Archive›Plumpton · 19 April 2026

Plumpton

19 April 2026 · 7 races

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2:17 — Prestige Security Executive Protection Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Alto Alto to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Angel's Dream led; the map had Alto Alto in front.

Begin The Luck won at 7.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Alto Alto

Prominent · 2

Begin The LuckLine Of Descent

Midfield · 1

Delgany Deadline

Hold Up · 1

Angel's Dream

Alto Alto will lead this race uncontested from the start, with Line Of Descent, Begin The Luck, and Delgany Deadline all preferring prominent positions but none challenging for the early lead. The pace will be controlled and sustainable with Alto Alto setting his own fractions through the middle stages. Angel's Dream will need to overcome her hold-up style from the rear in a race where the front-runners can dictate terms. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can track the leader and strike in the straight, as they'll be perfectly positioned behind an uncontested leader.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Prominent

55% probability

If Alto Alto leads uncontested and the prominent trio settle well behind him

The pace becomes very manageable allowing the prominent runners to travel smoothly before mounting late challenges. Line Of Descent, Begin The Luck and Delgany Deadline all benefit from this tactical setup.

Line Of DescentDelgany DeadlineBegin The LuckAlto Alto

Leader Steals Long Lead

25% probability

If Alto Alto builds an unassailable advantage while the prominent runners are content to let him go

Alto Alto uses his front-running style to maximum effect, stealing crucial lengths that the field cannot recover. His class advantage at OR 105 tells when given these ideal conditions.

Alto AltoLine Of DescentDelgany DeadlineBegin The Luck

Hold-Up Charge From Rear

12% probability

If Angel's Dream gets the perfect pace setup with a strong gallop throughout

The sustained pace plays to Angel's Dream's hold-up style allowing her to use her finishing kick effectively. Her light weight of 142lbs becomes a crucial advantage in a truly-run race.

Angel's DreamDelgany DeadlineLine Of DescentBegin The Luck

Pace Collapse Scramble

8% probability

If the prominent runners press Alto Alto early creating stop-start fractions

The race becomes a tactical affair with multiple lead changes suiting the most adaptable horses. Begin The Luck's experience and Delgany Deadline's improving form become key factors.

Begin The LuckDelgany DeadlineAlto AltoLine Of Descent

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Angel's Dream needs a strong pace from the start or her hold-up style becomes ineffective against this field composition

WATCH

Begin The Luck has never won on good going despite multiple attempts which could be a significant obstacle

NOTE

Delgany Deadline's inexperienced 3lb claimer Tristan Durrell faces his biggest test yet in race tactics

WATCH

Alto Alto's 34-day break may affect his ability to sustain his front-running tactics over this trip

NOTE

Line Of Descent's recent third at this track gives him course experience but 25 days off is borderline concerning

2:52 — Mansell McTaggart Mane Event Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m · Good · CLS4 · 8 runners

Ballyeaston likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ballyeaston led, as the map showed.

Ballyeaston won at 1.29 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ballyeaston

Prominent · 2

ShutfrontdoorMoon Monarch

Midfield · 3

OblemenkoKhalk'eau SpigaoGiddyupadingdong

Hold Up · 2

LorikoVersatile

Ballyeaston will take the field along from the front with his prominent style, likely joined by Shutfrontdoor early if connections are aggressive. With most of the field preferring to hold up (Loriko, Oblemenko, Giddyupadingdong, Khalk'eau Spigao, Versatile), the pace should be honest but not frantic in this 8-runner maiden. The concentration of hold-up horses means the tempo will be sustainable until the business end, where those tracking will need the race to develop into a sprint finish. This race shape strongly favours the hold-up horses who can time their challenge, particularly those with the class to quicken when it matters.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

65% probability

If the pace stays honest and the field remains bunched turning for home

Ballyeaston sets a steady tempo allowing the back-markers to get into contention, with the race becoming a test of who has the most class and finishing kick from off the pace. Loriko's superior OR 121 and proven hurdles form gives him the edge over his hold-up rivals.

LorikoOblemenkoVersatileKhalk'eau Spigao

Front-Runners Control

20% probability

If Ballyeaston and Shutfrontdoor dictate terms and kick clear approaching the last

The prominent pair get first run and maintain their advantage to the line, with the hold-up horses unable to reel them in despite their class edge. Shutfrontdoor's 7lb weight advantage and recent winning form proves decisive.

ShutfrontdoorBallyeastonLorikoMoon Monarch

Pace Collapses Late

12% probability

If the early tempo is too slow and it becomes a messy sprint finish

The lack of genuine pace-pressure allows every horse to stay in contention, turning it into a lottery where positioning and luck matter more than class. Any of the prominent runners or those who can get a forward position benefit.

Moon MonarchGiddyupadingdongShutfrontdoorVersatile

Ballyeaston Wires Field

3% probability

If Ballyeaston gets an uncontested lead and kicks away from the last hurdle

The 6-year-old gets his own way in front throughout and has enough in reserve to resist late challenges, with his hurdles experience proving crucial. None of the hold-up horses can mount a serious challenge.

BallyeastonShutfrontdoorLorikoMoon Monarch

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ballyeaston gets an uncontested lead and dictates the race throughout, as most rivals prefer to come from behind

WATCH

Loriko gets shuffled back too far given his hold-up style in a race that may not develop into a strong gallop

NOTE

Moon Monarch shows signs of a big run after his long absence, with Harry Cobden's presence suggesting stable confidence

WATCH

The pace becomes too sedate early with so many hold-up horses, turning the finish into a messy sprint where anything can happen

NOTE

Versatile adapts well to hurdles on debut having shown ability on the Flat with OR 120

3:27 — BetGoodwin Sussex Stayers' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

3m1f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Fountains Blenhein to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Double Powerful led; the map had Fountains Blenhein in front.

Tranquil Sea won at 4.50 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Fountains Blenhein

Prominent · 4

East India ExpressTurndlightsdownlowElysian KnightMoveit Like Minnie

Midfield · 3

BethpageTop GuyTranquil Sea

Hold Up · 3

KamsinasDouble PowerfulRoger Pol

Fountains Blenhein will control proceedings from the front, with East India Express, Moveit Like Minnie, Elysian Knight and Turndlightsdownlow forming the prominent pack behind. The sustainable pace set by Fountains Blenhein won't come under serious pressure until late, allowing the hold-up horses to get into contention. With six hold-up horses including Double Powerful, Kamsinas, Bethpage, Roger Pol, Tranquil Sea and Top Guy, the race sets up for a cavalry charge finish. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can quicken from off the pace in the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horse Victory

65% probability

If the pace remains sustainable throughout and the hold-up brigade gets into the race

The lack of early pressure allows closers to position perfectly before unleashing their finishing kicks in the final half-mile. Top Guy, Double Powerful and Roger Pol benefit most from this tactical setup.

Top GuyDouble PowerfulRoger PolBethpage

Prominent Horse Stays

20% probability

If one of the prominent runners maintains their position and outstays the field

Turndlightsdownlow or Moveit Like Minnie could prove too tough in the closing stages if the hold-up horses don't quicken quickly enough. Their forward position gives them first run on the leaders.

TurndlightsdownlowMoveit Like MinnieEast India ExpressElysian Knight

Front Runner Wire Job

10% probability

If Fountains Blenhein gets an uncontested lead and stays strong

The lack of early pace pressure allows Fountains Blenhein to dictate completely and potentially steal the race if the chasers leave it too late. His recent form suggests he has the stamina for this longer trip.

Fountains BlenheinEast India ExpressTurndlightsdownlowMoveit Like Minnie

Pace Collapse Surprise

5% probability

If the pace becomes extremely slow and turns into a sprint finish

The race becomes a pure speed test in the final furlong, potentially suiting an unexposed horse or one with natural pace. This scenario least likely given the trip and field composition.

Elysian KnightTranquil SeaEast India ExpressTop Guy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Roger Pol returning from 190-day absence could be ring-rusty despite strong autumn form and needs close market monitoring

WATCH

Kamsinas and Tranquil Sea both sport headgear changes suggesting recent issues that could impact performance

NOTE

Fountains Blenhein's early pace-setting will be crucial - if allowed easy lead he becomes dangerous to all

WATCH

East India Express needs to bounce back from recent poor form but amateur rider claims valuable 7lbs

NOTE

Top Guy's 15-day turnaround from Newton Abbot win suggests connections confident in his wellbeing and progression

4:02 — Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m1½f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Roe And Co to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Enjoy d'Allen led; the map had Roe And Co in front.

Sea Invasion won at 3.25 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Roe And Co

Prominent · 2

Enjoy d'AllenSea Invasion

Midfield · 1

Morfee

Hold Up · 2

Northern PoetLumi Plugin

Roe And Co will set the pace uncontested from the start, with Sea Invasion and Enjoy d'Allen likely to track just behind in the early stages. The lack of genuine pace pressure means this will be run at a steady gallop for the first two miles before quickening from the back straight. With four hold-up horses (Northern Poet, Lumi Plugin, Morfee) relying on the race coming back to them late, and only one confirmed front-runner, this tactical setup strongly favours those who can position prominently and have the stamina to sustain a long run from 3-4 furlongs out.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustainable Pace Suits Trackers

55% probability

If Roe And Co sets an honest but manageable gallop and the prominent runners get first run

Sea Invasion and Enjoy d'Allen can position perfectly behind the leader and have enough left to resist the late challengers. The hold-up horses face too much ground to make up over this extended trip.

Sea InvasionEnjoy d'AllenRoe And CoLumi Plugin

Front Runner Dominates

25% probability

If Roe And Co's class tells and the extended break has freshened him up sufficiently

The leader can dictate terms throughout and prove too strong when the challenges come, especially with his previous winning form over similar trips. His bleeding issue from last time may have been a one-off.

Roe And CoSea InvasionNorthern PoetMorfee

Late Kick Succeeds

12% probability

If the early pace is particularly steady and Morfee or Northern Poet produce their best form

The hold-up horses can close the gap in the straight when others tire over this stamina-sapping distance. Northern Poet's excellent recent form and Morfee's high RPR suggest they have the quality.

MorfeeNorthern PoetLumi PluginEnjoy d'Allen

Lumi Plugin Strikes Late

8% probability

If the race sets up perfectly for a back-marker with Caoilin Quinn timing the challenge to perfection

The Moore-trained runner can use superior finishing speed to pick off tiring leaders in the final furlong. His recent placed form suggests he's close to a win.

Lumi PluginMorfeeSea InvasionRoe And Co

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Monitor Roe And Co early - if he travels poorly or shows any signs of the breathing issues that affected him last time

WATCH

Watch Sea Invasion's position turning in - needs to be handy to capitalise on his prominent running style in this small field

NOTE

Observe Northern Poet's jumping rhythm - his hold-up style means he cannot afford any errors with limited recovery time

WATCH

Check Enjoy d'Allen's handling of the pace - Miss Jones's 7lb claim is helpful but she needs to judge the tempo correctly

NOTE

Note Lumi Plugin's position at halfway - if too far back in this small field he may struggle to make up the ground

4:37 — Diane And Harry's Plumpton Annual Box Handicap Hurdle

2m · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Shalfa to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dissident led; the map had Shalfa in front.

Market House won at 2.88 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Shalfa

Prominent · 2

AlibeyMarket House

Midfield · 4

Mystical MabelFascinating LipsBanksmanLord Of The Glance

Hold Up · 3

DissidentChartwell JockAnswer That

Shalfa stands as the only confirmed front runner and will dictate from the off without early pressure. Market House and Alibey may track prominently but won't challenge Shalfa's early lead, allowing a sustainable gallop through the first circuit. The large contingent of hold-up horses including Answer That, Lord Of The Glance, Dissident, and Fascinating Lips will be bunched at the rear, creating a congested finish as they all make late moves. This pace scenario strongly favours the front runners and prominent racers who can avoid the traffic and benefit from Shalfa's honest pace-making.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If Shalfa gets an easy lead and stays on strongly up the hill

The lack of early pace pressure allows Shalfa to control the race and kick clear when it matters. Market House may challenge but the leader's tactical advantage proves decisive.

ShalfaMarket HouseAlibeyLord Of The Glance

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Market House or Alibey can track the leader and pounce late

The prominent horses get first run on the tiring leader while avoiding the hold-up traffic behind. Their forward position gives them a crucial edge over the back markers.

Market HouseAlibeyShalfaLord Of The Glance

Hold-Up Hero Emerges

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and the field comes back to the closers

A slow early gallop allows the hold-up horses to close the gap and one class act gets through the traffic. Lord Of The Glance's recent form makes him the most likely beneficiary.

Lord Of The GlanceDissidentAnswer ThatFascinating Lips

Chaos In Running

10% probability

If Shalfa goes too fast early or there's significant interference

An unsustainable gallop or traffic problems opens the door for an outsider with luck in running. Banksman's lightweight and fresh condition could prove decisive.

BanksmanFascinating LipsChartwell JockMystical Mabel

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Shalfa could get loose on the lead if no prominent horses go with him early, making him very hard to peg back

WATCH

Traffic problems highly likely with seven hold-up horses all needing room in the straight - watch for interference

NOTE

Market House's jumping under pressure as he returns to hurdles after flat racing - any mistake could prove costly

WATCH

Lord Of The Glance needs a strong pace to be effective but may get caught behind horses if Shalfa goes too slow

NOTE

Both Moore runners Dissident and Mystical Mabel could improve significantly for their recent runs but need everything to fall right

5:12 — Kalm Club Keep Calm & Gallop On Handicap Hurdle

2m4½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Lead contested: Goodwin v HecouldbetheoneHISTORIC

How it ran

Hecouldbetheone led, as the map showed.

Goodwin won at 5.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

GoodwinHecouldbetheone

Prominent · 2

HiconicOakley's Way

Midfield · 1

Notnowlinda

Hold Up · 2

Alien StormThe Bellhop

Goodwin and Hecouldbetheone will contest the early lead in this small field, with both confirmed front runners likely to engage from the start. Their pace duel should create an honest gallop over this stamina-testing 2m4½f trip at Plumpton, with the tempo unlikely to slacken significantly given their natural racing styles. The hold-up horses Alien Storm, Notnowlinda and The Bellhop will track behind the pace-setters, while prominent runners Oakley's Way and Hiconic settle in the middle order. This sustained gallop strongly favours the hold-up performers who can finish fastest when the early leaders weaken.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

55% probability

If Goodwin and Hecouldbetheone engage in a proper pace battle from flagfall.

The sustained gallop over this demanding trip will set up perfectly for the closers to sweep past tiring leaders in the final half-mile. Alien Storm and Notnowlinda can time their challenges to perfection from their patient positions.

Alien StormNotnowlindaThe BellhopOakley's Way

Front runner survives duel

25% probability

If one of the pace-setters can gain a crucial advantage and kick clear approaching the final flight.

Hecouldbetheone's proven stamina at this trip gives him the edge over Goodwin in a sustained battle, allowing him to find extra when the closers mount their challenge. His previous course win adds significant confidence.

HecouldbetheoneGoodwinOakley's WayAlien Storm

Prominent tracker strikes

12% probability

If the pace collapses completely and the race becomes tactical from halfway.

Oakley's Way can position perfectly in the reduced tempo, using his tactical speed to strike decisively when the race develops in the closing stages. His recent Plumpton second-place finish proves he handles the track conditions.

Oakley's WayHiconicHecouldbetheoneThe Bellhop

Moderate pace suits all

8% probability

If both leaders settle more conservatively than their natural styles suggest.

The race becomes more evenly contested throughout, allowing several runners to remain competitive deep into the home straight. Form horses can prevail without the extreme tactical bias toward any specific running style.

The BellhopNotnowlindaGoodwinAlien Storm

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Hiconic faces a massive fitness test returning from an 8-month absence despite his prominent racing style suiting the likely pace.

WATCH

Goodwin's recent form shows alarming inconsistency and he may crack quickly if forced into an early pace battle with Hecouldbetheone.

NOTE

The Bellhop carries a 3lb claimer in Freddie Mitchell which could prove decisive if the race develops into a tight finish.

WATCH

Alien Storm's 7lb claiming jockey Daire McConville faces a tactical challenge positioning the hold-up horse in this small field.

NOTE

Track the early fractions between Goodwin and Hecouldbetheone as their pace battle will determine the entire race shape.

5:47 — BetGoodwin Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)

2m2f · Good · CLS5 · 7 runners

Posh Chick likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Posh Chick led, as the map showed.

Posh Chick won at 2.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Posh Chick

Prominent · 2

Steal A GlanceSkye Glance

Midfield · 2

Silver WhisperCheese

Hold Up · 2

MirabelloGolden Sanjida

Posh Chick will likely lead or share the early pace with fellow prominent runners Skye Glance and Steal A Glance, creating a moderate tempo over this stamina-testing 2m2f trip. The small seven-runner field and lack of genuine speed horses suggests a steady gallop that won't stretch the field early, allowing hold-up horses like Mirabello and Golden Sanjida to stay in touch. The pace will intensify from three furlongs out as the prominent trio engage, but the moderate early fractions mean stamina will prove decisive in the final furlong. This tactical setup clearly favours horses with proven staying power and finishing kicks over those dependent on front-running tactics.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Gallop Finish

45% probability

If Posh Chick sets honest fractions and the pace stays strong throughout

The genuine tempo plays to proven stayers who can quicken off a solid pace rather than pure speed horses. Mirabello and Golden Sanjida benefit from their hold-up styles as the early pace-setters weaken.

MirabelloGolden SanjidaPosh ChickSteal A Glance

Front Runner Dominance

30% probability

If Posh Chick gets soft fractions and isn't pressured by the prominent runners early

The sustainable pace allows the leader to save energy for a strong finish, with Steal A Glance tracking and pouncing. Early positioning proves crucial as hold-up horses struggle to make ground.

Posh ChickSteal A GlanceSkye GlanceSilver Whisper

Tactical Crawl Sprint

15% probability

If all the prominent runners mark each other and create a slowly-run race

The lack of early pace turns this into a sprint finish where tactical speed matters more than stamina. The lightly-raced newcomers Cheese and Silver Whisper could have untapped speed for such a finish.

CheeseSilver WhisperPosh ChickSkye Glance

Messy Pace Collapse

10% probability

If Skye Glance's known finishing weakness spreads to other prominent runners and they all fade

The honest early pace set by multiple prominent runners creates a war of attrition where none finish strongly. Golden Sanjida's hold-up style and fresher profile allows her to pick up the pieces late.

Golden SanjidaMirabelloCheeseSilver Whisper

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Posh Chick if she gets uncontested lead early - previous win came from ideal position and she could repeat

WATCH

Skye Glance's jumping out of the gates - needs to be handy early as her finishing kick consistently fails

WATCH

Mirabello's attitude after being tailed off last time - any signs of reluctance would confirm something amiss

NOTE

Silver Whisper and Cheese for market moves - both unknowns but strong jockey bookings suggest hidden ability

NOTE

Golden Sanjida's early positioning - needs to be closer than usual given the likely modest pace

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 19 April 2026.

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