Archive›Taunton · 22 April 2026

Taunton

22 April 2026 · 6 races

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4:53 — Best Dressed Competitions Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m3f · Good · NOV · 7 runners

Kilnew Supreme to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Docteur Romeo led; the map had Kilnew Supreme in front.

Crest Of Stars won at 2.88 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Kilnew Supreme

Prominent · 3

Winning PaddyRoyal RocketDocteur Romeo

Midfield · 1

Warfleet

Hold Up · 2

ParchmentCrest Of Stars

Kilnew Supreme will lead from the start with no obvious challengers for the front running role, creating a measured gallop throughout. Royal Rocket and Winning Paddy may track in second and third early, with prominent runners like Docteur Romeo settling just behind, while the hold-up horses Parchment, Crest Of Stars and Warfleet will drop in at the rear. With only one confirmed pace-setter in a small field, the tempo will be controlled rather than testing, setting up a tactical finish where positioning and timing matter more than stamina. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late kicks and prominent runners with tactical speed.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Closers

50% probability

If Kilnew Supreme sets an uncontested lead and the pace stays steady throughout

The lack of early pressure allows hold-up horses to conserve energy and unleash finishing kicks. Late-running types get the perfect setup to pick off tired leaders in the final furlong.

ParchmentCrest Of StarsRoyal RocketKilnew Supreme

Front Runner Dominates

25% probability

If Kilnew Supreme gets an easy lead and kicks clear approaching the last

With no serious pace pressure early, the leader saves enough energy to pull away when it matters. The small field means less chance of sustained challenges from behind.

Kilnew SupremeRoyal RocketCrest Of StarsParchment

Prominent Runners Strike

15% probability

If Royal Rocket or other forward runners press Kilnew Supreme from halfway

The increased tempo stretches the field and favours horses positioned just behind the leader. Those tracking the pace can strike at the right moment while hold-up horses are left with too much to do.

Royal RocketDocteur RomeoKilnew SupremeCrest Of Stars

Staying Power Prevails

10% probability

If the pace quickens significantly from three out and becomes a stamina test

The trip starts to tell on speed horses while those with proven staying ability come through. Experience over the distance becomes the deciding factor in a grueling finish.

Crest Of StarsWarfleetParchmentKilnew Supreme

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

WATCH

Watch if Royal Rocket or Winning Paddy press Kilnew Supreme early as neither has shown stamina for this trip

NOTE

Monitor how quickly Parchment and Crest Of Stars are dropped in from their hold-up positions given the small field size

KEY

Observe Docteur Romeo closely for any signs of his usual late fade pattern emerging from three furlongs out

WATCH

Check if Kilnew Supreme gets too easy a lead early as he may have enough left to kick clear despite recent poor form

NOTE

Watch for Warfleet's jumping given his long absence and limited hurdles experience after pulling up on debut

5:30 — Royal Ascot Lunch Saturday 20 June Mares' Handicap Hurdle

3m · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Lead contested: Miss Tiara v Poet's MuseHISTORIC

How it ran

Poet's Muse led, as the map showed.

Jena d'Oudairies won at 7.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Miss TiaraPoet's Muse

Prominent · 3

Lady CaroJena d'OudairiesBorder Gem

Midfield · 1

Bee's Kiss

Hold Up · 2

Hurst HillPooley's Promise

Miss Tiara and Poet's Muse will force the early pace as confirmed front-runners, though Poet's Muse lacks the class to sustain pressure over 3m. Lady Caro and Border Gem sitting prominently will track the leaders through the middle sections, with the hold-up horses Hurst Hill, Pooley's Promise and Bee's Kiss relying on stamina kicks. The dual pace angle creates an honest gallop but not a searching tempo early. This race shape clearly favours prominent runners who can position close enough to strike but avoid the early burn-off between the leaders.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Tracker Wins

45% probability

If Lady Caro or Border Gem track the pace perfectly and avoid the early speed battle

The leaders tire from their duel while hold-up horses find too much to do over this extended trip. Prominent runners get first run on the weakening pace-setters and kick clear before the back-markers arrive.

Lady CaroBorder GemJena d'OudairiesMiss Tiara

Hold-Up Charge

25% probability

If the two leaders go too fast early and collapse dramatically in the final mile

Pooley's Promise and Hurst Hill benefit from the strong early pace and superior stamina at 3m. Their patient tactics pay off as they sweep past tiring prominent runners in the closing stages.

