Archive›Plumpton · 5 April 2026

Plumpton

5 April 2026 · 7 races

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1:45 — BetGoodwin Free Bet Nose Losers Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m4½f · Good · CLS4 · 5 runners

That Is Blue likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Eremenko won at 1.44 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

That Is Blue

Prominent · 1

Pigeon Forge

Midfield · 1

Risk De Cerisy

Hold Up · 2

EremenkoApproaching Storm

That Is Blue will look to take the field along from the front with Pigeon Forge likely to sit prominent, creating a sustainable but not pressurized early gallop in this small field of five. The modest pace will allow the hold-up horses Eremenko and Approaching Storm to get into contention turning for home, while Risk De Cerisy's running style remains uncertain but she's unlikely to apply early pressure. With no genuine speed in the field and plenty of stamina required over 2m4½f at Plumpton, this race shape strongly favours patient, finishing types who can quicken late rather than those needing a strong pace to aim at.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Patient Hold-Up Prevails

55% probability

If the pace stays modest with That Is Blue and Pigeon Forge content to go steadily

Eremenko and any other closers will have every chance to pick up the pieces late when the early leaders tire over this stamina test. The quality gap between Eremenko (OR 120) and the front-runners becomes decisive in the final furlong.

EremenkoRisk De CerisyThat Is BluePigeon Forge

Front Runner Stays Strong

25% probability

If That Is Blue gets an uncontested lead and maintains stamina reserves

The mare can dictate terms throughout and prove hard to pass, especially if the hold-up horses don't get the strong pace they need. Her prominent style suits Plumpton's configuration well.

That Is BluePigeon ForgeEremenkoRisk De Cerisy

Prominent Tracker Strikes

12% probability

If Pigeon Forge travels better than That Is Blue and can improve on recent efforts

She can get first run on the leader and hold off late challengers, benefiting from a perfect position just off the pace. Her similar rating to That Is Blue makes this a live possibility.

Pigeon ForgeThat Is BlueEremenkoRisk De Cerisy

Surprise Package Emerges

8% probability

If Risk De Cerisy shows significant improvement from her Skelton yard after the pull-up

The lightly-raced mare could have untapped ability and benefit from any pace scenario given her unknown running style. Skelton's 22% strike rate provides some trainer confidence.

Risk De CerisyEremenkoThat Is BluePigeon Forge

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Eremenko's jumping under pressure - any mistake late could cost her when she's travelling best

WATCH

That Is Blue's fitness levels after 66 days off, particularly in the final half-mile where stamina becomes crucial

NOTE

Risk De Cerisy's early positioning to gauge her running style and whether she has the ability to match her rating

WATCH

The pace through the middle section - if it stays too steady the hold-up horses get a significant advantage

NOTE

Pigeon Forge's jumping rhythm as any errors could derail her chances of capitalizing on her handy position

2:20 — BetGoodwin Super Nigel Boardman Novices' Handicap Chase

3m1½f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

Ballyfinn likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Delgany Deadline and Ballyfinn led, as the map showed.

Milan Milos won at 5.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ballyfinn

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 1

Milan Milos

Hold Up · 2

Sweet NightingaleDelgany Deadline

Ballyfinn will set the pace from the front with no genuine speed to pressure him early in this small field. Sweet Nightingale, Delgany Deadline and Milan Milos all prefer to be held up, creating a tactical race where the leader can dictate terms. The lack of early pace pressure means Ballyfinn can control fractions and kick clear, while the three hold-up horses face the challenge of making up ground from off the pace. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the traffic problems that will affect the hold-up brigade.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Ballyfinn Controls Tempo

45% probability

If Ballyfinn gets an easy lead and steady fractions over 3m1½f

He can kick clear turning for home while the three hold-up horses struggle to make up the deficit from their patient positions. The lack of early pace pressure allows him to save energy for a decisive move.

BallyfinnSweet NightingaleDelgany Deadline

Late Charge Succeeds

30% probability

If the hold-up horses time their runs perfectly despite the slow pace

Delgany Deadline or Sweet Nightingale produce strong late kicks to reel in Ballyfinn who may have gone too slow early. The class and recent form of these two gives them the finishing power needed.

Delgany DeadlineSweet NightingaleBallyfinnMilan Milos

Ballyfinn Fades Late

15% probability

If Ballyfinn's 18-day break and recent poor form catches up with him in the final furlong

His early advantage gets whittled away by the stronger-finishing hold-up horses who benefit from the honest gallop. Sweet Nightingale's recent win gives her the confidence to strike.

Sweet NightingaleDelgany DeadlineMilan MilosBallyfinn

Milan Milos Surprise

10% probability

If Milan Milos gets a perfect trip through the pack and benefits from the weight concession

His 12lb weight advantage over Ballyfinn becomes decisive in the closing stages as the pace collapses. The longer absence works in his favour with freshness.

Milan MilosDelgany DeadlineSweet Nightingale

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Ballyfinn gets pressured early as his recent form suggests vulnerability when not allowed easy lead.

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems affecting Sweet Nightingale and Delgany Deadline if they get boxed in behind slow pace.

NOTE

Watch Milan Milos for signs of freshness returning after 23-day break given his previous decent form.

WATCH

Watch for jockey inexperience affecting the race as Callum Pritchard only has 3 rides recently.

NOTE

Watch the pace through halfway as Ballyfinn's ability to quicken depends on conserving energy early.

2:55 — Charlotte Savill Memorial Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

2m2f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Shalfa to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ballybay led; the map had Shalfa in front.

Shalfa won at 6.50 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Shalfa

Prominent · 2

Voix De BocelliDefinite

Midfield · 4

Pink 'n PurpleMajor MajorArenas Del TiempoBallybay

Hold Up · 3

Goodwin FaceDream's KaPottersmattyeeehaa

Shalfa is the only natural front runner and will get an easy lead with Definite and Voix De Bocelli racing prominently behind. The large hold-up contingent of Goodwin Face, Pottersmattyeeehaa, Dream's Ka, Ballybay, Arenas Del Tiempo and Major Major will sit off the sustainable pace. With no pace pressure on Shalfa, this sets up perfectly for the hold-up horses to produce their finishing kicks. This tactical scenario strongly favours horses that can close from off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

65% probability

If Shalfa sets a pedestrian pace unchallenged through the early stages

The patient hold-up brigade will have plenty left in the tank for strong finishing efforts over the final two furlongs. Goodwin Face and Pottersmattyeeehaa have the class and recent form to capitalise.

Goodwin FacePottersmattyeeehaaDream's KaMajor Major

Shalfa exploits easy lead

20% probability

If the front runner can dictate fractions without any early pressure from the prominent racers

Shalfa will have conserved energy in front and can kick clear before the hold-up horses get organised. The lack of pace pressure plays directly into the leader's hands.

ShalfaVoix De BocelliDefiniteGoodwin Face

Prominent racers take over

10% probability

If Voix De Bocelli or Definite decide to press Shalfa earlier than expected

This creates a more genuine gallop that suits the prominent racers who can pick up the pieces when the leader weakens. Voix De Bocelli has good recent placed form to capitalise.

Voix De BocelliDefinitePottersmattyeeehaaArenas Del Tiempo

Complete pace collapse

5% probability

If nobody wants to make the running and the field crawls through halfway

The race becomes a pure sprint finish where tactical position matters more than stamina. Any horse finding the rail or getting first run can steal this.

Dream's KaPink 'n PurpleBallybayMajor Major

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Shalfa could steal this if allowed to dictate completely uncontested fractions from the front

WATCH

Watch for any early pressure on Shalfa from Voix De Bocelli or Definite as this changes the entire race dynamic

NOTE

Goodwin Face needs to be positioned handy turning in to utilise his strong finishing kick effectively

WATCH

Dream's Ka has been disappointing lately so needs to show significant improvement from his recent runs

NOTE

The going remains Good across all distances at Plumpton which should suit most of these runners

3:30 — Harry & Betty Savill Memorial Handicap Chase

2m1f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Away For The Night likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sea Thrift and Angel's Dream led; the map had Away For The Night in front.

Away For The Night won at 2.38 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Away For The Night

Prominent · 1

Pleasure Garden

Midfield · 1

Angel's Dream

Hold Up · 2

Sea ThriftGold Souk

Away For The Night will take the field along from the front with minimal pressure, as only Pleasure Garden has the prominent style to potentially press the leader early. With Sea Thrift, Angel's Dream and Gold Souk all held up runners, the pace will be measured through the early stages before quickening from 3 out. The lack of genuine pace pressure means Away For The Night can dictate terms and kick clear when ready. This race shape strongly favours the front runner and prominent racers who can avoid the traffic problems that will engulf the hold-up horses in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Away For The Night gets an uncontested lead and times his kick perfectly from 3 out.

The measured early pace suits his stamina reserves and he can quicken clear before the hold-up horses get into gear. Pleasure Garden benefits from tracking the winner throughout and picks up the pieces.

Away For The NightPleasure GardenSea ThriftAngel's Dream

Prominent Battle

30% probability

If Pleasure Garden presses Away For The Night early and creates a genuine pace duel.

Both prominent runners compromise each other's finishing kicks, allowing the best of the hold-up horses to sweep past in the final furlong. Sea Thrift's class edge proves decisive in a messy finish.

Sea ThriftAngel's DreamAway For The NightPleasure Garden

Hold-Up Surge

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint finish from the last fence.

The lack of early pace transforms this into a pure stamina test where the fresh finishers can unleash devastating late runs. Angel's Dream's recent Plumpton win gives him the course knowledge advantage.

Angel's DreamSea ThriftGold SoukAway For The Night

Pace Chaos

10% probability

If Away For The Night makes jumping errors under pressure and loses his rhythm.

The front runner's mistakes create opportunities for all styles as the race fragments into a scramble. Gold Souk's 164-day break becomes an asset as his fresh legs carry him through the carnage.

Gold SoukPleasure GardenAngel's DreamSea Thrift

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Away For The Night's jumping under pressure - any mistakes will open the race up completely

WATCH

Pleasure Garden's early positioning - whether he sits behind or challenges the leader changes everything

NOTE

Sea Thrift and Angel's Dream getting clear runs from 2 out - small fields can still cause traffic jams

WATCH

Gold Souk showing signs of fitness after his long break - market support would be significant

NOTE

The pace through the first mile - if genuinely strong it transforms the finish completely

4:05 — BetGoodwin Sussex Champion Hurdle Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m · Good · HCAP · 14 runners

Lead contested: Intellotto v General BriarHISTORIC

How it ran

Mondo Man led; the map had Intellotto and General Briar in front.

Indemnity won at 8.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

3 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

IntellottoGeneral Briar

Prominent · 6

Serious ChallengeHelnweinHamlet's NightIndemnityGentleman JoeAj's Diamond

Midfield · 2

Nap HandSoleil d'Arizona

Hold Up · 4

Mondo ManInside ManFasolHalf A Chance

Intellotto and General Briar will contest the early lead, with Intellotto's confirmed front-running style likely to dominate after General Briar's recent inconsistency. Six horses (Helnwein, Serious Challenge, Indemnity, Hamlet's Night, Aj's Diamond, Gentleman Joe) want prominent positions, creating congestion and forcing some back into midfield. The honest gallop from Intellotto will stretch the field, but the prominent pack will close strongly from the back of the last flight. This pace setup strongly favours hold-up horses who can avoid the early traffic and deliver late kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Intellotto maintains a strong gallop and the prominent group gets crowded.

The pace will be genuine enough to set up perfectly for the closers, while traffic problems will hinder those racing prominently. Hold-up specialists can pick their way through and time their challenges to perfection.

Inside ManFasolMondo ManNap Hand

Prominent Pair Prevails

25% probability

If Helnwein or Serious Challenge can secure clean positions behind the leaders.

These two class acts can track the pace without getting caught in the squeeze and have the tactical speed to strike before the hold-up horses arrive. Their superior ratings give them the edge in a sustained drive.

HelnweinSerious ChallengeIndemnityHamlet's Night

Early Leader Stays

12% probability

If Intellotto gets an uncontested lead and the prominent group fails to organize.

Without serious pressure, the leader can dictate a moderate tempo and have enough left to resist late challenges. The lack of early pace pressure allows him to save energy for the finish.

IntellottoGeneral BriarAj's DiamondGentleman Joe

Pace Collapse Benefits

8% probability

If both leaders stop quickly and the prominent horses also struggle.

A slowly-run race where tactical positioning matters more than sustained pace, allowing midfield trackers to emerge late. The race becomes a sprint from the last flight where fresh legs matter most.

Mondo ManHalf A ChanceSoleil d'ArizonaNap Hand

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Intellotto must jump cleanly at the first flight as any mistake will hand the lead to unreliable General Briar and compromise the pace.

WATCH

Helnwein and Serious Challenge risk getting trapped behind horses at the second-last as six prominent runners create inevitable congestion.

WATCH

Inside Man's 150-day absence is a major concern despite his hold-up style suiting the likely pace scenario.

NOTE

Fasol's tongue tie application suggests connections expect improved performance from this well-positioned hold-up horse.

NOTE

Mondo Man's recent winning form makes him the most reliable hold-up option if the pace develops as anticipated.

4:40 — BetGoodwin Top Online Bookie Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

Inca De Lafayette likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Superstylin led; the map had Inca De Lafayette in front.

Inca De Lafayette won at 2.62 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Inca De Lafayette

Prominent · 1

Superstylin

Midfield · 2

Person Of InterestSanitiser

Hold Up · 0

None

Inca De Lafayette will dictate terms from the front with no genuine pace pressure in this small field. Person Of Interest, Superstylin, and Sanitiser all hold prominent positions but none are confirmed pace forcers, creating a sustainable gallop throughout. The lack of early speed will produce a tactical affair with the real racing beginning after the final fence. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can control their own destiny, while penalising any hold-up horses who need a strong pace to be effective.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Inca Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Inca De Lafayette jumps fluently and maintains a steady rhythm from the front

The Paul Nicholls runner dictates ideal fractions and has first run on his rivals after the last fence. His prominent style perfectly suits the lack of pace pressure and he can kick for home when ready.

Inca De LafayetteSuperstylinPerson Of InterestSanitiser

Superstylin Times Challenge

30% probability

If the pace becomes truly pedestrian and Superstylin can improve his position approaching the final fence

Tom Cannon can afford to be patient on the in-form nine-year-old and time his challenge perfectly. His recent winning form gives him the tactical edge in a slowly-run affair.

SuperstylinSanitiserInca De LafayettePerson Of Interest

Sanitiser Strikes Late

15% probability

If the Moore team produces another winner and Sanitiser can get competitive after his recent victories

The improving seven-year-old has momentum from back-to-back wins and can capitalise if the leaders go too slowly. His prominent style allows him to stay in touch throughout the steady gallop.

SanitiserSuperstylinInca De LafayettePerson Of Interest

Person Produces Surprise

10% probability

If Person Of Interest overcomes his long absence and Paddy Hanlon gets the tactics right

The six-year-old finds the sustained pace to his liking after 98 days off the track. His prominent style keeps him in contention but he needs everything to fall right after the layoff.

Person Of InterestInca De LafayetteSuperstylinSanitiser

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Person Of Interest may need the run badly after 98 days off and could struggle to match race-fit opponents

WATCH

Inca De Lafayette must handle the responsibility of making all the running without getting headed too early

NOTE

Superstylin's recent form gives him a clear fitness edge over most rivals in this tactical affair

WATCH

The sustainable pace could produce a bunched finish where jumping the final fence cleanly becomes crucial

NOTE

Sanitiser carries the confidence of consecutive wins but faces his biggest test yet in this company

5:10 — BetGoodwin Master Trainer Chris Gordon Handicap Hurdle

2m4½f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Eliza Dolittle to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ahellofaman and Smith led; the map had Eliza Dolittle in front.

Washington Singer won at 5.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Eliza Dolittle

Prominent · 2

Washington SingerMarket House

Midfield · 3

EphyraSmithPath Of Stars

Hold Up · 2

RukaanaAhellofaman

Eliza Dolittle will lead unchallenged from the start with her confirmed front-running style, setting a steady rhythm that suits her stamina-based profile over this extended 2m4½f trip. The prominent runners Market House and Washington Singer will track behind but neither has the early pace to pressure her, while the large contingent of hold-up horses (Rukaana, Path Of Stars, Ephyra, Ahellofaman, Smith) will settle towards the rear. This creates a race where the pace will be honest but not punishing early, before intensifying from the back of the last hurdle as the hold-up brigade unleash their finishing kicks. The tactical setup strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce sustained late rallies.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Brigade Dominates

65% probability

If the early pace stays moderate and Eliza Dolittle maintains a steady gallop to the home turn

The patient tactics of the hold-up horses prove optimal as they have plenty left for a strong finish over the final 3-4 furlongs. Rukaana and Path Of Stars benefit most from this scenario with their proven ability to quicken late.

RukaanaPath Of StarsEphyraAhellofaman

Front Runner Survives

20% probability

If Eliza Dolittle gets an easy lead and the hold-up horses leave their runs too late or get hampered

Her stamina tells over this staying trip and she holds on grimly despite her moderate recent form. Washington Singer might emerge as the main threat tracking her throughout.

Eliza DolittleWashington SingerMarket HouseRukaana

Prominent Pair Strike

12% probability

If Market House or Washington Singer decide to put pressure on Eliza Dolittle from halfway

The increased pace stretches the field and favours those who can maintain a strong gallop rather than relying on a finishing kick. Market House's consistent placed efforts suggest he could benefit from forcing the pace.

Market HouseWashington SingerRukaanaEliza Dolittle

Pace Collapse Finish

3% probability

If Eliza Dolittle goes too slow early and none of the prominent horses apply pressure

The race becomes a sprint from the last hurdle where any horse with a turn of foot can win regardless of position. This chaotic finish could suit an outsider like Smith who has shown ability in smaller fields.

SmithEphyraPath Of StarsAhellofaman

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Eliza Dolittle must be monitored early - if she goes too slowly the hold-up horses will have too much ammunition for the finish

WATCH

Market House and Washington Singer's positioning behind the leader is crucial - they need to stay close enough to strike but not get drawn into early pace battle

NOTE

Rukaana's jumping rhythm through the race given his recent busy schedule and hold-up style requirements

WATCH

Path Of Stars needs to be produced with a clear run given his hold-up style and 51-day absence

NOTE

The claiming jockeys on Eliza Dolittle and Ahellofaman may struggle with tactical decisions in a race where timing will be crucial

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 5 April 2026.

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