3:40

Archive›Punchestown · 1 May 2026

Punchestown

1 May 2026 · 8 races

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3:40 — Stanley Asphalt Hunters Chase for the Bishopscourt Cup
2m4½f · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 13 runners
Irina's Path likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Jetbob led; the map had Irina's Path in front.

Jetbob won at 29.00 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Irina's Path
Prominent · 1
Fr Gilligansvoyge
Midfield · 7
JetbobHeartbreak WeatherClonsastLast RoundAsphalt CowboyHearts And SpadesKeenaghan Lass
Hold Up · 4
Squire OharaHey SirGethegoodtimesrollDacman
Irina's Path is the sole confirmed front runner and will dictate proceedings from the outset, likely setting a measured gallop without sustained pressure from rivals. The vast majority of this field are hold-up performers (Dacman, Hey Sir, Asphalt Cowboy, Last Round, Hearts And Spades, Squire Ohara, Keenaghan Lass, Gethegoodtimesroll) who will settle behind the pace and look to pounce late. Fr Gilligansvoyge might track closer as a prominent runner but lacks the class to sustain pressure on the leader. This tactical setup strongly favours hold-up horses who can capitalise on the uncontested pace and finish with late momentum over the extended trip.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Hold-Up Horses Dominate
65% probability
If Irina's Path sets an uncontested pace with the field settling behind...
The patient hold-up performers get the perfect tactical setup to unleash finishing kicks over the final half-mile. Quality horses like Last Round and Hearts And Spades can time their challenges to perfection.
Last RoundHearts And SpadesAsphalt CowboySquire Ohara
B
Front Runner Survives
20% probability
If Irina's Path maintains strong gallop and no challenger emerges early...
The leader gets an armchair ride for most of the journey and has enough left to resist late challenges up the hill. The lack of pace pressure throughout proves decisive for stamina conservation.
Irina's PathFr GilligansvoygeLast RoundHearts And Spades
C
Prominent Tactics Win
10% probability
If Fr Gilligansvoyge tracks closer and applies earlier pressure to Irina's Path...
The race becomes more truly run, suiting horses that can race handily without being stuck in traffic. This scenario reduces the effectiveness of pure hold-up tactics.
Fr GilligansvoygeSquire OharaIrina's PathLast Round
D
Lightly Raced Improver
5% probability
If one of the unknown quantities like Heartbreak Weather or Jetbob shows significant improvement...
The consistent recent form and unknown ceiling creates an upset possibility. However, the weight of evidence favours more exposed performers with proven ability at this level.
Heartbreak WeatherJetbobClonsastLast Round

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHIrina's PathRPR-Fr Gilligansvoy…tb · RPR86Jetbobt · RPR-Heartbreak Weat…RPR-Clonsastht · RPR-Last Roundh · RPR126Asphalt Cowboyb · RPR114Hearts And Spad…h · RPR110Keenaghan LassRPR100Squire Oharat · RPR127Hey SirRPR-Gethegoodtimesr…p · RPR-Dacmanp · RPR-5. Irina's Path6. Fr Gilligansvoyge7. Jetbob8. Heartbreak Weather9. Clonsast1. Last Round3. Asphalt Cowboy2. Hearts And Spades10. Keenaghan Lass4. Squire Ohara11. Hey Sir12. Gethegoodtimesroll13. Dacman
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Irina's Path setting too slow early pace could hand victory to superior hold-up horses on a plate
WATCH
Last Round and Hearts And Spades getting good positions turning for home as they possess strongest finishing kicks
NOTE
Several horses returning from lengthy breaks including Dacman and Squire Ohara may need the run for full fitness
WATCH
Amateur jockeys throughout field could lead to tactical errors or poor positioning in crucial closing stages
NOTE
Keenaghan Lass receiving significant weight allowance but her 364-day absence raises serious fitness questions
4:15 — Uniquely Champion Hunters Chase
3m½f · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 15 runners
Panda Boy likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Its On The Line and Lets Go Champ led; the map had Panda Boy in front.

Wonderwall won at 5.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

1 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Panda Boy
Prominent · 5
Its On The LineWonderwallAsian MasterLets Go ChampLifetime Ambition
Midfield · 5
Big InterestDora d'OrCause For CommentNow Where Or WhenWrappedupinmay
Hold Up · 4
Hunters YarnAmbitious FellowFive Star GetawayTemptationinmilan
Panda Boy will take this field along at a measured gallop over the extended trip, with no obvious pressure from the early stages. The prominent brigade including Its On The Line, Asian Master, and Wonderwall will settle in behind the leader, while the hold-up horses Hunters Yarn, Five Star Getaway, and Ambitious Fellow will need to navigate traffic from the rear. The lack of pace pressure should create a tactical affair that builds from the home turn, with the final half-mile becoming crucial. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can track the pace and have something left for a sustained finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prominent Power Play
45% probability
If the pace stays controlled throughout and the prominent horses get first run
The lack of early pace allows horses like Its On The Line and Asian Master to conserve energy in ideal positions before unleashing their finishing kicks. These prominent racers avoid the traffic problems that will engulf the hold-up brigade in a slowly-run contest.
Its On The LineAsian MasterWonderwallLets Go Champ
B
Hold-Up Heroes Strike
25% probability
If the pace quickens notably from halfway and the field stretches out
The increased tempo plays perfectly into the hands of Hunters Yarn and Five Star Getaway who can use their finishing speed without getting trapped. Both possess the class to pick off tiring leaders when given clear runs.
Hunters YarnFive Star GetawayAmbitious FellowTemptationinmilan
C
Panda Boy Wire-to-Wire
20% probability
If no horse can match Panda Boy's sustained gallop and he maintains his advantage
The confirmed front-runner gets an uncontested lead and proves too game in the closing stages for the challengers. His recent winning form and tactical advantage prove decisive when others struggle to make inroads.
Panda BoyBig InterestCause For CommentWonderwall
D
Pace Collapse Scramble
10% probability
If Panda Boy stops quickly and the race becomes a sprint from the last fence
The collapse of the pace-setter creates chaos with multiple horses hitting the front simultaneously. Fresher horses with recent form like Cause For Comment can capitalize on the messy finish.
Cause For CommentLets Go ChampDora d'OrWrappedupinmay

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHPanda Boyv · RPR147Its On The LineRPR146Wonderwallt · RPR142Asian MasterRPR142Lets Go ChampRPR141Lifetime Ambiti…RPR138Big Interestt · RPR138Dora d'OrRPR126Cause For Comme…RPR126Now Where Or Wh…tp · RPR125WrappedupinmayRPR120Hunters YarnRPR141Ambitious Fellowp · RPR129Five Star Getaw…p · RPR123Temptationinmil…t · RPR1215. Panda Boy1. Its On The Line3. Wonderwall2. Asian Master4. Lets Go Champ6. Lifetime Ambition7. Big Interest8. Dora d'Or9. Cause For Comment10. Now Where Or When11. Wrappedupinmay12. Hunters Yarn13. Ambitious Fellow14. Five Star Getaway15. Temptationinmilan
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Panda Boy could get too soft a lead early and prove impossible to peg back if no horse goes with him
WATCH
Traffic problems will be significant for Hunters Yarn and other hold-up horses if the pace stays slow
NOTE
Asian Master's recent course form makes him dangerous despite modest speed figures
WATCH
Wonderwall's 49-day absence could blunt his finishing effort despite the tongue-tie addition
NOTE
Five Star Getaway's patient tactics need genuine pace to be effective in this tactical affair
4:50 — Hanlon Concrete Irish EBF Glencarraig Lady Francis Flood Mares Chase (Grade 2)
2m4½f · Good To Soft · G2 · 6 runners
Lead contested: Dinoblue v SpindleberryHISTORIC

How it ran

Only By Night led; the map had Dinoblue and Spindleberry in front.

Dinoblue won at 1.40 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
DinoblueSpindleberry
Prominent · 2
Only By NightKala Conti
Midfield · 2
Broomfield BijouSophia Rose
Hold Up · 0
None
Dinoblue and Spindleberry will lock horns from the start, with both proven front runners likely to dispute the early lead in this small field. Their duel should create an honest gallop that will test stamina reserves over this extended trip. Kala Conti and Only By Night can track the leaders closely, while Broomfield Bijou and Sophia Rose face the challenge of giving away significant weight from prominent positions. This pace setup strongly favours horses that can sit handy and pounce late, rather than those forced to make the running throughout.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Dinoblue Dictates Terms
45% probability
If Dinoblue can establish a clear lead over Spindleberry early and control the fractions.
The class mare can utilise her superior rating and recent Grade 1 form to kick clear when the pace lifts. Her proven ability at this trip on similar going makes her the one to beat if allowed to dominate.
DinoblueOnly By NightKala ContiSpindleberry
B
Tactical Battle Unfolds
30% probability
If both front runners respect each other early and settle into a more measured pace.
This allows the prominent runners to conserve energy and the race becomes a sprint from the last fence. Kala Conti's improving form and fresher profile could prove decisive in a finish.
Kala ContiOnly By NightDinoblueSpindleberry
C
Front Runners Collapse
15% probability
If Dinoblue and Spindleberry go too hard early and tie up in the closing stages.
The sustained pace takes its toll on the leaders, opening the door for a prominent runner to sweep past. Only By Night's recent consistent form suggests she could capitalise on such a scenario.
Only By NightBroomfield BijouKala ContiDinoblue
D
Surprise Package Emerges
10% probability
If the pace is truly run and the class horses underperform on the day.
Broomfield Bijou gets a significant weight allowance and recent winner's confidence could see her outrun her odds. Her trainer rarely runs one without a chance at this level.
Broomfield BijouSophia RoseOnly By NightKala Conti

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHDinobluet · RPR177SpindleberryRPR167Only By Nightp · RPR171Kala ContiRPR164Broomfield BijouRPR146Sophia RoseRPR1241. Dinoblue4. Spindleberry2. Only By Night3. Kala Conti5. Broomfield Bijou6. Sophia Rose
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Dinoblue's jumping under pressure - any mistakes could hand initiative to Spindleberry or allow trackers to close
WATCH
Early pace between Dinoblue and Spindleberry - if they go too fast both could tie up and let in outsiders
NOTE
Kala Conti's position turning for home - needs to be close enough to strike when pace lifts
WATCH
Only By Night's stamina reserves - this is her longest trip this season and needs to prove effectiveness
NOTE
Market moves on Broomfield Bijou - any significant support would suggest connections fancy their chances at a big price
5:25 — QuinnBet Novice Handicap Chase (Listed Race)
2m4½f · Good To Soft · LST · 24 runners
4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Jet To Vegas led; the map had Port Joulain and You Oughta Know and Kiss Will and Karamoja in front.

Funiculi Funicula won at 4.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

11 of 22 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4
Port JoulainYou Oughta KnowKiss WillKaramoja
Prominent · 10
Ol Man DingleFuniculi FuniculaWingmenBallygunner CastleAnywayYoradreamerJet To VegasI Am LorenzoKish BankSoldierofthestorm
Midfield · 3
The Busy FoolAl KalilaPark Of Kings
Hold Up · 7
Spread Boss TedShuffle The DeckNoble ParkNorn IronHe's GorgeousRaglan RoadDa Capo Glory
Port Joulain, Kiss Will, You Oughta Know and Karamoja will set a strong gallop from the flag, with 10 prominent runners creating heavy congestion behind the leaders. The pace will be testing over 2m4½f, putting stamina at a premium and likely causing traffic problems approaching the business end. With multiple front-runners guaranteed to go forward and the large field creating tactical complications, this race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can avoid the early scramble and finish with one sustained run.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Hold-Up Heroes Dominate
55% probability
If the pace proves genuinely strong and traffic develops 2-3 out
The patient hold-up horses will have the clearest run and freshest finish when it matters most. Norn Iron, Noble Park and Al Kalila can pick off tired leaders with superior stamina reserves.
Norn IronNoble ParkAl KalilaRaglan Road
B
Prominent Survives Pace
25% probability
If one prominent horse escapes the carnage and finds good jumping rhythm
A well-positioned prominent runner avoids the worst of the traffic while staying close enough to strike. Funiculi Funicula or Wingmen could time their move perfectly from an ideal stalking position.
Funiculi FuniculaWingmenJet To VegasI Am Lorenzo
C
Front-Runner Steals It
12% probability
If the early pace is more moderate than expected despite four leaders
One of the pace-setters gets an easier time of it and has enough left for home. Kiss Will's class could tell if he gets soft fractions, while Port Joulain has the tactical speed to dominate.
Kiss WillPort JoulainYou Oughta KnowKaramoja
D
Chaos Benefits Outsider
8% probability
If multiple fallers or serious interference disrupts the principals
The race falls apart tactically and a lesser-fancied horse sneaks through on the rail or finds daylight others can't. Park Of Kings or The Busy Fool could benefit from a rough race that eliminates better horses.
Park Of KingsThe Busy FoolDa Capo GlorySoldierofthestorm

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHPort JoulainRPR142You Oughta Knowt · RPR151Kiss WillRPR156Karamojat · RPR144Ol Man Dinglet · RPR145Funiculi Funicu…RPR147WingmenRPR148Ballygunner Cas…RPR148Anywaytp · RPR148YoradreamerRPR155Jet To Vegast · RPR150I Am LorenzoRPR149Kish Bankp · RPR144Soldierofthesto…RPR148The Busy Foolp · RPR142Al Kalilap · RPR149Park Of Kingst · RPR126Spread Boss TedRPR148Shuffle The DeckRPR147Noble ParkRPR147Norn Iront · RPR150He's GorgeousRPR154Raglan RoadRPR148Da Capo Gloryp · RPR1485. Port Joulain6. You Oughta Know7. Kiss Will8. Karamoja9. Ol Man Dingle10. Funiculi Funicula11. Wingmen12. Ballygunner Castle13. Anyway14. Yoradreamer15. Jet To Vegas16. I Am Lorenzo17. Kish Bank18. Soldierofthestorm19. The Busy Fool3. Al Kalila20. Park Of Kings21. Spread Boss Ted22. Shuffle The Deck2. Noble Park1. Norn Iron23. He's Gorgeous4. Raglan Road24. Da Capo Glory
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch for carnage 2-3 furlongs out when 10 prominent runners hit traffic behind the four confirmed leaders
WATCH
Kiss Will needs monitoring early as his front-running style failed badly last time when falling
WATCH
Noble Park represents the Henderson-De Boinville team who excel with hold-up horses at this level
NOTE
Any of the 5lb and 7lb claimers could benefit significantly if the race becomes tactical
NOTE
Watch for Mullins runners settling better than expected given Willie has eight in the field
6:00 — Alanna Homes Champion Novice Hurdle (Grade 1)
2m4½f · Good To Soft · G1 · 9 runners
Lead contested: Jalon d'Oudairies v Kiely's PlaceHISTORIC

How it ran

Kiely's Place led, as the map showed.

King Rasko Grey won at 1.62 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
Jalon d'OudairiesKiely's Place
Prominent · 4
King Rasko GreySaint BacoKalypso'chanceEchoing Silence
Midfield · 2
Bon ViveurYou Proof
Hold Up · 1
Lord Byron
Jalon d'Oudairies and Kiely's Place will contest the early lead, with both confirmed front-runners likely to set a solid but not breakneck gallop over this testing 2m4½f trip. Behind them, King Rasko Grey, You Proof, Kalypso'chance, Echoing Silence, Bon Viveur and Saint Baco all want prominent positions, creating congestion and potential traffic problems from 3 out. Lord Byron as the sole hold-up horse has tactical freedom but faces a wall of horses to navigate late. This pace setup and prominent congestion strongly favours the front two who can avoid trouble, plus any horse with the class to dominate from an early prominent position.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Front Two Pull Clear
45% probability
If Jalon d'Oudairies and Kiely's Place establish a clear lead without being pressed hard by the prominent pack.
The two leaders get into a rhythm without excessive early pressure, then one kicks clear approaching the last while the prominent brigade gets tangled up behind. This setup perfectly suits horses who can lead or sit just behind the pace without traffic concerns.
Kiely's PlaceJalon d'OudairiesKing Rasko GreyYou Proof
B
Prominent Horse Dominates
30% probability
If one of the higher-rated prominent runners can secure an ideal pitch just behind the leaders without getting caught in traffic.
King Rasko Grey or Echoing Silence use their class advantage to sit in the perfect stalking position, then power past the leaders approaching the last hurdle. The Mullins-trained quartet have multiple chances to land this scenario with their numerical advantage.
King Rasko GreyEchoing SilenceKalypso'chanceSaint Baco
C
Late Closer Strikes
15% probability
If the prominent pack goes too hard trying to get into position and sets it up for Lord Byron's trademark finish.
The early pace becomes unsustainable as six horses scrap for prominent positions, leaving Lord Byron with a perfect stalking brief for Harry Cobden. His superior class tells in the final 100 yards as others tire from their earlier exertions.
Lord ByronBon ViveurEchoing SilenceKing Rasko Grey
D
Shock Outsider Emerges
10% probability
If the pace collapses completely and one of the outsiders finds a dream passage through.
The two leaders go too slow, the prominent horses leave their run too late, and a horse like Saint Baco or You Proof sneaks up the inner with perfect timing. This requires multiple things to go wrong for the favorites but stranger things have happened in Grade 1s.
Saint BacoYou ProofBon ViveurKalypso'chance

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHJalon d'Oudairi…RPR143Kiely's Placeh · RPR138King Rasko GreyRPR150Saint BacoRPR136Kalypso'chanceRPR133Echoing SilenceRPR138Bon Viveurt · RPR133You Prooft · RPR125Lord Byronp · RPR1452. Jalon d'Oudairies1. Kiely's Place3. King Rasko Grey5. Saint Baco6. Kalypso'chance7. Echoing Silence8. Bon Viveur4. You Proof9. Lord Byron
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Kiely's Place under amateur jockey could set unsuitable fractions or make tactical error when pressure comes on.
WATCH
Traffic buildup from 3 out as six prominent racers converge - watch for Lord Byron getting shut out of contention.
WATCH
King Rasko Grey's 51-day layoff showing if he doesn't travel with usual authority in the early stages.
NOTE
Jalon d'Oudairies and Kiely's Place disputing lead - if one gets easy time in front they become very dangerous.
NOTE
Echoing Silence traveling kindly for O'Keeffe in behind - weight advantage could be telling factor late on.
6:40 — Boodles Champion Hurdle (Grade 1)
2m · Good To Soft · G1 · 7 runners
3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Golden Ace and Wilful led, as the map showed.

Lossiemouth won at 1.29 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3
LossiemouthAnzadamWilful
Prominent · 3
William MunnyGolden AceGlen Kiln
Midfield · 0
None
Hold Up · 1
Absurde
Lossiemouth, Anzadam, and Wilful will clash from the start, creating a relentless gallop over this sharp 2-mile track. The trio's natural front-running styles guarantee early positioning battles and sustained pace throughout. With three confirmed pace-setters in a small field, stamina and jumping accuracy under pressure become paramount. This setup strongly favours horses with tactical speed who can travel prominently without getting embroiled in the early burn-up.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Sustained Pace War
45% probability
If all three front-runners engage early and maintain strong gallop throughout
The pace becomes truly testing with tactical speed proving crucial in the final half-mile. Prominent racers who avoid the early battle can pick up the pieces as the leaders pay for their exertions.
LossiemouthGolden AceWilliam MunnyGlen Kiln
B
Lossiemouth Dominates Early
30% probability
If Lossiemouth asserts immediately and controls the tempo from the front
The class mare uses her superior ability to dictate terms and stretch the field with her jumping prowess. Her proven stamina reserves allow her to maintain the gallop when others falter.
LossiemouthWilfulAnzadamGolden Ace
C
Tactical Split Develops
15% probability
If the three leaders check each other early allowing tactical positioning
The pace becomes more moderate initially before quickening, suiting horses who can adapt their position. Those with flexible running styles can capitalise on the changed dynamic.
Golden AceWilliam MunnyGlen KilnLossiemouth
D
Collapse Opens Door
10% probability
If two or more pace-setters make significant jumping errors under pressure
The sustained gallop creates jumping mistakes that dramatically alter the race complexion. Any horse maintaining fluent jumping rhythm gains massive advantage in the closing stages.
AbsurdeWilliam MunnyGolden AceGlen Kiln

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHLossiemouthp · RPR172Anzadamht · RPR160WilfulRPR152William Munnyh · RPR157Golden Acep · RPR162Glen KilnRPR153AbsurdeRPR1581. Lossiemouth5. Anzadam6. Wilful3. William Munny2. Golden Ace4. Glen Kiln7. Absurde
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch Anzadam's jumping under early pressure as he may struggle to maintain fluency when battling for the lead
WATCH
Monitor William Munny's fitness levels early given his 416-day layoff, though class could carry him through
NOTE
Observe if Lossiemouth can establish early control without getting drawn into a pace duel with Wilful and Anzadam
WATCH
Check Glen Kiln's confidence at the early hurdles following his recent unseating incident
NOTE
Watch for Absurde to be held up early and whether the sustained pace creates the collapse he needs
7:10 — FRS Fencing Handicap Hurdle
2m · Good To Soft · HCAP · 28 runners
3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Bridgehead led; the map had Pioneer Pete and Lincoln Du Seuil and Walhaan in front.

Avalo won at 15.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

12 of 24 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3
Pioneer PeteLincoln Du SeuilWalhaan
Prominent · 11
SpirouSaveforarainydaySpyArslanTatateoTheflyingbeeDee's LadyWithabitoflukBridgeheadIn My TeensAvalo
Midfield · 6
Paul's DreamBarrys SpiritDay TraderWoodstream LadOur Lucky LadyHalf A Chance
Hold Up · 8
WhimsyHigh Court CaveTeed UpPositive EnergySonny MayOur Uncle JackNelson MuntzChichester Park
Pioneer Pete, Lincoln Du Seuil, and Walhaan will ensure a genuine gallop from the start, with Pioneer Pete likely to dominate early given his consistent front-running style and Jonjo O'Neill Jr's aggressive tactics. The strong pace will stretch the field over this sharp 2m trip, testing stamina reserves in the final half-mile. With 28 runners and multiple prominent racers like Spirou, Tatateo, and Arslan also likely to press forward, the tempo will be relentless throughout. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can conserve energy early and deliver late finishing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Strong Gallop Suits Closers
60% probability
If Pioneer Pete and Lincoln Du Seuil maintain a scorching early gallop
The sustained pace will drain the prominent racers, allowing patient hold-up horses to pick up the pieces in the final furlong. Fresh finishers with tactical speed will have decisive advantages over those committed to the early battle.
Chichester ParkHalf A ChanceNelson MuntzHigh Court Cave
B
Pace Collapses Early
20% probability
If the three front-runners fail to sustain their effort or fall early
The race becomes a sprint finish with prominent racers having energy reserves to kick clear. Those positioned handy throughout will have optimal striking positions when the tempo drops.
SpirouArslanTatateoDee's Lady
C
Mid-Race Injection
12% probability
If prominent racers inject pace after a steady first mile
The change of tempo will catch out hold-up horses too far back while rewarding those tracking the leaders. Horses with tactical pace from midfield positions will benefit most.
TheflyingbeeSaveforarainydayAvaloWithabitofluk
D
Messy Scrimmage Finish
8% probability
If the large field bunches up approaching the final flight
Navigation and luck become crucial factors with little separation between horses. Those drawn well and getting clear runs will have advantages over better horses trapped behind fallers.
Our Uncle JackWoodstream LadPaul's DreamBarrys Spirit

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHPioneer PeteRPR121Lincoln Du Seuilht · RPR122Walhaanp · RPR117SpirouRPR120Saveforarainydayh · RPR125Spyp · RPR123ArslanRPR126Tatateotp · RPR123TheflyingbeeRPR129Dee's Ladytp · RPR124Withabitoflukp · RPR123BridgeheadRPR122In My Teensh · RPR114AvaloRPR125Paul's DreamRPR125Barrys SpiritRPR122Day TraderRPR119Woodstream Ladb · RPR123Our Lucky LadyRPR119Half A Chancep · RPR128WhimsyRPR126High Court CaveRPR125Teed UpRPR121Positive EnergyRPR123Sonny Mayt · RPR124Our Uncle Jackh · RPR124Nelson MuntzRPR124Chichester ParkRPR1305. Pioneer Pete6. Lincoln Du Seuil7. Walhaan8. Spirou9. Saveforarainyday10. Spy11. Arslan12. Tatateo13. Theflyingbee14. Dee's Lady15. Withabitofluk16. Bridgehead17. In My Teens18. Avalo19. Paul's Dream20. Barrys Spirit21. Day Trader22. Woodstream Lad23. Our Lucky Lady2. Half A Chance24. Whimsy4. High Court Cave25. Teed Up26. Positive Energy27. Sonny May28. Our Uncle Jack3. Nelson Muntz1. Chichester Park
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Pioneer Pete and Lincoln Du Seuil must both jump safely early as their pace-setting is crucial to race dynamics
WATCH
Monitor if Chichester Park gets the patient ride his style demands with Daniel King keeping him covered up
WATCH
Watch for Arslan getting caught up in early pace battle which could compromise his stamina reserves
NOTE
Observe if any of the long-absent horses like Bridgehead or High Court Cave show unexpected sharpness
NOTE
Check if Spirou travels strongly despite his 42-day break as his prominent style needs tactical adjustment
7:40 — Stables Restaurant Naas INH Flat Race
2m3f · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 23 runners
Lead contested: Cityofblindinlites v ThinkitdontjinxitHISTORIC

How it ran

Largy Star led; the map had Cityofblindinlites and Thinkitdontjinxit in front.

Largy Star won at 5.50 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

7 of 21 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
CityofblindinlitesThinkitdontjinxit
Prominent · 5
Premier DivisionRecklessHeldamKillultagh FoxDelorean Dynamite
Midfield · 9
Tubberfinn GordonMacdonagh ParkLyrical ParkHolly's ThunderDenham RockGonewildAjp FalcoNed HillDark Eagle
Hold Up · 7
RattledelatchJukebox CharlieLargy StarMuted MelodyMuckanagh LoughLadbroke GroveColwyn Bay
Cityofblindinlites and Thinkitdontjinxit will dispute the early lead, with both confirmed front-runners likely to set a solid gallop over this 2m3f trip. Premier Division and Reckless should track prominently behind the leaders, while the large field of hold-up horses including Largy Star, Muted Melody and Muckanagh Lough will need to navigate traffic from the rear. The sustained pace from two keen leaders will stretch the field and create a genuine test of stamina. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and those with tactical pace who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will engulf the back-markers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Sustained Pace Favours Class
45% probability
If Cityofblindinlites and Thinkitdontjinxit maintain a strong gallop throughout
The honest pace will expose the lesser lights and allow the higher-rated horses like Premier Division and Denham Rock to showcase their superior ability. Class will rise to the surface as the pace takes its toll on the moderate performers.
Premier DivisionDenham RockCityofblindinlitesHeldam
B
Front-Runners Steal March
30% probability
If one of the leaders gets first run and kicks clear turning for home
Either Cityofblindinlites or Thinkitdontjinxit could exploit their forward positions to build an unassailable lead before the closers get organized. The yielding ground will make it harder for hold-up horses to make up significant ground late.
CityofblindinlitesThinkitdontjinxitPremier DivisionLargy Star
C
Hold-Up Horse Traffic Nightmare
15% probability
If the large field creates significant interference in the straight
The 23-runner field will cause serious traffic problems for horses at the back, allowing those racing prominently to dominate the finish. Horses like Largy Star and Muted Melody could find themselves with nowhere to go at crucial moments.
HeldamRecklessGonewildPremier Division
D
Pace Collapse Benefits Closers
10% probability
If both leaders go too fast early and come back dramatically
Should Cityofblindinlites and Thinkitdontjinxit overdo it in the opening stages, patient riders on Largy Star and Muckanagh Lough could time their runs perfectly. The yielding ground would aid their late surge as the early pace-setters tie up.
Largy StarMuckanagh LoughMuted MelodyColwyn Bay

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHCityofblindinli…ht · RPR119Thinkitdontjinx…RPR116Premier DivisionRPR117RecklessRPR116HeldamRPR112Killultagh FoxRPR103Delorean Dynami…RPR72Tubberfinn Gord…RPR-Macdonagh ParkRPR-Lyrical ParkRPR-Holly's ThunderRPR-Denham RockRPR-Gonewildt · RPR105Ajp FalcoRPR88Ned HillRPR90Dark Eaglet · RPR81RattledelatchRPR-Jukebox CharlieRPR-Largy Start · RPR115Muted Melodyh · RPR110Muckanagh LoughRPR107Ladbroke Grovet · RPR97Colwyn BayRPR913. Cityofblindinlites5. Thinkitdontjinxit1. Premier Division6. Reckless4. Heldam7. Killultagh Fox8. Delorean Dynamite9. Tubberfinn Gordon10. Macdonagh Park11. Lyrical Park12. Holly's Thunder2. Denham Rock13. Gonewild14. Ajp Falco15. Ned Hill16. Dark Eagle17. Rattledelatch18. Jukebox Charlie19. Largy Star20. Muted Melody21. Muckanagh Lough22. Ladbroke Grove23. Colwyn Bay
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch for significant interference in the home straight with 23 runners creating inevitable traffic problems for hold-up horses
WATCH
Monitor whether Cityofblindinlites and Thinkitdontjinxit go too fast early and compromise their finishing kicks
NOTE
Keep an eye on the unexposed types like Denham Rock and Gonewild who could have hidden improvement
WATCH
Watch for long-absent horses like Killultagh Fox and Ned Hill to show signs of rustiness in this competitive heat
NOTE
Observe how the 7lb claiming riders handle the pressure in this large field, particularly on the outsiders

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 1 May 2026.

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