Archive›Perth · 24 April 2026

Perth

24 April 2026 · 8 races

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1:30 — GS Group Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m · Good · NOV · 9 runners

Misterdoc likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Misterdoc led, as the map showed.

Misterdoc won at 1.30 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Misterdoc

Prominent · 3

Sears CrossingJet NoirC'Mon So

Midfield · 2

BrewdogJack Dempsey

Hold Up · 3

PalavarMr MaximillianEustace Grenier

Misterdoc will dictate this race from the front or close to it, with Jet Noir and Sears Crossing likely to track the early pace. C'Mon So may also go forward but lacks the class to sustain pressure. The lack of genuine early speed means Misterdoc can dictate at a comfortable tempo without being harried, allowing him to save energy for the finish. This race shape strongly favors prominent runners who can sit close to the pace, as the soft tempo will leave plenty in reserve for a telling move from the last hurdle.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Misterdoc Controls Tempo

65% probability

If Misterdoc gets an easy lead and isn't challenged for pace early.

He can dictate at his own rhythm and kick clear from the last, with any prominent tracker needing to be very good to reel him in. His class advantage becomes decisive when he's allowed to control the race on his own terms.

MisterdocSears CrossingEustace GrenierMr Maximillian

Pace Collapse Finish

20% probability

If the tempo becomes crawling with multiple prominent runners going too slow early.

The race becomes a sprint from the last hurdle where stamina matters less and class tells. Hold-up horses get their chance but need serious ability to make up the ground in a short time.

MisterdocEustace GrenierMr MaximillianSears Crossing

Early Pace Pressure

10% probability

If Jet Noir or C'Mon So force a genuine gallop from flagfall.

Misterdoc faces a speed test that could find him out, opening the door for a closer or hold-up horse with better tactical speed. The sustained pace plays into the hands of horses that can finish strongly.

Sears CrossingMr MaximillianEustace GrenierMisterdoc

Jumping Chaos

5% probability

If multiple fallers or mistakes disrupt the rhythm and order.

The race becomes a survival test where jumping accuracy matters more than class or tactics. Any horse left with a clear run and sound jumping can capitalize on others' misfortunes.

Eustace GrenierJack DempseyMr MaximillianMisterdoc

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Misterdoc could get an uncontested lead and prove impossible to peg back given his class advantage

WATCH

Sears Crossing represents value if his Flat form translates to hurdles with Sean Bowen's booking significant

NOTE

Early pace will be crucial - if it's too slow Misterdoc becomes unbeatable, if genuine it opens up the race

WATCH

Multiple Olly Murphy runners could impact tactics with Sean Bowen on Sears Crossing over Eustace Grenier

NOTE

Ground conditions favor Misterdoc who won last time on soft but several others are untested on good

2:05 — QuinnBet Highland National Handicap Chase (For The Julian Llewellen Palmer Memorial Trophy) (GBB)

3m6½f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

El Granjero likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

President Scottie led; the map had El Granjero in front.

El Granjero won at 4.33 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

El Granjero

Prominent · 4

StratagemExpress SurpriseBreeze Of WindUpfordebate

Midfield · 3

Busty BoyFever DreamPresident Scottie

Hold Up · 4

Noble BirthFortunedefortunataBrandtGringo d'Aubrelle

El Granjero will take them along at a sustainable pace from the front, with Breeze Of Wind, Stratagem, Express Surprise and Upfordebate tracking in the prominent positions behind. The lack of natural pace-forcers means this will develop into a tactical affair through the middle stages, before quickening from 2 furlongs out. With only one confirmed leader and several prominent runners content to sit and wait, the race sets up perfectly for the hold-up horses to pick off the leaders in the closing stages. This pace scenario strongly favours the patient hold-up brigade who can unleash late kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the pace stays steady through the middle stages as expected

The tactical nature allows hold-up runners to conserve energy before unleashing finishing kicks that the prominent pack cannot match. Horses like Fever Dream and Fortunedefortunata can time their moves perfectly.

