Archive›Ripon · 16 April 2026

Ripon

16 April 2026 · 7 races

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2:00 — Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Restricted Novice Stakes (Horses In Bands B/C/D) (GBB Race)

6f · Good · NOV · 8 runners

Mind Over Matter likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Milford Grange led; the map had Mind Over Matter in front.

The Untamed won at 2.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mind Over Matter

Prominent · 1

Milford Grange

Midfield · 4

Tickhill FlyerDifferent OpinionsAgric RangerKode Grey

Hold Up · 2

The UntamedVega Storm

Mind Over Matter looks the sole committed front runner with his prominent style, setting up a sustainable tempo without early pressure from other pace angles. Milford Grange may track close but prefers to sit rather than lead, while the hold-up brigade of The Untamed, Vega Storm and Kode Grey will need the pace to develop. With limited early speed signed up, this becomes a tactical affair where Mind Over Matter can dictate terms from the front. This race shape clearly favours the early pace-setters and prominent racers who can avoid traffic problems in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Runner

45% probability

If Mind Over Matter gets an easy lead and controlled fractions

Mind Over Matter can kick clear in the final furlong while the hold-up horses struggle to make up ground from the back. The lack of pace pressure allows him to save energy for a strong finish.

Mind Over MatterMilford GrangeDifferent OpinionsThe Untamed

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Milford Grange or Different Opinions can sit close and time their run perfectly

The tracker gets first run on Mind Over Matter and benefits from a true pace without getting involved early. Previous good form at similar trips gives them the tactical edge.

Milford GrangeDifferent OpinionsMind Over MatterThe Untamed

Hold-Up Horse Charges

15% probability

If the early pace becomes slow enough for closers to be effective

The Untamed or Vega Storm get the perfect setup with a crawling pace that allows their finishing kicks to be devastating. The front runners pay for going too slow early.

The UntamedVega StormMind Over MatterMilford Grange

Newcomer Surprise

10% probability

If Tickhill Flyer shows immediate ability on debut with natural speed

The well-bred newcomer from the Parkinson/Smith yard breaks fast and either leads or presses throughout. His unknown style creates tactical chaos for the others.

Tickhill FlyerAgric RangerMind Over MatterDifferent Opinions

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mind Over Matter's fitness after 220 days off could see him fold in the final furlong despite taking them along

WATCH

Watch Tickhill Flyer's market moves and how he breaks from the stalls as unknown style could disrupt pace predictions

WATCH

Different Opinions wearing headgear for first time suggests yard expects big improvement but could indicate temperament issues

NOTE

The Untamed and Vega Storm need to see sustained gallop from 3f out to unleash their finishing kicks effectively

NOTE

Milford Grange's recent Pontefract flop came on soft ground so return to good conditions could spark revival

2:35 — Download The Raceday Ready App Restricted Novice Stakes (Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

1m3f · Good · NOV · 7 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:10 — Ripon Silver Bowl Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Storm Esme to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mighty Magnus led; the map had Storm Esme in front.

Empress Olivia won at 5.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Storm Esme

Prominent · 5

Rogue TemptationMighty MagnusWyle CopHvarGenerous Rascal

Midfield · 3

Bye LawFordham FlyerEmpress Olivia

Hold Up · 4

Cotai BelleYy SpiritWise CrackHead For Freedom

Storm Esme is the sole confirmed front runner and will set a comfortable lead without pressure from the start. The prominent racers Bye Law, Hvar, Mighty Magnus, and Wyle Cop will sit just behind but none are natural pace-pressers over 6f. This creates a moderate tempo that builds gradually, with the real racing beginning in the final 2f as the hold-up horses Cotai Belle, Wise Crack, and Head For Freedom look to mount their challenges. This sustained pace scenario strongly favours the prominent racers who can track the leader without getting into an early speed duel, then kick clear when the hold-up horses are still finding their stride.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Racers Dominate

55% probability

If the early pace stays moderate as expected with Storm Esme leading uncontested

The prominent group can sit in perfect stalking positions and have the tactical advantage when the pace lifts, getting first run on the leaders while the closers are still too far back. Bye Law and Mighty Magnus are ideally positioned to capitalize on this race shape.

