Archive›Naas · 17 May 2026

Naas

17 May 2026 · 8 races

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1:56 — Royal Ascot Trials At Naas Rated Race

1m · Good · DEFAULT · 7 runners

Shaftesbury Avenue likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Shaftesbury Avenue led, as the map showed.

Bobby McGee won at 4.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Shaftesbury Avenue

Prominent · 2

Victory TipBobby McGee

Midfield · 2

New RadicalPort Ferdinand

Hold Up · 2

AccreditedLatin America

Shaftesbury Avenue and Victory Tip will likely contest the early pace given their prominent styles, with Bobby McGee and New Radical also capable of tracking close. The presence of multiple hold-up horses (Accredited, Latin America, Port Ferdinand) suggests the pace won't be frantic early, allowing the leaders to dictate terms. With only 7 runners over 1m on good ground, this sets up as a steadily-run affair that will turn into a sprint finish. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can position handy and kick, as the hold-up horses may find insufficient pace to run at.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

55% probability

If the pace stays steady as expected with Shaftesbury Avenue controlling from the front

The handy horses can save energy for a sustained kick while hold-up types struggle for galloping room in a small field. Victory Tip and Bobby McGee benefit most from tracking the favourite's pace.

Victory TipBobby McGeeShaftesbury AvenueNew Radical

Hold-Up Surge Succeeds

25% probability

If the prominent horses go too fast early or tie up in the final furlong

Latin America and Accredited can use their class to sweep past tired leaders in the closing stages. Their stronger ratings suggest they have the ability to overcome tactical disadvantage.

Latin AmericaAccreditedPort FerdinandVictory Tip

Favourite Wires Field

12% probability

If Shaftesbury Avenue gets an uncontested lead and Ryan Moore judges the pace perfectly

The class horse dictates throughout and kicks clear when it matters, using superior tactical speed. His recent form over the distance on heavy suggests good current condition.

Shaftesbury AvenueBobby McGeeVictory TipLatin America

Pace Collapse Chaos

8% probability

If all the prominent horses go too conservatively and it becomes a messy sprint

The race turns into a rough scramble where any horse can win depending on racing luck and position. Port Ferdinand's hold-up style could prove decisive if he gets the gaps.

Port FerdinandNew RadicalAccreditedBobby McGee

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Victory Tip's market position - if weak in betting suggests connections doubt he stays or handles conditions

WATCH

How aggressively Shaftesbury Avenue goes early under Ryan Moore - could set race up for closers if too keen

NOTE

Latin America's ability to get competitive position early - needs to be closer than usual in small field

WATCH

Bobby McGee's weight advantage at 126lbs combined with current form could be underestimated by market

NOTE

Port Ferdinand and Accredited fighting for same tactical ground late - one could compromise the other's chance

2:26 — ALTO Equine Building Solutions Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Fast Tara to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Fast Tara led, as the map showed.

Jagged Edge won at 11.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently.

5 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Fast Tara

Prominent · 4

Jagged EdgeVega's MuseGlory To BeRed Charlie

Midfield · 4

Dark ViperDalerSenna's GirlSpeckled Meadow

Hold Up · 4

Far From DandyFinal VoyageBella IsabellaBooyea

Fast Tara will be the sole confirmed early leader, likely joined by prominent runners Glory To Be, Vega's Muse, Jagged Edge and Red Charlie in the early positions. With only one dedicated front-runner, Fast Tara should get an uncontested lead and sustainable fractions over this mile trip on good ground. The majority of the field are hold-up horses including Booyea, Final Voyage, Dark Viper, Bella Isabella, Far From Dandy, Speckled Meadow, Daler and Senna's Girl, creating a large chasing pack that will need to find racing room in the straight. This pace scenario strongly favours prominent runners and the leader, as they avoid traffic problems and benefit from the controlled early tempo.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If Fast Tara gets soft early fractions and stays strong

The lone pace-setter controls the race throughout and the prominent runners fill the placings ahead of the traffic-laden hold-up brigade. The sustainable tempo plays perfectly into the hands of those racing handy to the pace.

Fast TaraGlory To BeVega's MuseJagged Edge

Prominent Runners Strike

30% probability

If Glory To Be or Vega's Muse improve past Fast Tara in the straight

The early prominent horses benefit from ideal positioning as Fast Tara weakens, while the hold-up horses struggle for clear runs in a bunched finish. The tactical advantage of racing close to the pace proves decisive.

Glory To BeVega's MuseRed CharlieJagged Edge

Hold-Up Horse Powers Through

20% probability

If one of the back-markers gets a dream run through gaps late

A strong-staying hold-up performer like Far From Dandy or Booyea finds the perfect split and powers home past tiring leaders. The good ground and strong pace sets up perfectly for a late charge from the rear.

Far From DandyBooyeaFinal VoyageDark Viper

Traffic-Free Outsider Emerges

5% probability

If the main fancies get hampered and a mid-priced runner finds daylight

An unconsidered runner like Daler or Senna's Girl benefits from a trouble-free trip while the market leaders encounter interference. The chaotic finish allows an outsider to slip through unnoticed.

DalerSenna's GirlSpeckled MeadowBella Isabella

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Fast Tara could get an armchair ride if no other horse wants to go forward early, creating difficult catching conditions

WATCH

The large group of hold-up horses including Far From Dandy, Booyea and Final Voyage will create significant traffic problems in the straight

NOTE

Glory To Be and Vega's Muse are both in excellent current form and perfectly positioned to track the lone leader

WATCH

Bella Isabella returns from a long break for the shrewd Weld yard and could be well-handicapped off her current mark

NOTE

Jagged Edge showed high-class form for Weld last season but the 245-day break raises fitness concerns for new connections

2:56 — Coolmore Stud Blackbeard Race

5f · Good · DEFAULT · 6 runners

Your Song to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Your Song led, as the map showed.

Your Song won at 26.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Your Song

Prominent · 2

What A Girl WantsCyclone Code

Midfield · 2

Pala AureliaNew Yorker

Hold Up · 1

Star Prospect

Your Song will be the clear early leader with no genuine pace pressure in this small field, allowing her to dictate terms from the front. The prominent runners What A Girl Wants and New Yorker will track behind but neither has shown the pace to seriously challenge Your Song's early position. With Star Prospect preferring to come from off the pace and Pala Aurelia an unknown quantity, Your Song can control fractions and potentially steal this at generous odds. This race shape strongly favours front runners and those who can sit handy, as the lack of genuine pace pressure means the leader won't be softened up for closers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Runner Wins

45% probability

If Your Song gets an easy lead without pressure from the prominent runners

Your Song can dictate comfortable fractions and has enough in hand to resist late challenges. The lack of early pace allows her to conserve energy for the crucial final furlong where her stamina advantage tells.

Your SongWhat A Girl WantsStar ProspectNew Yorker

Class Tells Late

35% probability

If the pace becomes genuine enough to set up the race for the better horses

Star Prospect and Pala Aurelia can use their superior ratings to overcome the tactical disadvantage. The class difference becomes decisive in the final 100 yards as the early pace takes its toll.

Star ProspectPala AureliaWhat A Girl WantsNew Yorker

Prominent Stalker Strikes

15% probability

If What A Girl Wants or New Yorker can position perfectly behind Your Song

The tracking horse gets the ideal trip behind the leader and has enough tactical speed to strike at the right moment. Recent form and race fitness prove crucial in a sustained drive to the line.

What A Girl WantsNew YorkerStar ProspectYour Song

Pace Collapse Surprise

5% probability

If Your Song goes too slow early and the field bunches up for a sprint finish

The race becomes a pure speed contest over the final 2 furlongs where any horse can win. Cyclone Code or another outsider could benefit from the chaos of a slowly-run race turning into a dash.

Cyclone CodeNew YorkerYour SongWhat A Girl Wants

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Your Song breaking slowly could ruin the entire pace scenario as she is the only natural front runner

WATCH

Watch for any market support for Pala Aurelia as connections may know she is well above average

WATCH

Star Prospect needs the pace to be genuine early - if Your Song goes too slowly he will struggle to make up ground

NOTE

What A Girl Wants and Your Song share the same trainer which creates interesting tactical dynamics

NOTE

New Yorker has Ryan Moore aboard and any confident ride could signal Ballydoyle expect improvement

3:26 — Twydil/Clovelly Irish EBF Fillies Maiden

1m · Good · MDN · 8 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:56 — Owenstown Stud Stakes (Listed Race)

7f · Good · LST · 11 runners

Lead contested: Greek Mythology v Wannabe RoyalHISTORIC

How it ran

Wannabe Royal and Greek Mythology led, as the map showed.

Wannabe Royal won at 34.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Greek MythologyWannabe Royal

Prominent · 3

ExpandedChantezCarolina Jetstream

Midfield · 3

King CuanTashakourGreydreambeliever

Hold Up · 3

Native WarriorRahmiEast Hampton

Greek Mythology and Wannabe Royal will contest the early lead, with both confirmed front runners likely to set an honest gallop from the start. Expanded and Chantez should sit prominent behind the leaders, while the strong contingent of hold-up horses (Rahmi, Native Warrior, King Cuan, East Hampton, Tashakour, Greydreambeliever) will be positioned further back. The dual pace angle creates a solid tempo that should set up a strong finish, with the race likely to develop into a sprint from the 2f pole. This honest pace strongly favours the hold-up merchants and prominent racers with tactical speed over the front runners.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Brigade Dominates

45% probability

If the early pace proves genuine and both leaders tire

The strong group of closers will have perfect conditions to unleash their finishing kicks in the final 2f. Rahmi's class and Native Warrior's recent visor form make them particularly dangerous from off the pace.

RahmiNative WarriorEast HamptonKing Cuan

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Expanded or Chantez can secure the ideal pitch behind the leaders

These horses can avoid the early battle while staying close enough to pounce when the pace kicks in. Expanded's Ballydoyle polish and recent run gives him the edge in this tactical scenario.

ExpandedChantezCarolina JetstreamGreek Mythology

Front Runner Survives

15% probability

If one of the pace setters can establish a clear advantage and kick clear

Greek Mythology's improving profile could see him dominate from the front if Wannabe Royal folds early. The 3yo would need to show significant improvement to hold off the closers.

Greek MythologyWannabe RoyalExpandedTashakour

Upset from Outsider

10% probability

If the pace collapses or the race becomes tactical early

Tashakour's recent winning form at longer trips or Greydreambeliever's stable debut promise could catch the fancied runners napping. A messy pace would open the door for progressive types.

TashakourGreydreambelieverCarolina JetstreamKing Cuan

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Greek Mythology and Wannabe Royal must be monitored early - if both go hard, they create perfect setup for closers

WATCH

Chantez returning from 259-day absence faces fitness concerns despite Listed-winning ability

NOTE

Native Warrior's visor retention is crucial given how much it transformed his form last season

WATCH

Tashakour dropping back from mile success could struggle if pace isn't strong enough for his closing kick

NOTE

Expanded's market support will indicate Ballydoyle confidence in his chances against this Listed field

4:26 — Coolmore Stud Irish EBF Fillies Sprint Stakes (Group 3)

6f · Good · G3 · 6 runners

Lead contested: Velozee v VolleringHISTORIC

How it ran

Maria Quiteria led; the map had Velozee and Vollering in front.

Victorious won at 1.91 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

VelozeeVollering

Prominent · 2

VictoriousMaria Quiteria

Midfield · 2

ControllaDancing Destiny

Hold Up · 0

None

Velozee and Vollering are both confirmed front runners who will contest the early pace from the gates, ensuring an honest gallop throughout. With just six runners, the prominent types Victorious, Maria Quiteria and Dancing Destiny will sit close behind the leaders, while the lightly-raced Controlla represents an unknown quantity tactically. The small field and two speed horses up front will create a searching test that should suit those with proven pace and tactical speed. This race shape strongly favours the front runners and prominent racers who can travel well early and have the class to sustain their effort.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Velozee or Vollering gets first run and the pace isn't suicidal

The leader will have every chance to dictate terms and kick clear, with the small field unable to apply sustained pressure. Either speed horse can exploit their natural pace advantage and superior race experience over this trip.

VelozeeVolleringVictoriousMaria Quiteria

Prominent Closer Strikes

35% probability

If the two leaders engage in a pace duel and compromise each other

Victorious or Maria Quiteria can sit the perfect trip behind the battling leaders and pounce late. The class edge of Victorious or the fresh legs of Maria Quiteria after 51 days off can prove decisive.

VictoriousMaria QuiteriaVelozeeDancing Destiny

Controlla Surprise Package

12% probability

If the unknown tactical setup of Controlla allows perfect positioning

The lightly-raced Night Of Thunder filly could have significant untapped ability and benefit from racing off a pace that may be too strong. Her breeding suggests she'll handle this step up in class if allowed to settle.

ControllaVictoriousVelozeeVollering

Dancing Destiny Late Surge

8% probability

If the 8f debut winner shows more pace than expected stepping back in trip

Despite not looking desperate for this shorter distance, her recent Roscommon win could have been a confidence booster. The quick turnaround of just 6 days may catch rivals cold if she's improved dramatically.

Dancing DestinyControllaMaria QuiteriaVictorious

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Velozee and Vollering must be monitored closely early to see if they engage in a pace duel that could compromise both chances.

WATCH

Controlla's market moves will be telling given her lightly-raced profile and the David Egan jockey booking for this step up in class.

WATCH

Maria Quiteria's sharpness after 51 days off needs assessing in the preliminaries, as freshness could be key or concerning.

NOTE

Dancing Destiny's ability to show early pace on this quick turnaround will determine if the trip drop is workable.

NOTE

Victorious needs the two leaders to go too fast early to set up her prominent running style perfectly.

4:56 — Goffs Lacken Stakes (Group 3)

6f · Good · G3 · 8 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Oh Cecelia and Charles Darwin led, as the map showed.

Havana Anna won at 3.25 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Charles DarwinRoyal Bay CenKindergarten

Prominent · 3

Havana AnnaOh CeceliaJosh's Joy

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Chicago CallTahcawin

Charles Darwin, Royal Bay Cen, and Kindergarten will create a fierce early battle with all three confirmed front-runners forcing a strong gallop from the gates. This sustained pace will test stamina reserves over 6f on good turf, with the leaders likely to engage from the 4f pole onwards. The relentless tempo will set up tactical opportunities for closers like Tahcawin and Chicago Call to sweep up tired leaders in the final furlong. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can conserve energy and produce late kicks against stamina-sapped pace-setters.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapse Finish

45% probability

If the three front-runners engage in a speed duel through halfway

The sustained gallop will drain Charles Darwin, Royal Bay Cen and Kindergarten, allowing patient closers to exploit their finishing kicks. Hold-up specialists with tactical pace will prove superior as leaders hit the wall in the final 100 yards.

TahcawinChicago CallHavana AnnaOh Cecelia

Front Runner Survives

30% probability

If one pace-setter can dictate terms without severe early pressure

Charles Darwin or Royal Bay Cen could steal crucial lengths by avoiding the worst of the speed battle, maintaining enough reserves to repel late challenges. The class leader gets first run while others are still winding up their finishing efforts.

Charles DarwinRoyal Bay CenHavana AnnaJosh's Joy

Prominent Tracker Strikes

15% probability

If the early pace is moderate allowing stalkers to travel comfortably

Havana Anna and Josh's Joy can sit perfectly positioned behind the leaders, avoiding the speed battle while maintaining striking distance. They get the best of both worlds with tactical position and fresh finishing power over the final 2f.

Havana AnnaJosh's JoyChicago CallOh Cecelia

Complete Pace Meltdown

10% probability

If all three leaders go suicidally fast from the outset

The entire front rank will compound and stop dramatically, creating a sprint finish from deep in the field. Even moderate finishers will have winning chances as the race falls apart completely in front of them.

Chicago CallOh CeceliaTahcawinJosh's Joy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Charles Darwin and Royal Bay Cen engaging in early speed battle could compromise both their finishing kicks

WATCH

Havana Anna returning from 198-day absence may need the run despite her high-class form

WATCH

Kindergarten attempting to lead against superior pace-setters could see her drop away tamely

NOTE

Tahcawin and Chicago Call getting clean runs from the back as the expected pace scenario unfolds

NOTE

Oh Cecelia wearing headgear for first time suggesting connections expect improved effort

5:26 — Sole Power Sprint Stakes (Listed Race)

5f · Good · LST · 12 runners

Valiant Force to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Moss Tucker led; the map had Valiant Force in front.

Mission Central won at 2.25 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Valiant Force

Prominent · 5

Mission CentralLady ImanMoss TuckerLikedbymikeIpanema Queen

Midfield · 2

Gazelle d'OrSarahmae

Hold Up · 4

KekeBlack ForzaKerdosBillie Be Quick

Valiant Force will lead from the gates with no early pressure, setting sustainable fractions over this straight 5f trip. Mission Central, Moss Tucker, Ipanema Queen, Lady Iman and Likedbymike will create a congested prominent group, with traffic issues likely developing 2-3 furlongs out as they bunch together. The lack of early pace pressure means the leaders won't stop, while the prominent runners face navigation problems in a tight finish. This setup clearly favours front runners and hold-up horses who can find clear runs, penalising the overcrowded prominent brigade.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leaders Stay Strong

45% probability

If Valiant Force maintains his lead and the prominent group gets tangled up

The uncontested leader kicks clear while Mission Central and others struggle for racing room in the congested pack behind. Hold-up horses like Keke and Black Forza benefit from the solid pace and find smoother passages.

Valiant ForceKekeBlack ForzaKerdos

Prominent Pack Sorts

30% probability

If the prominent runners can navigate the traffic and produce their kicks

Mission Central's class tells as Ryan Moore finds a gap, with Lady Iman and Likedbymike also getting clear runs. The sustainable pace allows them to wear down Valiant Force in the final furlong.

Mission CentralLady ImanLikedbymikeIpanema Queen

Hold-Up Heroes Strike

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint from halfway

Keke and Black Forza time their runs perfectly from the back as the leaders and prominent group come back to them. The lack of early gallop turns this into a pure speed test favouring the closers.

Black ForzaKekeKerdosGazelle d'Or

Chaos Sprint Finish

10% probability

If multiple horses get severely hampered and the race becomes a lottery

The tight finish creates interference throughout the field with several runners getting blocked or checked. An outsider who avoids trouble or gets a dream run through gaps can capitalise on the mayhem.

Gazelle d'OrBillie Be QuickSarahmaeMoss Tucker

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for severe interference 2f out when Mission Central, Moss Tucker, Lady Iman, Ipanema Queen and Likedbymike converge

WATCH

Monitor if Valiant Force can sustain his kick having shown poor turf form recently despite leading

NOTE

Check if Black Forza shows any sharpness after 205-day absence when making his run

WATCH

Observe whether Keke can handle career-high mark of 104 in Listed company

NOTE

Note if Lady Iman shows any ring-rustiness after 247-day break when asked for effort

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 17 May 2026.

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