Archive›Nottingham · 31 May 2026

Nottingham

31 May 2026 · 7 races

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2:20 — Bear's Big Birthday EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C/D) (EBF Restricted Qualifier) (GBB Race)

6f · Good · CLS5 · 11 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:50 — Construction Day 14th Oct Handicap

1m½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Spacewoman likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Space Moon led; the map had Spacewoman in front.

Daretobedifferent won at 4.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Spacewoman

Prominent · 2

High ChieftainSpace Moon

Midfield · 2

Blue CelestialSweet Mabel

Hold Up · 2

Legacy RockDaretobedifferent

Spacewoman and Space Moon will likely contest the early lead, with High Chieftain sitting prominently behind them. The moderate pace they set should allow the hold-up horses Legacy Rock, Daretobedifferent, Blue Celestial and Sweet Mabel to get into contention. At 1m½f on good ground with limited early pace pressure, this race strongly favours horses that can close from off the pace and finish well.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

55% probability

If the early pace is steady and the race develops into a sprint finish

Legacy Rock and Daretobedifferent can use their proven closing kicks to sweep past tiring leaders. The longer trip and good ground conditions perfectly suit horses that need time to wind up.

Legacy RockDaretobedifferentBlue CelestialSweet Mabel

Prominent runners prevail

25% probability

If High Chieftain can secure ideal positioning behind the leaders without being squeezed for room

His prominent style allows him to track the pace and strike when the hold-up horses are still making ground. Space Moon could also benefit if she can sit closer than usual and avoid traffic problems.

High ChieftainSpace MoonSpacewomanBlue Celestial

Front runner steals it

12% probability

If Spacewoman gets an uncontested lead and sets modest fractions throughout

She can kick clear entering the straight before the closers fully engage their finishing gears. The 35-day break could have freshened her up enough to finally deliver on her earlier promise.

SpacewomanHigh ChieftainLegacy RockSpace Moon

Outsider emerges

8% probability

If the race becomes a muddling affair with several horses still in contention at the furlong pole

Sweet Mabel could find significant improvement returning to turf after a 134-day break. Blue Celestial's recent Kempton form might translate better to this longer turf test than expected.

Sweet MabelBlue CelestialDaretobedifferentSpace Moon

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Sweet Mabel's 134-day absence combined with her known finishing problems makes her a significant risk at this trip

WATCH

Spacewoman could set uncontested fractions if Space Moon doesn't go with her early, creating a tactical disadvantage for closers

NOTE

Legacy Rock's 8-day turnaround after his comfortable Windsor win could either aid or hinder his hat-trick attempt

NOTE

High Chieftain's first run beyond 7 furlongs needs monitoring to see if he stays the extended trip

WATCH

Space Moon and Spacewoman both need to avoid getting into an early speed duel that could compromise both their chances

3:20 — When You Wish Upon A Star Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

1m½f · Good · CLS4 · 7 runners

Dark Whisper likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lucky Camino led; the map had Dark Whisper in front.

Leonardo Blu won at 5.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Dark Whisper

Prominent · 2

Lucky CaminoSymphony's Song

Midfield · 2

LivemoreSunnie Jim

Hold Up · 2

Leonardo BluTurton

Dark Whisper and Lucky Camino will set a sustainable early pace as the only prominent runners, with Symphony's Song potentially joining them early. The hold-up quartet of Leonardo Blu, Turton, Sunnie Jim, and newcomer Livemore will track behind in a strung-out field. With just two genuine pace-setters over 1m4f on good ground, the tempo will be manageable rather than cutthroat. This shape strongly favours the prominent runners who can position close to the pace without pressure, as the hold-up horses face a difficult task from too far back in a small, slowly-run field.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Pair Dominate

55% probability

If Dark Whisper and Lucky Camino get an uncontested lead and control the fractions

The two class acts dictate terms up front and have too much quality for the hold-up brigade to reel in. Their superior form figures and tactical advantage prove decisive in a steadily-run race.

Dark WhisperLucky CaminoLeonardo BluLivemore

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

25% probability

If the early pace is even slower than expected and one closer gets a perfect stalking trip

Leonardo Blu or Livemore benefit from patient rides and superior finishing kicks when the leaders tire. The good ground and extended trip play into the hands of horses with stamina reserves.

Leonardo BluLivemoreDark WhisperLucky Camino

Newcomer Surprise

12% probability

If Livemore shows immediate ability on debut and gets a dream run from off the pace

The well-bred debutant from the Kent stable produces a taking performance with natural improvement. His unknown quantity status masks genuine talent that emerges under a confident ride.

LivemoreLeonardo BluDark WhisperSymphony's Song

Weak Pace Backfires

8% probability

If Symphony's Song or another outsider forces a stronger gallop than expected early

The increased tempo plays havoc with the favourites' tactics and opens up opportunities for each-way shocks. Stamina becomes the deciding factor as class horses empty out in the final furlong.

Symphony's SongLeonardo BluTurtonLucky Camino

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Dark Whisper and Lucky Camino getting an uncontested lead could make this a procession given their class edge

WATCH

Livemore's market moves as the unknown debutant could spring a surprise if showing natural ability

NOTE

Early pace development crucial as slow tempo will make life very difficult for the hold-up horses

WATCH

Symphony's Song forcing the pace harder than expected could change the entire complexion

NOTE

Ground conditions remaining genuinely good rather than riding softer will suit the prominent pair

3:55 — Wildwest Beer Festival 4th July Fillies' Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Ruby's Profit likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sugar Hill Babe and Emerald Harmony and Ruby's Profit led, as the map showed.

Sugar Hill Babe won at 4.50 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ruby's Profit

Prominent · 2

Sugar Hill BabeEmerald Harmony

Midfield · 2

Time To Take OffChicory

Hold Up · 2

WateenNovelette

Ruby's Profit and Sugar Hill Babe will fight for the early lead, both confirmed front runners who have shown pace at this trip. With only seven runners and two natural pace-setters, the early gallop should be genuine but not suicidal, particularly as both leaders have tactical speed rather than being one-paced tearaways. The pace will be honest throughout the 5f journey, creating a race where the prominent runners and those with tactical speed will be favoured over pure hold-up horses. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and those with early pace who can position close to the leaders.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runner Prevails

45% probability

If the pace is genuine but not excessive between the two leaders

The early pace will be honest enough to set up the race for horses tracking just behind, allowing them to pounce in the final furlong when the leaders tire. Horses like Sugar Hill Babe or Emerald Harmony, who can sit prominent and finish, will benefit from this tactical positioning.

Sugar Hill BabeEmerald HarmonyRuby's ProfitTime To Take Off

Front Runner Dominates

30% probability

If one of the pace-setters can steal a march and get an uncontested lead

Ruby's Profit or Sugar Hill Babe will dictate terms from the front, with the other pace-setter either settling or being outpaced early. The leader will have enough left to repel late challenges from the hold-up horses who face a difficult task from off the pace.

Ruby's ProfitSugar Hill BabeEmerald HarmonyNovelette

Hold Up Horse Strikes

15% probability

If the pace is strong enough to compromise both front runners significantly

The dual between Ruby's Profit and Sugar Hill Babe will go quick enough to set up a closer, with Time To Take Off, Novelette or Wateen sweeping through from the back. The pace collapse will favour horses with a devastating turn of foot from off the speed.

Time To Take OffNoveletteWateenChicory

Pace Collapses Early

10% probability

If both pace-setters go too fast and burn out before halfway

The race becomes a sprint from the 2f pole with all runners having a chance, favouring those with the best finishing kick regardless of position. This chaotic finish will suit any horse with natural speed who can quicken when it matters most.

WateenTime To Take OffChicorySugar Hill Babe

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ruby's Profit and Sugar Hill Babe fighting for the lead early, if they go too fast both could be vulnerable to closers

WATCH

Novelette and Wateen both returning from very long breaks of 275 and 273 days respectively, fitness highly questionable

WATCH

Time To Take Off dropping back into handicap company after novice races, weight and class relief could spark improvement

NOTE

Emerald Harmony's quick turnaround of 15 days may indicate trainer confidence after her good Newcastle second

NOTE

Chicory stepping back from 6f to 5f having raced exclusively at the longer trip, may lack the natural speed for this contest

4:25 — Dine In Sherwoods Restaurant Handicap

1m6f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Lead contested: Little Peter v In The PostHISTORIC

How it ran

In The Post led, as the map showed.

Tupero won at 4.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Little PeterIn The Post

Prominent · 1

Diamond Bay

Midfield · 2

TazamanTwo Plus Two

Hold Up · 2

Bulldog SpiritTupero

Little Peter and In The Post will contest the early lead in this small field, with Two Plus Two also capable of pressing forward if the pace is modest. The dual front-runners should ensure an honest gallop over this extended trip, though neither is particularly keen which could allow the pace to become steady rather than fierce. With four of seven runners being hold-up horses (Bulldog Spirit, Tazaman, Tupero, Two Plus Two), they'll need the leaders to go fast enough to set up a finish. This race shape marginally favours horses that can sit handy and pounce, as the pace may not be strong enough to completely exhaust the leaders.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Honest Pace Benefits Closers

45% probability

If Little Peter and In The Post maintain a solid gallop throughout.

The steady tempo allows the class hold-up horses to close strongly in the final furlong. Tupero and Tazaman can unleash their finishing kicks from ideal positions.

TuperoTazamanTwo Plus TwoIn The Post

Modest Tempo Suits Handymen

30% probability

If both leaders go too steady and compromise the finish.

The lack of early pressure allows prominent runners and tactical speed horses to control proceedings. Diamond Bay and Two Plus Two can position perfectly to strike when it matters.

Two Plus TwoDiamond BayTuperoIn The Post

Strong Early Gallop

15% probability

If Little Peter or In The Post get competitive and force a genuine pace.

The honest tempo stretches the field and sets up a true staying test. Fresh horses with proven stamina can pick up the pieces as others tire.

TuperoBulldog SpiritTazamanTwo Plus Two

Front Runner Wires Field

10% probability

If Two Plus Two or In The Post gets an uncontested lead and steals a march.

The leader gets first run on the field and maintains just enough advantage to hold on. Recent winners with confidence can exploit tactical positioning.

Two Plus TwoIn The PostTuperoLittle Peter

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

WATCH

Little Peter's fitness after 166-day layoff could see him fold quickly if he contests the early pace too keenly.

NOTE

Two Plus Two's ability to adapt tactics from his usual hold-up style if the early pace becomes too slow.

KEY

Tupero's chances rely heavily on Little Peter and In The Post providing sufficient early pace to set up his closing kick.

WATCH

In The Post may need to lead throughout if Little Peter doesn't show early speed, which could compromise his finishing kick.

NOTE

Diamond Bay's recent poor form suggests he may struggle to match these better handicappers despite favorable weight.

4:55 — British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Lady Dora Mae likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dunkeld Dreamer led; the map had Lady Dora Mae in front.

Sharp Romance won at 2.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Lady Dora Mae

Prominent · 2

Dunkeld DreamerSilken Bay

Midfield · 2

Sharp RomanceShady Bay

Hold Up · 2

Galaxy StarBearin Up

Lady Dora Mae will set the pace from the front with several prominent runners including Silken Bay, Sharp Romance, Shady Bay, and Dunkeld Dreamer tracking close behind, creating a compact leading group. With only Galaxy Star and Bearin Up held up, there won't be significant early pressure on Lady Dora Mae, allowing her to dictate a steady gallop through the middle stages. The pace will intensify from the 3-furlong pole as the prominent runners close in, setting up a sustained drive to the line. This moderate early pace followed by a strong finish clearly favours prominent runners who can position close to the pace and have the stamina to sustain their effort over the final 3 furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent runners dominate

55% probability

If Lady Dora Mae sets sustainable fractions and the prominent group stay within striking distance

The moderate pace allows trackers like Sharp Romance, Shady Bay and Dunkeld Dreamer to travel smoothly before unleashing strong finishes. Hold-up horses Galaxy Star and Bearin Up struggle to make up ground as the pace quickens late.

Sharp RomanceShady BayDunkeld DreamerLady Dora Mae

Front runner steals march

25% probability

If Lady Dora Mae gets easy fractions and kicks clear turning for home

Her early Windsor win shows she can quicken off steady pace, and with light weight she could prove hard to peg back. The prominent runners react too late as she builds an unassailable lead.

Lady Dora MaeSharp RomanceSilken BayDunkeld Dreamer

Hold-up horses surge late

12% probability

If the pace becomes competitive early with the prominent group going too fast

Galaxy Star and Bearin Up benefit from a strong gallop that sets up their closing kicks over this stamina-testing trip. The early pace-setters weaken in the final furlong as the hold-up pair finish fastest.

Galaxy StarBearin UpSharp RomanceShady Bay

Course specialist prevails

8% probability

If Shady Bay's proven course form becomes decisive in a tight finish

Her easy C&D win last time demonstrates superior track knowledge despite the 5lb rise in the weights. The combination of course experience and good recent form proves enough to edge a competitive finish.

Shady BayDunkeld DreamerSharp RomanceLady Dora Mae

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

WATCH

Watch if Lady Dora Mae gets uncontested lead early as her light weight and recent form could prove decisive

NOTE

Monitor how quickly Galaxy Star can get into contention from her likely back position in small field

KEY

Sharp Romance's inexperience could be exposed if drawn into early pace battle with prominent group

WATCH

Bearin Up needs strong gallop to be effective but may struggle if Lady Dora Mae sets modest fractions

NOTE

Shady Bay's tongue-tie first time suggests connections seeking improvement after recent disappointing runs

5:25 — £9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap

1m½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Prodigal Son to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Bass Player led; the map had Prodigal Son in front.

Leadenhall won at 3.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Prodigal Son

Prominent · 1

The Sweet Escape

Midfield · 3

LeadenhallGreat BlasketBass Player

Hold Up · 2

StardancerPenelope Valentine

Prodigal Son is the sole confirmed front runner and will take the field along at a sustainable gallop from the outset. With The Sweet Escape likely to sit prominently behind him and the remaining five all hold-up types, there will be minimal early pressure on the leader. This creates a tempo where Prodigal Son can dictate terms through steady fractions before the pack unleashes late. The lack of pace pressure strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will engulf the large hold-up contingent in the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Lead Wins

45% probability

If Prodigal Son faces no early pressure and maintains his advantage.

The leader controls every call while the hold-up horses get bottled up behind a wall of horses turning for home. His recent Bath wins in blinkers prove he can sustain a gallop when allowed easy fractions.

Prodigal SonThe Sweet EscapeLeadenhallGreat Blasket

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If The Sweet Escape can stalk Prodigal Son and time her challenge perfectly.

She avoids the inevitable traffic chaos while sitting in the ideal stalking position behind the leader. Her recent C&D win shows she can finish strongly when getting a good trip.

The Sweet EscapeProdigal SonBass PlayerGreat Blasket

Hold-up Hero Emerges

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and one hold-up horse finds clear daylight.

The lack of genuine pace allows a patient ride to work but requires significant luck in running. Leadenhall's class edge could tell if he gets a clear passage late.

LeadenhallGreat BlasketStardancerPenelope Valentine

Pace Collapse Surprise

10% probability

If Prodigal Son stops quickly and allows multiple hold-up horses to challenge.

The leader's stamina gives way suddenly, creating a bunched finish where any of the hold-up horses could prevail. This scenario requires both pace collapse and clean passages for the back markers.

Bass PlayerStardancerPenelope ValentineLeadenhall

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Prodigal Son breaking slowly would completely alter the race dynamics as no other confirmed leader exists in this field.

WATCH

Traffic problems developing on the turn for home as six hold-up horses converge simultaneously behind the leaders.

WATCH

The Sweet Escape getting too keen early and losing her tactical advantage of sitting behind the uncontested leader.

NOTE

How aggressively Mason Paetel rides Prodigal Son with his 5lb claim potentially affecting the leader's tempo judgment.

NOTE

Whether any of the hold-up horses attempt to race more prominently than their usual style suggests to avoid traffic issues.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 31 May 2026.

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