Archive›Newmarket (July) · 26 June 2026

Newmarket (July)

26 June 2026 · 8 races

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Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

4:45 — ZYN In The Moment British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Good · NOV · 3 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

5:20 — John Banks Group Front Runner Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Good · NOV · 3 runners

No obvious leaderFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Starlight Lass and Yimmna led.

Starlight Lass won at 1.30 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 3 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 0

None

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 1

Yimmna

Hold Up · 2

Starlight LassLove Me Bae

All three fillies are mapped as hold-up or unknown style runners, meaning none of Love Me Bae, Starlight Lass, or Yimmna is likely to assert early and set a genuine tempo. With no natural front-runner in a three-runner field over a flat Newmarket mile on Good to Firm ground, the race will almost certainly crawl through the early and middle stages before quickening sharply into the Dip. Love Me Bae carries a notable fade-in-finish flag that becomes particularly damaging in a slow-run race that turns into a sprint, while Yimmna's lightly raced profile means her finishing resolution is unproven under pressure. This race shape — a tactical, slowly run contest resolved by a punchy late burst — favours the runner with the cleanest, most reliable finishing kick, and on that basis Starlight Lass's Gosden credentials and two-runner form make her the natural beneficiary of a compression finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Slow Crawl Sprint Finish

52% probability

If the field drifts at a crawl and the race is decided by a sharp final-furlong burst.

Starlight LassYimmnaLove Me Bae

One Takes Command Early

22% probability

If Yimmna or Love Me Bae elects to race more prominently than mapped and seizes a front position.

YimmnaStarlight LassLove Me Bae

Closers Grind Through

16% probability

If the pace picks up early and the race becomes a true test of stamina over the mile trip.

Starlight LassYimmnaLove Me Bae

Leader Collapses Late

10% probability

If a horse makes the running but fades badly in the final furlong, gifting the race to those closing.

Starlight LassYimmnaLove Me Bae

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Love Me Bae has a flagged fade-in-finish tendency — watch whether Pat Cosgrave attempts to ride her more prominently to counteract this, as her hold-up style in a three-runner tactical race leaves her badly exposed if the sprint develops too sharply.

WATCH

Yimmna is lightly raced and her style is genuinely unknown — watch the early stages to see whether Tom Marquand allows her to drift back into last or attempts to press forward, as that decision will define her chance in a field this small.

WATCH

With no confirmed pace-setter, watch the opening two furlongs closely — if all three fillies settle conservatively, the effective race distance shrinks to a 2f dash and finishing-kick quality becomes the only differentiator.

NOTE

Starlight Lass steps up from 7f to 1m for the first time — watch how Robert Havlin positions her through the middle stages, as a horse who gets outpaced if the sprint fires too early could be caught flat-footed despite the Gosden formbook behind her.

NOTE

Good to Firm ground is confirmed for this race per the going report — watch for any filly who appears to be travelling less fluently than expected in the middle mile, as all three have softer-ground form, and the faster surface introduces a small unknown for each runner.

5:50 — ZYN Pacesetter Fillies' Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Brisk Symphony likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Angel Shared led; the map had Brisk Symphony in front.

Powdering won at 7.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Brisk Symphony

Prominent · 2

There's A ChanceLara Antipova

Midfield · 3

Polka BlueShallowPowdering

Hold Up · 2

Angel SharedEskimo Pie

Brisk Symphony is the confirmed sole front-runner here and, with no credible challenger for the lead, Rob Hornby can dictate a controlled, sustainable gallop over this Good to Firm 6f at Newmarket's July course. Lara Antipova and There's A Chance are genuine prominent types who will press forward behind her, creating a two-or-three wide bracket just off the pace, while Polka Blue — though a natural prominent racer — is likely to be squeezed back from her preferred position given the traffic in the first two furlongs. The field holds more prominent types than the shape can comfortably accommodate at the front: Polka Blue, Shallow, and Powdering are all racing out of their natural positions, with Lara Antipova and There's A Chance best placed to secure the ground just off the leader. This race shape — a lone front-runner dictating a fair but uncontested tempo with a small group pressing — heavily favours horses who can race prominently in the slipstream and produce a sustained finish, rather than genuine closers who will struggle for clear daylight in a small, compressed field.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Brisk Symphony Dictates Cleanly

62% probability

If Brisk Symphony secures an uncontested lead and the gallop is fair but never frantic, allowing her to conserve enough energy to hold on.

Brisk SymphonyThere's A ChanceLara AntipovaPolka Blue

Prominent Pair Strike Late

20% probability

If Lara Antipova or There's A Chance settle just off the pace and produce the superior finishing kick in the final furlong.

There's A ChanceLara AntipovaBrisk SymphonyPolka Blue

Hold-Up Flyer Weaves Through

11% probability

If the pace is strong enough to create a gap and one of the deeper closers, Angel Shared or Eskimo Pie, finds a clear run to pick up late.

Angel SharedEskimo PieShallowPowdering

Pace Collapse Suits Redistributed Closers

7% probability

If the tempo accelerates sharply mid-race, burns out Brisk Symphony, and the true hold-up types Shallow and Powdering find room to close.

ShallowPowderingAngel SharedEskimo Pie

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Lara Antipova is lightly raced and rapidly progressive — if Charles Bishop slots her directly behind Brisk Symphony in the first two furlongs, she has the most upwardly mobile profile in the field and could prove the biggest danger to the front-runner inside the final furlong.

WATCH

Polka Blue's style conflict is a material risk to her chance — watch whether Tom Marquand pushes forward to contest the lead early, as any energy burned fighting Brisk Symphony for position on Good to Firm could blunt her finish significantly.

WATCH

There's A Chance finished eighth last time on Good over 6f but won on the same surface over the same trip previously — her form figures need reading carefully as the wide draw or pace scenario may have been the issue, not the conditions.

NOTE

The going report consistently shows Good to Firm for this 6f slot across all races, despite the race card listing Good — confirm the actual strip underfoot, as any genuine softening would shift the balance toward horses with Soft form like Angel Shared and away from the prominent types.

NOTE

Brisk Symphony's 45-day absence is the key watch point if she is race-rusty in the early strides — any hesitation at the break or failure to stride on immediately will allow Lara Antipova or There's A Chance to take her position and fundamentally alter the race shape.

6:25 — Air Charter Service Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Just Typical likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Daretobedifferent led; the map had Just Typical in front.

Khuskhas won at 21.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Just Typical

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 5

DaretobedifferentNorcross BrowKhuskhasBig Alex WalmsleyPoke The Bear

Hold Up · 3

Phantom WatchHour By HourDouble Time

Just Typical is the sole confirmed front runner and, with no genuine rival for the lead, will stride into an uncontested position from the outset, setting a sustainable gallop on Good to Firm ground over Newmarket's straight mile. The remainder of the field is dominated by hold-up types — Daretobedifferent, Norcross Brow, Khuskhas, Big Alex Walmsley and Poke The Bear are all natural hold-up horses redistributed into the midfield map positions because there are simply too many closers and not enough natural prominent racers to fill those slots; Just Typical and possibly Hour By Hour are the only runners likely to genuinely press forward. With one horse controlling a measured pace and the closers bunched behind unable to all get a clean run in a compressed field, the race shape overwhelmingly favours the front runner to dictate and any horse comfortable tracking in second or third who can quicken when the pace is honest but not punishing. Hold-up horses face a compounded disadvantage: not only must they overcome a steady gallop from off the pace, but several are not true hold-up types and will likely find themselves stuck in traffic rather than in the clear ground at the rear they need.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Just Typical Controls Unchallenged

62% probability

If Just Typical leads at a honest but uncontested pace and the closers cannot reel in a horse with a significant lead advantage on Good to Firm.

Just TypicalPhantom WatchDaretobedifferentDouble Time

Tracking Horse Pounces Late

20% probability

If Just Typical sets a genuinely strong pace that leaves it vulnerable in the final furlong and a close-tracking type delivers a well-timed challenge.

Phantom WatchDaretobedifferentJust TypicalDouble Time

Closers Land Running

11% probability

If the pace collapses in the final two furlongs and the entire field closes in a fast-finishing heap.

DaretobedifferentDouble TimePhantom WatchNorcross Brow

Pace Collapse Bunched Finish

7% probability

If the pace is too slow early, the field concertinas and the race becomes a sprint finish with no meaningful positional advantage.

KhuskhasNorcross BrowPoke The BearBig Alex Walmsley

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Just Typical is the only confirmed pace setter in a field of nine and if Ryan Kavanagh (5lb claimer) judges the fractions well, the horse could prove very difficult to catch — watch for whether anyone challenges for the lead in the first furlong because if no one does, Just Typical's advantage compounds every stride.

WATCH

Phantom Watch is the form pick and Billy Loughnane will need to slot in second or third to maximise its closing kick — watch for where it settles in the first two furlongs; if it gets trapped in a wall of hold-up horses it loses its ability to track and pounce.

WATCH

The redistribution of Daretobedifferent, Norcross Brow, Khuskhas, Big Alex Walmsley and Poke The Bear into midfield slots means there is a real risk of traffic congestion between the two-furlong and one-furlong poles — watch for a bunching episode that benefits Just Typical at the expense of multiple closers simultaneously.

NOTE

Double Time's 160-day absence combined with 141lbs and a trainer without a recent winner is a combination to note — if this horse shows significant early drift in the market it confirms the stable is not confident it is race-fit.

NOTE

Hour By Hour's last five runs all came on standard or soft going and the switch to Good to Firm at Newmarket is a surface concern worth monitoring in the paddock for any signs of scratchy movement before the race.

7:00 — debenhams.com Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

No obvious leaderHISTORIC

How it ran

Booziebrunch led.

Booziebrunch won at 2.38 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 3 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 0

None

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 2

Maith Mar OrJodhpur Blue

Hold Up · 2

Rockafeller SkankBooziebrunch

With all four runners carrying a hold-up or unconfirmed style and no genuine front-runner in the field, this 1m2f contest at Newmarket's July course is almost certain to crawl early before erupting into a sprint finish from the Dip. Jodhpur Blue, Rockafeller Skank, and Booziebrunch are all natural hold-up types who will be content to track a pace that nobody wants to set, meaning the tempo is likely to be genuinely slow through the first half of the race. Maith Mar Or's unclassified style adds no certainty — if anything, one of the more forward-thinking jockeys may be forced to take up a reluctant lead simply to avoid racing in a dawdle. The field holds more hold-up types than the map can usefully separate, and Jodhpur Blue — a true rear-of-field operator — has been mapped to midfield purely as an artefact of that congestion; the race shape strongly favours those with a sharp, late turn of foot who can quicken quickly on fast ground rather than grinders who need a true end-to-end gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Bunched Sprint Finish

52% probability

If the field crawls early and the race degenerates into a six-furlong dash from the two-pole, the fastest accelerator wins.

Rockafeller SkankBooziebrunchMaith Mar OrJodhpur Blue

Slow-Burn Grind

22% probability

If one runner — most likely by default rather than design — drifts to the front and sets a modest but steady tempo that stretches the field slightly.

BooziebrunchJodhpur BlueRockafeller SkankMaith Mar Or

Maith Mar Or Leads

16% probability

If Alexandra Egan elects to send Maith Mar Or forward from the wide draw to try to control the race and set a manageable pace from the front.

Maith Mar OrRockafeller SkankBooziebrunchJodhpur Blue

Hold-Up Types Outpaced

10% probability

If the early pace is so muddling and stop-start that horses unable to quicken sharply from off it — including Jodhpur Blue, whose hold-up style is compromised by the congested field — get outsprinted by a sharp-actioned rival.

Rockafeller SkankBooziebrunchMaith Mar OrJodhpur Blue

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Rockafeller Skank carries the most live form in the race — four wins on the bounce — and if this turns into the anticipated sprint finish its sharp acceleration on good-to-firm ground could make it very hard to beat.

WATCH

Jodhpur Blue's true running style is hold-up on the all-weather; racing on fast turf for the first time in its recent history and coming back after 98 days, the style mismatch and fitness query both need monitoring in the market.

WATCH

With no confirmed front-runner, watch whether Maith Mar Or's jockey Alexandra Egan (claiming 7lb) is instructed to take up the lead by default — if so, the race shape changes materially and the pace probe above is invalidated.

NOTE

Booziebrunch is fitted with a hood and Tom Marquand rides; headgear plus a top jockey on a horse with placed form over course and distance suggests the trainer believes there is more to come, and a significant market move should be treated as significant information.

NOTE

The going report consistently lists this race as Good To Firm despite the racecard showing Good — all runners are marked going:OK but the actual surface is faster than billed, which may particularly favour Rockafeller Skank whose best form has come on quicker ground.

7:35 — Boodles Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 3 runners

Marengo Storm likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Hardy's Hero led; the map had Marengo Storm in front.

Marengo Storm won at 3.25 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 3 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Marengo Storm

Prominent · 1

Hardy's Hero

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Amorim

Marengo Storm is the lone confirmed pace-setter in this three-runner field and will go forward to lead from the outset, setting what projects to be a controlled, uncontested gallop over 7f on Good to Firm ground at Newmarket. With no rival willing or likely to challenge for the lead, the pace will be honest but not pressured, creating a steady-to-fair tempo rather than a true test of stamina. Hardy's Hero and Amorim will both be tracking from prominent-to-hold-up positions, with Hardy's Hero likely closer to the pace given his prominent style and strong form at 7f. This race shape — a single unchallenged leader on a flat, fast track — classically favours a prominent chaser with a proven finishing kick at the trip, and Hardy's Hero's course-and-distance profile makes him the prime beneficiary of this setup.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Steady Lead, Late Chase

72% probability

If Marengo Storm controls a measured gallop and the two chasers close in the final two furlongs.

Hardy's HeroMarengo StormAmorim

Front Runner Steals It

14% probability

If Marengo Storm builds a decisive lead and the hold-up horses fail to close on the flat Newmarket straight.

Marengo StormHardy's HeroAmorim

Closer Swoops Late

10% probability

If the gallop is quick enough to expose Marengo Storm and Amorim produces a strong late run from off the pace.

AmorimHardy's HeroMarengo Storm

All Three Tight Finish

4% probability

If the pace is so moderate that all three runners enter the final furlong in a heap with little to choose between them.

Hardy's HeroAmorimMarengo Storm

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch whether Hardy's Hero tracks Marengo Storm closely from the outset — if Marquand times his move off the final bend, Hardy's Hero's proven 7f form on this going makes him the chief threat to the leader.

WATCH

Marengo Storm's uncontested lead is the race's defining factor, but the jump from 6f to 7f is unproven; monitor if Finley Marsh sets a genuinely sustainable pace or if the extra furlong finds him out in the final 100 yards.

WATCH

Amorim's tongue-tie is new headgear worth noting — if it has a sharpening effect and Loughnane presses forward, the three-runner dynamic could change significantly from what the pace map suggests.

NOTE

With only three runners on Good to Firm ground, the draw and early positioning will be magnified — any stumble or slow break from any runner could reshape the entire tactical picture instantly.

8:10 — Dereham Handicap

2m · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

No obvious leaderHISTORIC

How it ran

Betelgeuse led.

Prince Quattro won at 2.38 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 0

None

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 3

Prince QuattroBetelgeuseDereham

Hold Up · 2

Vilaine VerlaineNow The Eagle

With all five runners carrying a hold-up style and no confirmed front-runner in the field, this 2m Good To Firm contest at Newmarket's July course is almost certain to be run at a crawl in the early stages, with the field bunching together before someone is forced wide or makes an uncharacteristic forward move in the home straight. Vilaine Verlaine and Now The Eagle are the only two genuine hold-up horses occupying their natural rear positions, while Prince Quattro, Betelgeuse, and Dereham are all true hold-up types redistributed into midfield slots because the map cannot place all five at the rear. The race shape that emerges will almost certainly be a slow-burn, tactical affair that collapses into a sprint finish over the final two furlongs, with jockey quality and positional luck in the straight becoming the decisive factors. In a race this compressed and this tactical, horses who can quicken efficiently off a slow gallop — and who are settled enough to produce a genuine late burst — will hold the edge; this shape strongly favours runners with proven finishing speed over staying distance on fast ground rather than raw stamina grinders.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Slow Burn Sprint Finish

48% probability

If the field crawls through the early stages and the race turns into a dash from the two-furlong pole.

Now The EagleDerehamBetelgeuseVilaine Verlaine

One Horse Moves Early

22% probability

If one runner breaks from the pack in the back straight to force an uncharacteristic lead, changing the entire pace dynamic.

Now The EagleVilaine VerlaineDerehamPrince Quattro

Closers Outpace Field Late

18% probability

If the sprint finish develops from further out than expected and raw tactical speed over 2f proves decisive.

Vilaine VerlaineDerehamNow The EagleBetelgeuse

Class Edge Asserts

12% probability

If the superior OR holder holds a tactical advantage from the redistribution chaos and benefits from rivals taking each other on.

Prince QuattroBetelgeuseNow The EagleDereham

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch the early gallop — with five hold-up horses and no pace-setter, Now The Eagle or Vilaine Verlaine may be shuffled wide into the home straight if the field dawdles and then suddenly bunches, costing vital lengths at a critical moment.

WATCH

Betelgeuse's 8-day turnaround is the shortest freshen-up in the field; if the horse shows any signs of fatigue or reluctance to load, discount it sharply despite Billy Loughnane's ability to manage it tactically.

WATCH

Prince Quattro's 92-day absence is the longest layoff here and James Owen's 14-day form (7/40) is heavy volume but not high quality — fitness on return is a legitimate concern over 2m on fast ground.

NOTE

Dereham's age (10) and lowest weight (122lbs) combination is worth monitoring — if Nicola Currie can secure an uncontested position just off a slow pace, the veteran's course-and-distance placed record makes it a natural each-way consideration in the sprint finish scenario.

NOTE

The Good To Firm going is confirmed across all eight races on the card — any runner whose historical form is weighted towards soft or standard artificial surfaces (Now The Eagle at Stratford, Prince Quattro on AW) should be assessed carefully against this faster surface before accepting the form lines at face value.

8:45 — Turners Apprentice Handicap

1m4f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Seventy likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Market House led; the map had Seventy in front.

Nuptown Girl won at 3.75 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Seventy

Prominent · 1

Market House

Midfield · 1

Belle Amie

Hold Up · 2

Green TeamNuptown Girl

Seventy is the sole confirmed front-runner in a five-horse field and, with no genuine rival to press for the lead, should dictate an uncontested gallop from the front over this 1m4f on Good to Firm ground at Newmarket's July course. Market House is also a prominent type but with five rivals including the clear pace-setter, she is unlikely to land quite as close to the wire as her natural style demands, and Belle Amie — a genuine hold-up horse — has been mapped further forward than she will actually race because the field carries more rear-runners than the map can display at the back. With Seventy able to control tempo without pressure, the pace is likely to be honest but not suicidal, favouring a horse that can travel in behind and pick up through the straight rather than one that needs a truly run race to grind rivals down. This race shape most favours a prominent-to-midfield profile that can sit close enough to Seventy to pounce in the final two furlongs without being exposed to a solo breakaway if the leader goes clear unchallenged.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Seventy Controls, Dictates

70% probability

If Seventy leads comfortably at a measured gallop and is never seriously challenged for the front.

SeventyMarket HouseNuptown GirlBelle Amie

Midfield Pouncers Strike

15% probability

If Seventy's solo lead produces a pace that is too slow and sets up a sprint finish.

Nuptown GirlGreen TeamBelle AmieMarket House

Hold-Up Horses Overwhelm

10% probability

If the pace is genuinely strong enough to drain Seventy and the closers swamp her in the final furlong.

Green TeamBelle AmieNuptown GirlMarket House

Market House Presses, Wins

5% probability

If Market House pushes up to challenge Seventy for the lead and turns the race into a two-horse battle that suits her stamina.

Market HouseSeventyNuptown GirlGreen Team

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch Seventy in the opening furlong — if she bowls clear unchallenged and establishes a three-length-plus lead by the two-furlong marker, the hold-up horses will have too much ground to make up on Good to Firm ground.

WATCH

Market House's tongue-tie and 43-day absence (with a jockey change flagged) make her unpredictable early — if she pushes up to contest the lead with Seventy the pace dynamic shifts entirely and scenario C becomes live.

WATCH

Green Team's entire recent form history is on artificial surfaces, and if he fails to handle the Good to Firm turf at Newmarket his hold-up profile is rendered irrelevant regardless of race shape.

NOTE

Belle Amie is a natural rear-runner mapped further forward than her true style — watch where Alexandra Egan actually settles her in the first half-mile, as a wide or detached position could cost her the ground she needs late.

NOTE

The 8:45 evening slot at Newmarket July is the last race of the card — check for any significant going deterioration through the day given repeated reports of Good to Firm, as this affects the premium on hold-up stamina versus prominent speed.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 26 June 2026.

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