Archive›Southwell (AW) · 9 April 2026

Southwell (AW)

9 April 2026 · 7 races

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2:07 — Country & Western Night 25th April Fillies' Handicap

5f · Standard · HCAP · 9 runners

La Belle Forest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Loleeta led; the map had La Belle Forest in front.

Call Margot won at 7.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

La Belle Forest

Prominent · 3

Naana's ShadowLoleetaQueensmaite

Midfield · 2

Filly FodenStar Marian

Hold Up · 3

ArtistaAlfa DuplicateCall Margot

La Belle Forest will take this race forward from the gates with no genuine pace pressure, allowing her to dictate terms through steady fractions. Naana's Shadow, Loleeta and Queensmaite may track her in the early stages, but none are committed pace pressers. The lack of early speed will create a tactical affair where positions matter crucially in the short straight. This race shape strongly favours the front runner and prominent racers who can secure forward positions early, as hold-up horses will struggle to make up ground from the back in a slowly-run 5f contest.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If La Belle Forest breaks cleanly and faces no early pressure

She can coast through comfortable splits and kick clear when ready, making full use of her proven C&D form and recent improvement curve. The tactical advantage of dictating pace in a small field becomes decisive.

La Belle ForestNaana's ShadowLoleetaFilly Foden

Prominent Pair Battle

30% probability

If Naana's Shadow or Loleeta press La Belle Forest early

The pace quickens enough to set up a driving finish between the forward runners, where Naana's Shadow's C&D experience and fresher Loleeta can capitalize. Hold-up horses remain disadvantaged by track position.

Naana's ShadowLoleetaLa Belle ForestQueensmaite

Hold-Up Horse Strikes

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and the race becomes a sprint

The backmarkers get their chance as Call Margot, Filly Foden or Alfa Duplicate can unleash superior finishing kicks from off the pace. The 11lb swing brings Call Margot right into contention against Alfa Duplicate.

Call MargotAlfa DuplicateFilly FodenArtista

Shock Outsider Emerges

10% probability

If the market principals fail to fire or meet traffic problems

Queensmaite's year off or Artista's class drop creates an opening for a bigger-priced winner. The competitive handicap mark spread allows for upsets if the favorites underperform.

QueensmaiteArtistaCall MargotLoleeta

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

If La Belle Forest misses the break or gets headed early, her entire tactical advantage disappears in this pace setup

WATCH

Watch for Naana's Shadow's jumping from the gates after her long layoff as fitness could be masked by the break

NOTE

Chloe Lyons' 7lb claim significantly reduces Loleeta's burden and could prove decisive in a tight finish

WATCH

Any hold-up horse that gets too far back early will struggle to make up ground in what promises to be a tactical affair

NOTE

Monitor the early fractions as anything slower than standard will heavily favor the pace-setters over closing horses

2:42 — GB Civil Engineering Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Standard · CLS4 · 8 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:17 — Book The Bistro In Sherwood Restaurant Handicap

5f · Standard · HCAP · 7 runners

Spring Is Sprung likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Spring Is Sprung led, as the map showed.

Master Of My Fate won at 5.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Spring Is Sprung

Prominent · 2

Marty HopkirkFidelius

Midfield · 3

Hiya MaiteMaster Of My FateFar Above The Law

Hold Up · 1

Diomed Spirit

Spring Is Sprung will lead from the gates with his confirmed front-running style, setting what should be a sustainable gallop over this sharp 5f trip. The prominent racers Fidelius, Hiya Maite, Master Of My Fate and Marty Hopkirk will track closely behind, creating a compact group through the early stages. With only one natural leader and plenty of prominent runners, the pace is unlikely to be severe, allowing the race to develop into a sprint finish. This tactical setup clearly favours prominent racers who can position close to the pace and have the tactical speed to strike in the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustainable Pace Suits Prominent

55% probability

If Spring Is Sprung sets an honest but not punishing gallop without serious pressure

The prominent runners get the perfect trip tracking the leader before unleashing their finish. Fidelius and Master Of My Fate benefit most from this tactical scenario with their proven 5f speed.

FideliusMaster Of My FateHiya MaiteMarty Hopkirk

Front Runner Dominates

25% probability

If Spring Is Sprung gets soft fractions and kicks clear turning for home

The leader gets first run and the prominent pack can't reel him back in time over this minimum trip. Spring Is Sprung's front-running tactics prove decisive with the field too far back at the business end.

Spring Is SprungHiya MaiteFideliusMaster Of My Fate

Hold Up Runner Strikes

12% probability

If the prominent runners go too fast chasing Spring Is Sprung in the early stages

The pace becomes more testing than expected, setting up Diomed Spirit to come from off the pace. His hold-up style allows him to pick up the pieces when the early leaders tire.

Diomed SpiritFar Above The LawSpring Is SprungFidelius

Longshot Course Specialist

8% probability

If the market leaders fail to fire and racing luck plays a decisive role

Master Of My Fate's three course wins become the deciding factor in a messy finish. His local knowledge and proven 5f ability at this venue carries him through when others disappoint.

Master Of My FateFar Above The LawSpring Is SprungDiomed Spirit

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Spring Is Sprung breaking smartly and getting uncontested early fractions could make him very hard to peg back

WATCH

Fidelius settling kindly in the second or third position to get the perfect stalking trip behind the leader

WATCH

Master Of My Fate getting outpaced early given his three course wins suggest he needs to be positioned handily

NOTE

Far Above The Law showing any signs of ring-rustiness after 170 days off the track with new trainer

NOTE

Diomed Spirit getting squeezed for racing room from his hold-up position in what could be a bunched finish

3:47 — Come Racing For Free 18th June Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Standard · NOV · 7 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

4:25 — Conference & Events At Southwell Racecourse Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

2m½f · Standard · HCAP · 6 runners

Senor Cortez to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Carlton led; the map had Senor Cortez in front.

Peaky Blinder won at 2.25 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Senor Cortez

Prominent · 1

Carlton

Midfield · 2

Peaky BlinderImperial Sovereign

Hold Up · 2

Rock N Roll PinkieAdjuvant

Senor Cortez is the sole identified front runner and will face no early pressure in this small field, allowing him to dictate terms from the outset. Carlton sits prominently behind while Adjuvant, Imperial Sovereign, Rock N Roll Pinkie and Peaky Blinder all prefer to be held up, creating a tactical imbalance. With no pace pressure, Senor Cortez can control fractions and kick when it suits, while the hold-up horses risk getting caught flat-footed if he quickens. This shape strongly favours the early pace-setters who can avoid traffic problems and time their moves from advantageous positions.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If Senor Cortez gets soft fractions without pressure

He can dictate every fraction and time his kick perfectly, while the massed hold-up horses struggle to close the gap when he accelerates. The lack of early pace allows him to save energy for a sustained finish that the closers cannot match.

Senor CortezCarltonPeaky BlinderImperial Sovereign

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Carlton can track Senor Cortez into ideal striking position

The prominent runner gets the perfect tactical trip behind the uncontested leader and can time his challenge to perfection. His current form edge and tactical advantage prove decisive as the hold-up horses are poorly positioned.

CarltonSenor CortezImperial SovereignPeaky Blinder

Hold-Up Horse Flies Late

15% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong despite appearances

The early leaders go too fast trying to make all, setting up a classic closer's finish. Imperial Sovereign or Peaky Blinder can unleash superior finishing kicks to collar the tiring pace-setters in the final furlong.

Imperial SovereignPeaky BlinderRock N Roll PinkieAdjuvant

Tactical Stalemate Sprint

10% probability

If Senor Cortez goes too slow and it becomes a sprint

The crawling pace negates stamina advantages and turns it into a pure speed contest from the home turn. Any horse with tactical pace can win, creating an unpredictable finish where positioning trumps form.

CarltonImperial SovereignSenor CortezPeaky Blinder

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Senor Cortez stealing an unbeatable lead if he gets uncontested fractions and the field leaves it too late to respond

WATCH

Carlton getting the perfect stalking trip behind Senor Cortez while the hold-up horses struggle for clear runs

NOTE

Imperial Sovereign and Peaky Blinder needing the pace to develop strongly to bring their finishing kicks into play

WATCH

The entire field of hold-up horses getting caught in a tactical trap if they all wait too long to make their moves

NOTE

Rock N Roll Pinkie and Adjuvant overcoming long layoffs and poor tactical positioning in this specific race shape

4:55 — Ladies Day Sunday 16th August Handicap

1m · Standard · HCAP · 7 runners

Down To The Kid likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Shimmering Spin led; the map had Down To The Kid in front.

Tilted Kilt won at 3.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Down To The Kid

Prominent · 2

Star StudiedSilver Trumpet

Midfield · 2

Shimmering SpinGunlock

Hold Up · 2

EldrickjonesTilted Kilt

Down To The Kid will make the running from his proven prominent position, with Star Studied, Silver Trumpet, Gunlock and Shimmering Spin all drawn to race handy in the early stages. This creates a potentially crowded front section with multiple prominent runners vying for position behind the leader. The pace should be genuine but not destructive given the relatively small field and Down To The Kid's ability to sustain his effort. This race shape clearly favours prominent runners who can secure good early positions and hold their ground through the turn.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

45% probability

If Down To The Kid sets sustainable fractions and the prominent pack stays intact

The genuine pace allows the early positioned horses to maintain their advantage with the small field unable to generate enough late pressure. Down To The Kid and the prominent runners simply prove too hard to pass from their forward berths.

Down To The KidSilver TrumpetStar StudiedGunlock

Hold-Up Success

30% probability

If the prominent pack goes too fast early or gets into a speed duel

The forward runners compromise each other allowing Eldrickjones and Tilted Kilt to pick up the pieces with their superior finishing kicks. Both hold-up horses have the class to capitalise if the pace scenario unfolds in their favour.

EldrickjonesTilted KiltDown To The KidSilver Trumpet

Course Winner Returns

15% probability

If Down To The Kid reproduces his proven Southwell form and gets an easy lead

The defending course winner settles into his rhythm uncontested and simply proves too good at his happy hunting ground. His excellent Southwell record and current form make him very hard to beat if allowed to dictate terms.

Down To The KidGunlockSilver TrumpetStar Studied

Fresh Horse Surprise

10% probability

If Tilted Kilt or Silver Trumpet benefit significantly from their lengthy breaks

The returning horses show marked improvement from their freshened state while others may have gone backwards since their recent runs. Both have shown they can perform well when fresh and their absence could be a positive.

Tilted KiltSilver TrumpetEldrickjonesShimmering Spin

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Down To The Kid getting an uncontested lead could make him very hard to peg back on his favoured course

WATCH

Tilted Kilt and Silver Trumpet both returning from lengthy breaks - fitness versus freshness factor crucial

WATCH

The prominent pack of Star Studied, Silver Trumpet, Gunlock and Shimmering Spin creating early crowding behind the leader

NOTE

Eldrickjones needing the early pace to develop into a strong gallop to suit his hold-up style

NOTE

Gunlock making his debut for new trainer Ross Burdon after winning for previous yard in December

5:25 — Summer Socials At Southwell Racecourse Handicap

1m · Standard · HCAP · 14 runners

Harswell River to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dash Of Class and Captain Bruce led; the map had Harswell River in front.

What Fools Believe won at 13.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

4 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Harswell River

Prominent · 3

City Of DreamsHazy Cosmic JaneShes Got The Blues

Midfield · 6

Dash Of ClassMusical SoldierMohmentousLady Of CloverNicolaiAkrivos

Hold Up · 4

What Fools BelieveViolet GoldsmithElectrocutionCaptain Bruce

Harswell River is the only confirmed front runner in this 14-runner field and will dictate terms from the start. With City Of Dreams and Hazy Cosmic Jane sitting prominent but no other early pace pressure, Harswell River can set a measured tempo without being hassled. The race sets up as a sit-and-sprint affair with a large pack of hold-up horses waiting to pounce in the final two furlongs. This pace scenario strongly favours the prominent and midfield runners who can track the leader without getting involved in a late scramble, as the hold-up brigade will face a traffic nightmare with 10+ horses coming from behind.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Lasts

35% probability

If Harswell River faces no early pressure and sets steady fractions

The lone pace-setter gets an easy lead and stays on grimly as the chasing pack arrives too late. Prominent runners get first run at the leader while hold-up horses encounter traffic problems.

Harswell RiverCity Of DreamsHazy Cosmic JaneShes Got The Blues

Prominent Runners Strike

30% probability

If City Of Dreams and Hazy Cosmic Jane track the leader perfectly

The pair shadow Harswell River before quickening smoothly in the straight while the hold-up horses get shuffled back. Their prominent positions give them the clearest passage to victory.

City Of DreamsHazy Cosmic JaneHarswell RiverShes Got The Blues

Hold-Up Horse Finds Gap

25% probability

If one of the strong finishers finds clear daylight in the straight

Despite traffic concerns, a classy hold-up performer like Electrocution or Lady Of Clover weaves through to deliver a telling late surge. Class tells over position as stamina kicks in.

ElectrocutionLady Of CloverAkrivosCaptain Bruce

Complete Traffic Chaos

10% probability

If the large field causes severe interference problems turning in

Multiple horses get hampered in the straight creating a muddling finish where any horse finding room can win. The race becomes a lottery favouring whoever gets the clearest run.

Dash Of ClassMusical SoldierNicolaiMohmentous

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Harswell River could steal this if allowed uncontested lead - no other confirmed early pace in 14-runner field

WATCH

Traffic problems inevitable with 10+ hold-up horses - watch for interference in straight affecting multiple runners

WATCH

City Of Dreams and Hazy Cosmic Jane must position perfectly behind leader - any mistake costs them clear runs

NOTE

Electrocution stepping up from 7f to 1m for first time - stamina question at new trip needs answering

NOTE

Lady Of Clover's rapid improvement curve continues - watch if she can maintain upward trajectory third start for yard

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 9 April 2026.

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