Archive›Newton Abbot · 3 June 2026

Newton Abbot

3 June 2026 · 7 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

2:30 — Sun Racing Free Tickets With Sun Club Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m5½f · Good · CLS4 · 9 runners

River Don to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Yellow Card led; the map had River Don in front.

Yellow Card won at 1.73 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

River Don

Prominent · 3

Tiger TobinPremier FantasyFrench Diablo

Midfield · 2

Tiger RougeBrenda Lady

Hold Up · 3

Keep Off The SugarPolemonYellow Card

River Don will lead from the start with no other confirmed front-runners to pressure him, allowing Harry Ryall's charge to dictate a sustainable gallop over this extended trip. The prominent runners Premier Fantasy, Tiger Tobin and French Diablo will track the leader but are unlikely to force a strong early pace given the distance. This sets up a tactical affair where the pace will build gradually from the back straight, creating opportunities for those who can quicken late. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce a finishing kick, as they'll benefit from the modest early gallop and have fresher legs for the final climb.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

65% probability

If River Don sets an uncontested lead and the pace stays moderate through halfway

The lack of early pressure allows closers to conserve energy before unleashing superior finishing speed up the hill. Yellow Card, Polemon and Keep Off The Sugar get perfect tactical setups to show their best.

Yellow CardPolemonKeep Off The SugarBrenda Lady

Prominent trackers prevail

20% probability

If the prominent runners apply more pressure than expected on River Don from the home turn

Premier Fantasy and Tiger Tobin get first run on the leader but avoid a stamina-sapping early battle. Their forward positions prove crucial when the hold-up horses find too much ground to make up.

Premier FantasyTiger TobinFrench DiabloYellow Card

Shock front-running success

10% probability

If River Don's early lead proves unassailable and no challenger can reel him in

The sustainable pace plays perfectly to River Don's stamina strengths over this extended trip. His point-to-point victory at this distance becomes the key form reference as classier rivals fail to handle the tactical demands.

River DonPremier FantasyTiger TobinYellow Card

Pace collapses completely

5% probability

If the early pace becomes crawling slow and turns into a sprint finish

The lack of early speed creates a messy bunched finish where traffic problems decide the outcome. French Diablo's proven speed over shorter trips becomes a decisive asset in a cavalry charge finish.

French DiabloYellow CardPremier FantasyPolemon

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

River Don's jumping competence on hurdles debut, as any early mistakes could compromise his position as the only leader

WATCH

Premier Fantasy's fitness after 369 days off, despite pointing preparation, as stamina could fade dramatically in the closing stages

WATCH

Yellow Card's ability to reproduce his recent improved form, as previous inconsistency makes him unreliable despite tactical advantage

NOTE

French Diablo's tendency to hang left returning on hurdles debut, which could compromise his position in the home straight

NOTE

Tiger Rouge's market position given his complete unknown status, as any significant support would suggest stable confidence

3:00 — Edmundson Electrical Torquay Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m5f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

Franigane to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Doc McCoy led; the map had Franigane in front.

Dunkerque won at 2.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 3 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Franigane

Prominent · 2

DunkerqueDoc McCoy

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Vengeance

Franigane will set the pace unopposed from the front, with Dunkerque and Doc McCoy settling prominently behind but unlikely to pressure the leader early in this small field. The sustainable gallop will allow Franigane to dictate terms through the middle sections, setting up a tactical finish where positioning becomes crucial. With only four runners and no genuine pressure on the leader, this race shape heavily favours prominent runners who can track the pace and have the tactical speed to strike, rather than hold-up horses who will struggle to make up ground in a slowly-run race.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If Franigane jumps cleanly and isn't pressured through the middle sections

The 11-year-old controls the tempo completely and has enough left to resist late challenges, benefiting from his front-running style in a race lacking early pace pressure. His hunter chase form suggests he retains ability despite the long absence.

FraniganeDunkerqueDoc McCoy

Prominent Tracker Strikes

35% probability

If Dunkerque or Doc McCoy can position perfectly behind Franigane and time their challenge

The hat-trick seeking Dunkerque or the talented but unlucky Doc McCoy can use their prominent style to track the leader before striking in the final furlong when the pace lifts. Their superior recent form and race fitness gives them the edge in a tactical finish.

