Archive›Musselburgh · 6 June 2026

Musselburgh

6 June 2026 · 7 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

1:40 — Edinburgh Gin Rhubarb And Ginger Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Fear And Fast likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Wee Mary led; the map had Fear And Fast in front.

Wee Mary won at 3.50 — led, where the map had it raced midfield.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Fear And Fast

Prominent · 1

Sixcor

Midfield · 4

Wrestling RevenueRoyal DukeWee MaryHard Nut

Hold Up · 2

AlbegoneClassy Clarets

Fear And Fast will make the running with only Sixcor as potential early company, setting up a sustainable pace without early pressure in this small field. The majority of runners (Albegone, Wrestling Revenue, Wee Mary, Royal Duke, Classy Clarets, Hard Nut) are hold-up horses who will settle behind and need to be wound up for their runs. With limited pace pressure and most horses needing to come from off the pace, this race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems. The tactical verdict clearly favours those racing on or close to the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Running

55% probability

If Fear And Fast gets an easy lead without pressure from Sixcor

Fear And Fast will dictate fractions and prove hard to peg back with so many hold-up horses queuing behind him. The lack of pace pressure allows him to reserve energy for the finish while the hold-up brigade face traffic problems.

Fear And FastSixcorWrestling RevenueClassy Clarets

Late Surge Prevails

25% probability

If the early pace becomes genuinely slow and bunches the field

The hold-up horses get their ideal scenario with a sprint finish where superior class can tell. Classy Clarets and Wrestling Revenue benefit most from a truly-run finish where their recent form edge shows.

Classy ClaretsWrestling RevenueWee MaryRoyal Duke

Pace Collapse Drama

12% probability

If Fear And Fast stops quickly in the final furlong after leading

Sixcor inherits the lead while the hold-up horses are caught flat-footed too far back. The prominent runner benefits from being closer to the pace when the leader falters.

SixcorWrestling RevenueFear And FastClassy Clarets

Course Specialist Returns

8% probability

If Royal Duke rediscovers his best form at this favourite track

His two course wins give him the edge despite moderate recent efforts, exploiting local knowledge. The 213-day absence of Hard Nut makes course form less reliable for others.

Royal DukeClassy ClaretsWrestling RevenueWee Mary

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Fear And Fast breaking slowly would leave this race without any genuine pace

WATCH

Wrestling Revenue's positioning early - if he tracks the pace rather than settling behind

NOTE

Sixcor's willingness to race prominently rather than dropping back into the pack

WATCH

The pace in the opening two furlongs - if genuinely slow it changes the entire complexion

NOTE

Royal Duke for signs of a return to his course-winning form despite the long absence

2:15 — Edinburgh Gin Hugo Spritz Selling Stakes

5f · Good · CLS2 · 7 runners

Tree Wizard to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Tree Wizard led, as the map showed.

Furturra won at 2.88 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Tree Wizard

Prominent · 3

FurturraTurnstileDee's Star

Midfield · 3

Havana GiftTango HotelNeedin' U

Hold Up · 0

None

Tree Wizard will take the field along from the start as the only confirmed front runner, likely getting an uncontested lead in this small field of seven. The rest - Furturra, Tango Hotel, Havana Gift, Dee's Star, Turnstile, and Needin' U - are all prominent racers who will settle just behind rather than challenge Tree Wizard early. With no genuine pace pressure expected, Tree Wizard can dictate fractions and kick clear when ready. This setup strongly favours the leader and any prominent runners with a turn of foot, as they'll get ideal positioning without having to work hard early.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tree Wizard Wire-to-Wire

45% probability

If Tree Wizard breaks cleanly and faces no early pressure from the prominent pack

He can steal several lengths turning for home before the field realizes the danger, holding off late challenges with his uncontested advantage. His recent second at Beverley in similar conditions shows he has the tactical speed to exploit this scenario.

Tree WizardTurnstileFurturraTango Hotel

Prominent Pack Surge

30% probability

If the prominent runners track Tree Wizard closely and produce a sustained drive from the 2f pole

Furturra and Turnstile can use their superior ratings and recent form to reel in the leader, with the pace honest enough to set up their finishing kicks. Both have shown they can win from prominent positions at this trip.

FurturraTurnstileTree WizardDee's Star

Steady Pace Kick

15% probability

If Tree Wizard sets modest fractions and the field remains bunched approaching the final furlong

Tango Hotel could benefit from the patient ride that Oisin Orr can provide, timing her challenge perfectly as others fade. Her debut form suggests untapped ability that could surface in this weaker grade.

