Archive›Southwell · 1 April 2026

Southwell

1 April 2026 · 6 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

2:30 — Book The Bistro At Southwell Racecourse Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m½f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Noche Negra likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Noche Negra led, as the map showed.

Hell Hound won at 2.38 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Noche Negra

Prominent · 1

Always Busy

Midfield · 2

Hell HoundQueens Wish

Hold Up · 2

Fern HillLe Beau Gosse

Noche Negra will likely set the early fractions with Hell Hound, Queens Wish, and Always Busy tracking closely behind in the prominent positions, creating a solid tempo without being overly aggressive. The two hold-up horses Fern Hill and Le Beau Gosse will settle at the rear, relying on the sustained pace over this staying trip to set up their late challenges.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Gallop Suits

35% probability

If the prominent trio of Hell Hound, Queens Wish and Always Busy maintain steady pressure on Noche Negra throughout

The relentless tempo will suit the proven stayers and expose any stamina limitations. Hell Hound's solid going form and Queens Wish's consistency at this level come to the fore.

Hell HoundQueens WishAlways BusyFern Hill

Late Kick Wins Out

30% probability

If Noche Negra and the prominent group go steady early, allowing the hold-up pair to get into contention

Fern Hill's superior rating and proven ability on similar going conditions become decisive factors in a late surge. The class differential shows when the pace lifts approaching the final fences.

Fern HillAlways BusyHell HoundQueens Wish

Front Running Dominance

25% probability

If Noche Negra gets an uncontested lead with the prominent horses failing to apply sufficient pressure

The leader builds an unassailable advantage and stays on strongly to the line despite modest recent form. Always Busy emerges best of the chasers having tracked the winner throughout.

Noche NegraAlways BusyHell HoundFern Hill

Pace Collapses Early

10% probability

If multiple fallers or mistakes disrupt the early running and create a stop-start gallop

The race becomes a sprint finish where Le Beau Gosse's hold-up style proves unexpectedly effective despite his lower rating. Queens Wish's tactical speed gives her an edge in a messy finish.

Le Beau GosseQueens WishFern HillHell Hound

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

If Always Busy shows early reluctance or jumping errors given the recent question marks over completion

WATCH

Watch Hell Hound's jumping rhythm early as any mistakes could compromise his prominent racing style

NOTE

Monitor how aggressively Queens Wish tracks the early pace as she needs to be handy to use her consistency

WATCH

Check if Fern Hill gets too far back early as he'll need to be within striking distance turning for home

NOTE

Observe whether Noche Negra gets the uncontested lead that his recent form suggests he requires

3:00 — Easter Family Fun Day 5th April Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m4½f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Intenzo likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Intenzo led, as the map showed.

Ukantango won at 3.25 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Intenzo

Prominent · 1

Gilbertina

Midfield · 2

Big Boy BarneyBoston Boy

Hold Up · 2

UkantangoKayce Dutton

Intenzo will likely take the lead with Gilbertina tracking prominently, setting a manageable gallop that won't stretch the field early. The four hold-up horses (Ukantango, Big Boy Barney, Kayce Dutton, Boston Boy) will settle behind, creating a compressed field that should produce a tactical finish where jumping and positioning at the business end becomes crucial.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Steady Pace Suits Leaders

40% probability

If Intenzo and Gilbertina maintain control without being pressured early.

The front two get first run turning for home with the hold-up horses struggling to make up ground on the testing climb to the line. Intenzo's recent good form on similar ground gives him the edge over Gilbertina in a prolonged battle.

IntenzoGilbertinaBig Boy BarneyUkantango

Mid-Race Pressure Tells

25% probability

If Gilbertina pushes the pace from the back straight onward.

The increased gallop stretches the field and finds out the stamina reserves, with Big Boy Barney's recent win showing he can handle a stronger pace better than the others. Kayce Dutton's staying power also comes into play at this longer trip.

Big Boy BarneyKayce DuttonIntenzoUkantango

Hold-Up Horse Swoop

25% probability

If the pace remains steady and the race sets up for closers.

Ukantango and Big Boy Barney get perfect runs from the back to challenge late, with their higher ratings telling when the race becomes a sprint finish. The front runners pay for their early efforts on ground that may be testing their stamina.

UkantangoBig Boy BarneyBoston BoyIntenzo

Boston Boy Revival

10% probability

If Boston Boy jumps with renewed confidence and gets a clear run.

His previous course win suggests he can handle this track when right, and if his recent poor jumping was just a blip he could surprise at a price. The steady pace would suit his come-from-behind style perfectly.

Boston BoyKayce DuttonBig Boy BarneyUkantango

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Boston Boy's jumping technique early - if he makes mistakes at the first few fences his chance is gone

WATCH

Intenzo's jumping under pressure - he needs to maintain fluency when challenged to hold his advantage

NOTE

Gilbertina's position turning in - if she's still in touch she could outstay the others up the hill

WATCH

Big Boy Barney's position at the third last - he needs to be within striking distance to use his finishing kick

NOTE

Kayce Dutton's jumping rhythm - when confident over his fences he's a completely different horse

3:30 — Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Mares' Standard NH Flat Race (Cond'/Am') (Cat 1) (GBB)

2m · Good · CLS5 · 10 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

4:00 — Country And Western Night 25th April Maiden Hurdle (Novices' Championship Hurdle Qualifier) (GBB)

2m · Good · NOV · 8 runners

Road To Wembley to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Novelista led; the map had Road To Wembley in front.

Road To Wembley won at 1.22 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Road To Wembley

Prominent · 1

Paragon

Midfield · 4

PapillondelumiereLou Des BordesNovelistaPromethean

Hold Up · 2

Top CoeurCorsican Caper

Road To Wembley will dictate from the front with minimal pressure, as the field lacks other committed pace-setters. This sustainable tempo suits hold-up horses like Novelista, Top Coeur, and Corsican Caper who can stalk and pounce late. The lack of pace pressure means the finish will likely be decided by who has the most left in reserve over the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

35% probability

If Road To Wembley gets an easy lead without harassment from Paragon

Road To Wembley sets his own fractions and has enough left to resist late challenges. The hold-up horses find the pace too slow to mount effective finishing kicks.

Road To WembleyPapillondelumiereTop CoeurCorsican Caper

Hold-Up Horse Surge

40% probability

If the pace stays moderate but honest enough for closers to work with

Novelista and Top Coeur get ideal setups tracking the leaders before unleashing strong finishes. Road To Wembley begins to tire in the final furlong as the closers sweep past.

NovelistaTop CoeurRoad To WembleyCorsican Caper

Prominent Horse Strikes

15% probability

If Paragon travels well and pressures Road To Wembley throughout the middle stages

The increased pace stretches Road To Wembley while Paragon maintains his position to strike in the straight. Hold-up horses find themselves too far back as the tempo quickens.

ParagonRoad To WembleyLou Des BordesTop Coeur

Lightly Raced Surprise

10% probability

If Papillondelumiere or Lou Des Bordes show significant improvement from limited previous form

One of the unknowns capitalizes on fitness or natural ability that hasn't been fully exposed yet. The established form horses find themselves unable to match the progression shown.

PapillondelumiereLou Des BordesRoad To WembleyNovelista

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Road To Wembley could get too easy a lead if Paragon doesn't take him on early

WATCH

Lou Des Bordes has shown late-race fading tendencies that could be exposed again over this trip

WATCH

Novelista needs the pace to be strong enough to set up his finishing kick effectively

NOTE

Papillondelumiere's market moves will reveal connections' confidence given his limited hurdling experience

NOTE

Top Coeur's jumping fluency will be crucial given his hold-up style requires clean passage through the field

4:30 — Southwell Racecourse Conference And Events Handicap Hurdle

3m½f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Immortal Fame likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Immortal Fame led, as the map showed.

Diamond Geezer won at 6.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Immortal Fame

Prominent · 2

Passing PleasureOcean Conquest

Midfield · 3

Campaign TrailDiamond GeezerMoon Hunter

Hold Up · 2

El GalacticoJubilant

Immortal Fame and Passing Pleasure will likely set a measured gallop early with Ocean Conquest and Campaign Trail close up, creating a sustainable pace over this stamina test. The cluster of hold-up horses (El Galactico, Jubilant, Moon Hunter, Diamond Geezer) means the real race begins from the second-last hurdle as they all need the pace to collapse.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Gallop Favours Leaders

35% probability

If the prominent runners maintain a solid gallop throughout without significant slowing

Immortal Fame and Passing Pleasure get first run on the field while the hold-up brigade struggle to close from too far back. Ocean Conquest benefits from his forward position to capitalize late.

Passing PleasureOcean ConquestImmortal FameCampaign Trail

Pace Collapses for Closers

40% probability

If the early leaders weaken significantly from the second-last hurdle creating a slow finish

El Galactico and Jubilant get the perfect setup as the race becomes a sprint finish over the final furlong. Diamond Geezer also benefits from his proven closing kick in these conditions.

El GalacticoJubilantDiamond GeezerMoon Hunter

Mid-Race Injection Changes Dynamic

15% probability

If Ocean Conquest or Campaign Trail make a bold mid-race move to steal a march

The early injection of pace catches both the leaders and hold-up horses off guard, creating tactical confusion. Campaign Trail's solid recent form at this trip makes him dangerous if getting first run.

Campaign TrailOcean ConquestPassing PleasureEl Galactico

Messy Pace Benefits Adaptable Types

10% probability

If the pace becomes stop-start with multiple horses vying for position throughout

The race develops into a tactical affair where horses comfortable in any position hold the advantage. Passing Pleasure's versatility and Moon Hunter's recent third over course and distance become key factors.

Passing PleasureMoon HunterJubilantCampaign Trail

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Diamond Geezer has never placed in eleven runs on good ground making him a complete unknown quantity

WATCH

Moon Hunter's recent course and distance experience could prove decisive if the pace sets up right

NOTE

Immortal Fame needs to prove his stamina holds at this trip having never won beyond two and a half miles

WATCH

El Galactico requires a strong pace to set up his finishing kick but most dangers also come from behind

NOTE

Campaign Trail's recent consistency at staying trips suggests he's found his optimal distance range

5:02 — Join Southwell Golf Club Mares' Handicap Hurdle

3m½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Briery Butterfly likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Briery Butterfly led, as the map showed.

Belladinotte won at 5.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Briery Butterfly

Prominent · 1

Shorten Sassy

Midfield · 3

Mya Du ClosVenturevangoBelladinotte

Hold Up · 2

Rosa DiazPrincesse Milania

Briery Butterfly will likely set a measured gallop with Shorten Sassy tracking prominently, creating a sustainable pace that should suit the strong hold-up contingent. The lack of genuine pace pressure early means Rosa Diaz, Princesse Milania, Belladinotte, Mya Du Clos and Venturevango can all settle and deliver late kicks. This sets up a classic stamina test where the strongest finisher should prevail.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustainable Pace Favors Class

35% probability

If Briery Butterfly sets an even gallop without early pressure

The race becomes a pure stamina test where superior class tells in the final furlong. Rosa Diaz and Princesse Milania can unleash their strongest finishes from ideal positions.

Rosa DiazPrincesse MilaniaBelladinotteBriery Butterfly

Front Pair Control Throughout

25% probability

If Briery Butterfly and Shorten Sassy work together and keep it steady

The prominent pair get first run on the field and maintain their advantage to the line. Shorten Sassy's better recent form gives her the edge over the pacesetter.

Shorten SassyBriery ButterflyRosa DiazPrincesse Milania

Late Surge from Deep

30% probability

If the pace is genuinely slow and hold-up horses get ideal splits

Belladinotte and Mya Du Clos benefit most from a sprint finish, with Belladinotte's proven course form decisive. The stronger finishers catch the early leaders in the final 100 yards.

BelladinotteMya Du ClosRosa DiazPrincesse Milania

Pace Collapse Finale

10% probability

If Briery Butterfly goes too slow and gets swamped by the field

All the hold-up horses converge simultaneously in a blanket finish. Princesse Milania's recent consistency edges a tight photo from the improving Belladinotte.

Princesse MilaniaBelladinotteRosa DiazMya Du Clos

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Venturevango has faded badly in recent finishes and may struggle to sustain any effort

WATCH

Briery Butterfly must judge the pace correctly as she faces stronger hold-up opposition than usual

NOTE

Rosa Diaz will need clear room to unleash her finish given the number of hold-up horses behind her

WATCH

Mya Du Clos drops significantly in trip from recent 16f efforts which may not suit her rhythm

NOTE

Shorten Sassy represents the main danger to a hold-up horse victory if she can track the pace

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 1 April 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →