1:17

Archive›Nottingham · 8 April 2026

Nottingham

8 April 2026 · 8 races

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1:17 — Ladies Day 9th May "Confined" Novice Stakes (No more than two runs) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div I)
1m2f · Good · NOV · 9 runners
Director's Cut likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Director's Cut led, as the map showed.

Bay Royale won at 5.50 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Director's Cut
Prominent · 1
Hatteen
Midfield · 4
Mr BollingerBay RoyaleGrazeon SunshineThat Darn Cantor
Hold Up · 3
InfraadYou Got To My SoulTripoli Flyer
Director's Cut is the only confirmed front runner and will face no early pressure, allowing him to dictate a comfortable gallop through the early stages. The prominent runners Hatteen may try to sit close, but with most of the field preferring hold-up tactics (Tripoli Flyer, Infraad, Bay Royale, You Got To My Soul, That Darn Cantor), there's limited early speed. This sets up a tactical affair where the pace will likely be modest early before quickening from the 3-furlong pole. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can deliver late kicks, as they'll get the soft lead they need to unleash their finishing speed.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Uncontested Lead Holds
45% probability
If Director's Cut gets an easy lead and the hold-up horses leave their runs too late
Director's Cut faces no pressure through steady fractions and has enough left to repel late challengers on this return to a longer trip. The lack of early pace plays into his hands as prominent racers often benefit when they're not bustled along early.
Director's CutHatteenYou Got To My SoulInfraad
B
Late Kick Decides
35% probability
If the pace is genuinely slow and multiple hold-up horses produce strong finishes simultaneously
The modest early gallop sets up perfectly for the closers who get the exact race shape they need to unleash their turn of foot. Infrared and You Got To My Soul have the highest ratings among the hold-up brigade and can exploit the tactical scenario.
InfraadYou Got To My SoulBay RoyaleTripoli Flyer
C
Prominent Pressure Creates
12% probability
If Hatteen or another prominent runner decides to press Director's Cut early
The increased pace suits the hold-up horses even more as it sets up a stronger gallop for their finishing kicks. Those on the pace get softened up while the back markers get ideal conditions to close.
You Got To My SoulBay RoyaleInfraadThat Darn Cantor
D
Inexperience Costs Leaders
8% probability
If Director's Cut or other prominent runners make tactical errors given their limited experience
The novice nature of this field means positioning mistakes are likely from those who haven't learned racecraft yet. This opens the door for more experienced campaigners or those with stronger jockey/trainer combinations to capitalize.
Tripoli FlyerInfraadDirector's CutGrazeon Sunshine

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHDirector's CutRPR76HatteenRPR72Mr BollingerRPR-Bay RoyaleRPR68Grazeon SunshineRPR50That Darn CantorRPR26InfraadRPR86You Got To My S…RPR83Tripoli FlyerRPR741. Director's Cut2. Hatteen5. Mr Bollinger6. Bay Royale7. Grazeon Sunshine8. That Darn Cantor4. Infraad3. You Got To My Soul9. Tripoli Flyer
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Director's Cut could steal this if he gets too easy a lead and the field leaves it too late to chase
WATCH
Watch for any early pressure on Director's Cut from Hatteen as it would completely change the race dynamic
NOTE
Infraad has been off 166 days which is a long break for a lightly-raced three-year-old
NOTE
Mr Bollinger is a complete unknown making his debut for the powerful Michael Bell stable
WATCH
The modest early pace could set up too well for multiple hold-up horses creating a blanket finish
1:47 — Ladies Day 9th May "Confined" Novice Stakes (No more than two runs) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div II)
1m2f · Good · NOV · 9 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
2:22 — Flat Is Back Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses in Bands B, C and D) (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)
5f · Good · NOV · 6 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
2:57 — Four Legged Friend 26th April Handicap
5f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners
Fiorella Princess to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Glory Fighter led; the map had Fiorella Princess in front.

Glory Fighter won at 6.50 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Fiorella Princess
Prominent · 3
Glory FighterJ StreetOver Spiced
Midfield · 2
Bang On The BellAlbegone
Hold Up · 2
Spendmore LaneKomorkis
Fiorella Princess will take the field along from the front in what should be a manageable pace over this minimum trip. The prominent runners J Street, Bang On The Bell, Over Spiced and Glory Fighter will track her without applying serious early pressure, while the hold-up horses Albegone, Komorkis and Spendmore Lane will need to be produced with well-timed runs. With only one confirmed front runner and several patient types at the back, this sets up as a tactical affair that will strongly favour the closers who can produce the strongest finish in the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Hold-Up Horses Dominate
65% probability
If the pace stays steady and the closers get clear runs
The patient types will have too much finishing speed for the leaders who went too early. Spendmore Lane's recent AW form and Albegone's turf record make them prime beneficiaries.
Spendmore LaneAlbegoneGlory FighterOver Spiced
B
Prominent Tracker Wins
20% probability
If Over Spiced or Glory Fighter travel perfectly and kick clear
The winner will have tracked the pace without getting involved early before producing a sustained drive. Their class and experience tells in a finish where the hold-up horses don't quite get there.
Over SpicedGlory FighterJ StreetSpendmore Lane
C
Front Runner Steals It
10% probability
If Fiorella Princess gets too soft a lead and stays on strongly
The pace proves too slow for the closers to make up the ground despite their finishing kick. Hollie Doyle judges it perfectly from the front and they can't peg her back.
Fiorella PrincessJ StreetBang On The BellGlory Fighter
D
Surprise Long-Shot Success
5% probability
If Komorkis or Bang On The Bell find significant improvement
The market gets it wrong as a less fancied runner produces career-best form returning to turf. They benefit from the tactical nature and slip through when others are watching the favourites.
KomorkisBang On The BellAlbegoneOver Spiced

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHFiorella Prince…tp · RPR80Glory FighterRPR81J StreetRPR80Over Spicedp · RPR79Bang On The Bellb · RPR77Albegonep · RPR81Spendmore Lanee/s · RPR84KomorkisRPR785. Fiorella Princess3. Glory Fighter6. J Street4. Over Spiced7. Bang On The Bell2. Albegone1. Spendmore Lane8. Komorkis
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch for Spendmore Lane's starting behaviour given her historical issues from the gates
WATCH
Monitor how much of a lead Fiorella Princess gets early as it could determine if closers can catch her
NOTE
Observe Over Spiced's fitness after 170 days off following her intended comeback mishap
WATCH
Check if the hold-up horses Albegone and Komorkis get clear runs in the straight
NOTE
Watch Bang On The Bell's turf return after a poor winter on artificial surfaces
3:32 — Family Funday 31st May Handicap
1m2f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners
Port Darwin to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Port Darwin led, as the map showed.

Any Which Way won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Port Darwin
Prominent · 2
GlennaFemme Fatale
Midfield · 3
Al's RiverCausing ProblemsTiny Riot
Hold Up · 3
ExtraterrestrialDryburghAny Which Way
Port Darwin will likely take this race forward with limited early competition, setting a controlled tempo from the front. Glenna and Femme Fatale may track him prominently but neither are confirmed pace-pressers. With six hold-up horses in the field including Dryburgh, Extraterrestrial and Any Which Way, there will be significant traffic behind a modest early gallop. This race shape strongly favours front-running and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable squeeze and take advantage of the sustainable pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Front Runner Dominates
45% probability
If Port Darwin gets an easy lead and kicks clear turning for home
The moderate pace will leave him with plenty in reserve while the hold-up horses get caught in traffic behind. His recent Goodwood win shows he can capitalize when getting his own way in front.
Port DarwinGlennaFemme FataleDryburgh
B
Prominent Tracker Strikes
30% probability
If Glenna or Femme Fatale sit handy and pounce late
They avoid the traffic problems while staying close enough to the steady pace to strike when Port Darwin tires. The step up in trip suits both fillies' profiles perfectly.
GlennaFemme FataleDryburghExtraterrestrial
C
Hold-Up Horse Charges
20% probability
If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint finish
Dryburgh's recent Doncaster third shows his closing kick when getting a true run, while Extraterrestrial's Wolverhampton form suggests untapped potential. Both need significant luck in running.
DryburghExtraterrestrialAny Which WayAl's River
D
Pace Duel Backfires
5% probability
If multiple horses challenge Port Darwin for the early lead
An unexpectedly strong pace would set up the race for the genuine hold-up horses, though this seems unlikely given the field composition. The lack of natural pace-pressers makes this scenario improbable.
Any Which WayAl's RiverTiny RiotCausing Problems

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHPort Darwinp · RPR75GlennaRPR73Femme FataleRPR75Al's RiverRPR72Causing Problemsht · RPR75Tiny RiotRPR72Extraterrestrialv · RPR76Dryburghh · RPR78Any Which WayRPR761. Port Darwin2. Glenna3. Femme Fatale5. Al's River6. Causing Problems7. Tiny Riot8. Extraterrestrial4. Dryburgh9. Any Which Way
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Port Darwin must be watched for how easily he gets to the front - if unchallenged he could steal this with Jack Callan's 5lb claim
WATCH
Dryburgh's market position will be crucial given his quick turnaround and recent improvement under new trainer Oli Rix
NOTE
Any hold-up horse that gets prominent early positioning should be noted as most will need significant luck from off the pace
WATCH
Glenna's fitness after 196 days off needs monitoring but David Probert's presence suggests she's ready to go
NOTE
The pace through the first half-mile will determine everything - if slow it becomes Port Darwin's race to lose
4:07 — £9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap
1m½f · Good · HCAP · 15 runners
Lead contested: The Sweet Escape v Our Misty BlueHISTORIC

How it ran

Powerful Response led; the map had The Sweet Escape and Our Misty Blue in front.

The Sweet Escape won at 6.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led.

8 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
The Sweet EscapeOur Misty Blue
Prominent · 4
Spirit CatcherLouie The LegendToken LovePowerful Response
Midfield · 5
Future CutletHostelryRogue OfficerRosemary's RoseAmber Honey
Hold Up · 4
Sir DavidAntiquityRevichGladiadora
The Sweet Escape and Our Misty Blue are the confirmed front runners who will contest the early pace in this 15-runner handicap. With both pace-setters being relatively moderate performers, they're likely to set an honest gallop rather than a breakneck speed, especially over this staying trip of 1m½f. The large field means horses will be well spread out, creating opportunities for different tactical approaches. This pace scenario favours hold-up horses and prominent racers who can pick up the pieces when the early leaders come under pressure in the final three furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Sustainable Pace Suits Closers
45% probability
If The Sweet Escape and Our Misty Blue set a steady tempo without burning out
The honest gallop allows hold-up horses to close strongly up the Nottingham hill. Patient rides on classy animals prove most effective when the early pace collapses.
RevichAntiquitySir DavidGladiadora
B
Front Runners Collapse Late
30% probability
If both pace-setters fade dramatically in the final two furlongs
Prominent racers tracking the leaders inherit the race as the field comes to them. Mid-division horses with tactical speed can surge past the tiring front rank.
Powerful ResponseSpirit CatcherToken LoveLouie The Legend
C
Genuine End-to-End Gallop
15% probability
If the large field creates a strong tempo throughout with no let-up
The sustained pace finds out stamina deficiencies and rewards horses with proven staying power. Only the most genuine stayers can maintain their effort to the line.
HostelryRosemary's RoseFuture CutletAmber Honey
D
Messy Tactical Affair
10% probability
If neither front runner shows early speed creating a slow crawl
The lack of pace turns this into a sprint finish where position and luck in running become crucial. Horses with turn of foot rather than stamina dominate the finish.
Rogue OfficerOur Misty BlueThe Sweet EscapeToken Love

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHThe Sweet Escapet · RPR76Our Misty Bluep · RPR72Spirit CatcherRPR67Louie The LegendRPR77Token Lovet · RPR75Powerful Respon…p · RPR77Future CutletRPR76Hostelryp · RPR81Rogue Officerh · RPR76Rosemary's RoseRPR78Amber Honeyv · RPR72Sir DavidRPR75AntiquityRPR80Revichv · RPR83GladiadoraRPR795. The Sweet Escape6. Our Misty Blue7. Spirit Catcher8. Louie The Legend9. Token Love10. Powerful Response11. Future Cutlet12. Hostelry13. Rogue Officer14. Rosemary's Rose15. Amber Honey3. Sir David2. Antiquity1. Revich4. Gladiadora
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Our Misty Blue carries a specific warning about fading in the finish which could derail the early pace
WATCH
Future Cutlet returns after 175 days off which is a significant absence for a horse needing improvement
WATCH
Louie The Legend switches back to flat after three hurdle runs this year and needs to rediscover form
NOTE
Token Love showed improved form at Wolverhampton but then faded badly on his return which suggests inconsistency
NOTE
The Sweet Escape and Our Misty Blue both need to prove they can sustain their effort given moderate recent form
4:40 — Party Night 18th April Handicap
1m½f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners
Light The Night Up to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Light The Night Up led, as the map showed.

Kokoluna won at 9.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Light The Night Up
Prominent · 5
Venetian RomanceKokushokuAneirin's SwordSmartanckGloriola
Midfield · 2
Del CorsoBird Of War
Hold Up · 4
Bearin UpSaint Of The SeaKokolunaCrimson Rambler
Light The Night Up is the sole confirmed front runner and will set a measured gallop without pressure through the first half-mile. The real congestion comes behind him where five horses (Venetian Romance, Kokushoku, Aneirin's Sword, Smartanck, Gloriola) all want prominent positions, creating inevitable traffic problems turning for home. This bottleneck will favor the patient hold-up horses like Bearin Up, Kokoluna, Saint Of The Sea, Bird Of War and Crimson Rambler who can sweep around the scrimmaging pack. The race shape strongly favors hold-up horses who can stay wide and avoid the prominent traffic jam.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Hold-Up Horses Dominate
55% probability
If the prominent pack bunches up badly 2f out creating a wall of horses
The patient back-markers swing wide with clear runs while the prominent runners get caught in a speed-sapping traffic jam. Horses with tactical speed from off the pace capitalize on others' misfortune.
Bearin UpBird Of WarSaint Of The SeaCrimson Rambler
B
Prominent Runner Escapes
25% probability
If one prominent horse gets first run before the traffic develops
A single horse from the congested prominent pack manages to kick clear before the jam forms, stealing a march while others get shuffled back. The lone escapee builds an unassailable lead.
Aneirin's SwordKokushokuVenetian RomanceSmartanck
C
Pace Collapses Completely
12% probability
If Light The Night Up goes too slowly and nobody wants the lead early
The race becomes a sitting duck scenario with a sprint from the 2f pole, turning into a pure speed test. Horses with natural finishing kick benefit from the tactical crawl.
KokolunaSaint Of The SeaBird Of WarCrimson Rambler
D
Front Runner Wire-to-Wire
8% probability
If Light The Night Up gets soft sectionals and the field goes to sleep
The leader gets away with murder in front, building an insurmountable advantage while the field dawdles behind expecting others to make the running. By the time they react, it's too late.
Light The Night UpGloriolaSmartanckVenetian Romance

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHLight The Night…RPR71Venetian RomanceRPR78Kokushokuv · RPR74Aneirin's Swordp · RPR75Smartanckt · RPR74GloriolaRPR73Del CorsoRPR71Bird Of WarRPR75Bearin UpRPR73Saint Of The SeaRPR75KokolunaRPR71Crimson Ramblerb · RPR755. Light The Night Up6. Venetian Romance7. Kokushoku8. Aneirin's Sword9. Smartanck10. Gloriola11. Del Corso2. Bird Of War1. Bearin Up3. Saint Of The Sea12. Kokoluna4. Crimson Rambler
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch for Aneirin's Sword and Kokushoku getting boxed in when the prominent pack converges 2f out
WATCH
Monitor Light The Night Up's early fractions as he could get away with soft sectionals if the field sleeps
NOTE
Bearin Up and Bird Of War both returning from long breaks but their patient styles suit this race setup perfectly
WATCH
Venetian Romance faces a fitness test on turf return but could benefit if getting an uncontested prominent pitch
NOTE
Saint Of The Sea and Crimson Rambler both have tactical speed to sweep around traffic problems late
5:10 — Watch Racing TV Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
1m2f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners
Just An Hour to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Qitaal led; the map had Just An Hour in front.

Love Beach won at 4.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Just An Hour
Prominent · 4
Moon BeginningsLove BeachQitaalMonty Beau
Midfield · 2
Mighty QuietJez Bomb
Hold Up · 3
Cavolo NeroKind Of KissSecret Beach
Just An Hour will lead from flag to finish as the sole confirmed front runner, setting a sustainable gallop without pressure early. Four horses (Moon Beginnings, Monty Beau, Love Beach, Qitaal) will create congestion in the prominent positions behind the leader, causing traffic problems turning for home. The hold-up brigade (Cavolo Nero, Kind Of Kiss, Secret Beach, Jez Bomb) will face a wall of horses ahead with limited room to maneuver. This race shape strongly favours the leader Just An Hour and any prominent horse that can secure a clear run, while the hold-up horses will struggle to find racing room when it matters.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Leader Gets Away
60% probability
If Just An Hour maintains his gallop and the prominent horses don't press him hard enough early.
The uncontested leader keeps finding and holds off late challenges, while the packed prominent group gets in each other's way approaching the turn. Just An Hour's fitness edge after 166 days off becomes irrelevant when he's not being pressured.
Just An HourMoon BeginningsCavolo NeroMonty Beau
B
Prominent Traffic Chaos
25% probability
If the four prominent horses create a wall behind Just An Hour with nowhere to go at the business end.
Moon Beginnings or Love Beach find the gaps that others can't, benefiting from their prominent style without getting trapped. The hold-up horses are completely shut out by the traffic jam ahead of them.
Moon BeginningsLove BeachQitaalMonty Beau
C
Hold-Up Heroes Find Room
10% probability
If the prominent congestion creates enough pace to set up the race for closers with clear runs.
Cavolo Nero and Jez Bomb get dream splits up the rail or around the outside as the pace collapses. Their superior recent form tells when getting the right trip they've been denied lately.
Cavolo NeroJez BombSecret BeachKind Of Kiss
D
Pace Collapse Benefits All
5% probability
If Just An Hour goes too slow early and gets swamped by everything in the final furlong.
The lack of early pace means every horse gets their chance and it becomes a sprint from the 2f marker. Recent form and class become the deciding factors rather than racing luck.
QitaalSecret BeachJust An HourCavolo Nero

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHJust An HourRPR98Moon BeginningsRPR94Love BeachRPR97Qitaalp · RPR100Monty Beaup · RPR96Mighty Quiett · RPR95Jez Bombp · RPR98Cavolo Nerop · RPR98Kind Of Kisst · RPR95Secret Beacht · RPR961. Just An Hour2. Moon Beginnings5. Love Beach6. Qitaal4. Monty Beau7. Mighty Quiet8. Jez Bomb3. Cavolo Nero9. Kind Of Kiss10. Secret Beach
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch for traffic problems at the 3f pole when Moon Beginnings, Monty Beau, Love Beach and Qitaal all arrive behind Just An Hour simultaneously
WATCH
Monitor Just An Hour's fitness after 166 days off - if he gets headed early his chance could collapse quickly
NOTE
Check if Cavolo Nero and the other hold-up horses get clear runs around the outside or if they're trapped behind the wall of prominent runners
WATCH
Love Beach's 161-day absence could tell late despite his tactical advantage from prominent position
NOTE
Watch Edward Greatrex's handling of Mighty Quiet on return - stable running at 0/4 in last 14 days needs bounce back

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 8 April 2026.

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