4:50

Archive›Roscommon · 18 May 2026

Roscommon

18 May 2026 · 8 races

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4:50 — Roscommon Claiming Maiden
7½f · Good · MDN · 10 runners
Prince Andorra to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Mo Anam Chara and Queen Of Newark led; the map had Prince Andorra in front.

Mo Anam Chara won at 2.20 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Prince Andorra
Prominent · 2
Mo Anam CharaQueen Of Newark
Midfield · 4
MonamieDue In JuneSix WingsFay Og
Hold Up · 3
Star Of BeautyCosmic FunkSchoolyard Days
Prince Andorra is the sole confirmed front runner and will dictate terms from the gate in this claiming maiden. With no obvious pace pressure, he can settle into a comfortable rhythm through the early stages, allowing the prominent runners Mo Anam Chara and Queen Of Newark to track within striking distance. The majority of the field consists of hold-up horses who will be relying on a strong finish, but they face the challenge of making up ground against a potentially uncontested leader. This race shape strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can position close to the pace early and avoid getting caught up in traffic problems late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prince Andorra Controls
45% probability
If Prince Andorra breaks cleanly and faces no early pressure from the prominent runners.
He can dictate a moderate tempo that suits his stamina reserves, with the hold-up horses struggling to close the gap in time. The uncontested leader scenario plays directly into his hands despite his modest ability.
Prince AndorraMo Anam CharaStar Of BeautyCosmic Funk
B
Prominent Takeover
30% probability
If Mo Anam Chara or Queen Of Newark press Prince Andorra early and establish better position.
The pace becomes more honest, setting up perfectly for horses tracking in second or third to strike in the final furlong. This moderate tempo suits the prominent runners who can avoid the kick-back from Prince Andorra.
Mo Anam CharaQueen Of NewarkStar Of BeautyPrince Andorra
C
Hold-up Hero Strikes
15% probability
If the pace collapses completely and becomes crawling through the middle stages.
The race becomes a sprint finish where the hold-up horses with the best turn of foot can unleash their finishing kick. Star Of Beauty and Cosmic Funk would benefit most from this tactical scenario.
Star Of BeautyCosmic FunkDue In JuneMonamie
D
Newcomer Surprise
10% probability
If Due In June or Monamie show significant improvement from their debuts with better tactical positioning.
The lightly raced horses could have untapped ability that allows them to overcome the pace scenario. Their unknown running styles could prove more effective than their debut showings suggested.
Due In JuneMonamieMo Anam CharaPrince Andorra

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHPrince AndorraRPR68Mo Anam CharaRPR80Queen Of NewarkRPR67MonamieRPR-Due In JuneRPR-Six Wingst · RPR39Fay OgRPR39Star Of Beautyv · RPR82Cosmic FunkRPR82Schoolyard Daysp · RPR641. Prince Andorra2. Mo Anam Chara5. Queen Of Newark6. Monamie7. Due In June8. Six Wings9. Fay Og3. Star Of Beauty4. Cosmic Funk10. Schoolyard Days
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Prince Andorra's early positioning is crucial - if he misses the break or gets headed early, his chances diminish rapidly given the lack of other pace.
WATCH
Mo Anam Chara's tactics in the first two furlongs will determine if this becomes a truly-run race or allows Prince Andorra to coast.
NOTE
Star Of Beauty's visor is applied for the first time which could sharpen her focus and improve her finishing kick.
WATCH
The hold-up majority means traffic problems are likely in the straight, particularly affecting Cosmic Funk and Schoolyard Days.
NOTE
Due In June and Monamie represent the biggest unknowns and any market support would suggest significant improvement expected.
5:20 — Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)
7½f · Good · MDN · 8 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
5:50 — Knockcroghery Handicap
7½f · Good · HCAP · 18 runners
Thrifty Of Digby to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Thrifty Of Digby led, as the map showed.

Thrifty Of Digby won at 12.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Thrifty Of Digby
Prominent · 5
MercurialFree SoloRoyal ImpactQueen AethelflaedIrish Rumour
Midfield · 7
Bucaneer's SpiritBlue AnthemBella ColombiaZabriskie PointTara Na RiSuerteLust
Hold Up · 5
LoingseoirButtermere RidgeGo OutFamed AgainLohengrin
Thrifty Of Digby will lead from the gates with no genuine pace pressure from this field of mostly hold-up horses and mid-division runners. The prominent runners Mercurial, Free Solo, Irish Rumour, Queen Aethelflaed and Royal Impact will sit within 3-4 lengths but lack the pace to hassle the leader early. With 11 of 18 runners showing hold-up tendencies, the pace will be steady through the middle sections before quickening late. This sustainable gallop strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will engulf the massive pack of hold-up horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Thrifty Controls Throughout
45% probability
If Thrifty Of Digby maintains his uncontested lead without folding
Shane Foley can dictate fractions and kick clear when the hold-up brigade are still finding racing room. The lack of early pace pressure allows the leader to save enough for a decisive move.
Thrifty Of DigbyFree SoloIrish RumourRoyal Impact
B
Prominent Pair Strike
30% probability
If the mid-race pace quickens enough to stretch Thrifty Of Digby
The prominent runners Irish Rumour and Free Solo can track the leader's move and respond when he comes under pressure. Their forward positions give them first run on the hold-up horses.
Irish RumourFree SoloQueen AethelflaedMercurial
C
Hold-Up Hero Emerges
15% probability
If the pace collapses completely creating a sprint finish
The lack of early pace creates a bunched field turning for home where one hold-up horse finds clear running. Blue Anthem or Bucaneer's Spirit could benefit from their riders' low claim reducing their burden.
Blue AnthemBucaneer's SpiritZabriskie PointBella Colombia
D
Complete Pace Collapse
10% probability
If even Thrifty Of Digby goes too slowly and gets swamped
The entire field comes together in a mad dash where fitness and recent form matter most. Loingseoir's recent Roscommon win gives him the best chance of the closers.
LoingseoirGo OutSuerteLohengrin

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHThrifty Of Digbyp · RPR76MercurialRPR71Free Solotp · RPR75Royal ImpactRPR71Queen Aethelfla…t · RPR69Irish Rumourt · RPR74Bucaneer's Spir…p · RPR73Blue Anthemt · RPR72Bella ColombiaRPR70Zabriskie Pointv · RPR73Tara Na Rip · RPR74Suerteht · RPR72Lustt · RPR69Loingseoirt · RPR72Buttermere Ridgeb · RPR68Go Outtp · RPR72Famed AgainRPR71Lohengrint · RPR701. Thrifty Of Digby5. Mercurial2. Free Solo4. Royal Impact6. Queen Aethelflaed3. Irish Rumour7. Bucaneer's Spirit8. Blue Anthem9. Bella Colombia10. Zabriskie Point11. Tara Na Ri12. Suerte13. Lust14. Loingseoir15. Buttermere Ridge16. Go Out17. Famed Again18. Lohengrin
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Thrifty Of Digby must be watched for early pace - if he goes too fast early he'll be vulnerable to late challengers
WATCH
The hold-up horses Blue Anthem, Bucaneer's Spirit and Loingseoir need significant pace on to be effective from their patient styles
NOTE
Irish Rumour returns from 194 days off but her class rating suggests ability if fitness is there
WATCH
Traffic problems are inevitable with 11 hold-up horses - watch for those drawn wide who can avoid trouble
NOTE
Free Solo and Royal Impact as the main prominent challengers need to be within striking distance turning for home
6:20 — Michael Tiger Lyons Memorial Maiden
1m2½f · Good · MDN · 17 runners
Galileo Springs likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Huff'n'puff led; the map had Galileo Springs in front.

Huff'n'puff won at 4.33 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Galileo Springs
Prominent · 4
KarrygrantNoble HonourChanging LanesAvec Grand Plaisir
Midfield · 7
Solar JetZelaniMatadaAfrican AffairGrennanstown LadyElzaam ExpressGarryowen Green
Hold Up · 5
It's Good To TalkBelieve AgainHuff'n'puffGaelic DrillsRyans Hope
Galileo Springs will set the pace from the front with several prominent runners like Karrygrant, Noble Honour, and Changing Lanes tracking close behind, creating a modest gallop early. The presence of multiple hold-up horses including It's Good To Talk, Gaelic Drills, and Huff'n'puff suggests the pace will be reasonable rather than strong, allowing the leaders to maintain their advantage. With 17 runners but only one confirmed front-runner, Galileo Springs can dictate terms without early pressure, setting up a tactical affair where positioning will be crucial. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and those with early pace who can track the leader, as the modest gallop will make it difficult for hold-up horses to close from the back of this large field.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prominent Runners Dominate
55% probability
If Galileo Springs sets a steady pace without serious early pressure
The reasonable tempo allows prominent runners to save energy and kick clear in the straight, making it difficult for hold-up horses to close the gap from deep in the field. Those tracking the leader are perfectly positioned to strike.
KarrygrantNoble HonourChanging LanesAvec Grand Plaisir
B
Front Runner Wires Field
25% probability
If Galileo Springs gets an uncontested lead and quickens approaching the home turn
The experienced front-runner uses class and tactical speed to stretch the field, with his recent form suggesting he can sustain a strong gallop. Hold-up horses are left with too much to do in a large field.
Galileo SpringsKarrygrantNoble HonourChanging Lanes
C
Late Surge From Behind
12% probability
If the early pace becomes crawling and bunches the field approaching the straight
A slow tempo allows the hold-up horses to close the gap and utilize their finishing kicks in a cavalry charge finish. The race becomes a sprint from the two-furlong pole.
It's Good To TalkHuff'n'puffGaelic DrillsBelieve Again
D
Surprise Longshot Victory
8% probability
If the pace collapses completely and favorites get caught in traffic
Chaos ensues in the straight with several runners having chances, allowing a less-fancied runner to slip through and capitalize on a messy finish. Form gets thrown out the window.
Solar JetZelaniRyans HopeGrennanstown Lady

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHGalileo Springst · RPR-KarrygrantRPR72Noble HonourRPR71Changing LanesRPR63Avec Grand Plai…RPR54Solar JetRPR-ZelaniRPR58MatadaRPR28African AffairRPR44Grennanstown La…RPR32Elzaam ExpressRPR30Garryowen Greent · RPR28It's Good To Ta…RPR-Believe AgainRPR-Huff'n'puffRPR73Gaelic DrillsRPR70Ryans HopeRPR565. Galileo Springs1. Karrygrant2. Noble Honour3. Changing Lanes4. Avec Grand Plaisir6. Solar Jet7. Zelani8. Matada9. African Affair10. Grennanstown Lady11. Elzaam Express12. Garryowen Green13. It's Good To Talk14. Believe Again15. Huff'n'puff16. Gaelic Drills17. Ryans Hope
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Monitor early pace development - if Galileo Springs gets uncontested lead, hold-up horses face impossible task
WATCH
Watch for traffic problems in straight with 17 runners - prominent racers have significant positional advantage
NOTE
Observe Noble Honour's fitness first time back after 240-day absence, could surprise if ready
WATCH
Solar Jet's debut at this level with unknown going preferences makes market moves significant
NOTE
Track Karrygrant's position turning for home - best-positioned prominent runner to capitalize on race shape
6:50 — Connolly's RED MILLS Handicap
1m2½f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners
Electric Beauty to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Electric Beauty led, as the map showed.

Sir Jeremy won at 4.50 — raced midfield, as the map had it.

6 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Electric Beauty
Prominent · 4
Queen LionessKilcrea RockOustRobot Rock
Midfield · 3
Sir JeremyGotta Catch'em AllRising Sky
Hold Up · 4
SyzygyFollow MeLahore Da KingLittle Miss P
Electric Beauty will lead unchallenged through the early stages, with Queen Lioness, Kilcrea Rock, Oust and Robot Rock tracking in prominent positions behind. The lack of genuine pace pressure means Electric Beauty can dictate comfortable fractions, while the large hold-up contingent including Follow Me, Little Miss P, Sir Jeremy, Syzygy and Lahore Da King will be bunched at the rear. This creates a compressed finish where the hold-up horses get their optimal tactical scenario. The race shape strongly favours hold-up runners who can unleash late kicks against the moderate gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Hold-Up Brigade Strikes
65% probability
If Electric Beauty sets uncontested fractions allowing the back markers to close
The moderate pace plays into the hands of the closers who time their runs perfectly in the straight. Follow Me, Syzygy and Sir Jeremy benefit most from the tactical setup.
Follow MeSyzygySir JeremyLahore Da King
B
Front Group Holds On
20% probability
If the prominent horses maintain their positions and the pace proves adequate to blunt closers
Queen Lioness and Kilcrea Rock use their class advantage to hold off the late challenge. The front group's positioning proves decisive when the kick comes.
Queen LionessKilcrea RockElectric BeautyOust
C
Electric Beauty Wire-to-Wire
10% probability
If the leader quickens approaching the straight and maintains momentum
Electric Beauty uses the soft lead to conserve energy before pulling clear in the final furlong. The hold-up horses leave their runs too late to catch the well-positioned leader.
Electric BeautyQueen LionessKilcrea RockSyzygy
D
Pace Collapses Completely
5% probability
If Electric Beauty sets crawling fractions and the field comes to her late
The race becomes a sprint finish where the handiest horses with tactical speed prevail. Positioning becomes more important than running style in the final dash.
Queen LionessLittle Miss PElectric BeautyGotta Catch'em All

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHElectric BeautyRPR80Queen LionessRPR86Kilcrea Rockt · RPR83OustRPR78Robot Rockt · RPR76Sir JeremyRPR82Gotta Catch'em …p · RPR81Rising Skytb · RPR81SyzygyRPR78Follow MeRPR84Lahore Da Kingtp · RPR81Little Miss PRPR805. Electric Beauty6. Queen Lioness7. Kilcrea Rock8. Oust9. Robot Rock3. Sir Jeremy10. Gotta Catch'em All11. Rising Sky2. Syzygy1. Follow Me4. Lahore Da King12. Little Miss P
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Robot Rock has shown a concerning pattern of fading in the finish and may not stay the extended trip
WATCH
Electric Beauty carries the pace-making burden with an inexperienced apprentice jockey which could lead to tactical errors
NOTE
Follow Me represents the best-performing trainer over 14 days and suits the likely tactical scenario perfectly
WATCH
Several hold-up runners including Syzygy and Little Miss P return from 36-day breaks which may blunt their finishing kicks
NOTE
Queen Lioness has won both her starts on good going and holds strong claims if able to track the moderate pace
7:20 — Abbey Hotel Handicap
1m4f · Good · HCAP · 14 runners
Adel likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Adel and Onyeisi and Arizona Star led, as the map showed.

Adel won at 12.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Adel
Prominent · 1
Tenacious
Midfield · 8
Admiral Will BrownOnyeisiCaptain ConConnecteoArizona StarWipeawayyourtearsSurvivor's CodeLilo Pelekai
Hold Up · 4
MusashiSea Of DubkaRetro GalFemme Beauty
Adel will lead from the start with only Tenacious showing prominent tendencies, creating a very manageable early pace in this handicap. The tempo will be comfortable through the first mile with no pressure on the front-runner, allowing the large field of hold-up horses to settle behind. The race will develop into a staying test from the home turn as 12 of the 14 runners come from off the pace, creating a cavalry charge finish. This tactical setup strongly favours hold-up horses with proven stamina and a strong finishing kick.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Adel Controls Throughout
45% probability
If Adel maintains the lead unchallenged and finds extra stamina at this longer trip
The front-runner dictates fractions and kicks clear before the hold-up brigade can organize their challenge. Horses with tactical speed like Femme Beauty and Musashi emerge best from the chasing pack.
AdelFemme BeautyMusashiWipeawayyourtears
B
Late Surge Prevails
35% probability
If the pace becomes too slow early and sets up a sprint finish from the back
The hold-up horses get the perfect setup with plenty left in the tank for a sustained drive. Fresh horses with strong finishes like Survivor's Code and Wipeawayyourtears capitalize on their light weights.
Survivor's CodeWipeawayyourtearsMusashiFemme Beauty
C
Mid-Race Collapse
12% probability
If Adel stops quickly when challenged and creates a messy pace scenario
The lack of early pace setters leaves a tactical vacuum that benefits horses who can adapt quickest. Versatile types like Femme Beauty and Sea Of Dubka find the gaps as the field bunches.
Femme BeautySea Of DubkaTenaciousOnyeisi
D
Stamina Test Emerges
8% probability
If someone takes on Adel early and creates genuine pace throughout
The strong gallop exposes horses lacking stamina at this extended trip while rewarding proven stayers. Onyeisi and Survivor's Code benefit from their staying credentials.
OnyeisiSurvivor's CodeMusashiCaptain Con

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHAdelRPR72TenaciousRPR76Admiral Will Br…RPR68Onyeisib · RPR75Captain ConRPR75ConnecteoRPR67Arizona StarRPR52Wipeawayyourtea…p · RPR76Survivor's Codeb · RPR75Lilo PelekaiRPR68Musashib · RPR74Sea Of DubkaRPR70Retro GalRPR62Femme Beautyt · RPR731. Adel5. Tenacious6. Admiral Will Brown7. Onyeisi8. Captain Con9. Connecteo10. Arizona Star4. Wipeawayyourtears11. Survivor's Code12. Lilo Pelekai3. Musashi13. Sea Of Dubka14. Retro Gal2. Femme Beauty
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Adel must be monitored early - if he fails to take up the running, this race becomes a tactical mess with no clear pace angle
WATCH
Watch for traffic problems in the straight with 12 hold-up horses converging simultaneously from the back of the field
NOTE
Survivor's Code carries just 120lbs and could benefit significantly if the pace collapses late
WATCH
Musashi has shown recent fading tendencies despite good form - monitor his finishing effort closely
NOTE
Femme Beauty's recent Roscommon win gives her course experience advantage over most rivals
7:50 — Racing Again Here On June 8th Handicap
1m4f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners
Out On Friday to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Out On Friday led, as the map showed.

Superficial won at 5.00 — was held up, as the map had it.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Out On Friday
Prominent · 4
Silent GuardianRadar AheadLa Dame BlancheCooley's Mist
Midfield · 3
Lily ParrMr RangoGod Of Thunder
Hold Up · 4
AmplitudeObscenityPavilion EndSuperficial
Out On Friday provides the only confirmed lead and will dictate terms from the front without pressure. The prominent runners Radar Ahead, Cooley's Mist, and La Dame Blanche will sit handy but won't challenge early, allowing Out On Friday to control fractions. With the majority of the field holding up including Amplitude, Pavilion End, Superficial, Lily Parr, God Of Thunder, Mr Rango, and Obscenity, this sets up as a tactical affair with a sustained kick required. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce a finishing kick, as the lone leader will set moderate fractions that suit closers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Tactical Hold-Up Finish
45% probability
If Out On Friday sets steady fractions and the hold-up brigade time their runs perfectly
The pace will be manageable throughout allowing the large contingent of hold-up horses to unleash late runs. Amplitude, Obscenity, and Superficial will benefit from the strong pace setup and finishing kick required.
AmplitudeObscenitySuperficialLily Parr
B
Prominent Tracker Strikes
30% probability
If the prominent runners get first run on the hold-up horses in the straight
Radar Ahead or La Dame Blanche will capitalise on their handier position when the kick comes. Their tactical position allows them to respond immediately when Out On Friday weakens.
Radar AheadLa Dame BlancheSilent GuardianCooley's Mist
C
Front Runner Lasts Home
15% probability
If Out On Friday's controlled fractions leave enough in the tank for a final surge
The veteran's experience allows him to judge pace perfectly and repel late challengers. His uncontested lead gives him every chance to see out the trip strongly.
Out On FridayRadar AheadLa Dame BlancheAmplitude
D
Pace Collapses Early
10% probability
If Out On Friday goes too slow and gets swamped by the field turning for home
The race becomes a sprint finish where class and recent form matter most. The better-rated horses with good recent efforts will dominate the finish.
ObscenityAmplitudeSuperficialGod Of Thunder

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHOut On FridayRPR85Silent Guardianh · RPR83Radar AheadRPR86La Dame BlancheRPR83Cooley's MistRPR85Lily ParrRPR81Mr RangoRPR83God Of Thundertp · RPR84AmplitudeRPR82Obscenityv · RPR84Pavilion EndRPR83SuperficialRPR795. Out On Friday6. Silent Guardian7. Radar Ahead8. La Dame Blanche9. Cooley's Mist4. Lily Parr10. Mr Rango11. God Of Thunder1. Amplitude2. Obscenity12. Pavilion End3. Superficial
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Out On Friday must be watched for early fractions as the lone leader could steal this if allowed easy sectionals
WATCH
Amplitude carries top weight of 141lbs which could prove telling in a finish where every pound matters
NOTE
Silent Guardian returns after 173 days off but trainer Anthony McCann's recent 1/8 strike rate suggests readiness
WATCH
Multiple horses returning from lengthy breaks including Cooley's Mist (240d) and Lily Parr (180d) raise fitness doubts
NOTE
Joseph O'Brien's 17/85 strike rate makes Obscenity a statistical threat despite modest individual form figures
8:20 — Roscommon Handicap
1m4f · Good · HCAP · 18 runners
Prom Queen to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Prom Queen led, as the map showed.

Miss Australie won at 7.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Prom Queen
Prominent · 5
TassaroloMapaCuckaloo HillJack MajorKartayaz
Midfield · 7
WhosethebestboyAl WhatIf Dora CouldIdomythingEdge Of DarknessPiatra NeamtDeluca Chop
Hold Up · 5
Burlington HouseGrey FableChurch MountainSayidah New BayMiss Australie
Prom Queen will make the early pace from the front with minimal pressure, as only Tassarolo, Mapa and Kartayaz have prominent tendencies but may sit behind her initially. With 13 hold-up horses in the 18-runner field, the pace will be sustainable rather than fierce early on. The large group of hold-up performers creates significant traffic concerns and congestion in the home straight on this turning track. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will engulf the hold-up brigade.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Front Runner's Paradise
45% probability
If Prom Queen maintains her lead into the straight without serious pressure
The lack of genuine pace pressure allows her to dictate terms and kick clear when the hold-up horses are still trying to find racing room. Her recent Dundalk win shows she can capitalize when getting an easy lead.
Prom QueenTassaroloMapaKartayaz
B
Prominent Horses Strike
35% probability
If Tassarolo or Mapa can track Prom Queen and pounce late
The prominent runners avoid the worst of the traffic while staying close enough to strike in the final furlong when the pace lifts. Their tactical positioning proves crucial with so many hold-up horses struggling for clear runs.
TassaroloMapaKartayazProm Queen
C
Hold-Up Horse Finds Gap
15% probability
If one of the stronger hold-up horses like Grey Fable gets a dream run through
A perfectly-timed run from the back finds the right gap at the crucial moment while others are still trapped. The class advantage of horses like Grey Fable or Miss Australie could tell if they get the racing luck.
Grey FableMiss AustralieWhosethebestboyDeluca Chop
D
Complete Traffic Chaos
5% probability
If the pace collapses completely and causes a sprint finish scramble
The large field creates total mayhem in the straight with multiple horses blocked and jockeys taking desperate measures. An outsider who finds racing room could steal victory in the confusion.
Burlington HouseCuckaloo HillEdge Of DarknessAl What

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHProm QueenRPR59Tassarolotp · RPR66Mapat · RPR64Cuckaloo Hillt · RPR70Jack Majort · RPR61KartayazRPR62Whosethebestboyt · RPR65Al WhatRPR64If Dora Couldt · RPR50Idomythingh · RPR61Edge Of Darknesstp · RPR55Piatra Neamtv · RPR65Deluca Chopp · RPR63Burlington Housep · RPR61Grey FableRPR63Church Mountaintp · RPR58Sayidah New BayRPR63Miss AustralieRPR721. Prom Queen2. Tassarolo3. Mapa5. Cuckaloo Hill6. Jack Major4. Kartayaz7. Whosethebestboy8. Al What9. If Dora Could10. Idomything11. Edge Of Darkness12. Piatra Neamt13. Deluca Chop14. Burlington House15. Grey Fable16. Church Mountain17. Sayidah New Bay18. Miss Australie
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Prom Queen could steal this if allowed to dictate her own fractions from the front with minimal early pressure
WATCH
Traffic problems will be severe in the straight with 13 hold-up horses needing racing room on this turning track
NOTE
Tassarolo and Mapa are the key prominent runners who could track the leader and avoid the worst congestion
WATCH
Several horses marked as faders including Edge Of Darkness, Miss Australie and Al What make poor betting propositions
NOTE
The 588-day absence for Burlington House makes this return virtually impossible despite the jockey booking

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 18 May 2026.

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