1:40 — Visit Perth Museum Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
2m · Good · CLS4 · 7 runners
Lead contested: C'Est Pour Moi v CrackalackinFREEHISTORIC
How it ran
Try Them led; the map had C'Est Pour Moi and Crackalackin in front.
Try Them won at 2.75 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.
2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 2
C'Est Pour MoiCrackalackin
Prominent · 2
BigglesTry Them
Midfield · 1
St Just In Time
Hold Up · 2
Tracker IssueHawthorn Road
C'Est Pour Moi and Crackalackin are the two confirmed front-runners in a seven-runner field, and with both likely to contest the early lead from the gates, this race will be run at an honest, genuine gallop from the outset over Perth's 2m trip on Good ground. C'Est Pour Moi, ridden by an amateur claimer, may be slightly more vulnerable to being pressured, while Crackalackin has shown consistent prominence in similar Good-ground hurdles and is unlikely to concede the rail cheaply. The resulting pace should be genuine rather than suicidal, producing a race that will test stamina but also allow those tracking in behind to conserve energy through the middle section. This shape most favours prominent racers or those tracking just off the speed — Biggles and Try Them — who can travel into contention without burning fuel in a front-running battle they never started. The field holds more hold-up types than the map can accommodate at the rear; St Just In Time is a genuine hold-up horse shown in midfield due to the redistribution, meaning Hawthorn Road and Tracker Issue are also competing for the same late-running territory, making a clean run from the back harder to guarantee.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Honest Gallop, Tracker Types Win
62% probability
If C'Est Pour Moi and Crackalackin set a genuine contested pace and the leaders tie each other up, allowing prominent chasers to pounce turning in.
Biggles and Try Them, tracking in the first three on Good ground that suits both, are ideally placed to inherit the lead when the front-runners stop; Brian Hughes's positional judgment on Try Them in particular could prove decisive if he slots into second or third early.
Try ThemBigglesCrackalackinSt Just In Time
B
Front-Runner Outstays Field
20% probability
If Crackalackin or C'Est Pour Moi builds a decisive lead without being seriously pressured and controls the tempo to grind rivals into submission.
On Good ground over 2m at Perth, a front-runner dictating a measured pace can be almost impossible to reel in, especially if rivals lack the cruising speed to close; Crackalackin's consistent Good-ground form and three placed efforts at this trip make it the more likely of the two to steal this way.
CrackalackinC'Est Pour MoiTry ThemBiggles
C
Late Closers Deliver
11% probability
If the early pace is hot enough to burn out all prominent horses and the race truly falls apart in the straight.
St Just In Time has genuine hold-up ability and decent form at 2m on similar ground, and a true end-to-end gallop could leave the late finishers with ground to make up — but this scenario is undermined by the fact that Hawthorn Road and Tracker Issue are also genuine hold-up types competing for the same closing berths.
St Just In TimeHawthorn RoadTracker IssueTry Them
D
Messy Pace, Midfield Benefits
7% probability
If early position is contested chaotically and the race loses shape, turning the 2m into a scramble.
A chaotic race over this trip on Good ground at Perth occasionally produces a mid-division winner who avoids early trouble and picks up a clean run; Biggles, versatile and with form at the track, could capitalise if the front-runners disrupt each other severely.
BigglesTry ThemSt Just In TimeCrackalackin
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
C'Est Pour Moi and Crackalackin — watch which of the two front-runners dominates for position at the first hurdle, as the loser of that battle may drop away quickly and compromise those immediately behind them.
WATCH
Hawthorn Road — 93 days off the track, all hurdle form on Soft, hood retained; if it jumps poorly or needs the run, Dylan Johnston may struggle to get it competitive from a hold-up berth on Good ground.
WATCH
St Just In Time — forced to race further forward than its natural style allows due to hold-up congestion; if it can't settle in its adjusted position, it risks pulling hard and emptying before the straight.
NOTE
Try Them — watch whether Brian Hughes positions it in the first three early; if he elects to drop it out and ride a waiting race, it moves against this race's projected shape and its chance diminishes significantly.
NOTE
Tracker Issue — only six career starts over hurdles with limited exposed form; watch the market move at declarations and early betting, as any gamble would suggest Mania has been given confident instructions about this horse's well-being and readiness.
Ras Kassar led; the map had Follow Your Luck in front.
Glen To Glen won at 11.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.
3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Follow Your Luck
Prominent · 2
Tamarind BayRas Kassar
Midfield · 0
None
Hold Up · 2
Glen To GlenKinbara Firstdraft
Follow Your Luck is the sole confirmed front-runner and, with no other genuine pace-setter to challenge him, Brian Hughes will control tempo from the outset over this 2m4f trip on Good ground. Tamarind Bay and Ras Kassar will press from prominent positions, but neither is a natural leader who will disrupt Follow Your Luck's rhythm, meaning the pace is likely to be honest rather than blistering — precisely the kind of metronomic gallop that suits a horse with stamina and a clean jumping round. Glen To Glen and Kinbara Firstdraft are both hold-up types who will need something to go wrong up front to get involved late. This race shape strongly favours hold-up and prominent horses with superior stamina who can outstay a regulated pace, but the single uncontested leader is the biggest tactical beneficiary if he jumps well and his fitness after 177 days off holds.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Follow Your Luck Controls
72% probability
If Follow Your Luck jumps fluently and dictates an uncontested, measured pace throughout.
Hughes sets a comfortable gallop that no rival has the mandate or inclination to seriously challenge, and the 5-year-old's front-running profile means he arrives at the final fences full of running with rivals having used energy chasing him.
Follow Your LuckTamarind BayRas KassarKinbara Firstdraft
B
Prominent Pair Strike
14% probability
If Follow Your Luck weakens through race-fitness concerns after 177 days off and is swallowed by the chasing pack.
Tamarind Bay, coming off back-to-back wins on Good ground and ridden by Sean Bowen, looms as the primary beneficiary as a prominent tracker who can assert from 3 out; Ras Kassar, with recent course experience over 2m on Good, also picks up ground.
Tamarind BayRas KassarFollow Your LuckKinbara Firstdraft
C
Hold-Up Horses Pounce
9% probability
If the early pace is genuinely strong and the field strings out, creating enough attrition for closers to swoop.
Glen To Glen would need a complete turnaround on recent disappointing form and would have to produce a career-best effort at this trip; Kinbara Firstdraft has placed on Good ground before but his consistent mid-pack finishes suggest he lacks the finishing burst to win off this OR.
Glen To GlenKinbara FirstdraftTamarind BayRas Kassar
D
Jumping Error Reshuffles
5% probability
If a key faller or series of jumping errors among the leaders dramatically fragments the race in the final mile.
A small five-runner field means any incident has outsized impact, and hold-up horses Glen To Glen or Kinbara Firstdraft could inherit a position they could never have earned through raw ability; neither has the form profile to win cleanly but chaos is a genuine equaliser.
Glen To GlenKinbara FirstdraftTamarind BayRas Kassar
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Follow Your Luck — monitor his jumping and early jumping confidence; a stumble or hesitation at the first few fences after 177 days off could unravel the entire race shape and hand control to Tamarind Bay.
WATCH
Tamarind Bay — watch whether Sean Bowen elects to push up and pressure Follow Your Luck or sit a length or two off; if he applies early pressure, the pace quickens and hold-up horses gain marginal relevance.
WATCH
Glen To Glen — the refusal (R) on latest run is a significant jumping flag in a steeplechase; if he makes a serious error or unseats Kielan Woods, the five-runner field is immediately thinned and race dynamics shift.
NOTE
Ras Kassar — 20 days since last run and headgear fitted; watch whether Dylan Johnston pushes to go with Tamarind Bay early or settles for the rear of the prominent group, as his positioning in the first mile will determine whether he can get competitive late.
2:50 — IM Group Handicap Hurdle Race
2m4f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners
Lets Mingle likeliest to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
O'Faolains Glory led; the map had Lets Mingle in front.
Follow Charlie won at 4.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.
3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Lets Mingle
Prominent · 3
HarrySummergroundsCosmic Soul
Midfield · 4
O'Faolains GloryAnnie AgnewJust DottieStruth
Hold Up · 3
Dream's KaGarde Des ChampsFollow Charlie
Lets Mingle is the sole confirmed front-runner here and, with no genuine rival to push them along, Jack Power's mount should be able to bowl along at a controlled, sustainable gallop over this 2m4f trip on Good ground at Perth. The prominent pack — Harry, Summergrounds, and Cosmic Soul — will sit just behind but none are natural pace-pressers, meaning Lets Mingle is unlikely to be seriously challenged for the lead and can dictate every yard. This single-pace, uncontested scenario strongly favours horses that can track the leader closely and pounce in the straight, rewarding prominent racers who avoid an energy-sapping early battle. The field holds more prominent-types than the map can accommodate — O'Faolains Glory and Annie Agnew are genuine prominent horses who have been pushed into midfield on the map; Lets Mingle and Harry are best-placed to actually lock down their natural early positions, with Summergrounds and Cosmic Soul fighting for the next slots.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Lets Mingle Controls Unchallenged
62% probability
If Lets Mingle is allowed to bowl along at a steady gallop with no rival forcing the pace, setting a rhythm that favours those travelling just behind.
Lets Mingle dictates a comfortable tempo throughout and the race turns into a test of who has tracked most efficiently; prominent closers arriving fresh off the pace are best positioned.
HarrySummergroundsCosmic SoulDream's Ka
B
Hold-Up Horse Swoops Late
18% probability
If the pace is genuinely steady enough to compress the field and a true hold-up runner finds a clear run in the straight.
Dream's Ka — with solid Good-ground form (six wins/places from ten on similar) and a young, progressive profile — is the likeliest beneficiary, while Follow Charlie's recent course-distance win gives hope.
Dream's KaFollow CharlieGarde Des ChampsJust Dottie
C
Pace Increases, Prominent Battle
12% probability
If O'Faolains Glory or Annie Agnew push forward from their mapped midfield positions and inject unexpected early pressure.
The race quickens sooner than anticipated, burning off rivals and leaving only horses who settled calmly in contention; Cosmic Soul's four wins from eleven Good-ground runs and Brian Hughes in the saddle make it a prime beneficiary of any pace collapse at the front.
Cosmic SoulHarrySummergroundsO'Faolains Glory
D
Handicap Lottery, Compressed Finish
8% probability
If the steady pace produces a sprint finish with the entire field still in contention at the second-last hurdle.
Horses with high TopSpeed and sharp finishing ability come to the fore in a bunched cavalry charge; the even handicap weights make this a genuine lottery but Garde Des Champs — consistent in form (three placings from last five) — and Follow Charlie have the tactical flexibility to profit.
Garde Des ChampsFollow CharlieDream's KaSummergrounds
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Watch Lets Mingle's jumping — if Jack Power's 5lb claimer makes even one significant error at a hurdle while leading unchallenged, the rhythm that makes this horse's front-running style effective is immediately compromised and the race opens up.
WATCH
O'Faolains Glory's 146-day absence means fitness is unproven; if it pushes forward from its unfavourable map position and fades, it could cause interference for horses tracking prominently behind.
WATCH
Brian Hughes on Cosmic Soul is a significant booking — if Hughes elects to improve earlier than expected, it could inject pace into the mid-race and disrupt Lets Mingle's controlled gallop more than the pace map anticipates.
NOTE
Annie Agnew and O'Faolains Glory are both prominent types mapped to midfield due to overcrowding — watch the early stages to see whether either forces forward, as this could alter the race tempo materially from what the single-front-runner shape predicts.
NOTE
Dream's Ka's young age (4) and hold-up style mean Ryan Mania will need a clean passage entering the straight — in an 11-runner field on a circuit like Perth, traffic can be a decisive factor for hold-up horses making late ground.
3:32 — Malcolm Group Handicap Hurdle Race
3m · Good · HCAP · 11 runners
Burgundy Man to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
Magic Gloves led; the map had Burgundy Man in front.
Dolly Dior won at 11.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.
5 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Burgundy Man
Prominent · 4
Dolly DiorOctober HillMagic GlovesFortunes Dawn
Midfield · 3
Broken IceDrumlee MythQuinnfinity
Hold Up · 3
Just OotDalileoCeol Draiochta
Burgundy Man is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 11-runner 3m handicap hurdle and, crucially, faces no genuine pace rival to push him along — he can dictate a comfortable, controlled gallop from the outset on good ground at Perth. With Dolly Dior, October Hill, Magic Gloves, and Fortunes Dawn all carrying prominent style profiles, there will be early jockeying for position behind the leader, but none of these represents a genuine pace threat to Burgundy Man's lead. The field contains an unusually high concentration of hold-up horses — Broken Ice, Drumlee Myth, and Quinnfinity are all natural rearward runners redistributed into the midfield on the map because the true back of the field is overcrowded; those three are unlikely to get their preferred deep position and will race closer than ideal. This sustainable, uncontested pace shape over an extended 3m trip strongly favours prominent-to-midfield stalkers who can track the leader without burning energy early and pick off a tiring Burgundy Man in the home straight, rather than genuine closers who will find insufficient pace injection to reel the field in from far back.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Burgundy Man Controls, Stalkers Strike
62% probability
If Burgundy Man sets a comfortable, uncontested gallop and the prominent horses track efficiently to pounce from the second-last hurdle.
Burgundy Man dictates a genuine but manageable pace over 3m, and the horses who have tracked him throughout — fresh enough from their prominent berth — outrun him from two out on good ground. Dolly Dior and October Hill, both proven prominent operators on good going, are the chief beneficiaries of this dominant race shape.
Dolly DiorOctober HillDalileoFortunes Dawn
B
Prominent Types Grind It Out
20% probability
If the initial grouping behind Burgundy Man becomes congested and a steady war of attrition unfolds through the final mile.
The sustained 3m trip on good ground stretches the field into a procession, rewarding horses with the best stamina credentials in the prominent-to-midfield bracket. Dalileo, who has won twice at 24f on good ground recently, and Fortunes Dawn, who has course-appropriate form at the trip, come through a tiring pack late.
DalileoFortunes DawnDolly DiorDrumlee Myth
C
Hold-Up Horses Land Late Blow
11% probability
If Burgundy Man sets a stronger pace than expected and the race develops sufficient tempo to bring closers into play from the home turn.
In this less likely shape, the redistributed hold-up types — Broken Ice and Dalileo — manage to find daylight from their forced midfield positions and generate a late run. However, given that Broken Ice and Drumlee Myth are racing out of their natural role, this scenario depends on an uncharacteristic pace injection that Burgundy Man alone is unlikely to generate.
DalileoBroken IceJust OotDrumlee Myth
D
Pace Collapses, Front Pair Clear
7% probability
If Burgundy Man bowls along unchallenged and simply refuses to be caught, with the field behind strung out and unable to mount a challenge.
Burgundy Man, given a soft lead throughout and never asked a serious question until too late, stays on doggedly to the line with one prominent tracker unable to reel him in. October Hill, who is proven at the trip and goes well on good ground, is best placed of the chasers to take second but cannot collar the front-runner.
Burgundy ManOctober HillDolly DiorFortunes Dawn
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Burgundy Man's uncontested lead is the defining tactical factor — watch whether Brian Hughes on Dolly Dior or Peter Kavanagh on Fortunes Dawn attempts to press him early, because any increase in pace could dramatically alter which profiles benefit.|
WATCH
Dalileo's stamina credentials at 3m on good ground are the strongest in the field given two recent wins at 24f, but Callum Bewley will need to navigate through a congested midfield pack — any traffic problems turning for home will cost him dearly.|
WATCH
Just Oot's 427-day absence for Susan Corbett is a significant red flag in a 3m handicap hurdle — watch for early signs of a horse short of peak fitness, particularly in the final mile where stamina reserves are tested.|
NOTE
Broken Ice, Drumlee Myth, and Quinnfinity are all natural hold-up horses racing ahead of their preferred position due to field congestion — watch whether any of them drops out quickly from midfield if the pace is insufficiently strong to suit a late run.|
NOTE
The good ground is consistent throughout the card at Perth and there is no sign of drying that would inconvenience any runner, but watch for Fortunes Dawn, who has only ever run on good going — any ground deterioration late in the afternoon could matter if this race is re-scheduled or going description updated.|
4:05 — Scone Estates Stone Of Destiny Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
2m · Good · HCAP · 8 runners
3 vying for the leadHISTORIC
How it ran
Fidendum and The Last Cloud led, as the map showed.
Nap Hand won at 6.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.
2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 3
FilibusteringFidendumScriabin
Prominent · 2
The Last CloudMedieval Gold
Midfield · 1
Pure Gold
Hold Up · 2
SqueezeboxNap Hand
Filibustering, Fidendum, and Scriabin are all confirmed front-runners over this 2m trip at Perth on Good ground, making a strong, honest gallop from the outset virtually certain — there is no scenario where this race crawls. With three horses likely to contest the lead from the off, the pace will be genuine rather than manufactured, and the stamina of every participant will be thoroughly examined before the final flight. Hold-up runners Squeezebox and Nap Hand are best placed to exploit a contested lead ahead of them, while prominent types The Last Cloud and Medieval Gold must either take a pull or burn more energy than ideal fighting for position in the early stages. The field contains more front-running and prominent types than can all get their natural position — Filibustering, with the strongest recent form and Good-ground course profile, is most likely to actually control the race from the front, with Scriabin and Fidendum most likely to be pushed into a less comfortable contested lead or early prominent berth. This race shape firmly favours patient hold-up or midfield horses with proven stamina on Good ground who can pick up the pieces in the final stages.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Contested Lead Burns Them
48% probability
If Filibustering, Fidendum, and Scriabin fight for supremacy and collectively force a relentless gallop that saps the leaders early.
The pace war drains the front-runners before the last, leaving the race wide open for closers to sweep through; horses who settled off the pace conserve enough to challenge meaningfully at the business end.
SqueezeboxNap HandThe Last CloudMedieval Gold
B
One Front-Runner Breaks Clear
27% probability
If Filibustering uses superior class and Good-ground form to get a clear lead early and controls the gallop at a sustainable rhythm.
With only one horse truly dictating and the others sucked along at a manageable pace, Filibustering's strong recent form profile — including back-to-back wins — gives it a decisive stamina advantage over rivals who worked harder to match its early stride.
FilibusteringThe Last CloudMedieval GoldScriabin
C
Closers Outstay All
15% probability
If the contested gallop is fierce enough to leave every front-runner spent and hold-up horses unleash late runs from well off the pace.
Squeezebox, with an outstanding record on Good ground and consistent form over this exact trip and surface, is perfectly suited to arriving late; Nap Hand's consistency at 2m on Good also fits this outcome.
SqueezeboxNap HandPure GoldMedieval Gold
D
Pace Collapses, Prominent Wins
10% probability
If the leaders collectively ease off — implausible but possible — allowing a prominent hold-to-race horse to lead without burning energy.
Medieval Gold or The Last Cloud, both comfortable travelling prominently, could profit from a falsely run race that rewards positional intelligence over raw stamina; however, the three confirmed front-runners make this the least likely shape in this field.
Medieval GoldThe Last CloudFilibusteringFidendum
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Watch whether Filibustering, Fidendum, and Scriabin all break sharply — if all three contest the lead simultaneously in the first 2f, the resulting pace war is likely to leave all three compromised before the last and elevates Squeezebox and Nap Hand significantly.
WATCH
Fidendum's use of a 3lb claimer (Nick Slatter) against a more experienced front-runner in Filibustering could prove costly if Fidendum cannot dictate naturally and is instead pushed wide or into an uncomfortably aggressive early position.
WATCH
The Last Cloud and Medieval Gold are both returning from long layoffs (168 and 172 days respectively) for the same trainer (Patrick Neville, 0/5 in 14 days) — monitor market moves at the off; if either drifts materially, fitness concerns are likely already priced in by connections.
NOTE
Pure Gold's redistribution from hold-up to mapped midfield reflects a crowded back-end — if the pace is fierce enough to compress the field, Pure Gold may genuinely struggle to find clear daylight in the straight despite the Good-ground surface suiting it on paper.
NOTE
Squeezebox has an outstanding Good-ground record and was last seen finishing third 28 days ago at this trip — the freshness angle combined with the tongue strap and hood combination from Tom Lacey's yard suggests a horse ready to peak at this moment.
4:40 — Brooks Macdonald Handicap Steeple Chase
3m · Good · HCAP · 7 runners
Lead contested: Edgewell v Mcgregors ChargeHISTORIC
How it ran
Mcgregors Charge led, as the map showed.
Button Rock won at 5.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.
3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 2
EdgewellMcgregors Charge
Prominent · 1
Button Rock
Midfield · 2
CollinghamBallydangan
Hold Up · 2
Shantou ShowLe Malin
Edgewell and Mcgregors Charge are the two confirmed front-runners and will contest the early lead over the 3m trip on Good ground at Perth, creating an honest, pressured gallop from the outset rather than a false-pace scenario. Edgewell has the stronger recent form and superior sim-going record (10/15, 4W7P) and is likely to dominate the pace battle, with Mcgregors Charge applying pressure but unlikely to wrest control given his more modest profile (OR 79, form PP7-54). This contested early pace over 3m on Good turf will string the field out and favour horses who can travel smoothly in the slipstream without burning energy early, rewarding prominent stalkers and strong-travelling hold-up types with a genuine finishing kick. This field holds more hold-up horses than the map can accommodate at the rear — Collingham and Ballydangan are true closers who have been redistributed to midfield, and neither is likely to secure their natural position, meaning the realistic prominent slots behind the two leaders belong to Button Rock and potentially Le Malin. The race shape strongly favours a prominent, well-travelled racer who can pick off a tiring leader in the final mile — Button Rock and Le Malin, both mapped to sit handy or just off the pace, are the profiles that benefit most.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Contested Pace, Stalker Wins
58% probability
If Edgewell and Mcgregors Charge fight for the lead and soften each other up, allowing a prominent tracker to pick them off in the straight.
The two front-runners set a genuine gallop that stretches the field, and the horse sitting just off the pace in a prominent position conserves enough to challenge from the second-last fence; Button Rock, with a proven Good-ground win and prominent style, is ideally placed to pounce.
Button RockLe MalinEdgewellShantou Show
B
Leader Dominates Wire
22% probability
If Edgewell shakes off Mcgregors Charge early and dictates a controlled gallop, conserving enough to see out 3m strongly.
Edgewell has won twice on Good going and twice over 26f, and if he neutralises the early threat from Mcgregors Charge he can control the tempo and quicken sufficiently when asked; his headgear (blinkers) and strong sim-going record (4W7P) support him seeing this out in front.
EdgewellButton RockLe MalinMcgregors Charge
C
Hold-Up Horse Storms Late
13% probability
If the contested pace is genuinely strong enough to bring hold-up types into play in the final half-mile despite their repositioning.
Le Malin is the most likely beneficiary here given his class (12 top-5s in sim going) and a recent win over 20f on Good, though he is a natural hold-up type who will need the pace to have done serious damage to the leaders; Shantou Show is also capable on Good ground but faces age and weight concerns at 10yo/168lbs.
Le MalinShantou ShowCollinghamBallydangan
D
Pace Collapse, Chaos
7% probability
If early leaders go too fast and both capitulate, creating a scrambled finish that rewards a horse with enough tactical flexibility to switch gears.
Collingham and Ballydangan, both true hold-up types pushed into midfield, would need chaos in front to get involved; their STYLE_FIT penalties and redistribution make this a low-probability route, and neither has the recent form to inspire confidence without ideal conditions.
CollinghamLe MalinBallydanganButton Rock
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Edgewell and Mcgregors Charge are on a collision course for the early lead — watch the opening half-mile to see if Edgewell establishes clear control or if a prolonged duel burns both front-runners out before the final mile.
WATCH
Button Rock is the key prominent tracker to monitor; if Derek Fox settles him smoothly in second or third from the start, he is positioned to challenge from the second-last fence and his Going record makes him dangerous.
WATCH
Le Malin's amateur rider (Mr N McParlan, 3lb claim) could be a factor in how well he is placed during the race — watch whether he travels fluently through the mid-section or gets outpaced as the pace quickens.
NOTE
Ballydangan returns from 149 days off and should be watched in the early stages for any signs of rustiness at the fences — a jumping error or slow jumper could compromise his chance entirely in a strung-out field.
NOTE
Collingham's visor fitting and true hold-up tendency mean he will be doing his best work late; if the front two do not fade, his chance of landing a blow from off the pace mapped to midfield is slim.
5:15 — Scone Palace International Horse Trials National Hunt Flat Race (Conditional & Amateur Jockeys' Race) (GBB Race)
2m · Good · CLS5 · 4 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
About this analysis
Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.
Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.