Archive›Market Rasen · 14 April 2026

Market Rasen

14 April 2026 · 8 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

1:35 — CopyBet Supporting UK Horse Racing Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Lead contested: Hurricane Bay v No But I WillFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Mt Fugi Park led; the map had Hurricane Bay and No But I Will in front.

Mt Fugi Park won at 5.50 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Hurricane BayNo But I Will

Prominent · 2

Mt Fugi ParkGiovanni Change

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

LadronneKnockanore

Hurricane Bay and No But I Will will force an honest gallop from the start, with Hurricane Bay's front-running style clashing against No But I Will's similar tactics. Giovanni Change and Mt Fugi Park will track prominently behind the leaders, while Knockanore and Ladronne will settle towards the rear as hold-up horses. The sustained pace over 3m on good ground will create a true test of stamina, with the race likely developing into a war of attrition from halfway. This honest gallop strongly favours prominent racers and hold-up horses who can finish, while pure front-runners may pay for early exertions.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leaders Duel Early

45% probability

If Hurricane Bay and No But I Will engage in a pace battle from the start

The sustained gallop will exhaust both leaders, setting up the race perfectly for Knockanore and Ladronne to deliver their trademark late challenges. The veteran Ladronne looks particularly well-suited to capitalize on a strong pace having shown excellent form this season.

LadronneKnockanoreGiovanni ChangeMt Fugi Park

Moderate Honest Pace

30% probability

If Hurricane Bay or No But I Will takes a clear lead while the other settles

The leader will control the tempo allowing prominent racers to travel comfortably before launching their challenge. Giovanni Change's course expertise (six wins here) and Mt Fugi Park's return to form become decisive factors.

Giovanni ChangeMt Fugi ParkNo But I WillLadronne

Front Runner Dominates

15% probability

If Hurricane Bay breaks clear early and the field allows him an easy lead

His proven ability on good ground over similar distances could see him dictate throughout and prove hard to peg back. No But I Will's similar style means she's best placed to give chase if the pace becomes tactical.

Hurricane BayNo But I WillGiovanni ChangeLadronne

Crawling Early Pace

10% probability

If both leaders are restrained early creating a slowly-run affair

The race becomes a sprint finish where class tells, favoring the highest-rated Mt Fugi Park and in-form Giovanni Change. The lack of a strong gallop negates the stamina advantage of the hold-up horses.

Mt Fugi ParkGiovanni ChangeHurricane BayNo But I Will

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Hurricane Bay and No But I Will could neutralize each other if they engage in early speed duel

WATCH

Mt Fugi Park needs to settle better than recent starts to be effective in first-time blinkers

WATCH

Knockanore requires a genuinely-run race to show his best after recent disappointing efforts

NOTE

Giovanni Change's course expertise could prove decisive if race develops into battle from halfway

NOTE

Ladronne may need luck in running from rear given small field size limiting cover options

2:10 — First Past The Post At CopyBet Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m½f · Good · CLS4 · 7 runners

Pour Tout Le Monde likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Flying Pimpernel led; the map had Pour Tout Le Monde in front.

Diamonds Galore won at 1.62 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Pour Tout Le Monde

Prominent · 2

Diamonds GaloreChatty Girl

Midfield · 2

Georgia's CharmFlying Pimpernel

Hold Up · 2

Briery RoseCurious Mrs Fox

Pour Tout Le Monde will likely lead or share the early pace with Diamonds Galore and Chatty Girl both racing prominently, creating a relatively sedate early tempo given the small field and lack of confirmed speed horses. The hold-up quartet of Briery Rose, Georgia's Charm, Flying Pimpernel and Curious Mrs Fox will be bunched towards the rear, relying on the pace to develop. With only one natural front-runner and several prominent racers not needing to be aggressive early, this sets up as a steady gallop that will quicken from the home turn. This race shape clearly favours the prominent racers who can position handy and have first run on the held-up horses when the pace lifts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Racers Dominate

65% probability

If the early pace stays moderate as expected with Pour Tout Le Monde leading unchallenged

Diamonds Galore and Chatty Girl can travel smoothly in behind and kick clear when the tempo increases, while the hold-up horses struggle to make up ground from off the pace. The front three have the race sewn up before the closers can get involved.

Diamonds GaloreChatty GirlPour Tout Le MondeBriery Rose

Early Pace Collapse

15% probability

If Pour Tout Le Monde fails to lead effectively or goes too slowly early

The race becomes a crawl that turns into a sprint, suiting the hold-up horses who can use their turn of foot. Briery Rose and Flying Pimpernel benefit most from the tactical nature this creates.

Briery RoseFlying PimpernelGeorgia's CharmDiamonds Galore

Strong Gallop Throughout

12% probability

If the prominent racers push Pour Tout Le Monde into a genuine gallop from early

The sustained pace sets up perfectly for the hold-up horses to close late as the leaders tire. Georgia's Charm and Curious Mrs Fox can pick up the pieces in the final furlong.

Georgia's CharmCurious Mrs FoxFlying PimpernelBriery Rose

Front Runner Wire-to-Wire

8% probability

If Pour Tout Le Monde gets an uncontested lead and stays on strongly

The returning mare uses her 519-day break positively and holds off all challengers with a bold front-running display. Her early positioning proves decisive in a race where the hold-up horses can't get to her.

Pour Tout Le MondeDiamonds GaloreChatty GirlBriery Rose

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pour Tout Le Monde's fitness after 519 days off could see her fold quickly if the prominent racers apply pressure

WATCH

If the early pace is too slow it will negate the advantages of Diamonds Galore and Chatty Girl's handy positions

NOTE

Georgia's Charm and Flying Pimpernel need the leaders to go a strong gallop to bring their closing kicks into play

WATCH

Briery Rose showed little on return from long layoff last time and may need this run despite the yard's confidence

NOTE

The small field of seven could lead to a tactical affair that doesn't suit the natural running styles

2:45 — Safer Gambling At CopyBet Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m4½f · Good · CLS4 · 6 runners

Ebony Ebbs to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Jimmy Hurdstrom led; the map had Ebony Ebbs in front.

Plains Drifter won at 2.10 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ebony Ebbs

Prominent · 2

Jimmy HurdstromPlains Drifter

Midfield · 1

Dontelimurnamepike

Hold Up · 2

ManalishiSims' Law

Ebony Ebbs will take the field along as the sole confirmed front runner, but given her weak form and tendency to fade, she's unlikely to set anything more than a moderate gallop. Plains Drifter, Jimmy Hurdstrom and Dontelimurnamepike will track close behind in prominent positions, with the hold-up pair Manalishi and Sims' Law dropping in behind. With only six runners and a modest pace-setter, this will develop into a tactical affair where the prominent racers can position perfectly without pressure. The lack of sustained early pace and small field size heavily favours prominent runners who can control their position and have the class edge over the likely weak leader.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Pair Dominate

60% probability

If Ebony Ebbs sets only a moderate pace as expected and fades from 2f out.

Plains Drifter and Jimmy Hurdstrom can position ideally behind the weakening leader and use their superior class ratings (OR 115/120) to pull clear. Both have the tactical speed and recent form to capitalize on perfect positioning in a slowly-run race.

Plains DrifterJimmy HurdstromManalishiDontelimurnamepike

Hold-Up Success

20% probability

If the pace collapses completely in the final half-mile with Ebony Ebbs stopping.

Manalishi can use his hold-up style to sweep past tired leaders, especially with his proven good ground form. The collapse would bring his 136-day absence into less significance as stamina becomes key over pure race fitness.

ManalishiPlains DrifterJimmy HurdstromDontelimurnamepike

Upset From Behind

12% probability

If both Plains Drifter and Jimmy Hurdstrom get trapped behind the fading Ebony Ebbs on the rail.

Dontelimurnamepike could capitalize from a wide position with his prominent style, while the class horses struggle for room. His 4-year-old allowance and Jamie Hamilton's 5lb claim would provide crucial weight relief in a tactical finish.

DontelimurnamepikeManalishiPlains DrifterJimmy Hurdstrom

Pace Collapse Chaos

8% probability

If Ebony Ebbs stops abruptly early and no other horse wants to make the running.

The race becomes a crawl where even Sims' Law could benefit from his hold-up style despite poor form. In a messy, tactical affair, any horse getting first run could prevail if the others are caught napping.

Sims' LawManalishiPlains DrifterJimmy Hurdstrom

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Plains Drifter and Jimmy Hurdstrom getting perfect stalking positions behind Ebony Ebbs could lock out the finish if the pace is moderate.

WATCH

Ebony Ebbs stopping abruptly in the straight could cause traffic problems for horses following too closely behind the pace.

NOTE

Manalishi's jumping accuracy after 136 days off as errors at Doncaster showed he can be vulnerable when rusty.

NOTE

Shane Quinlan's 3lb claim and tongue-tie first time on Ebony Ebbs suggests connections think she needs every assistance.

WATCH

The small field of six making this more tactical than usual, with positioning at the final turn becoming crucial for the hold-up horses.

3:20 — CopyBet Handicap Hurdle

2m2½f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Hans Lippershey likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Caramelo Rapido and Lord Chamberlain led; the map had Hans Lippershey in front.

Ruler Legend won at 2.62. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Hans Lippershey

Prominent · 3

Nitty GrittyAmbassadorRuler Legend

Midfield · 4

Caramelo RapidoAssordaEver ReadyTimes A Wastin

Hold Up · 3

Lord ChamberlainPlay PretendSnapius

Hans Lippershey will take them along from the front with minimal pressure, likely joined by Ruler Legend and Ambassador in the early stages. With most of the field being hold-up horses (Snapius, Play Pretend, Lord Chamberlain, Caramelo Rapido, Assorda, Ever Ready, Times A Wastin), the pace will be steady rather than frantic through the middle sections. The lack of genuine pace pressure means the tempo will be manageable, setting up a finish where stamina and tactical positioning from mid-division matter most. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and those who can sit handy, as the hold-up brigade will have too much work to do from the rear.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Lead Sustains

45% probability

If Hans Lippershey gets an easy time in front without pressure from the prominent runners.

The steady gallop plays perfectly into his hands as he conserves energy for a strong finish. His recent Fakenham second suggests he has the class edge when not having to fight for position early.

Hans LippersheyRuler LegendNitty GrittyLord Chamberlain

Prominent Battle Unfolds

30% probability

If Ruler Legend and Ambassador press Hans Lippershey early, creating genuine pace pressure.

The increased tempo stretches the field and brings stamina into play over this 2m2½f trip. Those sitting just off the pace in fourth or fifth can time their runs perfectly as the leaders tire.

Lord ChamberlainSnapiusPlay PretendNitty Gritty

Hold-Up Charge Succeeds

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely in the middle sections, creating a sprint finish.

The lack of early pace allows the back markers to close dramatically in the final half-mile. This scenario needs everything to fall right for the hold-up horses who must navigate traffic and find racing room.

Play PretendSnapiusCaramelo RapidoTimes A Wastin

Pace Chaos Benefits Outsider

10% probability

If early fallers or interference disrupts the natural order and creates tactical confusion.

The race becomes a lottery where horses getting clear runs at the right moment can capitalize on others' misfortune. Lower-rated runners with tactical pace can steal it.

AmbassadorEver ReadyAssordaTimes A Wastin

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Hans Lippershey getting uncontested lead through first mile - will be very hard to peg back if unchallenged

WATCH

Lord Chamberlain's inexperienced 5lb claimer handling tactical battle if race develops into early skirmish

WATCH

Play Pretend's jumping after 174-day break - any mistakes from rear position will end chances immediately

NOTE

Ruler Legend handling 7lb penalty on quick 9-day turnaround after recent course success

NOTE

Early pace development between Hans Lippershey and prominent runners determining entire race dynamic

3:55 — Live Racing Streaming At CopyBet Handicap Chase

2m1f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Lead contested: Catchim v O'Grady's HillHISTORIC

How it ran

Catchim led, as the map showed.

Catchim won at 3.25 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

CatchimO'Grady's Hill

Prominent · 2

Grain TradeGreenways

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Jiair MadrikChateau Du Lys

Catchim and O'Grady's Hill will contest the early lead, with both confirmed front runners likely to set an honest gallop from the start. Grain Trade will sit prominently just behind this duo, while the hold-up horses Jiair Madrik and Chateau Du Lys will need to be positioned closer than usual in this small field. With two keen front runners likely to ensure a solid pace throughout, the race sets up to favor the prominent racers who can track the pace without getting embroiled in the early battle.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Honest Pace Benefits Tracker

45% probability

If Catchim and O'Grady's Hill set a fair tempo without killing each other

Grain Trade can sit in the perfect stalking position behind the leaders and time his challenge. His class advantage over the field becomes decisive when the front pair tire approaching the last fence.

Grain TradeCatchimJiair MadrikO'Grady's Hill

Front Runner Dominates

30% probability

If Catchim gets first run on O'Grady's Hill and establishes a clear lead

His superior class tells as he can dictate terms without serious pressure until late. The hold-up horses find the pace too honest to mount effective challenges from the back.

CatchimGrain TradeJiair MadrikO'Grady's Hill

Hold-Up Horse Strikes Late

15% probability

If the two front runners go too fast early and compromise each other

Jiair Madrik benefits from the strong pace as the leaders weaken approaching the final fence. His recent decent effort at Bangor suggests he retains enough ability despite being 0-5 over fences.

Jiair MadrikGrain TradeGreenwaysCatchim

Weak Pace Favors Closer

10% probability

If both front runners show early restraint and create a tactical affair

O'Grady's Hill can utilize his 20lb weight advantage to stay closer to the pace throughout. The race becomes a sprint finish where his fresher legs and lighter burden prove decisive.

O'Grady's HillGreenwaysGrain TradeCatchim

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Catchim and O'Grady's Hill could go too fast early and set it up for the closers if they get competitive

WATCH

Jiair Madrik needs to settle better than last time when he raced too freely at Bangor

NOTE

Grain Trade's tongue-tie fitting suggests connections expect improved performance from his course winner

WATCH

Greenways has first-time tongue-tie but his recent form is dire despite the handicapper's assistance

NOTE

Chateau Du Lys sports first-time cheekpieces after two pull-ups but faces a tough task from 133 days off

4:30 — Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan & Touring Park Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m3f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Cuban Court to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Cuban Court led, as the map showed.

Singapore Trip won at 7.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Cuban Court

Prominent · 1

Southoftheborder

Midfield · 1

Icare Colombe

Hold Up · 2

Kayce DuttonSingapore Trip

Cuban Court will lead from the start with his confirmed front-running style, setting a sustainable gallop over this 2m3f trip on good ground. With only Southoftheborder likely to press him early from a prominent position, Cuban Court should get an easy lead through the early stages. The lack of genuine pace pressure will allow the leader to dictate terms, but also gives the hold-up quartet (Kayce Dutton, Singapore Trip, Icare Colombe) time to organize their challenges from off the pace. This race shape clearly favors closers and hold-up horses who can capitalize on a modest early gallop and strong-traveling position into the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

50% probability

If the early pace is truly modest and Cuban Court gets too easy a lead

Cuban Court will have energy reserves but the hold-up horses will have maximum tactical advantage with plenty left for their finishing kicks. Singapore Trip or Icare Colombe can produce late surges that the front-runner cannot match.

Singapore TripIcare ColombeCuban CourtKayce Dutton

Front Runner Survives

30% probability

If Cuban Court maintains enough tempo to blunt the closers' kicks

The leader's class and current form allow him to repel late challenges despite the tactical setup favoring his rivals. His wide-margin recent wins demonstrate he can sustain pressure when asked.

Cuban CourtSouthoftheborderSingapore TripIcare Colombe

Prominent Runner Benefits

12% probability

If Southoftheborder tracks Cuban Court closely and inherits the lead late

The prominent runner gets the best of both worlds - saving ground early while avoiding the traffic problems that could hinder the hold-up horses. Southoftheborder's recent Kempton win shows he can capitalize on favorable positioning.

SouthoftheborderCuban CourtSingapore TripKayce Dutton

Course Specialist Emerges

8% probability

If Kayce Dutton's dual course wins this season prove decisive

The local knowledge and proven ability at Market Rasen overcome his inconsistency issues when the race develops to suit hold-up horses. His Southwell second shows current ability when conditions align.

Kayce DuttonSingapore TripCuban CourtIcare Colombe

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Cuban Court sets the fractions - if he goes too slowly early he becomes vulnerable to multiple closers in the straight

WATCH

Singapore Trip's jumping under pressure as he's recently returned to fences after hurdle success

NOTE

Southoftheborder's positioning behind Cuban Court - needs to stay close enough to inherit but not get trapped

WATCH

Kayce Dutton's inconsistency factor - has the course form but tendency to disappoint when fancied

NOTE

The pace through the first mile will determine whether this becomes a sprint finish favoring the hold-up horses

5:05 — Book Summer Plate Ladies Day Today Mares' Novices' Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

2m5½f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Lead contested: Jasmine Bliss v BlueyHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Bluey won at 3.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Jasmine BlissBluey

Prominent · 3

Molto BeneEpinephrineShe Is For Me Boys

Midfield · 1

Lunar Discovery

Hold Up · 2

Ruby IslandAll The Glory

Jasmine Bliss and Bluey are both confirmed front-runners who will contest the early lead, creating an honest gallop from the outset. With two pace-setters likely to go at it, the tempo should be genuine throughout this 2m5½f trip at Market Rasen. The sustained pace will stretch the field and test stamina reserves in the closing stages. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses like Lunar Discovery, Ruby Island and All The Glory who can pick up the pieces when the early leaders weaken.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runners Collapse

45% probability

If Jasmine Bliss and Bluey go too hard early and tie up

The strong pace will find both leaders out in the final half-mile, leaving the door open for closers to sweep past. Hold-up horses with tactical speed will have perfect conditions to unleash late runs.

Lunar DiscoveryRuby IslandAll The GloryMolto Bene

Bluey Survives Battle

30% probability

If Bluey can see off Jasmine Bliss and maintain stamina

Harry Cobden's mount has the class edge and better recent form to outlast her main pace rival. Her superior rating and tactical nous under pressure gives her the edge in a sustained duel.

BlueyMolto BeneJasmine BlissLunar Discovery

Moderate Early Pace

15% probability

If both leaders go more conservatively than expected

A steadier gallop would suit the prominent runners and allow more horses to stay in contention longer. This would bring the mid-pack horses like Molto Bene and She Is For Me Boys into the equation late.

Molto BeneShe Is For Me BoysBlueyEpinephrine

Jasmine Bliss Wire-to-Wire

10% probability

If Jasmine Bliss can dictate terms and maintain her kick

Paul O'Brien's mount could use her class to control the tempo and find enough in reserve. Her Listed win at Huntingdon shows she has the quality when things fall right.

Jasmine BlissRuby IslandBlueyLunar Discovery

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Jasmine Bliss and Bluey could go too fast early given both are natural front-runners meeting for pace supremacy

WATCH

Lunar Discovery needs the anticipated strong pace to materialize to be seen at best

NOTE

All The Glory at big odds could outrun her price if the pace collapses as expected

WATCH

She Is For Me Boys carries bottom weight but needs to build on her debut chase win

NOTE

Track Molto Bene for market confidence given trainer Charlie Longsdon is 0/15 in last 14 days

5:35 — CopyBet Daily Profit Boost Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

2m½f · Good · CLS5 · 10 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 14 April 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →