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Archive›Uttoxeter · 15 September 2026

Uttoxeter

15 September 2026 · 7 races

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2:00 — Support Scropton Riding For The Disabled Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race
2m7½f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners
Harry to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Betty's Tiara led; the map had Harry in front.

Imperial Data won at 23.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Harry
Prominent · 3
Billy Boi BluePike RoadCinnodin
Midfield · 2
TorrentBetty's Tiara
Hold Up · 2
Imperial DataCrystal Glance
Harry is the sole confirmed front-runner and, with no genuine challenger for the lead in a field of eight at this trip, he is poised to dictate at a controlled, sustainable gallop around Uttoxeter's turning track over two miles seven and a half furlongs. Behind him, Billy Boi Blue and Pike Road are the natural prominent types who will attempt to track Harry through the early stages, while Cinnodin — the Strand top pick — will look to sit just off the pace in a position that suits her profile perfectly. The combination of one uncontested leader setting a measured tempo over a truly searching distance on good ground strongly favours horses who can travel prominently and produce a sustained effort from the home turn, rather than those relying on a late burst from far back. The field holds more hold-up types than can comfortably race at the rear — Betty's Tiara, mapped to midfield from a true hold-up role, is unlikely to secure the ground she needs, which further tilts the balance toward prominent racers and those sitting just behind Harry.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Cinnodin tracks, pounces
65% probability
If Harry sets a controlled pace and Cinnodin travels prominently to dominate from the home turn.
Harry's steady gallop sets up a truly-run staying test where finishing class and jumping fluency matter; Cinnodin's recent form over course-relevant distances and good ground puts her in the ideal position to quicken off a sound surface from two out.
CinnodinBilly Boi BluePike RoadHarry
B
Harry front-runs, stays on
17% probability
If Harry is left completely alone and meets every hurdle cleanly to win from the front on his own terms.
An uncontested leader over a long trip on good ground can often build an unassailable advantage by the final circuit; Harry's handler David Pipe has been in decent recent form and the horse has winning form at the relevant distance.
HarryBilly Boi BluePike RoadCinnodin
C
Midfield closers exploit pace
11% probability
If Harry sets a stronger gallop than expected and the prominent horses are weakened, allowing Crystal Glance or Torrent to emerge from mid-division.
A quicker tempo over nearly three miles would string the field out and leave room for hold-up horses to pick off the tired leaders; Crystal Glance's win on good ground at the trip and Torrent's consistency in placing make them the most plausible beneficiaries.
Crystal GlanceTorrentImperial DataCinnodin
D
Pace collapses, closers pounce
7% probability
If Harry capitulates before the final hurdle and a bunched finish allows a true hold-up type to swoop late.
This depends heavily on Betty's Tiara or Imperial Data getting the clear run they need, yet both are racing out of their preferred positions in this shape, sharply reducing the probability of a late finish benefiting genuine rear runners.
Betty's TiaraImperial DataCrystal GlanceTorrent

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHHarrybBilly Boi BluetpPike RoadpCinnodinbTorrentpBetty's TiaratbImperial DatatvCrystal Glancep4. Harry2. Billy Boi Blue3. Pike Road1. Cinnodin5. Torrent6. Betty's Tiara7. Imperial Data8. Crystal Glance
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Harry's jumping is critical — if he meets a hurdle wrong in the back straight it could disrupt the entire pace shape and compress the field behind him.
WATCH
Betty's Tiara is likely to race in a more forward position than her natural style demands, so watch in the early stages whether she can settle away from the pace or if she ends up in a contested slot that burns her stamina.
WATCH
Billy Boi Blue has a noted tendency to fade in the finish at this trip; if he goes with Harry through the early stages and weakens, the prominent Cinnodin could be gifted a clear passage to challenge.
NOTE
Crystal Glance is the most interesting hold-up runner given her winning form on good ground — watch her jumping through the back straight as a measure of whether she is travelling within herself ahead of a challenge from two out.
NOTE
The claiming jockeys' race dynamic means collective experience around Uttoxeter's turning track is limited — monitor the pace in the early part of the race as an uncontested Harry could either crawl or stride on, and that tempo will determine whether the prominent or hold-up profiles are advantaged.
2:30 — Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
2m4f · Good · CLS4 · 10 runners
3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Nightflyer led; the map had Jentobello and Time In A Bottle and On The Fly in front.

Nightflyer won at 6.50 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3
JentobelloTime In A BottleOn The Fly
Prominent · 4
Whinny HoustonTrigger The LightNightflyerMartymill
Midfield · 1
Sir Vinnie Kent
Hold Up · 2
Back It UpIfyouhaveaplan
Jentobello, Time In A Bottle and On The Fly all want to lead, guaranteeing a strong, genuine gallop from the outset over 2m4f on good ground — this is not a race where the pace will be manufactured or manufactured late. The three-way tussle for the front will stretch the field early, and with Nightflyer, Martymill and Trigger The Light also hunting prominent positions, congestion heading into the back straight and approaching the third-last is a live concern; horses getting shuffled back or meeting interference at a critical point could easily cost them the race. The field holds more front-running and prominent types than can possibly all secure their preferred spots — of those, Jentobello (rated 110, Brian Hughes aboard) and Time In A Bottle (Harry Skelton) are the most likely to actually dictate, with On The Fly likely to be pressed into a battle it may not be equipped to sustain. This pace shape — a hot, honest gallop on good ground over a stamina-testing trip — strongly favours horses who can race prominently without over-committing, conserve energy through the middle stages, and still find a finishing effort: a well-positioned, prominent traveller with proven form on good ground is the profile to be on, which points squarely to Martymill as the Strand Scorecard confirms.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prominent Stayer Prevails
52% probability
If the hot pace set by the three front-runners burns off most rivals and the race is won by a horse who tracks the leaders without over-racing.
The relentless early gallop set by Jentobello, Time In A Bottle and On The Fly drains stamina from those who over-commit, and a horse sitting just off the pace with a proven record on good ground lands the decisive blow from the second-last; Martymill's winning form on good ground at this type of trip and his natural prominent style make him the ideal beneficiary.
MartymillNightflyerTrigger The LightJentobello
B
Front Runner Stays On
24% probability
If one of the three pace-setters establishes a comfortable lead early and the contested battle resolves quickly, leaving a clear leader to dictate terms through the final mile.
Jentobello, with the highest official rating in the field and Brian Hughes giving him a confident tactical ride, takes control once the pace duel shakes out and simply stays on at a good clip when rivals are emptying; his solid recent form and placed record on good ground give him the best claims of the three leaders to outlast the field.
JentobelloTime In A BottleMartymillNightflyer
C
Hold-Up Horse Late
14% probability
If the pace is so extreme that it collapses the entire front rank and an animal coming from further back mops up the carnage late.
Back It Up, returning after a long absence but a genuine hold-up type, would be the natural beneficiary if the leaders completely empty and the race sets up as a stamina slog from the back; the scenario requires near-total front-rank capitulation, which is possible but unlikely given Good ground that rewards galloping types rather than finishing bursts.
Back It UpIfyouhaveaplanWhinny Houston
D
Chaos Scrambles Result
10% probability
If multiple fallers, interference or loose horses at the third-last disrupt the race mid-flight and the result goes to a horse who avoids trouble.
Given the prominent congestion flagged between the second and third-last, a horse with the jockey nous to find a gap or navigate outside the main incident collects a race the form book would not have handed them; Sir Vinnie Kent, a complete unknown on debut with Jack Tudor aboard, carries a lightly-raced wildcard profile that could flourish in a scramble.
Sir Vinnie KentWhinny HoustonIfyouhaveaplan

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHJentobellopTime In A BottlehtOn The FlyWhinny HoustonTrigger The Lig…hNightflyerpMartymillpSir Vinnie KentBack It UpIfyouhaveaplan4. Jentobello5. Time In A Bottle6. On The Fly7. Whinny Houston3. Trigger The Light2. Nightflyer1. Martymill8. Sir Vinnie Kent9. Back It Up10. Ifyouhaveaplan
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Prominent congestion between Nightflyer, Martymill, Trigger The Light, Jentobello and On The Fly — watch for interference or a horse being badly hampered at the third-last as the pace duel collapses.
KEY
Time In A Bottle returns from 311 days off the track as a confirmed front-runner: if he has not retained full fitness, a sudden capitulation from the lead could bring down or severely hamper horses racing immediately behind him.
WATCH
On The Fly has no placed form in two starts on good ground and is likely to be outpaced in a three-way early battle — if he weakens abruptly on the approach to the back straight he becomes a significant traffic hazard for mid-division horses.
WATCH
Trigger The Light's pattern of fading in finishes combined with 98 days off the track — watch for her stopping sharply from the second-last and causing issues for any hold-up horses attempting to come through on her inner.
NOTE
Sir Vinnie Kent is a complete unknown on debut: monitor market moves in the final minutes before the off, as any significant support would carry real significance given the absence of any public form to assess.
3:00 — Taverna Nights On Saturday 26th September Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
2m · Good · HCAP · 5 runners
Ice Jet likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ice Jet led, as the map showed.

Ice Jet won at 2.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Ice Jet
Prominent · 1
Jet of Dreams
Midfield · 2
Dream DiamondSupreme George
Hold Up · 1
Bleu d'Enfer
Ice Jet is the confirmed front-runner here and, with Harry Skelton aboard, can be expected to bowl along from the off and set a true but manageable tempo over this 2m trip at Uttoxeter on good ground. Jet of Dreams is the principal danger in the early stages, a genuine prominent racer who will look to sit close to Ice Jet's heels and apply some pressure through the middle of the race. This field contains more naturally prominent types than can all secure their preferred position — Supreme George is a genuine front-running/prominent horse by inclination but is unlikely to find that berth with Ice Jet in the field, and will be forced to race in a more restrained fashion than suits. The race shape — a lone, recognisable pace-setter ticking along on good ground over a sharp 2m — overwhelmingly favours the front-running and prominent profile, meaning horses who can travel close to Ice Jet without burning energy will be best placed when the race ignites at the third-last.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Ice Jet Front-Runs Clear
72% probability
If Ice Jet jumps cleanly and dictates a controlled tempo, drawing the field along without serious harassment.
Ice Jet's record of winning four of his last five on good ground and his youth (4yo) makes him a potent force when allowed to dominate; with Harry Skelton in the saddle and a small field unable to mount a coordinated challenge, he can jump his rivals into submission and hold on.
Ice JetJet of DreamsSupreme GeorgeDream Diamond
B
Jet of Dreams Pounces Late
15% probability
If Ice Jet over-jumps or weakens turning in and Jet of Dreams, settled just off the pace, delivers a strong run from the third-last.
Jet of Dreams has winning form on this course and in this going, and James Bowen can afford to give him a breather in second before pressing for home; the 115-day break is the one unknown but Warren Greatrex has him fit enough to make his move.
Jet of DreamsIce JetDream DiamondSupreme George
C
Midfield Type Catches All
8% probability
If the pace collapses in the final half-mile and Dream Diamond or Bleu d'Enfer arrive late with sustained momentum.
Dream Diamond has shown consistent form at this sort of level on good going and Jonathan Burke can afford to stalk from the middle if the front two tire; Bleu d'Enfer is a hold-up horse with placed form on similar ground but has been below his best recently and the drop to 2m may not fully suit.
Dream DiamondBleu d'EnferJet of DreamsSupreme George
D
Supreme George Bags It
5% probability
If the redistribution does not materialise and Supreme George, freed earlier than expected, gets close enough to challenge.
Supreme George has winning form on good ground and two bumper-to-bumper wins at 16f suggest he wants to be prominent, but racing in a more restrained role here reduces his chance markedly; if he gets cover and the race falls apart, his OR of 114 leaves him well enough treated to pick up the pieces.
Supreme GeorgeJet of DreamsIce JetDream Diamond

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHIce JetJet of DreamstpDream DiamondhSupreme GeorgeBleu d'Enfertp1. Ice Jet2. Jet of Dreams4. Dream Diamond3. Supreme George5. Bleu d'Enfer
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch Ice Jet at the first fence — if he jumps cleanly and pins his ears back, he could be gone from the field before the race truly begins.
WATCH
Jet of Dreams is 115 days off the track; if he shows any ring-rustiness in the early exchanges, his chance of posing a late threat is significantly reduced.
WATCH
Supreme George will be jostling for position with Jet of Dreams in the first few strides — if he gets squeezed for room and loses his rhythm, his already restricted chance diminishes further.
NOTE
Dream Diamond has finished third or lower in six of his last seven starts; his consistency is a virtue but he may need the race to fall apart to get involved in the finish.
NOTE
Good ground is confirmed across the card at Uttoxeter — no going concerns for any runner, which removes a significant variable and makes the pre-race pace map the primary guide.
3:30 — Pip & Chris Emerald Wedding Anniversary Handicap Hurdle Race
2m4f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners
Lead contested: Norman Fletcher v Virtual RockHISTORIC

How it ran

Royal Rhythm led; the map had Norman Fletcher and Virtual Rock in front.

Virtual Rock won at 34.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led.

3 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
Norman FletcherVirtual Rock
Prominent · 5
MaghlaakRockstown GirlTommy CullenGlance of GloryAll Inn Hand
Midfield · 3
ThiscouldbetheoneOctober HillFaded Fantasy
Hold Up · 2
Phantom GoldRoyal Rhythm
Norman Fletcher and Virtual Rock are the two confirmed front-runners and will press each other from the off over this 2m4f trip on good ground at Uttoxeter, creating a genuine, contested gallop rather than a dawdle. Five of the twelve runners want prominent positions, meaning the early stages will be congested and scrappy, with Maghlaak, All Inn Hand, Tommy Cullen, Glance of Glory and Rockstown Girl all looking to sit just off the pace — a recipe for traffic problems between the second-last and last hurdle as the field strings out and gaps appear and close quickly. Virtual Rock is flagged as a horse who fades in the finish, which means the pace he co-sets is likely to be available for the taking from the home turn, rewarding horses who travel smoothly in the first wave and hit the front at the right moment rather than those who need to make up ground late. The field holds more front-running and prominent types than can realistically get their preferred position, with October Hill, Thiscouldbetheone, Faded Fantasy and Royal Rhythm all likely to be racing out of their natural spot; of the genuine prominent types, Glance of Glory, Tommy Cullen and Rockstown Girl are best-placed to secure a comfortable position behind the pace. This race shape strongly favours a well-organised prominent racer with proven form on good ground who can travel into contention without fighting for position and produce a clean jump at the last.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Contested Pace, Prominent Strikes
47% probability
If Norman Fletcher and Virtual Rock burn each other off and a well-placed prominent horse swoops from the second-last.
The two leaders empty before the home straight, leaving the race to whoever has settled best in the first three or four; good-ground form is at a premium here on a straightforward surface.
Glance of GloryTommy CullenRockstown GirlMaghlaak
B
Front Runner Dictates
22% probability
If Norman Fletcher shakes off Virtual Rock early and is allowed to control the tempo unchallenged from the front.
With Virtual Rock unable to sustain his effort, Norman Fletcher could find himself in front at a comfortable gallop and be hard to peg back if the prominent pack fails to organise quickly; Sam Twiston-Davies is an accomplished front-runner handler.
Norman FletcherGlance of GloryTommy CullenRockstown Girl
C
Pace Collapse, Hold-Up Horse Pounces
19% probability
If the pace-setters and prominent horses tire badly from the home turn and fresh legs from behind come through.
Phantom Gold has finished in the first two in four of her last five starts and is the genuine hold-up type in this field, able to pick up ground when others have nothing left; Royal Rhythm, despite being pushed towards the rear by field composition rather than natural inclination, has won twice on good ground and could also profit.
Phantom GoldRoyal RhythmOctober HillThiscouldbetheone
D
Traffic Chaos Plays Spoiler
12% probability
If the prominent-runner congestion between two out and the last causes interference and multiple horses lose their momentum.
With five genuine prominent types crammed into a tight band, a mistake or a bumping incident on the turn for home could rearrange the form book entirely; horses with the tactical flexibility to switch wide or quicken past trouble — Glance of Glory and Rockstown Girl — are best insulated.
Glance of GloryRockstown GirlPhantom GoldTommy Cullen

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHNorman FletchervVirtual RocktMaghlaaktvRockstown GirltTommy CullenpGlance of GlorypAll Inn HandtbThiscouldbetheo…tpOctober HilltpFaded FantasyPhantom GoldRoyal Rhythmb5. Norman Fletcher6. Virtual Rock4. Maghlaak3. Rockstown Girl2. Tommy Cullen1. Glance of Glory7. All Inn Hand8. Thiscouldbetheone9. October Hill10. Faded Fantasy11. Phantom Gold12. Royal Rhythm
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Virtual Rock has a pronounced tendency to fade late — watch whether Norman Fletcher can shake him off before the third-last or whether the two leaders drag each other into the ground and leave the race wide open for the prominent pack.
WATCH
Prominent congestion is severe: Maghlaak, All Inn Hand, Tommy Cullen, Glance of Glory and Rockstown Girl all want to sit in the first five — watch for bumping and interference on the bend between two out and the last hurdle, which could derail the best-positioned horse.
WATCH
Glance of Glory returns from 170 days off — watch the market for support that suggests Martin Keighley has him primed; if unconvincing in the paddock or early in the race, treat his chance more cautiously than the Strand Scorecard rating implies.
NOTE
Phantom Gold is the one true hold-up horse with form in the book — watch where Jack Andrews positions her after the first hurdle, as a genuinely honest pace will play to her strengths if she can get a clear passage up the inner on the home turn.
NOTE
Royal Rhythm has won twice on this exact going and distance profile and Jonjo O'Neill Jr. is adept at getting horses into the race from off the pace — watch whether he manages to edge closer than his mapped position suggests and whether the combination exploits a gap in the final two hurdles.
4:00 — Ready Freddie Go Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
3m · Good · HCAP · 7 runners
Lead contested: Mt Fugi Park v Bagheera GingeHISTORIC

How it ran

Bagheera Ginge led, as the map showed.

Mt Fugi Park won at 7.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
Mt Fugi ParkBagheera Ginge
Prominent · 1
Grand Clermont
Midfield · 2
A Definite GetawayGwash
Hold Up · 2
Light N StrikeAxel Bleue
Mt Fugi Park and Bagheera Ginge are both confirmed front-runners and will contest the early lead from the outset, ensuring this 3m Uttoxeter chase is run at an honest, genuine gallop throughout on Good ground. Grand Clermont, the highest-rated runner and Strand Scorecard top selection, will travel prominently just behind the duelling leaders, ideally positioned to apply pressure once they begin to tire from the third-last fence onwards. This contested early pace on a flat Good surface suits a settled prominent racer who can conserve energy behind the battle rather than a horse who needs to manufacture momentum from the rear — making the prominent-to-handy profile the clear tactical beneficiary. The field holds more hold-up horses than can find their natural position at the back: A Definite Getaway and Gwash are genuine hold-up types but with two confirmed front-runners dominating the pace, both are likely to find themselves racing closer to midfield than they would ideally choose.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Prominent stalker pounces
62% probability
If Mt Fugi Park and Bagheera Ginge set a true contested gallop and Grand Clermont travels smoothly just off them.
The two leaders burn each other out over the final mile and Grand Clermont, fresh from a 15-day turnaround and in the form of his life (1-2-1-2 in recent starts), sweeps past from the second-last to assert his class; his OR 132 mark and consistent Good-ground record make him the standout beneficiary of this shape.
Grand ClermontMt Fugi ParkBagheera GingeAxel Bleue
B
Front-runner survives duel
18% probability
If one of the two pace-setters gains a decisive advantage early and finds a rhythm that neutralises the other.
Bagheera Ginge, who has won three of six starts on Good ground and wears a visor for focus, is well-equipped to assert once a rival weakens; alternatively Mt Fugi Park, a course-form winner over this type of trip, could exploit any capitulation from Bagheera Ginge to steal a march the prominent horses cannot close.
Bagheera GingeMt Fugi ParkGrand ClermontAxel Bleue
C
Hold-up horse sneaks through
12% probability
If the pace is so strong that the entire field spreads out and a late-finishing type picks off tiring rivals.
Axel Bleue, the youngest in the field with a sharp recent strike rate (two wins and a second in last three), is the most credible finisher here given her form cycle; the genuine hold-up runners A Definite Getaway and Gwash are likely to race closer than they want due to the crowded pace shape, reducing their chance of arriving with a telling late run.
Axel BleueGwashA Definite GetawayLight N Strike
D
Pace collapse, chaos
8% probability
If the contested early duel produces attrition through errors or falls and the race is turned on its head.
With seven runners, errors at pace-fences can scramble the order dramatically; any horse still travelling fluently at the top of the straight could swoop, with Light N Strike and A Definite Getaway the most likely beneficiaries of a chaotic finish given their hold-up profiles — though Light N Strike's poor recent record on this ground tempers expectations.
Light N StrikeA Definite GetawayGwashAxel Bleue

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHMt Fugi ParkbBagheera GingevGrand ClermonttA Definite Geta…pGwashpLight N StrikeAxel Bleuetp2. Mt Fugi Park3. Bagheera Ginge1. Grand Clermont5. A Definite Getaway6. Gwash7. Light N Strike4. Axel Bleue
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Mt Fugi Park and Bagheera Ginge will fight for the lead from the off — watch whether either horse pulls away clean or whether they lock together and burn each other out, as this directly sets the tempo for the whole race.
WATCH
Grand Clermont is 10 years old and carries 170lbs with a 5lb claimer aboard — if Rian Corcoran cannot hold him to a comfortable prominent position early and he over-races, his stamina for the final climb could be compromised.
WATCH
A Definite Getaway returns from 175 days off the track; even with Sean Bowen in the saddle, any ring-rustiness over fences after such a long absence is a material risk in a race run at a genuine gallop.
NOTE
Axel Bleue runs in a tongue-tie and cheekpieces — watch her jumping at pace, as she has been consistent but this is her toughest company yet at OR 113 and the headgear combination signals the yard may be asking a question of her stamina at 3m.
NOTE
Going is a uniform Good across all races at Uttoxeter today with no movement — the surface will not deteriorate during the card, so ground-related excuses are unlikely and all runners face identical conditions.
4:30 — Sun Racing The Favourite Pullout Every Day Handicap Hurdle Race
2m · Good · HCAP · 16 runners
Lead contested: Mi Sueno v Delta LegendHISTORIC

How it ran

Mi Sueno led, as the map showed.

Uncle Remus won at 23.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

8 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
Mi SuenoDelta Legend
Prominent · 4
Jet PatrolTime IntervalUncle RemusNorthern Rose
Midfield · 5
Lady Dapple RoseFinjimkDiesel LineBowling ShaneBattle Stride
Hold Up · 5
ZucayanLatinAnnual InvitationPrometheanCawthorne Banker
Mi Sueno and Delta Legend are the two confirmed front-runners in a 16-runner field, and with both likely to press on from the off, this race will be run at a genuine, honest gallop from the first flight. Mi Sueno has shown real ability to dominate from the front — winning twice over this sort of trip on good ground — while Delta Legend will ensure there is no soft early sectional. A contested lead at a fair clip on good ground over 2m at Uttoxeter sets up a race that will stretch the field out early and leave little room for error in the closing stages, favouring horses who can travel prominently without being first-flight and still find a decisive finish. This race shape tilts clearly in favour of prominent racers who can sit just off the contested pace, travel fluently, and pounce in the straight — the hold-up brigade will need everything to go right, particularly as several of the horses mapped to the rear of midfield are not natural backmarkers and may find themselves racing closer than ideal, diluting any late-run scenario.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Contested Pace, Prominent Wins
52% probability
If Mi Sueno and Delta Legend force a genuine gallop and the race is won by a prominent racer who travels just off the lead.
The honest early pace stretches the field and rewards horses who can sit second or third without using excessive energy; the final hill at Uttoxeter then becomes a stamina test that suits those with a good cruising rhythm. Northern Rose, who has placed nine times on good ground including a recent course-form win at this trip, is the prototype beneficiary, and Jet Patrol — with a second and two places from seven runs on similar going — can also land this shape.
Northern RoseJet PatrolTime IntervalUncle Remus
B
Pace Collapses, Hold-Up Surge
22% probability
If the front-runners go too hard and blow up, leaving the door open for strong finishers from midfield.
Delta Legend and Mi Sueno pushing each other along could result in them tying up dramatically before the last, handing stamina-rich hold-up horses a soft lead into the straight. Cawthorne Banker, who has won three times and placed five times on good ground and arrives in sharp form having won two of his last three, is ideally suited, while Zucayan — twice a runner-up on this going — can also motor through a spent field.
Cawthorne BankerZucayanLatinAnnual Invitation
C
Pace Honest, Class Prevails
18% probability
If the gallop is sound throughout and the highest-rated, most-experienced hold-up performers pick their way through.
A steady stream of faller-casualties through the field could create gaps for quality closers to thread through; Zucayan at OR 100 is the top-rated runner here and handles good ground, while Latin — who has finished fourth four times in a row and is unexposed over this shorter trip — could finally convert consistency into a placing.
ZucayanLatinCawthorne BankerPromethean
D
Pace Falters Early, Front Runner Poaches
8% probability
If one of the two leaders is allowed to slip the field and the chasing pack misjudge the gap.
Mi Sueno has shown he can dominate and win wire-to-wire on good ground, and if Delta Legend fails to go with him early or is checked, Mi Sueno could steal a march that a big, strung-out field cannot claw back. This shape punishes the hold-up horses who need a truly honest gallop to make up ground and simply cannot bridge the gap if the leader goes unchallenged.
Mi SuenoDelta LegendNorthern RoseTime Interval

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHMi SuenopDelta LegendtJet PatroltTime IntervaltUncle RemusNorthern RosetpLady Dapple RoseFinjimkDiesel LinetBowling ShanetpBattle StridehtZucayantLatinhAnnual Invitati…PrometheantCawthorne Bankerb5. Mi Sueno6. Delta Legend2. Jet Patrol3. Time Interval4. Uncle Remus1. Northern Rose7. Lady Dapple Rose8. Finjimk9. Diesel Line10. Bowling Shane11. Battle Stride12. Zucayan13. Latin14. Annual Invitation15. Promethean16. Cawthorne Banker
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch whether Mi Sueno or Delta Legend takes control of the pace within the first two flights — if they go head-to-head from the off, the gallop could be significantly faster than this grade usually sees at Uttoxeter and will dramatically increase the chance of a hold-up horse (Cawthorne Banker in particular) running on into a place.
WATCH
Northern Rose is the Strand Scorecard's top selection and her prominent style fits the race shape perfectly, but James Davies must ensure she gets a clean run and is not bottled up in a 16-runner field — traffic risks in the back straight are real.
WATCH
Promethean arrives on a 123-day break following a fall, and while the tongue-tie and good-ground profile are positives, the lack of any recent racecourse evidence means punters should look for early fluency over the first few hurdles before committing.
NOTE
Cawthorne Banker's recent winning form (three wins and five places on good ground) makes him a shape horse to track through the field — if the front pair tire before the last, watch how quickly Jonjo O'Neill Jr. starts threading him forward from the home bend.
NOTE
Bowling Shane and Battle Stride are both likely to find themselves closer to the pace than suits them naturally in such a large, competitive field — monitor their positions at the first flight; if either is trapped wide and forward early, their chance effectively evaporates.
5:05 — QuinnBet Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
2m4f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners
Sleeping Satellite to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sleeping Satellite led, as the map showed.

Gaelic Rambler won at 4.33 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Sleeping Satellite
Prominent · 4
Gaelic RamblerMix of CloverMartin's DenuoLady Kara
Midfield · 2
HudsonA Dublin Job
Hold Up · 2
Mr RafikiCamarrate
Sleeping Satellite is the sole confirmed front-runner and, with no genuine rival willing to press from the start, should be allowed to bowl along at a measured, controlled gallop on Good ground at Uttoxeter. The prominent cluster is unusually large for a nine-runner field — Gaelic Rambler, Lady Kara, Martin's Denuo, and Mix of Clover all want to race close to the pace, meaning there will be a busy, competitive opening half-mile as those horses jostle for position behind the leader. Traffic danger is real between the second-last and last, where the prominent group will compress and riders will be looking for gaps simultaneously. This shape — a steady early pace suddenly quickening in the straight — overwhelmingly favours a well-placed prominent racer who can track the leader, travel smoothly, and produce a clean jump at the last; the field holds more front-running and prominent types than the race can physically accommodate, and Sleeping Satellite and Lady Kara are best placed to actually secure their natural positions, with Hudson and A Dublin Job likely to find themselves racing further back than they would prefer.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Lady Kara Controls Prominently
64% probability
If Lady Kara settles in a clear prominent pitch just behind Sleeping Satellite and encounters no trouble at the crucial fences two-out.
Lady Kara travels to the front of the chasing pack, uses her superior recent form (three wins from nine starts on this ground) to quicken when Sleeping Satellite weakens, and the amateur claim of Luke Scott becomes irrelevant as her class does the work; this scenario rewards exactly the prominent-racer-on-good-ground profile that defines this race shape.
Lady KaraMartin's DenuoGaelic RamblerMix of Clover
B
Sleeping Satellite Front-Runs Home
17% probability
If Sleeping Satellite is left entirely alone in front, maintains an honest but not suicidal gallop, and the prominent group behind him fail to close the gap after the last.
O'Brien's grey dictates every yard, the field never truly challenges his rhythm, and he finds enough from a mark of 104 — two wins in his last seven starts on Good ground support his stamina credentials over this trip.
Sleeping SatelliteMix of CloverGaelic RamblerLady Kara
C
Prominent Scrimmage Opens Late
12% probability
If the prominent group collide in traffic between two-out and the last, creating a gap that a hold-up horse pounces through on the run-in.
Camarrate or Mr Rafiki, held up off the pace and shielded from the prominent-group chaos, emerge with a clear run late and catch flat-footed rivals who expended energy in the scrimmage; the 129-day absence of Camarrate is a note of caution, though he has won fresh before.
CamarrateMr RafikiLady KaraMartin's Denuo
D
Pace Collapse, Closers Surge
7% probability
If Sleeping Satellite sets an unexpectedly strong gallop and burns out the prominent pack, leaving the race to those who have raced deepest.
This is the least likely shape given the evidence of a sustainable, uncontested lead, and the horses who might theoretically benefit — Hudson and A Dublin Job — are true prominent types who will struggle to actually get a hold-up position naturally in this field; the scenario is real but structurally weak.
HudsonA Dublin JobMr RafikiCamarrate

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHSleeping Satell…tGaelic RamblertbMix of CloverpMartin's DenuohtLady KaratHudsonpA Dublin JobvMr RafikitCamarratet5. Sleeping Satellite3. Gaelic Rambler4. Mix of Clover2. Martin's Denuo1. Lady Kara6. Hudson7. A Dublin Job8. Mr Rafiki9. Camarrate
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch Lady Kara in the prominent group between the third-last and second-last — if Luke Scott can thread her through cleanly without traffic interference, she is a major factor, but a check here ends her chance immediately.
WATCH
Sleeping Satellite's jumping deserves close scrutiny on his reappearance after 145 days; a blunder at any of the early fences would immediately disrupt his front-running plan and change the race shape entirely.
WATCH
The four-horse battle for prominent positions in the first half-mile — Lady Kara, Gaelic Rambler, Martin's Denuo, and Mix of Clover — risks a frenetic early pace that could hurt them all if nobody settles.
NOTE
Hudson and A Dublin Job are both natural racers-up types who will find themselves further back than ideal; monitor whether they can work their way into contention on the final circuit or whether they are left with too much to do.
NOTE
Camarrate's first run in 129 days warrants watching in the pre-race paddock — if he looks fresh and well, the market move (if any) carries weight given his proven record on this ground and trip.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 15 September 2026.

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