Archive›Lingfield (AW) · 30 April 2026

Lingfield (AW)

30 April 2026 · 8 races

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2:20 — Follow @attheraces On X Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

6f · Standard · NOV · 9 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:55 — 13th Barry Gurr Memorial Handicap (Div I)

6f · Standard · HCAP · 12 runners

Lethal Blast to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Poetic Jack led; the map had Lethal Blast in front.

Elvetham won at 6.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Lethal Blast

Prominent · 1

Poetic Jack

Midfield · 6

HaziymMolly MarineHorusWalking On CloudsLittle Miss MagicBluesy Moon

Hold Up · 4

SouthbankElvethamManhattan ChuteTop Star

With Lethal Blast withdrawn, this race loses its confirmed front-runner and becomes a tactical affair. Poetic Jack is the most likely to take early position given his prominent style, but he may not be keen to make all. The lack of natural pace-setters suggests a steadily-run race where horses will be bunched up turning for home. This moderate tempo heavily favours hold-up horses who can produce late kicks, particularly those with proven finishing speed like Southbank and Elvetham.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tactical Hold-Up Finish

60% probability

If Poetic Jack leads but the pace stays modest through halfway

The field remains compact into the straight allowing closers to unleash their finishing kicks. Hold-up specialists with tactical speed get ideal racing room to strike late.

SouthbankElvethamTop StarPoetic Jack

Prominent Horse Dominates

25% probability

If Poetic Jack gets an uncontested lead and quickens clear

He builds enough advantage to hold off late challenges despite the modest early gallop. His previous course win and Hollie Doyle's tactical nous prove decisive.

Poetic JackTop StarSouthbankWalking On Clouds

Surprise Pace Collapse

10% probability

If the field goes too slowly and kicks too late in the straight

The race becomes a sprint finish where horses fail to pick up properly on the slower surface. Previous course form and fitness levels become crucial factors.

Walking On CloudsHorusLittle Miss MagicManhattan Chute

Early Speed Surprise

5% probability

If multiple horses dispute the early lead unexpectedly

The unexpected pace sets up perfectly for a closer with the best turn of foot. The race opens up dramatically in the final furlong.

ElvethamMolly MarineBluesy MoonHaziym

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Poetic Jack could steal this if allowed uncontested lead under Hollie Doyle's tactical guidance

WATCH

Southbank's 64-day absence may leave him short of peak fitness despite strong historical course form

NOTE

Elvetham's wide draw in stall 11 could prove costly if the pace collapses and racing favours the inside

WATCH

Multiple hold-up horses may find themselves with too much to do if Poetic Jack gets away with soft fractions

NOTE

Top Star's headgear switch from hood to cheekpieces suggests connections expect improved focus

3:30 — 13th Barry Gurr Memorial Handicap (Div II)

6f · Standard · HCAP · 11 runners

Lion Ring to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lion Ring led, as the map showed.

Alashos won at 8.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Lion Ring

Prominent · 2

AlashosPorfin

Midfield · 5

Comedian LeaderFai FaiBig Time RascalDaley TBattle Point

Hold Up · 3

Mighty RulerHarry BrownMintana

Lion Ring is the only confirmed front runner in this field and should get an uncontested lead, setting a sustainable pace without pressure. The prominent runners Alashos and Porfin will track behind, but neither is aggressive enough to challenge early. With most of the field comprised of hold-up horses including Harry Brown, Mighty Ruler, Mintana, Big Time Rascal, Fai Fai, Battle Point, Daley T and Comedian Leader, there will be a wall of horses coming from off the pace in the final two furlongs. This tactical setup strongly favours the front runner Lion Ring and any prominent racers who can secure good early positions, as the hold-up brigade will face a traffic nightmare.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Lion Ring gets his usual uncontested lead and maintains stamina over 6f

The lone leader sets fractions to suit himself while the pack of hold-up horses gets into trouble behind, allowing him to kick clear when the challengers are still organizing. His two classified wins this year prove he can sustain a strong pace when unopposed.

Lion RingAlashosPorfinMintana

Hold-Up Horses Swarm

30% probability

If the pace becomes too slow and the large group of closers can organize effectively

The wall of hold-up runners gets a clean run through and overwhelms the front end with superior class and finishing speed. Quality horses like Harry Brown and Mighty Ruler benefit from their higher ratings when given racing room.

Harry BrownMighty RulerMintanaBig Time Rascal

Prominent Tracker Strikes

15% probability

If Alashos or Porfin can stalk Lion Ring closely and outkick him in the final furlong

The prominent runners get the perfect trip behind the leader while avoiding the traffic that snares the hold-up horses. They combine tactical advantage with enough early speed to stay clear of trouble.

AlashosPorfinLion RingFai Fai

Outsider Emerges Clean

10% probability

If the pace collapses completely and a lightly-raced improver finds clear running

An unfancied runner like Big Time Rascal benefits from returning fresher opponents getting into trouble, while his patient style allows him to pick up the pieces. The handicapper may have underestimated recent improvement.

Big Time RascalBattle PointDaley TComedian Leader

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Lion Ring could get loose on the lead if rivals are slow to organize early, making him very difficult to peg back

WATCH

Traffic problems likely in straight with nine hold-up runners converging simultaneously from midfield and rear positions

WATCH

Mintana needs cheekpieces refitted after going without them in disappointing last run, headgear change crucial

NOTE

Big Time Rascal showing signs of improvement after poor 2023, worth noting if getting clear run from rear

NOTE

Harry Brown's 64-day absence following two poor runs makes him hard to trust despite superior course record

4:05 — Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap

5f · Standard · HCAP · 5 runners

Lead contested: Desdemona v WedgewoodHISTORIC

How it ran

She Went Whoosh led; the map had Desdemona and Wedgewood in front.

Tuscan Point won at 1.67 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

DesdemonaWedgewood

Prominent · 2

Honour Your DreamsShe Went Whoosh

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Tuscan Point

Wedgewood and Desdemona will dispute the early lead from the off, with both confirmed front runners likely to set a genuine gallop over this minimum trip. She Went Whoosh and Honour Your Dreams will track the pace in second rank, while hold-up merchant Tuscan Point settles towards the rear under Cosgrave. The dual pace angle should create an honest tempo that won't collapse, but equally won't be suicidal over 5f. This race shape favours prominent racers who can sit close enough to strike but avoid the early battle between the two leaders.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leaders Duel Hard

45% probability

If Wedgewood and Desdemona engage in a sustained speed duel from flagfall

The early pace becomes testing and weakens both protagonists, allowing those tracking in the slipstream to come through. Prominent racers like Honour Your Dreams and She Went Whoosh benefit most from the honest gallop.

Honour Your DreamsShe Went WhooshTuscan PointWedgewood

Tuscan Point Swoops

30% probability

If Cosgrave gets Tuscan Point into a rhythm and the early pace is only moderate

The hold-up horse gets the perfect setup to unleash his finishing kick in the final furlong. His recent Southwell win suggests he's in prime form to capitalise on tactical positioning.

Tuscan PointDesdemonaWedgewoodHonour Your Dreams

Wedgewood Controls Tempo

15% probability

If Wedgewood can dictate terms from the front without serious pressure from Desdemona

The course winner uses his tactical speed to control the gallop and kick clear when it matters most. His proven C&D form and good draw give him every chance to dominate.

WedgewoodHonour Your DreamsTuscan PointDesdemona

Desdemona Front Running

10% probability

If Desdemona can get first run on the field and establish a clear advantage

The dual 5f Polytrack winner uses her natural speed to build an unassailable lead that holds under pressure. Her proven track record at the trip gives her the edge.

DesdemonaWedgewoodTuscan PointHonour Your Dreams

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Wedgewood and Desdemona go too fast early - both could weaken dramatically in the final furlong

WATCH

Monitor Tuscan Point's position turning for home - if he's too far back the race might develop too quickly for him to recover

NOTE

Observe how aggressively Ryan Kavanagh rides Desdemona early - his 5lb claim could be crucial if she gets into a speed duel

WATCH

Check if She Went Whoosh can improve on last week's effort - her poor record for Dixon makes her hard to trust despite reasonable form

NOTE

Watch Honour Your Dreams settling - if he can avoid the early pace battle he could outrun his odds at a decent price

4:35 — Free Bets On attheraces.com Fillies' Handicap

1m2f · Standard · HCAP · 9 runners

Bergamo Gold to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Willow Wood and Flightofthephoenix led; the map had Bergamo Gold in front.

Mythical Bird won at 4.33 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Bergamo Gold

Prominent · 2

Mythical BirdLady McC

Midfield · 3

AmmoonyGnocchiGuendolen

Hold Up · 3

Ghost StoryFlightofthephoenixWillow Wood

Bergamo Gold will be the sole pace-setter from the gates, with Mythical Bird and Lady McC sitting handy in second flight. The majority of this field are hold-up performers (Ammoony, Flightofthephoenix, Guendolen, Willow Wood, Ghost Story, Gnocchi) which creates a tactical disadvantage with too many needing the same back-to-front finish. With one uncontested leader over this staying trip on standard Polytrack, Bergamo Gold can dictate fractions and kick clear, while the mass of hold-up horses will be fighting for racing room in the straight. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the traffic problems.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Runner Wins

55% probability

If Bergamo Gold gets soft fractions and isn't pressured early

The Charlie Johnston runner can control the tempo completely and has enough in hand to resist late challengers over this trip. The wall of hold-up horses behind creates perfect cover for the leader to exploit.

Bergamo GoldMythical BirdLady McCFlightofthephoenix

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If Mythical Bird or Lady McC can sit close enough to pounce

These prominent runners avoid the traffic issues that will plague the hold-up brigade while staying within striking distance of Bergamo Gold's steady gallop. They get first run on the leader when the pace lifts.

Mythical BirdLady McCBergamo GoldFlightofthephoenix

Hold-Up Horse Finds Gap

15% probability

If one of the back markers gets a dream run through

The bunch finish behind the leaders creates opportunities for a well-timed late thrust, particularly from Flightofthephoenix who has solid course form. Racing luck becomes crucial with so many needing the same gap.

FlightofthephoenixGhost StoryAmmoonyGuendolen

Complete Pace Collapse

5% probability

If Bergamo Gold goes too slow and gets swamped by everything

The leader misjudges the fractions completely allowing the entire field to close up and create a sprint finish. Multiple hold-up horses get their chance in a blanket finish.

AmmoonyWillow WoodGnocchiGhost Story

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for Bergamo Gold getting generous early fractions with no pressure - could steal this completely

WATCH

Monitor the first half-mile splits - if too pedestrian the hold-up brigade gets genuine chances

NOTE

Check how Mythical Bird handles the step back to AW after six-month turf break

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems in straight with seven hold-up horses needing same gap

NOTE

Observe if Lady McC settles better with tongue-tie on stable debut after Irish struggles

5:07 — Newsteam Group Handicap

1m · Standard · HCAP · 12 runners

Dalmally likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Antiquity and Dalmally and Liberty Bird led, as the map showed.

Buy The Dip won at 11.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

4 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Dalmally

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 7

Secret RoadPoke The BearMy Boy HarryBuy The DipTurpinLiberty BirdMr Fustic

Hold Up · 4

Far And AboveAntiquitySuper HitPlay Me

Dalmally is the only confirmed front runner in this 12-runner field and should be allowed an uncontested lead at sustainable fractions over this mile trip on the all-weather. The lack of natural pace means the early gallop will be modest, with prominent racers like Secret Road and My Boy Harry likely tracking behind Dalmally through the first half. This sets up a tactical affair where the real race begins from the 3f pole as the hold-up horses try to close from deep positions. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and those who can sit handy, as they'll have the tactical advantage when the tempo lifts in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Kicks

45% probability

If Dalmally gets soft fractions and finds improvement off a break

The pace-setter gets first run in the straight and holds on as closers struggle to make up ground from too far back. Prominent trackers benefit most from being in the right position when the race develops.

DalmallySecret RoadMy Boy HarryPoke The Bear

Handy Horses Dominate

30% probability

If the modest pace allows prominent racers to strike first in the straight

Horses positioned 2nd-4th through the race have the perfect stalking trip and can respond when Dalmally comes under pressure. Hold-up horses are caught too far back when it matters.

Secret RoadMy Boy HarryAntiquityPoke The Bear

Strong Closer Charges

15% probability

If the pedestrian gallop sets up perfectly for a late-running type

The slow tempo means stamina types get ideal conditions to unleash their finishing kick from the back. Mr Fustic or Antiquity could benefit from the tactical setup.

Mr FusticAntiquityPlay MeSuper Hit

Front Runner Folds Early

10% probability

If Dalmally stops quickly after setting the pace

An early leader collapse creates chaos and opens the door for any horse with tactical speed to capitalise. The race becomes a sprint from the 2f pole.

My Boy HarrySecret RoadPoke The BearMr Fustic

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Dalmally could get too easy a lead early and steal the race if allowed to dictate soft fractions

WATCH

My Boy Harry drops to inexperienced 5lb claimer Ashley Lewis which could impact tactical positioning

NOTE

Secret Road's cheekpieces were key to last win - watch if they help again in prominent position

WATCH

Multiple horses return from long breaks including Buy The Dip (196d) and Turpin (279d) who may need the run

NOTE

Watch the pace through the first quarter-mile as it will determine whether closers have any chance

5:40 — Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap

7f · Standard · HCAP · 10 runners

Bella Bisbee likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kit Gabriel and Blue Collar Lad led; the map had Bella Bisbee in front.

Bold Suitor won at 7.50 — was held up, as the map had it.

4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Bella Bisbee

Prominent · 3

Portman BlueDaisy RootsKit Gabriel

Midfield · 3

Chola EmpireHavana TouchBlue Collar Lad

Hold Up · 3

Spirit Lead MeBold SuitorVirtue Patience

Bella Bisbee will likely lead from the gates with Daisy Roots, Portman Blue, and Kit Gabriel providing prominent support in the early stages. The pace should be genuinely run but sustainable, as none of the front-runners are excessive speed merchants and the 7f distance allows tactical positioning. The midfield and hold-up brigade including Virtue Patience, Chola Empire, Bold Suitor, Spirit Lead Me, Havana Touch, and Blue Collar Lad will track the leaders before launching their challenges. This race shape clearly favours the prominent racers and those with tactical speed, as they can position close enough to strike without relying on a strong pace collapse.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Tactics Prevail

45% probability

If the pace is honest but not excessive, allowing prominent racers to stay within striking distance

The front-runners maintain control while those tracking closely can time their challenges perfectly. Bella Bisbee and Daisy Roots benefit from their forward positions, while Kit Gabriel can improve from his handy berth.

Bella BisbeeDaisy RootsKit GabrielPortman Blue

Hold-Up Challenge Succeeds

30% probability

If the early pace becomes genuinely strong with the prominent horses going too fast

The pace setters weaken in the final furlong, allowing the patient hold-up horses to sweep past with late runs. Virtue Patience and Havana Touch capitalize on their recent winning form from off the pace.

Virtue PatienceHavana TouchBold SuitorChola Empire

Front-Runner Dominance

15% probability

If Bella Bisbee gets an easy lead and the prominent horses fail to apply pressure

The winner controls the race from the front and kicks clear when the pace lifts, with the field unable to reel her back. Her recent C&D victory gives her the confidence to dictate terms throughout.

Bella BisbeeKit GabrielDaisy RootsBold Suitor

Surprise From Behind

10% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint finish from the back

The well-handicapped horses with low weights get first run on the leaders and sustain their challenges. Blue Collar Lad's 117lbs burden becomes a significant advantage in a slowly-run affair.

Blue Collar LadSpirit Lead MeChola EmpireVirtue Patience

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Bella Bisbee could get an uncontested lead if the other prominent horses settle too far back early

WATCH

Bold Suitor's proximity to the winner last time makes him dangerous if getting the same strong pace setup

NOTE

Virtue Patience's long absence and cheekpieces debut creates uncertainty despite previous C&D success

WATCH

Blue Collar Lad's light weight of 117lbs could be decisive if the pace becomes tactical

NOTE

Spirit Lead Me's headgear change suggests connections are concerned about his recent poor form

6:10 — Download The At The Races App Handicap

1m4f · Standard · HCAP · 9 runners

Lunar Power to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Imperial Cult led; the map had Lunar Power in front.

Imperial Cult won at 2.50 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Lunar Power

Prominent · 1

Imperial Cult

Midfield · 4

The ColoristDivotFullforwardSir Patchy

Hold Up · 3

Sonnerie PowerUpepoSkimming Along

Lunar Power is the sole recognized front-runner and will set the gallop without immediate pressure, creating a moderate pace through the early stages. The bulk of the field including Divot, The Colorist, Fullforward, Upepo, Sir Patchy and Skimming Along are hold-up horses who will track behind Imperial Cult in the prominent group. This setup creates a classic scenario where the pace will be honest but not punishing early, before intensifying from the home turn as the large pack of closers fan out. The race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce sustained finishing kicks, as they'll have plenty of cover and a target to aim at.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

65% probability

If the moderate early pace allows the large contingent of closers to stay in touch

Lunar Power's honest gallop sets up perfectly for the seven hold-up horses who can unleash finishing kicks from off the pace. The winner emerges from the pack of closers with Divot, Upepo and Skimming Along best positioned to capitalize.

DivotUpepoThe ColoristSkimming Along

Front Runner Survives

20% probability

If Lunar Power maintains his lead and the closers fail to coordinate their challenge

The lone leader gets an easy time in front and maintains enough in reserve to hold off a disorganized finish from the hold-up brigade. Imperial Cult's prominent position gives him the best chance to chase down Lunar Power if the leader weakens.

Lunar PowerImperial CultDivotUpepo

Imperial Cult Strikes

10% probability

If the prominent runner can bridge the gap between leader and hold-up horses

Imperial Cult's position just behind Lunar Power allows him to track the pace without getting trapped behind the wall of closers. His three C&D wins in 2024 give him tactical advantage over this trip and surface.

Imperial CultLunar PowerDivotThe Colorist

Late Charge Chaos

5% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint finish from the back

The moderate gallop turns into a crawl, allowing the most patient hold-up horses to produce devastating late runs. This scenario particularly suits The Colorist and Sir Patchy who are proven slow-starters with finishing kicks.

The ColoristSir PatchySkimming AlongFullforward

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Lunar Power sets the entire pace dynamic - if he goes too fast or too slow, it transforms the race completely

WATCH

Imperial Cult's fitness after 188 days off and immediate impact under new trainer George Baker needs monitoring

WATCH

The large group of seven hold-up horses could get bunched up turning for home, creating traffic problems

NOTE

Upepo and The Colorist both have strong C&D winning form that could prove decisive in a tactical finish

NOTE

Fullforward and Skimming Along return from extended breaks with fitness questions that may be exposed over this staying trip

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 30 April 2026.

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