Archive›Newcastle (AW) · 27 March 2026

Newcastle (AW)

27 March 2026 · 9 races

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Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

4:25 — Tipping Tom On SBK Bet Feed Handicap (Div I)

1m · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Tasever to leadFREEHISTORIC

Race shape

Lead · 1

Tasever

Prominent · 3

Roger HenryLaw SupremeBajan Bandit

Midfield · 2

BarleybrownTrais Fluors

Hold Up · 3

Dream IllusionSea LegendMy Awele

Tasever is the only confirmed front runner and will dictate a sustainable gallop without early pressure from the prominent runners Roger Henry, Bajan Bandit, and Law Supreme. With five hold-up horses including in-form Dream Illusion, Sea Legend, and My Awele, this sets up a tactical affair where the pace could quicken significantly in the final three furlongs as the back markers launch their challenges.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tasever Controls Throughout

35% probability

If Tasever establishes an uncontested lead and the prominent runners settle behind without applying pressure.

Tasever maintains his rhythm while the hold-up horses find traffic problems in the straight. The leader's two-length advantage at the furlong pole proves decisive as closers run out of room.

TaseverLaw Supreme

Strong Pace Suits Closers

40% probability

If Roger Henry and Law Supreme press Tasever early, creating genuine pace pressure through the middle stages.

The increased gallop stretches the field and sets up perfectly for Dream Illusion and Sea Legend to deliver their trademark late rushes. My Awele also benefits from the strong tempo to grab a place.

Dream IllusionSea Legend

Prominent Runners Strike

20% probability

If the pace collapses completely and Tasever crawls through moderate fractions, allowing prominent runners to remain competitive.

Law Supreme and Roger Henry are perfectly positioned to kick clear in the straight before the hold-up horses can organize their challenges. Bajan Bandit also profits from the steady tempo to stay involved.

Law SupremeRoger Henry

Surprise Outsider Emerges

5% probability

If the pace becomes stop-start with multiple moves, creating a scrambling finish where positioning trumps ability.

The race becomes a lottery where Trais Fluors or Barleybrown find the perfect split at the crucial moment. The higher-rated horses cancel each other out through poor positioning.

Trais FluorsBarleybrown

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Tasever's early fractions will determine the entire race shape - if he dawdles, the hold-up horses lose their advantage

WATCH

Dream Illusion needs a strong pace to be effective, so watch how aggressively the prominent runners track the leader

NOTE

Law Supreme's positioning in the first half-mile is crucial given his recent front-running victories

WATCH

Traffic problems likely in straight with five hold-up horses needing room simultaneously

NOTE

Roger Henry's consistent prominent style makes him the key barometer for how genuine the early pace becomes

5:00 — Tipping Tom On SBK Bet Feed Handicap (Div II)

1m · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Lead contested: Eazy On The Eye v West TyroneHISTORIC

Race shape

Lead · 2

Eazy On The EyeWest Tyrone

Prominent · 1

Alpine Sierra

Midfield · 3

Jamaican StormConcert BoyBook Of Life

Hold Up · 3

HachimanChuzzlewitStarliner

Eazy On The Eye and West Tyrone will contest the early pace as the only confirmed front runners, setting up an honest gallop over this mile trip. With six hold-up horses including the higher-rated Chuzzlewit, Hachiman, and Starliner waiting behind, the race will likely develop into a tactical affair where the early leaders' stamina will be tested by closers timing their runs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Early Leaders Collapse

35% probability

If Eazy On The Eye and West Tyrone go too fast early in their pace battle

The front pair tire dramatically in the final two furlongs, opening the door for the patient hold-up horses. Chuzzlewit and Hachiman emerge from the pack to contest the finish with superior finishing kicks.

ChuzzlewitHachimanStarlinerJamaican Storm

Sustained Pace Suits

25% probability

If the early gallop is honest but not overly fast between the two leaders

The tempo plays into the hands of horses that can travel prominently or just off the pace. Alpine Sierra gets a perfect pitch from her prominent style while Book Of Life times his challenge perfectly.

Alpine SierraBook Of LifeWest TyroneEazy On The Eye

Front Runner Dominates

20% probability

If one of the pace-setters gets an uncontested lead and controls the fractions

West Tyrone or Eazy On The Eye dictates terms without serious pressure, keeping enough in reserve for the finish. The hold-up horses struggle to make up ground against the controlled tempo.

West TyroneEazy On The EyeAlpine SierraHachiman

Messy Tactical Affair

20% probability

If the pace collapses with both leaders reluctant to commit early

The race becomes a stop-start sprint where positioning matters more than pure ability. Concert Boy and Jamaican Storm benefit from being in the right place when the race finally develops.

Concert BoyJamaican StormBook Of LifeStarliner

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Eazy On The Eye and West Tyrone engage in a fierce early battle as both could collapse dramatically

WATCH

Monitor Alpine Sierra's early positioning as she needs to be handy enough to capitalize on her class drop

NOTE

Observe Hachiman's position turning for home as he has the form and style to be dangerous late

WATCH

Check if the pace becomes too slow as this will disadvantage all the hold-up horses significantly

NOTE

Watch Chuzzlewit's movement in the final three furlongs as the highest-rated needs a strong pace to be effective

5:30 — Bet Responsibly With SBK Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Lord Capulet to leadHISTORIC

Race shape

Lead · 1

Lord Capulet

Prominent · 1

Bobby Joe Leg

Midfield · 6

TravisCamera ShyBrave EmpireConcert BoyPenny MountainIgnac Lamar

Hold Up · 4

AnthropologistRich RhythmNovakPhoenix Of Dreams

Lord Capulet will lead uncontested with Bobby Joe Leg the only other horse likely to race prominently, creating a moderate gallop through the early stages. With 10 of 12 runners confirmed hold-up performers, this becomes a classic sit-and-sprint setup where the pace will quicken dramatically from 2f out as the field compresses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Gallop Holds

45% probability

If Lord Capulet maintains a strong tempo and Bobby Joe Leg applies pressure from 3f out

The early pace proves honest enough to blunt the finishing kick of the hold-up brigade. Lord Capulet's front-running tactics pay dividends with the prominent Bobby Joe Leg picking up the pieces.

Lord CapuletBobby Joe LegPhoenix Of DreamsAnthropologist

Late Dash Dominates

35% probability

If the pace collapses into a crawl through the middle stages creating a sprint finish

The field bunches turning for home and it becomes a pure speed battle over the final 2f. The best finishers with proven 7f form get first run on the leaders.

Phoenix Of DreamsAnthropologistRich RhythmTravis

Traffic Chaos

15% probability

If the 10 hold-up horses create a wall of horses turning for home with limited racing room

Several fancied runners get blocked or forced wide, allowing those with clear runs to capitalize. Jockey positioning becomes crucial as gaps appear late.

Camera ShyConcert BoyNovakTravis

Surprise Package

5% probability

If the pace collapses completely and one of the outsiders finds their ideal scenario

The race sets up perfectly for a horse stepping up markedly on recent form. Either Ignac Lamar or Penny Mountain finds the tactical race they need.

Ignac LamarPenny MountainLord CapuletBobby Joe Leg

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Lord Capulet must handle the 7f trip as his recent wins came when controlling the pace completely

WATCH

Phoenix Of Dreams and Anthropologist need to avoid being caught too far back if the pace quickens early

NOTE

Bobby Joe Leg's positioning behind Lord Capulet will determine if there's any early pressure

WATCH

Rich Rhythm requires a strong pace to be effective and could struggle if it becomes a sprint

NOTE

Camera Shy dropping back to 7f from longer trips could find this sharp enough for her speed

6:00 — SBK: No Casino Just Sports Handicap (Div I)

6f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Yorkshire Glory likeliest to leadHISTORIC

Race shape

Lead · 1

Yorkshire Glory

Prominent · 1

Mayo County

Midfield · 4

Water Of LeithKitaabPit BossInvitorio

Hold Up · 3

Fan MailCayman TaiQazaq

Yorkshire Glory stands out as the only confirmed front runner with exceptional recent form (five straight wins at 6f on good ground), likely to dictate terms from the front without serious pressure. With Mayo County the only other prominent runner among a field dominated by hold-up horses, Yorkshire Glory should get an uncontested lead and sustainable fractions that will test the closing kick of the hold-up brigade.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Yorkshire Glory Wires Field

45% probability

If Yorkshire Glory gets uncontested fractions and maintains kick resistance

The in-form front runner dictates comfortable splits with Mayo County tracking, then holds off late challenges from the hold-up horses. Water Of Leith and Fan Mail rally strongly but cannot reel in the leader.

Yorkshire GloryWater Of LeithFan MailMayo County

Hold-Up Horse Surge

35% probability

If the pace becomes too slow and Yorkshire Glory lacks finishing punch

The sustainable pace sets up perfectly for the closers to unleash their kicks in the final two furlongs. Fan Mail and Water Of Leith time their runs to perfection, sweeping past a vulnerable Yorkshire Glory.

Fan MailWater Of LeithPit BossQazaq

Mayo County Strikes

15% probability

If Mayo County can pressure Yorkshire Glory early and stay on

The prominent runner applies enough early pressure to soften up Yorkshire Glory while positioning for first run. Mayo County kicks clear in the final furlong before the hold-up horses can respond effectively.

Mayo CountyYorkshire GloryWater Of LeithFan Mail

Pace Collapse Surprise

5% probability

If Yorkshire Glory fades dramatically and Mayo County also struggles

Both pace angles fail to deliver, creating chaos in the final furlong as multiple hold-up horses converge simultaneously. Pit Boss or Qazaq benefit from the scramble with perfectly timed runs.

Pit BossQazaqWater Of LeithKitaab

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Yorkshire Glory must be watched for any signs of early pressure from Mayo County which could compromise his stamina reserves

WATCH

Fan Mail's positioning in the early stages will be crucial - needs to be handy enough to strike when the pace lifts

WATCH

Water Of Leith requires a genuine pace to aim at given his hold-up style, so track how genuine the early tempo becomes

NOTE

Mayo County's tactics will shape the race - whether he shadows Yorkshire Glory or applies meaningful pressure early

NOTE

Qazaq dropping back in trip after longer distances could be significant if he shows early pace awareness

6:30 — SBK: No Casino Just Sports Handicap (Div II)

6f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

Race shape

Lead · 3

D FlawlessSherlockMiss Rainbow

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 3

TeardropsElvethamTickets

Hold Up · 3

PianoforteKings MerchantVelvet Skies

Three confirmed front-runners (D Flawless, Miss Rainbow, Sherlock) will create a strong gallop from the outset, with likely fractions that will test stamina reserves over this 6f trip. The abundance of hold-up horses (Kings Merchant, Pianoforte, Velvet Skies, Teardrops, Elvetham, Tickets) suggests a compressed finish as closers swarm the early pace-setters in the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapses Early

35% probability

If one of the three leaders (D Flawless/Miss Rainbow/Sherlock) drops out early, reducing early tempo

The remaining pace-setters get an easier lead and the hold-up brigade struggles to make up ground. Miss Rainbow or Sherlock capitalize on the reduced gallop.

Miss RainbowSherlockD FlawlessKings Merchant

Sustained Strong Gallop

40% probability

If all three leaders (D Flawless, Miss Rainbow, Sherlock) maintain honest fractions throughout

The strong pace sets up perfectly for the closers to sweep past tired leaders in the final furlong. Kings Merchant and Pianoforte benefit most from their proven hold-up style.

Kings MerchantPianoforteTeardropsVelvet Skies

Tactical Slow Start

15% probability

If the three leaders go off conservatively, creating a falsely-run race

The lack of early pace favors horses that can quicken from prominent positions rather than pure hold-up types. Sherlock's recent 5f win suggests he has the tactical speed to capitalize.

SherlockMiss RainbowTicketsElvetham

Messy Pace Battle

10% probability

If the three leaders engage in an early speed duel through aggressive jockey tactics

All three pace-setters compromise each other, leaving the race wide open for a closer with the best turn of foot. Teardrops' consistent 6f form makes her the prime beneficiary.

TeardropsTicketsElvethamPianoforte

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Monitor if D Flawless shows early reluctance to lead given recent poor form, which could disrupt expected pace dynamics

WATCH

Watch for Sherlock to potentially dictate more conservative fractions given his recent shorter-distance success

NOTE

Observe Kings Merchant's position turning for home as his hold-up style requires genuine pace collapse to be effective

WATCH

Check if Miss Rainbow gets isolated on the lead without D Flawless for company, making her vulnerable to closers

NOTE

Note Teardrops' position at halfway as she needs to be within striking distance to utilize her proven finishing kick

7:00 — SBK: Betting Without The Bull Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 14 runners

5 vying for the leadHISTORIC

Race shape

Lead · 5

Power FizzSergeant WilkoMister BluebirdTwilight FunHockney

Prominent · 4

Wicket KeeperPaddy's DayVenture CapitalRoberto Caro

Midfield · 1

Wheels Of Fire

Hold Up · 4

BadriAndesiteRousing EncoreTwilight Calls

Five confirmed front runners (Power Fizz, Sergeant Wilko, Twilight Fun, Mister Bluebird, Hockney) will create a fierce early gallop over this sharp 6f at Newcastle. The strong pace will set up perfectly for the hold-up merchants like Badri, Andesite, and Rousing Encore to deliver late charges, while prominent racers Wicket Keeper and Paddy's Day may get the perfect tactical position just behind the speed battle.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapses Early

25% probability

If the five front runners go too fast and fold turning for home

The leaders will tie up badly in the final furlong, creating a cavalry charge from the back. Hold-up horses with proven finishing kicks will sweep past the spent pace-setters.

BadriAndesiteRousing EncoreTwilight Calls

Sustained Strong Gallop

35% probability

If Power Fizz and Twilight Fun maintain honest fractions without going suicidal

The pace will be strong enough to test stamina but allow one front runner to kick clear. Prominent horses tracking the pace will also benefit from the solid tempo.

Power FizzTwilight FunWicket KeeperPaddy's Day

Tactical Speed Battle

25% probability

If the five front runners jostle and interfere with each other early

The pace will become uneven with several leaders fighting for position, creating gaps for mid-division horses. Those who avoid the early scrimmaging will have clear runs to capitalize.

Venture CapitalRoberto CaroWheels Of FireMister Bluebird

Front Runner Dominance

15% probability

If one of the leaders breaks clear and dictates solo fractions

Hockney or Twilight Fun could steal a march and kick clear when the others are still fighting. The lone leader will have controlled the tempo and saved energy for a decisive move.

HockneyTwilight FunPower FizzSergeant Wilko

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Power Fizz, Sergeant Wilko, and Twilight Fun all breaking quickly together could create an unsustainable early pace

WATCH

Badri's position early will be crucial - needs to be close enough to strike when the pace collapses

WATCH

Wicket Keeper must secure a prominent position without getting trapped behind the wall of front runners

NOTE

Hockney despite lowest rating has won recently at 6f and could benefit if others go too fast

NOTE

Andestate's settling and positioning will determine if he can deliver his proven finishing kick

7:30 — Friday Night Live With SBK Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Lead contested: Degale v Maestro BernsteinHISTORIC

Race shape

Lead · 2

DegaleMaestro Bernstein

Prominent · 3

Sir Paul RamseyNymanHarry The Rogue

Midfield · 3

Flying FletcherUrban RoadIzzari

Hold Up · 4

Rogue EncoreSaytarrMr MistoffeleesBrewing

Degale and Maestro Bernstein will ensure genuine early pace from the front, with Sir Paul Ramsey, Nyman, and Harry The Rogue sitting prominent behind them. This creates an honest gallop that will perfectly suit the eight hold-up horses in the field, setting up a cavalry charge finish where Saytarr, Flying Fletcher, and Rogue Encore can unleash their finishing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

40% probability

If the two leaders engage in early battle and soften each other up

The strong pace allows closers to time their runs perfectly from the back. Saytarr and Flying Fletcher have the class to capitalize on the pace collapse.

SaytarrFlying FletcherRogue EncoreMr Mistoffelees

Prominent trackers prevail

30% probability

If Sir Paul Ramsey or Nyman get perfect positioning just behind the pace

They avoid the early battle but stay close enough to strike when the leaders falter. Their tactical speed proves decisive in the final furlong.

Sir Paul RamseyNymanHarry The RogueBrewing

Pace collapses completely

20% probability

If both Degale and Maestro Bernstein go too fast early and tie up badly

The race becomes a crawl in the middle stages before a messy sprint finish. Urban Road's stamina and Harry The Rogue's versatility become key assets.

Urban RoadHarry The RogueIzzariMr Mistoffelees

Front runner survives

10% probability

If Degale gets an uncontested lead while Maestro Bernstein settles behind

The pace becomes more moderate allowing the leader to maintain a decisive advantage. Degale's recent good form and tactical speed hold off all challengers.

DegaleMaestro BernsteinSir Paul RamseyNyman

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Maestro Bernstein may not handle the good going as well as his heavy ground form suggests

WATCH

If Degale gets an uncontested lead, his recent consistent form makes him very dangerous

NOTE

Saytarr's four wins from fifteen similar going runs mark him as the specialist in these conditions

WATCH

The eight hold-up horses could create traffic problems in the straight if pace is strong enough

NOTE

Sir Paul Ramsey's prominent style could be perfect if the two leaders engage in early battle

8:00 — SBK: Dont Settle For Less Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Master Richard to leadHISTORIC

Race shape

Lead · 1

Master Richard

Prominent · 3

BenacreCity CaptainHavana Prince

Midfield · 4

Cargin BhuiBeale StreetFlowstateWreck It Ryley

Hold Up · 4

PhilanthropistEligibleMudamerBest Rate

Master Richard will lead uncontested with only Benacre and Havana Prince for early company, creating a comfortable sustainable pace. The massive field of hold-up horses (Best Rate, Philanthropist, Flowstate, Beale Street, Eligible, Mudamer, Cargin Bhui, Wreck It Ryley) will create a traffic-laden sprint finish over the final 2f.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Holds

35% probability

If Master Richard gets soft fractions and kicks clear turning in

The lone leader builds a decisive advantage while the pack struggles for racing room in behind. Strong travellers like Eligible and Flowstate emerge best from the chaos but fall short.

Master RichardEligibleFlowstatePhilanthropist

Hold-Up Sprint Finish

40% probability

If the pace stays steady and the field bunches entering the straight

Multiple hold-up horses fan wide creating a cavalry charge finish where the best turn of foot prevails. Form horses Eligible and Flowstate use their proven finishing kicks to maximum effect.

EligibleFlowstatePhilanthropistMudamer

Prominent Pair Strike

15% probability

If Benacre and Havana Prince press Master Richard creating genuine pace

The early pace battle sets up a perfectly-timed run from the two prominent runners who avoid the traffic chaos. City Captain joins them having tracked the pace setters throughout.

BenacreCity CaptainHavana PrinceCargin Bhui

Outsider Traffic Dodge

10% probability

If the favorites get caught in trouble while an unfancied runner finds a clear passage

A lesser-fancied hold-up horse like Wreck It Ryley or Best Rate benefits from a perfect trip while higher-rated rivals are hampered. The winner emerges from an impossible position with a dream run.

Wreck It RyleyBest RateCargin BhuiBeale Street

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Master Richard must be monitored early - if Benacre or Havana Prince apply serious pressure the leader could fold tamely

WATCH

Eligible and Flowstate are the class acts but both need luck in running from their hold-up styles in this large field

WATCH

Cargin Bhui has been running over shorter trips recently and may not fully see out the 7f distance

NOTE

City Captain steps up in trip and could be overpriced if getting into contention from a prominent position

NOTE

The hold-up brigade of 8+ horses will create inevitable traffic problems turning into the straight

8:30 — SBK Betting Podcast Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Station X to leadHISTORIC

Race shape

Lead · 1

Station X

Prominent · 5

Master Of My FateSports CoachMon Na SlieveReigning ProfitKinetic Force

Midfield · 2

TiriacPixie Diva

Hold Up · 4

Havana BlastVingegaardBlinkyAlmarada Prince

Station X is the only confirmed front runner and should get an uncontested lead with sustainable fractions over 5f. Five horses (Sports Coach, Master Of My Fate, Reigning Profit, Mon Na Slieve, Kinetic Force) all want prominent positions behind Station X, creating significant congestion and traffic concerns turning for home. The hold-up brigade (Pixie Diva, Almarada Prince, Tiriac, Havana Blast, Blinky, Vingegaard) will need clear runs in the final 2f as the prominent pack fans out.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

35% probability

If Station X maintains gallop and prominent pack gets tangled

Station X dictates throughout and kicks clear turning for home. The congested prominent group behind struggles for room allowing the leader to hold on.

Station XSports Coach

Hold-Up Sprint Home

40% probability

If prominent traffic creates clear late runs for closers

Havana Blast and Tiriac get dream splits through the struggling prominent pack. Both hit top gear simultaneously in final furlong with Havana Blast's superior rating telling.

Havana BlastTiriacBlinkyVingegaard

Prominent Breaks Clear

20% probability

If one prominent runner escapes the pack congestion early

Sports Coach or Master Of My Fate gets first run on Station X at 2f pole before closers arrive. Their sustained pace pressure drops Station X and they hold off late challenges.

Sports CoachMaster Of My FateMon Na SlieveKinetic Force

Closer Wide Sweep

5% probability

If all prominent runners get tangled leaving widest path clear

Vingegaard or Almarada Prince comes widest of all with clear late run. The prominent scrimmaging allows patient tactics to pay off spectacularly.

VingegaardAlmarada PrincePixie DivaHavana Blast

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Station X could steal this if the prominent pack behind gets badly tangled from 2f out

WATCH

Sports Coach and Master Of My Fate fighting for same prominent pitch could compromise both

WATCH

Havana Blast is top-rated but absolutely must get a clear run from packed field

NOTE

Tiriac's hold-up style perfectly suits if pace collapses but needs the gaps to appear

NOTE

Five prominent runners all wanting same position behind Station X creates inevitable traffic issues

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 27 March 2026.

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