Archive›Nottingham · 3 June 2026

Nottingham

3 June 2026 · 6 races

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2:48 — £9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Good · NOV · 12 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:18 — British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

5f · Good · CLS4 · 10 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:48 — Wildwest Beer Festival 4th July Fillies' Handicap

1m½f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

3 vying for the leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Lillie Margot led, as the map showed.

Lillie Margot won at 6.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

VitalityLillie MargotKatalyst

Prominent · 2

Mimi's MagicSafe Harbor

Midfield · 3

Mayfair MarketJamie SommersGlasgow Kiss

Hold Up · 3

BamiMorningtoncrescentLaughterintherain

Vitality, Lillie Margot and Katalyst will all attempt to lead this 11-runner fillies' handicap, creating a strong gallop from the start over this extended 1m2f trip. The three confirmed front-runners will likely engage early, with Safe Harbor and Mimi's Magic sitting prominent behind the pace battle. This sustained gallop will test stamina reserves and set up a finish that strongly favours hold-up horses like Bami, Jamie Sommers, and Morningtoncrescent who can finish off a truly-run race. The early pace pressure clearly benefits closers over prominent racers in this tactical setup.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Benefits Closers

55% probability

If all three leaders (Vitality, Lillie Margot, Katalyst) go forward and create genuine pace pressure through the middle stages.

The sustained gallop will exhaust the early pace-setters and allow patient hold-up horses to pick up the pieces in the final two furlongs. Fresh finishers with tactical speed will thrive off this honest pace scenario.

BamiJamie SommersMorningtoncrescentLaughterintherain

Moderate Pace Suits Prominent

25% probability

If one leader drops out early leaving just two to set a more manageable tempo.

Without maximum pace pressure, the prominent horses can travel comfortably and use their position to advantage when the race develops. Safe Harbor and Mimi's Magic are perfectly placed to capitalise on this rhythm.

Safe HarborMimi's MagicLillie MargotVitality

Lillie Margot Dominates Alone

12% probability

If Vitality and Katalyst both miss the break or settle, leaving Lillie Margot with an uncontested lead.

She gets the perfect front-running scenario over her proven course and distance, controlling the gallop to suit her stamina. Her previous second place here gives her a significant tactical edge in this situation.

Lillie MargotVitalitySafe HarborMimi's Magic

Pace Collapses Late

8% probability

If all three leaders go too hard early and completely capitulate in the final three furlongs.

The race becomes a sprint finish between whatever horses have been held up furthest back with the most energy reserves. This extreme scenario rewards only the most patiently ridden runners.

Glasgow KissMorningtoncrescentBamiJamie Sommers

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Vitality and Katalyst both going too fast early and taking each other out of the race completely

WATCH

Safe Harbor and Mimi's Magic getting trapped behind the early pace battle if leaders spread across track

NOTE

Jamie Sommers getting the perfect hold-up position if pace develops as expected given her course form

NOTE

Bami showing ring-rustiness early after 175-day absence despite fitting tactical profile

WATCH

Lillie Margot getting isolated in front if other two leaders settle behind her unexpectedly

4:18 — Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Orangesandlemons likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Abando led; the map had Orangesandlemons in front.

A Major Payne won at 3.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Orangesandlemons

Prominent · 3

Something SplendidNo Knee NeverGive Me The Night

Midfield · 3

KasganiAbandoStar Time

Hold Up · 3

A Major PayneCaph StarPrimo Lara

Orangesandlemons is the sole identified front runner and will likely get an uncontested lead with No Knee Never and Give Me The Night providing some early company in prominent positions. The bulk of this field are hold-up horses (A Major Payne, Abando, Caph Star, Star Time, Primo Lara, Kasgani) who will settle behind the pace. With minimal early pressure, Orangesandlemons can dictate fractions and kick for home, while the large hold-up contingent will face a traffic-laden finish as they all look for racing room simultaneously. This race shape strongly favours the early pace-setters and prominent racers who can avoid the late scramble.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Orangesandlemons gets soft fractions and isn't headed turning for home.

The pace-setter can dictate terms without pressure and has enough in reserve to hold off late challengers who get caught in traffic. Prominent racers like No Knee Never benefit from clean runs while hold-up horses struggle for room.

OrangesandlemonsNo Knee NeverSomething SplendidGive Me The Night

Prominent Prevails

30% probability

If No Knee Never or Give Me The Night track the leader closely and strike at the right moment.

These horses get perfect trips behind the uncontested leader and can time their challenges to perfection while the hold-up brigade gets tangled up behind them. The winner comes from just off the pace with a clean run.

No Knee NeverSomething SplendidGive Me The NightOrangesandlemons

Hold-Up Hero Emerges

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and multiple hold-up horses find clear runs.

One of the many hold-up horses like A Major Payne or Caph Star gets a dream passage through the field as others get stopped. The winner needs both class and luck to navigate the congested finish.

A Major PayneCaph StarKasganiStar Time

Pace Collapses Early

10% probability

If Orangesandlemons goes too fast early or gets headed before the turn.

The front runner cracks under unexpected pressure from prominent runners, creating a sprint finish that suits horses with tactical speed. Late runners get their preferred scenario but still need clear runs.

Star TimeSomething SplendidA Major PaynePrimo Lara

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Orangesandlemons breaks too fast early and burns up energy that allows prominent runners to close

WATCH

Traffic problems developing in home straight as multiple hold-up horses look for racing room simultaneously

NOTE

No Knee Never tracking the leader closely and measuring his run to strike at optimal moment

WATCH

A Major Payne and other hold-up horses getting shuffled back further as pace quickens

NOTE

Something Splendid handling the good ground better than recent form suggests on softer surfaces

4:48 — Watch RacingTV Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Midnight Rodeo likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Midnight Rodeo led, as the map showed.

Barbury Boy won at 3.25 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Midnight Rodeo

Prominent · 1

Unchartedterritory

Midfield · 3

MuditaBarbury BoyMr Bollinger

Hold Up · 2

GatehouseThat Darn Cantor

Midnight Rodeo is the only confirmed front runner in this seven-runner field and should get an uncontested lead over this 1m2f trip. With most rivals being hold-up performers (Mudita, Gatehouse, Barbury Boy, That Darn Cantor) and only Unchartedterritory likely to race prominently, the early pace will be moderate to steady. This race shape strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can position close to Midnight Rodeo, as the lack of early pace pressure will allow the leaders to dictate terms and kick clear in the straight before the hold-up horses can mount their challenges.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Midnight Rodeo gets an easy lead and dictates the fractions

The Scott runner will be able to quicken off steady fractions and prove difficult to peg back over this stamina-testing trip. The hold-up horses will have too much ground to make up in the straight against a horse who has won from the front twice before.

Midnight RodeoUnchartedterritoryBarbury BoyMudita

Hold-Up Horses Time Run

30% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely slow and turns into a sprint finish

The patient tactics of Mudita and Barbury Boy will pay dividends as they can unleash late runs. Both have shown good finishing kicks when getting the right pace scenario and stronger jockeys will be crucial.

MuditaBarbury BoyGatehouseThat Darn Cantor

Prominent Racer Strikes

15% probability

If Unchartedterritory settles better and tracks Midnight Rodeo

The O'Meara runner can get first run on the leader while staying out of trouble. His previous free-running style becomes an asset if he can position just behind the pace and pounce approaching the final furlong.

UnchartedterritoryMidnight RodeoBarbury BoyMudita

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If Midnight Rodeo goes too slowly and gets swamped late

The superior class of Barbury Boy and Mudita tells as they sweep past tired leaders. This becomes a pure stamina test where the highest-rated horses with the strongest finishes prevail in a bunch finish.

Barbury BoyMuditaGatehouseThat Darn Cantor

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Midnight Rodeo gets pressured early by Unchartedterritory as neither will want to give the other an easy time

WATCH

Monitor Unchartedterritory's early behaviour after racing too freely last time at Hamilton

NOTE

Check if Barbury Boy settles better dropped back to 1m2f after failing to stay 1m4f at Haydock

NOTE

Observe if any hold-up horses get trapped behind the small field as there will be limited cover

WATCH

Watch for trouble in running with several hold-up horses needing luck in a small field with limited racing room

5:18 — Dine In Sherwoods Restaurant Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Hint Of The Jungle likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

May Encounter led; the map had Hint Of The Jungle in front.

Court Of Session won at 15.00 — was held up, as the map had it.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Hint Of The Jungle

Prominent · 4

Run This WayAlafdhalJake Loves LauraTilsworth Turf

Midfield · 3

Surprise AgainRinky Tinky TinkyMy Boy Jack

Hold Up · 4

May EncounterIshe Worth AgambleFancy DancerCourt Of Session

Hint Of The Jungle will set a controlled pace from the front with Run This Way, Alafdhal, Jake Loves Laura, and Tilsworth Turf providing the early company in a race lacking genuine speed merchants. The pace will be honest but not breakneck, allowing the field to stay in touch through the first four furlongs before the real business begins inside the final two furlongs. With only one confirmed front-runner and several prominent racers who can adapt their position, this creates a tactical affair where positioning matters more than raw speed. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and late runners who can exploit what should be a sprint finish from the two-furlong marker.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Steady Pace Sprint Finish

45% probability

If Hint Of The Jungle sets an uncontested lead and the prominent runners settle kindly behind him.

The race develops into a sprint from two furlongs out when the pace lifts, suiting horses with a turn of foot who can pick up the leaders. Hold-up specialists with proven finishing kicks will thrive in the dash to the line.

Ishe Worth AgambleFancy DancerMay EncounterCourt Of Session

Early Pace Battle

30% probability

If Run This Way and Alafdhal press Hint Of The Jungle early, creating genuine pace pressure in the opening half-mile.

The early gallop will stretch the field and set up the race for something with stamina to come from behind. Horses that need the pace to collapse will benefit as the early leaders weaken in the final furlong.

May EncounterRinky Tinky TinkyIshe Worth AgambleCourt Of Session

Front Runner Dominates

15% probability

If Hint Of The Jungle gets an easy time in front and kicks clear turning for home.

His recent good form and tactical advantage of an uncontested lead allows him to build a decisive advantage. The hold-up horses will struggle to close the gap if he gets first run on them from the front.

Hint Of The JungleRun This WayAlafdhalJake Loves Laura

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If the early pace is too slow and the field bunches up for a cavalry charge finish.

The race becomes a pure speed test in the final furlong where class and natural pace matter most. The highest-rated horses with tactical speed will emerge from the pack when it matters.

Run This WayIshe Worth AgambleHint Of The JungleFancy Dancer

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Hint Of The Jungle getting an easy lead - if no one takes him on early he can dictate terms completely

WATCH

Run This Way's blinkers effect continuing - recent double suggests the headgear has transformed his attitude

WATCH

Alafdhal's fitness after 113 days off - returning to turf for first time since December layoff

NOTE

May Encounter's finishing kick - needs to overcome maiden tag but has shown promise in defeat

NOTE

The pace through the first quarter-mile - will determine whether hold-up horses get their optimal setup

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 3 June 2026.

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