Archive›Redcar · 20 April 2026

Redcar

20 April 2026 · 7 races

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2:12 — Flat Is Back On Racing TV EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C and D) (GBB Race)

5f · Good · NOV · 9 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:42 — Better Value With Racecourse Bookmakers Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Lead contested: Hear The Drums v Harswell RiverFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Harswell River and Resdev Time led, as the map showed.

Wild Thoughts won at 7.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Hear The DrumsHarswell River

Prominent · 1

Amazing Anita

Midfield · 6

ItszaboyWild ThoughtsMereside PrincessBattenburg BellePrincess CocoHood Wink

Hold Up · 4

Fickle McSelfishDalamaraResdev TimeWorlington

Hear The Drums and Harswell River will contest the early lead, with both confirmed front-runners likely to set a solid gallop over this mile trip. Hear The Drums showed good early pace when winning at Leicester, while Harswell River won over course and distance from the front. With 13 runners and two keen leaders, the pace should be honest throughout, creating a searching test in the final two furlongs. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and prominent racers with a strong finish, as the early pace will set up perfectly for closers to pick off the leaders.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leaders fade late

45% probability

If Hear The Drums and Harswell River go too fast early in contested lead battle

The honest pace will find out both leaders in final furlong, allowing hold-up horses with finishing kicks to sweep past. Hold-up specialists like Fickle McSelfish and Dalamara benefit from the strong gallop.

Fickle McSelfishDalamaraBattenburg BelleWorlington

Tactical battle unfolds

30% probability

If one leader gets soft lead while other settles behind

The race becomes more tactical with less pace pressure, suiting horses that can quicken from prominent positions. Prominent runners with tactical speed gain the advantage over pure hold-up horses.

Amazing AnitaResdev TimeFickle McSelfishMereside Princess

Front two dominate

15% probability

If Hear The Drums and Harswell River work together and kick clear

Both leaders prove too strong despite setting the pace, with their class and fitness shining through. The early pace-setters maintain their advantage to the line despite honest gallop.

Hear The DrumsHarswell RiverAmazing AnitaFickle McSelfish

Complete pace collapse

10% probability

If both leaders are pulled back early creating crawling pace

Race becomes sprint finish from turning in, favouring horses with natural pace over stamina. Speed horses who can quicken sharply benefit most from slow early fractions.

Battenburg BelleWild ThoughtsAmazing AnitaMereside Princess

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Hear The Drums and Harswell River could set unsustainable fractions if they battle too early

WATCH

Fickle McSelfish only had 4 days since last run at Ripon, quick turnaround may affect performance

NOTE

Amazing Anita adds visor first time after encouraging Southwell third, headgear change significant

NOTE

Worlington gelded since poor runs last year and was different horse when second at Wolverhampton

WATCH

Hood Wink was tailed off only last Thursday at Ripon, concerning recent form continuation

3:12 — Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 14 runners

Looks Fantastic likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Woodrafff led; the map had Looks Fantastic in front.

Looks Fantastic won at 17.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Looks Fantastic

Prominent · 4

Mayo CountyElectric LightningAngel Of EnglandWithout Delay

Midfield · 5

WoodrafffTicketsShe's A GoldiggerFlying StarElettaria

Hold Up · 4

PerfidiaLittle TedOne Of Our OwnFar Ahead

Looks Fantastic will be the sole committed early leader with Mayo County and Electric Lightning settling prominent, creating a sustainable gallop rather than genuine pressure. The large field of 14 contains predominantly hold-up horses including One Of Our Own, Perfidia, Little Ted, Elettaria, and Woodrafff who will all need the pace to develop. Without genuine speed pressure early, this becomes a tactical affair where the front division can dictate terms over the final 2f. This race shape clearly favours prominent runners and those with tactical speed who can position close to the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If Looks Fantastic gets an easy lead without early pressure from the prominent horses.

The pace becomes too slow for the hold-up brigade to make up ground, allowing the leader to kick clear in the straight. Prominent runners get first run on the pacesetter but can't reel him in.

Looks FantasticMayo CountyElectric LightningAngel Of England

Prominent Tactical Victory

30% probability

If Mayo County or Electric Lightning track the leader perfectly and produce superior finishing kicks.

The moderate early pace suits those sitting handy who can time their challenge, overhauling a weakening leader in the final furlong. Hold-up horses are caught too far back on the bridle.

Mayo CountyElectric LightningWithout DelayAngel Of England

Hold-Up Horse Charges

15% probability

If the early pace is stronger than expected with genuine pressure on Looks Fantastic.

The increased gallop sets up perfectly for the back-markers to unleash late runs, with One Of Our Own and Perfidia benefiting most from their proven finishing kicks. The front-runners pay for their exertions.

One Of Our OwnPerfidiaLittle TedElettaria

Outsider Ambush

10% probability

If the race becomes a messy tactical affair with multiple horses making moves simultaneously.

The stop-start nature catches the favorites flat-footed while a lightly-weighted outsider like Far Ahead or She's A Goldigger sneaks through on the rails. Fresh horses returning from breaks capitalize on the confusion.

Far AheadElettariaFlying StarShe's A Goldigger

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Looks Fantastic must be monitored for market confidence given his front-running role and 0-10 record

WATCH

Electric Lightning returning from 193-day layoff could need the run despite trainer's 4-27 record

WATCH

Several horses including Flying Star and She's A Goldigger return from extended breaks exceeding 160 days

NOTE

Watch for late market moves on Far Ahead who appears well-handicapped on peak turf efforts

NOTE

Monitor pace early as only Looks Fantastic shows genuine front-running tendencies in this large field

3:42 — racingtv.com Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Double Parked to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Cadarn led; the map had Double Parked in front.

Skipper won at 4.33 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Double Parked

Prominent · 3

New ImageSkipperSeagolazo

Midfield · 2

DiderotSea Legend

Hold Up · 3

Jolly RogerCadarnIntrusively

Double Parked will take this field along as the only confirmed front runner, setting a sustainable gallop without early pressure from the prominent runners Skipper, New Image and Seagolazo who are likely to settle just behind. The pace should be honest but not frantic over this mile trip on good to firm ground, with the hold-up horses Cadarn, Diderot, Jolly Roger, Intrusively and Sea Legend tracking from mid-division and rear. This tactical setup clearly favours the hold-up merchants who can pick off tired leaders in the closing stages, as they'll have plenty of pace to aim at without being compromised by a dawdling early gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Double Parked sets honest pace and prominent runners get involved too early

The sustained gallop will set up perfectly for the closers who can unleash finishing kicks. Cadarn and Jolly Roger are well positioned to exploit this tactical advantage with their proven ability to quicken from off the pace.

CadarnJolly RogerIntrusivelySea Legend

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If one of the prominent runners can avoid early pressure and time their challenge

Skipper or New Image could benefit from tracking the leader without engaging too soon. Their forward position gives them first run on the hold-up horses while avoiding the worst of any early pace pressure.

SkipperNew ImageSeagolazoDouble Parked

Front Runner Sustains

12% probability

If Double Parked faces minimal pressure and conserves energy for strong finish

The leader gets an easy time in front and has enough left to repel late challengers. His course and distance record suggests he can handle a tactical race from the front when not harassed early.

Double ParkedSeagolazoNew ImageSkipper

Pace Collapse Surprise

8% probability

If the early pace becomes too slow and turns into sprint finish

The lack of early speed could create a messy sprint where any horse can win regardless of position. This chaos scenario would favour horses with natural gate speed who can position handily.

New ImageSkipperDouble ParkedJolly Roger

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Double Parked could get easy lead if prominent runners settle too far back, making him very hard to peg back

WATCH

New Image and Skipper both return from long breaks so watch market confidence and pre-race demeanor closely

WATCH

Diderot refused to race in February so any signs of reluctance or difficult behavior before start is major concern

NOTE

Jolly Roger wears headgear for first time which could sharpen him up after UAE campaign

NOTE

Sea Legend gets significant weight relief with 5lb claimer but turf form remains major negative

4:20 — Watch Live On Racing TV Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Good · NOV · 4 runners

Mr Colonel likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mr Colonel led, as the map showed.

Mr Colonel won at 2.10 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mr Colonel

Prominent · 1

Bay Of Myths

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

According To MarkHeathers Feather

With just four runners and Mr Colonel as the only confirmed front runner showing prominent tendencies, this will develop into a tactical affair with a pedestrian early gallop. Bay Of Myths and Mr Colonel will likely share pacemaking duties early, but neither has aggressive lead-seeking tendencies, creating a moderate tempo through the first half. The lack of genuine speed will allow the two hold-up horses According To Mark and Heathers Feather to stay in touch throughout. This sedate pace scenario strongly favours the hold-up horses who can produce their finishing kick from closer range than usual.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tactical Slow Pace

60% probability

If the early pace is genuinely steady with neither Mr Colonel nor Bay Of Myths keen to make it a test

The modest gallop allows According To Mark to sit much closer and his proven staying-on ability from Newcastle becomes decisive over this longer trip. Hold-up horses benefit enormously when they don't have ground to make up.

According To MarkBay Of MythsMr ColonelHeathers Feather

Prominent Duel Creates Test

25% probability

If Bay Of Myths uses his AW winning form to press Mr Colonel from the outset

The resulting genuine pace plays to Mr Colonel's Group 3 experience and superior class rating, while stretching the inexperienced According To Mark. Front-running types prosper when the pace is honest.

Mr ColonelBay Of MythsAccording To MarkHeathers Feather

Late Kick Contest

10% probability

If all four settle in a bunch through pedestrian fractions with everything to play for

The race becomes a sprint finish where According To Mark's known finishing kick meets Bay Of Myths' proven winning mentality in a driving finish. Class and experience separate the principals.

Bay Of MythsAccording To MarkMr ColonelHeathers Feather

Fahey Runner Bounces Back

5% probability

If Mr Colonel's 191-day absence proves no hindrance and his class tells

His Group 3 exposure and highest official rating of 97 overwhelm this moderate field despite the layoff concerns. Superior ability overcomes tactical disadvantages.

Mr ColonelAccording To MarkBay Of MythsHeathers Feather

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

According To Mark was slowly away on debut at Newcastle - any similar tardiness here could prove fatal in a small field

WATCH

Bay Of Myths making turf debut carrying a penalty - watch for any signs the surface switch doesn't suit

NOTE

Mr Colonel returning after 191 days absence - market support will indicate connections' confidence about his fitness

WATCH

Heathers Feather racing again after just seven days following a poor debut effort

4:50 — Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Lead contested: Mafting v Imperial TrooperHISTORIC

How it ran

Not Me and Jam Lass led; the map had Mafting and Imperial Trooper in front.

Mafting won at 2.62 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

MaftingImperial Trooper

Prominent · 3

Not MeCharacter TestingJam Lass

Midfield · 1

Hill O Rue

Hold Up · 3

NicatorDawn Of LiberationUrban Road

Mafting and Imperial Trooper will ensure a genuine gallop from the start, with both confirmed front runners likely to dispute the early lead over this stamina-testing trip. Character Testing, Not Me and Jam Lass will track the leaders in the second rank, while the hold-up brigade of Urban Road, Dawn Of Liberation, Nicator and Hill O Rue will need the pace to collapse late. With two keen front runners over 1m2f on good to firm ground, this sets up perfectly for prominent racers and closers who can finish strongly off a solid pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapses Early

45% probability

If Mafting and Imperial Trooper go too fast and tie up in the final two furlongs

The hold-up horses get the perfect setup with a strong pace to aim at, allowing their superior class to shine through. Dawn Of Liberation and Nicator can use their tactical speed to pick off weakening leaders.

NicatorDawn Of LiberationHill O RueUrban Road

Sustained Gallop Suits

30% probability

If the front runners maintain an honest but not suicidal pace throughout

The prominent racers get first run on the leaders and can sustain their effort better than the hold-up horses who face too much to do. Character Testing and Not Me benefit from tracking the pace without getting involved early.

Character TestingNot MeJam LassImperial Trooper

Front Runner Dominates

15% probability

If one of the leaders gets an uncontested lead and kicks clear turning in

Mafting or Imperial Trooper steal a march on the field and maintain their advantage to the line. The lack of early pressure allows them to conserve energy for a strong finish.

MaftingImperial TrooperCharacter TestingNot Me

Slow Pace Sprint

10% probability

If both front runners are taken back early creating a tactical affair

This becomes a sprint finish where the hold-up horses with the highest class ratings can unleash their turn of foot. The race becomes all about who has the most natural speed from the back.

NicatorHill O RueDawn Of LiberationUrban Road

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Imperial Trooper and Mafting both want the lead - if they go too fast early both could tie up badly

WATCH

Nicator making his handicap debut off what looks a lenient opening mark after showing promise last season

WATCH

Hill O Rue has been off for 209 days and may need the run despite his progressive profile

NOTE

Urban Road can be slowly away which would be fatal from his hold-up style in a small field

NOTE

Character Testing returning to Flat after jumping - watch for any ring rustiness or improvement

5:20 — Watch Race Replays At racingtv.com Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Watchdog to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Watchdog led, as the map showed.

Watchdog won at 3.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Watchdog

Prominent · 1

Mystical Land

Midfield · 4

AuspiciousBelling The CatMiss BoydMuvable

Hold Up · 2

Gunalt WavelengthLong Shot

Watchdog is the only confirmed front runner in this 8-runner field, giving him an uncontested lead over 6f on good to firm going at Redcar. With six hold-up horses (Gunalt Wavelength, Miss Boyd, Long Shot, Muvable, Belling The Cat, Auspicious) and only Mystical Land racing prominently, Watchdog can dictate comfortable fractions without pressure. The pace will be steady rather than strong, creating a long run-in where the hold-up brigade must make ground from the back. This race shape strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will engulf the large pack of hold-up horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If Watchdog gets soft fractions on the lead without early pressure

He can control the tempo and kick for home with enough in reserve to hold off late challengers. The 9lb rise since his Newcastle win may not be enough to stop him if he gets ideal race conditions.

WatchdogMystical LandBelling The CatAuspicious

Traffic Chaos Finish

30% probability

If the six hold-up horses bunch up turning for home creating interference

The crowded finish will prevent several hold-up horses from delivering their best efforts. Those with the clearest passage or drawn widest will benefit most from the scramble.

AuspiciousBelling The CatGunalt WavelengthLong Shot

Prominent Tracker Strikes

15% probability

If Mystical Land tracks Watchdog closely and times his challenge perfectly

Racing in second throughout avoids traffic issues while staying close enough to strike. His recent turf form is poor but the tactical advantage of racing prominently could override class concerns.

Mystical LandWatchdogMiss BoydBelling The Cat

Hold-up Horse Breaks Through

10% probability

If one of the hold-up horses gets a dream run through gaps in the straight

Despite the tactical disadvantage, the sheer weight of hold-up horses means one could find daylight. Gunalt Wavelength's maiden tag belies three second places and could be overpriced.

Gunalt WavelengthAuspiciousBelling The CatMystical Land

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for Watchdog getting too keen early as the lone leader - if he goes too fast he'll set it up for closers despite tactical advantage

WATCH

Monitor the stalls for Auspicious who has shown gate issues recently - clean break essential for hold-up horses in this field size

NOTE

Check market moves for Long Shot and Muvable both returning from long breaks with first-time headgear - any money would be significant

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems in straight with six hold-up horses likely bunched together - those drawn high or getting clear runs will have major edge

NOTE

Observe if Mystical Land can track Watchdog closely rather than getting shuffled back - his race depends on maintaining prominent position

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 20 April 2026.

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