Archive›Thirsk · 10 April 2026

Thirsk

10 April 2026 · 8 races

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2:08 — Join Racing TV Today Maiden Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

5f · Good · CLS4 · 9 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:43 — racingtv.com Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) (Div I)

1m · Good · NOV · 9 runners

Simon Pierre likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Clonquest led; the map had Simon Pierre in front.

Simon Pierre won at 4.33 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Simon Pierre

Prominent · 1

Simba's Pride

Midfield · 4

Arc At HerLuscious LilRaja ChargerMayflower Billy

Hold Up · 3

Sayidah AleenClonquestMy Ballyquinn

Simon Pierre will attempt to lead from the front with Simba's Pride likely to track him closely, creating a moderate early gallop over this 1m trip at Thirsk. With most of the field carrying hold-up styles (Clonquest, My Ballyquinn, Mayflower Billy, Raja Charger) and Arc At Her being untested, the pace should be sustainable through the middle sections. The lack of confirmed pace pressers means Simon Pierre can dictate terms until the final 2-3 furlongs when the closers attempt their challenge. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and those with proven finishing kicks from mid-division, as the moderate pace will leave plenty in reserve for the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Pace Suits Closers

45% probability

If Simon Pierre maintains a steady gallop without early pressure from Simba's Pride

The moderate tempo allows hold-up horses to get into contention turning for home, with Clonquest's proven finishing kick from Newcastle giving him the edge. Arc At Her could emerge as a significant threat if showing debut promise with her strong pedigree.

ClonquestArc At HerSimon PierreSimba's Pride

Front Pair Dominate

30% probability

If Simon Pierre and Simba's Pride work together early and maintain a solid gallop

The lack of early pace pressure allows both leaders to save energy for a sustained drive, with Simon Pierre's class edge from his Lincoln meeting run proving decisive. The hold-up horses struggle to make up ground on the leaders.

Simon PierreSimba's PrideClonquestArc At Her

Messy Pace Benefits Improvers

15% probability

If the early pace becomes stop-start with uncertain tempo

The inconsistent gallop creates confusion in the field, allowing horses returning from breaks like My Ballyquinn or Simba's Pride to benefit from the chaotic rhythm. Fitness and adaptability become key factors over pure class.

My BallyquinnSimba's PrideSimon PierreClonquest

Complete Pace Collapse

10% probability

If Simon Pierre goes too slow early and gets swamped by multiple closers

The pedestrian early sections turn this into a sprint finish where multiple hold-up horses converge simultaneously. Pure speed over the final furlong decides the outcome rather than tactical positioning.

Arc At HerClonquestMy BallyquinnRaja Charger

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Simon Pierre could get loose on the lead if Simba's Pride fails to track him closely enough through the early stages

WATCH

Arc At Her represents the complete unknown factor with strong breeding that could produce a surprise debut performance

NOTE

Clonquest's finishing kick will be crucial to time correctly given the likely moderate pace scenario

WATCH

Simba's Pride faces a significant step up in trip from 5f to 1m after nearly a year off the track

NOTE

The bottom three rated horses (Luscious Lil, Mayflower Billy, Raja Charger) all show consistent fading patterns in their recent form

3:18 — racingtv.com Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) (Div II)

1m · Good · NOV · 9 runners

Tough Date likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Inferno led; the map had Tough Date in front.

Bearish won at 1.29 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Tough Date

Prominent · 3

InfernoRocklawBridgefoot Rambler

Midfield · 2

PepseaNefyn Queen

Hold Up · 3

BearishSupreme LilliaAlcanzor

Tough Date will likely lead uncontested from the off, with Inferno and Bridgefoot Rambler providing token early company in a moderate pace setup. The lack of genuine speed means this becomes a test of who can quicken best from the back half of the field when the pace lifts approaching the final two furlongs. Hold-up horses like Bearish and Supreme Lillia get the perfect scenario to unleash their finishing kicks. This race shape strongly favours hold-up runners who can produce a sustained finish from off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Pace Suits Closers

65% probability

If Tough Date leads unchallenged and the pace stays moderate throughout

The pace will be too slow for the leaders to sustain their advantage when the hold-up horses unleash their finishing kicks. Bearish and Supreme Lillia get the perfect tactical setup to showcase their acceleration from the rear.

BearishSupreme LilliaPepseaNefyn Queen

Prominent Horses Press Leader

20% probability

If Inferno and Bridgefoot Rambler put genuine pressure on Tough Date early

The increased pace will stretch the field and create a more honest gallop that could suit horses with tactical speed. Tough Date might find enough to hold on if the pace becomes too strong for the hold-up brigade.

Tough DateInfernoBearishAlcanzor

Messy Pace Favours Class

12% probability

If the pace becomes stop-start with no clear tempo being set

The tactical nature will turn it into a sprint finish where pure class tells over running style. Bearish's superior form rating becomes the deciding factor in a bunch finish.

BearishPepseaSupreme LilliaTough Date

Front Runners Dominate Weak Field

3% probability

If none of the hold-up horses show the expected improvement from their breaks

The modest early pace actually suits the leaders who can dictate terms throughout. Tough Date capitalizes on his recent racecourse experience against this limited opposition.

Tough DateInfernoBridgefoot RamblerRocklaw

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Tough Date could steal this if allowed to dictate fractions completely uncontested from the front

WATCH

Bearish needs to overcome 161-day layoff but Ed Dunlop's runners often return race-fit despite poor stable form

NOTE

Pepsea's market support will be crucial given his unraced status and expensive breeding background

WATCH

Supreme Lillia showed ability on debut but significant regression second time suggests temperament or physical issues

NOTE

Inferno's switch from all-weather to turf could unlock improvement after showing progression on artificial surface

3:53 — Live Streams On Racing TV Extra Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Lead contested: Pol Roger v TravisHISTORIC

How it ran

Jamaican Storm and Travis and Copper And Five led, as the map showed.

Harswell Ruby won at 3.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Pol RogerTravis

Prominent · 1

Copper And Five

Midfield · 6

Whiskey PeteMarinerJamaican StormJewel MakerFinally EscapedPerfidia

Hold Up · 4

Amidst The ChaosHarswell RubyEve's BoyVolto Di Medusa

Pol Roger and Travis are the only confirmed front runners in this 13-runner field, setting up a contested early pace between two horses seeking to bounce back from poor recent form. With most of the field comprised of hold-up horses including Amidst The Chaos, Mariner, and Harswell Ruby, the early pace should be honest but not breakneck as the two leaders establish position. The large contingent of hold-up performers will create a cavalry charge from the back, but the honest gallop from the front two should play into the hands of horses that can sit handy and get first run on the closers. This tactical setup favours prominent racers and those hold-up horses with proven tactical speed like Jamaican Storm and Amidst The Chaos.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Two Collapse Late

45% probability

If Pol Roger and Travis set too strong a pace and tire in the final furlong

The early leaders weaken dramatically allowing the hold-up brigade to sweep past them. Horses with proven finishing kicks like Amidst The Chaos and Harswell Ruby benefit most from the strong pace collapse.

Amidst The ChaosHarswell RubyMarinerVolto Di Medusa

Tactical Front Runner Holds

30% probability

If either Pol Roger or Travis settles better than expected and conserves energy

The pace becomes more measured allowing one of the leaders to kick clear when the hold-up horses are still organising their challenge. Travis looks the more likely given his recent consistent placings.

TravisPol RogerJamaican StormCopper And Five

Late Surge Prevails

15% probability

If the pace is genuinely strong throughout and the field becomes well strung out

The hold-up horses get the perfect setup but need to be produced with a perfectly timed run. Mariner and Volto Di Medusa have the class edge in this scenario.

MarinerVolto Di MedusaEve's BoyWhiskey Pete

Handy Horse Strikes

10% probability

If Copper And Five or Jamaican Storm can secure ideal positions just off the pace

The prominent runners avoid the early battle but stay close enough to pounce when the pace-setters weaken. Their fitness and tactical positioning gives them the edge over the deeper held horses.

Jamaican StormCopper And FiveTravisHarswell Ruby

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pol Roger and Travis could set unsustainably strong fractions given both need to lead and bounce back from poor form

WATCH

Amidst The Chaos returning from 195-day break but has winning form at this trip when fit

NOTE

Jamaican Storm arriving with recent win and consistent form, watch for Paul Mulrennan's positioning tactics

WATCH

Harswell Ruby and Mariner both hold strong claims if the pace sets up for hold-up horses

NOTE

Several horses returning from long breaks including Perfidia and Copper And Five may need the run

4:25 — British EBF Michael Foster Conditions Stakes

7f · Good · CLS3 · 8 runners

Lead contested: Seacruiser v ScovilleHISTORIC

How it ran

Mount Athos led; the map had Seacruiser and Scoville in front.

Myal won at 8.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

SeacruiserScoville

Prominent · 3

Poet MasterMount AthosMyal

Midfield · 1

Elarak

Hold Up · 2

RhoscolynDarkness

Seacruiser and Scoville are both natural front-runners who will contest the early lead, with Seacruiser making his return after 561 days and Scoville having previously made all when winning by 14 lengths. Their clash will create an honest gallop through the middle sections, with Poet Master and Mount Athos likely to track just behind in prominent positions. The sustained pace should set up the race for horses that can stay on strongly, favoring prominent racers who can position close enough to strike and hold-up horses who thrive when the pace collapses in the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Seacruiser or Scoville gets an uncontested lead and the pace becomes tactical.

The winner gets first run on softer fractions and has too much left for the closers to reel in. This suits natural pace-setters who can control their own destiny and avoid traffic.

SeacruiserScovilleMount AthosPoet Master

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If the two front-runners go too hard early and compromise each other.

The honest gallop sets up perfectly for horses sitting just off the pace to sweep through with their finishing kick. Mount Athos and Poet Master can time their runs to perfection.

Mount AthosPoet MasterElarakMyal

Hold-Up Hero Emerges

15% probability

If the early pace becomes genuinely strong and the leaders tie up badly.

The strong gallop stretches the field and allows a patient ride to work to devastating effect. Darkness and Rhoscolyn get the perfect setup to unleash their finishing speed.

DarknessRhoscolynMount AthosMyal

Pace Collapses Chaos

10% probability

If both front-runners are taken on aggressively by other pace-forcers.

The messy early fractions create a stop-start rhythm that suits versatile types who can quicken off any pace. Elarak's return to 7f and positive riding style becomes crucial.

ElarakMyalPoet MasterMount Athos

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Seacruiser faces massive fitness test on 561-day return despite natural speed advantage

WATCH

Scoville and Seacruiser could go too fast if both committed to leading early

NOTE

Mount Athos has finished second in this race twice and arrives in identical circumstances

WATCH

Darkness and Rhoscolyn both carry 216+ day absences in competitive conditions company

NOTE

Elarak showed renewed vigor when returned to 7f and ridden more positively last time

5:00 — Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Pride Of Donegal to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Roarin' Success led; the map had Pride Of Donegal in front.

In The Breeze won at 7.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Pride Of Donegal

Prominent · 2

Asmen WarriorRoarin' Success

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

In The BreezeGibside

Pride Of Donegal will take this race by the scruff of the neck from the start, with no other confirmed front-runners to challenge his early dominance. Asmen Warrior and Roarin' Success will track him in second and third, but neither has the tactical speed to pressure the leader through the early stages. The two hold-up horses, Gibside and In The Breeze, will settle at the back and rely on the stamina test over this extended trip. This sets up perfectly for front-runners and prominent racers who can dictate terms without pace pressure.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pride Makes All

45% probability

If Pride Of Donegal jumps cleanly and establishes an uncontested lead

He can dictate a steady gallop that suits his stamina reserves, then quicken when it matters most down the home straight. The lack of pace pressure allows him to save enough energy for a decisive kick that the hold-up horses cannot match.

Pride Of DonegalAsmen WarriorRoarin' SuccessIn The Breeze

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If Asmen Warrior or Roarin' Success can stay close enough to the leader throughout

They can pounce when Pride Of Donegal comes under pressure in the final two furlongs, using their tactical position to strike at the optimal moment. The sustained gallop will suit these middle-distance specialists better than the hold-up brigade.

Asmen WarriorRoarin' SuccessPride Of DonegalIn The Breeze

Hold-Up Surprise

20% probability

If the early pace becomes too sedate and the race turns into a sprint finish

In The Breeze and Gibside can use their closing kick to sweep past tiring front-runners in the final furlong. The tactical disadvantage becomes an advantage if the race lacks a true test of stamina.

In The BreezeGibsidePride Of DonegalAsmen Warrior

Pace Collapse

10% probability

If Pride Of Donegal fails to fire or makes a tactical error early

The race becomes a messy affair with no clear pace-setter, allowing any of the prominent racers to inherit the lead. This chaotic scenario opens the door for an opportunistic winner from the chasing pack.

Roarin' SuccessAsmen WarriorIn The BreezePride Of Donegal

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pride Of Donegal's jumping from the stalls - any sluggish start would hand the initiative to Asmen Warrior or Roarin' Success

WATCH

Gibside's fitness levels after 154 days off, particularly given Tim Easterby's poor recent strike rate

WATCH

In The Breeze stepping back significantly in trip from her recent 14f-16f efforts

NOTE

Roarin' Success showing any early keen tendencies that could compromise her finishing kick

NOTE

The overall early gallop - if too steady, it hands a major advantage to the hold-up horses

5:35 — Next Meeting Saturday 18th April Book Now Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 16 runners

Lead contested: Miss Willows v Filey BeachHISTORIC

How it ran

Miss Willows led, as the map showed.

Mwafaq won at 12.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Miss WillowsFiley Beach

Prominent · 2

Angel Of EnglandBlackjack

Midfield · 7

Operation GimcrackGood KarmaJkr CobblerInvincible MelodyOseltonJet WarriorWoodrafff

Hold Up · 5

ReidhOrbital ChimeMwafaqEy Up He's A StarSunny Orange

Miss Willows and Filey Beach are the confirmed front runners who will contest the early pace, with Angel Of England and Blackjack likely to sit prominently behind them. This creates an honest gallop over 7f at Thirsk, but nothing extreme with just two committed pace-setters in a 16-runner field. The majority of the field are hold-up horses who will look to come from off the pace in the final 2f. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and horses with tactical pace who can position close enough to the leaders without getting embroiled in the early battle.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Early Pace

45% probability

If Miss Willows and Filey Beach don't go too hard early and set reasonable fractions

The prominent horses like Angel Of England and Blackjack can track the leaders without being stretched, allowing them to kick when it matters. Hold-up horses find themselves with too much ground to make up as the pace quickens entering the final furlong.

Angel Of EnglandBlackjackGood KarmaWoodrafff

Strong Early Gallop

30% probability

If Miss Willows and Filey Beach engage in a fierce early battle and set a searching pace

The pace-setters weaken significantly in the final furlong, opening the door for the large contingent of hold-up horses to finish strongly. Horses with proven finishing kicks benefit most from the strong early tempo.

MwafaqOperation GimcrackGood KarmaEy Up He's A Star

Front Runner Dominance

15% probability

If one of the pace-setters gains a soft lead and the early pace is moderate

Miss Willows or Filey Beach can dictate terms and kick clear when the pace lifts, holding off the late challengers. The lack of early pressure allows the leader to save energy for a decisive move.

Miss WillowsFiley BeachAngel Of EnglandJkr Cobbler

Complete Pace Collapse

10% probability

If both pace-setters go off too fast and completely tie up in the final 2f

The race becomes a sprint from the 2f pole as multiple hold-up horses converge simultaneously. This creates a blanket finish where any of the closers can prevail depending on their final furlong acceleration.

Orbital ChimeReidhSunny OrangeInvincible Melody

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Miss Willows and Filey Beach setting unsustainable fractions in first 3f could set up blanket finish

WATCH

Mwafaq breaking slowly after 172-day absence would negate his hold-up style advantages

NOTE

Angel Of England's early positioning crucial given wind surgery and need to avoid getting trapped

WATCH

Jkr Cobbler missing the break as he sometimes does would be fatal in this large field

NOTE

Good Karma racing too keenly early could compromise his finishing kick in the final 2f

6:10 — Thirsk Hunt Cup Day Saturday 2nd May Book Now Apprentice Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 16 runners

Maldevious to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lord Abama and Belsito led; the map had Maldevious in front.

Juan Les Pins won at 3.75 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Maldevious

Prominent · 6

Mark's ChoiceHurt You NeverYorkshire GloryBelsitoLord AbamaEl Pinto

Midfield · 4

Fiscal PolicyMacedonianOne More DreamBarmyblade

Hold Up · 5

Juan Les PinsMoonstone BoyGreatValentine CatcherStirrup Cup

Maldevious is the only confirmed front-runner in this 16-runner field and will dictate terms from the rail without pressure, likely creating a sustainable tempo rather than a frantic gallop. The prominent runners Yorkshire Glory, Lord Abama, Mark's Choice and Belsito will track close behind, but none are aggressive pace-forcers who would challenge Maldevious early. This sets up a tactical race where the large field of hold-up horses including Juan Les Pins, Fiscal Policy, Great and Moonstone Boy will be relying on a strong finish from off the pace. The single uncontested leader creating a measured tempo over 6f at Thirsk strongly favours prominent runners who can track the pace and kick, rather than hold-up horses who need a stronger gallop to set up their finishing kick.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

40% probability

If Maldevious gets his own way in front and sets fractions to suit

The front-runner controls the race completely and has enough left to resist late challengers, with prominent trackers filling the places. This tactical scenario suits horses who can dictate or sit close to slow fractions.

MaldeviousYorkshire GloryLord AbamaMark's Choice

Prominent Trackers Strike

35% probability

If the pace becomes genuine enough to set up the race for those tracking handy

Yorkshire Glory or Mark's Choice can use their class advantage to outkick the leader in the final furlong, with other prominent runners benefiting from the ideal position. The measured pace still favours those close up rather than hold-up horses.

Yorkshire GloryMark's ChoiceLord AbamaBelsito

Hold-Up Horses Finish Fast

20% probability

If the large field creates enough pace pressure to make the race a true test

Juan Les Pins, Fiscal Policy and Great get the strong gallop they need to unleash their finishing kicks from the back. The 16-runner field generates enough tempo to blunt the front-runners and set up a cavalry charge.

Juan Les PinsFiscal PolicyGreatMoonstone Boy

Pace Collapses Completely

5% probability

If Maldevious goes too slowly and the race becomes a sprint

The tactical nature becomes extreme and any horse with a turn of foot can win from any position. This creates chaos where class and condition matter more than running style, opening the door for outsiders.

GreatYorkshire GloryJuan Les PinsHurt You Never

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Yorkshire Glory's all-weather winning streak may not translate to turf debut, making him vulnerable despite market support

WATCH

Maldevious must prove he can lead effectively on debut for new yard after wind surgery and 141-day layoff

NOTE

Mark's Choice typically needs his reappearance run but has won fresh before, so fitness is key unknown

WATCH

Several runners including Lord Abama, Valentine Catcher and Belsito return from 4+ month breaks without recent form

NOTE

The going remains genuinely good across all Thirsk races today, favouring those with proven form on similar surfaces

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 10 April 2026.

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