Archive›Salisbury · 9 June 2026

Salisbury

9 June 2026 · 7 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

2:18 — Clive Cox Racing EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B/C/D) (EBF Qual') (GBB/IRE Incentive) (Div I)

6f · Soft · NOV · 12 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:48 — Clive Cox Racing EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B/C/D) (EBF Qual') (GBB/IRE Incentive) (Div II)

6f · Soft · NOV · 12 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:18 — Remembering Jane Samuels Handicap

6f · Soft · HCAP · 11 runners

Lazzar likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Distant Rumble led; the map had Lazzar in front.

Supreme King won at 4.33 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Lazzar

Prominent · 3

LodgeThunderous LoveAddictive

Midfield · 4

Invincible SpeedDistant RumblePhoenix MoonUnico

Hold Up · 3

Supreme KingArantes NascimentoNewsreader

Lazzar will likely take the early lead with Lodge, Thunderous Love and Addictive providing prominent support, creating a genuine pace for this 6f handicap. The soft ground will prevent any breakneck gallop, allowing the pace to be sustainable rather than destructive. With 7 of 11 runners holding up or racing mid-division, the field will bunch up turning for home as the hold-up horses make their moves. This race shape strongly favours the hold-up horses and those racing handy who can quicken off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Brigade Strikes

45% probability

If the early pace is genuine but sustainable allowing closers to pick up the pieces

The soft ground plays into the hands of those racing patiently as Lazzar and Lodge set honest fractions. Supreme King, Arantes Nascimento and Distant Rumble get the perfect setup to unleash their finishing kicks.

Supreme KingArantes NascimentoDistant RumblePhoenix Moon

Handy Horse Capitalises

30% probability

If one of the prominent racers can slip the field turning for home

Lodge or Thunderous Love uses their forward position to steal a march on the hold-up brigade. The soft conditions suit both horses and their tactical edge proves decisive as the closers leave their runs too late.

LodgeThunderous LoveUnicoNewsreader

Pace Collapses Completely

15% probability

If Lazzar goes too slow early and the race becomes a sprint

The lack of genuine pace turns this into a 2f dash where the best turn of foot wins regardless of position. Invincible Speed and Phoenix Moon benefit most from their recent runs and sharper condition.

Invincible SpeedPhoenix MoonArantes NascimentoLodge

Lazzar Wire-To-Wire

10% probability

If the favourite gets an uncontested lead and kicks clear

With his proven front-running ability Lazzar dictates throughout and finds enough in reserve to hold off late challengers. The soft ground doesn't inconvenience him as much as expected given his recent excuses.

LazzarThunderous LoveLodgeSupreme King

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Lazzar could steal this if allowed an uncontested lead as his turf form might be better than it appears

WATCH

Arantes Nascimento has never raced on soft ground despite solid recent form suggesting he handles turf conditions

WATCH

Distant Rumble's complete lack of soft ground experience could derail his progressive profile

NOTE

Lodge returns from nearly two-month break but showed clear soft ground ability at Windsor when second

NOTE

Phoenix Moon's recent turf improvement suggests the AW-to-turf switch is working for Denis Coakley's mare

3:48 — Danny McNab Bookmakers Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Soft · NOV · 14 runners

Lead contested: Areti v HughHISTORIC

How it ran

Lucky Luna led; the map had Areti and Hugh in front.

Lucky Luna won at 12.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

AretiHugh

Prominent · 3

Bright SummerBold ShoutDupont Circle

Midfield · 5

Le SamouraiBack At OneJean's BoyPaint Your PaletteCosmic Jive

Hold Up · 4

Sapphire SecretRajibaLucky LunaSiddal

Areti and Hugh are the confirmed front runners who will contest the early lead, with both having shown they can dictate from the front. Their clash should create an honest gallop over this 7f trip on testing soft ground, preventing any crawling early fractions. The large field of 14 runners means those settling in midfield positions like Bright Summer and Bold Shout will need to navigate traffic, while the many hold-up horses will be relying on a strong pace to set up their finishing kicks. This race shape clearly favours prominent racers and those with early speed who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will engulf the back markers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runners Clash Hard

45% probability

If Areti and Hugh engage in a prolonged speed duel from the gates

The honest pace will set up perfectly for prominent racers like Bright Summer and Bold Shout to strike in the final furlong as the leaders tire on the testing ground. The strong gallop prevents any kick-back scenarios that would favour the many hold-up horses.

Bright SummerBold ShoutHughAreti

One Leader Dominates Early

30% probability

If either Areti or Hugh gets an uncontested lead while the other settles

The lone leader controls the fractions and stays strong late, while those tracking in second or third position like Dupont Circle get first run on any faltering pace-setter. Hold-up horses still face traffic issues in the big field.

