Archive›Nottingham · 26 April 2026

Nottingham

26 April 2026 · 8 races

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2:13 — Dine In Sherwoods Restaurant Fillies' Handicap

1m½f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Lead contested: Ten Sixty Six v Light The Night UpFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Ten Sixty Six led, as the map showed.

Valkyrie Storm won at 11.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Ten Sixty SixLight The Night Up

Prominent · 4

Valkyrie StormBox CleverSpacewomanAdba

Midfield · 1

Galileo Charm

Hold Up · 3

Reem RakLaughterintherainJamie Sommers

Ten Sixty Six and Light The Night Up will engage early, with Ten Sixty Six likely to take them along at a steady gallop given the 1m4f trip. The prominent quartet of Box Clever, Spacewoman, Valkyrie Storm and Adba will create congestion behind the leaders, setting up potential traffic problems approaching the straight. With five hold-up horses (Galileo Charm, Jamie Sommers, Reem Rak, Laughterintherain) needing room late, this race strongly favours those able to secure clean early positions and kick clear before the cavalry charge arrives.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Early Leaders Dominate

45% probability

If Ten Sixty Six or Light The Night Up can dictate fractions without serious pressure

The pace will be steady enough for one of them to have something left, while the prominent runners get first run on the hold-up brigade. This scenario rewards those who avoid the late scramble entirely.

Ten Sixty SixLight The Night UpBox CleverValkyrie Storm

Prominent Runners Strike

30% probability

If the leaders go too fast or fade approaching the final furlong

The quartet sitting handy will have the perfect position to strike as the pace collapses, getting clear before the hold-up horses can mount their challenge. Clean early positioning proves decisive.

Box CleverValkyrie StormSpacewomanAdba

Late Traffic Chaos

15% probability

If the prominent runners get caught in a pocket or check approaching the straight

The hold-up horses will benefit from the scrimmaging ahead but must hope for racing room when it matters. Only those with the best turns of foot will prevail.

Galileo CharmLaughterintherainJamie SommersReem Rak

Pace Collapse Benefit

10% probability

If Ten Sixty Six and Light The Night Up go off too fast and stop dramatically

The entire field will come back to the closers, creating a sprint finish where class and turn of foot matter most. The hold-up horses get their ideal scenario with maximum pace to run at.

Reem RakGalileo CharmJamie SommersLaughterintherain

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ten Sixty Six and Light The Night Up could engage in early battle that compromises both their winning chances

WATCH

Box Clever, Spacewoman, Valkyrie Storm and Adba may create a wall of horses that blocks the hold-up brigade's run

NOTE

Galileo Charm needs to adapt quickly from AW to turf while navigating traffic with four other hold-up runners

WATCH

Jamie Sommers and Reem Rak require significant pace and racing room that may not materialize with this race shape

NOTE

Light The Night Up's 5lb claimer Jack Nicholls must handle early pressure and time his effort perfectly from the front

2:48 — £9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

6f · Good · NOV · 8 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:20 — Kevin Pauley's 75th Birthday Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Phoenix Moon likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Winchurch led; the map had Phoenix Moon in front.

Winchurch won at 4.50 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Phoenix Moon

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 5

King DavidIshe Worth AgambleBeaming LightOrbital ChimeBig Apple Jack

Hold Up · 1

Winchurch

Phoenix Moon is the sole confirmed front runner in this small field of seven, meaning she'll get an uncontested lead without early pressure. With six hold-up horses behind her, the pace will be sustainable rather than frantic, allowing Phoenix Moon to dictate terms from the front. The hold-up brigade including Orbital Chime, Winchurch, and Beaming Light will need to overcome a tactical disadvantage in a slowly-run race. This race shape strongly favours the front runner and any horse that can race prominently early, as the lack of pace pressure creates a significant tactical edge for those on or near the lead.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Runner Dominates

55% probability

If Phoenix Moon jumps cleanly and establishes an easy lead without harassment

The pace becomes pedestrian with Phoenix Moon controlling the gallop, making it difficult for the hold-up horses to generate enough late momentum. Despite being 0-7 on turf, her tactical advantage in a slowly-run race could prove decisive.

Phoenix MoonOrbital ChimeWinchurchBeaming Light

Late Surge Overcomes

25% probability

If one of the hold-up horses can secure ideal racing room and the pace quickens sufficiently in the final furlong

Orbital Chime or Winchurch get the perfect trip tracking the leaders before unleashing a telling finish. The sustained pace allows their superior finishing kicks to tell in the closing stages.

Orbital ChimeWinchurchPhoenix MoonBeaming Light

Returning Runner Springs Surprise

12% probability

If the long absence proves beneficial and Big Apple Jack or Ishe Worth Agamble show significant improvement

Fresh legs and a potentially lenient handicap mark combine with the tactical setup to produce an upset. The slow pace suits their patient style but they need everything to fall perfectly.

Ishe Worth AgambleBig Apple JackPhoenix MoonOrbital Chime

Moderate Pace Suits Midfield

8% probability

If Phoenix Moon sets a more genuine gallop than expected, creating better opportunities for those tracking

The pace becomes more even throughout, negating some of Phoenix Moon's tactical edge while still not being fast enough to fully suit the hold-up horses. King David or Beaming Light could benefit from this middle-ground scenario.

King DavidBeaming LightPhoenix MoonWinchurch

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Phoenix Moon's turf form is concerning with 0-7 record despite being the tactical advantage holder

WATCH

Big Apple Jack returns after 181 days absence - watch for market support indicating fitness

WATCH

Orbital Chime needs the pace to develop properly to showcase finishing kick from rear

NOTE

Ishe Worth Agamble's 100-day break could either hinder fitness or provide fresh legs benefit

NOTE

Watch early positioning as any horse able to sit second to Phoenix Moon gains significant tactical edge

3:55 — Pertemps Network Group Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 15 runners

Sea Her Excel likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mademoiselle Belle and Saeculamation and Telling Time and Rupert Ritzik led; the map had Sea Her Excel in front.

Tickettothestars won at 5.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

5 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Sea Her Excel

Prominent · 2

Bold ReturnSaeculamation

Midfield · 8

In DenialElashgarTickettothestarsTelling TimeGanthorpePetes DiamondNoble GentlemanRupert Ritzik

Hold Up · 4

Stock MarketPower Of ChoraMademoiselle BelleFaithful Dream

Sea Her Excel and Bold Return will dispute the early lead with Saeculamation likely to sit just behind in third, creating a moderate tempo over the opening 3f. The pace will quicken approaching the 2f pole as the prominent trio come under pressure from the large field of hold-up horses led by Elashgar, Faithful Dream and In Denial. With 15 runners and most employing patient tactics, this sets up as a typical sprint handicap where the early leaders will come back to the field in the final furlong. This race shape strongly favours horses with a finishing kick who can produce their best work in the final 1-2f.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Kick Required

65% probability

If the early pace proves moderate and the field remains tightly bunched turning for home

The race becomes a cavalry charge in the final 2f with stamina and a strong finish at premium. Hold-up horses with proven acceleration like Elashgar and Faithful Dream can unleash their kicks when it matters most.

ElashgarFaithful DreamIn DenialTickettothestars

Prominent Hold On

20% probability

If Sea Her Excel and Bold Return establish a clear advantage and maintain momentum through the bend

The early leaders resist the late charge by maintaining their rhythm and staying on strongly. Bold Return's recent 5f form suggests she has the pace to cope with this scenario.

Bold ReturnSea Her ExcelSaeculamationMademoiselle Belle

Pace Collapses Late

10% probability

If the early tempo is very moderate and no horse can quicken decisively in the straight

The race becomes a test of who can find the most in a slow-motion finish where class tells. Horses with higher ratings like Stock Market could emerge despite recent poor form.

Stock MarketTelling TimeNoble GentlemanGanthorpe

Speed Bias Emerges

5% probability

If the good ground plays faster than expected and early pace proves advantageous

The prominent runners maintain their positions throughout with the hold-up horses unable to make up sufficient ground. This scenario requires the track to be riding particularly quick.

SaeculamationSea Her ExcelBold ReturnPower Of Chora

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Sea Her Excel could improve significantly on handicap debut with wind surgery and new hood potentially unlocking ability

WATCH

Bold Return's stamina unproven at 6f having been kept to 5f in handicaps, pace judgement crucial

NOTE

Elashgar represents Kevin Frost who is 2/12 in last 14 days and horse has solid recent form

WATCH

Stock Market has faded badly in recent starts and carries top weight despite poor current form

NOTE

Faithful Dream ran well at this course last week and returns quickly with confidence high

4:25 — Pertemps Network Commercial Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Layla Liz to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Grandlad led; the map had Layla Liz in front.

Grandlad won at 8.00 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Layla Liz

Prominent · 4

Smart VisionMichaela's BoyMaster Of My FateGrandlad

Midfield · 2

InterventionNogo's Dream

Hold Up · 3

Desert CopNad Alshiba GreenMuker

Layla Liz will lead from the gate with Master Of My Fate, Michaela's Boy, Grandlad and Smart Vision all wanting prominent positions within 2-3 lengths. The congestion behind the sole leader creates a moderate pace through halfway before the prominent quartet starts scrapping 2f out. This early positioning battle will disadvantage the hold-up horses (Muker, Nad Alshiba Green, Desert Cop, Intervention) who need splits that may not come in a short 5f dash. The race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can track the leader without getting caught in traffic.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leader Dictates Terms

45% probability

If Layla Liz gets an easy lead without early pressure from the prominent runners.

She can control fractions and kick clear 2f out while the chasers are still organizing behind her. Her proven front-running ability at this distance gives her the tactical edge over horses fighting for position.

Layla LizMaster Of My FateSmart VisionGrandlad

Prominent Battle Erupts

30% probability

If Master Of My Fate, Michaela's Boy and Smart Vision all press Layla Liz early.

The increased pace will set up a late charge from the better-handicapped hold-up horses who can stay out of trouble. Nad Alshiba Green and Nogo's Dream benefit most from this tempo.

Nad Alshiba GreenNogo's DreamDesert CopMuker

Traffic Chaos Develops

15% probability

If the prominent quartet creates a wall across the track entering the final 2f.

The pace collapses as jockeys check their mounts, creating a messy finish where positioning luck trumps ability. Any horse finding a clean run benefits, regardless of rating.

GrandladSmart VisionMichaela's BoyIntervention

Pace Collapse Special

10% probability

If all prominent runners defer to Layla Liz and she sets pedestrian fractions.

The race becomes a pure sprint from 2f out where the classiest horse wins regardless of tactics. Desert Cop's higher rating and Nad Alshiba Green's C&D form become decisive factors.

Desert CopNad Alshiba GreenLayla LizMaster Of My Fate

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Muker showing early market support despite 215-day absence and poor tactical setup for hold-up horse

WATCH

Traffic developing 2f out as four prominent runners (Master Of My Fate, Michaela's Boy, Grandlad, Smart Vision) converge behind leader

NOTE

Layla Liz breaking smartly from stalls as sole leader, any sluggish start compromises entire race plan

WATCH

Nad Alshiba Green and Desert Cop getting squeezed for room if prominent wall forms across track

NOTE

Smart Vision's headgear working as intended, any head-shaking or reluctance negates prominent tactics

4:55 — British Stallion Studs EBF Nottinghamshire Oaks Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares)

1m2f · Good · LST · 6 runners

That's Amore to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

It's A Heartbeat and That's Amore led, as the map showed.

See The Fire won at 1.33 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

That's Amore

Prominent · 1

It's A Heartbeat

Midfield · 2

Love DynastyAlla Stella

Hold Up · 2

See The FireLava Stream

That's Amore provides the only confirmed pace angle as the sole front runner, likely to dictate terms from the rail without meaningful pressure through the early stages. The four hold-up horses (See The Fire, Love Dynasty, Lava Stream, Alla Stella) will settle behind with It's A Heartbeat tracking in a prominent position. With minimal pace pressure expected, That's Amore can control fractions and potentially steal a march, while the hold-up brigade may face a tactical challenge if the pace becomes too sedate. This race shape strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can avoid getting caught behind a slow pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If That's Amore gets easy fractions and maintains her kick

She controls the race unchallenged and has enough in reserve to resist late challengers on ground that suits. The hold-up horses are left with too much to do from the steady pace.

That's AmoreIt's A HeartbeatSee The FireLove Dynasty

Class Tells Late

30% probability

If See The Fire gets a clear run and finds her Group form

The superior class horse overcomes the tactical disadvantage of the slow pace with a devastating late surge. Her proven Group credentials at this trip prove decisive against lesser opposition.

See The FireLava StreamThat's AmoreLove Dynasty

Long Absence Backfires

15% probability

If the two long-absent horses (Lava Stream, Alla Stella) lack race fitness

Their 500+ day layoffs prove costly in a competitive finish, allowing fresher rivals to capitalize. The race becomes a battle between the recent runners with sharper preparation.

It's A HeartbeatThat's AmoreSee The FireLove Dynasty

Soft Ground Specialist

10% probability

If Love Dynasty handles the good ground better than expected

Her previous soft/heavy ground form translates to these conditions and she finds improvement from the long break. The lightly-raced profile delivers an upset against more exposed rivals.

Love DynastyAlla StellaSee The FireThat's Amore

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

That's Amore breaks smartly and establishes clear lead - if unchallenged she can dictate ideal fractions

WATCH

See The Fire gets trapped behind slow pace in final two furlongs - needs clear passage to utilize superior class

WATCH

Lava Stream shows signs of ring-rustiness early - 612-day absence could prove telling despite past Group form

NOTE

Love Dynasty handles good ground in opening stages - previous soft/heavy restriction may not apply

NOTE

It's A Heartbeat tracks That's Amore closely - prominent position crucial if pace becomes pedestrian

5:25 — Pertemps Network Industrial Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m6f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Lead contested: Macari v Just An HourHISTORIC

How it ran

Macari led, as the map showed.

Codiak won at 4.00. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

MacariJust An Hour

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 2

Imperial SovereignSpirit Of Jura

Hold Up · 2

Rock N Roll PinkieCodiak

Macari and Just An Hour are both confirmed front runners who will contest the early pace over this staying trip. With only six runners, this creates a genuine speed duel that should set up an honest gallop throughout the 1m6f journey. The tempo will be solid rather than frantic, but the early pace battle between these two leaders will ensure no crawling early fractions. This race shape strongly favours the hold-up horses who can capitalise on the inevitable weakening of the pace-setters in the final two furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Benefit

55% probability

If Macari and Just An Hour engage in their expected pace duel from flag-fall

The honest gallop will set up perfectly for the closers who can pick up the pieces when the leaders weaken. Imperial Sovereign, Codiak, Spirit Of Jura and Rock N Roll Pinkie all have the tactical speed to capitalise.

Rock N Roll PinkieCodiakImperial SovereignSpirit Of Jura

Just An Hour Dominates

25% probability

If Just An Hour can shake off Macari early and get first run on his rivals

His proven 1m6f form and recent consistency will tell, with the lighter weight helping him stay strong to the line. The George Wood partnership has been reliable this season.

Just An HourImperial SovereignRock N Roll PinkieCodiak

Pace Collapses Completely

12% probability

If both front runners go too hard early and tie each other up completely

The race becomes a sprint from the back with the strongest finisher prevailing in the final furlong. This scenario particularly suits Rock N Roll Pinkie who has shown good finishing kick.

Rock N Roll PinkieSpirit Of JuraCodiakImperial Sovereign

Macari Gets Tactical

8% probability

If Rose Dawes settles Macari better than expected and avoids the early duel

The 109-day break could have freshened him up sufficiently to see out this trip under his claiming allowance. His earlier turf form gives him an outside chance.

MacariJust An HourImperial SovereignRock N Roll Pinkie

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Just An Hour and Macari will determine the entire complexion of this race - if they go too hard early, both become vulnerable

WATCH

Codiak making his turf handicap debut after two AW wins - track conditions and surface change could catch him out

NOTE

Imperial Sovereign has shown his best form on the all-weather recently, so monitor how he handles the return to turf

WATCH

Macari returning after 109 days off with an inexperienced 5lb claimer - fitness and jockey inexperience could combine negatively

NOTE

Rock N Roll Pinkie's recent return form suggests he's ready to strike, particularly if the pace sets up right for his closing style

5:55 — Pertemps Network Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Shady Bay likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

It's Only Fun led; the map had Shady Bay in front.

Shady Bay won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Shady Bay

Prominent · 1

Glint Of Light

Midfield · 1

It's Only Fun

Hold Up · 2

Kurios LadySolanna

Shady Bay will take this field along from the front with minimal pressure, having shown clear front-running tendencies and registering a 1m2f double at this track last July. With only Glint Of Light capable of pressing early, the pace will be steady rather than demanding through the first half. The lack of genuine pace angles means Shady Bay can dictate terms and kick for home when ready. This sustainable tempo strongly favours prominent runners and those who can track the pace, disadvantaging the hold-up horses who need a strong gallop to be effective.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Shady Bay Dominates

45% probability

If Shady Bay reproduces his July form at this track and gets an uncontested lead

The front-runner controls the race from flag to finish, quickening off a steady pace that suits his style perfectly. Glint Of Light and the prominent runners struggle to close the gap as the tempo doesn't collapse.

Shady BayGlint Of LightSolannaKurios Lady

Prominent Battle

30% probability

If Glint Of Light presses Shady Bay early and creates genuine pace pressure

The two prominent runners duel through the middle stages, setting up a tactical finish where track position matters more than closing kicks. Solanna and the hold-up brigade find it difficult to make up ground.

Glint Of LightShady BayIt's Only FunSolanna

Hold-Up Horses Rally

15% probability

If the early pace collapses completely and becomes a crawl

Shady Bay goes too slowly early, allowing Solanna and Kurios Lady to mount late challenges from their hold-up positions. The race becomes a sprint finish where the fresher closers can strike.

SolannaKurios LadyShady BayIt's Only Fun

Pace Compromises All

10% probability

If Shady Bay fails to fire after his long break and no clear pace emerges

The race becomes messy with no obvious tempo, creating a scrambled finish where any horse can win on the day. Form and ratings become less relevant in a tactical lottery.

It's Only FunGlint Of LightKurios LadyShady Bay

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Shady Bay's fitness after 174 days off will determine if he can sustain his front-running style through the final furlong

WATCH

Glint Of Light's early positioning is crucial - if she doesn't press Shady Bay the race becomes uncompetitive

NOTE

Solanna's early position with new jockey David Egan may differ from her usual hold-up style under Rossa Ryan

NOTE

Kurios Lady needs to be ridden aggressively by Rossa Ryan to overcome the likely steady pace

WATCH

The small field size means any horse getting outpaced early will struggle to recover in time

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 26 April 2026.

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