DunkerqueDoc McCoyFraniganeVengeance

Tactical Muddle Benefits Outsider

12% probability

If the pace collapses completely and turns into a sprint finish

Vengeance gets a dream scenario where his hold-up style suddenly becomes an asset in a messy, slowly-run affair that falls apart tactically. The 50lb weight advantage could prove decisive if the race becomes a stamina test rather than a speed contest.

VengeanceDoc McCoyDunkerque

Jumping Errors Change Everything

8% probability

If multiple horses make significant jumping mistakes in the closing stages

The race outcome becomes determined by who navigates the final few fences cleanest rather than tactical positioning or ability. Doc McCoy's recent unseating record or Franigane's long absence could prove costly when the pressure mounts.

DunkerqueVengeanceFraniganeDoc McCoy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch Franigane's jumping rhythm early - any mistakes could hand the initiative to Dunkerque tracking behind

WATCH

Monitor Doc McCoy's confidence at the fences given his recent unseating habit when in contention

NOTE

Check how aggressively Dunkerque positions early given his recent hat-trick form and confidence levels

WATCH

Watch for Vengeance getting too far back in a small field where making up ground will be difficult

NOTE

Observe if any of the prominent runners pressure Franigane earlier than expected, changing the whole race dynamic

3:30 — Par Inn Novices' Handicap Chase

3m2f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Kenzo Des Bruyeres to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kenzo Des Bruyeres led, as the map showed.

Winning Paddy won at 29.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Kenzo Des Bruyeres

Prominent · 3

Winning PaddyDaring PlanFerando

Midfield · 2

Black OccBee's Kiss

Hold Up · 2

Isle Of SarkIt's A Breeze

Kenzo Des Bruyeres will establish the lead with no other confirmed front runners in the field. The prominent runners Daring Plan, Ferando and Winning Paddy will likely settle just behind, but none are aggressive pace-pressers, allowing Kenzo Des Bruyeres to dictate at a manageable tempo. This sustainable pace setup will create a tactical affair where the race develops gradually, with the real test coming over the final half-mile when stamina becomes crucial. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can benefit from the even gallop and deliver late kicks, particularly Isle Of Sark, Black Occ and Bee's Kiss.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustainable Pace Holds

65% probability

If Kenzo Des Bruyeres is allowed to control the tempo without serious pressure through the middle stages

The race becomes a staying test where horses with tactical speed can pick off the leaders in the final furlong. Hold-up horses with proven stamina reserves get the perfect setup to unleash finishing kicks.

Isle Of SarkBlack OccDaring PlanKenzo Des Bruyeres

Front Runner Dominates

20% probability

If Kenzo Des Bruyeres jumps fluently and maintains a strong gallop that stretches the field

His class advantage shows as the pace becomes genuinely testing, and prominent runners struggle to bridge the gap. The leader's superior rating tells as chasers fail to reel him in.

Kenzo Des BruyeresDaring PlanIsle Of SarkBlack Occ

Prominent Power Play

10% probability

If Daring Plan or Ferando press forward to challenge Kenzo Des Bruyeres entering the home straight

The increased tempo puts pressure on hold-up horses who may struggle to make up ground on the leaders. Prominent runners with tactical pace get first run on horses tracking them.

Daring PlanFerandoWinning PaddyKenzo Des Bruyeres

Pace Collapse Scramble

5% probability

If Kenzo Des Bruyeres makes jumping errors or the pace becomes crawling slow through lack of pressure

The race turns into a sprint finish where any horse can win regardless of running style. Form and class become secondary to who gets the clearest run in a bunched finish.

It's A BreezeBee's KissWinning PaddyFerando

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Kenzo Des Bruyeres jumping - any early mistakes could unsettle his rhythm and compromise the even pace scenario

WATCH

Isle Of Sark's position turning in - needs to be within striking distance given his 0-8 chase record suggests finishing limitations

NOTE

Daring Plan's fitness after 68-day break - any signs of rustiness could rule out his prominent challenge

WATCH

It's A Breeze completing the course - recent fall record makes him a non-completion risk

NOTE

Black Occ's jumping rhythm early - needs to travel well to justify his consistent recent form

4:00 — Charles Darrow Mares' Handicap Hurdle

3m2½f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Porter In The Park likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Porter In The Park led, as the map showed.

Miss Goldfire won at 3.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Porter In The Park

Prominent · 1

Queens Venture

Midfield · 3

Jena d'OudairiesMiss GoldfireJust A Memory

Hold Up · 0

None

Porter In The Park will take the field along at a steady gallop over this stamina test, with Queens Venture, Jena d'Oudairies and Miss Goldfire all positioned prominently behind. The presence of multiple prominent racers means Porter In The Park won't face early pressure, allowing her to dictate a manageable rhythm through the early stages. This creates a tactical race where positioning and timing becomes crucial, with the pace likely to quicken significantly from three out as the field closes up. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can track the pace and strike at the right moment rather than horses needing to come from off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Racer Strikes Late

45% probability

If Porter In The Park sets steady fractions and the field stays bunched until the business end

The race develops into a tactical affair where horses tracking the pace can time their challenge perfectly. Queens Venture or Miss Goldfire can use their class advantage to strike decisively in the final half-mile.

Queens VentureMiss GoldfireJena d'OudairiesPorter In The Park

Front Runner Maintains Gallop

30% probability

If Porter In The Park faces no early pressure and gets into an ideal rhythm

She can utilise her stamina advantage over this extended trip, building an unassailable lead from the home turn. Her recent Warwick second suggests she has the engine for a bold front-running display.

Porter In The ParkJena d'OudairiesQueens VentureMiss Goldfire

Nicholls Runner Improves Again

15% probability

If Jena d'Oudairies continues her upward trajectory from recent wins

Her momentum from back-to-back victories and the master trainer's 4/13 strike-rate suggests further improvement is possible. The step up in class may not stop a mare clearly going the right way.

Jena d'OudairiesMiss GoldfireQueens VenturePorter In The Park

Outsider Benefits From Pace

10% probability

If the pace becomes too strong and the principals tire in the final furlong

Just A Memory can pick up the pieces despite her lower rating, using her proven stamina at this course. Her recent chase second shows she retains ability despite her hurdles record.

Just A MemoryPorter In The ParkQueens VentureMiss Goldfire

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Porter In The Park could get an uncontested lead if the other prominent racers are content to sit and wait too long

WATCH

Miss Goldfire's confidence after that unseated incident at Fontwell - any signs of hesitancy at the hurdles could prove costly

NOTE

Jena d'Oudairies wearing blinkers for the third time - check if she settles better or becomes more keen early on

WATCH

Just A Memory stepping back to hurdles from chasing - watch for any jumping errors as she readjusts to the smaller obstacles

NOTE

Cameron Johnstone-Baker's 7lb claim on Porter In The Park effectively makes her the topweight in this handicap

4:30 — Clearance Handicap Hurdle

2m1f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Centara to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Centara led, as the map showed.

Morning Mayhem won at 5.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Centara

Prominent · 2

HowthAmerican Land

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Morning MayhemArctic Voyage

Centara will take this field along at a sensible gallop from the front, with no other confirmed pace-setters to pressure him early. The prominent runners Howth and American Land will track behind the leader, while Arctic Voyage and Morning Mayhem settle towards the rear with their hold-up styles. With only five runners and a single pace-setter, this sets up as a tactical affair where the tempo may not be strong enough to set up the hold-up horses. This race shape favours prominent runners who can sit close to Centara and pick him up in the straight when the pace inevitably quickens.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

45% probability

If Centara sets a steady tempo without burning off the field early

The pace won't be strong enough to bring the hold-up horses into play, allowing those tracking the leader to strike at the right time. Howth and American Land are perfectly positioned to capitalize when Centara comes back to them.

HowthAmerican LandCentaraArctic Voyage

Front Runner Holds On

30% probability

If Centara gets an uncontested lead and maintains his stamina advantage

His class edge and Paul Nicholls training allows him to repel all challengers despite carrying top weight. The lack of early pressure means he has enough left to hold off late challenges.

CentaraHowthAmerican LandArctic Voyage

Hold-Up Horse Strikes Late

15% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely run from the home turn onwards

Arctic Voyage or Morning Mayhem can take advantage of a collapse up front as the early leaders pay for their efforts. Their fresh finishing kick proves decisive in a slowly-run race that becomes a sprint.

Arctic VoyageMorning MayhemHowthAmerican Land

Tactical Crawl Finish

10% probability

If jockeys go too slow early and create a messy, stop-start race

The small field and lack of pace pressure creates a tactical nightmare where any horse can win from anywhere. Form and class become secondary to who gets the best run and timing in the final furlong.

American LandCentaraHowthArctic Voyage

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Centara goes too slow early - in a five-runner field with no pace pressure, he could dictate terms completely and prove hard to peg back

WATCH

Watch Howth's fitness after 255 days off - his class is proven here but ring rustiness could be crucial in a tight finish

NOTE

Watch the tempo from the home turn - if it doesn't quicken significantly, the hold-up horses Arctic Voyage and Morning Mayhem will struggle

WATCH

Watch American Land's jumping under pressure - he has the tactical speed to win but needs to be fluent at the obstacles when the race heats up

NOTE

Watch for any early tactical maneuvering - with such a small field, positioning battles could develop that disrupt the expected pace scenario

5:00 — WestCountry Food Supplies Handicap Hurdle

2m1f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Ugo Bingo likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Cogital won at 7.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ugo Bingo

Prominent · 1

Ambassador

Midfield · 6

Lord CauvellierePeace MotivatorCogitalHawa JumeirahJukebox AnnieWarfleet

Hold Up · 4

Zambezi FixMarhaba The ChampWestertonGet The Value

Ugo Bingo will likely lead from the start with no other confirmed front runners in this field, creating a sustainable tempo early. Ambassador and potentially Westerton may track prominently behind the leader, but the majority of this field consists of hold-up horses including Zambezi Fix, Get The Value, Lord Cauvelliere, and Marhaba The Champ. With one uncontested leader and numerous hold-up types, this sets up a moderate gallop that will quicken late, creating a strong staying test over this 2m1f trip. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and those with tactical speed who can position close to the pace, as the hold-up brigade will face a wall of horses when the race develops.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Lead Pays

45% probability

If Ugo Bingo gets an easy lead and isn't pressured until late.

The lack of pace pressure allows the leader to dictate terms and kick clear when the field comes to challenge. Prominent racers like Ambassador can track the tempo and strike late when others are still making ground.

Ugo BingoAmbassadorWestertonLord Cauvelliere

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Westerton or another prominent runner applies early pressure to Ugo Bingo.

The increased tempo suits those positioned handy who can quicken off a solid pace, while stretching the stamina of the hold-up horses. Fresh legs positioned close to the pace can exploit tired leaders.

WestertonAmbassadorLord CauvelliereGet The Value

Hold-Up Horse Surge

15% probability

If the early pace is genuinely slow and the field bunches up turning for home.

A tactical affair allows the better-class hold-up horses with superior finishing kicks to overcome positioning. The race becomes a sprint from the last hurdle with class telling.

Get The ValueZambezi FixMarhaba The ChampCogital

Chaos Benefits Outsider

10% probability

If there are multiple fallers or the pace collapses completely.

Field becomes strung out and fragmented, allowing an unconsidered runner with a clear run to pick up the pieces. Form horses struggle with the disrupted rhythm.

Hawa JumeirahWarfleetJukebox AnniePeace Motivator

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ugo Bingo must be watched for market support given his front-running advantage and return to last winning mark

WATCH

Peace Motivator has never completed a hurdle race in five attempts and poses a potential pace disruption risk

NOTE

Westerton carrying a 5lb penalty for his Warwick second but showed improved jumping that day

NOTE

Marhaba The Champ returning after 207 days off including a refusal to start last time out

WATCH

Multiple hold-up horses could create traffic problems in the home straight with limited early pace

5:30 — Visit Our Classic Car Show 6th June Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

2m1f · Good · CLS4 · 9 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 3 June 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →