4:10

Archive›Tramore · 20 April 2026

Tramore

20 April 2026 · 8 races

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4:10 — O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Claiming Hurdle
2m½f · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 11 runners
Expound to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Desert Cave led; the map had Expound in front.

Tell Us This won at 4.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Expound
Prominent · 4
Hasten SlowlyWar CorrespondentLincallYou Done Well
Midfield · 3
Donnrua DreamDesert CaveOh So Charming
Hold Up · 3
Redwood QueenTell Us ThisMigdam
Expound is the sole confirmed front-runner and should get an uncontested lead through the early stages at Tramore. War Correspondent, Hasten Slowly, Lincall, Donnrua Dream and You Done Well can race prominently behind the leader, but none are aggressive pace-forcers. The lack of pace pressure means Expound can dictate at a comfortable gallop before the field bunches up approaching the business end. This sustainable pace setup strongly favours hold-up horses who can finish from off the pace, as they'll get the perfect setup to unleash late runs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Hold-Up Horses Dominate
55% probability
If Expound sets modest fractions and the pace doesn't quicken until late.
The patient hold-up runners get ideal conditions to produce their finishing kicks from the back of the field. Oh So Charming, Tell Us This, Redwood Queen and Desert Cave all benefit from the tactical scenario.
Oh So CharmingRedwood QueenTell Us ThisDesert Cave
B
Expound Wires Field
25% probability
If the leader maintains his gallop and the chasers can't pick him up.
Expound's course and distance win gives him the edge when allowed to dictate terms from the front. The prominent runners like War Correspondent and Hasten Slowly chase home but can't reel in the leader.
ExpoundWar CorrespondentHasten SlowlyMigdam
C
Prominent Pace Duel
12% probability
If War Correspondent, Hasten Slowly or others press Expound early.
The increased pace stretches the field and compromises the finishing kicks of the hold-up horses. Runners who can travel well in behind the leaders like Migdam and Lincall can benefit from the stronger gallop.
MigdamHasten SlowlyWar CorrespondentLincall
D
Chaos in Heavy Ground
8% probability
If the yielding conditions cause multiple mistakes or falls at the hurdles.
The race becomes a survival test where position and jumping accuracy matter more than pure ability. Any of the more experienced campaigners who stay on their feet can capitalise on others' misfortunes.
Desert CaveDonnrua DreamYou Done WellWar Correspondent

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHExpoundtp · RPR121Hasten SlowlyRPR128War Corresponde…tp · RPR130Lincallt · RPR121You Done Wellv · RPR121Donnrua Dreamtb · RPR116Desert Cavetp · RPR133Oh So Charmingt · RPR132Redwood QueenRPR130Tell Us Thist · RPR127MigdamRPR1175. Expound6. Hasten Slowly7. War Correspondent8. Lincall9. You Done Well10. Donnrua Dream4. Desert Cave1. Oh So Charming2. Redwood Queen3. Tell Us This11. Migdam
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Expound could get too easy a lead early and prove hard to peg back if the field gives him too much rope
WATCH
Oh So Charming has squeaky gate tendencies that could cost him crucial lengths at the start
NOTE
Hasten Slowly's return to hurdles after disappointing AW runs could spark significant improvement
WATCH
Tell Us This has been hit-and-miss lately and needs to produce his best effort to be competitive
NOTE
Jack Kennedy's booking of Lincall suggests connections fancy their chances despite limited jumps experience
4:42 — O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Maiden Hurdle (Div I)
2m½f · Good To Soft · MDN · 17 runners
Crooked Path likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Crooked Path and Le Tatoue Madrik led, as the map showed.

