Archive›Stratford · 19 April 2026

Stratford

19 April 2026 · 7 races

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1:58 — George Wood Years Of Service Mares' Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m½f · Good · CLS4 · 13 runners

Lady Kara to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Willow Edge led; the map had Lady Kara in front.

Hornica won at 2.10 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Lady Kara

Prominent · 4

Yeld To CallMiss DenverAfter The BallMega Etoile

Midfield · 4

Willow EdgeLilycalaLiasse d'ArgentMinnie Belle

Hold Up · 4

Pink WallsBonnet's SecretHornicaMerely A Detail

Lady Kara will set the pace from the front with minimal pressure, as she's the only confirmed leader in this field of 13 mares. After The Ball, Yeld To Call, Miss Denver and Mega Etoile will likely track behind her in prominent positions, but none are aggressive enough to force a searching gallop. The large field of hold-up horses including Hornica, Merely A Detail, Bonnet's Secret and Lilycala will create congestion in midfield and at the rear. This sets up a tactical race with a sustainable pace that will strongly favour the front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid traffic problems and position themselves for a clear run home.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Lady Kara gets an uncontested lead and maintains her jumping rhythm

She can dictate throughout and prove hard to peg back up the hill, with her proven course form and good going record giving her every chance. The hold-up horses will find the gaps closing as the field bunches for home.

Lady KaraYeld To CallAfter The BallMiss Denver

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If one of the prominent runners can improve past Lady Kara approaching the final flight

Yeld To Call or After The Ball can capitalize on their forward positions while the back markers struggle for room in the closing stages. The sustainable early pace will leave plenty in reserve for those handily placed.

Yeld To CallAfter The BallLady KaraMiss Denver

Hold-Up Horse Surge

20% probability

If the pace becomes too slow and the field compresses, allowing traffic-free passages

Merely A Detail or Hornica could benefit from their finishing kicks if they get clear runs, with their higher ratings giving them an edge. However, they'll need significant luck in running from their likely positions.

Merely A DetailHornicaLilycalaBonnet's Secret

Outsider Breakthrough

5% probability

If the favorites falter and gaps appear for the lesser-rated runners

Miss Denver or Mega Etoile could capitalize on forward positions if the pace collapses, though their lower ratings make this unlikely. The maidens at the back would need extraordinary circumstances.

Miss DenverMega EtoileMinnie BellePink Walls

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Lady Kara's jumping rhythm in the early stages will determine if she can maintain her advantage throughout this longer trip

WATCH

After The Ball and Yeld To Call's positioning behind the leader as they need to avoid getting too far back in this large field

WATCH

The hold-up horses including Merely A Detail and Hornica finding clear passages from the back as traffic will be intense

NOTE

Lilycala's market support as the lightly raced mare could have more improvement than her rating suggests

NOTE

How aggressively the prominent runners track Lady Kara as a slow pace would compromise the front-running tactics

2:33 — Green 4 Motor Company 30th Anniversary Handicap Hurdle

3m2½f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Juggernaut likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Getaway With You led; the map had Juggernaut in front.

East Eagle won at 6.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Juggernaut

Prominent · 2

Getaway With YouSeahouses

Midfield · 4

KampariJewel Eyed JudyThe Last DropThe Kings Soldier

Hold Up · 3

ScudamoreEast EagleFloating Rock

Juggernaut and Seahouses are the only prominent runners in a field dominated by hold-up horses, creating a weak early pace scenario over this stamina-sapping 3m2½f trip. With seven hold-up horses including Scudamore, East Eagle, Floating Rock and Kampari all needing to find racing room in the final stages, the early leaders should face minimal pressure through the first two miles. This tactical setup strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can dictate terms and kick clear before the pack arrives, while hold-up horses face a traffic nightmare and reliance on others for pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Weak Pace Suits Leaders

65% probability

If Juggernaut and Seahouses face minimal early pressure and control the gallop

The early pace will be steady allowing the front pair to conserve energy before accelerating clear of the trailing pack. Hold-up horses will struggle to make up significant ground against horses who've saved energy by racing unchallenged.

JuggernautSeahousesGetaway With YouScudamore

Traffic Problems Behind

20% probability

If the large group of hold-up horses get shuffled back and meet trouble in running

Seven horses with similar hold-up styles will create a bottleneck as they all seek racing room simultaneously in the home straight. Only the best-positioned hold-up horses with the strongest finishing kicks will navigate through successfully.

East EagleScudamoreKampariJewel Eyed Judy

Steady Gallop Throughout

10% probability

If Juggernaut sets a genuinely slow pace from the front throughout the race

The entire field stays bunched with minimal gallop early, turning it into a sprint finish where class and recent form become decisive factors. Higher-rated horses get their chance despite tactical disadvantages.

ScudamoreEast EagleJuggernautFloating Rock

Prominent Runner Kicks Clear

5% probability

If Getaway With You tracks the leaders before making an unexpected mid-race move

The prompt challenge forces a genuine gallop that stretches the field and eliminates weaker stayers while suiting horses with tactical speed. This creates gaps for the better hold-up horses to exploit late.

Getaway With YouEast EagleJuggernautKampari

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Juggernaut and Seahouses face no early pressure allowing them to dictate a crawling gallop

WATCH

Multiple hold-up horses including Scudamore, East Eagle and Kampari get caught in traffic turning for home

NOTE

Floating Rock shows signs of rustiness early after his 171-day absence from competitive action

WATCH

The Last Drop and The Kings Soldier struggle to keep pace given their poor recent form profiles

NOTE

Getaway With You attempts to inject pace mid-race despite his quick 13-day turnaround concerns

3:08 — Mid Warwickshire Cleaning Supplies Mares' Handicap Hurdle

2m½f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Jaminska led; the map had Miss Maverick and Max Of Stars and Mary and Borna Gem in front.

Granny Hawkins won at 4.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up.

2 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

Miss MaverickMax Of StarsMaryBorna Gem

Prominent · 3

JaminskaLa MarquiseD Day Arvalenreeva

Midfield · 1

Callin Baton Rouge

Hold Up · 3

FromheretoeternityAnarizaGranny Hawkins

Miss Maverick, Max Of Stars, Borna Gem and Mary will contest the early lead, creating a strong gallop over this stamina-testing 2m4f trip at Stratford. With four confirmed front runners in an 11-runner field, the pace will be genuine throughout, stretching the field and testing stamina reserves. The relentless gallop will inevitably crack some of the leaders, setting up the race perfectly for the hold-up horses to finish strongly. This race shape strongly favours the patient, held-up runners who can capitalize on the pace collapse.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapse Benefits Closers

55% probability

If the four front runners go too fast early and weaken significantly from 3 out

The strong early gallop will stretch the field and exhaust the leaders, allowing the hold-up horses with stamina to sweep past in the final furlong. Fromheretoeternity and Callin Baton Rouge are perfectly positioned to benefit from this tactical setup.

FromheretoeternityCallin Baton RougeAnarizaGranny Hawkins

One Leader Survives

25% probability

If Max Of Stars or Mary can dictate a controlled pace while others overrace

The most tactical of the front runners will be able to kick clear when the pace lifts, having conserved energy while rivals burned theirs early. Max Of Stars has the class and experience to judge the pace perfectly.

Max Of StarsMaryBorna GemD Day Arvalenreeva

Prominent Horses Strike

12% probability

If the prominent runners can stay close enough without getting involved in early pace battles

D Day Arvalenreeva and Jaminska will track the leaders without overexerting, positioning perfectly to strike when the pace takes its toll. They avoid both the pace duel and getting too far back in a strongly-run race.

D Day ArvalenreevaJaminskaLa MarquiseMax Of Stars

Tactical Muddle Helps Mid-Division

8% probability

If the pace becomes stop-start due to leaders watching each other too closely

A messy, tactical affair would nullify the stamina advantages and favor horses that can quicken from mid-division positions. This seems unlikely given the number of confirmed front runners present.

La MarquiseD Day ArvalenreevaJaminskaGranny Hawkins

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Miss Maverick is a non-runner which removes one key pace angle and could slow the early gallop

WATCH

Max Of Stars returning after 169 days must be watched for fitness on debut back from layoff

NOTE

Borna Gem has inexperienced 7lb claimer in what looks a tactical battle requiring pace judgment

WATCH

Fromheretoeternity needs to be watched for sharpness after 25-day break despite ideal running style

NOTE

The ground conditions remain Good across all races today, suiting most runners without bias

3:43 — Racecourse Streams On Racing TV Extra Handicap Chase

3m3½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Felton Bellevue likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Carpe Diem led; the map had Felton Bellevue in front.

Yes And Yes won at 4.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Felton Bellevue

Prominent · 1

Illogical Logic

Midfield · 3

Carpe DiemUnspeakableYes And Yes

Hold Up · 2

Chief Black RobePescatorius

Felton Bellevue will lead from the start with no genuine pace rival in this small field, setting a steady gallop that suits his prominent style. The five hold-up horses (Chief Black Robe, Pescatorius, Unspeakable, Carpe Diem, Yes And Yes) will be clustered behind with Illogical Logic tracking closer. This sustainable tempo will leave plenty in reserve for the closing stages, creating a tactical battle where positioning and stamina matter more than pure speed. The race shape clearly favours hold-up horses who can produce a sustained finish over the final half-mile.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

55% probability

If Felton Bellevue sets his typical steady pace without pressure from the prominent runners

The patient hold-up brigade gets the perfect setup to unleash their finishing kicks, with multiple horses converging in the final furlong. Chief Black Robe and Pescatorius have the class edge in this tactical finish.

Chief Black RobePescatoriusUnspeakableCarpe Diem

Pace collapses completely

25% probability

If Felton Bellevue goes too slowly and the field crawls along early

The race becomes a sprint finish where the horse with the best turn of foot wins, likely favouring those with recent form over this trip. Carpe Diem's recent wins and Unspeakable's proven finishing speed could prove decisive.

Carpe DiemUnspeakablePescatoriusChief Black Robe

Illogical Logic presses leader

12% probability

If Illogical Logic decides to challenge Felton Bellevue earlier than expected

This creates a stronger pace that stretches the field and favours those with genuine stamina over pure finishing speed. The Williams-trained pair could benefit from the stiffer test.

UnspeakableIllogical LogicChief Black RobeFelton Bellevue

Front pair dominate

8% probability

If Felton Bellevue and Illogical Logic steal a march while the hold-up horses wait too long

The patient tactics backfire as the leaders build an unassailable advantage, with Felton Bellevue proving his recent placed efforts have him primed for success. His stamina and course-and-distance experience become crucial factors.

Felton BellevueIllogical LogicChief Black RobePescatorius

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

If Felton Bellevue goes too slow early, this becomes a sprint where pure speed beats stamina

WATCH

Chief Black Robe needs the pace to develop properly or his hold-up style becomes ineffective

NOTE

Unspeakable carrying the biggest question mark after 136 days off, but headgear suggests he's ready

WATCH

Amateur jockey on Illogical Logic could make crucial tactical errors in running

NOTE

Carpe Diem wearing first-time visor suggests trainer expects better performance than recent third

4:18 — Bet At racingtv.com Handicap Hurdle

2m2½f · Good · HCAP · 15 runners

Three Pikes likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Time Interval led; the map had Three Pikes in front.

Three Pikes won at 7.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Three Pikes

Prominent · 5

RenoirKlassy PearlJuan BermudezMonsun ClimateChief Sunday

Midfield · 5

Time IntervalLegendary DayFarhh EchoEstacasCan U Feel It

Hold Up · 4

Jet Of DreamsChicago StormUfouriaMistral Milly

Three Pikes will be the sole pace-setter early with his prominent style, likely joined by the other prominent runners Klassy Pearl, Chief Sunday, Renoir, Time Interval, and Juan Bermudez settling just off the lead. This creates a moderate early gallop rather than a sprint, with the large field of hold-up horses including Jet Of Dreams, Chicago Storm, Ufouria, Mistral Milly, and Can U Feel It tracking from midfield and rear. The sustainable pace will allow the hold-up horses to close strongly up the home straight at this sharp track. This race shape clearly favours the hold-up merchants who can use their finishing kick over this trip.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the early pace stays moderate as expected with Three Pikes controlling from the front.

The patient hold-up brigade get the perfect setup to unleash their finishing speed in the final two furlongs. Jet Of Dreams and Chicago Storm benefit most from their ability to quicken late when the pace lifts.

Jet Of DreamsChicago StormUfouriaMistral Milly

Prominent Tactical Battle

25% probability

If Klassy Pearl or Juan Bermudez challenge Three Pikes early, forcing a stronger gallop.

The increased pace stretches the field and favours the prominent horses who can stay closer to the pace without overexerting. Time Interval's course form becomes crucial in this tactical scenario.

Time IntervalJuan BermudezKlassy PearlThree Pikes

Three Pikes Wire-to-Wire

12% probability

If Three Pikes gets an easy lead and the field allows him uncontested fractions.

His recent consistent form suggests he can sustain the gallop when not pressured early. The lack of another confirmed front-runner gives him tactical freedom to dictate terms throughout.

Three PikesRenoirTime IntervalJuan Bermudez

Pace Collapses Late

8% probability

If the moderate early pace becomes crawling slow through the middle stages.

This turns the race into a sprint finish where the freshest horse wins rather than the best stayer. Legendary Day's lower weight becomes an advantage in a cavalry charge finish.

Legendary DayFarhh EchoChief SundayJuan Bermudez

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Three Pikes could get uncontested lead and prove hard to peg back if allowed easy fractions throughout

WATCH

Chicago Storm has strong Stratford form but 5lb claimer Beau Morgan may struggle positioning in big field

WATCH

Renoir returning from long absence with wind operation recovery still uncertain despite talent

NOTE

Time Interval wearing cheekpieces again after disappointing in them recently - headgear effectiveness crucial

NOTE

Several hold-up horses including Jet Of Dreams face fitness questions after lengthy absences

4:53 — Geely Leamington Spa Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m1f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

Bond Broker to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Bond Broker led, as the map showed.

Pure Carbon won at 2.88 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Bond Broker

Prominent · 2

Mister CessnaPark Annonciade

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Pure Carbon

Bond Broker will take this field along from the front with no obvious pace rival, setting a steady rhythm that suits his proven front-running style. Park Annonciade and Mister Cessna will track prominently behind the leader, while Pure Carbon sits furthest back as the only confirmed hold-up horse. With Bond Broker unlikely to be pressured early, he can dictate terms and control the gallop throughout. This tactical scenario strongly favours the front-runner and prominent racers, making life difficult for Pure Carbon who needs a strong pace to close into.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Bond Broker Controls

45% probability

If Bond Broker gets an uncontested lead and maintains his jumping

He can kick clear at the business end when the others come under pressure, utilizing his tactical advantage. The lack of early pace pressure allows him to save energy for a sustained finishing effort.

Bond BrokerPark AnnonciadeMister CessnaPure Carbon

Prominent Battle

30% probability

If Park Annonciade or Mister Cessna apply pressure to Bond Broker mid-race

The pace quickens enough to set up a tactical duel between the forward runners. Pure Carbon gets the stronger gallop he needs to mount his customary late challenge.

Park AnnonciadeMister CessnaBond BrokerPure Carbon

Pure Carbon Strikes

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint finish

The hold-up horse can unleash his superior finishing kick over the final furlong. His class edge shows when the race becomes purely about acceleration rather than tactical positioning.

Pure CarbonBond BrokerPark AnnonciadeMister Cessna

Mister Cessna Returns

10% probability

If the long absence doesn't blunt Mister Cessna's proven ability

His October Uttoxeter win form translates despite the 108-day break. The 5-year-old's improvement curve continues with race fitness questions answered positively.

Mister CessnaPark AnnonciadeBond BrokerPure Carbon

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Bond Broker's jumping early - any mistakes will invite pressure and compromise his tactical advantage

WATCH

Mister Cessna's early race position - if rusty he may get further back than ideal after long layoff

NOTE

Pure Carbon's closing sectional - needs to be traveling strongly turning in to overcome tactical disadvantage

WATCH

Park Annonciade's stamina reserves - stepping back in trip may suit but faces classier field than recent wins

NOTE

Jay Tidball's 5lb claim effect - reduces Bond Broker's weight burden but adds inexperience factor in tight finish

5:25 — Racing TV 'Grassroots' Open Hunters' Chase

2m6½f · Good · CLS5 · 5 runners

Largy Pearl to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Kansas Du Berlais led; the map had Largy Pearl in front.

Killer Clown won at 4.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Largy Pearl

Prominent · 2

Killer ClownKansas Du Berlais

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Important NoticeAmidnightstar

Largy Pearl will control this race from the front with no genuine pace pressure, setting a steady gallop that suits his patient style. Kansas Du Berlais and Killer Clown will track in the prominent positions but neither is aggressive enough to force a strong pace early. The lack of pace pressure creates a tactical affair where Largy Pearl can dictate terms and kick when ready. This moderate tempo strongly favours front runners and patient prominent racers who can time their challenge, disadvantaging hold-up horses who need a strong pace to close into.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Largy Pearl maintains his recent winning form and controls the pace uncontested.

His ability to dictate terms and kick clear when ready becomes decisive in this tactical affair. The moderate gallop allows him to conserve energy for a strong finish while others struggle to close the gap from behind.

Largy PearlKiller ClownKansas Du BerlaisImportant Notice

Prominent Tracker Prevails

30% probability

If Killer Clown's superior class tells and he times his challenge perfectly from his tracking position.

His recent winning form and highest official rating give him the quality edge when the race develops into a tactical battle. The patient pace allows him to stalk Largy Pearl and strike at the optimal moment.

Killer ClownKansas Du BerlaisLargy PearlImportant Notice

Hold-Up Challenge Succeeds

15% probability

If Important Notice's point-to-point winning form translates and the pace becomes genuinely run in the final mile.

His proven stamina over longer trips could tell if others go too hard too early and he gets the strong pace his style requires. The soft surface and extended distance play to his strengths from his patient position.

Important NoticeAmidnightstarKiller ClownKansas Du Berlais

Long Absence Tells

10% probability

If both Largy Pearl and Kansas Du Berlais show rustiness from their extended layoffs of over 300 days.

Their fitness concerns open the door for the recently raced horses to capitalize on superior race sharpness. Killer Clown and Important Notice benefit from more recent competitive action.

Killer ClownImportant NoticeAmidnightstarKansas Du Berlais

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Largy Pearl could be vulnerable if his 324-day absence shows as fitness concerns late in the race

WATCH

Important Notice's rules debut tactics remain unknown despite his point-to-point success over longer trips

WATCH

Kansas Du Berlais may struggle to find his best form first time back after nearly a year off track

NOTE

Killer Clown carries 4lbs penalty for recent wins but his class advantage could prove decisive

NOTE

Early pace development will determine if hold-up horses get the strong gallop they require

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 19 April 2026.

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