Archive›Thirsk · 5 June 2026

Thirsk

5 June 2026 · 7 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

1:40 — Hartshead Dos Champions Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C And D) (GBB Race) (Div I)

7f · Soft · CLS5 · 10 runners

Ma Leila likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Eagle Bay and Brash and Dolly Golightly led; the map had Ma Leila in front.

Eagle Bay won at 1.80 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ma Leila

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 6

RevolutionelleRake LaneSodaKyreniaDolly GolightlyBrash

Hold Up · 3

Eagle BayCircle Of TrustIce Show

Ma Leila represents the only confirmed pace angle and will likely lead uncontested through moderate fractions on good to soft ground. With most runners showing hold-up tendencies (Eagle Bay, Kyrenia, Brash, Ice Show, Dolly Golightly, Soda, Circle Of Trust), there's limited early pace pressure. The two unknown quantities Rake Lane and Revolutionelle could disrupt this, but their lightly raced status suggests they'll likely settle behind the leader. This sustainable pace scenario strongly favours prominent runners and those with tactical speed to position close to Ma Leila early.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Scenario

55% probability

If Ma Leila gets an easy lead with the field settling behind her

The pace will be sustainable allowing her to dictate terms, while the hold-up majority get into a traffic-laden sprint finish. Prominent runners avoid the late carnage and those with early tactical speed can track the leader without pressure.

Ma LeilaEagle BayRake LaneRevolutionelle

Unknown Pace Disruptors

25% probability

If Rake Lane or Revolutionelle show early pace to challenge Ma Leila

The injection of pace pressure creates a more genuine gallop that will suit horses with stamina and finishing kicks. Hold-up horses get a better setup but the prominent runners may get first run on the field.

Eagle BayCircle Of TrustKyreniaSoda

Traffic-Heavy Sprint

15% probability

If the field bunches up behind a slow early pace from Ma Leila

A messy sprint finish develops where positioning and racing room become crucial factors. Horses with the best draws and experienced jockeys gain significant advantages in the final furlong melee.

Circle Of TrustIce ShowMa LeilaEagle Bay

Complete Pace Collapse

5% probability

If Ma Leila fails to show her prominent style or gets headed early

The race becomes a muddling affair with no clear pace angle, creating an unpredictable finish. The most talented horses regardless of style can prevail, but inexperience becomes a major negative factor.

RevolutionelleRake LaneEagle BayMa Leila

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ma Leila's market position will reveal stable confidence after 185-day absence and whether she can reproduce debut promise

WATCH

Watch for any early pace from Rake Lane or Revolutionelle in the betting or paddock as they could completely change the race dynamics

NOTE

Eagle Bay's fitness levels after 230 days off will be crucial for a hold-up runner needing to finish strongly

WATCH

Circle Of Trust showed nursery ability on good to soft going last year but has been disappointing in handicaps this season

NOTE

The pace through the early stages will determine whether this becomes a tactical affair or genuine test of stamina

2:15 — Hartshead Dos Champions Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C And D) (GBB Race) (Div II)

7f · Soft · CLS5 · 10 runners

Big Shot Veto to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Big Shot Veto led, as the map showed.

Tip Foster won at 5.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Big Shot Veto

Prominent · 1

Tip Foster

Midfield · 5

Burrows SilverMoving RubberLeelawadeeSecretintheskyZiggy Bay

Hold Up · 3

IndefensibleSand SeaYou Will See

Big Shot Veto will lead from the start with no other confirmed front-runners to challenge him early, creating a controlled tempo through the opening stages. The prominent horse Tip Foster may track him closely, while the majority of the field comprises hold-up horses who will need to be delivered late. With soft going at Thirsk's 7f, the pace is likely to quicken from the 3f pole as the hold-up brigade launch their challenges. This race shape strongly favours horses with tactical speed and those capable of prominent positions, as the soft ground and bunched finish will make it difficult for pure hold-up horses to make up significant ground.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front Running

45% probability

If Big Shot Veto maintains a steady gallop and kicks clear approaching the final furlong

The leader's class advantage tells as he controls the race throughout, with soft ground suiting his previous turf form. Hold-up horses struggle to peg back his decisive move in testing conditions.

Big Shot VetoTip FosterIndefensibleBurrows Silver

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Tip Foster or another forward horse puts pressure on Big Shot Veto from 3f out

The sustained gallop on soft ground finds out the leader's stamina, allowing a well-positioned tracker to sweep past in the final 100 yards. Forward positioning proves crucial as back-markers can't make up the ground.

Tip FosterBig Shot VetoIndefensibleYou Will See

Late Surge Prevails

15% probability

If the early pace is particularly sedate and the field bunches turning for home

A strong-staying hold-up horse capitalizes on tactical speed, with the soft ground helping their grinding finish. The race becomes a sprint from 2f out where class and acceleration matter most.

IndefensibleBurrows SilverBig Shot VetoYou Will See

Newcomer Surprise

10% probability

If Burrows Silver shows natural ability and gets a perfect stalking position

The well-bred newcomer benefits from race fitness of others fading, with her trainer's poor recent form masking her potential. A patient ride allows her to exploit the closing stages as others tire.

Burrows SilverTip FosterBig Shot VetoIndefensible

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Big Shot Veto breaks slowly from the stalls as any tardiness will compromise his front-running tactics completely

WATCH

Tip Foster gets squeezed for room turning into the straight as his prominent position makes him vulnerable in traffic

NOTE

Burrows Silver shows early pace despite being a newcomer, which would signal significant ability given her breeding

WATCH

The pace in the first half-mile becomes overly strong as this would set up the hold-up horses perfectly

NOTE

Indefensible gets a clear run in the final 2f as his best form suggests he can be competitive with luck

2:50 — Power Plastics "Big Day Out" Handicap

5f · Soft · HCAP · 12 runners

Toptime to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Miss Rainbow won at 5.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Toptime

Prominent · 5

Irish DancerWithout FlawMiss RainbowZuffoloKyber Crystal

Midfield · 2

Harry MoleNinety Nine

Hold Up · 4

BeerwahKeep The GoldInvincible CrownAurora's Doublesix

Toptime will lead from the gates with Without Flaw, Zuffolo, Irish Dancer, Miss Rainbow and Kyber Crystal all wanting prominent positions behind him - creating a wall of five horses fighting for the same real estate. This congestion will force some of these to race wider or get shuffled back, with tactical jockeying likely around the 2-3 furlong marker as they sort themselves out. The hold-up horses Beerwah, Keep The Gold and Invincible Crown should get perfect stalking positions behind this early scramble. This pace setup strongly favours the hold-up runners who can avoid the early traffic and produce late kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Prevail

65% probability

If the prominent runners clash early and compromise each other in the first two furlongs

The pace setters will go too hard trying to establish position, setting up perfect conditions for Beerwah and Keep The Gold to sweep past tired leaders. The hold-up runners get clean runs through beaten horses in the final furlong.

BeerwahKeep The GoldInvincible CrownToptime

Front Runner Gets Away

20% probability

If Toptime breaks cleanly and the prominent pack hesitates or gets bunched behind him

Toptime establishes a clear lead while the chasers get in each other's way, giving him enough cushion to hold on. Without Flaw or Irish Dancer could emerge from the pack but too late to catch the leader.

ToptimeWithout FlawIrish DancerMiss Rainbow

Prominent Tactical Battle

10% probability

If the five prominent runners spread out early and avoid major interference with each other

The race becomes a straight battle between Irish Dancer, Miss Rainbow and Without Flaw from the 2f pole onwards. One of them times their run perfectly while Toptime fades and the hold-up horses can't make up enough ground.

Irish DancerMiss RainbowWithout FlawBeerwah

Pace Collapses Completely

5% probability

If Toptime goes too slow early and the prominent runners also hold back waiting

The race becomes a sprint from the 2f marker with no established pace, turning into a lottery where any horse with a turn of foot can win. This chaos scenario could throw up an outsider from any position.

ZuffoloKyber CrystalAurora's DoublesixHarry Mole

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for serious interference around the 3-2 furlong marker as Without Flaw, Zuffolo, Irish Dancer, Miss Rainbow and Kyber Crystal all converge for prominent positions

WATCH

Monitor Toptime's early break from the stalls - if he's slow away the prominent pack will swamp him immediately

NOTE

Keep The Gold showed speed before tiring at Ayr on seasonal return so watch for improved stamina second time back

WATCH

Irish Dancer carries a 7lb claiming rider into this tactical battle which could prove costly in tight finishes

NOTE

Watch Aurora's Doublesix early - if she's not traveling smoothly in the first two furlongs she can be dismissed immediately

3:30 — Moody Construction Handicap

6f · Soft · HCAP · 11 runners

Taygar likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Annie Edson Taylor won at 7.50 — raced midfield, as the map had it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Taygar

Prominent · 1

Elvetham

Midfield · 6

Fan MailAnnie Edson TaylorBibendumTeddy ShawKitaabEast Tyrone

Hold Up · 3

Imperial GuardWoodhay WhisperSherlock

Taygar is the only confirmed front runner in this field and should get an uncontested lead with Elvetham the only other horse capable of racing prominently early. With 9 of 11 runners preferring hold-up tactics, this creates a perfect scenario for the lone pace-setter to control fractions without pressure. The lack of early speed means Taygar can dictate a moderate tempo before the cavalry charge arrives in the final 2f. This race shape strongly favours the front runner and any prominent racers who can position close to the pace early.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Runner Wins

65% probability

If Taygar gets the expected soft lead without early pressure

The lack of pace competition allows him to control fractions and kick clear when the hold-up brigade are still making ground. His recent runner-up efforts show he's knocking on the door and this tactical advantage could be decisive.

TaygarElvethamFan MailSherlock

Late Kick Prevails

20% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint finish

The hold-up horses get their ideal scenario with a slowly-run race that turns into a dash. Fresh legs and finishing speed become paramount over positioning.

Fan MailSherlockAnnie Edson TaylorImperial Guard

Pace Collapse Shock

10% probability

If Taygar goes too slow early and gets swamped by superior horses

The tempo becomes unsustainably slow allowing the better-rated hold-up horses to showcase their class. Position becomes irrelevant in a bunched finish.

Imperial GuardSherlockFan MailElvetham

Prominent Tracker Success

5% probability

If Elvetham can sit second and outkick Taygar in the straight

The second-string pace horse gets the perfect trip tracking the leader before showing superior finishing speed. Recent Lingfield win shows he can capitalize when positioned well.

ElvethamTaygarFan MailAnnie Edson Taylor

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Taygar must break cleanly to secure uncontested lead - any slow start ruins his tactical advantage completely

WATCH

Watch for Elvetham's positioning in first furlong - if he sits close second this becomes tactical battle between two

NOTE

Imperial Guard wearing visor for first time - any positive headgear response could unlock improvement after poor seasonal return

WATCH

Fan Mail's cheekpieces worked last time when just held - another step forward makes him dangerous from rear

NOTE

Monitor early pace through first 2f - if Taygar goes too slowly the hold-up horses get ideal setup for late charge

4:10 — Ruby Lodge Care Home In Thirsk Handicap

1m4f · Soft · HCAP · 6 runners

King Of Berkshire likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

King Of Berkshire led, as the map showed.

King Of Berkshire won at 1.44 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

King Of Berkshire

Prominent · 1

Rumbustious

Midfield · 2

Forever PerfectFareenar

Hold Up · 2

MyrrhWave Power

King Of Berkshire will lead from the start with no serious pace pressure, allowing him to dictate terms at his preferred tempo. The prominent runner Rumbustious may track him early, but the majority of the field (Myrrh, Fareenar, Wave Power, Forever Perfect) are hold-up performers who will settle behind and rely on late runs. With just one genuine front-runner against four hold-up horses, the pace will likely be modest through the early stages before quickening late. This race shape strongly favours the front-runner and prominent racers who can avoid traffic problems and capitalize on the lack of early pace pressure.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

King Controls Throughout

45% probability

If King Of Berkshire gets his own way in front without serious early pressure

McDonald can dictate a steady gallop and have enough left to repel late challenges, especially with his proven ability at this trip. The hold-up horses will find the modest pace insufficient to set up their finishing kicks effectively.

King Of BerkshireRumbustiousMyrrhForever Perfect

Late Surge Prevails

30% probability

If the early pace proves too slow and allows closers to unleash strong finishing efforts

Myrrh and Forever Perfect will benefit from the patient tactics, with Myrrh's Hamilton win proving his effectiveness on similar ground. The front-runner may tie up after dictating throughout.

MyrrhForever PerfectKing Of BerkshireWave Power

Prominent Pressure Works

15% probability

If Rumbustious or another forward runner applies early pressure to King Of Berkshire

The increased gallop will set up the race for those tracking just behind the leaders, with Rumbustious positioned to strike. King Of Berkshire may crack under sustained pressure having to work harder early.

RumbustiousKing Of BerkshireMyrrhFareenar

Outsider Strikes

10% probability

If the favorites fail to handle the soft ground or tactical complications arise

Wave Power or Fareenar could benefit from a truly-run race if connections have found improvement since their last runs. Traffic problems in a small field could also create unexpected opportunities for patient rides.

Wave PowerFareenarForever PerfectMyrrh

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

King Of Berkshire breaking slowly or being bustled early would completely change the pace dynamic and favour the hold-up horses

WATCH

Myrrh drifting left under pressure as he did when winning at Hamilton, could cause interference in the straight

NOTE

Forever Perfect adapting to turf having shown best form on artificial surfaces this season

WATCH

Rumbustious being too keen early and pressing King Of Berkshire harder than ideal, potentially compromising both their chances

NOTE

The pace through the first half-mile, as a truly steady tempo will make it very difficult for the hold-up horses to close effectively

4:45 — David Ritchie Is 50! Happy Birthday! Fillies' Handicap

5f · Soft · HCAP · 12 runners

Tanjen to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Fille Unique led; the map had Tanjen in front.

Military Girl won at 5.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Tanjen

Prominent · 5

Thunder StarJ StreetFille UniqueDragon SpinSolid Bond

Midfield · 2

CheerleaderData Fata Secutus

Hold Up · 4

Military GirlPull The RugStartlingStar Marian

Tanjen is the lone confirmed front-runner and will set the early fractions without pressure, creating a sustainable gallop early. Five horses (Fille Unique, Dragon Spin, Thunder Star, J Street, Data Fata Secutus) want prominent positions, creating significant traffic problems and interference from 2f out as they jostle for racing room. The hold-up brigade (Pull The Rug, Startling, Military Girl, Star Marian) will have clear runs through gaps as the prominent runners compromise each other. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can exploit the carnage ahead and time their challenges late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Heroes Dominate

55% probability

If the prominent quintet gets bunched and creates interference from 2f out

The hold-up horses find clear runs through the chaos while the prominent runners compromise each other's finishing efforts. Military Girl and Pull The Rug benefit most from their patient tactics and ability to quicken late.

Military GirlPull The RugStar MarianStartling

Dragon Spin Escapes Traffic

25% probability

If Dragon Spin secures the ideal prominent position just behind Tanjen without getting boxed

She avoids the worst of the traffic while the other four prominent runners interfere with each other, allowing her recent winner's form to shine through. Fille Unique could follow her through if timing the move perfectly.

Dragon SpinFille UniqueMilitary GirlJ Street

Tanjen Wire-To-Wire

12% probability

If the prominent runners neutralize each other early through over-racing and positioning battles

The lone leader maintains her advantage as the chasers waste energy fighting for position rather than chasing the pace. Thunder Star's experience could see her emerge from the pack late but too late to catch the leader.