AretiHughDupont CircleBright Summer

Messy Pace Battle

15% probability

If multiple horses including Bold Shout and Dupont Circle join the early pace contest

The fractious early pace creates gaps for the better hold-up horses like Rajiba and Lucky Luna to exploit, as several front runners compound each other. The testing ground amplifies the advantage of those conserving energy early.

RajibaLucky LunaSapphire SecretLe Samourai

Debutant Surprise

10% probability

If Le Samourai shows immediate professional debut class despite being unknown quantity

The expensive, well-bred newcomer from the Beckett stable bypasses traffic issues that plague exposed runners and benefits from the strong early pace. His half-brother Romantic Warrior's class suggests he could be anything on debut.

Le SamouraiHughBright SummerBold Shout

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Areti returning from 159-day layoff with soft ground question marks could compromise her front-running tactics

WATCH

Le Samourai as expensive unknown debutant from top connections could bypass all form calculations

NOTE

Traffic problems will be severe in this 14-runner field, particularly affecting the many hold-up horses

WATCH

The soft ground may not suit several runners including Areti who has struggled on similar surfaces before

NOTE

Hugh showed he was staying on strongly when second last time and the 7f trip should suit his front-running style

4:18 — Kingsclere Racing Club Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

1m2f · Soft · CLS3 · 11 runners

Besieged likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Easwrith Destiny and Poor Relation led; the map had Besieged in front.

Besieged won at 1.44 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Besieged

Prominent · 2

Easwrith DestinyNotable Charm

Midfield · 5

Traveling ManHerstmonceuxCentrumLong ReignCartrefle

Hold Up · 3

Poor RelationLast TrumpMuch

Besieged is the only confirmed front-runner in this 11-runner field and will likely get an uncontested lead on the soft ground. The prominent runners Notable Charm and Easwrith Destiny may press but both have shown tendencies to fade, leaving Besieged to dictate terms. With limited early pace, this sets up as a steady gallop that will quicken late over the extended 1m2f trip. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late kicks, particularly those with stamina and soft ground ability.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

55% probability

If Besieged sets modest fractions and the field bunches entering the straight

The lack of genuine pace allows closers to time their runs perfectly while early leaders tire on testing ground. Last Trump, Poor Relation and Much benefit from patient rides and strong finishing kicks.

Last TrumpPoor RelationMuchCartrefle

Class breakthrough wins

25% probability

If one of the Gosden or Fellowes debutants shows immediate high-class ability

Centrum or Traveling Man overcomes inexperience to win on talent alone, with pedigree and connections overcoming tactical disadvantage. Their superior breeding tells in the final furlong despite suboptimal positioning.

CentrumTraveling ManHerstmonceuxBesieged

Front-runner holds on

12% probability

If Besieged kicks clear turning for home before others can respond

His fitness advantage and proven form at the trip allows him to build an unassailable lead on horses making debut or returning from breaks. The soft ground saps the finishing kick from pursuers.

BesiegedLast TrumpPoor RelationMuch

Pace collapses completely

8% probability

If the tempo becomes crawling and turns into a sprint finish

The race becomes a lottery where any horse with a turn of foot can win regardless of style, favouring those who stay closest to the pace. Notable Charm or Easwrith Destiny could surprise if staying on better than recent form suggests.

Notable CharmEaswrith DestinyBesiegedMuch

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Besieged must be watched early - if he faces unexpected pressure from prominent runners, his stamina reserves could be compromised

WATCH

Poor Relation returning after 140 days off - watch for market support and how sharp she looks in preliminaries given the long absence

NOTE

Centrum and Traveling Man both making debuts for top connections - any significant market moves would suggest homework has been impressive

WATCH

Notable Charm and Easwrith Destiny both showed pace before fading previously - if either travels strongly into straight they could surprise at big odds

NOTE

Last Trump dropping back from 1m4f to 1m2f - watch how Hornby positions him as trip reduction could either help or hinder his finishing kick

4:53 — Everywhen Margadale Fillies' Handicap

1m2f · Soft · HCAP · 8 runners

Regal Charm likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Royal Poetry led; the map had Regal Charm in front.

Regal Charm won at 3.75 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Regal Charm

Prominent · 2

Royal PoetryJazzy Baby

Midfield · 3

AffectionRossa RaheenAlbus Anne

Hold Up · 2

MorvenTypical Woman

Regal Charm will likely set the pace with Jazzy Baby and Royal Poetry settling just behind in prominent positions, creating a moderate gallop over the extended trip on testing ground. The lack of confirmed early pace means the tempo could be steady rather than fierce, with the hold-up horses Typical Woman, Rossa Raheen, Albus Anne and Morven tracking from midfield and rear. On soft ground over 1m2f with limited early pressure, this race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and closers who can finish powerfully from off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Closers Dominate Late

65% probability

If the pace is steady and hold-up horses get clear runs

The moderate early gallop sets up perfectly for the back-markers to unleash sustained finishes, with soft ground aiding stamina-laden types. Typical Woman, Albus Anne and Morven all excel when allowed to close from off the pace.

Albus AnneMorvenTypical WomanRossa Raheen

Prominent Pair Persist

20% probability

If Regal Charm and Jazzy Baby kick clear turning in

The front two maintain their advantage as the closing brigade fails to get organized or encounters traffic problems in the straight. Their early positioning proves decisive when the expected late charge doesn't materialize with sufficient force.

Regal CharmJazzy BabyRoyal PoetryAffection

Midfield Mover Strikes

10% probability

If Rossa Raheen gets the perfect trip tracking the leaders

The lightly-weighted three-year-old times her challenge to perfection, picking up the pieces when the pace collapses but avoiding the traffic that snares the hold-up horses. Her improved recent form translates to victory under tactical riding from Probert.

Rossa RaheenRoyal PoetryMorvenJazzy Baby

French Import Surprise

5% probability

If Affection shows improved fitness after her French import

The unknown quantity produces a bold front-running or prominent performance that catches the field off-guard. Her previous French form proves stronger than anticipated, and she handles the soft conditions better than her rivals.

AffectionRegal CharmJazzy BabyRoyal Poetry

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Affection shows early pace intent as this could completely change the complexion with an unknown front-runner

WATCH

Monitor Regal Charm's fitness after 228-day absence as she may not sustain her usual front-running role

NOTE

Check Albus Anne's early position as her hold-up style needs the pace to develop properly

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems in straight as multiple hold-up horses will be looking for room simultaneously

NOTE

Observe Rossa Raheen's positioning under Probert as her light weight could be crucial if pace collapses

5:28 — Charter 1227 Catering Handicap

6f · Soft · HCAP · 12 runners

Tenzi likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Maid In Devon and Marra Donna and Barry The Worm led; the map had Tenzi in front.

Maid In Devon won at 1.83 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Tenzi

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 7

Grand VistaBarry The WormStock MarketMadmanMaid In DevonWayward QueenFollow My Heart

Hold Up · 4

That's RandomMarra DonnaYes WaliimGrimese's Special

Tenzi appears the only natural front runner in this field, giving her an uncontested lead through moderate early fractions on the soft ground. With 11 hold-up horses behind her, the pace will be sedate early before building through the middle furlongs as the field closes up. The soft conditions will make sustained kicks harder, creating a more even contest in the final furlong where stamina becomes crucial. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can track Tenzi closely and hold-up horses with proven soft ground form who can stay on when others tire.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tenzi Controls Tempo

45% probability

If Tenzi gets an easy lead and dictates moderate fractions without pressure

Her sustainable pace on testing ground allows her to kick clear turning in while the hold-up brigade struggle to make up ground on the slower surface. William Carver can time her effort perfectly with no pace pressure early.

TenziGrand VistaMaid In DevonGrimese's Special

Late Cavalry Charge

30% probability

If the pace becomes truly crawling and the field bunches up entering the final two furlongs

The soft ground helps stamina-laden hold-up horses like Grand Vista and those with proven soft form mount sustained challenges. Tom Marquand on Grand Vista times his run to perfection as Tenzi's early advantage gets neutralized.

Grand VistaMaid In DevonStock MarketGrimese's Special

Form Horse Prevails

15% probability

If Maid In Devon reproduces her recent C&D win despite the 5lb rise and slower conditions

Oisin Murphy gets her into a perfect tracking position behind Tenzi before unleashing her finishing kick. The class edge from her recent victory over Stock Market proves decisive on familiar territory.

Maid In DevonStock MarketGrand VistaTenzi

Outsider Strikes

10% probability

If the combination of soft ground and 6f trip catches the market leaders out of their comfort zone

A lightly-weighted runner like Follow My Heart or an improving type like That's Random benefits from the testing conditions. The pace collapse allows a big-priced runner to emerge from the pack late.

Follow My HeartThat's RandomBarry The WormWayward Queen

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Stock Market has a tendency to fade in the finish and failed to settle last time, making him unreliable in betting

WATCH

Maid In Devon faces a 5lb penalty for her recent C&D win and slower ground than her winning conditions

WATCH

Barry The Worm returns after 40 days off which raises fitness concerns despite his cheekpieces

NOTE

Follow My Heart gets useful weight allowance and represents the same stable as recent winner Maid In Devon

NOTE

Tenzi will reveal early if she's keen or settling kindly as the lone pace angle, crucial for race development

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 9 June 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →