Archive›Sandown · 13 June 2026

Sandown

13 June 2026 · 7 races

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1:32 — Download The BetMGM App Handicap

1m1f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Mohaaraj likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Loblolly led; the map had Mohaaraj in front.

The Joker won at 2.75 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mohaaraj

Prominent · 1

Law Court

Midfield · 3

QuartermasterThe JokerArbaawy

Hold Up · 1

Loblolly

Mohaaraj looks the natural leader with his prominent style and front-running tendencies, likely to set the early fractions with Law Court and The Joker tracking close behind. With only six runners and most adopting prominent positions, this creates a compact group early with nobody applying severe pressure to the leader. The pace should be genuine but controlled, allowing the field to stay in touch longer than usual. This tactical setup favours horses with finishing kick from prominent positions rather than pure front-runners or hold-up horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front Running

45% probability

If Mohaaraj gets an easy lead and dictates fractions without pressure

The pace stays manageable allowing him to kick clear in the straight, while Law Court benefits from the honest gallop tracking the winner. Both prominent runners can sustain their effort over this trip when not pressured early.

MohaarajLaw CourtThe JokerQuartermaster

Prominent Battle

30% probability

If Law Court and The Joker press Mohaaraj from the early stages creating faster fractions

The increased tempo stretches the field and sets up the race for a closer with stamina, bringing Quartermaster and potentially Loblolly into contention. The early pace compromises the front three.

QuartermasterLoblollyArbaawyThe Joker

Even Gallop Finish

15% probability

If the pace becomes pedestrian with all prominent horses content to wait

The race becomes a sprint from the two-furlong pole where class and recent form matter most. Law Court's consistency gives him the edge in a bunched finish over Mohaaraj who may lack the change of gear.

Law CourtThe JokerMohaarajQuartermaster

Surprise Hold-Up

10% probability

If Loblolly gets the perfect trip tracking the leaders who go too fast early

The front-runners collapse allowing the sole hold-up horse to pick up the pieces despite the tactical disadvantage. Quartermaster could also benefit if getting cover despite his light racing.

LoblollyQuartermasterArbaawyLaw Court

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mohaaraj's early position - if he doesn't lead cleanly the race shape changes completely

WATCH

The Joker's settling - any keen early running will compromise his stamina over this extended trip

WATCH

Quartermaster's running style emerging - his light experience means we don't know his true tactical preferences

NOTE

Law Court's jumping from the stalls - slow away would negate his prominent running advantage

NOTE

Loblolly finding cover early - as the only confirmed hold-up horse he needs the leaders to go fast enough

2:05 — BetMGM Fillies' Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

City Queen likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lady Milton and Hatour led; the map had City Queen in front.

City Queen won at 6.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

City Queen

Prominent · 4

Flash Of FireValkyrie StormKarvalaDistant Shore

Midfield · 4

HatourQueen's CompanionForbidden ColoursLady Milton

Hold Up · 3

Guitar SoloMoonlit SurfIf I Could Dream

City Queen will likely dictate from the front with minimal pressure, as most of this field are prominent runners rather than natural pace pressers. Flash Of Fire, Valkyrie Storm, Karvala and Distant Shore will all settle in behind but none are aggressive early types. The sustainable gallop will create a searching test over the final 2f where stamina and tactical positioning become crucial. This measured pace profile strongly favours prominent runners who can track the leader and strike late, while the hold-up horses face a significant disadvantage against the likely tempo.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runner Paradise

55% probability

If City Queen sets uncontested fractions and the field bunches turning in

The patient prominent runners get first run on the leader while hold-up horses are caught flat-footed by the lack of pace. Valkyrie Storm, Karvala or Flash Of Fire can time their challenges perfectly from ideal tracking positions.

Valkyrie StormKarvalaFlash Of FireDistant Shore

Early Pace Collapse

25% probability

If City Queen goes too slow early and bunches the entire field

The race becomes a sprint finish where the best horse on the day wins regardless of tactics. Higher-rated fillies City Queen and Flash Of Fire can use their class advantage in a messy finish.

