Archive›Newton Abbot · 3 July 2026

Newton Abbot

3 July 2026 · 6 races

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2:10 — Sky Sports Racing Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m1f · Good · CLS4 · 8 runners

For Her Glory to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Steal A Glance led; the map had For Her Glory in front.

Likewhatyousee won at 2.25 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

For Her Glory

Prominent · 3

Steal A GlanceLikewhatyouseeGetmyfriend

Midfield · 2

Lundy ViewElated

Hold Up · 2

Winters HillPrincess Of Ballea

For Her Glory is the sole confirmed front-runner and, ridden by Sean Bowen for Olly Murphy, is likely to dictate from the front at a controlled, uncontested gallop over this 2m1f Newton Abbot trip on Good ground. Getmyfriend, Likewhatyousee, and Steal A Glance will press forward in prominent positions, but none has the profile or inclination to seriously challenge For Her Glory for the lead, meaning the pace is set by one horse at a tempo she chooses. With no pace pressure, For Her Glory will conserve energy through the early stages and the race is unlikely to be truly run, favouring a horse that can travel close to the pace and quicken when it matters rather than one grinding from the back. This race shape clearly favours prominent-to-handy runners who can track the leader efficiently and pounce late, with deep hold-up types Elated and Princess Of Ballea carrying the most risk given they will need the pace to be genuinely honest.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Controls Wire

66% probability

If For Her Glory dictates an uncontested, measured gallop and simply outstays rivals from the front.

For Her GloryGetmyfriendLikewhatyouseeSteal A Glance

Prominent Pair Wear Leader Down

19% probability

If Getmyfriend or Likewhatyousee apply sustained pressure mid-race and For Her Glory ties up approaching the last.

GetmyfriendLikewhatyouseeSteal A GlanceFor Her Glory

Closers Swoop Late

10% probability

If the steady pace suddenly quickens from 3 out and the hold-up runners get a clear run to produce a late surge.

Princess Of BalleaElatedSteal A GlanceGetmyfriend

Chaos and Errors Shuffle Pack

5% probability

If jumping errors or market-movers refusing to settle cause positional chaos and open the race up from the back.

Lundy ViewWinters HillPrincess Of BalleaSteal A Glance

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

For Her Glory (Bowen/Murphy) faces zero pace pressure and could exploit a lead role from flag to finish — watch whether any rival attempts to close the gap before the back straight or concedes the front entirely.

WATCH

Winters Hill is flagged as a fader in the finish and has run 7th, 8th, 8th in her last three starts — if she is ridden prominently in an attempt to counter her finishing weakness, she could still stop quickly and cause interference at the hurdles.

WATCH

Lundy View is lightly raced with only two runs on record and unknown jumping ability — watch early in the race for any hesitation or errors at the flight that could unsettle the field on the inside bend at Newton Abbot.

NOTE

Getmyfriend (Skelton/Skelton, T14: 10/26) is the most dangerous market rival — monitor whether Harry Skelton presses the pace after jumping the third or conserves energy for a late challenge, as this choice significantly alters the race shape.

NOTE

Likewhatyousee steps up markedly in experience from her single hurdle run — if Jonjo O'Neill Jr allows her to over-race early tracking For Her Glory, she may flatten out in the final half-mile and open the door for the hold-up runners.

2:45 — Sun Racing Free Tickets With Sun Club Novices' Handicap Hurdle

2m2½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Kittys Glance likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ask Peter and Backer Bilk led; the map had Kittys Glance in front.

Saucats won at 7.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Kittys Glance

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 4

Adaay DancingKatzoffHawa JumeirahSaucats

Hold Up · 2

Backer BilkAsk Peter

Kittys Glance is the sole confirmed front-runner in this seven-runner novice handicap hurdle over 2m2½f on good ground at Newton Abbot, and with no genuine challenger for the lead, Tom Bellamy can dictate a controlled, sustainable gallop from the front. Backer Bilk, Ask Peter, Adaay Dancing, Hawa Jumeirah, Saucats, and Katzoff are all hold-up types by nature, meaning the race devolves into a single leader setting an uncontested tempo against a cluster of closers who must make their ground from behind. The field holds significantly more hold-up types than the race shape can accommodate — Adaay Dancing, Hawa Jumeirah, Saucats, and Katzoff are all true rear-of-field horses redistributed into midfield on the map, but Kittys Glance is the only runner realistically capable of controlling the early stages. This race shape — an uncontested leader on a fair surface — strongly favours the front-running profile: if Kittys Glance jumps cleanly and settles into a rhythm, the closest prominent trackers who can travel into contention from second or third are best placed, as pure hold-up runners face a stern task generating sufficient momentum from the back in a small field where the pace is unlikely to be truly severe.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Kittys Glance Controls Wire

65% probability

If Kittys Glance jumps cleanly, leads at a fair gallop and is never pressured for the lead.

Kittys GlanceBacker BilkAsk PeterSaucats

Closest Trackers Overhaul Late

18% probability

If Kittys Glance's jumping is uneven or it flattens out in the closing stages.

Backer BilkAsk PeterSaucatsAdaay Dancing

Deep Closers Make Late Inroads

10% probability

If the early pace is unexpectedly strong and the race develops into a proper test of stamina at 2m2½f.

SaucatsAdaay DancingAsk PeterBacker Bilk

Chaos Through Jumping Errors

7% probability

If multiple horses make significant jumping errors early, bunching the field and creating interference.

Backer BilkAsk PeterHawa JumeirahKittys Glance

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Kittys Glance's jumping must be monitored from the first flight — a novice leading alone at Newton Abbot can drift into hurdles when fresh, and any error could hand momentum to the tracking hold-up horses.

WATCH

Katzoff is listed as a NON-RUNNER — confirm before the off, as its absence reduces the field to six and tightens the pace picture further.

WATCH

Saucats returns on a quick 10-day turnaround with both tongue-tie and cheekpieces — monitor in the paddock and early in the race for signs the equipment change sharpens or unsettles.

NOTE

With four horses redistributed from their natural hold-up positions into a crowded midfield group, watch for traffic and interference at the top of Newton Abbot's home turn where the track narrows and bunching can cost momentum.|Adaay Dancing,Hawa Jumeirah

NOTE

Backer Bilk and Ask Peter are the hold-up horses with the most recent good-ground placed form — if Kittys Glance begins to shorten stride approaching the last, these two are the likeliest beneficiaries and their finishing runs are worth tracking from the home straight.

3:20 — St. Austell Brewery Mares' Handicap Hurdle

2m5½f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Miss Kassiopi likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Bee's Kiss led; the map had Miss Kassiopi in front.

Miss Kassiopi won at 1.53 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Miss Kassiopi

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 5

Blue SiamGlobal HideawayAt SunriseGhost JuryBee's Kiss

Hold Up · 2

Northern SymphonieHurst Hill

Miss Kassiopi is the lone confirmed front-runner here and, with Harry Skelton aboard for the in-form Dan Skelton yard, she is expected to stride into an uncontested lead and dictate a measured, sustainable gallop over this 2m5½f trip on Good ground. Behind her, the remainder of the field is overwhelmingly comprised of hold-up types — Northern Symphonie, Hurst Hill, Ghost Jury, Blue Siam, Global Hideaway, Bee's Kiss and At Sunrise all prefer to race from off the pace — meaning there will be no pressure on Miss Kassiopi early and the tempo is entirely in her hands. The field contains far more hold-up horses than the race map can honestly accommodate at the rear; Blue Siam, Global Hideaway and Ghost Jury are among those most likely to find themselves racing closer than ideal, but none are natural front-end threats to Miss Kassiopi's lead. This race shape strongly favours prominent/front-running types and, more specifically, any hold-up performer with a genuine late kick, as a controlled gallop risks not truly testing stamina and turning the race into a sprint from two out — making a well-timed, powerful closer the danger to the lone leader.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Miss Kassiopi Leads Unchallenged

58% probability

If Miss Kassiopi breaks cleanly and settles into her rhythm without any rival disputing the lead.

Miss KassiopiNorthern SymphonieHurst HillGhost Jury

Strong Closer Reels Her In

22% probability

If Miss Kassiopi sets only a modest gallop and a true staying hold-up type produces a powerful sustained run from the final bend.

Northern SymphonieHurst HillGhost JuryMiss Kassiopi

Pace Collapse in Final Hurdle

12% probability

If Miss Kassiopi builds a big lead but is caught out by the long Newton Abbot run-in after setting a generous early gallop.

Hurst HillNorthern SymphonieGhost JuryBlue Siam

Hold-Up Blanket Finish

8% probability

If the pace is so gentle that the entire field arrives in a heap at the final hurdle with nothing separated.

Ghost JuryBlue SiamNorthern SymphonieHurst Hill

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Miss Kassiopi's early jumping is critical — if she loses her lead at any of the first three hurdles, there is no second front-runner to take up the role and the race shape collapses entirely.|

WATCH

Ghost Jury has Sean Bowen in the saddle — a significant jockey upgrade that could compensate for the hold-up horse being pushed forward out of her natural position; monitor whether Bowen elects to race closer than her style suggests.|

WATCH

Northern Symphonie's rider Megan Bevan claims 7lbs, reducing her to an effective riding weight of 161lbs — watch whether the inexperience of a conditional jockey in a race with a lone front-runner compromises the timing of her challenge from the back.|

NOTE

Blue Siam and Global Hideaway share almost identical racing profiles (true hold-up, OR 80-81, same jockey-claim range) and will likely compete for the same ground at the top of the home straight — if one tracks the other too closely, both risk getting boxed in on the turn.|

NOTE

The Good ground at Newton Abbot today is consistent across all six races; no runner in this field has a meaningful Going CONCERN flag, meaning stamina and class differentials rather than ground suitability will be the decisive factor in the finish.|

3:55 — Howden Insurance Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m½f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

Duke Of Luckley likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Duke Of Luckley led, as the map showed.

Gore Point won at 2.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Duke Of Luckley

Prominent · 1

Krak

Midfield · 1

Schmilsson

Hold Up · 1

Gore Point

Duke Of Luckley is the lone confirmed front-runner in this four-runner field and will set a controlled, uncontested tempo from the front, with Krak, Schmilsson, and Gore Point all natural prominent types who cannot all occupy their preferred early positions. Duke Of Luckley's recent winning form over course and distance at Good suggests he is well-placed to dictate a sustainable gallop, converting his lead role into a genuine stamina test rather than a sprint finish. The field holds more prominent types than it can accommodate — Schmilsson and Gore Point are both genuine prominent racers who have been redistributed into midfield and hold-up positions respectively, meaning neither is likely to secure their natural station with ease. This race shape strongly favours a horse who can travel comfortably just off a controlled pace and produce a clean jumping round, making compact prominent-to-lead profiles best positioned to exploit the uncontested tempo.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Duke Controls, Stays On

68% probability

If Duke Of Luckley leads at his own tempo and the field trails in an orderly queue throughout.

Duke Of LuckleyKrakSchmilssonGore Point

Krak Picks Him Off

16% probability

If Krak travels smoothly in behind and reels in Duke Of Luckley after the last fence.

KrakDuke Of LuckleySchmilssonGore Point

Schmilsson Forces Issue

10% probability

If Schmilsson pushes forward aggressively and forces a contested early pace that raises the tempo.

SchmilssonKrakDuke Of LuckleyGore Point

Gore Point Late Surge

6% probability

If the pace collapses or the leaders capitulate, allowing Gore Point to pick up the pieces from the rear.

Gore PointSchmilssonKrakDuke Of Luckley

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Duke Of Luckley's uncontested lead could become dangerously comfortable — if he jumps fluently and sets a generous but not punishing gallop, no rival may have the tactical speed to reel him in from the positions they are forced into.

WATCH

Schmilsson's 343-day absence is a significant fitness flag — Sean Bowen may have instructions to hunt a prominent position aggressively, but a horse returning from nearly a year off at a track that punishes errors under pressure is a real jumping-safety concern.

WATCH

Gore Point raced only four days ago; connections clearly believe he is in top form, but any residual fatigue from that recent run could show late in a 2m½f handicap chase, particularly if he expends energy early fighting for a position against his redistribution.

NOTE

With three of four runners genuine prominent types competing for the same early real estate, watch the first two fences closely — a crowded break or jumping mistake from any of Krak, Schmilsson, or Gore Point could reshape the entire race before it has settled.

NOTE

The Good going is consistent across all Newton Abbot races today and appears genuinely fair; no going bias to exploit, meaning jumping accuracy and weight-carrying ability will be the primary differentiators in the straight.

4:30 — Gordon Rowe Memorial Handicap Hurdle

2m1f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Continuance likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Max Of Stars led; the map had Continuance in front.

Arctic Voyage won at 9.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Continuance

Prominent · 1

Max Of Stars

Midfield · 1

Emerald Time

Hold Up · 2

CharlusArctic Voyage

Continuance is the sole confirmed front-runner in this five-runner field and, with no rivals likely to contest the lead aggressively, is expected to dictate at a controlled, sustainable gallop from flag to finish over the 2m1f trip on Good ground at Newton Abbot. Max Of Stars is also a prominent racer and will likely track Continuance in second, creating a small lead group that sets a measured tempo rather than a searching one. With the pace modest and uncontested, the race is likely to develop into a test of jumping fluency and finishing reserves from the front, rather than a truly run stamina contest — a shape that strongly favours horses racing prominently who can control their own destiny. Emerald Time is a genuine hold-up type redistributed into midfield on the map because the field holds more rear-division horses than the shape can naturally accommodate, with Charlus and Arctic Voyage the true closers most likely to occupy the rearward positions.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Continuance Controls, Stays Clear

71% probability

If Continuance bowls along at a fair but uncontested clip and the field never applies serious pressure on the leader.

ContinuanceMax Of StarsArctic VoyageCharlus

Hold-Up Closers Pounce Late

13% probability

If the pace is slightly stronger than expected and Continuance ties up inside the final two flights, leaving room for the rearward runners.

Arctic VoyageCharlusMax Of StarsEmerald Time

Max Of Stars Outstays The Field

10% probability

If Max Of Stars tracks Continuance prominently and outruns the leader in the closing stages as the pace selector weakens.

Max Of StarsArctic VoyageContinuanceCharlus

Chaos — Jump Error Reshuffles

6% probability

If a leading horse makes a significant jumping error at a crucial flight, fragmenting the small field and reopening the race.

Arctic VoyageCharlusMax Of StarsEmerald Time

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch Continuance's jumping — as the lone leader in a field of five on Good ground, any jumping error could immediately surrender its controlling advantage and dramatically shorten the race for the hold-up types.

WATCH

Monitor whether Max Of Stars, returning from 75 days off including a fall (U in recent form), travels with confidence at the prominent pace — a jumping wobble early could leave Continuance unchallenged and the field strung out.

WATCH

Arctic Voyage is the most dangerous closer in this field but needs a stronger-than-expected gallop to close the gap; if the pace is as moderate as expected, watch whether Harry Reed commits earlier than usual to compensate.

NOTE

Charlus is flagged as a fader in the finish — if Harry Skelton elects to produce the horse slightly closer to the pace than its natural hold-up style to counteract this weakness, the move could change the complexion of the finish.

NOTE

Emerald Time's true position in running is likely to be further back than the map indicates — watch where Tom Bellamy actually places the horse in the early stages as a guide to whether the stable has changed its tactical approach.

5:05 — William Hill Handicap Chase

3m2f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

He Is A Cracker likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mcgregors Charge led; the map had He Is A Cracker in front.

He Is A Cracker won at 26.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

He Is A Cracker

Prominent · 1

Radharc Na Slaine

Midfield · 4

Longhouse StarMcgregors ChargeDaring PlanBlackacre

Hold Up · 2

Great d'AngeWinning Paddy

He Is A Cracker is the sole confirmed front-runner here and, with a 5lb claimer aboard in Isabelle Ryder, is likely to bowl along at a sustainable, uncontested gallop over this 3m2f trip on Good ground — no rival is going to seriously dispute the lead with him. Radharc Na Slaine is the only other horse with a prominent profile and Sean Bowen will want to track closely, but the bulk of this field — Longhouse Star, Mcgregors Charge, Daring Plan, Blackacre, and the two hold-up horses Great d'Ange and Winning Paddy — are all genuine off-the-pace types who will be bunched in the chasing pack. The field holds considerably more hold-up types than the race shape can accommodate at the rear, meaning Longhouse Star, Mcgregors Charge and Daring Plan are mapped to midfield but are unlikely to be racing in their true natural position. With a lone, unhurried front-runner setting a measured pace over a staying trip, the race shape strongly favours horses that can sit handy in the first pursuit group and travel powerfully — making Radharc Na Slaine's position just off the pace the most naturally advantaged profile, while genuine hold-up horses will need significant late stamina to bridge the gap.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Cracker Controls, Handy Wins

59% probability

If He Is A Cracker dictates a steady, uncontested gallop and the race develops into a stamina test from three out.

Radharc Na SlaineWinning PaddyHe Is A CrackerGreat d'Ange

Front Runner Gallops Clear

19% probability

If He Is A Cracker, untroubled and at a rhythm he dictates, proves good enough at the weights to simply stay in front and outstay all chasers.

He Is A CrackerRadharc Na SlaineWinning PaddyDaring Plan

Late Closers Pounce

13% probability

If the pace quickens earlier than expected and He Is A Cracker sets a stronger gallop than his current form suggests, tying up the prominent horses.

Daring PlanWinning PaddyGreat d'AngeMcgregors Charge

Race Unravels, Chaos

9% probability

If multiple jumping errors or fallers disrupt the running order and the race becomes a war of attrition from an unusually early point.

Longhouse StarBlackacreMcgregors ChargeGreat d'Ange

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

He Is A Cracker carries a 5lb claimer (Isabelle Ryder) and hasn't run for 194 days — any signs of rustiness or jumping errors early could compromise his ability to control fractions and unravel the entire race shape.

WATCH

Longhouse Star has been off 676 days; if Harry Skelton aggressively hunts a position forward to compensate for the lay-off, it could inject more pace into proceedings than the map anticipates and change the dynamic significantly.

WATCH

Radharc Na Slaine ran only 7 days ago — watch in the paddock and early in the race for any signs of a horse not fully recovered, as a flat-footed early effort from Sean Bowen's mount would leave the prominent position unfilled and gift He Is A Cracker an even more comfortable lead.

NOTE

With five genuine hold-up types compressed into midfield, there is a material risk of crowding and interference at the fences in the back straight — Blackacre (visor, fall in recent form) and Mcgregors Charge are the ones most likely to cause or suffer jumping disruption.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 3 July 2026.

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