Hurst HillPooley's PromiseLady CaroBorder Gem

Leader Lasts

20% probability

If Miss Tiara's wind surgery proves effective and she can dictate a steady tempo without pressure from Poet's Muse

Miss Tiara avoids a pace duel and maintains a controlled gallop that suits her front-running style over the extended distance. Her tactical advantage proves decisive when prominent runners can't quicken past her staying power.

Miss TiaraLady CaroBorder GemHurst Hill

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If both leaders stop dramatically early leaving a tactical muddle with no clear tempo-setter

The race becomes a sprint from 2f out when no horse wants to commit early after the leaders fade. This chaotic finish could see any runner with a turn of foot prevail regardless of early positioning.

Border GemPooley's PromiseLady CaroHurst Hill

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Poet's Muse could completely fold early and leave Miss Tiara with an uncontested lead, fundamentally changing the race dynamic.

WATCH

Miss Tiara's breathing - any respiratory noise will signal her wind issues have returned despite the surgery and tongue-tie.

WATCH

Hurst Hill's fitness after 163 days off, as hold-up horses particularly need race sharpness over this demanding trip.

NOTE

Border Gem's stamina reserves stepping up to 3m for the first time, as her prominent style needs to be sustained longer than ever before.

NOTE

The gap between leaders Miss Tiara and Poet's Muse early - if Poet's Muse can't keep up, Miss Tiara gets an easy time in front.

6:00 — Ron Hatton Memorial Handicap Hurdle

2m3f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Forever Penywern to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Taritino and Bobbarelli and Public Enemy and Myrighthandman led; the map had Forever Penywern in front.

Taritino won at 2.75 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Forever Penywern

Prominent · 4

Dirty DenMyrighthandmanPublic EnemyBobbarelli

Midfield · 2

Best NightMidnight Pass

Hold Up · 2

Green SkyTaritino

Forever Penywern will lead from the outset with no genuine pace pressure, creating a moderate gallop through the first circuit. Dirty Den, Bobbarelli, Best Night, Myrighthandman and Public Enemy will cluster prominently behind the leader, creating significant traffic issues turning for home. The lack of early pace will suit hold-up horses who can secure clear runs, while prominent runners face congestion problems in a bunched field. This race shape strongly favours the two hold-up horses, Taritino and Green Sky, who can avoid the traffic and benefit from the sustainable early pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Benefit

55% probability

If Forever Penywern sets modest fractions and the prominent pack clusters together approaching the home turn

The patient hold-up runners get clear runs while prominent horses are trapped in traffic, allowing late closers to exploit the solid pace. Taritino and Green Sky are best positioned to capitalize on this likely unfolding.

TaritinoGreen SkyForever PenywernMidnight Pass

Leader Dominates

25% probability

If Forever Penywern gets an uncontested lead and the prominent pack fails to organize an effective challenge

The leader builds an unassailable advantage while prominent runners compromise each other, creating a front-running victory. Forever Penywern's superior RPR of 113 and lack of pace pressure makes this viable.

Forever PenywernTaritinoBest NightMyrighthandman

Prominent Break Clear

12% probability

If one of the prominent runners breaks free from the pack before the turn-in and avoids the traffic

A prominent horse with the right position and timing gets first run on the leader while others are still organizing. Best Night or Myrighthandman are most likely to find the right tactical position.

Best NightMyrighthandmanForever PenywernTaritino

Messy Pace Collapse

8% probability

If Forever Penywern weakens significantly and the prominent pack goes too early trying to close

The race becomes a scramble with multiple horses hitting flat spots, allowing an opportunistic runner to sneak through. Any horse finding clear running could capitalize on the chaos.

Public EnemyDirty DenBobbarelliBest Night

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Forever Penywern setting the fractions - if they're too modest he becomes very vulnerable to the hold-up horses late on

WATCH

The prominent pack of Dirty Den, Bobbarelli, Best Night, Myrighthandman and Public Enemy bunching together approaching the turn

WATCH

Taritino's position turning for home - if he gets a clear run he becomes extremely dangerous given the expected pace

NOTE

Green Sky's jumping rhythm early - any mistakes will compromise his hold-up tactics in what should be his ideal race scenario

NOTE

Best Night and Myrighthandman finding racing room in the straight after their recent consistent form

6:30 — Dave Criddle Travel Handicap Hurdle

2m½f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Mi Sueno to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Little Lady Lucy and Mi Sueno and Miss Fedora led, as the map showed.

Little Lady Lucy won at 2.20 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

6 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mi Sueno

Prominent · 1

Old Bridge

Midfield · 6

Galactic JackPortcammonMiss FedoraLittle Lady LucySaucatsBlazing Gaden

Hold Up · 3

Most WantedDaring To DreamPillar The Poet

Mi Sueno will take the field along from the front as the sole confirmed leader, but his tendency to fade in the finish means he's unlikely to sustain a strong gallop throughout. With only Old Bridge likely to race prominently behind him, the early pace will be modest and sustainable. This sets up a tactical affair where the large pack of hold-up horses will need to time their challenges perfectly from off the pace. The combination of a weak early pace and Mi Sueno's stamina limitations strongly favours horses with finishing kicks who can position themselves handy and strike late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Tactical Late Surge

45% probability

If Mi Sueno sets a steady pace and fades from 2f out as expected

The moderate gallop allows the best finishers to get into contention and unleash their kicks when it matters. Horses like Little Lady Lucy and Daring To Dream, who have shown ability to quicken, benefit from the tactical nature.

Little Lady LucyDaring To DreamSaucatsGalactic Jack

Prominent Advantage

30% probability

If Old Bridge races closer to Mi Sueno and maintains a stronger gallop throughout

The more genuine pace exposes the stamina limitations of some hold-up horses and favours those who can travel strongly in behind the leaders. Old Bridge's class advantage and Pipe stable form becomes decisive in a truly-run race.

Old BridgeLittle Lady LucyDaring To DreamPortcammon

Mi Sueno Surprise

15% probability

If Mi Sueno finds improved stamina and the pace collapse completely from 3f out

The extreme lack of pace means only horses who can produce a sustained finish benefit, while most of the field gets caught flat-footed. Mi Sueno's front-running experience gives him an edge if he can find extra reserves.

Mi SuenoMost WantedLittle Lady LucyOld Bridge

Chaos Finish

10% probability

If the large pack of hold-up horses all make their moves simultaneously approaching the final hurdle

The bunched finish creates interference and favours the handiest-positioned horses who can avoid trouble. Portcammon and Miss Fedora, with their experience, can navigate the scrimmaging better.

PortcammonMiss FedoraPillar The PoetBlazing Gaden

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mi Sueno's jumping and stamina - if he makes mistakes or stops suddenly the whole complexion changes

WATCH

Little Lady Lucy's positioning - needs to be handy to repeat front-running tactics but drawn to overcome traffic

WATCH

Old Bridge's fitness after 170-day absence - any signs of ring-rustiness could end Pipe's chances early

NOTE

How aggressively Richie McLernon rides Portcammon - needs to be closer than usual given his hold-up style

NOTE

The pace through the first mile - if genuinely strong it will suit the closers, if crawling it favours handy horses

7:00 — Charles Clark Memorial Handicap Hurdle

3m · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Gasmani likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Final Entry and Holeshot led; the map had Gasmani in front.

Noble Blue won at 2.75 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Gasmani

Prominent · 2

HoleshotSam's Amour

Midfield · 3

Noble BlueFinal EntryMcgregors Charge

Hold Up · 1

Sage Green

Gasmani will set a steady pace from the front with minimal pressure in this small field, likely accompanied by the prominent runners Holeshot, Noble Blue, Sam's Amour and Mcgregors Charge tracking within striking distance. The absence of confirmed pacepressers means Gasmani can dictate terms without being harried early, creating a sustainable gallop that builds gradually. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can travel easily in the slipstream before launching their challenges, with hold-up horse Sage Green facing a significant disadvantage in the tactical scenario.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Gasmani Controls Tempo

45% probability

If Gasmani gets an uncontested lead and maintains rhythm throughout

The front-runner can measure his effort perfectly and prove hard to peg back, while prominent trackers get first run on any faltering. This sustained pace suits horses with tactical speed who can strike from close range.

GasmaniNoble BlueHoleshotSam's Amour

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If the pace quickens from halfway as prominent runners jostle for position

Early pressure forces Gasmani to work harder while prominent racers with superior finishing kicks can time their challenges perfectly. The tactical battle favours horses with proven stamina reserves over this extended trip.

HoleshotSam's AmourNoble BlueGasmani

Staying Test Develops

15% probability

If the pace becomes steadily testing throughout the final mile

The sustained gallop turns into a genuine stamina examination where proven stayers with course experience gain the upper hand. This grinding finish suits horses who have shown they can battle when the pace doesn't relent.

Sam's AmourNoble BlueGasmaniMcgregors Charge

Late Surge From Behind

10% probability

If the early pace is genuinely slow allowing hold-up tactics to work

Sage Green can overcome his tactical disadvantage by conserving energy early before unleashing a telling late challenge. The field compresses entering the straight creating opportunities for horses with finishing speed.

Sage GreenFinal EntryNoble BlueHoleshot

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Gasmani could get too easy a lead with Charlie Maggs able to dictate perfect fractions from the front

WATCH

Noble Blue's amateur jockey Joshua Newman may struggle with tactical positioning in the closing stages

WATCH

Sage Green needs the pace to collapse late to be effective from his hold-up position

NOTE

Sam's Amour showed signs of breathing issues last season which could resurface under pressure

NOTE

Final Entry is stepping up significantly in trip after 44-day absence which may find him short of peak fitness

7:30 — Dorset & Somerset Air Ambulance Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

2m3f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Lake Tiberias likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Future Times led; the map had Lake Tiberias in front.

Modern Style won at 1.40 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Lake Tiberias

Prominent · 3

Tobi KanobeeAthena's DreamNo Mean Feat

Midfield · 4

Joker JackFuture TimesForest HillsGalactic Princess

Hold Up · 3

Modern StylePeace In The ParkRitaan

Lake Tiberias and Tobi Kanobee will set the early pace, with Athena's Dream, No Mean Feat and Future Times tracking in prominent positions. The pace should be sustainable rather than fierce given only two confirmed front-runners over this trip. Modern Style, Peace In The Park, Ritaan and Forest Hills will need the race to develop from off the pace. This tactical setup strongly favours prominent racers who can sit handy and kick - the hold-up horses face a significant disadvantage if the pace stays modest.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent racers dominate

55% probability

If the early pace stays modest with Lake Tiberias and Tobi Kanobee setting reasonable fractions

The handy horses can travel well and produce their finishing kicks from ideal positions while the hold-up brigade get stranded too far back. Athena's Dream and No Mean Feat benefit most from this tactical scenario.

Lake TiberiasAthena's DreamNo Mean FeatFuture Times

Modern Style strikes again

25% probability

If the pace quickens sufficiently to allow hold-up horses to close from the back

Modern Style's impressive Exeter win five days ago suggests rapid improvement and the step up in trip could unlock more. His hold-up style works if the leaders go fast enough to bring him into play.

Modern StylePeace In The ParkLake TiberiasRitaan

Tobi Kanobee stays better

12% probability

If the early pace collapses completely with Lake Tiberias and Tobi Kanobee going too slow

Tobi Kanobee's recent front-running effort at Newton Abbot over 2m5f suggests stamina, and he could dictate throughout. The lack of early pressure would suit his front-running tactics perfectly.

Tobi KanobeeLake TiberiasFuture TimesModern Style

Outsider springs surprise

8% probability

If the main protagonists fail to fire or encounter trouble in running

Future Times is out of the weights and showed signs of life on his return from a long absence. Forest Hills needs the trip but has winning form and could benefit if the pace collapses.

Future TimesForest HillsGalactic PrincessAthena's Dream

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Modern Style quick turnaround after impressive Exeter win - watch if the 5-day gap affects his performance

WATCH

Lake Tiberias early tempo setting - if he goes too slow it will compromise the hold-up horses' chances

NOTE

Tobi Kanobee stamina test - his Newton Abbot fade suggests this longer trip could suit better

WATCH

Athena's Dream settling - needs to travel kindly in the prominent position to use her finishing kick

NOTE

Future Times weight advantage - out of the handicap proper which could make him competitive in weak race

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 22 April 2026.

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