Crooked Path won at 1.73 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Crooked Path
Prominent · 2
NameyourgameDavitts Quay
Midfield · 9
Misery HillLamikal d'AiryInchidaly RuaEasy ListeningMor Go LeorBaby FishCornaroya RoccoWhet The AppetiteCrystal Yeats
Hold Up · 5
GoodmanconHey NowZuzukelLe Tatoue MadrikYouknowthecode
Crooked Path looks the sole confirmed pace-setter with his prominent style and consistent form, likely to dictate from the front without serious early pressure in this 17-runner maiden field. The bulk of the field contains hold-up horses and unknowns, suggesting they'll settle behind and wait for their moment. With most runners looking to come from off the pace, Crooked Path can control the tempo and kick clear when ready. This pace scenario strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems behind.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Front Runner Dominates
45% probability
If Crooked Path gets an uncontested lead and maintains galloping room
He can dictate ideal fractions and prove too strong for the trailing pack who face a wall of horses turning for home. His consistent placed form gives him a crucial class edge over this largely unproven field.
Crooked PathLe Tatoue MadrikHey NowZuzukel
B
Hold-Up Traffic Chaos
30% probability
If the large field bunches up and creates interference in the straight
The prominent runners escape the trouble while hold-up horses get hampered or find no racing room. Those who can pick their way through or find gaps late will benefit from others' misfortune.
Hey NowGoodmanconLe Tatoue MadrikZuzukel
C
Moderate Early Pace
15% probability
If Crooked Path goes too slow early allowing closers to build momentum
The hold-up horses get the perfect setup to unleash strong finishing kicks from the back. The race becomes a sprint finish where raw ability trumps tactical positioning.
ZuzukelLe Tatoue MadrikHey NowGoodmancon
D
Newcomer Springs Surprise
10% probability
If one of the debutants shows significantly more ability than their breeding suggests
The pace becomes irrelevant as superior class emerges from an unexpected source. Previous form lines get thrown out the window in typical maiden fashion.
Easy ListeningLamikal d'AiryCrooked PathHey Now

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHCrooked PathRPR130NameyourgameRPR90Davitts QuayRPR54Misery HillRPR-Lamikal d'AiryRPR-Inchidaly RuaRPR-Easy Listeningh · RPR-Mor Go LeorRPR59Baby FishRPR89Cornaroya RoccoRPR65Whet The Appeti…RPR64Crystal YeatsRPR56GoodmanconRPR-Hey NowRPR115Zuzukelht · RPR121Le Tatoue Madrikp · RPR103YouknowthecodeRPR891. Crooked Path5. Nameyourgame6. Davitts Quay7. Misery Hill8. Lamikal d'Airy9. Inchidaly Rua10. Easy Listening11. Mor Go Leor12. Baby Fish13. Cornaroya Rocco14. Whet The Appetite15. Crystal Yeats16. Goodmancon3. Hey Now4. Zuzukel2. Le Tatoue Madrik17. Youknowthecode
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Crooked Path could get too easy a lead if no other pace-setters emerge, making him very hard to peg back
WATCH
Traffic problems almost guaranteed with 17 runners and most wanting to come from behind in the straight
WATCH
Le Tatoue Madrik adding cheekpieces suggests connections think he needs them to show his best form
NOTE
Hey Now's consistent form stands out in this weak maiden field if he can find racing room when needed
NOTE
Several apprentice jockey bookings indicate trainers have low expectations for those runners
5:12 — O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Maiden Hurdle (Div II)
2m½f · Good To Soft · MDN · 16 runners
Time Is A Thief likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Time Is A Thief and Thilos led, as the map showed.

Time Is A Thief won at 2.62 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Time Is A Thief
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 10
Puck OutMillion Dollar ManKing Of The GreysChina GrillBlues StreetLe QuestionnaireTake The FreeKnowing MeLanzhouSilly Mongoose
Hold Up · 5
Lord LackendarraThe Monkey PoleQuiet In BresilDeep WarriorThilos
Time Is A Thief is the only confirmed front runner in this 16-runner maiden hurdle field, likely to dictate from the front at a sustainable gallop without early pressure. The majority of runners show hold-up tendencies or unknown styles, suggesting a slowly-run race early before quickening from the back of the last hurdle. With most of the field needing to come from off the pace and many showing fade-in-finish warnings, those who can travel strongly and produce their effort late will have a significant tactical advantage. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses with proven finishing kick over prominent racers and front runners.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Slow Pace Suits Closers
55% probability
If Time Is A Thief sets uncontested fractions and the field bunches turning for home
The race becomes a sprint from the last hurdle where horses with the most natural ability can overcome their inexperience. Hold-up horses like The Monkey Pole and Lord Lackendarra benefit from their ability to quicken off a slow pace.
The Monkey PoleLord LackendarraThilosBlues Street
B
Front Runner Dominates Weaklings
25% probability
If Time Is A Thief maintains a strong gallop and the inexperienced field fails to mount serious pressure
The De Bromhead runner uses his race experience to dictate ideal fractions and stays clear of the struggling maiden field behind. His point-to-point class and stable form give him the edge over these newcomers.
Time Is A ThiefChina GrillPuck OutBlues Street
C
Cromwell Pair Strike Late
12% probability
If Blues Street or Deep Warrior show significant improvement from their stable's strong recent form
The Gavin Cromwell yard's 5/44 recent record suggests both runners could step forward dramatically from previous efforts. Blues Street's €66,000 price tag and Deep Warrior's early promise could translate into breakthrough performances.
Blues StreetDeep WarriorThe Monkey PoleLord Lackendarra
D
Surprise Package Emerges
8% probability
If one of the lightly-raced newcomers shows unexpected ability on debut
China Grill or Puck Out benefit from their strong breeding and connections' confidence in running them in competitive maiden company. The slow pace allows them to overcome inexperience and show their natural talent late.
China GrillPuck OutMillion Dollar ManBlues Street

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHTime Is A Thiefh · RPR-Puck OutRPR-Million Dollar …RPR-King Of The Gre…RPR-China GrillRPR-Blues Streeth · RPR-Le QuestionnaireRPR37Take The FreeRPR75Knowing MeRPR74LanzhouRPR52Silly Mongooseh · RPR48Lord LackendarraRPR-The Monkey PoleRPR121Quiet In BresilRPR106Deep WarriorRPR101ThilosRPR1105. Time Is A Thief6. Puck Out7. Million Dollar Man8. King Of The Greys9. China Grill4. Blues Street10. Le Questionnaire11. Take The Free12. Knowing Me13. Lanzhou14. Silly Mongoose2. Lord Lackendarra1. The Monkey Pole15. Quiet In Bresil16. Deep Warrior3. Thilos
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Time Is A Thief could steal this if allowed uncontested lead given his class edge from pointing
WATCH
Blues Street and Deep Warrior merit close attention as Cromwell stable shows excellent recent form at 5/44
WATCH
The Monkey Pole's market support will indicate connections' confidence in his return from 227-day absence
NOTE
China Grill and Puck Out represent unknown quantities with strong breeding that could surprise on debut
NOTE
Lord Lackendarra's course experience and bumper form could translate to hurdles improvement at familiar venue
5:42 — O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap Hurdle
2m½f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 19 runners
Kimy likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Liberated Light and Kilbarry Ce Ce led; the map had Kimy in front.

Just For One won at 15.00 — was held up, as the map had it.

7 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Kimy
Prominent · 5
Kilbarry Ce CeBrave SoldierPrince Of AirMollys DollyGo Gill Go
Midfield · 7
RegnoLiberated LightSet The ToneMiss DonnaMount HothamLiss EileCholo
Hold Up · 6
SynchronizeBossing ItMaxicourtJust For OneSheer RazStumblin In
Kimy is the confirmed front runner and will likely lead from flag to finish without serious pressure early. Prince Of Air and Kilbarry Ce Ce as prominent runners may track him but won't create genuine pace pressure in this 19-runner handicap. The moderate early tempo will allow hold-up horses like Bossing It, Sheer Raz, and Miss Donna to get into contention turning for home. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can produce late kicks, as the lack of early pace will create a sprint finish from the final half-mile.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Hold-Up Horses Dominate
65% probability
If the early pace is moderate as expected with Kimy uncontested
The lack of pressure allows closers to position perfectly and unleash finishing kicks. Multiple hold-up horses swamp the leaders in the final furlong creating a blanket finish.
Bossing ItSheer RazMiss DonnaMaxicourt
B
Prominent Trio Sustain
20% probability
If Prince Of Air and Kilbarry Ce Ce press Kimy creating stronger pace
The increased tempo stretches the field and prevents hold-up horses from closing effectively. The early pace-setters have enough left to hold on.
Prince Of AirKilbarry Ce CeKimyBrave Soldier
C
Kimy Wire-To-Wire
10% probability
If Kimy gets completely uncontested lead and quickens turning for home
The front runner kicks clear before closers can respond and holds on grimly. His course form and tactical advantage prove decisive.
KimyPrince Of AirKilbarry Ce CeBossing It
D
Complete Pace Collapse
5% probability
If the early pace is crawling with no one willing to go forward
The race becomes a messy sprint where anything can happen. Long shots get involved as class goes out the window.
SynchronizeLiberated LightStumblin InCholo

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHKimyRPR104Kilbarry Ce CeRPR104Brave SoldierRPR105Prince Of Airp · RPR104Mollys Dollyt · RPR105Go Gill Gotp · RPR99RegnoRPR97Liberated Lighttb · RPR103Set The Tonetp · RPR101Miss DonnaRPR105Mount HothamRPR89Liss EileRPR102CholoRPR100SynchronizeRPR106Bossing ItRPR105MaxicourtRPR107Just For OneRPR104Sheer RazRPR96Stumblin InRPR1005. Kimy6. Kilbarry Ce Ce7. Brave Soldier8. Prince Of Air9. Mollys Dolly10. Go Gill Go11. Regno12. Liberated Light13. Set The Tone3. Miss Donna14. Mount Hotham15. Liss Eile16. Cholo17. Synchronize1. Bossing It4. Maxicourt18. Just For One2. Sheer Raz19. Stumblin In
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Kimy could steal this if getting uncontested lead as his course form suggests he handles the track well
WATCH
Multiple horses returning from lengthy breaks including Kilbarry Ce Ce, Synchronize and Stumblin In need fitness
NOTE
Several runners including Just For One and Set The Tone have recent pull-ups suggesting current problems
WATCH
First-time headgear on Liberated Light and Prince Of Air indicates connections expecting improvement
NOTE
Market support for any of the reserves Regno, Miss Donna or Mollys Dolly would be significant given their profiles
6:12 — O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Mares Handicap Hurdle
2m5f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 19 runners
Jetaway Nana likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Might Be The One and Turkey And Ham led; the map had Jetaway Nana in front.

Lady Bluebird won at 19.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

7 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Jetaway Nana
Prominent · 2
Lady BluebirdRoccabaker
Midfield · 10
Might Be The OneTurkey And HamDancing After DarkNavy WavesCocoplumBallinagaine GirlBallinaboola GoldYoursimplythebestBarrowlineLa Rocca Lass
Hold Up · 6
Fair DamselLakewood RoseBearami CreekDolly WatkinsWhitewinewednesdayCourageous Cleo
With only Jetaway Nana showing genuine front-running tendencies and Roccabaker/Lady Bluebird likely prominent, this shapes as a modest early gallop over this extended trip. The majority field comprises hold-up horses who will need the race to develop, creating a bunching effect through the middle stages. As the pace inevitably quickens from three out, those with tactical speed and the ability to improve position will hold the advantage. This race shape clearly favours horses who can track the pace prominently or improve from midfield, rather than those relying on staying-on kicks from the rear.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Sustainable Pace Benefits
45% probability
If Jetaway Nana sets an even tempo without serious early pressure
The modest gallop allows prominent trackers to conserve energy before quickening, while hold-up horses get swamped in the kick for home. Those positioned in the first half of the field can strike decisively.
Dolly WatkinsMight Be The OneJetaway NanaRoccabaker
B
Front Runner Dominates
30% probability
If Jetaway Nana gets an uncontested lead and dictates throughout
The confirmed leader uses her stamina advantage over this extended trip, making steady headway from the home turn while others struggle to peg her back. Her class edge at this level proves decisive.
Jetaway NanaTurkey And HamBearami CreekWhitewinewednesday
C
Late Pace Collapse
15% probability
If the early pace proves too conservative and the field comes together late
A sprint finish develops where those with natural speed benefit, regardless of position, as stamina becomes less relevant. The race becomes tactical rather than a true staying test.
Might Be The OneYoursimplythebestDolly WatkinsLady Bluebird
D
Pace Battle Develops
10% probability
If Roccabaker or Lady Bluebird challenge Jetaway Nana for the early lead
Increased early tempo stretches the field and creates a genuine staying test where those coming from behind can close strongly. The genuine gallop suits natural stayers over pure speed horses.
WhitewinewednesdayBearami CreekFair DamselDancing After Dark

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHJetaway NanaRPR105Lady Bluebirdb · RPR95Roccabakertp · RPR103Might Be The OneRPR101Turkey And Hamt · RPR104Dancing After D…tp · RPR102Navy Wavesp · RPR103CocoplumRPR102Ballinagaine Gi…RPR98Ballinaboola Go…RPR101Yoursimplythebe…RPR101BarrowlineRPR91La Rocca LassRPR98Fair DamselRPR102Lakewood RoseRPR100Bearami CreekRPR103Dolly Watkinstp · RPR106Whitewinewednes…RPR103Courageous CleoRPR943. Jetaway Nana5. Lady Bluebird4. Roccabaker2. Might Be The One6. Turkey And Ham7. Dancing After Dark8. Navy Waves9. Cocoplum10. Ballinagaine Girl11. Ballinaboola Gold12. Yoursimplythebest13. Barrowline14. La Rocca Lass15. Fair Damsel16. Lakewood Rose17. Bearami Creek1. Dolly Watkins18. Whitewinewednesday19. Courageous Cleo
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Roccabaker raced yesterday and may be compromised despite her course-winning form
WATCH
Turkey And Ham returns after 361-day absence with 5lb claiming jockey, combination suggests rustiness
WATCH
Several 7lb claimers including Lakewood Rose and Lady Bluebird carry weight penalties in competitive field
NOTE
Dolly Watkins had plenty in hand when winning last time and represents strongest recent form
NOTE
Jetaway Nana's 150-day absence needs monitoring but her front-running style suits this tactical setup
6:42 — O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Beginners Chase
2m5½f · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 13 runners
River Tara to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ira Hayes and Black Soul led; the map had River Tara in front.

Ira Hayes won at 5.50 — led, where the map had it raced prominently.

5 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
River Tara
Prominent · 5
Warriors WoodFacemanDrop A ThreatIra HayesMagic Day
Midfield · 3
Jumping SusieWritten In My SoulCharity Barnum
Hold Up · 4
Poet's GaleGunnery SergeantBlack SoulThe Goose's Acre
River Tara is the sole genuine front-runner and will be allowed to dictate terms without early pressure from the large field. The prominent horses like Jumping Susie, Magic Day, and Faceman will track at a respectful distance, while the hold-up horses including Gunnery Sergeant and Black Soul will need the pace to develop properly. With only one pace-setter in a 13-runner beginners chase over 2m5½f, this will become a tactical affair with the real racing beginning after the final fence. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and front-runners who can control their position throughout, as the hold-up horses will struggle to make up ground in what will likely become a sprint finish.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Front Runner Dominance
45% probability
If River Tara maintains a strong gallop and isn't headed turning in.
River Tara gets first run on the field and proves too tough to peg back, while the chasing pack arrives too late having given him too much rope. The lack of early pace pressure allows the leader to dictate ideal fractions.
River TaraFacemanJumping SusieMagic Day
B
Prominent Takeover
30% probability
If the prominent runners close on River Tara approaching the final fence.
Jumping Susie or Magic Day time their challenge perfectly as River Tara begins to tire, with their class telling in the final furlong. The hold-up horses are caught too far back when the race develops.
Jumping SusieMagic DayFacemanDrop A Threat
C
Late Hold-Up Surge
15% probability
If the early pace becomes overly sedate and bunches the field.
Gunnery Sergeant and other hold-up horses benefit from a tactical race that becomes a cavalry charge, with Jack Kennedy's big-race experience proving decisive. The lack of a strong gallop throughout plays into the hands of those with a turn of foot.
Gunnery SergeantBlack SoulRiver TaraWarriors Wood
D
Pace Collapse Scramble
10% probability
If River Tara stops quickly and the prominent horses fail to capitalize.
The race becomes a messy affair with multiple horses having chances in the final 100 yards, suiting those who can quicken off a steady pace. Drop A Threat or Warriors Wood could benefit from the chaos with their trainers' tactical nous.
Drop A ThreatWarriors WoodPoet's GaleMagic Day

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHRiver Tarat · RPR-Warriors WoodRPR-FacemanRPR-Drop A Threatht · RPR-Ira Hayesv · RPR108Magic DayRPR113Jumping Susiet · RPR127Written In My S…RPR91Charity BarnumRPR105Poet's GaleRPR-Gunnery Sergeanttp · RPR-Black SoulRPR-The Goose's AcreRPR1071. River Tara5. Warriors Wood2. Faceman6. Drop A Threat7. Ira Hayes4. Magic Day3. Jumping Susie8. Written In My Soul9. Charity Barnum10. Poet's Gale11. Gunnery Sergeant12. Black Soul13. The Goose's Acre
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
River Tara could dictate the race unchallenged if the prominent runners allow him too much rope in the early stages
WATCH
Gunnery Sergeant will need the pace to develop properly or Jack Kennedy will struggle to deliver his customary strong finish
WATCH
The large field of beginners could cause traffic problems at the business end if bunched together approaching the final fence
NOTE
Magic Day's recent chase debut failure at Wexford needs assessing early to gauge if confidence has returned
NOTE
Warriors Wood's fitness after 238 days off will be tested by the soft conditions on his chasing introduction
7:12 — O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap Chase
2m5½f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 17 runners
Lead contested: Long Road v Toor MoonHISTORIC

How it ran

Toor Moon and Oogum Boogum led, as the map showed.

Lake Chad won at 10.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

7 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
Long RoadToor Moon
Prominent · 6
TeescomponentsyessLake ChadOssifer HopsOogum BoogumLikable ChancerCullenwaine
Midfield · 4
Sense The TensionAnother OcanaWithout ExceptionRideau Canal
Hold Up · 5
Ballybrack WoodLet Him BCastle CroiuilOpposite EndsDriveonwill
Long Road and Toor Moon will dispute the early lead with both confirmed front-runners likely to set a strong gallop over this extended trip. Their clash should create an honest pace that will stretch the field, particularly given Toor Moon's recent consistency in staying on and Long Road's need to bounce back from Clonmel. The sustained gallop over 2m5½f will test stamina reserves and expose any weaklings in the closing stages. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and closers who can pick up the pieces when the pace-setters weaken.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Pace Collapses Late
45% probability
If Long Road and Toor Moon duel too hard early and both fade from the last
The strong early gallop becomes unsustainable and the race falls apart for late-running types with stamina to capitalize. Hold-up horses like Ballybrack Wood and Let Him B can sweep past tired leaders.
Ballybrack WoodLet Him BAnother OcanaWithout Exception
B
Front Runner Survives
25% probability
If Toor Moon or Long Road gets an easier lead than expected
One of the pace-setters manages their effort better and has enough left to resist late challenges. Toor Moon's recent placed efforts suggest he can time his effort better than Long Road.
Toor MoonLong RoadLake ChadOogum Boogum
C
Prominent Tracker Strikes
20% probability
If Lake Chad or Teescomponentsyess travel well behind the pace-setters
The experienced campaigners use their tactical nous to sit closer than the hold-up brigade but avoid the early battle. Lake Chad's strong Tramore record makes him dangerous if bouncing back from Wexford.
Lake ChadTeescomponentsyessOogum BoogumCullenwaine
D
Reserve Gets In
10% probability
If Let Him B or Opposite Ends gain a start due to withdrawals
The Charles Byrnes-trained reserves are in much better form than most of these handicap chasers. Their recent hurdles wins suggest they're well ahead of their chase marks.
Let Him BOpposite EndsBallybrack WoodAnother Ocana

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHLong Roadp · RPR102Toor MoonRPR106Teescomponentsy…tp · RPR104Lake Chadb · RPR105Ossifer Hopstp · RPR104Oogum Boogump · RPR101Likable Chancertv · RPR105Cullenwainep · RPR104Sense The Tensi…t · RPR91Another Ocanap · RPR103Without Excepti…p · RPR102Rideau Canaltp · RPR103Ballybrack WoodRPR108Let Him BRPR-Castle CroiuilRPR107Opposite EndsRPR-Driveonwillt · RPR1015. Long Road6. Toor Moon7. Teescomponentsyess8. Lake Chad9. Ossifer Hops10. Oogum Boogum11. Likable Chancer12. Cullenwaine13. Sense The Tension3. Another Ocana4. Without Exception14. Rideau Canal1. Ballybrack Wood2. Let Him B15. Castle Croiuil16. Opposite Ends17. Driveonwill
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch for any late market move on Let Him B or Opposite Ends as the Charles Byrnes reserves are in much better form than most
WATCH
Monitor how aggressively Long Road and Toor Moon go early as both confirmed front-runners could set up the race for closers
NOTE
Keep an eye on Lake Chad's jumping as his Tramore record is strong but he disappointed badly at Wexford last time
NOTE
Check if Ballybrack Wood shows any rustiness early after 477 days off despite his course winning debut
WATCH
Watch the pace through the middle stages as this extended trip will expose any stamina limitations in the closing stages
7:42 — O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Hunters Chase
2m5½f · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 15 runners
The Happy Huntsman to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

I Walked The Line and Bridge Of Machalee led; the map had The Happy Huntsman in front.

I Walked The Line won at 1.36 — led, where the map had it raced prominently.

4 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
The Happy Huntsman
Prominent · 6
Cold Old FirePirate IslandI Walked The LineLawful RulerTa Se RuaRoman Parish
Midfield · 4
Vodka SplashTinnock ForceBridge Of MachaleeBlack Dakota
Hold Up · 4
CatalaniMuskerry RockSledgehammerPure Decent
The Happy Huntsman will lead without pressure as the sole confirmed front-runner, setting his own tempo through the early stages. Six runners (Cold Old Fire, Lawful Ruler, Pirate Island, Roman Parish, Ta Se Rua) will cluster prominently behind him, creating dangerous traffic 2-3 fences from home when the pace lifts. The sustainable early gallop means stamina will tell late, with the moderate pace suiting hold-up horses who can find clear air when the prominent pack gets shuffled. This shape strongly favours hold-up performers who can avoid the prominent congestion and finish powerfully.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Hold-Up Horses Benefit
55% probability
If The Happy Huntsman sets an even tempo and the prominent pack gets bunched at the business end
The sustainable pace allows closers to conserve energy while prominent runners get shuffled in traffic. Clean runs from the back prove decisive as stamina kicks in up the hill.
CatalaniSledgehammerMuskerry RockPure Decent
B
Prominent Tactical Move
25% probability
If one of the six prominent runners makes an early move to avoid the traffic
Cold Old Fire or Lawful Ruler breaks clear 3-4 out before the congestion develops. Their class tells as they avoid the scramble and maintain momentum to the line.
Cold Old FireLawful RulerI Walked The LineTa Se Rua
C
Leader Lasts Home
12% probability
If The Happy Huntsman maintains his gallop and the prominent pack fails to organize
The uncontested lead allows The Happy Huntsman to build an unassailable advantage. The moderate pace plays to his stamina strengths while prominent runners cancel each other out.
The Happy HuntsmanCold Old FireLawful RulerCatalani
D
Surprise Package Emerges
8% probability
If the pace collapses completely and one of the lightly-raced runners finds significant improvement
Black Dakota or Vodka Splash benefits from the crawling pace to show their true ability. The tactical nature of the race allows an unconsidered runner to slip through.
Black DakotaVodka SplashTinnock ForceBridge Of Machalee

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHThe Happy Hunts…RPR100Cold Old FireRPR131Pirate Islandtp · RPR-I Walked The Li…RPR119Lawful RulerRPR107Ta Se RuaRPR102Roman Parishtp · RPR88Vodka SplashRPR-Tinnock Forcep · RPR-Bridge Of Macha…p · RPR-Black Dakotap · RPR-CatalaniRPR-Muskerry Rockt · RPR109SledgehammerRPR98Pure DecentRPR805. The Happy Huntsman6. Cold Old Fire7. Pirate Island8. I Walked The Line9. Lawful Ruler10. Ta Se Rua11. Roman Parish12. Vodka Splash13. Tinnock Force14. Bridge Of Machalee15. Black Dakota1. Catalani3. Muskerry Rock2. Sledgehammer4. Pure Decent
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch for fallers in the prominent pack of six when they bunch up 2-3 fences from home
WATCH
Monitor if The Happy Huntsman gets too keen early as the only leader, which could compromise his stamina
NOTE
Check if Cold Old Fire or Lawful Ruler try to break clear before the traffic develops
WATCH
Watch for trouble in running affecting the hold-up horses if the pace becomes too stop-start
NOTE
Observe whether any of the lightly-raced pointers show significant improvement from their recent form

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 20 April 2026.

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