Archive›Newmarket · 14 April 2026

Newmarket

14 April 2026 · 7 races

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1:15 — Alex Scott Maiden Stakes (Colts & Geldings)

7f · Good · CLS4 · 8 runners

3 vying for the leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Wield led, as the map showed.

Cerro Blanco won at 1.44 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

WieldGalbaAlpine Culture

Prominent · 1

Powder Monkey

Midfield · 3

MakerstounCerro BlancoBig Snoopy

Hold Up · 1

Kimbara

Galba, Alpine Culture and Wield will all press forward from the start, creating a genuine gallop over this stamina-testing 7f trip at Newmarket. With three confirmed front-runners in an 8-horse field, the early pace will be strong and sustained, stretching the field out. The relentless gallop will expose any stamina limitations and make it difficult for hold-up horses like Kimbara to close from the back. This race shape strongly favours horses that can travel prominently or just behind the leaders, as they'll be ideally positioned when the pace takes its toll in the final 2f.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Pace Holds

45% probability

If all three front-runners maintain their positions through halfway without weakening each other

The strong gallop continues to the line with minimal weakening, favouring those with proven stamina at this trip. Powder Monkey's recent prominent running style and Wield's stamina breeding become decisive factors.

Powder MonkeyWieldBig SnoopyCerro Blanco

Front Three Collapse

30% probability

If the early battle between Galba, Alpine Culture and Wield becomes too fierce and they weaken dramatically

The pace collapses in the final 2f, allowing a well-bred newcomer to sweep up from midfield or a hold-up horse to capitalize. The expensive newcomers with quality breeding excel in this scenario.

Big SnoopyCerro BlancoMakerstounKimbara

One Breaks Clear Early

15% probability

If Galba or Wield establishes a clear lead by halfway while the others fall away

The lone leader builds an unassailable advantage as the field struggles to respond to the early pace. Either Galba's front-running experience or Wield's recent form improvement proves decisive.

GalbaWieldPowder MonkeyAlpine Culture

Messy Scramble Finish

10% probability

If the pace is moderate due to tactical riding between the three potential leaders

A bunched finish develops with multiple horses in contention in the final furlong. This tactical affair becomes a lottery between the better-bred runners and those with recent race fitness.

Powder MonkeyAlpine CultureGalbaMakerstoun

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Galba and Alpine Culture may engage too early given their confirmed front-running styles, potentially setting this up for closers

WATCH

Kimbara's hold-up style looks completely wrong for this race shape with three confirmed pace-setters guaranteed to stretch the field

NOTE

Big Snoopy and Cerro Blanco represent powerful stables making debuts, market support will reveal their readiness

WATCH

Powder Monkey carries a 5lb claimer against seasoned jockeys in what could be a tactical battle

NOTE

Wield's recent Goodwood run over 7f on similar going provides the best form guide for today's conditions

1:50 — Gabriela Rose London British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Good · NOV · 5 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:25 — Federation Of Bloodstock Agents EBF Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Good · CLS2 · 5 runners

Lead contested: Talk Of New York v Richie's RocketHISTORIC

How it ran

Talk Of New York and Lost Signal led, as the map showed.

Talk Of New York won at 1.73 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Talk Of New YorkRichie's Rocket

Prominent · 2

MaximizedLost Signal

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Shaatir

Talk Of New York and Richie's Rocket will ensure a genuine gallop from the front, with both having natural early speed and proven lead tendencies over this trip. Maximized and Lost Signal will track in behind this pace, while Shaatir will be held up for a late challenge. The dual pace angle creates an honest tempo that will test stamina reserves in the final two furlongs. This race shape clearly favours prominent runners who can position close enough to the pace without getting embroiled in the early battle.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Dual pace collapses late

45% probability

If Talk Of New York and Richie's Rocket go too hard early and tie up

The honest gallop becomes unsustainable and those tracking just behind inherit the race as the leaders weaken. Maximized's stamina edge from his Appleby base and Lost Signal's proven course form make them perfectly positioned to capitalize.

Lost SignalMaximizedShaatirTalk Of New York

Front runner dominates field

30% probability

If Talk Of New York uses his class edge to control the pace intelligently

The Appleby runner's superior rating and Buick's tactical nous allow him to dictate terms and kick clear when it matters. His recent Kempton success shows he has the finishing speed to complement his early pace.

Talk Of New YorkRichie's RocketLost SignalMaximized

Hold up horse strikes late

15% probability

If the early pace is genuinely strong and sets up perfectly for Shaatir

The front runners and prominent racers all feel the pinch in the final furlong, allowing Hollie Doyle to time her challenge perfectly. Shaatir's recent Chantilly fourth suggests he has the class to pick up the pieces.

ShaatirLost SignalMaximizedTalk Of New York

Maximized gets perfect trip

10% probability

If Doyle can secure the ideal stalking position behind the pace duel

The gelded son gets first run on the leaders while avoiding the early speed battle, using his 6f pace to quicken decisively. His Meydan placed form gives him the experience edge in a competitive finish.

MaximizedTalk Of New YorkLost SignalShaatir

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Talk Of New York showing any signs of rustiness early as 45-day break could prove costly in this sharp contest

WATCH

Lost Signal's fitness levels after 235 days off, particularly if he's asked to race keenly from his prominent position

NOTE

Shaatir's headgear change to a plain bridle and whether it affects his settling ability for Hollie Doyle

WATCH

The pace battle between Talk Of New York and Richie's Rocket and if either tries to steal a march

NOTE

Maximized's positioning from the gates as James Doyle needs to avoid getting boxed in behind the leaders

3:00 — AR Legal Collections Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Lead contested: Stellar Vision v Try Storm CatHISTORIC

How it ran

Starryfield led; the map had Stellar Vision and Try Storm Cat in front.

Startled won at 8.50 — was held up, as the map had it.

2 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Stellar VisionTry Storm Cat

Prominent · 5

Kody BCashboxStarryfieldCrazee IconDaretobedifferent

Midfield · 2

Harswell AngelSenor Campanaro

Hold Up · 4

Hardy's HeroSierra SandsStartledHigh Approval

Stellar Vision and Try Storm Cat will ensure a genuine pace from the start, with both confirmed front-runners likely to contest the early lead over this 7f trip. The presence of prominent runners Starryfield, Cashbox, Crazee Icon and Kody B will keep them honest through the middle sections, creating a solid gallop that should set up the race nicely. With 8 of the 13 runners showing hold-up tendencies, including the likes of Sierra Sands with Ryan Moore and Hardy's Hero for Haggas, there will be plenty of closers queuing up behind the pace. This honest tempo over 7f on good ground strongly favours the hold-up horses who can unleash their finishing kicks in the final 2f.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

55% probability

If the two pace-setters maintain a genuine gallop throughout

The honest pace will perfectly suit the closers who can time their runs, with the front-runners vulnerable in the final furlong. Sierra Sands, Hardy's Hero and High Approval all have the class and tactical speed to benefit from this scenario.

Sierra SandsHardy's HeroHigh ApprovalStartled

Prominent raider strikes

25% probability

If one of the tracking horses can get first run on the leaders

Cashbox or Starryfield could steal a march by positioning just behind the pace-setters and kicking clear before the hold-up brigade gets organized. Their forward positions give them tactical advantage over those further back.

CashboxStarryfieldStellar VisionCrazee Icon

Pace collapses early

12% probability

If Stellar Vision and Try Storm Cat go too fast early and burn out

The race becomes a sprint from the 3f pole where those with natural pace acceleration can capitalize. Kody B and Harswell Angel, both showing recent promise, could benefit from a truly-run race that becomes tactical late.

Kody BHarswell AngelSenor CampanaroDaretobedifferent

Front-runner survives

8% probability

If Stellar Vision or Try Storm Cat can control the pace perfectly

By going steady early then quickening at the right moment, one of the leaders could steal the race from those waiting too long to make their moves. Try Storm Cat's 8f form suggests he has the stamina for this scenario.

Try Storm CatStellar VisionCashboxStarryfield

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Try Storm Cat and new trainer Jessica Macey combination showing 0/8 record suggests stable struggling with winners

WATCH

Hardy's Hero returning after 207 days off following gelding operation - market confidence will reveal connections' expectations

NOTE

Sierra Sands making seasonal debut for Ed Dunlop with Ryan Moore - this trainer/jockey combination often strikes with returning horses

WATCH

Starryfield stepping up to 7f for first time having only raced over 5f and 6f - stamina reserves completely untested

NOTE

Cashbox returns from six-month break after gelding operation - previous course and distance winner could be well-handicapped after absence

3:35 — Betway 4 To Win Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

We Never Stop likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Regal Envoy led; the map had We Never Stop in front.

Jakajaro won at 5.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

We Never Stop

Prominent · 3

SturlassonRegal EnvoySolvency

Midfield · 2

Tan RapidoExistent

Hold Up · 3

JakajaroRosarioDyonisos

We Never Stop will look to take this forward from his draw, with Regal Envoy, Sturlasson and Solvency likely to race prominently in the early stages. The presence of multiple prominent runners should create a reasonable gallop over this straight 5f, though nothing suggests it will be overly strong. With several hold-up horses including Jakajaro, Rosario, Existent, Dyonisos and Tan Rapido looking to come from off the pace, the race sets up as a tactical affair. This pace dynamic clearly favours the hold-up horses who can benefit from the even gallop and strong finishing kick required at this track and trip.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

55% probability

If the prominent runners set a steady pace and the race develops into a sprint finish

The hold-up horses get the perfect setup to unleash their finishing kicks in the final furlong. Quality operators like Jakajaro, Rosario and Existent are ideally positioned to capitalize on their superior turn of foot.

JakajaroRosarioExistentDyonisos

Prominent racer holds on

25% probability

If We Never Stop or Regal Envoy can dictate terms and kick clear in the final two furlongs

The leader gets first run and holds off the late challengers with tactical speed. Regal Envoy's course win and We Never Stop's front-running style could prove decisive if they time their move right.

Regal EnvoyWe Never StopSturlassonSolvency

Pace collapse favours closers

12% probability

If the prominent runners go too steadily and it becomes a pure sprint from the 2f pole

The race turns into a dash where raw pace from the back proves most effective. Tan Rapido and Dyonisos could benefit most from this scenario with their proven finishing speed.

Tan RapidoDyonisosJakajaroRosario

Mid-division strikes

8% probability

If the pace is genuinely strong early and both leaders and hold-up horses are compromised

Horses racing in mid-division get the perfect trip, avoiding pace pressure but not giving away too much ground. Sturlasson's recent good form could be the key factor here.

SturlassonSolvencyRegal EnvoyWe Never Stop

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

We Never Stop may not get an easy lead if Regal Envoy or Sturlasson press him early, compromising his chances

WATCH

Jakajaro faces the combination of a long absence (151 days) and poor turf record which could undermine his class edge

NOTE

Rosario's tendency to be slowly away could be crucial in a 5f sprint where every length matters from the start

WATCH

The prominent runners need to judge the pace perfectly as too fast early will hand the race to the hold-up brigade

NOTE

Existent drops significantly in grade from his usual Group company which could finally see him get his reward

4:10 — Betway Sportsbook App Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Blue Courvoisier led; the map had Pandemonium and Darn Hot Gallop and Akho Mezzna and Arbaawy in front.

Darn Hot Gallop won at 23.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

PandemoniumDarn Hot GallopAkho MezznaArbaawy

Prominent · 5

Tiger PowerMajor Neigh SayerWe're GoosersSt AntonBlue Courvoisier

Midfield · 1

Raging Raj

Hold Up · 2

Blue To BlueLuzon Heights

Pandemonium, Darn Hot Gallop, and Akho Mezzna will ensure a strong gallop from the start, with these confirmed front-runners likely to string the field out early. The middle section will see congestion as We're Goosers, Blue Courvoisier, Major Neigh Sayer, St Anton, Tiger Power, and Raging Raj all want prominent positions, creating traffic problems turning for home. The strong pace will set up the race for horses that can finish, particularly those with hold-up tactics who can avoid the early scramble. This race shape strongly favours closers like Blue To Blue and Luzon Heights who can stay out of trouble and benefit from the guaranteed strong gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Favours Closers

55% probability

If the three front-runners maintain a genuine gallop throughout

The sustained pace will find out the prominent runners who get involved too early, allowing the hold-up horses to pick up the pieces in the final furlong. Blue To Blue and Luzon Heights are perfectly positioned to exploit this scenario with their patient tactics.

Blue To BlueLuzon HeightsArbaawyMajor Neigh Sayer

Front Runner Survives

25% probability

If one of the pace-setters can dictate without serious pressure

Pandemonium or Darn Hot Gallop could steal a march if they can control the tempo and kick clear before the closers get organized. Their class advantage over some rivals could prove decisive if the pace becomes tactical.

PandemoniumDarn Hot GallopTiger PowerWe're Goosers

Prominent Tactical Winner

12% probability

If the early pace is more measured than expected

The large group of prominent runners could benefit if the front three don't set a true pace, allowing horses like Major Neigh Sayer and Tiger Power to track the leaders and strike late. We're Goosers could also exploit this with his solid Newmarket form.

Major Neigh SayerTiger PowerWe're GoosersBlue Courvoisier

Pace Collapse Benefits Mid-Division

8% probability

If the front-runners go too fast and tie up completely

A complete pace collapse would open the door for a horse tracking in mid-division to come through late. St Anton or Raging Raj could benefit from their more patient approach if the early pace proves suicidal.

St AntonRaging RajBlue CourvoisierAkho Mezzna

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pandemonium and Darn Hot Gallop setting unsustainable fractions early could set up a pace collapse

WATCH

Blue To Blue needs market support to suggest new connections have him ready after stable switch

WATCH

Major Neigh Sayer and Tiger Power getting squeezed in the prominent pack turning for home

NOTE

We're Goosers showing signs of rustiness early after 158-day layoff

NOTE

Akho Mezzna benefiting from gelding operation with improved settling in the early stages

4:45 — Betway Bet The Responsible Way Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Tycoon to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mister Winston led; the map had Tycoon in front.

Mister Winston won at 3.25 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Tycoon

Prominent · 4

Real GainMister WinstonEsherannChristian David

Midfield · 2

Sterling KnightMythical Guest

Hold Up · 3

ArisaigBopedroGreat Chieftain

Tycoon is the only confirmed front runner and should get an uncontested lead in the early stages. Behind him, four horses (Esherann, Mister Winston, Christian David, Real Gain) all want prominent positions, creating congestion and potential traffic problems turning for home. The six hold-up horses will rely on the pace being strong enough, but with just one leader the tempo may be modest early before quickening. This race shape strongly favours front runners and early prominent horses who can secure clean runs, while the hold-up brigade faces the dual problem of potentially insufficient pace and overcrowding behind the leaders.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If Tycoon gets soft fractions and isn't pressured early

He can dictate terms throughout and prove hard to peg back, especially dropping back to 1m after struggling over longer trips. The prominent horses get caught up in their own traffic jam 2f out.

TycoonMister WinstonEsherannReal Gain

Prominent Battle Royale

30% probability

If the four prominent runners engage in early skirmishing for position

This creates a strong gallop that sets up the race perfectly for the closers, with the pace-setters coming back to the field. Sterling Knight and Arisaig benefit most from the increased tempo.

ArisaigSterling KnightGreat ChieftainBopedro

Fresh Returns Surprise

15% probability

If long-absent runners Bopedro or Real Gain show improved form after breaks

Their class tells over this distance on good ground, with both having strong Newmarket records. The 10yo Bopedro particularly appeals off his reduced mark having won this race in 2023.

BopedroReal GainMister WinstonMythical Guest

Hold-up Horse Swoop

10% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes crawling early

The race becomes a sprint finish where the strongest stayers prevail, but this seems unlikely with multiple prominent runners. Great Chieftain's Cambridgeshire form suggests he handles big fields best.

Great ChieftainSterling KnightArisaigMythical Guest

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch Tycoon's early fractions - if uncontested he could steal this from the front at generous odds

WATCH

Monitor the prominent quartet (Esherann, Mister Winston, Christian David, Real Gain) for early positioning battles that could compromise their chances

NOTE

Watch Sterling Knight's market moves - Fallon booking suggests stable confidence despite poor recent form

KEY

Check Bopedro's pre-race appearance after 164-day absence - previous winner here but needs to show current wellbeing

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems 2f out with 10 runners and multiple hold-up horses needing room simultaneously

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 14 April 2026.

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