TanjenThunder StarDragon SpinMilitary Girl

Chaos Creates Outsider

8% probability

If severe interference occurs in the straight affecting multiple fancied runners

An unfancied runner like Data Fata Secutus or Solid Bond capitalizes on their low draw and finds racing room while others are stopped in their tracks. Cheerleader's return from a long break could catch tired legs.

Data Fata SecutusSolid BondCheerleaderStar Marian

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for severe interference from 2f out when Fille Unique, Dragon Spin, Thunder Star, J Street and Data Fata Secutus converge

WATCH

Monitor if Tanjen can maintain her kick on turf having shown best form on all-weather surfaces

WATCH

Check if Pull The Rug settles early or pulls too hard again which would ruin her tactical advantage

NOTE

Observe Data Fata Secutus running yesterday then backing up today with visor applied for first time

NOTE

Watch Solid Bond's fitness levels after 221-day break following wind operation

5:20 — Next Meeting Tuesday 16th June Featuring Royal Ascot Handicap

6f · Soft · HCAP · 13 runners

Lead contested: Napolian v Brave TravellerHISTORIC

How it ran

Perineighs led; the map had Napolian and Brave Traveller in front.

Daizen won at 7.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

6 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

NapolianBrave Traveller

Prominent · 5

Von TrotterShowtownEmpress OliviaDaizenHvar

Midfield · 2

Different OpinionsPerineighs

Hold Up · 4

Logi BearBye LawUncertaintyReal Jack

Napolian and Brave Traveller will contest the early lead, with Napolian having previously led over course and distance and Brave Traveller being a confirmed front-runner who won when making all at Newcastle. The prominent runners Empress Olivia, Showtown, Von Trotter, Daizen and Hvar should track the leaders closely on the good to soft ground over this sharp 6f trip. With multiple hold-up horses including Real Jack, Bye Law, Logi Bear, Perineighs and Uncertainty needing to make up ground, and the testing conditions favouring those who can secure good positions early, this race strongly favours prominent racers and front-runners who can avoid traffic problems.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runners Dominate

45% probability

If Napolian and Brave Traveller establish a clear lead without burning each other up early.

The pace becomes steady enough for the leaders to maintain their advantage, with the testing ground making it difficult for hold-up horses to quicken decisively. Empress Olivia and Showtown can track them into contention but the leaders prove strongest.

Brave TravellerNapolianEmpress OliviaShowtown

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If the two front-runners go too hard early and compromise each other.

Empress Olivia, Showtown or Von Trotter can sit in the perfect stalking position behind the pace duel. The good to soft ground aids their stamina while the early leaders fade, allowing the prominent racers to strike in the final furlong.

Empress OliviaShowtownVon TrotterDaizen

Hold-Up Horse Charges

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely with minimal early speed despite the front-runners.

Real Jack, Bye Law or Logi Bear get the slow pace they need to unleash their finishing kicks. The soft ground plays to their stamina strengths while the lack of early pace allows them to get competitive positions without using too much energy.

Real JackBye LawLogi BearPerineighs

Pace Chaos Benefits

10% probability

If traffic problems or uneven pace creates gaps for tactical horses.

The moderate pace and soft ground creates a messy race where positioning becomes crucial. Different Opinions or Hvar can exploit gaps while others get caught in trouble, benefiting from their tactical speed rather than pure pace position.

Different OpinionsHvarVon TrotterUncertainty

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Napolian and Brave Traveller could burn each other up if they engage in a speed duel from the start

WATCH

Real Jack and other hold-up horses may get caught in traffic in a competitive 13-runner handicap

NOTE

Von Trotter makes his turf debut after three AW seconds and his surface adaptation is unknown

WATCH

Perineighs returns after 219 days off which raises serious fitness concerns despite previous ability

NOTE

Several horses including Showtown and Different Opinions sport new headgear suggesting trainer concerns

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 5 June 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →