3:45 — Enter ITV7 For Free EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
6f · Good · NOV · 5 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
4:15 — Sky Bet For The Fans Fillies' Handicap Stakes
1m · Good · HCAP · 5 runners
Lead contested: Two B Tanned v QuisanaFREEHISTORIC
How it ran
Two B Tanned led, as the map showed.
Luna Celeste won at 2.88 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.
3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 2
Two B TannedQuisana
Prominent · 2
Si GrassLuna Celeste
Midfield · 0
None
Hold Up · 1
Darzah
Two B Tanned and Quisana are both confirmed front-runners, setting up a contested early pace over this flat Pontefract mile on Good to Firm ground, with neither likely to concede the lead without a fight. The duel between them will drive an honest, possibly pressured gallop from the outset, stretching the field and burning off reserves earlier than a solo-led race would. Si Grass and Luna Celeste will look to track close behind in prominent positions, while Darzah — the sole hold-up horse — is the one most likely to be handed a genuine pace to chase down. This contested lead scenario, with two horses doing each other's running, classically favours closers or horses racing just off the pace with a clean run, making the prominent-to-midfield profile of Luna Celeste and the late challenge of Darzah the styles best positioned to capitalise.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Contested Lead Suits Closers
63% probability
If Two B Tanned and Quisana fight each other for the lead and set a genuine end-to-end gallop that stretches the field.
The two front-runners burn each other out through the first half, leaving the race to be won from off the pace in the final two furlongs; horses who've tracked or come from behind arrive with energy to spare.
Luna CelesteDarzahSi GrassQuisana
B
One Front-Runner Dominates
18% probability
If one of the two pace horses (most likely Two B Tanned on higher OR and proven win from front) establishes a clear lead with Quisana unable to sustain the battle.
A single horse controls tempo at a comfortable clip and rations its effort, arriving at the final furlong with enough left to hold on; the race becomes a test of willingness rather than a stamina grind.
Two B TannedQuisanaSi GrassLuna Celeste
C
Prominent Pair Swamp Leaders
12% probability
If the pace collapses or the front-runners tie each other up and Si Grass or Luna Celeste pounce early in the straight without needing to come wide.
Sitting just behind the scrapping leaders, a prominent horse gets a dream run through with minimal effort expended; Good to Firm conditions keep the ground quick enough to reward that economical mid-race position.
Si GrassLuna CelesteTwo B TannedDarzah
D
Hold-Up Horse Arrives Late
7% probability
If the gallop is truly fierce and unsustainable, leaving a clear path through for Darzah to pick off tiring rivals in the final furlong.
Darzah has won over this trip and going before (1/8f/GOO) and Cieren Fallon is adept at timing late challenges, but the sole hold-up role in a small field of five means traffic risk is real and the move must be perfectly timed.
DarzahLuna CelesteSi Grass
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Two B Tanned and Quisana — watch the first two furlongs closely; if both dig in hard for the lead, the resulting contested gallop could leave both emptied by the home turn, dramatically opening up the race for those behind.
WATCH
Darzah — Cieren Fallon will need to find a gap in a small five-runner field; if the front-runners don't create enough pace, a hold-up horse can be left with nowhere to go and no cover to travel behind.
WATCH
Si Grass — her 1/4 sim-going record is the thinnest in the field; if Good to Firm conditions prove faster than her previous Standard-ground wins suggest she handles, she may find the ground inconvenient at a key moment.
NOTE
Luna Celeste — her trainer Tom Clover has hit 5 from 14 over the last 14 days, making her one of the yard's more live runners; monitor market moves before post time as stable confidence appears high.
NOTE
Quisana's quick turnaround (13 days) is worth noting on Good to Firm — jockey Charles Bishop will need to judge the pace battle with Two B Tanned carefully or risk running a flat race on residual fatigue.
4:45 — EBF Sky Bet Club Flying Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)
6f · Good · LST · 11 runners
Miss Nightcap to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
Brazilian Rose led; the map had Miss Nightcap in front.
America Queen won at 2.10 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.
3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Miss Nightcap
Prominent · 4
Royal FixationAmerica QueenMagic BasmaArabian Dusk
Midfield · 3
Sing The BluesKillaviaRuby's Angel
Hold Up · 3
Dash Of AzureCatching The MoonBrazilian Rose
Miss Nightcap is the sole confirmed front-runner and, with no genuine rival to press her for the lead, she should slot onto the front uncontested and set a controlled, sustainable gallop on good-to-firm ground at Pontefract. Royal Fixation, Magic Basma, and America Queen will push forward to dispute the prominent positions behind her, meaning the first two furlongs will be brisk but not chaotic, as these are all well-mannered prominent types rather than tearaway speedsters. The field holds more front-running and prominent types than the race shape can naturally accommodate — Sing The Blues, Killavia, and Ruby's Angel are all genuine prominent horses who are mapped to midfield because they are unlikely to claim their preferred position against stronger rivals in this grade. This race shape — an uncontested leader setting honest fractions with a wall of prominent horses behind — favours confirmed hold-up horses or those comfortable settling in midfield, as the strong pace set by Miss Nightcap and sustained by the prominent pack will serve those who conserve energy early and deliver late, with Dash Of Azure and Catching The Moon the clearest beneficiaries of that profile.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Miss Nightcap Controls, Late Closers Pounce
62% probability
If Miss Nightcap leads uncontested and the prominent wall sets honest fractions, draining reserves from mid-race.
Miss Nightcap ensures a true test of stamina over 6f on good-to-firm, and the prominent group uses itself up tracking her, leaving the hold-up horses with a wall to hit through — though Dash Of Azure and Catching The Moon have the ability and running style to come through late.
Dash Of AzureCatching The MoonAmerica QueenMiss Nightcap
B
Prominent Holds On, Pace Matches
19% probability
If the pace is controlled enough that the prominent horses conserve energy and the closers get no meaningful acceleration late.
With Miss Nightcap dictating a steadier tempo than expected, Royal Fixation or America Queen sit comfortably just behind and produce enough momentum to hold on, rewarding their class and good-to-firm form at this trip.
Royal FixationAmerica QueenMagic BasmaMiss Nightcap
C
Redistributed Type Finds Rail, Wins
11% probability
If one of the pace-heavy horses mapped to midfield manages to break smartly and claim a forward berth after all.
Sing The Blues has the most compelling form of the redistributed trio — three wins over this C&D-relevant trip on good ground — and if she secures a prominent position through a good break, her natural front-running ability makes her dangerous.
Sing The BluesKillaviaRuby's AngelMagic Basma
D
Messy Pace, Hold-Up Flounders
8% probability
If the prominent group scrimmages for position and the race breaks into uneven sectionals, denying closers a clear run.
A bunched early phase followed by a sprint finish can leave hold-up horses with nowhere to go in an 11-runner field on a straight 6f, compressing the race into one flat-out dash that suits whoever is handiest.
Arabian DuskMagic BasmaSing The BluesRuby's Angel
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Watch Miss Nightcap's early lead margin — if she goes uncontested by the 2f pole with a clear gap, she is dangerous to get caught, even in this grade.
KEY
Royal Fixation is the class horse on OR 108 and has the best sim-going record in the field; if she travels smoothly in the prominent group, she could prove too strong for the closers.
WATCH
Sing The Blues broke from a compromised position last time having been shuffled back in a similar shape — watch for Cieren Fallon using the stalls to try to reclaim a forward berth before rivals can react.
WATCH
Dash Of Azure's last run was at 7f and this is a step down to 6f on a track where pace is set from the front; if the fractions are slower than expected, her hold-up style may not generate enough late momentum.
NOTE
With three horses (Sing The Blues, Killavia, Ruby's Angel) all effectively racing out of role and mapped to midfield, the 5f-6f section of this race may be unusually congested in the centre of the pack — watch for scrimmaging that could hamper any of the closers Dash Of Azure or Catching The Moon.
5:15 — Sky Bet Price Boosts Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
1m2f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners
Lead contested: High Degree v Shoof BaeedHISTORIC
How it ran
High Degree led, as the map showed.
High Degree won at 2.50 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.
4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 2
High DegreeShoof Baeed
Prominent · 1
Jez Bomb
Midfield · 3
Farasi LaneFinancerMr Seagull
Hold Up · 2
AmmesWithout Compromise
High Degree and Shoof Baeed are both confirmed front-runners and will contest the lead from the outset over this 1m2f trip at Pontefract, creating a genuinely contested gallop on Good to Firm ground rather than an artificial tempo set by a lone pace-setter. Jez Bomb, racing prominently, will sit just off the duelling leaders and adds further pressure to the early sections, meaning the pace will be honest and sustained throughout. This contested dynamic stretches the field, burns out the leaders through the home straight, and sets the race up for horses with tactical speed who can travel close to the pace without being consumed by it — a prominent-to-midfield profile that can pick up smoothly once the front two cry enough is best placed here. The field carries more genuine hold-up horses than the map can accommodate at the rear — Farasi Lane, Financer, and Mr Seagull are true closers who will find themselves further forward than ideal and unlikely to secure their natural position in this shape.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Contested Pace, Prominent Wins
52% probability
If High Degree and Shoof Baeed fight for the lead and burn each other out, leaving the prominent tracker to inherit the prize
The two leaders set a demanding gallop that drains their reserves in the final two furlongs, handing the race to the horse that has sat just behind the pressure and timed their run to perfection; Jez Bomb, with two recent wins and a profile built on tracking pace on good ground, is ideally positioned to pounce from this shape.
Jez BombHigh DegreeShoof BaeedAmmes
B
Front-Runner Survives Pressure
26% probability
If Shoof Baeed or High Degree settles into a rhythm, controls the fractions, and keeps enough in reserve to hold on
One of the front pair manages to assert crossing the halfway point and gradually winds up the tempo without breaking their own momentum, leaving pursuers unable to close the gap late; the Good to Firm ground rewards a horse with a high cruising speed and the fitness to sustain it over 1m2f.
Shoof BaeedHigh DegreeJez BombWithout Compromise
C
Midfield Raider Sweeps Through
14% probability
If the contested early pace is genuinely fierce enough to open the door for a horse tracking in midfield who has been sheltered from the battle
Without Compromise or Ammes, sitting off the early tempo with cover, could find the gaps opening in the final furlong as the front pair weaken together; this shape is less straightforward to execute given the number of horses who want similar ground in the middle of the race, but the honest gallop does create a theoretical runway for a well-timed run.
AmmesWithout CompromiseFinancerFarasi Lane
D
Closers Denied By Pace Shape
8% probability
If the pace somehow steadies mid-race after the early duel, compressing the field and leaving closers blocked behind traffic
Financer, Farasi Lane, and Mr Seagull are all true hold-up horses racing out of their natural role and would need near-perfect circumstances to thread through; this scenario is heavily discounted because the shape that would benefit them is precisely the one least likely to materialise given the confirmed front-running duel at the head of affairs.
FinancerFarasi LaneMr SeagullAmmes
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Watch the duel between High Degree and Shoof Baeed in the first three furlongs — if they go toe-to-toe at a true gallop, both are at significant risk of tying up in the straight and handing the race to Jez Bomb.
WATCH
Jez Bomb's draw and early positioning will be critical — if he is denied his natural prominent slot by the front-running duel drifting wide, his ability to dominate from behind the pace is compromised.
WATCH
Ammes, Without Compromise, Farasi Lane, Financer, and Mr Seagull all want rear or midfield berths in the same race; watch for traffic congestion in the straight as several of these converge simultaneously with limited room to manoeuvre.
NOTE
The going report confirms Good to Firm for this 1m2f slot — faster than the declared GOOD, which will amplify the cost of the early contested pace and reward horses with sound action and class rather than those relying on stamina grinding rivals down.
NOTE
Shoof Baeed's inexperience (only two career runs) is worth monitoring in running — if he shows greenness or fails to settle in front under pressure from High Degree, his chance dissolves quickly and the complexion of the whole race changes.
5:45 — Sky Bet Build A Bet Handicap Stakes
5f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners
Baker Blue to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
Kylian led; the map had Baker Blue in front.
Fluorescence won at 3.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently.
3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Baker Blue
Prominent · 3
BadriFluorescenceRocking Ends
Midfield · 2
Reigning ProfitOne And Gone
Hold Up · 2
KylianVintage Clarets
Baker Blue is the lone confirmed front-runner and on Good to Firm ground over 5f at Pontefract will look to dictate from the off, setting a brisk but controlled tempo that need not be suicidal given the absence of a genuine challenger for the lead. Badri, Fluorescence and Rocking Ends are all prominent types who will press forward and contest the early positions behind Baker Blue, creating a compressed front group rather than a truly lone leader scenario. The field actually contains more pace than the positional map can accommodate — Reigning Profit is a natural prominent racer who will struggle to secure that berth, and One And Gone is a genuine hold-up type who has been pushed into a midfield mapping because the rear is oversubscribed; neither is racing in their most comfortable role. A controlled-but-honest pace on fast ground over a sharp 5f shapes this race to favour horses who can race prominently in the first three or four and sustain their effort to the line — hold-up horses face a stiff ask getting competitive from off the pace on a track where the straight is short and ground is fast.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Controlled Lead, Prominent Dominate
62% probability
If Baker Blue leads at a sustainable gallop and the prominent horses Badri, Rocking Ends and Fluorescence race in his slipstream, the race becomes a stamina-and-speed test for the front four.
Baker Blue sets fractions comfortable enough to preserve his finishing kick, while the pressing prominent horses have enough position to pounce inside the final furlong without needing to find an impossible gear from the rear; Good to Firm ground rewards those who travel prominently and sustain rather than sprint.
Baker BlueRocking EndsBadriFluorescence
B
Pace Collapse, Late Surge
18% probability
If Baker Blue goes off too fast under pressure from the prominent group and the pace genuinely collapses in the closing stages.
A frenetic early pace burns out the front-runners in the final 100 yards, and any horse who has been able to switch off and coast through midfield gets a rare opportunity to swoop; Vintage Clarets and Kylian, genuine hold-up types, would be the primary beneficiaries of a true pace collapse.
Vintage ClaretsKylianOne And Gone
C
Prominent Overcrowding Causes Traffic
12% probability
If the cluster of prominent types — Badri, Rocking Ends and Fluorescence — all push hard to sit second and third, creating a scrappy mid-race scramble for position.
Interference and energy expended fighting for berths in the first half of the race could leave several prominent horses flat when the run begins; a horse like Rocking Ends who is robust and experienced in tight company could benefit from the chaos while others are checked.
Rocking EndsBadriFluorescence
D
Outsider Exploits Confusion
8% probability
If the pace scenario is chaotic enough that no single horse controls the tempo and the race fragments into multiple small groups.
Reigning Profit, despite being mapped out of a natural prominent role, has the 5f course fitness and Good to Firm record to capitalise if gifted a clean passage; One And Gone's two wins at this trip on this ground are relevant if the pace unexpectedly softens and hold-up horses get a meaningful target to aim at.
Reigning ProfitOne And GoneVintage Clarets
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Baker Blue's unbeaten record in similar going (0 wins from 4 on Good at 5f) is a red flag — if he ties up inside the final furlong after leading, the prominent group directly behind him will swamp him and the result hinges entirely on what follows.
WATCH
Rocking Ends has the strongest course-and-distance profile in the race (4 wins from 13 at Pontefract 5f) and arrives in form — if Cieren Fallon slots him into second or third early, he is the primary threat to any leader who does not sustain.
WATCH
The cluster of Badri, Fluorescence and Rocking Ends all wanting the same prominent positions creates a genuine early-race flashpoint — watch the first furlong for bumping or checking as they sort out the order.
NOTE
One And Gone's two recent 5f Good-ground wins look eye-catching but his natural style means he will trail the field early; if he is seen making headway turning for home, the pace has genuinely collapsed and the hold-up scenario is live.
NOTE
Good to Firm ground confirmed for this race — any horse with a going concern on quick ground should be monitored in pre-race; the faster the ground, the more it rewards prominent gallopers over late finishers at Pontefract's short home straight.
6:15 — Sky Bet Extra Places Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
2m1f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners
Lead contested: Sixty Plus v Treasure IslandsHISTORIC
How it ran
Pole Star led; the map had Sixty Plus and Treasure Islands in front.
Letsbefrank won at 5.50 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.
1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 2
Sixty PlusTreasure Islands
Prominent · 2
Pole StarLaafy
Midfield · 0
None
Hold Up · 2
LetsbefrankCampeona
Sixty Plus and Treasure Islands are both confirmed front-runners and will contest the early lead over 2m1f on good-to-firm ground at Pontefract, creating an honest, pressured gallop from the outset rather than a falsely-run crawl. Sixty Plus arrives in career-best form with three consecutive wins, all at 14f or shorter, and will be keen to dictate; Treasure Islands has also won over 16f and will push for the rail, meaning neither is likely to yield without a fight. Pole Star and Laafy will track from a prominent position, while Letsbefrank and Campeona are both hold-up types who will settle at the rear and rely on picking up late. With a genuine pace duel setting the tempo for a staying trip on fast ground, this race shape is classically biased towards horses who can settle off the pace and finish through the field — hold-up and late-running profiles are favoured, provided the strong early fractions don't burn out the leaders entirely before the home turn.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Pace Duel Burns Leaders
62% probability
If Sixty Plus and Treasure Islands fight for supremacy and sustain a strong gallop throughout the 2m1f trip, the early pressure causes both to weaken in the closing stages.
The contested lead drains both front-runners in the final two furlongs, leaving the race wide open for closers to sweep through from the rear; over this stamina-sapping trip on good-to-firm ground, hold-up horses who conserve energy early are ideally placed.
CampeonaLetsbefrankPole StarLaafy
B
Front Runner Dictates
20% probability
If Sixty Plus successfully shakes off Treasure Islands early and is allowed to control a sustainable gallop unchallenged from the front.
With a comfortable lead and no serious pressure to contend with, Sixty Plus can settle into a rhythm that exploits his current outstanding form of three consecutive wins; prominent types who track him closely without burning fuel would be next best.
Sixty PlusPole StarTreasure IslandsLaafy
C
Prominent Types Prevail
12% probability
If the pace duel is competitive but not truly brutal, leaving the prominent pair of Pole Star and Laafy close enough to the action to capitalise.
A moderate pace contest allows horses tracking the leaders to sit within striking range and pounce before the hold-up horses can generate momentum; Pole Star's course form and Laafy's consistent prominent-running style both suit a race decided in the final half-mile.
Pole StarLaafySixty PlusCampeona
D
Closers Fail to Fire
6% probability
If the pace is surprisingly steady and the front-runners conserve enough energy to hold off the hold-up horses despite the long trip.
A moderate early gallop over 2m1f could allow the leaders to control tempo and resist the late challenge from Campeona and Letsbefrank, who need strong fractions to generate their finishing kicks.
Sixty PlusTreasure IslandsPole StarLaafy
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Watch whether Sixty Plus or Treasure Islands blinks first in the early furlongs — if neither concedes the lead, the sustained duel over 2m1f on good-to-firm ground could fatally compromise both horses before they turn for home.
WATCH
Campeona's headgear flag and hold-up style suggest Prescott has trained her specifically for this trip, but her limited similar-going record of 2/7 on fast ground must be monitored if the ground rides quicker than reported.
WATCH
Letsbefrank arrives 57 days since last run for Jim Goldie, whose T14 figure of 3/43 is a notably poor strike rate — watch for any signs of rustiness in the paddock or early in the race before trusting the in-form profile.
NOTE
Laafy's 50-day absence combined with a career record that shows no win on good-to-firm ground in recent outings makes the veteran one to watch for early signs of whether the return suits before committing to his chance.
NOTE
The final-furlong terrain at Pontefract is famously uphill and sharp, favouring horses who have been produced with a strong run rather than those who have led from tape to tape — worth tracking where Campeona and Letsbefrank sit at the two-furlong pole.
6:45 — Sky Bet Proud To Support Young Lives Vs Cancer Handicap Stakes
6f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners
Veblen Good likeliest to leadHISTORIC
How it ran
Alfa Whiteburd led; the map had Veblen Good in front.
The Good Biscuit won at 11.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.
5 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them
Race shape
Lead · 1
Veblen Good
Prominent · 1
The Good Biscuit
Midfield · 4
Russet GoldHavana RumMondammejFiscal Policy
Hold Up · 3
Alfa WhiteburdRare ChangeYes I'm Mali
Veblen Good is the sole confirmed front-runner in this nine-runner 6f handicap on good-to-firm ground at Pontefract, and with no obvious challenger for the lead, she can bowl along at a controlled, uncontested tempo that suits a horse who has already won over this trip and course combination. The Good Biscuit is the only other prominently-styled runner and will likely slot in just behind, creating a small leading group with the remainder tracking in behind. This sustainable, single-pace shape with no early battle for supremacy suits hold-up horses who can close from a position behind a steady gallop — though with Russet Gold, Havana Rum, Mondammej and Fiscal Policy all being true hold-up types redistributed to midfield on the map, the rear of this field is genuinely congested with horses unlikely to get their natural position. The race shape, with one horse controlling matters from the front at a measured clip on fast ground, most favours a prominent or close-tracking runner who can make a smooth move from the home turn without being trapped in traffic — benefiting The Good Biscuit and Alfa Whiteburd, who can track up and pounce, over horses who need a strongly-run race to land their winning blow.
Runner profiles
Race scenarios
A
Veblen Controls, Tracked Home
58% probability
If Veblen Good leads uncontested and The Good Biscuit tracks into a winning position rounding the home turn.
Veblen Good dictates a steady, sustainable gallop with The Good Biscuit sitting close enough to strike in the straight, and on good-to-firm ground the advantage stays with those who hold a prominent tracking position from the outset. Hold-up horses are left with too little ground to close as the pace is not strong enough to open a gap for them.
The Good BiscuitVeblen GoodAlfa WhiteburdYes I'm Mali
B
Hold-Ups Overcome Steady Pace
20% probability
If the pace is slow enough that hold-up horses with genuine turn-of-foot can weave through to win despite the modest gallop.
Alfa Whiteburd, in blistering in-form shape with three recent wins, has the class and finishing speed to make ground even if the pace is only fair, and Yes I'm Mali has repeatedly found the line in this sort of race from off the pace.
Alfa WhiteburdYes I'm MaliRare ChangeHavana Rum
C
Pace Quickens, Front Two Fade
14% probability
If a mid-race injection of pace causes Veblen Good and The Good Biscuit to overextend and tie up in the closing stages.
A sharper early tempo would leave the front two vulnerable late, allowing closers with stamina to pick them off — Rare Change's recent 7f form and Havana Rum's best efforts on similar ground suggest they could profit from any breakdown of the leaders.
Rare ChangeHavana RumAlfa WhiteburdFiscal Policy
D
Front Runner Holds Every Challenge
8% probability
If Veblen Good establishes a decisive lead and her rivals mistime their challenges, allowing her to win comfortably despite her STYLE_FIT flag.
Though operating slightly out of role, Veblen Good's strong course and distance record on good ground makes her capable of converting if rivals leave their challenges too late. The Good Biscuit would be the likely runner-up if the hold-up horses are simply unable to bridge the gap.
Veblen GoodThe Good BiscuitAlfa WhiteburdYes I'm Mali
Race position map
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up
Watch points
KEY
Alfa Whiteburd enters on the back of three wins and holds a clear class edge on recent form — if Jason Hart can get her into a prominent position early rather than having to close from the back of the pack, she becomes the most dangerous horse in the race.
WATCH
The Good Biscuit and Veblen Good are the only two horses naturally suited to racing up with the pace — watch how quickly The Good Biscuit moves to sit behind the leader in the early stages, as her position at the 3f mark will largely determine her winning chance.
WATCH
With Russet Gold, Havana Rum, Mondammej and Fiscal Policy all true hold-up horses forced to race in midfield, there is a risk of traffic and crowding on the home turn — horses drawn on the outside may get a cleaner passage than those trapped on the inner.
NOTE
Pontefract's 6f course has a long straight after a sharp left-hand bend — horses who make their move too early on the turn can flatten out, meaning runners who wait until they are fully in the straight before challenging tend to sustain their effort better on fast ground.
NOTE
The going is confirmed good-to-firm for this race, which suits horses with clean recent form on similar ground — Yes I'm Mali and The Good Biscuit both have strong records in these conditions and their fitness credentials are current given both ran 11-22 days ago.
About this analysis
Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.
Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.