City QueenFlash Of FireValkyrie StormHatour

Hold-up Horse Revival

12% probability

If genuine pace emerges from multiple prominent runners scrapping early

A strong gallop stretches the field and creates the gaps hold-up horses need to be effective. Guitar Solo and If I Could Dream can unleash finishing kicks from off the pace.

Guitar SoloMoonlit SurfIf I Could DreamHatour

Shock Outsider Strike

8% probability

If the favourites fail to handle the tactical nature or going conditions

A progressive type with less exposed form capitalizes on a muddling race. Queen's Companion or Lady Milton could outrun their odds with improved efforts.

Queen's CompanionLady MiltonForbidden ColoursHatour

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

City Queen could get an uncontested lead if no prominent runners press early, making her very hard to peg back

WATCH

Flash Of Fire returning from 250-day absence might need the run despite powerful stable booking top jockey

WATCH

Guitar Solo and other hold-up horses face major tactical disadvantage if City Queen gets easy fractions

NOTE

Valkyrie Storm has won her last two on good ground and gets ideal weight-for-age conditions

NOTE

Market moves on any Gosden, Appleby or Ferguson runners given their strike rates in competitive handicaps

2:42 — BetMGM Scurry Stakes (Listed Race)

5f · Good · LST · 9 runners

Words Of Truth likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lady Youmzain and Argentine Tango led; the map had Words Of Truth in front.

Words Of Truth won at 2.88 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Words Of Truth

Prominent · 3

Military CodeSirius AArgentine Tango

Midfield · 4

PoatanLady YoumzainManatee MehmasOur Cody

Hold Up · 1

Palmeira

Words Of Truth looks the most natural pace-setter with his prominent style and likely early position, though several other prominent runners including Military Code, Manatee Mehmas and Lady Youmzain could press forward early. With no confirmed tearaway leader and eight runners showing prominent tendencies, this sets up as a competitive early gallop where positioning will be crucial. The sustained pace over 5f on good turf should create a strong test, with the lone hold-up runner Palmeira facing a significant disadvantage. This pace dynamic clearly favours prominent racers who can secure good early positions without getting embroiled in early speed battles.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Battle Unfolds

45% probability

If Words Of Truth, Military Code and Manatee Mehmas all go forward together creating competitive early fractions.

The sustained pace will suit those who can travel just behind the speed without getting caught up in the early skirmishing. Class horses like Words Of Truth and Military Code, with their proven 5f form, should benefit from this honest gallop.

Words Of TruthMilitary CodeManatee MehmasLady Youmzain

Tactical Prominent Win

30% probability

If one of the prominent runners gets an uncontested lead and dictates more moderate fractions.

The horse who secures the best tactical position early will have every chance to see out the trip strongly. Lady Youmzain's recent form and lighter weight could prove decisive, while Manatee Mehmas has winning 5f form.

Lady YoumzainManatee MehmasWords Of TruthPoatan

Class Rises Late

15% probability

If the early pace is genuinely strong and the prominent horses come back to the field in the final furlong.

Words Of Truth's superior rating and Appleby stable strength could tell late, while Military Code's class may shine through despite the layoff. Both have proven they can win when things get competitive.

Words Of TruthMilitary CodePoatanArgentine Tango

Surprise Hold-up Strike

10% probability

If Palmeira gets the perfect pace scenario with very strong early fractions and finds racing room late.

The lone hold-up runner could benefit if the prominent horses go too hard early and compromise each other. However, this requires everything to fall perfectly for the tactical outsider.

PalmeiraOur CodyArgentine TangoPoatan

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Words Of Truth and Military Code both trained by Charlie Appleby - watch for stable tactics affecting how they're ridden

WATCH

Lady Youmzain has only raced three times and won on soft ground - good conditions are untested

NOTE

Palmeira is the only hold-up runner so watch early pace development to assess her winning chances

WATCH

Military Code hasn't raced for 294 days - watch for any signs of rustiness in the preliminaries

NOTE

Manatee Mehmas has perfect 5f form but watch if the step up in class proves too much

3:17 — Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Hard Endeavor likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Tilted Kilt led; the map had Hard Endeavor in front.

Beagle Bay won at 5.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Hard Endeavor

Prominent · 4

Circus Of RomeRaammeeHigh DegreeBeagle Bay

Midfield · 3

Hot CashCogitateJoolianoss

Hold Up · 4

CashSeanShafdarTilted Kilt

Hard Endeavor will dictate from the front with minimal early pressure, as the other prominent types (Circus Of Rome, Raammee, High Degree, Beagle Bay) are content to sit just off the pace rather than challenge for the lead. This sets up a controlled tempo through the early stages, with the pace likely to quicken from halfway as the field bunches up on the home turn. The lack of genuine speed horses means the gallop will build gradually rather than sprint from the gates. This tactical setup strongly favours prominent racers and those with tactical speed who can position close to the pace, as they'll get first run when the race develops in the final three furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Leaders

45% probability

If Hard Endeavor gets an uncontested lead and the pace stays moderate until the final two furlongs

The front rank gets first run as the field starts to close, making it difficult for hold-up horses to make up significant ground. Prominent racers with tactical speed can kick clear before the closers get organized.

Hard EndeavorCircus Of RomeRaammeeHigh Degree

Strong Pace Favours Closers

30% probability

If multiple prominent horses pressure Hard Endeavor early or the gallop quickens significantly from halfway

The increased tempo stretches the field and sets up a genuine staying test, playing into the hands of hold-up horses with proven finishing kicks. Cash and Sean benefit from their patient tactics as the early leaders tire.

CashTilted KiltSeanShafdar

Tactical Sprint Finish

15% probability

If the field stays bunched until the final furlong and it becomes a pure sprint from the back of the pack

The moderate early pace means everyone arrives with a chance, turning it into a dash where class and current form matter most. Recent winners with good finishing speed can exploit the tactical nature.

Beagle BayRaammeeHot CashJoolianoss

Hard Endeavor Wires Field

10% probability

If Hard Endeavor gets soft fractions and none of the prominent horses can mount a sustained challenge

The front-runner's stamina proves superior as challengers fail to sustain their efforts in the final furlong. Murphy's tactical ride from the front proves decisive in a race that falls apart behind.

Hard EndeavorHigh DegreeCogitateHot Cash

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Hard Endeavor's early position - if he gets an easy lead the closers will struggle to peg him back

WATCH

Cash's fitness after 273 days layoff - any sign of rustiness early eliminates his chances completely

NOTE

Raammee's headgear debut - first-time hood suggests Varian expects significant improvement from recent winner

WATCH

The pace through the first half-mile - if too slow it becomes a sprint finish favoring recent course winners

NOTE

Sean's position turning for home - his tendency to fade late means he must be close to have any chance

3:55 — Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Sovereign Ocean likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Utmost Good Faith led; the map had Sovereign Ocean in front.

Sticktoyourguns won at 3.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently.

2 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Sovereign Ocean

Prominent · 3

SticktoyourgunsWezzeerMalachy's Wish

Midfield · 4

IronwillSpirit Of SaxonyCrown OfficeCashbox

Hold Up · 2

Archer RoyalUtmost Good Faith

Sovereign Ocean is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms from the start without pressure, likely setting a sustainable gallop that won't tire him. Behind him, six prominent racers including Wezzeer, Ironwill, and Sticktoyourguns will jostle for positions just off the pace, creating a wall of runners tracking the leader. The two hold-up horses Archer Royal and Utmost Good Faith will need gaps to appear in the straight as the field compresses. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can position close to Sovereign Ocean's steady tempo and kick when the pace lifts, rather than closers who may struggle to find racing room.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Kick Prevails

60% probability

If the prominent runners get first run on Sovereign Ocean turning for home

The wall of prominent racers behind the leader gets early position for their finishing efforts, with Wezzeer, Ironwill and Spirit Of Saxony best placed to strike. Archer Royal and Utmost Good Faith struggle for clear runs as the field compresses.

WezzeerIronwillSpirit Of SaxonySticktoyourguns

Sovereign Ocean Wires Field

25% probability

If the front-runner maintains his kick when challenged in the final furlong

Having faced no early pressure, Sovereign Ocean has enough left in the tank to repel the prominent runners' challenges despite his long layoff. His proven 7f form at this course gives him the edge in a driving finish.

Sovereign OceanWezzeerIronwillSpirit Of Saxony

Hold-Up Horse Success

10% probability

If the prominent pack goes too hard chasing Sovereign Ocean from the 3f pole

The pace collapses in the final furlong as the prominent runners tire from their efforts, allowing Archer Royal or Utmost Good Faith to find gaps and finish strongly. The Gosden stable's 14-day gap with Archer Royal proves ideal for a peak run.

Archer RoyalUtmost Good FaithCrown OfficeCashbox

Pace Collapse Scramble

5% probability

If Sovereign Ocean sets fractions too slow and gets swamped by the field

The sustainable early pace becomes crawling, turning the race into a sprint finish where any runner can win depending on luck in running. The highest-rated horses Archer Royal and Sovereign Ocean have class advantages in a messy finish.

Archer RoyalSovereign OceanUtmost Good FaithWezzeer

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Sovereign Ocean's 169-day layoff could see him weaken dramatically in the final furlong if the prominent pack sustains their challenge

WATCH

Track bias development as good ground could favour either rails or stands side, crucially affecting draw positions

NOTE

Archer Royal's early positioning will reveal tactical intentions - if settled further back than usual, suggests confidence in strong pace

WATCH

Pace development through first half-mile will determine if hold-up horses get their required strong gallop or face impossible task

NOTE

Wezzeer's prominence early will indicate if Roger Varian's charge is ready to capitalize on ideal race setup

4:32 — Darley British EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

1m2f · Good · CLS2 · 6 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

5:07 — Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m6f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Squire Danagher likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Trojan Storm led; the map had Squire Danagher in front.

Squire Danagher won at 51.00 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Squire Danagher

Prominent · 3

Percy ShelleyPersonal BestDouble Meaning

Midfield · 2

PyleatesFree World

Hold Up · 3

MarnierMacariTrojan Storm

Squire Danagher will lead from the start with no pressure, having been off for 610 days and likely to appreciate a soft lead. Percy Shelley and Personal Best may sit just behind, but both prefer to track rather than force the pace. This creates an uncontested front end that should see Squire Danagher dictate moderate fractions throughout. The tactical verdict strongly favors hold-up horses like Marnier and Macari, who can exploit the likely pedestrian gallop and strong finish required at this trip.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If Squire Danagher gets an easy lead and stays on

The returning gelding controls the tempo completely and has enough left to resist late challenges. Hold-up horses struggle to peg back the strong stayer who finds his best form fresh.

Squire DanagherPercy ShelleyPersonal BestDouble Meaning

Hold-Up Horses Swamp Leader

35% probability

If the pace becomes too slow for the trip

Marnier and Macari get the perfect setup to unleash their finishing kicks from the back. The Gosden-trained Marnier particularly thrives when able to quicken off a modest gallop.

MarnierMacariPercy ShelleySquire Danagher

Prominent Trackers Strike

15% probability

If Percy Shelley or Personal Best press forward

The consistent Percy Shelley uses his excellent course form to track and strike, while Personal Best benefits from racing more prominently. Both avoid the traffic issues that could plague hold-up horses.

Percy ShelleyPersonal BestDouble MeaningMarnier

Pace Collapses Completely

5% probability

If all prominent horses sit and wait

The race becomes a sprint finish where class tells and Marnier's superior rating shows. The Havlin-ridden four-year-old has the tactical speed to win from any position when the pace falls apart.

MarnierPercy ShelleyPersonal BestSquire Danagher

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Squire Danagher's fitness after 610 days off - any sign of blowing up in the straight signals major concern

WATCH

Early pace development - if Percy Shelley or Personal Best press forward it changes the entire complexion

NOTE

Marnier's position turning in - needs to be within striking distance to use his class advantage

WATCH

Free World's finishing effort given his tendency to fade when the pace lifts

NOTE

Track bias development throughout the card - any advantage to rails or stands side runners

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 13 June 2026.

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