Archive›Newton Abbot · 12 June 2026

Newton Abbot

12 June 2026 · 7 races

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5:13 — Alzheimer's Society Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m1f · Good · NOV · 9 runners

Steal A Glance likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Lady Kara won at 2.88 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Steal A Glance

Prominent · 2

LikewhatyouseeLady Kara

Midfield · 3

Princess Of BalleaColegramBontessony Doll

Hold Up · 3

Medina BlueDoobeedeeDancing Dame

Steal A Glance will lead this contest from the flag and set a sustainable pace without pressure from the largely prominent and hold-up field. Lady Kara and Likewhatyousee may track closely as the main prominent runners, but with Dancing Dame, Medina Blue, and Doobeedee all preferring to come from behind, the early pace will be measured. The lack of early pressure allows the leader to dictate terms and potentially kick clear at the business end. This race shape clearly favours the early pace-setter and any prominent runners who can stay close enough to challenge, as the hold-up horses will face a difficult task against a controlled tempo.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leader Stays Clear

55% probability

If Steal A Glance gets an easy lead and kicks clear approaching the last hurdle

The sustainable pace allows the front-runner to maintain energy reserves for a decisive move, while the hold-up horses struggle to make up ground against controlled fractions. Prominent runners who stayed close enough have the best chance to respond.

Steal A GlanceLady KaraLikewhatyouseePrincess Of Ballea

Prominent Takeover

25% probability

If Lady Kara or Likewhatyousee can track the leader closely and produce a stronger finishing kick

The measured early pace helps these prominent runners conserve energy while staying within striking distance, allowing them to exploit their tactical positioning. They can time their challenge perfectly as Steal A Glance begins to tire.

Lady KaraLikewhatyouseeSteal A GlanceDancing Dame

Hold-Up Surge

12% probability

If the pace becomes even slower than expected and the hold-up horses get perfect splits in the straight

Dancing Dame and Medina Blue could benefit from an exceptionally pedestrian gallop that allows them to unleash their finishing speed. However, they still face the challenge of making up significant ground against positioned rivals.

Dancing DameMedina BlueDoobeedeeLady Kara

Pace Collapse Surprise

8% probability

If Steal A Glance goes too slowly early and multiple horses converge simultaneously approaching the final flight

The race becomes a sprint finish where class and form rather than running style determines the outcome. This scenario requires the leader to misjudge the pace completely.

Bontessony DollColegramPrincess Of BalleaLikewhatyousee

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Steal A Glance could steal this if allowed to dictate a soft pace without early pressure from the field

WATCH

Lady Kara's ability to stay close enough to the leader will determine if she can mount an effective challenge

NOTE

Dancing Dame and other hold-up horses need to see frantic early pace to have realistic winning chances

NOTE

Doobeedee's 225-day layoff combined with known finishing problems makes her a risky proposition despite Harry Fry's training

WATCH

The going report shows consistent Good conditions across all races, eliminating ground as a variable for tactical planning

5:50 — William Hill Handicap Hurdle

3m2½f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

No obvious leaderHISTORIC

How it ran

Bits Ballou and Final Entry led.

Jack's Jury won at 3.75 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 0

None

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 4

Final EntryWinning PaddyHurst HillBits Ballou

Hold Up · 2

Groom De CotteJack's Jury

With all six runners showing hold-up tendencies and no confirmed front runner, this race will drift into a crawling early pace with plenty of shuffling for position. The lack of natural pace-setters means someone like Hurst Hill or Final Entry may reluctantly take it up, but they'll go no faster than they have to. The field will bunch up turning for home before exploding into a sprint finish over the final 3-4 furlongs. This tactical setup strongly favours horses with a sharp turn of foot and tactical speed - those who can quicken fastest when the real racing begins.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Crawling Pace Sprint

60% probability

If no horse commits to making the running early and they go very slowly to halfway

The field compresses into a tight bunch with 4f to run, creating a cavalry charge finish that rewards the sharpest acceleration. Horses with class and a killer kick thrive when the pace collapses completely.

Groom De CotteJack's JuryFinal EntryWinning Paddy

Steady Gallop Throughout

25% probability

If Hurst Hill or Final Entry takes responsibility and maintains an even tempo throughout

The race develops into a true test of stamina over this extended trip, suiting horses who stay strongly rather than those dependent on sprint finishes. The consistent pace plays to genuine stayers who can grind it out.

Final EntryHurst HillWinning PaddyGroom De Cotte

Mid Race Injection

10% probability

If someone injects pace from the 2-mile mark to string the field out

The increased tempo creates gaps and makes it a more searching test, favouring horses who combine stamina with tactical speed. Those caught flat-footed by the move struggle to get back into contention.

Jack's JuryFinal EntryGroom De CotteHurst Hill

Early Breakaway Succeeds

5% probability

If one horse goes clear early and the field allows them too much rope

The leaders get into an uncatchable rhythm while the pack plays follow-the-leader, creating a front-running shock. Only applies if the field shows complete tactical naivety.

Winning PaddyBits BallouHurst HillFinal Entry

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for any horse that shows early intent to dominate - with no natural pace-setter, whoever takes responsibility could steal a decisive advantage.

WATCH

Monitor the pace through the first mile - if it's genuinely crawling, expect a bunched field and potential interference in the home straight.

NOTE

Keep an eye on Groom De Cotte's jumping rhythm - as the oldest horse in the field, any signs of laboured jumping could signal vulnerability.

WATCH

Watch Final Entry's fitness levels given the 51-day layoff in what could become a stamina test if the pace is honest.

NOTE

Observe whether Winning Paddy can maintain his recent winning momentum stepping up significantly in class from his last victory.

6:25 — Olympus Plant & Tool Hire Handicap Hurdle

2m1f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

No obvious leaderHISTORIC

How it ran

Ask Peter led.

Coup De Gold won at 5.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 0

None

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 4

Ask PeterBlue SiamCoup De GoldMinnie Belle

Hold Up · 2

Linden LaneCrab Road

With all six runners showing hold-up tendencies and no confirmed front runner, this race will likely drift into a muddling early pace. Linden Lane and Ask Peter, both carrying higher weights, may find themselves forced into more prominent positions by default, creating a tactical vacuum early. The lack of natural pace-setters will compress the field and create a bunched finish where positioning at the final hurdle becomes critical. This race shape strongly favours horses with a sharp turn of foot and those who can quickest exploit the inevitable sprint finish that will develop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Bunched Sprint Finish

55% probability

If no horse takes the initiative early and the pace remains steady throughout

The field stays tightly packed turning for home, creating a cavalry charge finish where the lightest-weighted horses with the best recent form can quickest exploit gaps. Blue Siam and Minnie Belle benefit from their featherweight burdens in the final surge.

Blue SiamMinnie BelleLinden LaneAsk Peter

Linden Lane Controls

25% probability

If Linden Lane's connections decide to make use of her class advantage early

The OR 89-rated mare dictates terms from the front, using her superior rating to stretch the field and expose the moderate opposition. Her proven stamina over this trip allows her to sustain pressure where others weaken.

Linden LaneAsk PeterBlue SiamCoup De Gold

Long Layoff Backfires

12% probability

If Coup De Gold's 237-day absence shows despite her low weight advantage

The veteran mare finds the pace too sharp after her lengthy break, while others who've had recent runs can respond better to the tempo changes. Recent form becomes the decisive factor over theoretical ability.

Blue SiamAsk PeterLinden LaneMinnie Belle

Pace Collapse Chaos

8% probability

If the early pace is so pedestrian that the race becomes a pure lottery in the final furlong

Jockey tactics become paramount as positioning at the last hurdle determines everything, with Crab Road's tendency to fade in the finish proving costly despite his decent rating. The most alert pilot gets first run on their mount.

Minnie BelleCoup De GoldLinden LaneBlue Siam

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Crab Road's finishing kick - his tendency to fade late could be exposed badly in a bunched finish where sustained effort is required.

WATCH

Early pace development - if Linden Lane or Ask Peter don't take it up, this could become pedestrian and turn into a pure lottery.

NOTE

Blue Siam's jumping fluency on quick turnaround - any hesitation at hurdles will be costly in a tightly-bunched field.

WATCH

Coup De Gold's fitness levels after 237 days off - any signs of blowing or struggling to go the pace will end her chances early.

NOTE

Jockey positioning at the final hurdle - with all six hold-up performers, the pilot who gets first run will have a decisive advantage.

7:00 — execontainers.com Handicap Hurdle

2m2½f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Morning Mayhem likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dream Diamond led; the map had Morning Mayhem in front.

Donnie Azoff won at 6.50 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Morning Mayhem

Prominent · 1

Dream Diamond

Midfield · 3

AlmuhitSiam ParkThree Pikes

Hold Up · 1

Donnie Azoff

Morning Mayhem will likely take them along from the front in this small field, with Dream Diamond, Siam Park, and Almuhit all capable of tracking close behind given their prominent tendencies. With only one confirmed front runner and multiple prominent racers, the pace should be steady rather than frantic, allowing the leaders to dictate terms without excessive pressure. Donnie Azoff represents the sole hold-up threat but will need the pace to collapse to be effective from the rear. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and front runners who can position handily and kick from a good position.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front Running

45% probability

If Morning Mayhem gets an uncontested lead and the prominent horses don't press early

The pace becomes pedestrian allowing the leader to control the race from pillar to post. Front runners and early prominent horses benefit from the lack of early pressure and can save energy for a sustained finish.

Morning MayhemDream DiamondAlmuhitSiam Park

Prominent Battle

35% probability

If Dream Diamond, Almuhit and Siam Park all race keenly and press Morning Mayhem

A genuine speed battle develops between the prominent racers, creating a true test of stamina. This favours the horse with the best finishing kick from a handy position, potentially setting up Donnie Azoff's hold-up style.

AlmuhitDonnie AzoffDream DiamondMorning Mayhem

Late Hold-Up Strike

12% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely slow and Donnie Azoff gets a perfect trip tracking the leaders

The veteran can exploit his proven ability to quicken off a slow pace. His recent second at this course gives him a tactical edge if the race unfolds to suit his patient style.

Donnie AzoffSiam ParkMorning MayhemAlmuhit

Pace Collapse Scramble

8% probability

If Morning Mayhem goes too fast early under pressure and the field comes back to him dramatically

The early leaders pay for their exertions and the race becomes a sprint finish between whoever has been held up. This creates chaos where any horse finding a clear run can capitalize on the pace bias.

Siam ParkDream DiamondDonnie AzoffAlmuhit

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Morning Mayhem's early pace-setting - if he goes too fast early he could set up the race for closers

WATCH

Donnie Azoff's positioning through the early stages - needs to be closer than usual given the small field

NOTE

Dream Diamond's jumping rhythm after 39 days off - any early mistakes could compromise his prominent position

NOTE

Siam Park's confidence after recent fall - watch for any hesitancy at the obstacles

WATCH

The overall pace through the first mile - if genuinely slow it transforms the finish dynamics completely

7:35 — St. Austell Brewery Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m2f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

La Pinsonniere likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Court In A Storm led; the map had La Pinsonniere in front.

Rickety Bridge won at 3.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

La Pinsonniere

Prominent · 1

Court In A Storm

Midfield · 2

Rickety BridgeDexperts Opinion

Hold Up · 0

None

La Pinsonniere will likely dictate from the front in this small field, with Court In A Storm, Rickety Bridge, and Dexperts Opinion all having prominent tendencies but none guaranteed to press early. The pace should be sustainable rather than frenetic with only four runners spread across 3m2f, allowing La Pinsonniere to control tempo without significant early pressure. With no confirmed hold-up horses and the extended trip, this sets up as a test of stamina and jumping rather than tactical speed. This race shape favours horses who can travel prominently and have the stamina reserves to respond when the pace lifts approaching the business end.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Leader

45% probability

If La Pinsonniere gets an easy lead without early pressure from the prominent runners

She can dictate comfortable fractions and use her class advantage when others come under pressure. Her Henderson training and de Boinville partnership excels in these tactical situations.

La PinsonniereCourt In A StormRickety BridgeDexperts Opinion

Prominent Battle Develops

30% probability

If Court In A Storm and Rickety Bridge track La Pinsonniere closely from early stages

The pace becomes more honest throughout, suiting horses with proven stamina over the trip. Court In A Storm's recent winning form and Rickety Bridge's back-to-back wins suggest both have the engine for this test.

Court In A StormRickety BridgeLa PinsonniereDexperts Opinion

Stamina Test Emerges

15% probability

If the pace is steady early but quickens significantly from three furlongs out

The extended trip becomes crucial and recent form over similar distances matters most. Rickety Bridge's consecutive wins at this sort of trip give him the fitness edge over less battle-hardened rivals.

Rickety BridgeDexperts OpinionLa PinsonniereCourt In A Storm

Pace Collapses Late

10% probability

If all four track each other conservatively until the final half-mile

It becomes a sprint finish where class tells and fresher horses benefit from the tactical nature. La Pinsonniere's superior rating and Dexperts Opinion's recent winning momentum could prove decisive.

La PinsonniereDexperts OpinionCourt In A StormRickety Bridge

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

If La Pinsonniere looks laboured jumping the early fences, her 34-day absence and recent poor Cheltenham run could signal bigger problems.

WATCH

Watch Court In A Storm's jumping rhythm early as cheekpieces are a new addition and any mistakes will hurt prominent position.

NOTE

Monitor how aggressively Rickety Bridge and Dexperts Opinion position early, as both could press La Pinsonniere if connections are confident.

NOTE

Look for any horse tracking wider than expected as the good going offers multiple racing lines on this course.

8:10 — Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m½f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

At The Oche likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

First Angel led; the map had At The Oche in front.

Beorma won at 1.17 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 2 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

At The Oche

Prominent · 1

Beorma

Midfield · 1

First Angel

Hold Up · 1

Cobbler's Boy

At The Oche is listed as non-runner, removing the confirmed front runner from this small field. First Angel and Beorma both show prominent tendencies and will likely dispute the early lead, with Cobbler's Boy held up in rear. Without At The Oche's sustained pace-setting, this becomes a tactical affair where the two prominent runners may go steadier early before quickening. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can control the tempo and have enough left to resist the hold-up challenge of Cobbler's Boy.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Beorma Controls Tempo

50% probability

If Beorma takes charge early and dictates a steady pace

His recent winning streak shows he's in peak form and can quicken off his own pace. Cobbler's Boy faces a tough task giving weight and making up ground in a slowly-run race.

BeormaFirst Angel

First Angel Springs Surprise

25% probability

If First Angel's freshness tells after 87 days off

The veteran could benefit from his break and trainer Martin Keighley's 1/7 strike rate suggests selective placement. His prominent style suits if he can find his old form.

First AngelBeormaCobbler's Boy

Tactical Battle Unfolds

15% probability

If both prominent runners go too steady early

A cat-and-mouse affair develops where neither wants to make the running, setting up Cobbler's Boy's hold-up style perfectly. Dan Skelton's 12/38 record provides confidence in the tactical ride.

Cobbler's BoyBeormaFirst Angel

Beorma Wins Unchallenged

10% probability

If Beorma faces no early pressure from First Angel

He can cruise through steady fractions and prove too classy in the finish. His five-race winning streak and excellent going record make him hard to oppose.

BeormaFirst AngelCobbler's Boy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Beorma's winning streak continues with race run to suit his prominent style in weakened field

WATCH

First Angel's fitness after 87-day layoff could be crucial to his prominent racing style

NOTE

Cobbler's Boy needs the pace to collapse to be effective from his hold-up position

WATCH

Small field dynamics may not develop enough pace for hold-up horses to be effective

NOTE

Ground conditions remain consistent Good throughout the card at Newton Abbot

8:45 — Racing To School Reaches 25 Years Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

2m1f · Good · CLS4 · 6 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 12 June 2026.

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