Archive›Salisbury · 3 May 2026

Salisbury

3 May 2026 · 7 races

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1:30 — Find Us At fitzdares.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Roman Spring likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Roman Spring led, as the map showed.

Moonhall Lass won at 1.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Roman Spring

Prominent · 1

Beau Jardine

Midfield · 4

RoviniaMoonhall LassConquest Of PowerAlyara

Hold Up · 2

UnicoSub Thirteen

Roman Spring is the clear early speed horse and will take them along from the start, with Beau Jardine likely to track in second early. With only one genuine front-runner, Roman Spring can dictate terms without pressure and set a manageable gallop over this sharp 6f trip. The majority field comprises hold-up horses (Moonhall Lass, Rovinia, Unico, Sub Thirteen, Conquest Of Power, Alyara) who will need to find racing room in the final 2f. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and those with early pace, as the hold-up brigade will face a traffic problem in a small field where the leader sets his own tempo.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If Roman Spring gets an easy lead and stays on strongly

Roman Spring faces no early pressure and can quicken off steady fractions, while the packed hold-up horses get in each other's way. The experienced pace-setter capitalizes on perfect positioning despite his layoff.

Roman SpringBeau JardineMoonhall LassUnico

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

30% probability

If the hold-up horses find clear runs and Roman Spring weakens

Moonhall Lass or Unico produce strong finishing kicks when gaps appear in the straight. Their class advantage tells despite the tactical disadvantage of racing from behind the pace.

Moonhall LassUnicoRoviniaSub Thirteen

Prominent Tracker Pounces

15% probability

If Beau Jardine travels well and kicks clear approaching the line

Beau Jardine uses his course and distance wins to perfection, stalking Roman Spring before taking over in the final furlong. His sharp finishing speed suits the track configuration and trip.

Beau JardineRoman SpringMoonhall LassRovinia

Surprise Hold-Up Winner

10% probability

If Sub Thirteen or Rovinia find dream runs through gaps

The experienced amateur jockeys thread their mounts through traffic to deliver late challenges that catch the early leaders. Course knowledge and tactical riding overcome the pace disadvantage.

Sub ThirteenRoviniaConquest Of PowerAlyara

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch Roman Spring's jumping from the stalls as he needs to establish his lead early with no other pace in the race

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems in the straight as six hold-up horses will be looking for the same gaps simultaneously

WATCH

Watch Beau Jardine's position turning for home as he needs to be within striking distance to use his finishing kick

NOTE

Watch the ground conditions as Sub Thirteen specifically needs softer conditions than the good to firm going

NOTE

Watch the amateur jockeys' tactical awareness as several have limited experience in competitive handicaps

2:00 — Fitzdares Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

5f · Good · CLS2 · 6 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:35 — Track Radio Launches Tomorrow Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Dapper Valley likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ziggy's Missile led; the map had Dapper Valley in front.

Dapper Valley won at 1.62 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Dapper Valley

Prominent · 1

Ziggy's Missile

Midfield · 2

Jax EdgeOver Spiced

Hold Up · 1

Em Four

Dapper Valley will likely take the field along from the front with Over Spiced, Jax Edge and Ziggy's Missile all sitting prominently behind him in this small field. With only one confirmed front runner, the early pace should be sustainable rather than frantic, allowing Dapper Valley to dictate terms without serious pressure. The modest gallop will suit horses who can track the pace and have a sustained finish, but may leave Em Four with too much ground to make up from his hold-up position. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can sit close to the pace and finish off the moderate tempo.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustainable Pace Holds

45% probability

If Dapper Valley leads uncontested and maintains his gallop to the line

The front runner gets first run on his rivals and the moderate pace doesn't set up a strong finish from behind. Prominent trackers get their chance but the leader has done enough.

Dapper ValleyOver SpicedJax EdgeZiggy's Missile

Prominent Tracker Strikes

35% probability

If the pace is steady enough for a well-positioned closer to pick up the pieces

Over Spiced or Jax Edge can sit in Dapper Valley's slipstream before producing a sustained challenge in the final furlong. The reduced weight gives Over Spiced a significant advantage over the front runner.

Over SpicedJax EdgeDapper ValleyZiggy's Missile

Hold-Up Horse Charges

12% probability

If the pace becomes slower than expected and creates a sprint finish

Em Four gets the tactical scenario he needs with a dawdling pace that sets up his closing kick. His proven ability and highest RPR rating tells as the race becomes a pure speed test in the final two furlongs.

Em FourOver SpicedDapper ValleyJax Edge

Pace Collapse

8% probability

If Dapper Valley goes too fast early or the prominent horses engage too soon

The early pace becomes unsustainable and allows a horse from further back to sweep past tiring leaders. Ziggy's Missile or Em Four benefit from the tactical meltdown up front.

Ziggy's MissileEm FourOver SpicedJax Edge

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Dapper Valley goes off too fast early as he could set this up for the closers behind

WATCH

Watch Over Spiced's early positioning as her 13lb weight pull gives her a significant advantage if she can sit handy

NOTE

Watch Em Four's early position as he needs the pace to be stronger than expected to get into contention

WATCH

Watch for any market moves on Jax Edge despite her poor recent run as the prominent style suits perfectly

NOTE

Watch the pace through the first two furlongs as this will determine whether hold-up horses get involved

3:10 — Download The Fitzdares App Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Good · NOV · 9 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:48 — Call Fitzdares For Top Prices Fillies' Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Siam Ruby led, as the map showed.

Dreamasar won at 4.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

DreamasarRoyal PoetrySiam Ruby

Prominent · 1

Princess Rascal

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

PlaidTypical Woman

Dreamasar, Royal Poetry, and Siam Ruby will ensure a strong gallop from the start with all three confirmed front runners unlikely to yield. The sustained pace over 1m2f on good to firm ground will create a searching test of stamina, particularly through Salisbury's undulating terrain. Princess Rascal and Typical Woman will need to overcome tactical disadvantages from their hold-up styles. This pace setup clearly favors prominent racers who can sit close enough to avoid being strung out but won't get embroiled in the early speed battle.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Collapse

45% probability

If the three leaders go too hard early and crack in the final two furlongs

The sustained gallop will stretch the field and allow hold-up horses to pick up the pieces late. Typical Woman's stamina and Princess Rascal's class will shine through when the pace setters tire.

Typical WomanPrincess RascalPlaidDreamasar

Front Runner Dominates

30% probability

If one of the pace setters can steal a march and dictate more sensible fractions

Siam Ruby or Royal Poetry could use their early speed to control the race and maintain enough for the finish. The others will struggle to reel in a controlled front runner over this trip.

Siam RubyRoyal PoetryDreamasarPrincess Rascal

Tactical Pace Battle

15% probability

If the three leaders mark each other closely and allow a more tactical race to develop

The pace will be more stop-start, suiting horses that can quicken rather than stay. Plaid's speed and Princess Rascal's class become more relevant in a sprint finish.

Princess RascalPlaidRoyal PoetryTypical Woman

Stamina Test Survival

10% probability

If all three leaders maintain their positions and create an extreme gallop throughout

Only the most genuine stayers will be in contention, with Typical Woman's proven stamina and Dreamasar's breeding coming to the fore. The pace will be unsustainable for most.

Typical WomanDreamasarPrincess RascalSiam Ruby

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Dreamasar and Royal Poetry can handle the long absence and stronger pace pressure after easy previous wins

WATCH

Monitor how Typical Woman travels early - if struggling to stay in touch the strong pace will finish her chances completely

NOTE

Observe Princess Rascal's early positioning - needs to be closer than usual style suggests to cope with the strong gallop

WATCH

Check if Siam Ruby can maintain her front running style when challenged by two other confirmed pace setters

NOTE

Watch Plaid's response to the step up in trip - breeding suggests stamina questions at this distance for the first time

4:20 — Fitzdares Extra Places Every Day EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Good · CLS3 · 9 runners

Ranga Tang to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Outflank led; the map had Ranga Tang in front.

Ranga Tang won at 1.62 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ranga Tang

Prominent · 3

OutflankShirakawaSir Griflet

Midfield · 2

Spirit DreamerScarlet Legend

Hold Up · 3

Semper FeminaLast TrumpSurrey King

Ranga Tang will take this field along at a controlled gallop, with no serious pace pressure from the small field. Outflank and Shirakawa may sit handy but neither appears keen to challenge for the early lead. The modest pace will set up a sprint finish from the final three furlongs, allowing hold-up horses like Last Trump, Semper Femina, and the debutants Scarlet Legend and Spirit Dreamer to close strongly. This race shape clearly favours horses with finishing kicks who can settle and deliver late pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Classy Debutants Deliver

45% probability

If either Scarlet Legend or Spirit Dreamer shows the class suggested by their breeding and Balding stable

The sustainable pace allows them to settle before unleashing superior finishing speed in the final two furlongs. Balding's 19% strike-rate with newcomers combines with excellent pedigrees to overcome their debut disadvantage.

Scarlet LegendSpirit DreamerLast TrumpSemper Femina

Last Trump Fulfills Promise

30% probability

If Last Trump builds on his promising Newbury debut where he shaped well before fading

The extra two furlongs and controlled pace suit his hold-up style perfectly after showing ability over 1m3f. His late fade at Newbury suggests the step up in trip is exactly what he needs.

Last TrumpSemper FeminaScarlet LegendOutflank

Front Runner Holds On

15% probability

If Ranga Tang gets an easy lead and the pace stays very modest throughout

His proven stamina over 1m2f-1m4f and game front-running style could see him resist late challenges if not pressed early. The relatively weak field may lack the pace to reel him in despite the tactical disadvantage.

Ranga TangOutflankLast TrumpScarlet Legend

Exposed Form Prevails

10% probability

If the race develops into a truly-run affair where experience trumps potential

Outflank's Group-class breeding and respectable Salisbury third gives him an edge over less-exposed rivals. His prominent style allows him to track the pace and quicken when the real racing begins.

OutflankRanga TangSemper FeminaLast Trump

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ranga Tang could steal this if he gets an uncontested lead and the pace stays very modest throughout

WATCH

Surrey King showed very poor debut form and has concerning pattern of fading in finish

NOTE

Last Trump's debut effort suggests significant improvement likely with step up to 1m4f

NOTE

Both Balding debutants merit close attention given trainer's 19% strike-rate with newcomers

WATCH

Semper Femina ran well on debut but ninth of 10 last time at Kempton suggests form decline

4:55 — Fitzdares Handicap

1m6f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Calshot Spit likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Laravie led; the map had Calshot Spit in front.

Laravie won at 3.12 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Calshot Spit

Prominent · 1

Laravie

Midfield · 4

Sneaky BlinderBasiletteHigh FavourGolden Samba

Hold Up · 3

KotariTake The BoatBeggarman

Calshot Spit looks the only natural pace-setter in this small field, with Laravie potentially pressing but more likely to settle just behind. The moderate early gallop will suit the large contingent of hold-up horses including Kotari, Beggarman, Take The Boat, Sneaky Blinder and Golden Samba, who will be looking to pounce late. With so many horses needing to come from behind and only one confirmed leader, this sets up as a tactical affair that will likely develop into a sprint finish. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce a sustained finish, as they'll have every chance to get competitive from the rear.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tactical Sprint Finish

55% probability

If Calshot Spit sets a steady pace and the field bunches up approaching the final three furlongs

The race becomes a dash from the back with multiple hold-up horses launching bids simultaneously. Kotari and Take The Boat, both proven over this trip with strong finishing kicks, are best equipped to capitalize on this scenario.

KotariTake The BoatBeggarmanSneaky Blinder

Front Runner Dominates

25% probability

If Calshot Spit gets an easy lead and quickens turning for home before the closers can respond

Despite being outrated, the front runner's fitness edge from recent hurdles action tells as the field struggles to peg back the leader. Calshot Spit holds on with Laravie best placed to chase from a prominent position.

Calshot SpitLaravieKotariBeggarman

Improved Hold-Up Winner

12% probability

If one of the lightly-raced horses has improved significantly and produces a decisive late surge

Golden Samba or Basilette, returning from breaks with untapped potential, unleashes a powerful finish that catches the more exposed runners. Their fresher profiles and lower weights become decisive factors.

Golden SambaBasiletteTake The BoatKotari

Experience Trumps Class

8% probability

If the testing conditions and tactical nature expose the younger or less experienced runners

Beggarman's course experience and proven stamina at this trip sees him grind out victory in a war of attrition. The veteran's racecraft becomes the difference as others falter in the final furlong.

BeggarmanKotariCalshot SpitSneaky Blinder

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Calshot Spit's fitness after 570-day absence - if sweating up or showing signs of a hard race early, the pace scenario changes completely

WATCH

Take The Boat's turf debut with 7lb apprentice - market support would suggest connections confident about surface switch

NOTE

Kotari's settling ability early on - his hold-up style needs to overcome the tactical pace to be effective

WATCH

Any late market moves for Golden Samba or Basilette - both have scope for improvement despite long absences

NOTE

How aggressively Laravie races in prominent position - could disrupt the tactical pace if pressing Calshot Spit

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 3 May 2026.

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