go quick early and maintain pressure

The honest gallop will stretch the field and favour horses with tactical speed who can sit close and finish strongly. Tuscan Point and Maharajas Express can benefit from the strong pace.

Tuscan PointMaharajas ExpressShalaa AskerFaustus

Front Runner Dominates

30% probability

If one of the pace-setters gets an easy lead and kicks clear

So Smart showed last year he can dictate from the front at this track, and if Birkenhead doesn't engage early enough, the leader could steal a march. The good ground will help sustain the effort to the line.

So SmartBirkenheadFaustusDesert Champion

Pace Collapse Finish

15% probability

If the early pace is too strong and both leaders tie up

A fierce early battle between Birkenhead and So Smart could set up the race for a closer with finishing kick. The hold-up horses will need the pace to be unsustainable to get into contention.

Shalaa AskerMy Boy HarryMaharajas ExpressHarry Brown

Mid-Division Strike

10% probability

If the pace is modest and prominent racers can time their move

Faustus could benefit from a position just behind the leaders if the pace is manageable, allowing him to use his course and distance experience. Desert Champion might also benefit despite his finishing concerns.

FaustusDesert ChampionTuscan PointMaharajas Express

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Birkenhead and So Smart engage in early speed duel that could set up race for closers

WATCH

Watch Desert Champion's finishing effort as he tends to fade late despite prominent early positioning

NOTE

Watch Shalaa Asker for market support given poor turf record but strong jockey booking with Tom Marquand

WATCH

Watch pace development as small field could lead to tactical affair rather than honest gallop

NOTE

Watch Tuscan Point's settling pattern as he drops back to 5f having shown best form over this trip recently

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 9 May 2026.

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