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Archive›Market Rasen · 15 August 2026

Market Rasen

15 August 2026 · 6 races

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5:30 — Get Best Odds With Oddschecker Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
2m4½f · Good · CLS4 · 10 runners
Way Maker to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Way Maker led, as the map showed.

Centurion's Sister won at 3.75 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Way Maker
Prominent · 3
IfyouhaveaplanJentobelloCenturion's Sister
Midfield · 3
Credit UnionArcimboldoBrosna Town
Hold Up · 3
Park HallJust Keeps RollingEagle One
Way Maker is the sole confirmed front-runner and, with no rival likely to seriously contest that position, should be able to dictate a controlled, sustainable gallop throughout this 2m4½f maiden hurdle on good ground. The prominent types Jentobello, Ifyouhaveaplan, and Centurion's Sister will settle just behind, creating an organised field with a predictable pace shape rather than a pressured or falsely-run affair. Park Hall, Eagle One, and the three redistributed hold-up horses — Credit Union, Arcimboldo, and Brosna Town — will be housed further back, though their natural rear-of-field positioning is compressed by the volume of genuine hold-up types in this field, meaning their finishing kicks may be blunted by an inability to secure true backmarker slots. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can travel close to Way Maker's steady tempo, conserve energy through the middle section, and sustain their effort over the final two flights — horses like Jentobello and Centurion's Sister are archetypal beneficiaries of this controlled, front-runner-led shape.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Way Maker Controls Throughout
62% probability
If Way Maker establishes an uncontested lead and the pace remains measured, allowing prominent travellers to pounce late.
Way Maker dictates on his own terms, setting a gallop that suits those just behind rather than stretching the field, and the race becomes a stamina test from the second-last where prominent types with a finishing effort prevail.
JentobelloCenturion's SisterIfyouhaveaplanPark Hall
B
Prominent Racer Surges Late
20% probability
If Way Maker's lead begins to collapse from three out, triggering a sustained challenge from the organised midfield chase pack.
The race develops into a proper staying test as the gallop increases in the home straight, suiting a horse like Park Hall or Jentobello who can pick up efficiently from a handy position.
Park HallJentobelloCenturion's SisterIfyouhaveaplan
C
Late Closer Lands Blow
11% probability
If the pace quickens sharply mid-race and catches the prominent runners flat, allowing a genuine finisher to come from off the pace.
A horse racing with cover and timing a late run could benefit if the front group over-commits, though the redistributed hold-up types face the disadvantage of not having secured truly rearward positions.
Eagle OneBrosna TownCredit UnionArcimboldo
D
Pace Collapse and Scramble
7% probability
If Way Maker stops suddenly or the race is run chaotically, turning the finish into a sprint-style scramble from two out.
An erratic tempo would randomise the result and potentially drag the field into an even-paced finish where freshness and class edge — such as Park Hall's OR advantage — could be decisive.
Park HallIfyouhaveaplanJentobelloCenturion's Sister

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHWay MakerpIfyouhaveaplanJentobelloCenturion's Sis…pCredit UnionArcimboldoBrosna TowntPark HallhJust Keeps Roll…pEagle One5. Way Maker3. Ifyouhaveaplan1. Jentobello2. Centurion's Sister6. Credit Union7. Arcimboldo8. Brosna Town4. Park Hall9. Just Keeps Rolling10. Eagle One
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch Way Maker's jumping closely from the outset — if he flukes an early error or is headed before halfway, the entire pace map collapses and the race becomes unpredictable for all promoted hold-up types.
WATCH
Park Hall (Harry Skelton) is a hold-up horse in a field crowded with closers; watch whether Skelton opts to push forward rather than settle deep, as a tactical switch would change his scenario profile significantly.
WATCH
Jentobello has been absent 298 days — watch the betting market move in the final hour, as any significant drift would suggest trainer Iain Jardine (6/35 14-day strike rate) is sending a ready horse but the market has reservations.
NOTE
Credit Union and Brosna Town share the same trainer (Bedi) and both are displaced hold-up types — watch whether either is ridden more aggressively than expected, which would suggest stable orders have overridden natural style.
NOTE
Centurion's Sister's consistent placing record (0W5P on sim-going) means she will likely hit the frame again, but watch whether she travels with more fluency than usual — any change in her jumping rhythm from the front could indicate a first win attempt.
6:04 — Bet Smarter With Oddschecker+ Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
2m½f · Good · NOV · 4 runners
Lead contested: Loriko v Eternal AngelHISTORIC

How it ran

Loriko led, as the map showed.

Loriko won at 2.25 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 3 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
LorikoEternal Angel
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 0
None
Hold Up · 2
MayoDestination Unkown
Eternal Angel and Loriko are both confirmed front-runners and will contest the lead from the off over this 2m½f trip on Good ground at Market Rasen, creating a genuinely contested pace rather than a dawdle. Harry Skelton on Loriko (OR 125, the highest-rated runner) will be keen to dictate, but Tom Lacey's Eternal Angel has won twice from the front and Jonathan Burke won't simply surrender the rail — expect a proper battle for supremacy through the early hurdles. This honest, pressured gallop will strip out any false pace and place a premium on jumping cleanness and stamina through the final bend, as neither hold-up horse (Destination Unknown, Mayo) has the class or form to capitalise on a collapse up front. This race shape strongly favours whichever of the two front-runners can handle pressure and sustain their gallop most cleanly, with prominent-to-lead profiles the clear beneficiaries.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Contested Lead, Strongest Survives
64% probability
If Loriko and Eternal Angel fight for the front and the better-class horse sustains the pace to the last hurdle cleanly.
The two front-runners press each other at an honest gallop, burning off the hold-up horses whose lack of class makes a late challenge academic; whichever of Loriko or Eternal Angel jumps better in the home straight takes control.
LorikoEternal AngelMayoDestination Unknown
B
Loriko Dictates Unchallenged
18% probability
If Eternal Angel is unable to match Loriko's early stride and settles just off the pace, allowing Loriko to control fractions.
Loriko sets a sustainable rhythm from the front under Harry Skelton, jumping slickly on good ground where he has a strong record (7/9 similar-going); without a genuine battle for the lead, he conserves energy and pulls clear from the last.
LorikoEternal AngelMayo
C
Front-Runners Tire, Hold-Up Benefits
11% probability
If the pace battle between Loriko and Eternal Angel is fierce enough to cause both to weaken sharply approaching the final hurdle.
Mayo, who has placed at this trip on good ground and arrives fresh off a 70-day break, would be best-placed to pick up the pieces, though his lack of wins and modest OR of 120 means he still needs things to go wrong for the leaders.
MayoEternal AngelDestination Unknown
D
Chaos and Jumping Errors
7% probability
If jumping mistakes disrupt the front-runners mid-race and reshuffle positions dramatically.
Market Rasen's tight track and a contested pace increase the chance of a novice error costing one of the leaders, but Destination Unknown's consistent tendency to fade in the finish and poor form string means even in chaos she is unlikely to capitalise.
MayoEternal AngelLoriko

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHLorikoEternal AngelhMayoDestination Unk…h1. Loriko2. Eternal Angel3. Mayo4. Destination Unkown
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch the battle between Loriko and Eternal Angel at the first two hurdles — whoever gains a clear lead early is likely to control the race, while a prolonged duel risks compromising both.
WATCH
Eternal Angel's headgear (hood) and front-running style means any jumping hesitation under pressure from Loriko at a critical flight could cost Tom Lacey's runner momentum at a decisive moment.
WATCH
Mayo's 70-day absence is the longest lay-off in the field — monitor early market moves to gauge whether stable confidence is genuine, as he has no winning form to lean on.
NOTE
Destination Unknown's OR of 58 versus a field rated 120-125 represents an enormous class gulf; even in a race where the front-runners collapse, her established tendency to fade in the finish makes any involvement in a finish very unlikely.
NOTE
Market Rasen's tight, undulating track rewards accurate jumping — with two novice front-runners pressing each other, watch for errors at the downhill hurdles on the far side where pace and unfamiliarity can combine.
6:34 — Download The Oddschecker App Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
2m1f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners
Lead contested: Gower Prince v GenbuHISTORIC

How it ran

Miss Denver led; the map had Gower Prince and Genbu in front.

Gower Prince won at 13.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
Gower PrinceGenbu
Prominent · 2
My Friend SeanDog Fox
Midfield · 2
Clean GetawayMiss Denver
Hold Up · 2
Belle Le GrandGhasham
Gower Prince and Genbu are both confirmed front-runners and will contest the lead from the off, creating a genuine, honest gallop over 2m1f on good ground — neither is likely to capitulate early, meaning this will not be a falsely-run race. That sustained pressure through the fences plays most naturally into the hands of prominent-to-midfield stalkers with proven good-ground stamina, horses who can track the pace without burning fuel early and then pick off the tiring leaders from the third-last. Clean Getaway and Miss Denver are both true hold-up types who have been mapped forward by redistribution because the rear of the field is overcrowded with similar profiles; in practice, neither is likely to secure their preferred ground-saving berth at the back, which blunts their chance in a shape that demands a late run from further back than they will actually be. The race shape decisively favours the prominent-tracking profile — a horse who sits just off the two leaders, travels within itself, and produces a clean jumping round to collar the front pair before the last.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Contested Lead, Stalkers Win
54% probability
If Gower Prince and Genbu burn each other off at an honest clip, leaving a prominent tracker to cruise into contention from the third-last.
The two front-runners press each other throughout, ensuring enough pace to expose any faders, while the horses who sit a length or two off the lead in a rhythm preserve enough to power home.
My Friend SeanDog FoxGhashamBelle Le Grand
B
Front Runner Dominates
22% probability
If Gower Prince or Genbu asserts early enough to dictate solo, setting a controlled but untested gallop and jumping away cleanly.
One of the duo gets a soft lead after the other capitulates or makes jumping errors, allowing the front-runner to control tempo and steal a decisive advantage from the fourth fence.
Gower PrinceGenbuMy Friend SeanDog Fox
C
Hold-Up Horse Swoops
14% probability
If the pace collapses in the final circuit and a big gap opens up for late-closers to exploit from the home straight.
Belle Le Grand, a genuine hold-up horse with strong good-ground form and Harry Skelton aboard, would be the primary beneficiary if the tempo unexpectedly flattens and runners come back to her.
Belle Le GrandGhashamClean GetawayMiss Denver
D
Blanket Finish, Field Collapses
10% probability
If jumping errors or fatigue disrupt all the pace-setters and the race dissolves into a scramble from the second-last.
A messy, attritional finish suits the horse who stays on most doggedly regardless of position, with the lower-weighted runners who handle the rough-and-tumble potentially benefiting from the chaos.
Miss DenverClean GetawayBelle Le GrandGhasham

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHGower PrincehGenbuMy Friend SeantpDog FoxtClean GetawaypMiss DenverBelle Le GrandtGhashamt5. Gower Prince6. Genbu1. My Friend Sean2. Dog Fox7. Clean Getaway8. Miss Denver4. Belle Le Grand3. Ghasham
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Gower Prince and Genbu will clash for the lead from the first fence — watch which of the two blinks first, because if one capitulates and concedes the front, the race dynamic shifts immediately from contested to controlled.
WATCH
My Friend Sean's headgear (cheekpieces and tongue-tie) suggests a horse that has needed assistance to fully apply himself — if he fails to travel smoothly behind the leaders in the early stages, his prominent position becomes a liability rather than an asset.
WATCH
Dog Fox produced a 'V' in his most recent form and has a 'P' in his string — jumping safety in this 2m1f chase is non-negotiable, and a single fence error at a crucial stage could cost him any chance he has when the race quickens at the third-last.
NOTE
Clean Getaway's redistribution is the key context flag — Joe Williamson is an inexperienced conditional and if he cannot engineer the wide, late run his horse truly needs, the OR 88 advantage is wasted; watch whether he can find daylight from the home turn.
NOTE
Belle Le Grand arrives on a 20-day turnaround with Harry Skelton booking suggesting connections see fitness; monitor her jumping at the early fences as her record over course-and-distance includes a win here at 17f — if she settles cleanly she is the most dangerous outsider if the front pair tire.
7:04 — Oddschecker Free Bets Handicap Hurdle Race
2m7f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners
Ballintubber Boy to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ballintubber Boy led, as the map showed.

Kiwi de Cotte won at 7.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Ballintubber Boy
Prominent · 2
Ernest GrayKiwi de Cotte
Midfield · 1
Parikarma
Hold Up · 2
Belvedere BlastLowlands
Ballintubber Boy is the sole confirmed front-runner and, with only one genuine pace-setter in a six-runner field, he is highly likely to dictate from the outset at a controlled, sustainable gallop over this 2m7f trip on Good ground. Ernest Gray and Kiwi de Cotte will push to track him prominently, creating a compressed early order with no pressure from behind to force an overly-generous tempo. The hold-up trio of Belvedere Blast, Lowlands, and Parikarma will be last away, though the field holds more confirmed hold-up types than the race shape can naturally accommodate in that position — Parikarma in particular, mapped to midfield, is unlikely to secure a true rear-of-field pitch and may need to be placed closer than ideal. This shape — a lone leader setting a measured pace with prominent trackers well-placed — strongly favours horses racing prominently or just off the pace, who can travel sweetly and produce their effort without having to find an extra gear from a cold position late on.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Ballintubber Boy Controls
71% probability
If Ballintubber Boy dictates an uncontested, honest gallop and his prominent pursuers lack the finishing kick to peg him back.
Ballintubber Boy has strong Good-ground form credentials (13/15 on similar going) and, allowed to roll along at his own tempo unchallenged, can eke out enough of a gap at each hurdle to hold on; Ernest Gray and Kiwi de Cotte, tracking close throughout, are best placed to be first to ask questions but must quicken on a flattening track.
Ballintubber BoyErnest GrayKiwi de CotteLowlands
B
Prominent Tracker Pounces
17% probability
If Ballintubber Boy's lead is reeled in from the home turn by one of the prominent trackers who has conserved energy through a controlled mid-race tempo.
Kiwi de Cotte, freshened over this longer 2m7f trip having placed at 2m3f, or Ernest Gray — a course-proven winner on similar ground — could have enough in reserve to sweep past as Ballintubber Boy tires on the run-in; this is the most natural second shape given how compressed and prominent-heavy the field is.
Kiwi de CotteErnest GrayBallintubber BoyLowlands
C
Late Closer Gets Home
8% probability
If the pace is genuinely honest early and the prominent horses burn each other out, creating a gap for a held-up finisher.
Lowlands has a healthy record at this sort of trip and won over 2m4f on Good ground before, so if the front end cuts themselves up she has the form to finish powerfully; Belvedere Blast has placed twice recently on Good going at marathon trips but is likely to need a truly strong pace to get involved.
LowlandsBelvedere BlastKiwi de CotteParikarma
D
Chaos Disrupts Shape
4% probability
If early interference, a jumping error from Ballintubber Boy, or an unexpected injection of pace scrambles the established order.
Parikarma, racing out of her natural hold-up role and expected to be closer than comfortable, could get competitive if chaos promotes her to a position that suits; however, given her OR of 97 and a STYLE_FIT flag of 0.92 indicating she is operating out of role, this outcome is the least likely and depends on extraneous factors rather than form.
ParikarmaLowlandsErnest GrayBelvedere Blast

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHBallintubber BoytvErnest GraypKiwi de CottepParikarmaBelvedere BlastLowlands1. Ballintubber Boy2. Ernest Gray3. Kiwi de Cotte5. Parikarma6. Belvedere Blast4. Lowlands
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Ballintubber Boy's jumping under Sam Twiston-Davies is the single biggest swing factor — a clean round and uncontested lead makes him very hard to catch over 2m7f on Good ground, but any error at a hurdle could end his advantage instantly.
WATCH
Kiwi de Cotte's stamina over 2m7f is unproven — he has only run to 2m3f previously, and Harry Skelton may need to be patient, risking a late finish in a race where prominent horses are likely to be rewarded.
WATCH
Parikarma's redistribution to a midfield role means she is not racing at her natural position; watch whether Miss Imogen Mathias (7lb claimer) can settle her effectively against her instincts, as a poorly-judged ride could compromise what little chance she has at OR 97.
NOTE
Ernest Gray has run six times on Good or similar going, placing in seven of fifteen such efforts across his career — his consistency in this going band is a notable positive, but the 39-day absence after a fourth-place finish is worth monitoring for race sharpness.
NOTE
Lowlands and Belvedere Blast are both hold-up types in a race where only one horse is setting a genuinely controlled pace — if neither can get the strong gallop they need to close, both may find themselves flattening out without having found their race.
7:34 — Oddschecker+ Subscription Service Handicap Steeple Chase
2m5½f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners
Lead contested: A Dublin Job v La QuariteHISTORIC

How it ran

A Dublin Job led, as the map showed.

Huckleberry Sting won at 2.10 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
A Dublin JobLa Quarite
Prominent · 1
Huit Reflets
Midfield · 3
Huckleberry StingUncle AlFast Deal
Hold Up · 2
The Clonmel KidRibeye
A Dublin Job and La Quarite are both confirmed front-runners and will contest the lead from the outset over 2m5½f on Good ground at Market Rasen, creating a genuine, honest gallop that is unlikely to collapse at any stage. The duel between them should set a rhythm that stretches the field and leaves little room for late reserves, favouring horses that can travel smoothly in the slipstream rather than those forced to make up ground from a cold. The field carries more hold-up types than the race map can accommodate at the rear — Huckleberry Sting, Uncle Al, and Fast Deal are all genuine closers who are likely to find themselves racing closer to the pace than ideal, compromising their chance of delivering a true late run. This race shape — a contested, honest-paced chase over a stiff 2m5½f — firmly favours prominent racers and relaxed stalkers who can sit just off a strong gallop and travel into contention, rather than true hold-up horses who need a truly slowly-run race to unleash a late challenge.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Pace Duel, Stalker Pounces
52% probability
If A Dublin Job and La Quarite fight it out up front and the honest gallop stretches the field, leaving a prominent or mid-pack stalker to pick up the pieces.
The two front-runners take the sting out of each other over the final mile, and a horse travelling smoothly just off the pace arrives with a well-timed run to collar them approaching the last. Ribeye and The Clonmel Kid, both hold-up horses with strong Good-ground profiles, are ideally placed to exploit this shape if they can get close enough to pounce.
The Clonmel KidRibeyeHuckleberry StingHuit Reflets
B
Front Runner Dominates
26% probability
If La Quarite or A Dublin Job shakes off the rival pace-setter mid-race and is allowed to stride clear on their own terms.
One of the two leaders outguns the other early on the final circuit, finds a rhythm, and the honest gallop becomes a controlled one under a dominant front-runner. La Quarite, returning after a 340-day absence but proven on Good ground and handled by a sharp yard, would be the likeliest individual to stamp authority if fresh enough to sustain the effort.
La QuariteA Dublin JobHuit RefletsHuckleberry Sting
C
Closers Fail To Fire
13% probability
If the pace is strong enough to compress the field and none of the redistibuted hold-up types can get to their natural position, the winner comes from the prominent pack.
Huckleberry Sting, Uncle Al, and Fast Deal — all genuine closers — are forced to race closer to the pace than suits them, burning their finishing kick too early and failing to land a blow. Huit Reflets, who sits naturally prominent, benefits from the compressed field and the strong gallop doing the donkey work ahead.
Huit RefletsLa QuariteA Dublin JobThe Clonmel Kid
D
Slow Burn, Late Swoop
9% probability
If the front-runners set a false or erratic pace and the hold-up horses manage to secure their natural position off the back of the field.
A Dublin Job or La Quarite makes an early mistake or eases back, causing the tempo to drop in the middle stages and giving the true closers a genuine late-race target. Huckleberry Sting, with a 2W5P record on similar going and strong recent form, is the most dangerous beneficiary if this unlikely shape develops, though the structural odds of it materialising in a two-runner-led race are low.
Huckleberry StingUncle AlThe Clonmel KidRibeye

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHA Dublin JobvLa QuaritetHuit RefletsvHuckleberry Sti…tUncle AlpFast DealThe Clonmel KidpRibeye5. A Dublin Job6. La Quarite4. Huit Reflets3. Huckleberry Sting7. Uncle Al8. Fast Deal1. The Clonmel Kid2. Ribeye
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
A Dublin Job and La Quarite — watch whether either blinks in the opening mile; if one folds early, the other could steal a march that the rest cannot close.
WATCH
La Quarite's fitness after 340 days off is the single biggest unknown — if she blows up from the third-last, she could badly interfere with horses trying to travel behind her.
WATCH
Huckleberry Sting, Uncle Al, and Fast Deal — monitor their positions at the first fence; if all three are pushed forward by the tempo, the expected late-race challenge from the hold-up group evaporates entirely.
NOTE
Huit Reflets is the only confirmed prominent type outside the two leaders — watch whether Hamilton uses the early pace to slot into third or fourth, as that position could be pivotal if the duelling front-runners tire late.
NOTE
The Clonmel Kid's jockey Joe Williamson — note how quickly he commits after the last fence; the horse has a win from hold-up on this trip and could be the value stalker if the pace is genuinely honest throughout.
8:04 — oddschecker.com Handicap Hurdle Race
2m2½f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners
No More Bolero likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

God Of Fire led; the map had No More Bolero in front.

Ballynoe Boy won at 8.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
No More Bolero
Prominent · 3
God Of FireFine PointLone Star
Midfield · 3
Quick Of The NightPapillondelumiereRed Trail
Hold Up · 3
Four DecadesAshdown ForestBallynoe Boy
No More Bolero is the sole confirmed front-runner and, with no genuine challenger for the early lead, should settle into a comfortable, uncontested gallop around Market Rasen's flat, right-handed circuit over 2m2½f on good ground. God Of Fire and Fine Point are the natural prominent types best placed to track him from positions two to four, with Lone Star also likely to race in the first half of the field. The field holds more front-running and prominent types than can all secure their preferred ground — Quick Of The Night and Papillondelumiere are genuine prominent racers who will likely find themselves shuffled back into midfield as the early positions fill, while Red Trail, a true hold-up horse, is similarly displaced toward the centre of the pack on the map. With No More Bolero dictating a sustainable, honest but unspectacular gallop, this race shape favours prominent racers who can travel just off the pace and pounce approaching the last — horses like God Of Fire and Fine Point who can use No More Bolero's consistent tempo without being dragged into a war.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Pace Holds, Front Rules
62% probability
If No More Bolero controls from the front and the pace remains honest but never brutal, allowing front-rank horses to conserve energy.
No More Bolero's uncontested lead on good ground over a track he handles well (4W in sim-going) means he can dictate tempo and keep enough in reserve; prominent horses immediately behind him inherit the race's energy profile perfectly.
No More BoleroGod Of FireFine PointLone Star
B
Prominent Tracker Pounces
22% probability
If No More Bolero sets a mildly generous pace and a prominent tracker produces a well-timed move between the last two flights.
Fine Point (won at this trip on good ground, good sim-going record) or God Of Fire (recent course winner) hit the front as No More Bolero ties up, rewarding those who raced within striking distance throughout.
Fine PointGod Of FireLone StarAshdown Forest
C
Hold-Up Horse Lands Late
10% probability
If the pace quickens sharply in the back straight and the mid-to-rear runners benefit from a strung-out field and a strong gallop.
Ashdown Forest (recent winner, Harry Skelton, handles good ground at this trip) is the most credible late finisher as a genuine hold-up type; Ballynoe Boy also has claims if the race is truly run at a demanding tempo.
Ashdown ForestBallynoe BearFour DecadesBallynoe Boy
D
Pace Collapses, Chaos
6% probability
If No More Bolero sets an unsustainably slow crawl and the race turns into a sprint from the home turn.
This scenario benefits any horse with a sharp turn of foot on good ground but is inherently unpredictable; Ashdown Forest and Fine Point both have relatively strong speed figures and could thrive in a falsely-run race.
Ashdown ForestFine PointGod Of FireQuick Of The Night

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHNo More BolerovGod Of FireFine PointpLone StartQuick Of The Ni…Papillondelumie…vRed TrailtFour DecadesAshdown ForestBallynoe Boy1. No More Bolero2. God Of Fire3. Fine Point4. Lone Star5. Quick Of The Night6. Papillondelumiere7. Red Trail8. Four Decades9. Ashdown Forest10. Ballynoe Boy
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
No More Bolero has won his last two and controls the pace completely — if he gets an uncontested lead and sets a manageable gallop, the race may effectively be decided turning for home.
WATCH
Quick Of The Night and Papillondelumiere are natural front-runners who will be squeezed for early position — watch for a congested first half-mile that could unsettle either runner and disrupt their rhythm.
WATCH
Fine Point has not run for 70 days and wears headgear; if she shows any signs of ring-rustiness in the early stages, her prominent position could become a liability rather than an asset.
NOTE
Ashdown Forest is the most interesting hold-up horse in the field — Harry Skelton's booking and a recent win suggest connections believe there is more to come, but she needs a genuine gallop to deliver her challenge from off the pace.
NOTE
Market Rasen's flat, galloping track on good ground typically rewards horses that travel prominently and jump fluently — monitor jumping errors, particularly from the hold-up horses who will be doing their racing in traffic early on.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 15 August 2026.

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Market Rasen pace map, 15 August 2026 — PaceMap