Archive›Tramore · 19 April 2026

Tramore

19 April 2026 · 7 races

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2:08 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle

2m · Soft · MDN · 13 runners

Cinnabar Moth to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Nirisque led; the map had Cinnabar Moth in front.

Crohan Lady won at 5.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Cinnabar Moth

Prominent · 5

Delorean DynamiteBallyhahillNirisqueChautuaquaCool Summer

Midfield · 4

LikeyouhaveplentyHeatherhill LadyDromana MistShirleynightingale

Hold Up · 3

Crohan LadyEvelynClash Gold

Cinnabar Moth is the only confirmed front-runner but carries a 'fades in finish' warning after 323 days off, making her pace vulnerable late. The prominent brigade of Ballyhahill, Nirisque, Chautuaqua, Cool Summer and Delorean Dynamite will likely apply pressure early given the lack of alternative pace. This sets up a contested early tempo that could collapse in the final half-mile on testing ground. The tactical advantage clearly lies with hold-up horses who can conserve energy and finish through tired legs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Cinnabar Moth's long absence shows early and the prominent pack goes too hard

The pace collapses from 2f out as the soft ground takes its toll on early leaders. Crohan Lady and Evelyn emerge from the pack with strong finishing kicks to dominate the business end.

Crohan LadyEvelynCool SummerNirisque

Prominent Group Survives

25% probability

If the early pace stays manageable and Ballyhahill or Nirisque travel strongly

One of the prominent runners gets first run on the field and kicks clear before the hold-up horses can respond. The soft ground expertise and race fitness prove decisive over raw finishing speed.

BallyhahillNirisqueChautuaquaCool Summer

Pace Leader Holds On

12% probability

If Cinnabar Moth settles better than expected and avoids early pressure

The front-runner gets an easy lead and conserves enough energy to repel late challenges on ground that plays to her stamina. Her 323-day break becomes irrelevant if unopposed early.

Cinnabar MothDelorean DynamiteBallyhahillCool Summer

Maiden Shock Winner

8% probability

If the experienced horses cancel each other out through a fierce pace battle

The lightly-raced newcomers benefit from a truly-run race that exposes stamina limitations in the proven performers. Fresh legs and untapped potential prove superior to exposed form.

Heatherhill LadyLikeyouhaveplentyDromana MistShirleynightingale

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Cinnabar Moth's jumping and stamina after 323 days off - if she makes early mistakes or gets headed before 2f out she could collapse quickly

WATCH

The pace scenario in the first half-mile - if Ballyhahill, Nirisque and Chautuaqua all go forward together they could set up a sitting duck scenario

NOTE

Crohan Lady's position turning for home - she has the highest topspeed rating and could be the biggest danger if getting a clear run

WATCH

Weather conditions before racing - any further rain could turn soft ground heavy and favour the most experienced campaigners

NOTE

The three lightly-raced maidens early in the race - if any show speed or travel well they could outrun their odds in a weak contest

2:43 — Copper Coast Maiden Hurdle

2m · Soft · MDN · 17 runners

Kentucky Beach to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ballet Queen led; the map had Kentucky Beach in front.

Polepatrick won at 2.62 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

8 of 15 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Kentucky Beach

Prominent · 5

Salvador PepsPolepatrickSea EagleBallet QueenLet's Go La Fichad

Midfield · 6

Porcupine BankLamikal d'AiryCascandoStone RulyaLanzhouChopsticks

Hold Up · 5

Euro AgentTyson FuryBrave JoseeColesbergGranlahan

Kentucky Beach will control the early tempo with minimal pressure, as the field contains mostly hold-up and midfield types with only Ballet Queen, Salvador Peps and Polepatrick likely to track the leader. This sets up a moderate, sustainable gallop that should hold together well on the soft ground. Without genuine pace pressure, the race will develop into a tactical affair where those able to travel and pick up from off the pace will have the advantage. This race shape clearly favours hold-up horses and those who can finish strongly, as the modest early gallop will leave plenty in reserve for the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

60% probability

If Kentucky Beach sets an uncontested lead and the pace stays moderate throughout

The lack of early pressure allows closers to conserve energy and unleash their finishing kicks. Those with proven stamina reserves will sweep past the tiring leaders in the final furlong.

Tyson FuryEuro AgentGranlahanStone Rulya

Prominent runners prevail

25% probability

If the pace quickens approaching the final hurdle as prominent runners challenge Kentucky Beach

The increased tempo stretches the field but doesn't collapse entirely, suiting those who travelled well in behind the leader. Strong travelling horses in prominent positions can kick clear.

PolepatrickSea EagleBallet QueenLet's Go La Fichad

Front runner holds on

10% probability

If Kentucky Beach maintains his advantage and no serious challenger emerges from the pack

The leader's uncontested advantage proves decisive as the chasing pack fails to organize an effective challenge. Soft ground aids his stamina and he stays on grimly.

Kentucky BeachSalvador PepsPolepatrickSea Eagle

Pace collapses completely

5% probability

If the gallop becomes pedestrian and turns into a sprint finish from the last hurdle

The race becomes a pure test of speed rather than stamina, favouring those with natural acceleration regardless of position. The strongest finishers benefit from the slow early sections.

CascandoPorcupine BankLamikal d'AiryChopsticks

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Kentucky Beach could get an uncontested lead which would make him very difficult to peg back

WATCH

Euro Agent, Lanzhou, Brave Josee, Colesberg and Stone Rulya all show tendencies to fade in the finish

NOTE

Cascando, Porcupine Bank and Lamikal d'Airy are lightly raced types whose ability remains largely untested

WATCH

Sea Eagle returns after 175 days off which raises serious questions about his fitness levels

NOTE

Several horses carry claiming jockeys which could impact their chances in a competitive field

3:18 — Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle

2m4½f · Soft · MDN · 10 runners

Drombane likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dont Tell Jack led; the map had Drombane in front.

Dont Tell Jack won at 2.75 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Drombane

Prominent · 2

JackmoonCharlie's Dilemma

Midfield · 4

Teddy's AcreCodger's RockLunar MajestyCarniny

Hold Up · 3

Mr Master MacDont Tell JackLupin Du Groschene

Drombane will take the field along from the front at a sustainable gallop, with no confirmed pace rival to pressure him through the early stages. Jackmoon and Charlie's Dilemma may track prominently but both have shown they can settle, leaving Drombane largely uncontested for the first circuit. The field will bunch up turning for home with plenty of stamina reserves intact, creating a finish where horses with tactical speed and strong finishing kicks can strike. This moderate pace setup heavily favours hold-up horses and those with proven finishing ability.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the pace stays steady and the field remains bunched turning in

Drombane's uncontested lead creates the perfect setup for closers to unleash finishing kicks in the straight. Horses like Mr Master Mac, Dont Tell Jack and Lunar Majesty who have shown ability to quicken off steady gallops will have ideal conditions.

Mr Master MacDont Tell JackLunar MajestyLupin Du Groschene

Front Runner Steals It

25% probability

If Drombane gets an easy lead and finds extra gears when challenged

The Willie Mullins-trained veteran exploits the lack of early pace pressure to dictate terms throughout. His proven stamina at the trip and tactical positioning advantage could prove decisive if he has enough left for the finish.

DrombaneJackmoonCharlie's DilemmaMr Master Mac

Prominent Tracker Strikes

15% probability

If Jackmoon or Charlie's Dilemma track the leader perfectly and time their move

The experienced campaigners use their race positioning to get first run on the field turning in. Their superior fitness levels and course craft allows them to bridge the gap to Drombane while holding off the late closers.

JackmoonCharlie's DilemmaDrombaneDont Tell Jack

Maiden Breakthrough Shock

5% probability

If Teddy's Acre or Codger's Rock shows significantly improved form

The lightly-raced horses produce unexposed improvement to capitalise on the tactical race setup. Their fresher profiles and potential untapped ability catches the more exposed rivals off guard in a slowly-run contest.

Teddy's AcreCodger's RockMr Master MacLunar Majesty

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

WATCH

Watch Drombane's jumping early - if he's fluent over the first few flights he could steal a decisive advantage

NOTE

Monitor how Jackmoon and Charlie's Dilemma position themselves - if both track the leader it changes the pace dynamic significantly

KEY

Teddy's Acre is a complete unknown quantity - any market support would be highly significant given his lightly-raced profile

NOTE

Observe the layoff returnees Mr Master Mac and Lupin Du Groschene for signs of ring-rustiness in the preliminaries

WATCH

Check if any of the hold-up horses get too far back early - in a steadily-run race they could leave themselves too much to do

3:53 — Anne Valley Walk Handicap Hurdle

2m4½f · Soft · HCAP · 18 runners

King Of Westeros likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Tedworth won at 10.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

King Of Westeros

Prominent · 5

MaciverRoccabakerElusive PrinceMullanourMollys Dolly

Midfield · 7

Ellies RockTopothelaneTedworthLarkins LaneThe Cobblers WifeHob's AngelAppian Way

Hold Up · 5

ImarajanToofareastiswestPoppyconCoffeys ForgeQuietrunsthedon

King Of Westeros is the sole confirmed front runner and will dictate a measured early pace without pressure, allowing the race to develop steadily through the soft ground over this extended trip. The prominent runners Maciver, Roccabaker, and Elusive Prince will track the leader but are unlikely to force the issue early given the distance and conditions. This creates a race where the large contingent of hold-up horses including Poppycon, Coffeys Forge, Imarajan, and Ellies Rock can get into the race from off the pace. The sustainable early gallop and stamina-sapping soft ground strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late rallies when the early pace-makers weaken.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

65% probability

If King Of Westeros sets his typical steady pace without pressure from prominent runners

The soft ground and extended trip will find out the early leaders in the final half-mile, allowing closers to pick up the pieces. Horses like Poppycon, Coffeys Forge, Imarajan and Ellies Rock are perfectly positioned to capitalize on the collapse ahead.

PoppyconImarajanCoffeys ForgeEllies Rock

Prominent Press Forward

20% probability

If Maciver or Roccabaker decides to challenge King Of Westeros earlier than expected

This forces a stronger pace that could set up the race for mid-division runners who avoid the early battle. The increased tempo may still favor late runners but brings prominent racers more into play.

RoccabakerMaciverMullanourLarkins Lane

King Stays Strong

10% probability

If King Of Westeros maintains his stamina better than expected and the pace remains truly steady throughout

The lack of early pressure allows him to save energy for a sustained finish, potentially holding off late challengers. Other prominent runners who conserved energy early could also benefit from the weak pace.

King Of WesterosElusive PrinceMaciverQuietrunsthedon

Pace Collapses Completely

5% probability

If the early pace becomes crawling slow and turns into a sprint finish

This negates the stamina advantages and could favor horses with tactical speed regardless of their usual running style. The race becomes more about who quickens best rather than who stays longest.

Ellies RockTedworthHob's AngelPoppycon

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

King Of Westeros must be watched early - if he goes off too fast or gets challenged aggressively, the race dynamic changes completely

WATCH

Monitor how aggressively Maciver and Roccabaker position themselves - if either presses forward early it could set up a different race

NOTE

Watch for Poppycon and Imarajan to be held up in rear early, as they need the pace to develop to be maximally effective

WATCH

Several horses carry warnings about fading in the finish - Mollys Dolly, Appian Way, Topothelane and The Cobblers Wife could stop quickly

NOTE

The 18-runner field means positioning will be crucial - watch for hold-up horses to get clear runs in the home straight

4:28 — Core Bullion Traders Handicap Chase

2m5½f · Soft · HCAP · 17 runners

Lead contested: Mount Frisco v Doyen MagicHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Nettuno Italia won at 3.25 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Mount FriscoDoyen Magic

Prominent · 7

Lisleigh LadCarrig SamGeneral ClermontSammy SmartMidweek VoicesRochestownCasey West

Midfield · 3

AclassPetit KingNettuno Italia

Hold Up · 5

Binge WorthyTullyveery LadClifftopRingdufferinKillinure Lass

Mount Frisco and Doyen Magic will contest the early lead with both committed front-runners likely to go a strong gallop from the outset. Seven prominent racers including Casey West, Lisleigh Lad, General Clermont, Sammy Smart, and Aclass create serious traffic congestion behind the leaders, setting up potential trouble at the business end. The soft ground and extended trip will test stamina reserves as the pace-setters dig in. This honest gallop and crowded prominent positions strongly favour the hold-up horses who can avoid the early scrum and finish with one run.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If Mount Frisco and Doyen Magic maintain strong early pace creating genuine test

The leaders will stretch the field allowing patient riders on Tullyveery Lad, Binge Worthy, Killinure Lass and Nettuno Italia to pick off tired leaders in final furlong. Traffic problems for prominent group leave clear path for hold-up brigade.

Tullyveery LadBinge WorthyKillinure LassNettuno Italia

Prominent Surge Late

25% probability

If early pace is only moderate allowing prominent group to stay in touch

Casey West, Aclass, Sammy Smart and General Clermont will have enough left to surge past weakening leaders in closing stages. Their tactical positioning proves ideal as they avoid early speed battle but don't get too far back.

Casey WestSammy SmartAclassGeneral Clermont

Front Runner Survives

12% probability

If one leader gets soft lead while other fades early

Mount Frisco has better recent form than Doyen Magic and could pinch crucial lengths if getting uncontested lead. Soft ground will test stamina but his proven ability at this trip gives him fighting chance to hold on.

Mount FriscoDoyen MagicLisleigh LadCasey West

Pace Collapse Lottery

8% probability

If both leaders go too fast early and tie up badly

Complete pace collapse leaves race wide open for any horse with stamina reserves regardless of position. Form and class become secondary to which horse finds best racing room in final quarter-mile scramble.

RochestownClifftopMidweek VoicesPetit King

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mount Frisco and Doyen Magic will clash early and if they go too fast both could tie up leaving race wide open

WATCH

Casey West and Aclass both want prominent positions creating potential traffic problems turning for home with seven horses fighting for same spot

NOTE

Tullyveery Lad and Binge Worthy are the class hold-up horses who could benefit most if early pace is strong

WATCH

Carrig Sam returns after 419 days absence and fitness will be major question despite excellent soft ground record

NOTE

Nettuno Italia carries just 146lbs which is significant weight advantage in competitive handicap of this nature

5:00 — West Waterford Novice Handicap Chase

1m7½f · Soft · HCAP · 10 runners

Lead contested: Kotkito Bello v MarellyHISTORIC

How it ran

Kotkito Bello led, as the map showed.

Kilbrin Rocco won at 7.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

5 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Kotkito BelloMarelly

Prominent · 3

Nas Na RioghIcare d'AubrelleSoldante

Midfield · 2

A Snow White ParkKilbrin Rocco

Hold Up · 3

Torquay RoadIn The TrenchesSplashing Out

Kotkito Bello and Marelly will contest the early lead, with both confirmed front-runners likely to set a reasonable gallop on this testing Soft ground. The pace shouldn't be excessive given only two natural leaders, but the ground will ensure it becomes a test of stamina as they swing for home. Several hold-up horses including In The Trenches, Splashing Out, and Torquay Road will look to pounce late, but the moderate early pace and stamina-sapping conditions favor horses who can travel prominently and have something left when the race develops.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front runners dominate

45% probability

If Kotkito Bello and Marelly set sensible fractions without burning each other out

The moderate pace allows one or both to kick clear in the straight, with the testing ground preventing late closers from making significant inroads. Prominent racers like Icare d'Aubrelle and Nas Na Riogh are best placed to challenge.

Kotkito BelloMarellyIcare d'AubrelleNas Na Riogh

Late surge prevails

30% probability

If the early pace becomes genuinely testing and compromises the front pair

Hold-up horses get the perfect setup as Kotkito Bello and Marelly weaken, allowing strong finishers to sweep past in the final furlong. In The Trenches and Torquay Road have the class to capitalize.

In The TrenchesTorquay RoadSplashing OutKilbrin Rocco

Prominent tracker strikes

18% probability

If one of the prominent runners gets the perfect trip tracking the leaders

Icare d'Aubrelle or Nas Na Riogh can time their challenge perfectly, getting first run on the tiring leaders while holding off the hold-up horses. Jack Kennedy's presence on Icare d'Aubrelle adds tactical nous.

Icare d'AubrelleNas Na RioghSoldanteKotkito Bello

Outsider ambush

7% probability

If the race becomes a true slog where class matters less than stamina and a good ride

A Snow White Park or Soldante could emerge from the pack if the principals fail to fire, taking advantage of their light weights and any tactical errors ahead. The testing conditions could level the playing field.

A Snow White ParkSoldanteKilbrin RoccoSplashing Out

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Kotkito Bello setting too strong an early pace and compromising both front-runners

WATCH

In The Trenches and Splashing Out getting good positions early despite hold-up styles, as late runs may struggle

NOTE

Nas Na Riogh's jumping early on after the long break, as mistakes could ruin chances from prominent position

WATCH

Marelly getting into an early speed duel with stable companion Kotkito Bello

NOTE

Jack Kennedy's tactics on Icare d'Aubrelle, whether tracking leaders or sitting further back

5:30 — SETU Students Day April 20th Handicap Chase

1m7½f · Soft · HCAP · 10 runners

Itsalonglongroad to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Spanish Maid won at 2.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Itsalonglongroad

Prominent · 1

Courtbrack Boy

Midfield · 5

Set The ToneFinnicky FillyZolpharineSpanish MaidLa Tene

Hold Up · 3

CerberusL'Amiral FromentinHalsafari

Itsalonglongroad will set an uncontested lead with no other confirmed front runners in this field of predominantly hold-up horses. The 12-year-old veteran will dictate terms throughout on soft ground that suits his profile, establishing a methodical rhythm over this 1m7½f trip. Behind him, Courtbrack Boy may track prominently while the other eight runners bunch up in midfield and rear positions. This uncontested pace scenario strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable scramble when the hold-up horses make their moves.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Itsalonglongroad Controls All

45% probability

If the veteran gets his preferred easy lead without pressure from the flag

The 12-year-old can parcel out his energy perfectly on the testing ground, making his experience count when the challengers arrive too late. His 138-day break becomes an asset rather than concern as fresher legs carry him home.

ItsalonglongroadCourtbrack BoyFinnicky FillyLa Tene

Hold-Up Brigade Strikes

30% probability

If the soft ground saps Itsalonglongroad's stamina reserves in the final half-mile

The patient hold-up horses find their rhythm perfectly as the leader weakens, with several coming with strong late runs. Form horses with better recent activity levels capitalise on the leader's long absence.

Finnicky FillySpanish MaidLa TeneCerberus

Courtbrack Boy Pounces

15% probability

If the prominent runner successfully tracks the leader before striking decisively approaching the last

The 6-year-old uses his class advantage and recent form edge to time his challenge perfectly, benefiting from the pace without doing the donkey work. His fitness from a 24-day break proves ideal compared to others' longer layoffs.

Courtbrack BoyHalsafariItsalonglongroadFinnicky Filly

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If Itsalonglongroad struggles dramatically with his lengthy absence on the testing ground

The race becomes a sprint from the last fence as no horse can sustain a strong gallop in the conditions. The freshest horses with recent runs gain a decisive advantage in a slowly-run affair.

La TeneSpanish MaidZolpharineCourtbrack Boy

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Set The Tone jumping unreliably throughout after pulling up last time over fences - avoid backing anything near him

WATCH

Itsalonglongroad tiring dramatically after two miles given his 138-day layoff on energy-sapping soft ground

NOTE

Courtbrack Boy tracking closer than usual to the leader early, suggesting connections plan to capitalise on the uncontested pace

NOTE

La Tene and Spanish Maid travelling strongly turning for home after their recent promising efforts on similar ground

WATCH

L'Amiral Fromentin fading badly from two out despite being in contention, confirming his established finishing pattern

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 19 April 2026.

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