Fever DreamFortunedefortunataBusty BoyNoble Birth

Prominent Trackers Strike

25% probability

If the prominent runners increase the tempo from 3 furlongs out

The sustained pressure from the tracking pack breaks El Granjero's resolve and prevents the hold-up horses from getting into contention. Express Surprise and Stratagem can kick clear in the straight.

Express SurpriseStratagemUpfordebateBreeze Of Wind

Lone Leader Lasts

12% probability

If El Granjero gets an uncontested lead and finds reserves

The lack of early pace pressure allows the leader to dictate throughout and hold off late challenges. His class edge over fences finally shows through in this extended trip test.

El GranjeroExpress SurpriseStratagemFever Dream

Pace Collapse Chaos

8% probability

If the early pace is even slower than anticipated

The race becomes a sprint finish where any horse can win regardless of position, creating an unpredictable finish. The best finishers on the day prevail in a blanket finish.

UpfordebatePresident ScottieBrandtBreeze Of Wind

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Gringo d'Aubrelle is a non-runner which removes a potential hold-up challenger from the equation

WATCH

Watch Express Surprise and Fever Dream for the strongest finishes if the pace sets up as expected

NOTE

El Granjero's jumping under pressure will be crucial if challenged by the prominent trackers

WATCH

Fortunedefortunata's jumping reliability remains unproven after falling on stable debut

NOTE

The 3m6½f trip will test several horses at their stamina limits in the closing stages

2:40 — Perth Racecourse Racing & Events Handicap Hurdle

3m2½f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Lead contested: Inferno Sacree v Jukebox FuryHISTORIC

How it ran

Inferno Sacree led, as the map showed.

Jupiter Des Mottes won at 4.33 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

7 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Inferno SacreeJukebox Fury

Prominent · 3

Go To WarSleedaghCoumeenoole

Midfield · 4

La ZoubidaHighland FashionGwennie May StarWa Wa

Hold Up · 4

Roaring ConquestJupiter Des MottesWhistle Stop TourMusique De Fee

Inferno Sacree and Jukebox Fury are both confirmed front-runners who will contest the early lead over this 3m2½f trip. Inferno Sacree has been making all in his recent wins at Taunton and Plumpton, while Jukebox Fury won his 3m handicaps last season leading from the front. With two genuine pace-setters going head-to-head early, they'll create an honest gallop that will stretch the field and test stamina reserves over the extended distance. This honest pace scenario strongly favours the hold-up horses who can conserve energy early and finish with a sustained challenge.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Honest Pace Gallop

65% probability

If Inferno Sacree and Jukebox Fury engage early and maintain strong gallop

The two front-runners will create genuine pace that stretches the field and sets up the race for closers. Hold-up horses like Jupiter Des Mottes and Roaring Conquest can track the pace and unleash finishing kicks.

Jupiter Des MottesRoaring ConquestGwennie May StarLa Zoubida

Pace Collapse Late

20% probability

If one front-runner drops out leaving moderate gallop

Without sustained pressure, the remaining leader gets soft fractions and kicks clear late. Prominent racers who can track and challenge get ideal scenario.

Go To WarSleedaghInferno SacreeHighland Fashion

Muddling Affair

10% probability

If both pace-setters go too fast and burn out early

The early pace-setters tie up badly leaving a scramble among the pack. Mid-division horses who avoid the early burn-out can pick up the pieces.

Musique De FeeWhistle Stop TourWa WaHighland Fashion

Front-Runner Dominates

5% probability

If Inferno Sacree gets uncontested lead with soft fractions

With no genuine pace pressure, the leader can dictate terms and prove hard to catch. The front-runner gets dream scenario with controlled pace.

Inferno SacreeJukebox FuryGo To WarSleedagh

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Inferno Sacree and Jukebox Fury must be monitored for early pace battle that could compromise both

WATCH

Jupiter Des Mottes was heavily backed last time suggesting stable confidence and may repeat market moves

NOTE

Whistle Stop Tour switches back to hurdles after fence struggles with 10lb claim providing significant assistance

WATCH

Go To War needs positive ride like at Windsor to be effective and any hold-up tactics would be concerning

NOTE

Highland Fashion returns from 82-day break which could either freshen him up or leave him needing the run

3:12 — Join Racing TV Now Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Lead contested: Celestial Fashion v Rock On JetHISTORIC

How it ran

He Knows Better led; the map had Celestial Fashion and Rock On Jet in front.

Dixie Mafia won at 4.33 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Celestial FashionRock On Jet

Prominent · 4

He Knows BetterJackpot CauveliereBo CruzAll Inn Hand

Midfield · 1

Dixie Mafia

Hold Up · 2

Solly AttwellMumford's Magic

Rock On Jet and Celestial Fashion will ensure a proper gallop from the start, with Rock On Jet particularly keen to lead having shown front-running tendencies. Four horses (He Knows Better, Dixie Mafia, Bo Cruz, All Inn Hand) all want prominent positions behind the leaders, creating congestion and potential interference from the third-last fence. The honest pace should set up perfectly for the two hold-up horses Solly Attwell and Mumford's Magic to time late runs. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can avoid the traffic and benefit from the solid gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Strike

55% probability

If the early pace is honest and the prominent pack gets bunched up approaching the business end

The strong gallop will find out the leaders while traffic problems compromise the prominent runners. Solly Attwell and Mumford's Magic can pick their way through late with clean runs.

Solly AttwellMumford's MagicHe Knows BetterAll Inn Hand

Prominent Survivor Prevails

25% probability

If one of the prominent runners avoids the traffic and gets first run on the leaders

He Knows Better or All Inn Hand could time their move perfectly from an ideal stalking position. The pace will still be strong enough to set up their finishing kicks.

He Knows BetterAll Inn HandSolly AttwellCelestial Fashion

Leader Stays Strong

12% probability

If Rock On Jet or Celestial Fashion find the pace more manageable than expected

Despite the 3m trip being a question for Rock On Jet, a more sedate early pace could play into the leaders' hands. Celestial Fashion's class could tell if not asked to do too much early.

Rock On JetCelestial FashionHe Knows BetterMumford's Magic

Pace Collapse Benefits

8% probability

If both leaders tire dramatically and the prominent pack comes to a standstill

A messy, stop-start affair would suit a horse getting a perfect trip from an unfancied position. The race could fall apart tactically with tired leaders and bunched followers.

Dixie MafiaBo CruzAll Inn HandSolly Attwell

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Rock On Jet and Celestial Fashion could set unsustainable fractions early if they engage in a speed duel

WATCH

He Knows Better, Dixie Mafia, Bo Cruz and All Inn Hand will create a wall of horses behind the leaders threatening interference

WATCH

All Inn Hand faces serious fitness questions after 321 days off while Dixie Mafia has been absent 92 days

NOTE

Solly Attwell is back on good ground for the first time in four runs after struggling on softer surfaces

NOTE

Mumford's Magic drops back from a marathon trip where stamina was tested to a more suitable distance

3:47 — Follow @racingtv On Instagram Handicap Hurdle

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Lead contested: Skyjack Hijack v The Dog ThiefHISTORIC

How it ran

Jack Hyde led; the map had Skyjack Hijack and The Dog Thief in front.

The Dog Thief won at 3.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Skyjack HijackThe Dog Thief

Prominent · 2

Jack HydeKing Jon Oliver

Midfield · 3

Flying FortuneLetterston LilyBold Light

Hold Up · 3

Go DanteSerious OperatorNells Son

Skyjack Hijack and The Dog Thief will contest the early lead, with both confirmed front-runners likely to ensure a genuine gallop from the outset. King Jon Oliver may also track close behind from his prominent style, preventing any crawl. The strong pace will stretch the field and create opportunities for the large contingent of hold-up horses to finish strongly up the hill. This honest tempo strongly favours the hold-up performers who can produce their finishing kick late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

60% probability

If the two leaders maintain a solid gallop throughout

The strong pace will set up perfectly for the patient hold-up horses who can unleash their finishing speed in the final furlong. Flying Fortune, Serious Operator, and Go Dante are all proven late finishers who thrive off this tactical setup.

Flying FortuneSerious OperatorGo DanteBold Light

Front-runners battle home

25% probability

If Skyjack Hijack bounces back to his winning form of late 2024

The pace-setter could prove too strong for his rivals, particularly if The Dog Thief forces him into an honest gallop that suits his stamina. His six-race winning streak suggests he has the class when right.

Skyjack HijackThe Dog ThiefJack HydeKing Jon Oliver

Prominent runners strike

10% probability

If the early pace becomes unsustainably fast between the two leaders

Jack Hyde and King Jon Oliver can benefit from their handy positions as the front-runners weaken, allowing them to pick up the pieces. Their recent form suggests they're both capable of exploiting this scenario.

Jack HydeKing Jon OliverFlying FortuneSerious Operator

Returning performer shocks

5% probability

If Letterston Lily retains her ability after the long layoff

Her excellent record on good going and light racing exposure could see her produce a surprise performance. The booking of Jack Tudor suggests connections are confident despite the absence.

Letterston LilyNells SonFlying FortuneSerious Operator

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Skyjack Hijack was pulled up on his return at Kelso and needs to prove his six-race winning streak form remains intact

WATCH

Letterston Lily hasn't run since November 2024 and must demonstrate she retains her ability after the extended break

NOTE

The early pace battle between Skyjack Hijack and The Dog Thief will determine whether the hold-up horses get their ideal setup

WATCH

Nells Son has had wind surgery since his last disappointing hurdles effort and represents an unknown quantity

NOTE

Flying Fortune runs just two days after his last outing, suggesting Mickey Bowen believes he's ready for a quick turnaround

4:25 — One Place. Every Race. Racing TV Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

The Coffey Boy to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

King Kodiak led; the map had The Coffey Boy in front.

Berkenshtaaap won at 4.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

The Coffey Boy

Prominent · 5

ZephlynPepite De SaphirAyyadiehValetteNae Bother At A'

Midfield · 2

King KodiakSeeyainthesuninn

Hold Up · 4

Mr JukeboxBerkenshtaaapWalk On SonVelvet Vulcan

The Coffey Boy will lead uncontested early, setting a sustainable gallop that suits his front-running style over this 2m4f trip. Five horses (Valette, Ayyadieh, Zephlyn, Pepite De Saphir, Nae Bother At A') want prominent positions, creating traffic congestion from 3 furlongs out as they jostle for tactical advantage. The hold-up brigade (Mr Jukebox, Berkenshtaaap, Walk On Son, Velvet Vulcan, King Kodiak, Seeyainthesuninn) will need clear runs in the final 2 furlongs. This race shape heavily favours patient hold-up horses who can weave through the prominent pack's inevitable traffic jam and finish strongly.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up heroes strike

55% probability

If the prominent pack creates the expected traffic jam from 3f out

The congestion allows patient types with strong finishing kicks to pick their way through and sweep past tired leaders. Mr Jukebox and Berkenshtaaap have the class and tactical speed to capitalize.

Mr JukeboxBerkenshtaaapVelvet VulcanKing Kodiak

Front runner holds on

25% probability

If The Coffey Boy gets uncontested fractions and the prominent pack fails to organize

The leader's sustainable pace gives him enough in reserve to resist late challengers on this staying trip. His Ayr course-and-distance win proves he can handle this tactical scenario.

The Coffey BoyValetteZephlynMr Jukebox

Prominent position pays

12% probability

If one of the prominent runners avoids the traffic and gets first run

Smart positioning from the prominent pack allows someone like Valette or Zephlyn to strike before the hold-up horses get organized. Recent Kelso winner from Corbett's yard suggests stable form is strong.

ValetteZephlynPepite De SaphirThe Coffey Boy

Pace collapses early

8% probability

If The Coffey Boy goes too fast or falters early

Without the controlling leader, the race becomes a messy affair where any running style can prevail depending on positioning luck. The most consistent recent performers benefit from the chaotic finish.

Walk On SonKing KodiakNae Bother At A'Seeyainthesuninn

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Traffic jam developing from 3f out as five prominent runners (Valette, Zephlyn, Pepite De Saphir, Nae Bother At A') converge on same tactical position

WATCH

The Coffey Boy setting genuine fractions early - if he goes too fast he won't last home despite Ayr success

NOTE

Mr Jukebox and Berkenshtaaap getting clear runs from the back as the main beneficiaries of expected pace collapse

WATCH

Zephlyn returning from 445-day absence in prominent role - huge fitness question mark for Whillans runner

NOTE

Walk On Son and King Kodiak both have finishing fade warnings but benefit if wind surgery works for former

5:00 — One Place. Every Race. Racing TV Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kap De Triomphe led; the map had Humble Jumble and De Deli Counter and Dublinofficecallin in front.

Dublinofficecallin won at 17.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it led.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Humble JumbleDe Deli CounterDublinofficecallin

Prominent · 3

Karma De CotteGorvennecKap De Triomphe

Midfield · 2

Roi Du RoumeDefying Gravity

Hold Up · 4

TysonPoet's GaleStar VantageKnockeranna Rose

Humble Jumble, De Deli Counter, and Dublinofficecallin will ensure a strong gallop from the start, with Humble Jumble likely to take them along having won his Kelso bumper and shown early pace. De Deli Counter just won as a front-runner at Market Rasen and will press the pace, while Dublinofficecallin adds further pressure up front. The sustained 2m4f tempo over good ground will test stamina reserves through the closing stages. This honest gallop strongly favours hold-up horses who can stay the trip and finish fastest.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Gallop Collapse

65% probability

If the three leaders go too fast and fade from the last hurdle

The genuine pace will find out the front-runners' stamina limitations, allowing patient hold-up types to pick up the pieces. Horses with proven staying power who can quicken off a strong pace will dominate the finish.

TysonKnockeranna RoseStar VantageRoi Du Roume

Tactical Front Runner

20% probability

If De Deli Counter controls the tempo and kicks clear

Having just won doing exactly this at Market Rasen, he could dictate terms and steal a decisive advantage. His uncomplicated front-running style suits this scenario perfectly.

De Deli CounterKap De TriompheKarma De CotteGorvennec

Stamina Test Grind

10% probability

If all three leaders maintain a relentless gallop to the line

The pace holds up throughout, creating a true test of stamina where only the most genuine stayers survive. This becomes a war of attrition favouring proven 2m4f+ performers.

Humble JumblePoet's GaleKarma De CotteDefying Gravity

Pace Collapse Muddle

5% probability

If the leaders go moderate and it becomes a sprint finish

Without genuine early pace, this turns into a tactical affair decided by who has the most speed from the last. Raw finishing pace becomes more important than stamina.

Star VantageRoi Du RoumeTysonKnockeranna Rose

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Humble Jumble could set unsustainable fractions if he leads from the start and gets competitive

WATCH

De Deli Counter's front-running tactics worked last time but faces stronger pace pressure here

NOTE

Star Vantage gets first-time visor after 33-race losing run, any market support significant

WATCH

Karma De Cotte took keen hold with tongue-tie last time, needs to settle better

NOTE

Tyson and Defying Gravity both non-runners reduce field size and change pace dynamics

5:35 — Every Race Live On Racing TV Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

2m · Good · CLS4 · 11 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 24 April 2026.

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