Tango HotelDee's StarTree WizardFurturra

Pace Collapse Finish

10% probability

If Tree Wizard goes too slowly early and stops in the final 100 yards after the prominent pack converges

Even Needin' U could get involved despite her poor debut, as the race becomes a sprint finish where her early speed might just carry her through. This chaos scenario opens the door for any horse with residual pace.

Needin' UHavana GiftTango HotelTurnstile

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Tree Wizard breaking slowly would completely change the pace dynamic as no other confirmed leaders exist

WATCH

Furturra settling too far back early given his best form comes from tracking the pace closely

NOTE

Needin' U's market moves after being well-backed on debut before disappointing

WATCH

Any prominent runner showing reluctance to take up position behind Tree Wizard could create unexpected pressure

NOTE

Pierre-Louis Jamin's handling of Tree Wizard in the early stages as the Frenchman rides the presumed pace-setter

2:50 — Edinburgh Gin Classic Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Royalty Bay to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Modern Times led; the map had Royalty Bay in front.

Royalty Bay won at 7.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Royalty Bay

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 5

Mae AmorAbductionModern TimesBlack StormYaaser

Hold Up · 3

ZubaruWreck It RyleySociety Man

Royalty Bay is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms from the start without early pressure. With eight hold-up horses behind her, this creates a tactical race where the leaders get first run but face a wall of late challengers. The pace will be sustainable early before quickening from 2f out as the field bunches up. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can track Royalty Bay and get first run, as pure hold-up horses will struggle to make up ground against the numbers ahead.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Duo Control

45% probability

If Royalty Bay and Modern Times establish a clear lead and aren't caught napping.

The front two get optimal splits and kick clear before the hold-up brigade can organize their challenge. Modern Times benefits from his prominent style and David Allan's tactical nous.

Modern TimesRoyalty BayZubaruAbduction

Late Charge Prevails

30% probability

If the pace collapses and the field comes to Royalty Bay en masse.

The leaders fold under pressure as multiple hold-up horses converge simultaneously from the back. Zubaru's proven finishing kick and recent form edge gives him the advantage in a driving finish.

ZubaruAbductionMae AmorBlack Storm

Tactical Muddle

15% probability

If jockeys get caught in a slow early pace war and sprint finish ensues.

The race becomes scrappy with multiple horses vying for position turning in, creating traffic problems. Black Storm's consistency and Katie Scott's small but effective stable gives him the edge in the scramble.

Black StormModern TimesAbductionZubaru

Outsider Ambush

10% probability

If the market leaders underperform and a longshot capitalizes on the tactical nature.

The race unfolds to suit an unfancied runner who gets the perfect trip through the chaos. Yaaser's reduced rating and Jim Goldie's 7/41 strike rate suggests stable form, while his hold-up style could benefit from others' tactical errors.

YaaserWreck It RyleySociety ManMae Amor

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Royalty Bay could get an uncontested lead if Modern Times doesn't press forward early from stall 1

WATCH

Zubaru drawn in stall 9 may struggle to get into contention if the pace is strong and field stays together

NOTE

Jim Goldie runs two with Abduction looking the stronger option over Yaaser on recent evidence

WATCH

Several hold-up horses with 7lb+ claiming jockeys could get outpaced if this becomes tactical

NOTE

Modern Times switching from 6f to 7f could be the key move with David Allan taking the ride

3:28 — Edinburgh Gin Queen Of Scots British EBF Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

7f · Good · LST · 8 runners

Havana Pusey likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

La Brodeuse led; the map had Havana Pusey in front.

Circe won at 5.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Havana Pusey

Prominent · 2

CirceFigjam

Midfield · 3

Beaujolais NouveauGolden PalaceBrazilian Rose

Hold Up · 2

Magic BasmaLa Brodeuse

Havana Pusey will lead from the gate with Circe, Figjam and Beaujolais Nouveau tracking closely behind in the opening furlongs. The pace should be genuine but not frantic with only one confirmed front runner, allowing the prominent runners to settle comfortably. Magic Basma, La Brodeuse and Golden Palace will drop towards the rear from their hold-up styles. This sustainable early tempo followed by tactical positioning battles in the final 2f clearly favours prominent racers who can track the pace and kick when it matters.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

45% probability

If the pace stays honest but manageable through halfway

Havana Pusey and Circe can dictate terms without pressure, while Figjam travels smoothly in their slipstream ready to pounce. The hold-up horses find too much traffic and insufficient pace collapse to mount their challenge.

Havana PuseyCirceFigjamBeaujolais Nouveau

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

30% probability

If the prominent group goes too hard trying to collar Havana Pusey

Magic Basma and La Brodeuse benefit from a strong pace that sets up their closing kicks perfectly over the final furlong. Golden Palace could also get into the mix if the pace truly collapses.

Magic BasmaLa BrodeuseGolden PalaceHavana Pusey

Tactical Battle Unfolds

15% probability

If jockeys get cute and nobody wants to commit early

The race becomes a sprint from the 2f pole where class tells and Circe's experience in Listed company proves decisive. Figjam's 3yo allowance becomes crucial in a slowly-run affair.

CirceFigjamMagic BasmaHavana Pusey

Outsider Surprises

10% probability

If the market leaders fail to fire on the day

Brazilian Rose's recent AW form translates to turf or Beaujolais Nouveau's cheekpieces continue to work their magic from her Ripon success. Golden Palace could also benefit from being fresher than most.

Beaujolais NouveauBrazilian RoseGolden PalaceFigjam

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Havana Pusey breaks slowly again like at Lingfield as any tardy start could compromise her front-running tactics

WATCH

Magic Basma gets shuffled back too far given her 0-7 record at 7f and preference for shorter trips

NOTE

Circe shows signs of needing the run after her 190-day absence despite her class advantage

WATCH

La Brodeuse struggles to adapt to British racing tactics in just her second start for Kevin Ryan

NOTE

Brazilian Rose handles the switch from all-weather to turf for the first time this season

4:10 — Edinburgh Cup Handicap

1m1f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Pandemonium to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Pandemonium led, as the map showed.

Blues And Royals won at 5.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Pandemonium

Prominent · 2

Strength Of SpiritEvening Blues

Midfield · 3

Blues And RoyalsMagical MerlotVictory Ace

Hold Up · 2

HaayimmMonoceros

Pandemonium is the sole confirmed front-runner in this field and will be allowed to dictate terms uncontested in the early stages. The prominent runners Evening Blues and Strength Of Spirit will track him at a respectful distance, while the large contingent of hold-up horses (Haayimm, Monoceros, Magical Merlot, Blues And Royals, Victory Ace) will settle towards the rear. This creates a classic scenario where the pace-setter gets an easy time of it early before the closers launch their challenge in the straight. The race shape strongly favours the hold-up horses who will benefit from the uncontested gallop and have plenty to aim at in the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Brigade Dominates

65% probability

If Pandemonium sets a steady gallop that suits the closers

The large group of hold-up horses will have the perfect target to aim at and can time their runs to perfection. With five quality closers in the field, they will swamp the leaders in the final furlong.

HaayimmMagical MerlotBlues And RoyalsVictory Ace

Front-Runner Steals March

20% probability

If Pandemonium gets away with a very soft lead and kicks clear

Despite his poor recent form, he could exploit the tactical setup if the hold-up horses leave it too late. The lack of early pressure plays into his hands perfectly.

PandemoniumEvening BluesStrength Of SpiritMonoceros

Prominent Pair Strike

12% probability

If Evening Blues and Strength Of Spirit position closer to the pace

They can bridge the gap between Pandemonium and the hold-up horses, getting first run on the closers. Their more forward positioning gives them a tactical edge over the rear division.

Evening BluesStrength Of SpiritPandemoniumBlues And Royals

Pace Collapse Chaos

3% probability

If Pandemonium goes too slow and kicks too late

The race becomes a sprint finish where any horse can win regardless of running style. Form and class become secondary to who gets the best run in a messy finish.

MonocerosVictory AceMagical MerlotHaayimm

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pandemonium's recent form is alarming with two tailed-off efforts - if he shows early signs of distress, the race shape changes completely

WATCH

Watch how aggressively Evening Blues and Strength Of Spirit position themselves early as they could disrupt the hold-up horses' plans

NOTE

The five hold-up horses may get in each other's way in the straight if they all come with runs simultaneously

WATCH

Blues And Royals hit traffic problems last time at Sandown so watch his early positioning to avoid a repeat

NOTE

Victory Ace and Magical Merlot both have inexperienced 5lb claimers aboard which could affect their timing in a tactical finish

4:45 — Edinburgh Gin Seaside Holyrood Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Merlier to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Merlier led, as the map showed.

Mighty Magnus won at 6.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Merlier

Prominent · 3

Major Neigh SayerLebron PowerMighty Magnus

Midfield · 3

Arduis InvictaDandy BreezeJustmyluck

Hold Up · 1

Kind Touch

Merlier is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms from the gate with no pressure for the lead. Major Neigh Sayer, Mighty Magnus, Arduis Invicta, and Lebron Power will likely track in prominent positions behind the leader, creating a bunched field through the early stages. The sustainable pace Merlier sets will keep the field compact turning for home, setting up a sprint finish over the final furlong. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can track the pace and kick, rather than hold-up horses who need a strong gallop to close into.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Merlier Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Merlier gets an uncontested lead and maintains steady fractions.

The cheekpiece addition helps him focus and he has enough in reserve to hold off late challengers in a race run to suit front-runners. His recent Beverley seller win shows he retains ability despite the class rise.

MerlierMajor Neigh SayerMighty MagnusLebron Power

Prominent Tracker Prevails

30% probability

If the pace becomes just quick enough to soften up Merlier in the final furlong.

Major Neigh Sayer or Mighty Magnus can utilize their tactical speed from prominent positions to strike when Merlier weakens. The good going suits both horses' recent form patterns.

Major Neigh SayerMighty MagnusLebron PowerArduis Invicta

Late Surge Succeeds

15% probability

If the early pace is slower than expected, creating a sprint finish from deep.

Kind Touch's hold-up style becomes viable in a truly-run sprint where his late kick can be effective from off the pace. His debut win showed he possesses a turn of foot when getting the right race shape.

Kind TouchLebron PowerMajor Neigh SayerMighty Magnus

Outsider Strikes

10% probability

If the market principals fail to fire and an improving sort capitalizes.

Dandy Breeze bounces back from his turf debut disappointment or Arduis Invicta continues her consistent handicap form at a favorable weight. The competitive nature of the handicap allows for surprises from horses with less obvious claims.

Dandy BreezeArduis InvictaJustmyluckKind Touch

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Merlier gets harried early - any pressure for the lead destroys the tactical scenario he needs

WATCH

Monitor Major Neigh Sayer's jumping - his prominent position critical but needs clean break to secure ideal spot

NOTE

Check Mighty Magnus for market support - his consistency makes him dangerous if connections expect improvement

WATCH

Watch Kind Touch's positioning - if trapped wide or too far back in small field, hold-up style becomes impossible

NOTE

Observe Lebron Power's early enthusiasm - if he pulls hard tracking the pace, it compromises his finishing kick

5:15 — Edinburgh Gin Cannonball Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Nakatomi likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Freak Encounter led; the map had Nakatomi in front.

Approaching Dawn won at 23.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

5 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Nakatomi

Prominent · 2

On The BubbleFreak Encounter

Midfield · 5

Zebra StarDoon The GlenPebble DashMavetheforcebewivuApproaching Dawn

Hold Up · 4

War MemorialSamra StarMonhammerLittle Ted

Nakatomi and On The Bubble will likely set a measured pace early, with Freak Encounter also showing prominent tendencies but less reliable. The lack of confirmed speed horses suggests a steady gallop rather than fierce early pace, allowing the field to stay compact through the first half-mile. This sets up a tactical finish where stamina and positioning become crucial over sustained effort. Hold-up horses with proven staying power will benefit most from this scenario, as they can settle and unleash late kicks against a pace that won't string out the field early.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Prevail

45% probability

If the early pace remains steady as expected

The compact field allows hold-up specialists like Little Ted, War Memorial and Monhammer to settle perfectly before delivering strong late challenges. Their superior class and stamina prove decisive in a finish where positioning matters more than early speed.

War MemorialLittle TedMonhammerSamra Star

Pace Collapse Benefits

30% probability

If Nakatomi and On The Bubble go too slowly early

The crawling pace becomes a sprint finish where any horse can win from anywhere, favouring those with tactical speed regardless of usual style. Fresh horses and good jockeys become paramount in a bunched finish.

NakatomiDoon The GlenOn The BubbleWar Memorial

Prominent Horses Control

15% probability

If On The Bubble and Nakatomi maintain ideal positions throughout

The race becomes a test of who can best combine early positioning with late acceleration. Those tracking the pace closely gain crucial tactical advantages over hold-up horses caught too far back.

On The BubbleNakatomiWar MemorialLittle Ted

Surprise Late Surge

10% probability

If the pace quickens unexpectedly and tests stamina fully

The genuine stayers emerge from the pack as lesser horses fade, creating opportunities for unfancied but consistent types. Distance specialists who handle the step up in trip prove their worth.

Zebra StarMonhammerSamra StarApproaching Dawn

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Nakatomi could steal this if allowed uncontested lead and kicks clear before hold-up horses respond

WATCH

Little Ted's age and recent moderate form may catch up despite class advantage and suitable race conditions

NOTE

War Memorial removing cheekpieces could signal return to best form that won here in April

WATCH

Monhammer's 213-day absence creates uncertainty despite previous solid form when fresh last season

NOTE

On The Bubble's tactical position could prove decisive if pace develops as expected through early stages

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 6 June 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →