Archive›Tramore · 8 October 2026

Tramore

8 October 2026 · 7 races

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2:10 — www.tramoreraces.ie Maiden Hurdle

2m · Good To Soft · MDN · 9 runners

Roll It Roisin likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Grace's Legacy led; the map had Roll It Roisin in front.

Asthelightdeclines won at 4.50 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

0 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Roll It Roisin

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 4

OoksooMatilaunaDusky NightAsthelightdeclines

Hold Up · 4

DdakjiLlem'sGrace's LegacySycamore Cove

Roll It Roisin is the likeliest to set the early pace, though it has not led in its last four runs and fades in the finish — a concern at a track where front-runners have a strong record over this trip. The field contains three genuine hold-up types (Asthelightdeclines, Dusky Night, Matilauna) that would naturally race closer to the pace but lack the tactical position to secure it here, so Roll It Roisin should get an uncontested lead if connections press forward. A contested tempo suits front-runners and prominent racers at Tramore over 2m on this ground, but Roll It Roisin's own fade pattern and the presence of horses better suited to a strong pace than to chasing a tired leader means that a shape depending on Roll It Roisin holding on is weaker than one that lets the hold-up horses come from behind. Grace's Legacy, the strand scorecard top, is a natural hold-up type with a solid record on similar ground; its chance is best served if the pace is genuine enough to tire Roll It Roisin but not so strong that Grace's Legacy gets no clear run.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horse finds room

Scenario

If Roll It Roisin takes a clear lead early but cannot sustain it down the straight.

The pace will be honest and exhausting; Grace's Legacy, racing out of immediate contention, will have every chance to pick up the pieces in the final furlong when Roll It Roisin fades. Hold-up horses have a solid record here when the tempo is strong enough to sort the field, and Grace's Legacy has won three of its last five on this or similar ground.

Grace's LegacyAsthelightdeclinesDusky Night

Front-runner holds the lead

Scenario

If Roll It Roisin jumps away fluently and the field sets no real challenge to its position.

The absence of a serious pace rival means Roll It Roisin controls the race from the early hurdles and holds on grimly through the final stages. Front-runners do have a strong record at this track and trip, and if Roll It Roisin can avoid its usual fade, it has the rating and recent form to justify a place in the winner's enclosure.

Roll It RoisinOoksooDdakji

Ooksoo finds a flying finish

Scenario

If Ooksoo, lightly raced and untested over hurdles in this setting, settles in midfield and launches a late challenge.

Ooksoo has winning form at two runs but has been absent for 536 days; the trainer is untested with runners of this class, and the ground remains unknown, but if it has retained its sharpness, the ensuing chaos as Roll It Roisin tires could suit a horse arriving fresh at the last hurdle. This outcome depends heavily on Ooksoo's readiness and whether it can produce that winning turn of foot under pressure in unfamiliar surroundings.

OoksooGrace's LegacyRoll It Roisin

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Roll It Roisin has faded in all four of its last runs: if it takes the lead and tires in the final furlong, watch for any hold-up horse arriving with a run.

WATCH

Ooksoo has been absent for 536 days and carries a seven-pound claimer; if it gets into a rhythm and produces a late challenge, the long absence may tell against it in a tight finish.

NOTE

Grace's Legacy has a strong record on this ground and should be expected to come from behind; if the pace is genuinely strong through the middle stages, it will have every opportunity to win.

KEY

Asthelightdeclines and Dusky Night are genuine hold-up types but may struggle to find clear running if the field bunches at the hurdles; watch whether they get a split at the business end.

NOTE

The going has been reported as yielding across all races on the card; this favours front-runners and horses that can sustain a strong gallop, which benefits Grace's Legacy's stalking profile if Roll It Roisin weakens.

2:45 — Ardmore Handicap Hurdle

2m · Good To Soft · HCAP · 9 runners

Polly Poppins likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Polly Poppins led, as the map showed.

Lanzhou won at 3.25 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Polly Poppins

Prominent · 1

Tingarran Express

Midfield · 3

LanzhouMillion Dollar ManBreeze Of Tobruk

Hold Up · 4

AhellofamanTasmanian GirlGoodmanconFenian Maxios

Polly Poppins is the only confirmed front-runner in this field and will almost certainly dictate from the off; with no obvious challenger to press it hard early, the pace should settle into a steady rhythm through the middle stages. Tingarran Express, a prominent racer by nature, will likely race behind Polly Poppins in the second tier, while a cluster of hold-up types—Goodmancon, Fenian Maxios, Ahellofaman and Tasmanian Girl—will wait in reserve. The field contains three genuine hold-up horses (Lanzhou, Million Dollar Man and Breeze Of Tobruk) who are actually stronger types than their map positions suggest, but all three will struggle to find room late and are unlikely to secure their preferred position at the rear. Front-runners have a strong record over this trip and ground here, rewarding honest pace-setting; a modest early tempo favours the tactical animal that can settle and strike late, not the outpaced leader.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Stalker outruns leader late

Scenario

If Polly Poppins controls but tires in the closing stages

Tingarran Express will track steadily from behind the leader and pick up the pieces when Polly Poppins falters; this ground and trip demand a runner with scope to finish strongly rather than one that relies on an uncontested lead. Tingarran Express has won twice from six on similar conditions and carries the form credentials to catch a weakening front-runner.

Tingarran ExpressGoodmanconTasmanian Girl

Hold-up horse finds late run

Scenario

If the early pace collapses into a crawl and a reserve mid-division runner can make ground in the straight

Goodmancon or Ahellofaman, both established on this ground and trip, will have room to charge late when the tiring leaders surrender; soft ground and two miles naturally suit the patient rider who can deliver a fresh challenge at the business end. One of these reserves will take advantage of a race run in fits and starts.

GoodmanconAhellofamanTasmanian Girl

Polly Poppins holds sway

Scenario

If Polly Poppins jumps cleanly early, sets a tempo the field cannot match, and Tingarran Express has no answer in the straight

An uncontested lead that sticks will reward Polly Poppins, fresh from a run three days ago and race-fit; this ground is acceptable and the horse led last time out. The absence of a serious pace rival makes this possible but unlikely given the field's reserve strength and the ground's bias toward a finisher.

Polly PoppinsTingarran ExpressGoodmancon

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Tingarran Express carries the highest rating (101) and has proven form on this ground; if Polly Poppins tires, the race is likely Tingarran Express's to win.

WATCH

Goodmancon and Ahellofaman are both capable hold-up types that could exploit a weak early pace; monitor their placement in the early hurdles as a guide to their winning chances.

NOTE

Lanzhou, Million Dollar Man and Breeze Of Tobruk are all stronger hold-up performers than their expected positions suggest; if they find room late, one could threaten, but all lack the ratings to overcome positional disadvantage.

KEY

Polly Poppins is only three days out from its last run; early jumping fluency will be key to setting and holding an uncontested lead, as any stumble hands the initiative to Tingarran Express.

NOTE

The soft going favours finishers, not front-runners; any early collapse in pace will open the race to the reserves and make a stalker or hold-up horse the likely winner.

3:20 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle

2m4½f · Good To Soft · MDN · 7 runners

Baymount likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Baymount led, as the map showed.

Baymount won at 13.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Baymount

Prominent · 2

Ronnie's RascalTutu Twist

Midfield · 2

Clarnagh MaidKilbree Nouvella

Hold Up · 2

Shing Shang LilyBlue Trix

Baymount is the likeliest to set the pace early, having led in 2 of its last 6 runs including at the most recent outing, though it races out of its natural role as a prominent type and cannot be relied upon to dominate. The race contains three horses of genuine prominent tendency—Ronnie's Rascal, Clarnagh Maid, and Kilbree Nouvella—who will be fighting for position in the early stages; Tutu Twist and Shing Shang Lily add further pace commitment, creating a crowded contest for the lead and early quarters that will likely prove hard and honest. Front-runners have a strong record over this trip and going, and if Baymount can hold sway or a genuine prominent racer secures the position unchallenged, the race will be run to suit a bold front-running or early-galloping profile. However, with so many runners wanting to race prominently, the actual shape may collapse into a mid-field contest where the pace fades and a horse racing with cover—or even a late-arriving type—picks up the pieces; this uncertainty favours Ronnie's Rascal, who has proven form on this ground and trip, over a horse dependent on an uncontested lead.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent racer picks up

Scenario

If the early pace from Baymount and the competing prominent types fractures or fades, and a horse with rating and course form can settle and strike

Ronnie's Rascal, rated 104 and proven on good to soft ground, has won 3 times from 5 runs on similar going and will handle this trip; the yard and jockey are in form and Ronnie's Rascal can ease into a muddled front-running battle and deliver a telling blow in the final two furlongs. None of the pace-setters has the rating or form credentials to hold on if the tempo drops, leaving the race open for a disciplined, well-handicapped racer to strike.

Ronnie's RascalTutu TwistShing Shang Lily

Baymount holds on

Scenario

If Baymount reaches the first hurdle in front, settles into an uncontested rhythm, and Ronnie's Rascal and the other prominent types fail to mount a sustained challenge

Baymount led last time and can dictate a steady pace that suits its stamina over this extended trip; the ground is no concern on the evidence of recent runs and a horse handed the gift of an uncontested lead can fend off late efforts from backmarkers. The likeliness of this scenario is tempered by Baymount's inconsistency in taking the lead and the quality of Ronnie's Rascal in the field, but it remains a viable outcome.

BaymountTutu TwistBlue Trix

Clarnagh Maid strikes late

Scenario

If a hold-up horse or one racing with serious cover can exploit a well-run race that tires the early pace-setters in the final furlong

Clarnagh Maid, last seen 321 days ago, must overcome a long absence and a tendency to fade in the latter stages, but it has course form and has won once from 3 runs on good ground; Gordon Elliott's yard is in form and a return to a familiar course over a familiar trip could allow it to track the pace and quicken when it matters. This outcome depends on Clarnagh Maid shaking off the ring-rust and replicating its winning form at Tramore, making it a genuine outsider.

Clarnagh MaidKilbree NouvellaBlue Trix

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ronnie's Rascal is 11lb clear on official rating and has the ground form Baymount lacks; if it settles into contention after two furlongs it will likely decide the race.

WATCH

Clarnagh Maid's 321-day absence makes any reliance on recent form dangerous; expect it to lack sharpness unless the pace collapses enough to suit a stayer returning from the long break.

NOTE

The early hurdles will reveal whether Baymount can impose an uncontested rhythm or whether Ronnie's Rascal, Tutu Twist and Shing Shang Lily will gang up and fracture the pace.

NOTE

Kilbree Nouvella's single previous run and the trainer's poor recent record make it the weakest link in the field despite Hannon's classic-race pedigree.

3:55 — Tramore Racecourse On Instagram Handicap Hurdle

2m4½f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 8 runners

Nirisque likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Way Down South and Ray Gun led; the map had Nirisque in front.

Way Down South won at 3.25 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Nirisque

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 3

Kayla's FriendWay Down SouthJacko Star

Hold Up · 4

Brave JoseeThat's About RightLost FeaturesRay Gun

Nirisque is the obvious candidate to go forward here, having led in 2 of its last 4 runs and most recently from the front, but it races out of its natural role when asked to make the pace; the yard and rider have sent runners forward often enough, yet this is not a confirmed front-runner. Way Down South and Jacko Star are the field's genuine hold-up types, but both are likely to race much more prominently than suits them simply because the field lacks obvious early pace and they will be forced into the queue. With only one horse built to lead and the rest either out of position or suited by stalking, the pace should come up slow in the early stages, allowing hold-up horses who can travel handily to pick their moment late. Front-runners show a strong record over this trip and ground here, but only if they actually get the lead and stay there; a weak, uncontested pace that collapses into a chase at the line favours experienced closers such as Way Down South and That's About Right, who can time their run when a tired field comes back to them.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Closer picks off the field

Scenario

If Nirisque goes no faster than a jog and the field bunches approaching the final flight

The pace stays slow throughout, allowing hold-up types to travel within touch and strike late when the front-runner tires. Way Down South has the best form on this ground and trip, is well treated by the handicapper on a 111 official rating, and has won here recently; it will be poised to deliver the decisive blow in the run-in.

Way Down SouthThat's About RightBrave Josee

Nirisque holds on from the front

Scenario

If Nirisque quickens early and the field respects the pace

Nirisque sets a genuine test at a strong gallop, establishing a lead that the hold-up types cannot quite close down despite their late efforts. The handicapper has rated it fairly on 100, and if the pace proves honest from the off, front-runners have historically done well over this distance here.

NirisqueKayla's FriendRay Gun

Jacko Star runs down the leader

Scenario

If the jockey forces Jacko Star forward from the start and finds more than recent form suggests

Jacko Star races against its true running style to take up position behind Nirisque, but its recent record—no win in its last five—and 246 days away from the track make it an unlikely catalyst. Even if Jacko Star does close, Way Down South's superior form and recent activity make it the more probable winner in any late-runner scenario.

Way Down SouthThat's About RightBrave Josee

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Way Down South's 111 official rating and recent course win make it the most likely winner in a slow-pace scenario that suits hold-up horses.

WATCH

Nirisque's recent front-running form is secondary to its overall pattern; it races out of its natural mode when forced to make the pace and cannot be backed with confidence to lead all the way.

NOTE

Jacko Star and Way Down South will both be ridden more prominently than their true running style demands because the field lacks natural pace-setters; watch for them to be forced into the queue early.

NOTE

Ray Gun's fading tendency means it will be caught if forced to burn off fitness in a run-in that extends to the line; avoid supporting it over this trip.

4:30 — Pickardstown Handicap Steeplechase

1m7½f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 7 runners

Marelly likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Itsalonglongroad led; the map had Marelly in front.

Farrokh won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Marelly

Prominent · 2

Leave In SecretItsalonglongroad

Midfield · 1

Farrokh

Hold Up · 3

DontcaveinLady DoyanneSayitfirst

Marelly is the most likely front-runner but has not led in a race for over 190 days and races out of its natural position here; Itsalonglongroad and Leave In Secret both carry prominent-racer credentials, though Itsalonglongroad is a known fader in the finish. The pace will be modest if Marelly sets it alone, but Leave In Secret is capable of contesting it and may force a stronger tempo; this will suit horses able to travel prominently and strike from the second or third flight rather than a sustained gallop. Front-runners have a strong record over this trip and ground, but only when they win the race — Marelly's long absence and poor recent form make it unlikely to deliver the lead consistently. The field holds more genuine pace types than can all secure a forward position, and Leave In Secret is most likely to dictate the running, with Itsalonglongroad and Farrokh battling for prominence behind. A stalking or midfield raider that can quicken into the closing exchanges favours this shape most.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leave In Secret leads home

Scenario

If Leave In Secret travels prominently and holds on from the second-last flight.

Leave In Secret has won twice on this ground over similar trips, carries a 106 RPR and races in form (7-7-4-3-2), and its jockey James Smith is a capable handler of prominent runners. The moderate pace and demanding ground suit a leader who gets a clear run and boots home; challengers will find the yielding surface punishing in the closing stages.

Leave In SecretLady DoyanneFarrokh

Farrokh closes from stalking position

Scenario

If Leave In Secret is caught turning for home and Farrokh hits the front under Sean Flanagan's handling.

Farrokh won over this course and trip on good ground three runs back and has won twice in six runs at Tramore; a natural prominent racer forced into the midfield by the pace, it can angle out and deliver a telling run from the second-last when the surface tires the early leaders. Lady Doyanne has the class (108 OR) and record (4 placings on good ground) to trouble the winner.

FarrokhLeave In SecretLady Doyanne

Lady Doyanne picks up the pieces late

Scenario

If both Leave In Secret and Farrokh fade under pressure, and a hold-up horse improves into a tiring field.

Lady Doyanne is on a sequence of form (3-2-2-3-4) that suggests it is working towards a win, has never finished worse than third over this distance and ground, and Darragh O'Keeffe's booking aboard a horse wearing headgear suggests a positive plan. The yielding ground suits its proven profile (8 runs on soft or good, 4 places) and it can strike decisively at the business end.

Lady DoyanneLeave In SecretFarrokh

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Leave In Secret may be pressured early by a tactical ride from Farrokh's connections; monitor whether Sean Flanagan attempts to engineer a faster pace to unseat the probable leader.

WATCH

Itsalonglongroad's noted finishing weakness makes it a hazard for following: its fade in the closing flight could disrupt the run of horses travelling up its quarters.

NOTE

The 191-day absence of Marelly and its poor recent form (1-3-9-4-2) means it is unlikely to hold the lead if challenged; watch for Leave In Secret or Farrokh to exploit this early and take control.

NOTE

Lady Doyanne's headgear and Darragh O'Keeffe's tactical approach suggest an aggressive ride from an improving hold-up horse; if it finds clear ground before the last hurdle, it has the form and profile to strike decisively.

5:05 — Waterford Greenway Beginners Steeplechase

2m4½f · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 13 runners

Doctor Confusion likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Calm Flight Ahead led; the map had Doctor Confusion in front.

Rattledelatch won at 2.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Doctor Confusion

Prominent · 2

Calm Flight AheadLunar Majesty

Midfield · 4

Hatfield HammerMoonlight ParadisePalace BoyLaska Du Breuil

Hold Up · 6

InstallmentCruisin SusanKimyKing GrisRattledelatchLe Vent d'Ex

Doctor Confusion led in one of its last two runs and is the likeliest to set the pace, but the field contains several horses whose natural running style is to race prominently or hold up—Hatfield Hammer, Moonlight Paradise, Palace Boy, Laska Du Breuil and Kimy among them—and they cannot all get their preferred positions. If Doctor Confusion does get to the front, the pace will likely be uncontested and favour a stalker or closer who can pick up the pieces in the closing stages. Front-runners have a strong record over this trip and ground, but only when they truly control the race; a moderate early tempo set by one horse with no real challenger will be easier to run down than a hard-fought battle. The most likely winner will be a hold-up horse that can finish strongly, as the field's depth of stamina types and the soft ground favour late recovery over sustained front-running.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horse runs on

Scenario

If Doctor Confusion sets a steady rather than truly competitive pace, a horse held up in midfield will have the energy and room to strike in the final two furlongs.

The early tempo will not be hard enough to blow away the back-markers, and the yielding ground suits a horse that can accelerate late without having shouldered the burden of the pace all the way. Rattledelatch, the standout on official ratings (116) and recent form (4-2-9-6), is perfectly positioned and has the class to finish strongest.

RattledelatchLaska Du BreuilKimy

Prominent racer takes control

Scenario

If one of the prominent types—Calm Flight Ahead, Lunar Majesty or Hatfield Hammer—gains the advantage early and forces a contest for the lead.

A genuinely contested pace will burn off the slowest runners and create a race that a bold front-runner or prominent racer can hold together through the final flight. Hatfield Hammer (RPR 95, won on this ground recently) has won at the trip and has the tactical speed to assert if allowed.

Hatfield HammerCalm Flight AheadLunar Majesty

Doctor Confusion holds on

Scenario

If Doctor Confusion gets to the front unchallenged and the race develops into a two-horse battle between the pace-setter and a single pursuer.

On yielding ground over nearly two and a half miles, a horse that has stamina and settles early can prove difficult to pass; however, Doctor Confusion's recent record (6-P-8-4-3) shows no clear evidence of staying power or winning from the front at this level. Laska Du Breuil, faster than the pace and a recent winner on soft ground, is the likeliest to track and overtake it.

Doctor ConfusionLaska Du Breuil

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Rattledelatch is the highest-rated runner and has the recent form and running style to exploit a modest pace; it will win if allowed to finish in its own time from off the pace.

WATCH

Palace Boy, Moonlight Paradise, Laska Du Breuil and Hatfield Hammer are all natural hold-up horses being asked to race in the middle of the field; watch for them to be ridden prominently if the early pace collapses, which would suit them less than their preferred late attack.

NOTE

Doctor Confusion is the likeliest to lead from the off, but its recent record shows form figures of 6-P-8-4-3 with no compelling evidence of winning from the front at this level; if it does set the pace uncontested, the race becomes a test of stamina more than tactical acumen.

NOTE

The going is yielding throughout the card, favouring horses that handle soft ground; check the form of any runner you are considering on this going specifically.

5:35 — Copper Coast (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race

2m · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 8 runners

Colossal Impact likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Josh's Jury led; the map had Colossal Impact in front.

Long Goodbye won at 3.12 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Colossal Impact

Prominent · 1

Long Goodbye

Midfield · 2

Touch Of LifeSea Swirl

Hold Up · 4

Josh's JuryOld CourtCloudy RosieRiver Cartwright

Colossal Impact led in all its recent runs and is the likeliest to set the pace, but it races out of its natural position here and is unlikely to hold the lead throughout. Long Goodbye, a confirmed prominent racer with three wins from six on similar ground, will be ridden positively and is better placed to contest or take control as the race develops. The field holds no other obvious pace-makers; Josh's Jury, River Cartwright, Old Court and Cloudy Rosie are hold-up types, while Touch Of Life and Sea Swirl are lightly raced unknowns. If Colossal Impact does make the running early, the uncontested nature of the pace will suit a strong stalker or closer; if Long Goodbye takes over or shadows it, the race becomes a battle between confirmed front-running types—a shape that historically delivers winners on this trip and ground. Long Goodbye's experience on the course and proven record in this exact going favour a race won by a horse racing prominently throughout.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Long Goodbye holds the lead

Scenario

If Long Goodbye settles in a prominent pitch or takes the running from an uncontested Colossal Impact early,

Long Goodbye has won three of its last six on similar ground, knows Tramore, and is ridden by a jockey who runs at 7 winners from 40 mounts in similar races. Once in front or tracking the pace over the early hurdles, it has the form and experience to hold sway to the line.

Long GoodbyeColossal ImpactJosh's Jury

Stalker closes late

Scenario

If Colossal Impact sets a soft, uncontested pace that allows a hold-up horse to switch into a gap in the final hurdles,

A long, sapping 2m on yielding ground typically exhausts front-runners by the run-in, and Old Court, Cloudy Rosie or River Cartwright could take advantage. Old Court has finished fifth and sixth on similar ground recently and is primed for a strong challenge in the latter stages.

Cloudy RosieLong GoodbyeRiver Cartwright

Colossal Impact leads throughout

Scenario

If Colossal Impact jumps out fast, dictates a steady rhythm, and the field fails to mount a concerted challenge into the last hurdle,

Colossal Impact led in its previous outing and could surprise if allowed an uninterrupted run, though racing out of its natural position and with 201 days since its last run creates substantial doubt. A change of fortune over a trip and ground it handles would defy recent patterns.

Colossal ImpactLong GoodbyeJosh's Jury

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Colossal Impact: if it jumps off fast and Colossal Impact dictates an uncontested pace with no challenger willing to test it early, the field's hold-up types will struggle to close the gap over the final hurdle.

WATCH

Touch Of Life and Sea Swirl: two lightly raced, unknowns with no established form in these conditions—monitor market confidence as an indicator of inside information on fitness or track knowledge.

NOTE

Long Goodbye versus Colossal Impact at the first hurdle: whichever gains initiative in the opening exchanges will shape the entire complexion of the race, with Long Goodbye favoured by its recent experience and record.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 8 October 2026.

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