Archive›Newmarket · 15 May 2026

Newmarket

15 May 2026 · 8 races

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1:22 — EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Good · NOV · 6 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

1:57 — Debenhams Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Good · NOV · 10 runners

Lead contested: Tales Of Wisdom v Queen's CompanionFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

King Cherry led; the map had Tales Of Wisdom and Queen's Companion in front.

Tales Of Wisdom won at 3.75 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Tales Of WisdomQueen's Companion

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 5

I Got RhythmCuff ItKing CherryMe An' AllAnthena

Hold Up · 3

BemersydeQuartermasterBayaann

Tales Of Wisdom and Queen's Companion are the two confirmed front-runners who will contest the early lead in this novice affair. With only two pace-setters in a 10-runner field, they're likely to set a manageable gallop rather than burn each other out. The majority of the field comprises hold-up horses (Quartermaster, Bayaann, Bemersyde, King Cherry, Anthena, Me An' All) who will be relying on the front pair to provide something to aim at. This race shape strongly favours the front-runners and prominent racers, as the lack of pace pressure should allow them to dictate terms and prove hard to peg back.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front-Runners Dominate

55% probability

If Tales Of Wisdom and Queen's Companion settle into a comfortable rhythm without killing each other.

The manageable early pace allows one or both pace-setters to kick clear in the straight, with the hold-up brigade arriving too late. This perfectly suits the natural front-running styles of both leaders.

Tales Of WisdomQueen's CompanionCuff ItI Got Rhythm

Late Charge Succeeds

25% probability

If the front pair go too steady and create a sprint finish.

The lack of early pace results in a bunched field turning for home, allowing the superior class of Quartermaster or unknown quantities to produce telling late kicks. Hold-up horses get their ideal scenario of a slowly-run race.

QuartermasterCuff ItI Got RhythmBayaann

Prominent Tracker Strikes

15% probability

If one of the unknown quantities settles just behind the leaders.

Cuff It or I Got Rhythm travel smoothly in behind the front pair before striking at the perfect moment when the leaders tire. Their unknown ability gives them the edge over the exposed hold-up horses.

Cuff ItI Got RhythmTales Of WisdomBemersyde

Shock Hold-Up Winner

5% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a crawl.

The race becomes a pure sprint from the furlong pole, allowing a well-handicapped hold-up horse like Bemersyde to produce a devastating late burst. This requires the front pair to go suicidally slow.

BemersydeBayaannQuartermasterQueen's Companion

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Tales Of Wisdom and Queen's Companion engage in an early speed duel rather than settling, as this would compromise both front-runners.

WATCH

Monitor the market moves on Cuff It and I Got Rhythm, as any significant support could indicate hidden ability from these lightly-raced runners.

NOTE

Check if Quartermaster shows early signs of ring-rustiness given the 155-day layoff, which could blunt their late kick.

WATCH

Observe if Queen's Companion travels kindly early despite the 202-day absence, as fitness concerns could see them fold despite the tactical advantage.

NOTE

Watch for Bemersyde to be produced with a well-timed run given the 7lb apprentice allowance and recent form upturn.

2:32 — Boodles Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Pride Of Donegal led, as the map showed.

Asgard's Captain won at 12.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

TopteamPride Of DonegalMaster VintnerMarnier

Prominent · 3

Ernst BlofeldAsgard's CaptainDouble Meaning

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Arqoob

Pride Of Donegal, Marnier, Master Vintner and Topteam will create a fierce early gallop with four confirmed front-runners all wanting to lead this small field. The pace will be genuinely strong throughout with limited respite, particularly demanding over this stamina-sapping 1m4f trip at Newmarket. This relentless gallop will set up the race perfectly for hold-up horses like Arqoob who can pick up the pieces late, while the prominent runners Asgard's Captain and Ernst Blofeld may find the perfect stalking position. This pace scenario strongly favours hold-up artists and closers who can benefit from the inevitable pace collapse.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Collapse

55% probability

If the four front-runners go too hard early and crack in the final 2f

The sustained gallop will stretch the field and allow late runners to sweep past tiring leaders in the closing stages. Arqoob's hold-up style becomes the winning formula as stamina tells.

ArqoobDouble MeaningAsgard's CaptainErnst Blofeld

Prominent Tracker Wins

25% probability

If one of the stalkers can find the perfect position behind the pace battle

Asgard's Captain or Ernst Blofeld can track the leaders without getting embroiled in the early speed duel. They strike at the optimal moment when the pace begins to tell but before the closers arrive.

Asgard's CaptainErnst BlofeldTopteamArqoob

Front Runner Survives

12% probability

If Topteam or Master Vintner can dictate more sensible fractions despite the competition

One of the classier leaders manages the pace battle intelligently and has enough left to resist late challenges. Their recent form and higher ratings prove decisive in a tactical finish.

TopteamMaster VintnerPride Of DonegalMarnier

Pace Duel Backfires Completely

8% probability

If the front-runners completely cancel each other out in a suicidal pace war

The four leaders engage in such fierce early combat that they all fade dramatically, leaving the race to be won by whatever horse can best pick up the pieces. Double Meaning's low weight becomes a crucial advantage.

Double MeaningArqoobAsgard's CaptainErnst Blofeld

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Multiple front-runners Pride Of Donegal, Marnier, Master Vintner and Topteam could create unsustainably fast early pace

WATCH

Arqoob returning after 167 days off but trainer Lucy Wadham has excellent record with horses coming back from breaks

WATCH

Ernst Blofeld and Master Vintner both face fitness questions after lengthy absences exceeding six months

NOTE

Double Meaning carries just 122lbs, giving him a stone advantage over the top-weights in this competitive handicap

NOTE

Topteam has Oisin Murphy riding and strong recent form suggesting he can handle the expected pace pressure

3:07 — Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB)

6f · Good · NOV · 14 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:42 — Turners Fillies' Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Blue Samuna to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Wild Rosie and Case Study led; the map had Blue Samuna in front.

Bearin Up won at 7.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Blue Samuna

Prominent · 5

Crazee IconTardaffTamzanSafe HarborDaretobedifferent

Midfield · 3

Case StudyWild RosieBorderline Madness

Hold Up · 4

India GoldDream IllusionBearin UpKhuskhas

Blue Samuna is the only confirmed front runner and will dictate a steady, uncontested early pace given her lack of competition for the lead. The prominent racers Crazee Icon, Tamzan, Safe Harbor and Daretobedifferent will track behind in the second rank, while the large contingent of hold-up horses including Dream Illusion, Bearin Up, Khuskhas and Borderline Madness will be held off the pace. With minimal early pressure on Blue Samuna, this sets up perfectly for horses that can travel smoothly in behind and produce late kicks. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and strong-finishing hold-up horses who can benefit from the sedate early gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Late Kick Dominates

45% probability

If the pace stays steady throughout and Blue Samuna isn't pressured early

The hold-up horses get the perfect tempo to unleash telling late runs, with the front half struggling to sustain their effort. Dream Illusion and Bearin Up are ideally positioned to capitalise on their patient tactics.

Dream IllusionBearin UpKhuskhasBorderline Madness

Prominent Pressure Pays

35% probability

If Crazee Icon or Tamzan apply early pressure to Blue Samuna and quicken the tempo

The increased pace suits the well-positioned prominent racers who can track the speed without overexerting. Crazee Icon's class and Tamzan's consistent form make them the primary beneficiaries of this tactical setup.

Crazee IconTamzanSafe HarborDaretobedifferent

Blue Samuna Surprises

12% probability

If Blue Samuna maintains her lead unchallenged and finds extra stamina at 1m

The uncontested leader capitalises on soft fractions to stay on strongly, with her recent 8f runs suggesting stamina potential. Blue Samuna holds off the late challengers who leave their run too late.

Blue SamunaCrazee IconTamzanDream Illusion

Chaos Creates Opportunity

8% probability

If the pace collapses into a sprint finish with multiple horses converging

The tactical battle becomes messy with several hold-up horses arriving simultaneously, favouring those with the best turn of foot. Fresher horses like Borderline Madness and improving types like Safe Harbor can capitalise on the confusion.

Borderline MadnessSafe HarborWild RosieCase Study

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Blue Samuna could steal this if she gets completely uncontested fractions and the field leaves it too late to reel her in

WATCH

Dream Illusion carries top weight at 142lbs which could blunt her finishing kick despite her hold-up style suiting the pace

WATCH

India Gold and Tardaff face serious fitness questions after layoffs of 147 and 262 days respectively

NOTE

Crazee Icon's position tracking Blue Samuna will be crucial as she needs to avoid getting trapped behind a slow pace

NOTE

The large group of hold-up horses could cause traffic problems in the straight if they all arrive together

4:18 — JCB Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Sir Edward Lear likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sir Edward Lear led, as the map showed.

Salaria won at 8.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Sir Edward Lear

Prominent · 1

Sansanetti

Midfield · 4

Beach PointSalariaExpressionlessCaph Star

Hold Up · 2

A Major PayneCaledonian

Sir Edward Lear and Sansanetti are the only two horses with prominent/leading tendencies in a field dominated by hold-up performers. With Sir Edward Lear likely to take them along at a sustainable gallop, the pace will be steady rather than fierce early on. The six hold-up horses (A Major Payne, Caph Star, Expressionless, Beach Point, Salaria, Caledonian) will be bunched behind waiting for their chance. This setup strongly favours the prominent runners who can position close to the pace and kick from the front, as the hold-up brigade will face a traffic-laden sprint finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runners Dominate

55% probability

If Sir Edward Lear and Sansanetti dictate terms without serious pressure

The modest early pace allows them to conserve energy while the hold-up horses get trapped behind. When the kick comes, those already positioned have first run on their rivals.

Sir Edward LearSansanettiA Major PayneExpressionless

Late Surge Prevails

25% probability

If the early pace becomes genuinely slow and bunches the field

The hold-up horses get a perfect setup with all coming wide and late in a cavalry charge finish. Superior class and finishing speed determine the outcome.

A Major PayneCaph StarBeach PointExpressionless

Traffic Chaos Benefits Leaders

12% probability

If the large hold-up contingent creates interference in the straight

Multiple horses get hampered or blocked as six runners try to launch simultaneously from the back. The unimpeded front runners capitalise on the confusion.

Sir Edward LearSansanettiCaph StarBeach Point

Perfectly Run Race

8% probability

If pace is ideal and all get clear runs

The race becomes a pure ability test where ratings and current form decide the outcome. The highest-rated in-form horses prevail regardless of tactics.

Caph StarA Major PayneSir Edward LearBeach Point

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Sir Edward Lear breaking slowly from the stalls given his 225-day layoff could leave Sansanetti as the sole pace angle

WATCH

A Major Payne and Caph Star both switching off properly in the early stages as both can be keen and waste energy

NOTE

The hold-up sextet bunching too tightly turning for home, creating inevitable traffic problems in the straight

WATCH

Expressionless getting too far back early as the 5lb apprentice may struggle to position this hold-up horse effectively

NOTE

Beach Point and Salaria finding racing room when the pace quickens, as both need clear runs to show their best

4:53 — Behind The Bridle Racehorse Aftercare Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Lead contested: Just A Girl v WieldHISTORIC

How it ran

Just A Girl led, as the map showed.

We're Goosers won at 1.36 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Just A GirlWield

Prominent · 1

We're Goosers

Midfield · 1

Magic Box

Hold Up · 2

GizmoDeluded

Just A Girl and Wield will contest the early lead in this small field, with Just A Girl showing more consistent front-running form and likely to dictate terms. The pace should be honest rather than frantic given only two confirmed leaders, allowing the quartet of hold-up horses (Gizmo, Deluded, Magic Box) to close from off the pace. We're Goosers sits as the sole prominent runner behind the leaders, potentially finding himself in a perfect stalking position. This tactical setup strongly favours prominent runners and patient hold-up horses who can finish, with the front-runners vulnerable to being picked off.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

45% probability

If Just A Girl and Wield duel early and weaken

The pace becomes genuine enough to set up the closers, with Gizmo and Deluded having the class and tactical advantage to sweep past tired leaders. The 7f trip on good ground suits patient tactics perfectly.

GizmoDeludedMagic BoxWe're Goosers

Prominent runner strikes

30% probability

If We're Goosers positions perfectly behind the pace

Murphy can track the leaders without getting embroiled in early speed, then strike when the front pair tire. His superior rating and tactical position prove decisive in the final furlong.

We're GoosersMagic BoxGizmoDeluded

Front runner survives

15% probability

If Just A Girl gets an uncontested lead

With Wield failing to engage seriously, Just A Girl controls the tempo and has enough left to hold the closers. Her proven 7f form and front-running ability shine through.

Just A GirlWe're GoosersWieldGizmo

Pace collapses completely

10% probability

If both leaders go too slow early

The race becomes a sprint from the 3f pole, suiting the highest-rated horse with tactical speed. We're Goosers and any closer with a turn of foot benefit from the lack of early pace.

We're GoosersGizmoJust A GirlMagic Box

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Just A Girl and Wield engagement levels early - if one gets uncontested lead, the race dynamics change completely

WATCH

Gizmo showing market support despite long layoff - any confidence suggests readiness to perform fresh

WATCH

We're Goosers positioning behind leaders - Murphy's tactical ride crucial given recent form concerns

NOTE

Magic Box response to pressure after long break - Haggas runners often need time but she has 7f form

NOTE

Deluded getting clear run in finish - hold-up horses need luck in running with small field spread

5:25 — Horse Comes First Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Akabusi won at 4.33 — raced prominently, where the map had it led.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Angels' ShareVictor CeeAkabusi

Prominent · 2

NebulonDaizen

Midfield · 2

King Of ChaosSouthern Warrior

Hold Up · 3

EcclefechanLogi BearQuantum Power

Angels' Share, Victor Cee and Akabusi are three confirmed front runners who will clash from the gate in this 6f handicap, creating a strong early gallop. Victor Cee has shown ability to make all when winning at Hamilton, while Angels' Share has won twice at 7f when leading, suggesting neither will yield easily. The sustained pace from flag to finish will stretch stamina reserves over this stiff 6f at Newmarket. This aggressive early tempo strongly favours hold-up horses who can conserve energy and finish, with prominent runners also well-placed to capitalize if the leaders tie up.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leaders Burn Out

55% probability

If the three front runners engage in a pace duel from the start

The relentless gallop will drain Angels' Share, Victor Cee and Akabusi, setting up a finish for the closers who travel kindly behind the pace. Hold-up horses like Southern Warrior, King Of Chaos and Ecclefechan can time their runs perfectly.

Southern WarriorEcclefechanKing Of ChaosQuantum Power

Prominent Runners Strike

25% probability

If one leader gets a soft lead while the others pressure each other

The winner will come from those tracking in second or third position, able to strike when the leader weakens but avoiding the late traffic. Nebulon and Daizen are best positioned to exploit this scenario from their prominent styles.

NebulonDaizenVictor CeeAngels' Share

Front Runner Survives

12% probability

If Angels' Share or Victor Cee can steal a march and get first run

The class leader breaks clear before the closers can organize their challenge, maintaining enough to hold off late charges. Angels' Share's higher rating and proven front-running ability at 7f suggests stamina to see out this trip.

Angels' ShareVictor CeeNebulonSouthern Warrior

Pace Collapses Early

8% probability

If the three leaders check each other's speed in the opening two furlongs

A falsely run race becomes a sprint where natural speed matters most, negating the hold-up horses' tactical advantage. This unlikely scenario would favor horses with early pace who can quicken.

DaizenNebulonAkabusiVictor Cee

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Angels' Share is listed as a non-runner which removes a key front runner and changes the entire pace dynamic.

WATCH

Victor Cee and Akabusi must be watched for early pace pressure as the two remaining confirmed leaders will clash immediately.

NOTE

Southern Warrior's 5lb claiming jockey Liam Wright needs monitoring in what could be a tactical finish requiring experience.

NOTE

Oisin Murphy's booking for Ecclefechan suggests stable confidence in a hold-up horse perfectly suited to this pace setup.

WATCH

Daizen's prominent style could be crucial if he can secure the ideal tracking position behind the battling front runners.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 15 May 2026.

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