2:25

Archive›Sandown · 28 August 2026

Sandown

28 August 2026 · 6 races

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2:25 — Killik Nursery Handicap Stakes
5f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners
Lead contested: Sky Secret v Arabica QueenFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Sky Secret and Holi Scarlett led, as the map showed.

Betty Boop won at 4.33 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
Sky SecretArabica Queen
Prominent · 3
Undercover AffairRotelleHoli Scarlett
Midfield · 1
True Charm
Hold Up · 2
InnichenBetty Boop
Sky Secret and Arabica Queen are both confirmed front-runners who will contest the early lead from the gates, creating a genuinely contested pace over Sandown's straight five furlongs on good ground. Sky Secret, trained by Clive Cox and ridden by Rossa Ryan, has led or raced prominently in all recent starts and will not easily concede that berth; Arabica Queen, down in trip from her recent successes at six furlongs, will be keen to establish herself early under Jason Watson. The resulting honest-to-strong gallop is likely to compress the field quickly, with Undercover Affair, Rotelle, and Holi Scarlett pushing into prominent positions, while Innichen and Betty Boop, genuine hold-up types, will be held back for a late run. This race shape — two front-runners fighting for supremacy over a flat, straight five — classically favours prominent-to-midfield horses who can sit just off the contested pace and pounce in the final furlong, making Undercover Affair, Rotelle, and a closing Innichen the profiles to focus on. The field holds more prominent types than can all occupy that position; Sky Secret has the pace edge to lead outright, with Arabica Queen most likely to slot into a close-up second early, and True Charm — a genuine prominent type — is mapped to midfield and unlikely to secure that position in this shape, discounting its chance accordingly.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Contested Pace, Prominent Pounce
54% probability
If Sky Secret and Arabica Queen fight for the lead and set an honest gallop that strings the field out, setting up the race for those tracking just off the pace.
Undercover Affair and Rotelle, positioned just behind the duel, travel into the race with minimal effort and have the energy to quicken in the final furlong as the front two tire; good-ground form at the trip suits both, and their jockeys — Loughnane and Bradley — have the tactical awareness to exploit a pacemaker's collapse.
Undercover AffairRotelleHoli ScarlettInnichen
B
Hold-Up Horses Swoop Late
22% probability
If the front-running duel between Sky Secret and Arabica Queen is fierce enough to burn them both off, leaving a late gap for Innichen and Betty Boop.
Innichen, with William Buick aboard, has strong recent form over this trip and going and is adept at finishing hard; Betty Boop under Oisin Murphy has shown a classy turn of foot at shorter distances and will relish the strong pace pulling her into contention.
InnichenBetty BoopUndercover AffairHoli Scarlett
C
Front Runner Dictates
16% probability
If Sky Secret successfully sees off Arabica Queen in the opening two furlongs and establishes a comfortable, controlled lead from which she can dictate tempo.
Clive Cox's filly showed a course-and-distance win in recent form and handles good ground perfectly; if the pace is not truly fast enough to stop her, Rossa Ryan can balance her up and kick again inside the final furlong.
Sky SecretArabica QueenUndercover AffairRotelle
D
Scrappy Pace, Midfield Surge
8% probability
If the early pace is uneven or collapses mid-race, creating a muddling tempo that compresses the field and invites a wider spread of finishers.
Holi Scarlett, consistent without winning from a prominent position, could benefit from a falsely-run race where positional advantage rather than raw speed determines the winner; True Charm, though racing out of its natural role having been pushed back to midfield, would need this scenario to be competitive at all.
Holi ScarlettRotelleTrue CharmBetty Boop

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHSky SecretArabica QueenUndercover Affa…RotellepHoli ScarlettTrue CharmtInnichenBetty Boop5. Sky Secret6. Arabica Queen1. Undercover Affair2. Rotelle3. Holi Scarlett7. True Charm4. Innichen8. Betty Boop
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch Sky Secret and Arabica Queen in the first furlong — if both are hard ridden for the lead by their jockeys, the early fractions will be blistering and will likely end the chance of either winning.|
WATCH
Innichen carries fitness concerns having run eight days ago, but William Buick's hold-up ride means she needs a clear run in a field of eight — any traffic issues in the final furlong from stall position could cost her.|
WATCH
True Charm's 49-day absence combined with being forced to race behind its natural position makes it vulnerable to being outpaced early and unable to recover; monitor in-running if it settles poorly.|
NOTE
Betty Boop has only three career runs and drops in trip; watch whether Oisin Murphy settles her in the early stages or if she races too keenly off a contested pace, which could undermine her late finishing effort.|
NOTE
Rotelle's headgear (hood) is worth monitoring at the start — if it helps her focus and she breaks cleanly, Paddy Bradley can slot her ideally between the front-running pair and the hold-up horses in the perfect prominent position.|
3:00 — Killik Handicap Stakes
5f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners
Level Up to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Cameley Days and So Smart led; the map had Level Up in front.

South Shore won at 2.75 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Level Up
Prominent · 2
Hint Of HumourCameley Days
Midfield · 3
Maharajas ExpressJenny JeromeSo Smart
Hold Up · 3
South ShoreGood EarthDuskaura
Level Up is the sole confirmed front-runner and, with no genuine pace rival pressing from the outside, Oisin Murphy can dictate terms unchallenged through the first two furlongs before the field strings out on Sandown's straight five. Hint Of Humour and Cameley Days will push forward to prominent positions just off the leader, creating an organised, measured gallop rather than a contested burn — the kind of tempo that often suits the horse controlling it. The field holds more hold-up types than can genuinely settle at the rear: Maharajas Express, Jenny Jerome and So Smart are true closers redistributed into midfield slots on the map, meaning the back of the field is less populated with genuine late-kickers than it appears. This race shape most strongly favours front-running and prominent horses who can travel within themselves and use their early position rather than closers who depend on a strong pace to reel in a relaxed leader.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Level Up Controls Unchallenged
62% probability
If Murphy slots Level Up into an uncontested lead and the pace remains measured throughout.
Level Up has won and placed repeatedly off the front on Good ground over this exact course and distance, and with no rival able to match its early stride, it can dictate every fraction and simply quicken clear entering the final furlong.
Level UpHint Of HumourCameley DaysSouth Shore
B
Prominent Pair Swallow Leader
18% probability
If Cameley Days or Hint Of Humour track Level Up tightly and overhaul it in the final 100 yards.
A modest, controlled pace suits the two prominent raiders who sit within a length of the leader, conserving energy to challenge when Level Up finally ties up; Hint Of Humour's consistent placed record at this trip on Good gives it the strongest claim.
Hint Of HumourCameley DaysLevel UpSouth Shore
C
Closers Sprint Through Late
12% probability
If the pace is stronger than expected and midfield horses get a genuine tow into the race.
South Shore and Good Earth have both won or placed off a strong tempo on Good ground over five furlongs and carry the best recent form to benefit from a contested finish; Duskaura, a course-and-distance winner, could also arrive late if the pace lifts.
South ShoreGood EarthDuskauraMaharajas Express
D
Redistributed Hold-Ups Deliver
8% probability
If the true hold-up horses find enough daylight from their unnatural mid-pack berths to finish through.
Maharajas Express, Jenny Jerome and So Smart are genuine closers shunted into midfield on the map, meaning they must race out of role in a race where the pace is unlikely to be generous enough to generate the gaps they need; only a surprisingly fast-run race would give them a realistic passage.
Maharajas ExpressSo SmartJenny JeromeDuskaura

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHLevel UpbHint Of HumourCameley DaysbMaharajas Expre…Jenny JeromeSo SmarttpSouth ShoreGood EarthDuskaura1. Level Up2. Hint Of Humour3. Cameley Days5. Maharajas Express6. Jenny Jerome7. So Smart4. South Shore8. Good Earth9. Duskaura
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Level Up — if Murphy travels untouched in front past halfway, the race is likely already won; watch for whether any prominent horse has the early pace to match strides and apply genuine pressure before the furlong pole.
WATCH
Hint Of Humour — 66 days off the track is the critical unknown; if Ryan has it tuned up it is the likeliest to overhaul the leader, but a flat run after the break would confirm the layoff has taken its toll.
WATCH
Maharajas Express and So Smart — both genuine closers forced to race from midfield in a race with a controlled pace; if they are seen tracking Level Up too closely early it signals they have compromised their style, and their chances dim accordingly.
NOTE
South Shore — sharp four-day turnaround for Robert Cowell's consistent hold-up performer; watch where Ghiani positions it in the first furlong — if the pace is modest and he finds himself too far back with nowhere to sprint through, its fine recent form counts for little.
NOTE
Cameley Days — the blinkers application and proximity to Level Up makes it a notable each-way factor; if Lewis Edmunds can settle it in second without burning too much petrol, it has the profile to be the main danger to the favourite in the final 100 yards.
3:35 — Chasemore Farm EBF Maiden Stakes
7f · Good · CLS3 · 11 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
4:10 — House Of Killik Handicap Stakes
1m · Good · HCAP · 8 runners
Lead contested: Home Hero v Thursday GirlHISTORIC

How it ran

Home Hero led, as the map showed.

Drymee won at 2.38 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
Home HeroThursday Girl
Prominent · 3
HungarianDovecoteGlen Nevis
Midfield · 1
Tamzan
Hold Up · 2
Magic TripDrymee
Home Hero and Thursday Girl are both confirmed front-runners and will contest the lead from the break over Sandown's one-mile trip, creating a genuinely contested pace rather than a dawdle. With two horses fighting for the same real estate from the outset, the gallop should be honest and sustained — neither can afford to concede ground early, which will stretch the field and minimise any chance of a tactical crawl. The prominent types — Hungarian, Dovecote, and Glen Nevis — will look to sit just off the battle and pounce, while Drymee and Magic Trip will be further back hoping the pace burns out the leaders. This race shape favours hold-up and late-finishing profiles in theory, but the redistribution note is critical: Tamzan is a true hold-up horse pushed into midfield on the map because the field carries more closers than the rear can accommodate, meaning its chance is tempered by running out of its natural role. On balance, the contested pace and honest gallop most rewards prominent trackers who can sit within striking distance of the leaders without burning their petrol — horses who can travel economically just off the duel and pounce inside the final two furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Pace Duel Suits Trackers
54% probability
If Home Hero and Thursday Girl fight it out up front, burning each other off and leaving the well-placed prominent horses to swoop.
The early battle between the two front-runners will likely drain their reserves in the final furlong, opening the door for horses who travel just off the pace — Hungarian and Dovecote have both shown the ability to sit handy and quicken, with Thursday Girl's consistent placed record suggesting she may simply outstay Home Hero if she can manage the duel. Glen Nevis, ridden by Buick and proven on good ground at this trip, is the natural tracker to capitalise.
Thursday GirlHungarianDovecoteGlen Nevis
B
Late Closers Storm Home
22% probability
If the early pace is fierce enough to genuinely compromise both leaders, a true hold-up horse gets a clear run and picks up the pieces late.
Drymee has won twice over a mile on good ground recently and Billy Loughnane is an aggressive closer's jockey who knows how to time a late run; a strong pace makes this scenario genuinely viable. Magic Trip showed a placed effort at a mile on similar ground and, with a 77-day break potentially meaning a fresher horse, could outfinish a tired field.
DrymeeMagic TripTamzanThursday Girl
C
One Pacer Leads Cheaply
16% probability
If one of the front-runners backs off early — particularly Home Hero, who is only 2 days off his last run and could be managed more conservatively — Thursday Girl leads at a comfortable tempo.
A calmer early fractions would play into Thursday Girl's hands given her remarkable placed record (four seconds and a win from five recent starts), allowing her to control the pace and kick clear with Oisin Murphy executing a front-running masterclass. Hungarian and Glen Nevis would be closest pursuers but face a harder task overhauling an undisturbed leader running on good ground she handles well.
Thursday GirlGlen NevisHungarianDovecote
D
Closers Fail to Fire
8% probability
If the pace proves less fierce than expected and mid-to-rear horses are left with too much to do off a slow tempo.
Hold-up runners like Magic Trip and Tamzan — with Tamzan already racing out of its natural position — find themselves with insufficient gallop to build momentum from behind, leaving them flat-footed in the straight. Dovecote and Glen Nevis, tracking closely throughout, emerge as the main beneficiaries alongside the lead pair.
DovecoteGlen NevisHungarianHome Hero

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHHome HerovThursday GirlHungariantbDovecoteGlen NevispTamzanMagic TripDrymee5. Home Hero1. Thursday Girl2. Hungarian3. Dovecote4. Glen Nevis6. Tamzan7. Magic Trip8. Drymee
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Home Hero runs just 2 days after his last start — watch for signs in the paddock and early strides that the quick turnaround has left him dull or short of his best, as a below-par front-runner who still leads could set a false or misleading pace.
KEY
Thursday Girl and Home Hero fighting for the lead — if neither concedes, watch the sectionals through the first quarter-mile; a genuine battle at the head of affairs for two furlongs or more will materially compress the chances of both leaders and inflate those of all prominent and hold-up profiles behind.
WATCH
Tamzan is operating out of its natural hold-up position due to field congestion — if it finds itself in midfield traffic with no clear run into the straight, discount its finishing effort even if it appears well-placed at halfway.
WATCH
Magic Trip returns from 77 days off — watch the market move in the hour before the race and the horse's behaviour pre-race; Andrew Balding's stable is in form but a long absence at this level means there is genuine uncertainty over peak fitness.
NOTE
Glen Nevis with William Buick over a trip and going the horse handles well every time is a tactical pointer — if Buick slots in third or fourth early and is travelling smoothly at the three-furlong pole, that is a meaningful signal about the likely shape of the finish.
4:45 — Killik Fillies' Handicap Stakes
1m · Good · HCAP · 8 runners
Post Rider likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Post Rider led, as the map showed.

Poets Praise won at 3.75 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Post Rider
Prominent · 2
Kino PlasmatBox Clever
Midfield · 3
Dark RosaPerfect RulerPretty Spirited
Hold Up · 2
Poets PraiseDandy Khan
Post Rider is the one confirmed front-runner and, with no genuine challenger for the lead, Lewis Edmunds should be able to dictate a comfortable, controlled tempo over Sandown's flat mile without any rival applying pressure from the outside. That sustainable pace means the race is unlikely to truly test the stamina of those tracking, keeping the race shape compressed and the advantage with horses racing prominently or just off the leader rather than deep hold-up types waiting for a late injection of pace that may never arrive. The field does, however, contain more naturally prominent types than the map can accommodate: Box Clever is best placed to actually secure the position just off Post Rider, while Dark Rosa and Perfect Ruler — both genuine prominent racers — are likely to find themselves shuffled back and racing out of their preferred roles. This shape strongly favours a horse that can sit second or third, travel kindly on a fair pace, and produce a clean turn of foot from a handy position in the final two furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Controlled Lead, Prominent Wins
62% probability
If Post Rider sets an uncontested, even pace and Box Clever or another prominent type tracks comfortably before asserting in the final furlong.
Post Rider's solo front-running creates a genuinely fair tempo that rewards horses travelling prominently without burning fuel early, and the lack of a pace duel means the race turns into a test of quality from two out rather than raw stamina or a sprint finish from the rear.
Box CleverKino PlasmatPost RiderDark Rosa
B
Late Pace Lift, Closers Arrive
18% probability
If Post Rider's pace slows enough in the middle of the race to compress the field and release energy for true hold-up horses to pick up strongly entering the final furlong.
A slow early tempo can occasionally compress the field to the point where genuine closers off the pace arrive with a sustained run, particularly if prominent horses use their energy racing wide or fighting for position.
Poets PraiseDandy KhanPretty SpiritedBox Clever
C
Pace Pressured, Stamina Test
12% probability
If Dark Rosa or Perfect Ruler push forward and challenge Post Rider for the lead, creating an untypically contested pace for this field.
A contested early tempo would stretch the field and turn the race into a stamina examination rather than a quality sprint, benefiting the horse with the deepest reserves and the best finish over a truly-run mile.
Poets PraisePretty SpiritedDandy KhanKino Plasmat
D
Midfield Burst, Surprise Result
8% probability
If the pace collapses entirely approaching the final two furlongs and the race is decided by a single sprint effort from a mid-division position.
A bunched, falsely-run race can produce chaotic results where a lower-rated horse finds a clear gap at exactly the right moment, and redistributed horses like Pretty Spirited or Perfect Ruler could benefit if they find themselves better placed than their mapped position suggests.
Perfect RulerPretty SpiritedDark RosaBox Clever

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHPost RiderbKino PlasmatBox CleverpDark RosaPerfect RulerPretty SpiritedPoets PraiseDandy Khan3. Post Rider2. Kino Plasmat1. Box Clever4. Dark Rosa5. Perfect Ruler6. Pretty Spirited7. Poets Praise8. Dandy Khan
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Box Clever's combination of a recent mile win on Good ground at this course and a prominent pitch just off Post Rider puts her in the perfect position if the pace is controlled — watch for Jason Watson taking a decisive grip approaching the two-furlong pole.
WATCH
Dark Rosa and Perfect Ruler are both genuine front-runners who are likely to find themselves racing out of role and unable to get their natural position — if either pushes forward to challenge Post Rider, the tempo could spike unexpectedly and transform this into Scenario C.
WATCH
Poets Praise has been off 42 days and all her starts have been over seven furlongs — she is stepping up in trip for the first time, and whether Rossa Ryan can deliver a held-up run over the extra distance on this pace shape is a key swing factor for the closers' scenarios.
NOTE
Kino Plasmat's booking of Oisin Murphy for a horse with only three career runs is notable — Ed Walker tends not to call on Murphy unless the stable is confident, and a step to a flat mile on Good ground could see the horse's form improve sharply.
NOTE
Pretty Spirited's Good-ground form is the strongest in the field statistically, but Alec Voikhansky's ability to execute a precise hold-up ride from a potentially more forward position than planned should be watched as a factor that could suppress her chance even if the horse is primed.
5:20 — Killik Family Handicap Stakes
1m2f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners
Galyx likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Oh Yes You Do and Carnival Day led; the map had Galyx in front.

Sovereign View won at 4.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

0 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Galyx
Prominent · 3
Moon AngelCarnival DayGolden Phase
Midfield · 2
Oh Yes You DoGolden Circet
Hold Up · 3
Sovereign ViewSharp MoveMagnatura
Galyx is the sole confirmed front-runner here and, with no genuine pace rival likely to contest that position hard, she should be able to dictate a controlled, sustainable gallop from the front over this 1m2f trip on Good ground at Sandown. Moon Angel, Carnival Day, and Golden Phase are all prominent types who will press forward behind Galyx, ensuring the race is not run at a crawl, but none looks likely to go head-to-head for the lead — meaning the pace should be honest without becoming injurious. The hold-up contingent — Sharp Move, Sovereign View, and Magnatura — will settle in behind a compact, orderly mid-to-rear group, and with Good ground allowing a true gallop, mid-to-late movers will need a strong sustained finish rather than a turn of acceleration off a slow pace. This race shape strongly favours horses who can race prominently or just off the pace and outstay rivals in the final quarter-mile, as the tempo is unlikely to be either flat or chaotic. The field holds more hold-up types than the pace map can accommodate at the rear: Oh Yes You Do and Golden Circet are genuine closers who have been redistributed into midfield on the map, but in practice they are most likely to find themselves detached from the prominent group, making their task harder in a race where the pace is controlled rather than scorching.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Galyx Dictates, Prominent Win
62% probability
If Galyx leads uncontested and the prominent pack tracks her through a genuine but sustainable gallop.
Galyx controls fractions from the front with Moon Angel, Carnival Day, and Golden Phase in close attendance, and the race is decided when those prominent horses kick from two out on the Sandown straight; horses racing handy into the final turn have the first run and the advantage in a race not run fast enough to fully bring the late closers into it.
Moon AngelCarnival DayGolden PhaseGalyx
B
Prominent Turns Grind
18% probability
If the pace is steady enough that the race turns into a true stamina test in the straight, with hold-up horses staying on but unable to quicken past those already on the bridle.
A modest-tempo lead from Galyx sets a rhythm that sees the race develop late, with the Sandown straight rewarding those who travel powerfully through the race and pick up from two out; horses carrying the highest OR and proven at the trip under Good ground gain the edge.
Sharp MoveMoon AngelMagnaturaOh Yes You Do
C
Late Closers Arrive
13% probability
If the pace is stronger than expected — Moon Angel and Carnival Day both push forward early and drive the tempo higher — opening the door for closers.
A genuinely-run race sees the prominent horses tire inside the final furlong, and the hold-up runners who have conserved energy sweep through late on the wide outside on Good ground; horses with high TS scores and strong closing sectionals are best suited.
Sharp MoveOh Yes You DoSovereign ViewMagnatura
D
Pace Collapses, Sprint Finish
7% probability
If Galyx eases the tempo dramatically and the field dawdles, producing a short, sharp sprint from the two-furlong pole.
With no rival willing to take up the running and force the pace, the race becomes a bunch sprint off a slow early gallop, reducing it to a raw speed question over the last two furlongs; horses with the highest top-speed figures and a proven ability to quicken sharply are favoured.
Golden PhaseCarnival DaySovereign ViewOh Yes You Do

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHGalyxMoon AngelCarnival DayGolden PhaseOh Yes You DoGolden CircetSovereign ViewSharp MoveMagnaturav4. Galyx1. Moon Angel2. Carnival Day3. Golden Phase5. Oh Yes You Do6. Golden Circet7. Sovereign View8. Sharp Move9. Magnatura
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch Moon Angel's starting freshness after a 111-day absence — if she bounces out smartly and settles behind Galyx with her ears pricked, she is set up perfectly for this race shape and her Good-ground trip form makes her the most dangerous prominent type.
WATCH
Galyx carries a STYLE_FIT flag of 0.93 for racing out of role and her sim-going record (0W0P in 5) is poor — if she weakens turning in after leading, the prominent horses behind her will hit a wall of slowing traffic and those just off the pace will be better placed than those directly on her heels.
WATCH
Oh Yes You Do and Golden Circet are true hold-up horses pushed into midfield by field composition — watch their early positioning; if both drop to the rear as expected, they will need the pace to be genuinely strong to have a realistic chance of getting involved in the final furlong.
NOTE
Oisin Murphy taking the ride on Golden Phase (OR=64) is an eye-catching booking — monitor market movement; if Murphy is steering something with a live chance it typically shows up in the prices before the off.
NOTE
Sovereign View has never run on turf Good ground beyond 8f — the step to 10f on a surface switch from Tapeta is a significant double-ask, and if he travels poorly early in the back-straight, Rossa Ryan may be forced to commit sooner than ideal for a hold-up type.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 28 August 2026.

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Sandown pace map, 28 August 2026 — PaceMap