4:40

Archive›Redcar · 7 May 2026

Redcar

7 May 2026 · 8 races

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4:40 — racingtv.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
1m · Good · NOV · 11 runners
Fozzie likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Fozzie led, as the map showed.

Song Of The Clouds won at 1.50 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Fozzie
Prominent · 1
Sheikhnshah
Midfield · 6
Regal DesireGo On OllieSong Of The CloudsFreddie Steady GoJimmy's ArmyClova Royale
Hold Up · 3
Mehmas ChampionMaster Of EntropyIt's Debatable
Fozzie is the only confirmed front runner and will dictate a controlled pace from the start, with Sheikhnshah likely to track him in second. The lack of natural pace angles means Fozzie can bowl along at a steady gallop without serious pressure, creating an uncontested lead through the middle stages. With multiple hold-up horses including Mehmas Champion, Song Of The Clouds, and It's Debatable needing to make ground late, this tactical setup clearly favours prominent runners who can sit close to Fozzie and have first run on the turn.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Uncontested Front Running
45% probability
If Fozzie gets an easy lead with Sheikhnshah tracking at a respectful distance.
Fozzie controls the tempo completely and kicks clear in the straight while the hold-up brigade struggle to close the gap on good ground. The prominent duo get first run while the back markers need a pace collapse that won't come.
FozzieSheikhnshahSong Of The CloudsMehmas Champion
B
Late Surge Prevails
30% probability
If the pace becomes genuinely slow and the field bunches up approaching the home turn.
The condensed field allows the class horses Song Of The Clouds and Mehmas Champion to unleash devastating finishing kicks. Haggas and O'Meara's tactical expertise helps their runners time their runs to perfection.
Song Of The CloudsMehmas ChampionSheikhnshahFozzie
C
Pace Duel Collapse
15% probability
If Sheikhnshah decides to pressure Fozzie early or other prominent runners join the pace battle.
The increased tempo saps both leaders and creates a tactical meltdown in the final furlong. Hold-up horses like It's Debatable and Master Of Entropy benefit from the pace collapse to pick up the pieces.
It's DebatableMaster Of EntropySong Of The CloudsMehmas Champion
D
Outsider Ambush
10% probability
If the lightly-raced newcomers Go On Ollie or Regal Desire show significant improvement from their debuts.
One of the unknown quantities produces a debut performance well above their shown form. Their fresh legs and unexposed ability catch the more exposed runners off guard.
Go On OllieRegal DesireFozzieSheikhnshah

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHFozzieRPR85Sheikhnshahh · RPR77Regal DesireRPR-Go On OllieRPR-Song Of The Clo…RPR81Freddie Steady …t · RPR61Jimmy's ArmyRPR40Clova RoyaleRPR30Mehmas ChampionRPR94Master Of Entro…RPR73It's DebatableRPR651. Fozzie2. Sheikhnshah5. Regal Desire6. Go On Ollie3. Song Of The Clouds7. Freddie Steady Go8. Jimmy's Army9. Clova Royale4. Mehmas Champion10. Master Of Entropy11. It's Debatable
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Sheikhnshah's hood first time could indicate significant improvement expected from the Camacho stable after long absence.
WATCH
Song Of The Clouds may struggle if Fozzie sets genuine fractions, as Haggas filly needs pace to develop her finishing kick.
WATCH
Mehmas Champion's 354-day layoff is substantial even with Group class, particularly concerning for hold-up type needing sharpness.
NOTE
Go On Ollie and Regal Desire market moves will reveal stable confidence as both are complete unknowns making debuts.
NOTE
Fozzie's price will indicate whether connections believe he can follow up his Thirsk breakthrough performance.
5:15 — Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (Div I)
6f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners
Hurstwood likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

One Of Our Own won at 4.33 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Hurstwood
Prominent · 2
Due RespectShe's A Dark Horse
Midfield · 5
Mister Sky BlueCanaria SunZiva's StarSadiikiIndy's Angel
Hold Up · 4
Let's Go HugoOne Of Our OwnNight EmperorAuntie Jo
Hurstwood will set a sustainable pace from the front with Due Respect likely tracking close behind in second, but neither is a confirmed speed merchant so the tempo should be manageable. The lack of natural early speed in this field means the pace will be honest but not searingly quick, allowing the race to develop into a sprint finish from the 2f pole. One Of Our Own, Auntie Jo, and Mister Sky Blue all possess finishing kicks and will benefit from the likely scenario of being within striking distance turning for home. This tactical setup clearly favours hold-up horses and prominent racers with a turn of foot over pure front-runners.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Sustained Kick Scenario
45% probability
If the pace is steady and the field remains bunched turning in
Hold-up horses get their ideal scenario with plenty left in the tank for a sustained drive from 2f out. One Of Our Own and Mister Sky Blue can unleash their finishing speed.
One Of Our OwnMister Sky BlueAuntie JoDue Respect
B
Prominent Tracker Wins
30% probability
If Due Respect or another tracker can position perfectly behind the pace
The horse tracking Hurstwood gets first run on the leader and has enough pace to repel late challengers. Due Respect's course form and tactical speed become decisive advantages.
Due RespectLet's Go HugoHurstwoodAuntie Jo
C
Front Runner Holds
15% probability
If Hurstwood gets an easy lead and finds extra reserves in the final furlong
The veteran's course experience pays dividends as he withstands the late charge with determination. His proven stamina over the C&D distance becomes the winning factor.
HurstwoodDue RespectOne Of Our OwnMister Sky Blue
D
Surprise Package
10% probability
If the headgear changes prove transformative for the outsiders
Canaria Sun with blinkers or She's A Dark Horse with new headgear find improvement that the market hasn't factored in. The pace scenario suits their running style perfectly.
Canaria SunShe's A Dark HorseZiva's StarIndy's Angel

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHHurstwoodRPR63Due Respectv · RPR66She's A Dark Ho…b · RPR61Mister Sky BlueRPR65Canaria Sunb · RPR62Ziva's StarRPR62Sadiikih · RPR61Indy's AngelRPR63Let's Go HugoRPR63One Of Our Owntp · RPR66Night EmperorRPR62Auntie Jov · RPR645. Hurstwood4. Due Respect6. She's A Dark Horse2. Mister Sky Blue7. Canaria Sun8. Ziva's Star9. Sadiiki10. Indy's Angel11. Let's Go Hugo1. One Of Our Own12. Night Emperor3. Auntie Jo
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Hurstwood may get too easy a lead early and prove hard to peg back despite lacking natural gate speed
WATCH
One Of Our Own could be caught flat-footed if the pace quickens suddenly given his hold-up style
NOTE
Due Respect's visor and course form combination makes her the main pace threat to any leader
WATCH
Mister Sky Blue returning from 142 days off may need the run despite his obvious class advantage
NOTE
Watch for Auntie Jo to be produced with a late run down the outside under her 7lb claimer
5:50 — Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (Div II)
6f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners
Lead contested: Stormy Pearl v Dunnington LadHISTORIC

How it ran

Starsong led; the map had Stormy Pearl and Dunnington Lad in front.

Run This Way won at 7.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
Stormy PearlDunnington Lad
Prominent · 4
BarmybladeStarsongJeany MayRun This Way
Midfield · 2
A Lady ForeverJamie's Choice
Hold Up · 3
Emerald ArmyBayraatRaja Charger
Stormy Pearl and Dunnington Lad will dispute the early lead, with Stormy Pearl likely to gain control given her superior recent form and the superior rider. The pace should be honest rather than fierce with 11 runners spread across styles, creating a genuine gallop that will test stamina over this 6f trip. Prominent runners like Starsong and Barmyblade can track the pace in ideal positions, while hold-up horses face the challenge of making up ground in a small field. This shape favours prominent racers who can sit close to the pace and quicken, as the early leaders may tire and the hold-up horses lack the cover to mount effective late charges.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prominent Tracker Strikes
45% probability
If Stormy Pearl sets honest fractions and begins to tire in the final furlong
The prominent runners tracking the pace will have first run on the weakening leader and can sustain their challenge to the line. Starsong and Barmyblade are perfectly positioned to exploit this scenario with their class advantage.
StarsongBarmybladeStormy PearlRun This Way
B
Front Runner Dominates
25% probability
If Stormy Pearl gets soft fractions and kicks clear turning for home
The lack of sustained pace pressure allows the leader to conserve energy and pull away from inferior rivals in the straight. Stormy Pearl's C&D win and recent Thirsk second give her the credentials to execute this.
Stormy PearlDunnington LadStarsongEmerald Army
C
Hold-Up Horse Swoops
20% probability
If the pace collapses and the field comes back to the closers in the final 2f
The lack of early speed allows patient rides to pay off as hold-up horses find gaps and superior finishing kicks. Emerald Army and Bayraat can benefit from their ability to quicken off slow pace.
Emerald ArmyBayraatJamie's ChoiceRaja Charger
D
Pace Collapse Scramble
10% probability
If both Stormy Pearl and Dunnington Lad go too fast and tie up badly
The entire field converges in a messy finish where any horse getting a clear run can prevail. This chaotic scenario opens the door for outsiders with tactical speed to capitalize on the pace meltdown.
A Lady ForeverRun This WayJeany MayBarmyblade

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHStormy Pearlp · RPR68Dunnington LadRPR61BarmybladeRPR66Starsongp · RPR67Jeany MayRPR63Run This Wayb · RPR66A Lady ForeverRPR61Jamie's ChoiceRPR63Emerald ArmyRPR66BayraatRPR65Raja Chargertp · RPR593. Stormy Pearl5. Dunnington Lad2. Barmyblade1. Starsong6. Jeany May4. Run This Way7. A Lady Forever8. Jamie's Choice9. Emerald Army10. Bayraat11. Raja Charger
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Stormy Pearl could get easy lead if Dunnington Lad misses the break after long absence
WATCH
Watch for Barmyblade showing early tactical speed to get closer to pace than usual style suggests
NOTE
Emerald Army needs to be held up further back than usual given lack of pace in this small field
WATCH
Starsong must travel strongly into straight as her recent form suggests stamina limitations
NOTE
Both apprentice jockeys on Stormy Pearl and Jamie's Choice could impact pace judgment
6:20 — Market Cross Jewellers Handicap
1m6f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners
Bruce Banner likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kitsune Power led; the map had Bruce Banner in front.

Tupero won at 3.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Bruce Banner
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 3
TuperoBilly No MatesCoverbridge
Hold Up · 2
Grazeon SunshineKitsune Power
Bruce Banner is the only confirmed front runner in this small field and should get an uncontested lead, allowing him to dictate a steady, sustainable gallop over this stamina-testing 1m6f trip. With all other runners showing hold-up tendencies, there will be minimal early pressure, creating a race where the pace could become quite pedestrian. The tactical battle will unfold in the final 3-4 furlongs as the hold-up horses try to reel in Bruce Banner's advantage. This race shape strongly favours the front runner who can control the tempo and kick clear when the field closes, making prominent runners with tactical speed the profile to follow.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Front Runner Dominates
45% probability
If Bruce Banner gets soft fractions and kicks clear 2f out
He controls every call under Hollie Doyle's patient ride, then quickens decisively when the closers launch their challenge. His stamina advantage and tactical position prove decisive over this extended trip.
Bruce BannerTuperoKitsune PowerGrazeon Sunshine
B
Late Closer Strikes
30% probability
If the pace becomes too slow and suits a strong finisher
The pedestrian early gallop sets up perfectly for a horse with a devastating turn of foot to sweep past Bruce Banner in the final furlong. Kitsune Power's recent third-place efforts suggest he's primed for this scenario.
Kitsune PowerTuperoBruce BannerBilly No Mates
C
Tactical Battle Unfolds
15% probability
If multiple horses challenge Bruce Banner simultaneously from 3f out
The front runner faces pressure from several angles as Tupero, Kitsune Power and Billy No Mates all mount challenges, creating a tactical dogfight. The horse who times their run perfectly through the sustained drive benefits most.
TuperoBilly No MatesBruce BannerKitsune Power
D
Pace Collapse Finish
10% probability
If Bruce Banner stops dramatically and the field closes late
The leader's stamina gives way dramatically in the final 2f after dictating throughout, allowing a deep closer like Grazeon Sunshine to emerge from the pack. This chaotic finish rewards patient tactics and strong staying power.
Grazeon SunshineCoverbridgeKitsune PowerTupero

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHBruce Bannerv · RPR77Tuperotp · RPR78Billy No MatesRPR71CoverbridgeRPR76Grazeon SunshineRPR70Kitsune Powerp · RPR781. Bruce Banner2. Tupero5. Billy No Mates6. Coverbridge4. Grazeon Sunshine3. Kitsune Power
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Bruce Banner getting too much rope early - if he's allowed to bowl along unchallenged, his front-running advantage becomes overwhelming
WATCH
Kitsune Power's position turning for home - his recent thirds suggest he's close to a win and David Allan's claim makes him very dangerous
WATCH
Tupero's tactical placement - fresh from a good second just 2 days ago and Daniel Tudhope will have him perfectly positioned for his challenge
NOTE
The pace through the first mile - if it's genuinely strong, it could set up the back markers perfectly for the extended finish
NOTE
Billy No Mates early in the straight - veteran knows how to win and the 7lb claim from Connor Beasley gives him a genuine chance
6:50 — Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap
7f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners
Lord Capulet to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Lord Capulet won at 3.25 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Lord Capulet
Prominent · 4
Vince Le PrinceTropez PowerLooks FantasticFront Gunner
Midfield · 2
Mayo CountyThe New Bay Pearl
Hold Up · 3
PalmarianSingouraYafaarr
Lord Capulet will dictate from the front as the sole confirmed leader, likely uncontested through the early stages given his strong front-running record at 7f. Behind him, Vince Le Prince, Tropez Power, Mayo County, Front Gunner, and Looks Fantastic will create a packed prominent group, with potential for traffic problems turning for home. The hold-up contingent of Singoura, Yafaarr, The New Bay Pearl, and Palmarian will need luck in running from what could become a messy finish. This pace setup strongly favours prominent runners who can position close to Lord Capulet without getting trapped in the mid-pack scrum.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prominent Pounce Perfect
55% probability
If Lord Capulet sets sustainable fractions and the prominent pack gets clean runs
The leaders come clear in the straight without excessive early pace, allowing those tracking to strike with better finishing kicks. Vince Le Prince and Looks Fantastic benefit from their proven 7f form and ability to sit handy.
Vince Le PrinceLooks FantasticMayo CountyTropez Power
B
Front Runner Holds Sway
25% probability
If Lord Capulet gets soft sectionals and kicks clear turning in
His class advantage tells when not pressured early, maintaining enough for the drive despite the 5lb claimer. The prominent pack arrives too late having given him too much rope through moderate fractions.
Lord CapuletVince Le PrinceMayo CountyLooks Fantastic
C
Hold Up Hero Strikes
12% probability
If the prominent congestion creates a traffic nightmare 2f out
Pace collapse allows the patient hold-up horses to weave through and finish strongest. Yafaarr and Singoura benefit from cleaner passages while the leaders tire from battling.
YafaarrSingouraThe New Bay PearlPalmarian
D
Pace Collapse Chaos
8% probability
If Lord Capulet goes too fast trying to kill off the prominent brigade
Everyone comes back to the field in a sprint finish where experience and recent form matter most. Mayo County's C&D knowledge and Front Gunner's new stable boost become decisive factors.
Mayo CountyFront GunnerVince Le PrinceTropez Power

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHLord CapuletRPR82Vince Le Princetp · RPR84Tropez PowerRPR84Looks FantasticRPR82Front Gunnert · RPR78Mayo CountyRPR83The New Bay Pea…RPR81Palmarianh · RPR80SingouraRPR82Yafaarrt · RPR785. Lord Capulet1. Vince Le Prince4. Tropez Power2. Looks Fantastic6. Front Gunner3. Mayo County7. The New Bay Pearl8. Palmarian9. Singoura10. Yafaarr
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Lord Capulet setting fractions - if he goes too keen early trying to burn off the prominent pack, he'll set up the race for closers
WATCH
Traffic developing 3f out when Vince Le Prince, Mayo County, Tropez Power, and Front Gunner all converge behind the leader
WATCH
Looks Fantastic getting squeezed in the prominent pack given his proven finishing kick needs room to be effective
NOTE
Yafaarr and Singoura staying patient early - they need the pace to collapse to have any realistic winning chance
NOTE
Front Gunner adapting to new stable tactics with tongue-tie first time after stable switch from Stephen Hanlon
7:20 — Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap
1m · Good · HCAP · 9 runners
Two B Tanned to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Two B Tanned led, as the map showed.

Rainbow Nebula won at 7.50 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Two B Tanned
Prominent · 3
Real GainDouble ParkedNyman
Midfield · 2
Mr KingMr Mistoffelees
Hold Up · 3
Ron OEl MatadorRainbow Nebula
Two B Tanned will take them along from the front with Real Gain, Double Parked, and Nyman likely to race prominently behind him. With only one confirmed front-runner, Two B Tanned can dictate a comfortable tempo without early pressure, allowing him to save energy for the finish. The majority of the field (El Matador, Ron O, Mr King, Mr Mistoffelees, Rainbow Nebula) are hold-up horses who will need the pace to collapse. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will engulf the large pack of hold-up horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Front Runner Dominates
45% probability
If Two B Tanned gets an uncontested lead and sustains his gallop
The lone pace-setter controls the tempo perfectly and has enough left to repel late challenges, with prominent racers filling the places. The hold-up brigade gets there too late after fighting for racing room.
Two B TannedReal GainDouble ParkedNyman
B
Prominent Tracker Strikes
30% probability
If Real Gain or Double Parked can track Two B Tanned and outkick him late
The front-runner does the donkey work but gets passed in the final furlong by a horse with superior class ratings who travelled well in behind. Two B Tanned still runs a big race for minor honours.
Real GainDouble ParkedTwo B TannedNyman
C
Hold-Up Horse Charges
15% probability
If the pace becomes too slow and El Matador or Ron O gets a clear run
The lack of early pressure allows the classier hold-up horses to unleash their superior RPR ratings with a telling late surge. Hollie Doyle's timing on El Matador or Ron O's return to form proves decisive.
El MatadorRon OTwo B TannedReal Gain
D
Pace Collapses Completely
10% probability
If Two B Tanned goes too fast early or ties up dramatically
The front-runner cracks badly leaving the race wide open for any horse with a clear passage. Rainbow Nebula's class or Mr Mistoffelees' Newcastle form could emerge from the pack.
Rainbow NebulaMr MistoffeleesReal GainDouble Parked

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHTwo B Tannedhp · RPR108Real GainRPR104Double ParkedRPR101Nymanp · RPR102Mr Kingh · RPR100Mr Mistoffeleesp · RPR99Ron ORPR102El MatadorRPR104Rainbow Nebulav · RPR1011. Two B Tanned2. Real Gain3. Double Parked4. Nyman5. Mr King6. Mr Mistoffelees7. Ron O8. El Matador9. Rainbow Nebula
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Two B Tanned could get away with murder on the lead if no other horse goes forward early to apply pressure
WATCH
The hold-up horses El Matador, Ron O, Mr King, Mr Mistoffelees and Rainbow Nebula may struggle for clear runs in the straight
NOTE
Real Gain and Double Parked need to position themselves close enough to Two B Tanned to strike when the pace lifts
WATCH
Mr King has shown a tendency to refuse and fade badly so any market support would be concerning
NOTE
Tom Kiely-Marshall's 5lb claim could be crucial for Two B Tanned in a competitive handicap like this
7:50 — Marske Fabrication & Engineering Handicap (Marske Fabrication & Engineeriing Straight Mile Qual')
1m · Good · HCAP · 11 runners
Lead contested: A Boy Named Mary v Harswell RiverHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Mohmentous won at 1.91 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
A Boy Named MaryHarswell River
Prominent · 3
King Of YorkshireVery DemureLope Y Linda
Midfield · 3
Battenburg BelleMuvableLeysthorpe Star
Hold Up · 3
MohmentousGive Me SunBaldosa
A Boy Named Mary and Harswell River will ensure a genuine gallop from the outset, with both confirmed front-runners likely to dispute the early lead over this straight mile. The honest pace they set will create a searching test of stamina, particularly given the flat nature of Redcar's straight course which offers no respite. Very Demure and Lope Y Linda sitting prominent should get ideal trips tracking the leaders, while the hold-up horses face the challenge of making up ground against a strong pace. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can sit close to the pace and kick when it matters, as the genuine gallop will likely find out the front-runners and make life difficult for those coming from too far back.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prominent Horses Prevail
45% probability
If Very Demure or Lope Y Linda can track the pace-setters without getting embroiled in their battle...
The strong early gallop will soften up A Boy Named Mary and Harswell River, allowing the prominent racers to strike with superior finishing kicks. Very Demure's recent turf improvement and Lope Y Linda's course familiarity make them ideally positioned to capitalize.
Very DemureLope Y LindaKing Of YorkshireMohmentous
B
Front Runner Survives
25% probability
If either A Boy Named Mary or Harswell River can shake off their rival and dictate terms alone...
The survivor gets an uncontested lead and can control the tempo to suit their stamina reserves. Harswell River's proven course form gives her the edge if she can break clear of A Boy Named Mary early.
Harswell RiverA Boy Named MaryVery DemureKing Of Yorkshire
C
Hold Up Horse Strikes
20% probability
If the early pace becomes truly unsustainable between the two leaders...
The front-runners will tie up badly in the final furlong, allowing a closer with tactical speed to sweep past. Mohmentous's recent Bath win suggests he has the finishing kick to capitalize on a collapse up front.
MohmentousBaldosaBattenburg BelleGive Me Sun
D
Surprise Package Emerges
10% probability
If King Of Yorkshire shows the improvement his breeding suggests is possible...
His prominent style gets him into the perfect striking position behind the battling leaders, and any step forward from his juvenile form could be enough. The long absence might have done him good with trainer Jedd O'Keeffe patient in his development.
King Of YorkshireVery DemureLope Y LindaMohmentous

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHA Boy Named MaryRPR60Harswell Riverp · RPR63King Of Yorkshi…RPR56Very Demurep · RPR64Lope Y LindaRPR55Battenburg BelleRPR60Muvablep · RPR46Leysthorpe StarRPR54MohmentousRPR67Give Me SunRPR57BaldosaRPR635. A Boy Named Mary6. Harswell River3. King Of Yorkshire1. Very Demure2. Lope Y Linda7. Battenburg Belle8. Muvable9. Leysthorpe Star4. Mohmentous10. Give Me Sun11. Baldosa
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch if A Boy Named Mary and Harswell River engage in a prolonged speed duel from flagfall as both have the pace to kill each other off
WATCH
Watch Very Demure's position turning for home as she needs to be close enough to strike but not caught up in the early battle
NOTE
Watch for any market moves on King Of Yorkshire given his long absence and potential for improvement from new connections
WATCH
Watch Mohmentous early as he needs to be closer than usual to the pace given how strong it will be from the start
NOTE
Watch the opening exchanges to see if either front-runner can gain a tactical advantage and avoid the speed duel
8:20 — Watch Race Replays At racingtv.com Handicap
6f · Good · HCAP · 15 runners
Monk's Hill to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Brain Freeze and Kwidsin led; the map had Monk's Hill in front.

Auspicious won at 17.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Monk's Hill
Prominent · 6
Miss Magic DragonKwidsinHares BredthWoody Y FernandezThe Floors MunkyBrain Freeze
Midfield · 4
GanthorpeCharconAuspiciousNoble Gentleman
Hold Up · 4
PowernapI'm Dan DareLong ShotDream Forever
Monk's Hill is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 15-runner field and should get an uncontested lead, creating a sustainable pace scenario. Six horses (Miss Magic Dragon, Hares Bredth, The Floors Munky, Woody Y Fernandez, Brain Freeze, Kwidsin) want prominent positions, guaranteeing congestion and traffic problems turning for home. With 9 hold-up horses squeezed into a narrow window behind the early pace battle, this becomes a positioning nightmare 2-3 furlongs out. This race shape heavily favors the lone leader Monk's Hill and any hold-up horses drawn wide who can avoid the midfield carnage.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Uncontested Leader Dominates
55% probability
If Monk's Hill gets clear early fractions without pressure from the prominent brigade
The lone pace-setter builds an insurmountable advantage while the field gets snarled up behind the early pace battle. Hold-up horses struggle to weave through the traffic created by 6 prominent runners fighting for position.
Monk's HillLong ShotMiss Magic DragonWoody Y Fernandez
B
Late Traffic Surge
25% probability
If the prominent group creates severe interference 2f out, opening gaps for closers
Wide-drawn hold-up horses like Powernap and Auspicious get clear runs while others are trapped behind the pace melee. The sustained gallop suits horses finishing from off the pace with room to maneuver.
PowernapAuspiciousLong ShotDream Forever
C
Prominent Battle Backfires
12% probability
If Miss Magic Dragon and Woody Y Fernandez pressure Monk's Hill into unsustainable fractions
The early pace becomes too strong, setting up a collapse scenario where all early leaders tire. Fresh hold-up horses inherit the race despite the tactical disadvantage of the race shape.
Noble GentlemanI'm Dan DareGanthorpeDream Forever
D
Draw Advantage Decisive
8% probability
If the high-drawn runners get tactical positioning advantages in the prominent scrum
Horses drawn in double digits avoid early interference and can dictate their own race position. The wide berths allow prominent runners to maintain momentum without getting caught in traffic.
Dream ForeverCharconThe Floors MunkyBrain Freeze

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHMonk's Hillt · RPR56Miss Magic Drag…RPR60KwidsinRPR56Hares Bredtht · RPR56Woody Y Fernand…RPR61The Floors MunkyRPR58Brain Freezeb · RPR56GanthorpeRPR59Charconv · RPR56AuspiciousRPR60Noble Gentlemanp · RPR57Powernaph · RPR57I'm Dan Darep · RPR55Long Shotp · RPR58Dream ForeverRPR591. Monk's Hill3. Miss Magic Dragon5. Kwidsin6. Hares Bredth4. Woody Y Fernandez7. The Floors Munky8. Brain Freeze9. Ganthorpe10. Charcon11. Auspicious12. Noble Gentleman13. Powernap14. I'm Dan Dare2. Long Shot15. Dream Forever
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Monk's Hill must be backed to get clear early fractions - any pressure from Miss Magic Dragon or Woody Y Fernandez destroys the pace scenario
WATCH
Traffic chaos inevitable 2f out when 6 prominent runners hit the wall simultaneously - watch for hold-up horses with clear runs
WATCH
Long Shot and Dream Forever drawn widest of the hold-up brigade - positioning will determine if they can capitalize on the pace setup
NOTE
First-time headgear on I'm Dan Dare (cheekpieces) and Charcon (visor) could spark improvement from their poor recent form
NOTE
Miss Magic Dragon carries 6lb penalty from Bath win into traffic nightmare - weight and tactics both against her

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 7 May 2026.

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Redcar pace map, 7 May 2026 — PaceMap