Bye LawMighty MagnusHvarWyle Cop

Front Runner Wire Job

25% probability

If Storm Esme gets an easy lead and the prominent horses fail to apply enough pressure

Her class advantage becomes decisive as she can dictate terms throughout and has enough left for the finish, with the field leaving their runs too late. The 184-day break could actually help her freshness in a tactical race like this.

Storm EsmeCotai BelleEmpress OliviaGenerous Rascal

Hold-Up Surge Success

12% probability

If the pace becomes stronger than expected in the middle stages as prominent horses jostle for position

The closers get the perfect setup as the early leaders and stalkers weaken, allowing horses like Wise Crack and Head For Freedom to sweep past tired legs. This requires the front group to go too hard too early.

Wise CrackHead For FreedomYy SpiritCotai Belle

Pace Collapse Scramble

8% probability

If Storm Esme goes too slowly early and creates a sprint finish from the 2f pole

The race becomes a pure speed test over 2f where any horse can win regardless of early position, favoring those with natural pace like Empress Olivia who showed good speed when winning recently. Form and class become less relevant in a blanket finish.

Empress OliviaFordham FlyerGenerous RascalRogue Temptation

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Storm Esme's market support will reveal connections' confidence after the long break - strong money suggests she's ready to fire fresh

WATCH

Watch the early fractions as Mighty Magnus or Wyle Cop could press Storm Esme harder than expected and change the race dynamic completely

NOTE

Empress Olivia's quick return from Catterick suggests she's thriving - any positive body language in the preliminaries makes her dangerous

WATCH

If Bye Law and Hvar both track Storm Esme closely, the Easterby pair could dominate with tactical advantage over single-yard runners

NOTE

Market moves on the hold-up horses like Wise Crack or Cotai Belle would suggest connections expect a stronger pace than appears likely

3:45 — Armstrong Memorial Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 16 runners

Wild Clary to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

American Style and Kats Bob led; the map had Wild Clary in front.

Kodiac Thriller won at 15.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

6 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Wild Clary

Prominent · 6

SixtygeesbabyAmerican StyleRoberto CaroIt Just Takes TimeKodiac ThrillerKats Bob

Midfield · 4

FortamourWen MoonAnother InvestmentLesley's Boy

Hold Up · 5

InterventionAlmarada PrinceMister SoxModern TimesRock Opera

Wild Clary is the only confirmed front-runner in this 16-runner field, with multiple prominent racers including Kats Bob, Sixtygeesbaby, It Just Takes Time, and Kodiac Thriller likely to press early. The large field and singular pace angle suggests Wild Clary can dictate comfortable fractions without serious early pressure. With so many hold-up horses including Mister Sox, Rock Opera, Intervention, and Wen Moon needing to navigate traffic in the closing stages, this race shape strongly favours the early-positioned horses who can secure clean runs and avoid the scramble.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Lead Holds

45% probability

If Wild Clary gets an easy lead with the prominent racers settling just behind rather than pressuring

Wild Clary controls the tempo and has enough left to resist late challenges, while the hold-up horses get caught in traffic with too much to do. The early pace advantage proves decisive in a large field where clean runs are at a premium.

Wild ClaryKats BobSixtygeesbabyAmerican Style

Prominent Racers Dominate

30% probability

If the prominent racers apply some pressure to Wild Clary but still travel well into the straight

The early-positioned horses have first run on the field while the hold-up brigade struggle for racing room. One of the prominent racers times their challenge perfectly to collar the leader late.

SixtygeesbabyAmerican StyleKodiac ThrillerWild Clary

Traffic Chaos Benefits

15% probability

If the pace collapses and becomes stop-start with prominent racers getting in each other's way

The race becomes a sprint from the 2f marker, allowing the strongest finishers to weave through and deliver telling late runs. Hold-up horses with the best turn of foot capitalize on the messy early positioning.

Mister SoxInterventionWen MoonRock Opera

Outsider Strikes Late

10% probability

If both the leader and prominent racers go too fast early in response to the large field pressure

The early leaders come back to the field dramatically in the final furlong, allowing a well-positioned hold-up horse on a low weight to surge through. A forgotten runner gets the perfect trip behind the pace collapse.

Another InvestmentModern TimesLesley's BoyAlmarada Prince

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Wild Clary's early position is crucial - if he gets uncontested lead the race could be over before it starts

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems affecting Mister Sox, Rock Opera and other hold-up horses in such a large field

WATCH

Monitor if Kats Bob or other prominent racers put pressure on Wild Clary early which could set up back-runners

NOTE

American Style's fitness after 207 days off will be evident in the first two furlongs

NOTE

The draw and early positioning will be critical with 16 runners over this straight 6f course

4:16 — Ripon "Cock O' The North" Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Pomme Pomme to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Pomme Pomme led, as the map showed.

Spioradalta won at 4.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Pomme Pomme

Prominent · 2

SpioradaltaGlistening Nights

Midfield · 4

FinancerAustrian TheoryCristoSir William

Hold Up · 3

RaulinLunar EclipseSpoken Truth

Pomme Pomme will lead from the flag as the only confirmed front-runner, likely joined by prominent runners Spioradalta and Glistening Nights in the early positions. With most of the field comprising hold-up horses (Austrian Theory, Raulin, Sir William, Financer, Cristo, Lunar Eclipse, Spoken Truth), the pace should be genuine but sustainable through the middle sections. The large contingent of hold-up horses will create a cavalry charge from the back straight, but the lack of early pace pressure means Pomme Pomme can dictate terms and the prominent runners can travel into contention. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will plague the hold-up brigade in a small field.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Pomme Pomme gets an uncontested lead and maintains stamina over 1m2f

She can kick clear turning for home while the hold-up horses get caught in traffic behind a slowly-run race. Rose Dawes' 5lb claim becomes crucial in a tight finish against late challengers.

Pomme PommeSpioradaltaGlistening NightsRaulin

Prominent Prevails

30% probability

If Spioradalta or Glistening Nights can track Pomme Pomme and outstay her

The prominent runners get first run on the field while maintaining better tactical positions than the hold-up horses. Jason Hart's shrewd positioning on Spioradalta proves decisive.

SpioradaltaGlistening NightsPomme PommeSpoken Truth

Hold-Up Heroes

20% probability

If the pace becomes truly sedate and the field bunches up turning in

The superior class horses get clear runs and their finishing kicks prove decisive despite poor positioning. Spoken Truth's recent Doncaster fourth suggests returning form.

Spoken TruthRaulinSir WilliamAustrian Theory

Outsider Strikes

5% probability

If the favorites falter after long layoffs and race fitness tells

A horse with recent form like Cristo or Sir William capitalizes on others' ring-rustiness. Kevin Ryan's 1/19 record suggests Lunar Eclipse faces an uphill task.

CristoSir WilliamLunar EclipseFinancer

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pomme Pomme sets too strong an early pace given her 237-day layoff and fades badly in the straight

WATCH

Traffic problems develop in the straight as multiple hold-up horses seek room simultaneously in a small field

NOTE

Rose Dawes handles the tactical demands of front-running in her first ride back from a winter break

WATCH

Spioradalta's recent Doncaster run was better than it appeared and Jason Hart has him perfectly positioned

NOTE

Austrian Theory shows early signs of a revival after a disappointing 2023 campaign for Tim Easterby

4:52 — Racing BetBuilder At Spreadex Sports Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Saxon Prince likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Fickle McSelfish led; the map had Saxon Prince in front.

Domination won at 3.25 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Saxon Prince

Prominent · 2

Gwen's GirlDomination

Midfield · 5

Ciao CapoFickle McSelfishWalk On Walk OnLeysthorpe StarHood Wink

Hold Up · 3

SingardaNorcross BrowSailor Batt

Saxon Prince will take this field along as the only confirmed front runner, with Gwen's Girl, Domination, and possibly Sailor Batt tracking in behind. The pace should be sustainable rather than frantic given the lack of genuine speed horses, allowing the large contingent of hold-up horses to get competitive. With 8 of 11 runners employing hold-up tactics on a flat Ripon mile, this race will become a sprint finish from the 2f marker. This tactical setup strongly favours prominent racers who can position handy and kick, rather than the mass of hold-up horses who will face a traffic nightmare.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Racers Dominate

45% probability

If Saxon Prince sets a steady pace and the prominent horses get first run

The handful of prominent racers avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will engulf the large pack of hold-up horses in the straight. Saxon Prince and Gwen's Girl can use their tactical advantage to dictate terms.

Saxon PrinceGwen's GirlDominationSailor Batt

Hold-Up Horse Breaks Clear

30% probability

If one of the hold-up horses gets a dream run through traffic

A single hold-up horse finds racing room while others are trapped, capitalizing on their superior finishing kick. The winner will be the one jockey who navigates the crowded finish best.

Fickle McSelfishCiao CapoNorcross BrowWalk On Walk On

Traffic Chaos Benefits Outsiders

15% probability

If the finish becomes completely congested with interference

The race becomes a lottery where the least fancied horses with the clearest runs prevail over better-rated but hampered rivals. Hood Wink and Leysthorpe Star's low weights become crucial advantages.

Hood WinkLeysthorpe StarSingardaWalk On Walk On

Saxon Prince Wire-to-Wire

10% probability

If Saxon Prince kicks clear turning for home with no serious challengers

The front runner exploits the tactical disadvantage of the massed hold-up horses who leave their runs too late on the stiff Ripon finish. None of the closers can reel him in despite his moderate recent form.

Saxon PrinceDominationGwen's GirlSailor Batt

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Saxon Prince could steal this if the hold-up brigade leave their runs too late in the straight

WATCH

Traffic problems will be severe with 8 hold-up horses - watch for interference and hard luck stories

WATCH

Gwen's Girl's 181-day absence is lengthy but her debut second suggests ability if returning fit

NOTE

Fickle McSelfish making turf debut but cheekpieces help and trainer has recent winner with stable in form

NOTE

Hood Wink returns to blinkers which produced his best effort when beaten a neck last September

5:25 — Go Racing In Yorkshire Apprentice Handicap (Yorkshire Future Stars Apprentice Series)

1m · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Garden Oasis to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Good Morning Alex led; the map had Garden Oasis in front.

Milteye won at 4.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Garden Oasis

Prominent · 4

WalsinghamMilteyeEmpirestateofmindGood Morning Alex

Midfield · 2

BarleyChesneys Charm

Hold Up · 3

On The RiverMr MistoffeleesCosmos Raj

Garden Oasis will be the sole confirmed pace-setter but won't face early pressure, allowing him to dictate a steady tempo. The real danger comes at the 3-2 furlong pole where Empirestateofmind, Walsingham, Good Morning Alex and Milteye all want prominent positions, creating inevitable traffic problems. This compressed field setup means the hold-up horses like Barley, Mr Mistoffelees, On The River, Cosmos Raj and Chesneys Charm can cruise into contention without pace pressure. This race shape strongly favours the hold-up runners who can avoid the mid-race squeeze and time their challenge perfectly.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

55% probability

If Garden Oasis sets steady fractions and the prominent group creates traffic problems turning in

The lack of early pace allows patient riders to position perfectly while the prominent congestion creates winning opportunities for those held up. Barley and Cosmos Raj benefit most from this tactical advantage.

BarleyCosmos RajOn The RiverMr Mistoffelees

Garden Oasis wires field

25% probability

If Garden Oasis gets uncontested early fractions and the prominent runners fail to challenge decisively

The 11-year-old can dictate throughout and kick clear when the traffic-hampered pack tries to organize late. His three wins last season prove he can capitalize when getting his own way up front.

Garden OasisBarleyWalsinghamGood Morning Alex

Prominent runners prevail

12% probability

If Walsingham or Empirestateofmind can secure the ideal stalking position without getting boxed

One of the prominent runners avoids the traffic and gets first run on Garden Oasis turning for home. Walsingham's three wins last season make him most likely to execute this tactical plan.

WalsinghamEmpirestateofmindGood Morning AlexGarden Oasis

Speed holds throughout

8% probability

If Garden Oasis sets stronger fractions than expected and the closers get caught too far back

The lack of early pace pressure becomes irrelevant as the leaders maintain their advantage to the line. Good Morning Alex's course and distance dead-heat gives him the best credentials from this position.

Good Morning AlexGarden OasisWalsinghamMilteye

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for traffic problems at the 2-3 furlong pole where Empirestateofmind, Walsingham, Good Morning Alex and Milteye converge

WATCH

Monitor Garden Oasis for stamina concerns in final furlong after 190-day layoff at age 11

NOTE

Check if Barley and Cosmos Raj can overcome long losing runs despite suitable race shape

WATCH

Watch Walsingham for fitness after 173-day break despite strong 2023 winning form

NOTE

Observe if the hold-up horses can organize their challenges without getting caught too far back

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 16 April 2026.

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