Archive›Perth · 7 June 2026

Perth

7 June 2026 · 7 races

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2:07 — Scone Palace Jousting Tournament Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m4f · Good · NOV · 7 runners

Kibris likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Flying Ace won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Kibris

Prominent · 2

Dolly DiorBusted Springs

Midfield · 2

Flying AceBrewdog

Hold Up · 2

Saint CunningTrigg

Kibris will lead or sit handy early with no obvious pace pressure in this small field of seven. Flying Ace and Dolly Dior are likely to track behind him prominently, while Trigg and Saint Cunning will settle towards the rear given their hold-up styles. The pace should be steady rather than searching, allowing the race to develop into a tactical affair. This shape strongly favours the prominent racers who can position close to Kibris and kick when the pace lifts, rather than the hold-up horses who may struggle to make up ground from the back.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Kibris Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Kibris maintains his recent course form and dictates from the front without serious pressure.

The pace stays manageable allowing him to kick clear approaching the last, with Flying Ace best placed to follow him through. Hold-up horses struggle to close the gap as the leaders have too much left in reserve.

KibrisFlying AceTriggSaint Cunning

Prominent Challengers Strike

30% probability

If Flying Ace or other prominent runners put pressure on Kibris turning for home.

The increased tempo stretches the field and allows the better-rated prominent runners to assert their class advantage. Trigg finds too much to do from his hold-up position despite his superior rating.

Flying AceTriggKibrisDolly Dior

Hold-Up Horse Rallies

15% probability

If the early pace becomes crawling and the race turns into a sprint from the last hurdle.

Trigg's superior class rating tells as he gets a strong ride from Harry Skelton to sweep past tiring leaders. The tactical nature allows Saint Cunning to also get involved late.

TriggSaint CunningKibrisFlying Ace

Pace Collapse Surprise

10% probability

If Kibris fails to fire and the race becomes truly run with no obvious leader.

Flying Ace inherits the lead by default but the messy pace allows an outsider like Saint Cunning to sneak through. The lack of rhythm disrupts all the fancied runners' usual patterns.

Saint CunningFlying AceTriggKibris

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Kibris may get an uncontested lead if no other prominent runners challenge early, making him very difficult to peg back.

WATCH

Flying Ace's recent Cartmel win produced a modest RPR but Sean Bowen's presence suggests confidence from the Elliott team.

WATCH

Trigg's hold-up style could be problematic if Kibris sets a steady pace that doesn't come back to the field.

NOTE

Saint Cunning raced freely in his bumper here, which could be an issue if he doesn't settle better over hurdles.

NOTE

The Crawford trainer has both Kibris and Saint Cunning but current form figures show 0 wins from 6 runners in past 14 days.

2:42 — Sun Racing The Home Of Racing Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

2m · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Magic Gloves likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Allibaba led; the map had Magic Gloves in front.

Betteryouthanme won at 6.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Magic Gloves

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 8

KarthalaJack DempseyBoubouleBetteryouthanmeBreadalbane LassKing KodiakBlondinaBray Dale

Hold Up · 4

StruthStorm The DugMorandi SecondAllibaba

Magic Gloves stands out as the only confirmed front-runner in this 13-runner field, with all other runners holding up or racing midfield. This creates a scenario where Magic Gloves can dictate terms unopposed from the front, setting a comfortable gallop over 2 miles on good ground. With no pace pressure early, the race will develop into a sustained drive from the 3-furlong pole as the hold-up horses try to close the gap. This pace shape strongly favours prominent racers and those with proven finishing kicks, as Magic Gloves may have enough left to resist late challengers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Magic Gloves Controls

45% probability

If Magic Gloves gets an uncontested lead and kicks clear turning for home

The lack of early pace allows the front-runner to conserve energy and build an unassailable advantage as the hold-up horses struggle to close the gap quickly enough. This rewards the one horse willing to make the running from the outset.

Magic GlovesAllibabaStorm The DugKarthala

Late Surge Succeeds

30% probability

If the pace becomes truly crawling and sets up a sprint finish

The hold-up horses get their perfect scenario with a slow tempo allowing them to unleash their finishing kicks in the final 2 furlongs. Fresh legs and turn of foot become decisive over stamina and early positioning.

Storm The DugBreadalbane LassBetteryouthanmeStruth

Moderate Pace Suits

15% probability

If Magic Gloves sets steady fractions but gets pressured from 4 furlongs out

The race develops into a proper test where horses with proven form at the trip can grind out the finish. This scenario rewards consistency and recent winning form over pure tactical advantage.

AllibabaKarthalaMagic GlovesStorm The Dug

Pace Collapse Drama

10% probability

If Magic Gloves stops quickly or makes jumping errors under pressure

The lack of alternative pace-setters creates chaos as reluctant leaders are forced forward, disrupting their preferred tactics. This opens the door for outsiders who can adapt to the changing race dynamics.

BoubouleKing KodiakBetteryouthanmeJack Dempsey

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Magic Gloves must be watched for jumping fluency as any errors could derail the front-running tactics completely

WATCH

Storm The Dug and Breadalbane Lass positioning early will indicate if they plan to make their move sooner than usual

NOTE

Allibaba's jumping rhythm having returned from long absence will show if recent wins can translate here

WATCH

The pace through the first mile will determine if this becomes a staying test or sprint finish

NOTE

Any horse trying to track Magic Gloves early would completely change the tactical dynamic

3:17 — Scone Palace International Horse Trials Handicap Hurdle

2m · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Lead contested: Ailt An Chorrain v ScriabinHISTORIC

How it ran

King Sacre led; the map had Ailt An Chorrain and Scriabin in front.

Scots Poet won at 5.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Ailt An ChorrainScriabin

Prominent · 2

Cosmic SoulMr Lincoln

Midfield · 5

Just DottieAlidamLargy MeadowTigress LillyScots Poet

Hold Up · 4

Kinbara FirstdraftKing SacreRavenscraig CastlePure Gold

Ailt An Chorrain and Scriabin will contest the early lead in this 13-runner field, with both horses having confirmed front-running tendencies. Their early battle should create an honest gallop over the 2m trip on good ground. Cosmic Soul and Mr Lincoln are likely to race prominently just behind the leaders, while the majority of the field including King Sacre, Largy Meadow and Pure Gold will look to come from off the pace. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can finish, as the early pace battle will set up a strong finish for closers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Early Pace

55% probability

If Ailt An Chorrain and Scriabin go hard early and weaken

The honest gallop will stretch the field and favour horses with a strong finishing kick. Hold-up horses with proven stamina will benefit from the strong setup.

King SacreCosmic SoulLargy MeadowScots Poet

Moderate Tempo

25% probability

If the pace-setters are more conservative early on

A steadier gallop will make it harder for closers to make up ground and could favour those racing closer to the pace. The prominent runners will have more left for the finish.

Cosmic SoulMr LincolnPure GoldKing Sacre

Pace Collapse

12% probability

If both front-runners weaken dramatically in the final half-mile

Late closers with proven finishing ability will have maximum advantage as the race falls apart up front. Patient rides will be rewarded with a sprint finish.

King SacreLargy MeadowKinbara FirstdraftPure Gold

Sustained Pace Battle

8% probability

If Scriabin and Ailt An Chorrain maintain their battle to the line

One of the pace-setters could steal the race if they can outlast their rival. Prominent racers just behind will also benefit from the honest tempo.

ScriabinCosmic SoulAilt An ChorrainMr Lincoln

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Cosmic Soul switching tactics to sit closer given his recent breakthrough form could upset the pace dynamic

WATCH

Ailt An Chorrain's headgear change from blinkers to cheekpieces after 67-day break may affect his pace-setting role

NOTE

King Sacre's ability to handle the 9lb weight rise after his dominant Hexham victory will determine his chances

WATCH

Scriabin ensuring honest early pace despite his poor 0-13 hurdles record making him vulnerable late

NOTE

Largy Meadow getting the stronger pace he needs after being inconvenienced by steady tempo last time here

3:52 — Perth Silver Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Newtown Rambler led, as the map showed.

Newtown Rambler won at 2.20 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

Classic MaestroCaptain CoolNewtown RamblerHypotenus

Prominent · 1

Itwasfate

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Garde Des Champs

Classic Maestro, Captain Cool, Newtown Rambler and Hypotenus all have leading tendencies creating a guaranteed strong gallop from the outset. With four confirmed front-runners in a six-horse field, the pace will be relentless and stamina-sapping over this testing 2m trip. Only Garde Des Champs sits as a genuine hold-up horse while Itwasfate typically races prominently. This fierce early pace and small field heavily favours the lone closer Garde Des Champs who can pick up the pieces, while the pace battle will compromise the multiple leaders.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapse Benefits Closer

65% probability

If the four front-runners engage in their expected early battle

The relentless gallop will tire the leaders and create perfect conditions for Garde Des Champs to sweep past in the closing stages. His hold-up style is perfectly suited to capitalize when the pace burns out.

Garde Des ChampsItwasfateCaptain CoolNewtown Rambler

Strongest Leader Survives

20% probability

If Classic Maestro or Newtown Rambler can dictate terms and see off rivals

One of the more experienced leaders proves too tough and stays on strongly when the others weaken. Their superior class tells despite the pace pressure.

Classic MaestroNewtown RamblerCaptain CoolGarde Des Champs

Prominent Runner Strikes

10% probability

If Itwasfate can avoid the early pace battle while staying handy

Sitting just behind the leaders allows him to avoid the worst of the early exchanges while maintaining striking position. He can then pounce when the leaders tire.

ItwasfateGarde Des ChampsClassic MaestroCaptain Cool

Speed Holds Out

5% probability

If the ground rides faster than expected reducing stamina demands

The pace becomes less punishing allowing one of the quicker leaders to maintain their advantage. Captain Cool's recent form suggests he could be the beneficiary.

Captain CoolHypotenusClassic MaestroNewtown Rambler

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Captain Cool attempting quick double after Tuesday's exertions may find the pace battle too demanding

WATCH

Itwasfate's reliability after running out three weeks ago and long absence creates major question marks

WATCH

Newtown Rambler and Classic Maestro both from same stable could compromise each other in pace battle

NOTE

Garde Des Champs needs strong pace to set up his closing kick against better-rated rivals

NOTE

Hypotenus settling better for new connections could make him more effective than recent debut suggests

4:27 — Perth Gold Cup Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Stans The Man to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Breizh River and The Real Whacker led; the map had Stans The Man in front.

Riskintheground won at 5.50 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Stans The Man

Prominent · 4

The Real WhackerStatuarioWalk On QuestMagna Sam

Midfield · 2

Breizh RiverDuffle Coat

Hold Up · 3

RiskinthegroundSomespring SpecialLight N Strike

Stans The Man will dictate terms as the lone natural leader, likely setting a controlled gallop over this extended trip. The Real Whacker, Magna Sam, Statuario, Breizh River and Walk On Quest will create a packed prominent group, with traffic dangers inevitable when the field bunches approaching the business end. Light N Strike, Riskintheground, Somespring Special and Duffle Coat must be produced from off the pace through what could become a cavalry charge. This tactical setup strongly favours the hold-up horses who can avoid the early scrimmaging and find clear racing room in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horse Surge

55% probability

If the prominent group creates traffic problems and the pace stays steady

The hold-up brigade get a perfect setup to sweep past a bunched field, with Somespring Special and Riskintheground ideally positioned for their trainers' tactical expertise. Light N Strike's fresher legs after his prep run make him dangerous late.

Somespring SpecialRiskinthegroundLight N StrikeDuffle Coat

Prominent Group Prevails

25% probability

If one of the prominent runners can secure a clear run and the pace doesn't collapse

Breizh River or Statuario use their career-best form to dominate from their forward positions, with the hold-up horses unable to make sufficient ground. The winner comes from those tracking Stans The Man throughout.

Breizh RiverStatuarioWalk On QuestThe Real Whacker

Stans Sets Honest Gallop

12% probability

If Stans The Man maintains a strong tempo that stretches the field

The genuine gallop finds out the stamina of the field over this extended trip, allowing a proven stayer like Walk On Quest to emerge late. Those who race too prominently early pay the price for their exertions.

Walk On QuestStans The ManSomespring SpecialMagna Sam

Tactical Mess Benefits Outsider

8% probability

If the pace collapses completely and it becomes a sprint finish

The race turns into a muddling affair that suits a horse getting weight like Magna Sam or allows The Real Whacker's class to shine through despite his recent struggles. Form lines become irrelevant in a slowly-run tactical battle.

Magna SamThe Real WhackerDuffle CoatLight N Strike

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for traffic problems in the prominent group with The Real Whacker, Magna Sam, Statuario, Breizh River and Walk On Quest all wanting similar positions

WATCH

Monitor Somespring Special's jumping under pressure as she attempts back-to-back wins in a stronger field

NOTE

Check if Stans The Man maintains his recent front-running tactics or gets headed early by the prominent brigade

WATCH

Watch Light N Strike's stamina reserves over this extended trip on his second start back from a long absence

NOTE

Observe if The Real Whacker shows ring-rust early having been off since his Grand National pull-up

5:02 — Malcolm Group Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Ira Hayes to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Inis Oirr led; the map had Ira Hayes in front.

Buy Some Time won at 2.88 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ira Hayes

Prominent · 1

Neon Diamond

Midfield · 4

Settle Down JillInis OirrSir CarnegieBuy Some Time

Hold Up · 2

Muskerry RockWasdell Dundalk

Ira Hayes is the only confirmed front runner and will set a steady, uncontested gallop in this small field. With six hold-up horses (Buy Some Time, Inis Oirr, Sir Carnegie, Settle Down Jill, Wasdell Dundalk, Muskerry Rock) and only one prominent runner (Neon Diamond) to potentially apply pressure, Ira Hayes will dictate terms throughout. The lack of early pace will create a tactical affair with horses queuing up behind the leader before a sprint finish over the final half-mile. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can quicken late, as the sustainable early gallop will leave plenty in reserve for those with finishing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Brigade Dominates

65% probability

If Ira Hayes sets an easy lead with no pressure from Neon Diamond

The uncontested gallop allows hold-up horses to conserve energy and unleash late kicks, with the best finishers sweeping past a tiring leader. Sir Carnegie and Settle Down Jill benefit most from this tactical setup given their recent form and ability to quicken.

Sir CarnegieSettle Down JillInis OirrBuy Some Time

Leader Steals March

20% probability

If Ira Hayes quickens turning for home before the field reacts

The front runner exploits the lack of early pace pressure by injecting tempo when it matters, catching the hold-up horses napping. Ira Hayes builds an unassailable lead while the field struggles to respond to the sudden acceleration.

Ira HayesNeon DiamondSir CarnegieWasdell Dundalk

Prominent Tactics Pay

10% probability

If Neon Diamond tracks Ira Hayes closely and applies sustained pressure

The Gordon Elliott-trained runner forces a stronger gallop that suits his prominent style while compromising the hold-up horses' finishing kicks. This tactical pressure creates the perfect setup for horses that can sustain a longer drive rather than relying on sprint finishes.

Neon DiamondWasdell DundalkIra HayesSettle Down Jill

Veteran Experience Counts

5% probability

If Wasdell Dundalk's course knowledge proves decisive in a slowly-run tactical affair

The 11-year-old's familiarity with Perth's unique demands and proven course record allows him to time his challenge perfectly when others struggle with the track's nuances. His four previous course wins demonstrate an ability to handle Perth's specific tactical requirements.

Wasdell DundalkInis OirrSir CarnegieIra Hayes

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ira Hayes dictating an uncontested lead - if no pressure applied early, hold-up horses will have perfect tactical setup

WATCH

Neon Diamond's early positioning - any forward move to pressure the leader changes the entire race dynamic significantly

NOTE

Sir Carnegie's jumping under pressure - back-to-back winner but needs to handle extended trip without mistakes

NOTE

Settle Down Jill's class adjustment - hunter chase winner stepping up significantly in grade off career-high mark

WATCH

Weather conditions on race day - any ground change from current good could impact several runners' chances

5:37 — IM Group Handicap Hurdle

3m · Good · HCAP · 14 runners

Burgundy Man to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Burgundy Man led, as the map showed.

Our Girl Sal won at 13.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

9 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Burgundy Man

Prominent · 6

Maillot BlancOur Girl SalLeader WingJakanaWatchoutitscookieReagrove Lord

Midfield · 3

LuminariesBreaking GroundMyfavouritesister

Hold Up · 4

ShighnessCreadan GraceStilettoDalileo

Burgundy Man will take them along at a sensible gallop in this 3m contest, with no other confirmed front-runners to pressure him early. The prominent brigade of Maillot Blanc, Our Girl Sal, Leader Wing, Jakana, Reagrove Lord and Watchoutitscookie creates significant congestion behind the leader, setting up potential traffic problems turning for home. This moderate early pace followed by prominent congestion strongly favours hold-up horses who can avoid the scramble and produce late runs when the pace lifts from 2 furlongs out.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Prosper

65% probability

If Burgundy Man sets moderate fractions and the prominent group gets bunched up approaching the business end

The pace will quicken dramatically from 2 out as the field compresses, allowing patient riders to weave through and pick up the pieces. Stiletto and Creadan Grace have the class to capitalise from their hold-up positions when others have shot their bolt.

StilettoCreadan GraceDalileoShighness

Prominent Group Survives

20% probability

If the prominent runners can secure clear runs and the pace stays honest throughout

Maillot Blanc's superior class tells as he gets first run from his forward position, with Our Girl Sal potentially following him through. The hold-up horses find the moderate pace hasn't set up their usual finishing kick.

Maillot BlancOur Girl SalWatchoutitscookieLeader Wing

Burgundy Man Wire-to-Wire

10% probability

If no horse can sustain a challenge to Burgundy Man's honest gallop over this stamina-sapping trip

The leader's relentless rhythm proves too much for the closers on this good ground over 3m. His previous course win over fences shows he handles Perth's demands, and the patient ride allows him to see out the trip strongly.

Burgundy ManReagrove LordMaillot BlancJakana

Chaos and Outsider

5% probability

If the prominent congestion causes multiple horses to be hampered or forced wide around the turn

The pace collapses as several fancied runners get into trouble, allowing a patient outsider like Luminaries or Myfavouritesister to steal through on the rails. Breaking Ground could even benefit from the mayhem despite her limitations.

LuminariesMyfavouritesisterBreaking GroundDalileo

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Prominent traffic jam developing 2 furlongs out as Maillot Blanc, Our Girl Sal, Leader Wing, Jakana, Reagrove Lord and Watchoutitscookie all converge

WATCH

Burgundy Man's jumping under pressure - 0-20 hurdle record suggests he may not handle race pressure despite tactical advantage

NOTE

Stiletto's revival bid after four poor runs - hold-up style suits but needs significant bounce back to form

WATCH

Creadan Grace and Dalileo getting competitive rides from 5lb claimers in heavy ground conditions that could test stamina further

NOTE

Breaking Ground's stamina test on handicap debut - major step up to 3m could expose limitations or unlock improvement

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 7 June 2026.

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