Archive›Sandown · 24 April 2026

Sandown

24 April 2026 · 7 races

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1:20 — bet365 Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Lead contested: Black Star Boy v AmbishioFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Hypnotised led; the map had Black Star Boy and Ambishio in front.

Black Star Boy won at 10.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Black Star BoyAmbishio

Prominent · 4

UnderwriterSir AlfieOld Is GoldHypnotised

Midfield · 1

One And Gone

Hold Up · 2

Calico BlueAtticum

Black Star Boy and Ambishio will establish the early tempo, with Black Star Boy's front-running style likely to dictate terms from the rail. Four horses (Old Is Gold, One And Gone, Sir Alfie, Hypnotised) wanting prominent positions creates congestion through the first two furlongs before settling. The sustained gallop over 5f on good ground will expose stamina limitations, particularly as the pace intensifies approaching the final furlong. This honest tempo strongly favours hold-up horses like Calico Blue and Atticum who can produce late kicks when the early pace takes its toll.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

45% probability

If Black Star Boy and Ambishio maintain strong early fractions through halfway

The sustained pace burns out the prominent pack, creating perfect conditions for closers to sweep past tired leaders in the final furlong. Calico Blue and Atticum benefit most from this tactical setup with their proven finishing kicks.

Calico BlueAtticumUnderwriterOld Is Gold

Prominent pressure cooker

30% probability

If the four prominent runners (Old Is Gold, Sir Alfie, One And Gone, Hypnotised) engage in early scrimmaging behind the leaders

The mid-pack becomes a tactical mess with horses getting shuffled back or forced wide, allowing one prominent runner to get first run. Sir Alfie or Old Is Gold can capitalize on superior class when others are still organizing their challenges.

Sir AlfieOld Is GoldHypnotisedOne And Gone

Front-runner steals it

15% probability

If Black Star Boy gets an uncontested lead while Ambishio settles just off the pace

The lack of early pressure allows Black Star Boy to control fractions and kick clear, while the prominent horses react too late to the acceleration. His Newbury win suggests he has the tactical speed to exploit soft fractions over this shorter trip.

Black Star BoyAmbishioSir AlfieAtticum

Pace collapse carnage

10% probability

If both leaders go too fast early while the prominent quartet also engages aggressively

The entire front half of the field comes back dramatically in the final furlong, creating opportunities for any horse with late pace. Even lesser-fancied runners like Underwriter could benefit if positioned perfectly for the chaos.

UnderwriterHypnotisedOne And GoneCalico Blue

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Black Star Boy and Ambishio could set unsustainable fractions if they engage in early speed duel

WATCH

Traffic problems likely at 2f out when four prominent runners try to improve position simultaneously

WATCH

Calico Blue's 287-day absence could blunt his finishing kick despite ideal tactical setup

NOTE

Jamie Spencer on Underwriter may try to overcome his mount's finishing limitations with aggressive tactics

NOTE

Recent race fitness gives Sir Alfie and Ambishio significant advantages over long-absent rivals

1:50 — bet365 Esher Cup Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Organise and Goodwood Galaxy led, as the map showed.

Laureate Crown won at 8.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

OrganiseLook To The StarsBreathe Easy

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 3

Laureate CrownCapall RasaNobody Knows

Hold Up · 2

Goodwood GalaxySuspended Sentence

Organise and Look To The Stars will ensure a strong gallop from the outset, with Breathe Easy (non-runner) removing one pace angle but still leaving sufficient early speed. The dual front-runners will stretch the field over this testing mile, creating a searching examination of stamina. Hold-up horses Nobody Knows, Laureate Crown, Suspended Sentence, Goodwood Galaxy and Capall Rasa will need the pace to collapse to be effective. This race shape heavily favours prominent racers and those with proven stamina at the trip.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Strong Gallop

65% probability

If Organise and Look To The Stars maintain a relentless pace throughout

The strong early gallop continues and tests the stamina of all runners, with only the most resolute stayers surviving the final furlong. Hold-up horses find insufficient pace collapse to mount their customary late charges.

OrganiseLook To The StarsSuspended SentenceLaureate Crown

Pace Collapses Late

20% probability

If the front-runners tie up badly in the final two furlongs

Look To The Stars and Organise pay for their early exertions, allowing the hold-up brigade to sweep past in the closing stages. The race becomes a sprint finish between fresh closers.

Nobody KnowsGoodwood GalaxyCapall RasaSuspended Sentence

Tactical Battle

10% probability

If both front-runners are restrained early creating a moderate pace

The anticipated strong gallop fails to materialise as jockeys play a waiting game, turning this into a tactical affair. Those with the most natural speed from off the pace will benefit from the sprint finish.

Laureate CrownCapall RasaNobody KnowsGoodwood Galaxy

Solo Leader Dominates

5% probability

If one front-runner gets an uncontested lead while the other is held up

Either Organise or Look To The Stars secures easy fractions alone in front while their main pace rival tracks behind. The solo leader builds an unassailable advantage through controlled sectionals.

OrganiseLook To The StarsSuspended SentenceNobody Knows

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Look To The Stars showing any signs of rustiness early given the 195-day absence could eliminate a key pace angle

WATCH

Nobody Knows and Goodwood Galaxy both need the front-runners to go too fast early to set up their hold-up tactics

NOTE

Organise's behaviour at the start and early pace judgement from Doyle will largely determine how this race unfolds

WATCH

The ground remaining genuinely good rather than easing, as several hold-up horses have better form on softer surfaces

NOTE

Jockey tactics on Look To The Stars - whether Buick sends him forward immediately or attempts to track the pace

2:25 — bet365 Gordon Richards Stakes (Group 3)

1m2f · Good · G3 · 5 runners

Devil's Advocate likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Devil's Advocate led, as the map showed.

Saddadd won at 3.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Devil's Advocate

Prominent · 1

Muddy Mooy

Midfield · 1

Saddadd

Hold Up · 2

AlmericKing Of Cities

Devil's Advocate will take the field along from the front with Muddy Mooy sitting just behind in the prominent position, creating a controlled tempo in this small Group 3 field. The three hold-up horses (Saddadd, King Of Cities, and Almeric) will settle towards the rear, relying on the tactical pace to set up their finishing kicks. With no genuine speed pressure on Devil's Advocate early, he can dictate fractions and potentially steal a march turning for home. This race shape strongly favors the prominent runners who can track the leader and strike first, as the hold-up horses may find themselves with too much to do if the pace becomes tactical.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Leaders

55% probability

If Devil's Advocate and Muddy Mooy are allowed to control the tempo without early pressure.

Devil's Advocate can dictate ideal fractions and kick clear turning for home, while Muddy Mooy tracks him perfectly to strike in the straight. The hold-up trio get caught flat-footed by the change of pace and can't reel in the prominent pair.

Devil's AdvocateMuddy MooyAlmericKing Of Cities

Late Surge From Quality

25% probability

If the early pace becomes genuinely slow and the race becomes a sprint from the 3f pole.

Almeric and King Of Cities benefit from their superior class ratings (OR 117/110) as the race becomes a pure test of acceleration. The prominent pair go too early and get swamped by the finishing kick of the hold-up horses.

AlmericKing Of CitiesSaddaddDevil's Advocate

Dawson Timing On Saddadd

12% probability

If Ray Dawson can find the perfect stalking position and time his challenge to perfection.

Saddadd gets the ideal trip tracking the leaders before unleashing a devastating late run that catches the prominent pair and outfinishes the other hold-up horses. His recent good form (32113-) suggests he's ready to strike.

SaddaddAlmericDevil's AdvocateKing Of Cities

Tactical Mess Helps Outsider

8% probability

If the small field creates positioning problems and several horses get inconvenienced in running.

The race becomes scrappy with horses getting blocked or forced wide, allowing one of the lesser-rated horses to benefit from a clear passage. Muddy Mooy's prominent style helps her avoid trouble while others struggle for racing room.

Muddy MooyDevil's AdvocateSaddaddKing Of Cities

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

If Devil's Advocate gets a soft lead through the first half-mile, he becomes very dangerous as he can control the finish.

WATCH

Watch Almeric in the preliminaries after his 188-day break - any signs of rustiness would be significant.

NOTE

Muddy Mooy's positioning behind Devil's Advocate early will be crucial - she needs to track him closely.

WATCH

If King Of Cities gets too far back early, Ryan Moore may struggle to make up the ground in this small field.

NOTE

Ray Dawson's timing on Saddadd will be critical - he needs to avoid getting caught behind horses in the straight.

3:00 — bet365 Mile (Group 2)

1m · Good · G2 · 6 runners

Zeus Olympios to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Opera Ballo and Zeus Olympios led, as the map showed.

Opera Ballo won at 5.00 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Zeus Olympios

Prominent · 1

Opera Ballo

Midfield · 2

Dancing GeminiNever So Brave

Hold Up · 2

Field Of GoldCicero's Gift

Zeus Olympios will take them along from the front with his confirmed leading style, likely setting a measured tempo given the lack of other natural pace in this 6-runner field. Field Of Gold, Opera Ballo, Never So Brave, Dancing Gemini and Cicero's Gift all possess hold-up or prominent tendencies, meaning they'll be content to sit behind the leader. With limited early pressure on Zeus Olympios, he can dictate fractions and potentially steal a march turning for home. This tactical setup strongly favours the front-runner and any horse capable of tracking close, as the hold-up brigade may find themselves with too much to do in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Zeus Dominates Uncontested

65% probability

If Zeus Olympios gets an easy lead without early pressure from the field.

He can control the tempo completely and use his unbeaten record to kick clear when it matters, making the closers' task near-impossible. The lack of pace pressure plays directly into his hands as the proven front-runner.

Zeus OlympiosOpera BalloField Of GoldNever So Brave

Late Kick Catches Leader

20% probability

If Zeus Olympios goes too slow early and one of the hold-up horses produces a telling late surge.

Field Of Gold or Never So Brave could time their challenge perfectly to reel in a tiring leader in the final furlong. Their superior ratings suggest they have the class edge if getting the right tactical setup.

Field Of GoldNever So BraveZeus OlympiosOpera Ballo

Prominent Tracker Pounces

10% probability

If Opera Ballo or another prominent runner sits closer to Zeus Olympios than expected.

A horse tracking the leader can strike at the perfect moment before the hold-up horses get organised, benefiting from race position without doing the donkey work. Opera Ballo's Group 1 form suggests he has the quality to capitalise.

Opera BalloZeus OlympiosField Of GoldNever So Brave

Pace Collapse Shuffle

5% probability

If Zeus Olympios stops quickly and creates a messy finish where positioning becomes crucial.

The race could become a lottery with multiple horses having chances in a blanket finish, favouring whoever gets the clearest run. This scenario requires the favourite to underperform significantly based on his unbeaten record.

Dancing GeminiCicero's GiftField Of GoldNever So Brave

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Zeus Olympios breaks slowly or gets headed early - his whole tactical advantage disappears if he can't establish the lead cleanly.

WATCH

Field Of Gold's fitness after 188 days off - any signs of needing the run could be costly given his hold-up style needs peak sharpness.

NOTE

How close Opera Ballo positions himself to Zeus Olympios in the early stages - sitting closer than usual could be key to his chances.

WATCH

The pace through the first half-mile - if Zeus Olympios goes too steady, it sets up perfectly for the closers with superior ratings.

NOTE

Never So Brave's jumping from the stalls after his long break - hold-up horses can't afford to be slowly away in small fields.

3:35 — bet365 Classic Trial (Group 3)

1m2f · Good · G3 · 7 runners

Action likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Winding Stream led; the map had Action in front.

Raaheeb won at 6.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Action

Prominent · 2

Oceans FourAl Zanati

Midfield · 3

SpyceRaaheebWinding Stream

Hold Up · 1

Wise Prince

Action looks the confirmed front runner here with his forward-going style, while Al Zanati, Spyce, and Oceans Four will likely sit prominent positions behind him. With only seven runners and Action uncontested for the lead, he can dictate a sustainable tempo without pressure through the early stages. The race will develop into a tactical affair where those able to travel strongly into the straight will have the advantage. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can position handy and quicken, rather than hold-up horses who may struggle to make up ground in a small field.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Leaders

45% probability

If Action sets an uncontested lead and the pace stays steady

Action can dictate terms throughout while Al Zanati and Spyce travel comfortably in behind, setting up a sprint finish that favours those with early tactical speed. The leaders will have too much in reserve for the hold-up horses to peg back.

ActionAl ZanatiSpyceOceans Four

Strong Gallop Exposes Weakness

30% probability

If the pace quickens significantly from halfway due to multiple horses pressing Action

The sustained gallop will find out any fitness concerns after long layoffs and expose those lacking stamina at this trip. Oceans Four and Raaheeb, despite their class, may struggle with the tempo after extended breaks.

SpyceActionWinding StreamAl Zanati

Late Kick Decides

15% probability

If the race becomes a tactical crawl with Action going very slowly early

The race will turn into a sprint finish where raw speed and recent race fitness become crucial factors. Winding Stream's recent run gives him an edge while the long-absent runners may lack the sharp speed needed.

Al ZanatiWinding StreamActionSpyce

Hold-up Horse Springs Surprise

10% probability

If the early pace is genuine but not excessive, creating perfect stalking conditions

Wise Prince can use his hold-up style to perfection while the prominent runners go too early in their effort to get competitive positions. His class and Derby entries suggest untapped ability.

Wise PrinceOceans FourRaaheebAction

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Action's ability to sustain his gallop - if he weakens in the final furlong after setting the pace, Al Zanati is perfectly placed to pounce

WATCH

Raaheeb's early positioning after 231 days off - if he's slowly away or takes time to find his stride, his class advantage diminishes significantly

NOTE

Wise Prince's position turning for home - needs to be within striking distance despite his hold-up style to have any chance in this small field

WATCH

The pace through the middle stages - if it becomes pedestrian, it transforms into a sprint finish favouring those with most recent race practice

NOTE

Winding Stream's stamina at this 1m2f trip on debut at the distance - improvement needed from his 1m best to be competitive

4:10 — bet365 "Wild Card" Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m2f · Good · NOV · 10 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

4:45 — Nordoff & Robbins Ozzy Osbourne Memorial Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Colourband likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

The Joker led; the map had Colourband in front.

Lost Boys won at 2.75 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Colourband

Prominent · 1

Lost Boys

Midfield · 2

Into The LightThe Joker

Hold Up · 2

Magic TripBnaider

Colourband is the sole confirmed front-runner in this small field and will control the tempo from the start. With Into The Light, Lost Boys, and The Joker all likely to settle prominently behind the leader, there's minimal early pressure expected. The pace will be measured through the early stages, setting up a sprint finish from the 3f pole where positions and stamina will matter. This sustainable gallop strongly favours horses with tactical speed who can quicken late, giving the prominent runners and strong finishers a significant edge over pure front-running tactics.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front Running Success

45% probability

If Colourband dictates an honest but manageable gallop without serious challenges

The leader gets first run turning for home and holds off late challenges with James Doyle timing his kick perfectly. His recent Bath win shows he can control the pace and find extra when pressed.

ColourbandInto The LightLost BoysMagic Trip

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If the prominent runners get perfect stalking positions behind a steady pace

Into The Light or Lost Boys can unleash superior finishing speed from ideal tracking spots 2-3 lengths off the leader. The Appleby runner especially has the class edge with William Buick's tactical nous.

Into The LightLost BoysColourbandThe Joker

Hold Up Runner Charges

15% probability

If the pace becomes truly crawling through halfway allowing back markers to close

Magic Trip and Bnaider can use their stamina reserves and closing kicks from the rear. The slow tempo negates the prominent runners' positional advantage entirely.

Magic TripBnaiderInto The LightColourband

Pace Collapse Sprint

10% probability

If Colourband goes too slowly and bunches the field turning in

The race becomes a 2f dash where pure speed trumps stamina and position. The Joker's 7f form suggests he has the raw pace for this finish.

The JokerInto The LightColourbandMagic Trip

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Colourband's early fractions - if he goes too fast in the opening 4f he'll set up the race for the closers

WATCH

Into The Light's turf debut - his AW form is solid but the surface switch at this trip length could expose stamina questions

NOTE

Lost Boys' fitness after 209 days off - any early signs of rustiness will eliminate his chances in a tactical finish

WATCH

The pace through the middle 4f - if it becomes pedestrian it will turn into a sprint finish favouring pure speed over stamina

NOTE

Magic Trip's position turning in - he needs to be within 6 lengths of the leader with 3f to go to unleash his finishing kick

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 24 April 2026.

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