Archive›Uttoxeter · 2 May 2026

Uttoxeter

2 May 2026 · 8 races

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12:45 — QuinnBet Daily Free Bet Handicap Hurdle

2m · Good · HCAP · 16 runners

3 vying for the leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Iolaos Du Mou led, as the map showed.

Spartan Times won at 19.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it led.

6 of 16 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Spartan TimesIolaos Du MouAuntie Maggie

Prominent · 2

Ten Ten TwentyLittle Soiree

Midfield · 6

Crown Of IndiaRaffles NobuPortcammonGenbuSaccaryNow Then Wendy

Hold Up · 5

Desert HaloPlayful FoxDiesel LineWestertonKalkaroo

Spartan Times, Iolaos Du Mou, and Auntie Maggie will ensure a strong gallop from the start, with all three having confirmed front-running tendencies. The sustained pace over 2m will test stamina reserves, particularly with 16 runners creating congestion and forcing horses wide. Little Soiree and Ten Ten Twenty may also contribute to the early pace from prominent positions, further ensuring no let-up. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses who can conserve energy and finish strongly, as the early pace will take its toll on those racing keenly.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Benefits Closers

65% probability

If the three leaders maintain a genuine gallop throughout

The relentless pace will set up perfectly for patient hold-up horses who can stay on strongly. Stamina becomes the key factor as front-runners tire approaching the final flight.

KalkarooDesert HaloDiesel LineCrown Of India

Tactical Collapse Suits Prominent

20% probability

If the pace becomes messy with leaders backing off

Little Soiree or Ten Ten Twenty can capitalise from their prominent positions when the race becomes more tactical. The reduced early pace allows them to quicken more effectively late on.

Little SoireeTen Ten TwentyPlayful FoxGenbu

Leaders Dominate Wire-to-Wire

10% probability

If Auntie Maggie or Iolaos Du Mou get an easy lead

One of the front-runners capitalises on a lack of early pressure to dictate terms completely. Their stamina proves superior when allowed to control the tempo throughout.

Auntie MaggieIolaos Du MouSpartan TimesPortcammon

Traffic Problems Aid Outsiders

5% probability

If the large field causes significant interference in the straight

Congestion plays havoc with the fancied runners' chances, allowing a horse with a clear run to capitalise. The pace still plays its part but lucky positioning becomes crucial.

SaccaryNow Then WendyRaffles NobuCrown Of India

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Westerton faces major fitness test after 502 days off, likely to need this desperately despite talent

WATCH

Spartan Times carries top weight after long break with poor recent form, stamina reserves questionable

NOTE

Little Soiree and Ten Ten Twenty both have claiming riders taking valuable weight off in big field

WATCH

Iolaos Du Mou and Auntie Maggie both returning from lengthy breaks but expected to set strong pace

NOTE

Desert Halo has recent winner's penalty but proven form figures suggest he can overcome the extra weight

1:20 — Support The Stoke City Foundation "National Hunt" Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div I)

2m · Good · CLS4 · 9 runners

Not At That Price to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Not At That Price led, as the map showed.

Trigg won at 1.62 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Not At That Price

Prominent · 3

Pic N MixBarry FifeNoble Don

Midfield · 2

PapparicheMaestrow

Hold Up · 3

TriggPretty Darn QuickLexington Wood

Not At That Price will dictate terms from the front with no serious pace pressure in this small maiden field. Barry Fife and Noble Don may track prominently but neither has shown sustained early aggression. The moderate tempo will suit patient hold-up horses who can produce late kicks over this 2m trip. This tactical setup strongly favours hold-up performers who can capitalise on the expected sprint finish when the pace lifts late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Prevail

65% probability

If the pace stays steady until the final 3f as expected

Not At That Price will weaken when the tempo increases, allowing closers with tactical speed to sweep past. Trigg and Lexington Wood are perfectly positioned to exploit this scenario with their proven finishing kicks.

TriggLexington WoodPapparichePretty Darn Quick

Front Runner Holds On

20% probability

If Not At That Price faces minimal late pressure and stays strong

The lack of genuine pace pressure allows the leader to control sectionals and kick clear when challenged. Barry Fife's prominent style could also benefit if tracking the winner throughout.

Not At That PriceBarry FifeTriggLexington Wood

Prominent Tracker Strikes

10% probability

If Barry Fife or Noble Don press Not At That Price early

This creates a more genuine gallop that exposes the staying limitations of some hold-up horses. The tactical battle up front sets up a different finishing dynamic with mid-race positioning crucial.

Barry FifeNoble DonNot At That PriceLexington Wood

Complete Pace Collapse

5% probability

If Not At That Price goes too slowly and multiple horses challenge simultaneously

The race becomes a messy sprint with little pattern, potentially suiting any horse with instant acceleration. Form and class become secondary to who finds the clearest passage in a cavalry charge finish.

Pic N MixTriggBarry FifeLexington Wood

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Not At That Price's early tempo setting - if too generous it plays into hold-up horses' hands completely

WATCH

Trigg's jumping under pressure - any mistakes when asked to quicken could prove costly in tight finish

NOTE

Barry Fife's positioning turning for home - needs to be close enough to challenge when pace lifts

WATCH

Lexington Wood's fitness after 70-day break - any signs of blowing up in final furlong undermines strong profile

NOTE

Weather conditions on the day - any overnight rain could alter going and compromise some horses' effectiveness

1:55 — Support The Stoke City Foundation "National Hunt" Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II)

2m · Good · CLS4 · 9 runners

Lead contested: Tap Tap Shamie v Final SurpriseHISTORIC

How it ran

Evening Tess led; the map had Tap Tap Shamie and Final Surprise in front.

Final Surprise won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Tap Tap ShamieFinal Surprise

Prominent · 2

On The BayouSaxon Cross

Midfield · 3

KingofthefrontierChedworth BoyAnxious Moments

Hold Up · 2

Evening TessAnnual Invitation

Tap Tap Shamie and Final Surprise will contest the early lead, with both confirmed front-runners likely to set a decent gallop from the start. On The Bayou sits prominently behind this duo, while Saxon Cross also shows prominent tendencies to stay within striking distance. The honest pace should set up perfectly for the hold-up horses Evening Tess and Annual Invitation to come from off the tempo. This race shape strongly favours the patient, hold-up merchants who can capitalize on the anticipated burn-up between the front pair.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Pounce

55% probability

If the front two go too hard early and fade from the final flight

The strong gallop will find out Tap Tap Shamie and Final Surprise, allowing Evening Tess or Annual Invitation to sweep past late. The Skelton team knows how to time these runs perfectly in maidens.

Evening TessAnnual InvitationOn The BayouSaxon Cross

Prominent Tracker Wins

25% probability

If On The Bayou settles perfectly behind the pace-setters

The Harry Fry runner can track the early speed without getting involved, then strike when the leaders tire. His class edge on ratings gives him the acceleration to capitalize.

On The BayouSaxon CrossEvening TessTap Tap Shamie

Front Runner Survives

12% probability

If Tap Tap Shamie gets an easy lead with Final Surprise disappointing

The Murphy runner can dictate terms without pressure and kick clear from two out. His recent Ludlow second suggests he's approaching peak form.

Tap Tap ShamieFinal SurpriseOn The BayouEvening Tess

Surprise Package Emerges

8% probability

If the lightly-raced newcomers Chedworth Boy or Kingofthefrontier show significant improvement

Unknown quantities can exploit tactical naivety in maidens when the pace collapses. Fresh horses with ability can spring major surprises in these contests.

Chedworth BoyKingofthefrontierEvening TessOn The Bayou

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Tap Tap Shamie and Final Surprise could set suicidal fractions if both insist on making the running from the start.

WATCH

Evening Tess jumping fluently early will signal the Skelton team are confident about timing her late run.

NOTE

On The Bayou settling kindly behind the leaders will put him in the perfect stalking position.

WATCH

Any market move for Chedworth Boy would suggest the O'Brien team expect significant improvement.

NOTE

The pace through the first mile will determine whether this becomes a sprint or staying test.

2:35 — Staffordshire Chamber Of Commerce Staffordshire Plate Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Cruz Control likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Bhaloo led; the map had Cruz Control in front.

Joyeux Machin won at 3.00 — was held up, as the map had it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Cruz Control

Prominent · 3

BhalooCalimysticParty Vibes

Midfield · 3

MiralagoKing's ThresholdPeaky Boy

Hold Up · 3

CapodannoJoyeux MachinHorantzau d'Airy

Cruz Control will be the lone pacesetter in this 3m chase, setting a steady gallop without pressure from the front. The majority of the field - including prominent runners Bhaloo, Calimystic, Party Vibes and Miralago - will settle in behind him in the early stages. With no pace pressure and a strong contingent of hold-up horses like Capodanno, King's Threshold, Joyeux Machin and Horantzau d'Airy waiting at the back, this sets up as a tactical affair that will develop late. This race shape strongly favours the prominent runners who can track the steady pace and kick when it counts, rather than the hold-up horses who may find insufficient pace to run at.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

50% probability

If the steady pace allows prominent runners to travel well and time their challenges

The lack of early pressure lets horses like Calimystic, Bhaloo and Party Vibes get into perfect rhythm before unleashing strong finishes. The hold-up horses struggle to make up ground when the pace hasn't been strong enough to stretch the field.

CalimysticBhalooParty VibesMiralago

Front Runner Steals It

25% probability

If Cruz Control maintains his lead and the chasers leave it too late

The steady early gallop plays perfectly into Cruz Control's hands as he builds an unassailable lead turning for home. Despite his modest recent form, the tactical scenario suits him perfectly against opponents who are too patient.

Cruz ControlParty VibesCalimysticBhaloo

Hold-Up Horse Times It

15% probability

If the pace quickens significantly in the middle stages

A stronger gallop in the second half allows the back markers like King's Threshold and Capodanno to use their finishing kicks effectively. The prominent runners get drawn into a faster pace than ideal and weaken late.

King's ThresholdCapodannoJoyeux MachinHorantzau d'Airy

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If Cruz Control goes too slow and the race becomes a sprint

An overly sedate pace turns this into a dash from the last fence where fitness and recent form become crucial. Fresh horses with good acceleration like those returning from longer breaks could surprise.

BhalooKing's ThresholdCapodannoCruz Control

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Cruz Control's early pace will be crucial - if he goes too steady it kills the chances of all the hold-up horses behind

WATCH

Bhaloo making his seasonal reappearance after 154 days could either run with freshness or need the run

NOTE

The prominent runners Calimystic, Party Vibes and Miralago traveling well into the straight will signal the most likely outcome

WATCH

King's Threshold and Capodanno need to be making ground from halfway or they'll have too much to do

NOTE

First-time headgear changes on Bhaloo (cheekpieces) and tongue-ties on multiple runners suggest connections seeking improvement

3:10 — Lord Thomas Playdough Ryan Novices' Handicap Chase

3m · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Butchers Bill likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Cher Monsieur led; the map had Butchers Bill in front.

Jo Arengeot Bey AA won at 8.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Butchers Bill

Prominent · 3

Cher MonsieurTom DesjyJo Arengeot Bey AA

Midfield · 4

Ultra ViersCrac De MegaudaisNew InventionStonegate

Hold Up · 3

Choice RunnerRule Me InWarner's Cross

Butchers Bill will likely set the pace from the front with minimal early pressure, given his prominent style and lack of other confirmed front-runners in this field. The prominent runners Ultra Viers, Cher Monsieur, Jo Arengeot Bey and Tom Desjy will track just behind, but none appear aggressive enough to force a strong gallop early. This creates a scenario where the pace will be steady rather than searching, allowing the race to develop into a sprint finish over the final circuit. The lack of early pace pressure clearly favours hold-up horses who can produce late kicks, particularly those with proven finishing ability like Choice Runner and Warner's Cross.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

55% probability

If the pace stays steady as expected with Butchers Bill allowed an easy lead

The lack of early pace allows closers to get into perfect position before unleashing late runs that the early leaders cannot match. Hold-up specialists with tactical speed benefit most from this patient tempo.

Choice RunnerWarner's CrossCrac De MegaudaisRule Me In

Late Pace Collapse

25% probability

If Butchers Bill and the prominent group go too slow early and sprint finish lacks pace

The race becomes a tactical crawl where positioning matters more than pure finishing speed, suiting horses that can quicken from any position. Those with tactical versatility benefit from the lack of true pace throughout.

Cher MonsieurUltra ViersChoice RunnerJo Arengeot Bey

Prominent Runners Persist

12% probability

If Ultra Viers or Cher Monsieur apply more pressure than expected and maintain strong gallop

The increased pace stretches the field and prevents the hold-up horses from getting into the race effectively. Forward-running horses with stamina reserves can hold off late challengers.

Ultra ViersCher MonsieurButchers BillTom Desjy

Front Runner Steals It

8% probability

If Butchers Bill gets such an easy lead that he has plenty left for the finish

The lack of pressure allows the leader to dictate completely and kick clear when the field comes to challenge. Those tracking closest have the best chance to respond.

Butchers BillJo Arengeot BeyUltra ViersCher Monsieur

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Butchers Bill could get too easy a lead given the lack of early pace pressure and steal the race if allowed to dictate completely

WATCH

Choice Runner needs the pace to develop properly to show his best - if it becomes a tactical crawl his class advantage diminishes

NOTE

Ultra Viers carrying just 145lbs could be very dangerous if the weights tell the story, particularly with his recent consistent form

WATCH

New Invention and Tom Desjy both have warnings about fading in the finish so must be watched for market confidence

NOTE

Warner's Cross has the best course form in the field with his previous win here and handles good going well

3:50 — Pirtek UK & Ireland Handicap Hurdle

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Lead contested: Whatsupwithyou v Miss MaverickHISTORIC

How it ran

Miss Maverick led, as the map showed.

Miss Maverick won at 5.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

WhatsupwithyouMiss Maverick

Prominent · 3

Sir GalahadLiverpool KnightBluegrass

Midfield · 3

Top CoeurTorrentCorsican Caper

Hold Up · 3

Last KingdomCrebillyEl Galactico

Whatsupwithyou and Miss Maverick are confirmed front runners who will contest the early pace over this 2m4f trip. With two willing leaders, they'll create a genuine gallop from flag to finish, preventing any crawling sectionals that might suit pure hold-up horses. The honest pace will stretch the field and create gaps for prominent runners to exploit, while the extended distance means stamina becomes crucial in the final half-mile. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can track the pace without getting embroiled in the early battle.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Tracker Dominance

55% probability

If the two leaders duel and weaken each other in the closing stages

The sustained gallop will find out the front runners' stamina reserves, allowing horses tracking in third or fourth to strike with superior finishing speed. Sir Galahad and Liverpool Knight are perfectly positioned to benefit from this tactical setup.

Sir GalahadLiverpool KnightBluegrassEl Galactico

Hold-Up Horse Surge

25% probability

If the early pace is more sedate than anticipated despite two leaders

The patient tactics of the hold-up brigade could pay dividends if they can navigate the crowded finish successfully. El Galactico and Last Kingdom have the class to sweep past tiring leaders.

El GalacticoLast KingdomCrebillyTorrent

Front Runner Survives

12% probability

If one of the leaders gets an uncontested lead after the other falters early

Miss Maverick's fresher legs after 287 days off could see her dominate if Whatsupwithyou doesn't fire. Her dual wins at this distance suggest she can sustain a strong gallop to the line.

Miss MaverickWhatsupwithyouSir GalahadLiverpool Knight

Pace Collapse Benefit

8% probability

If both leaders go too hard and completely capitulate in the final furlong

The race could become a sprint finish between hold-up horses who conserved energy throughout. This unlikely scenario would suit the biggest closers with tactical speed.

TorrentCrebillyTop CoeurCorsican Caper

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Miss Maverick's return from 287 days could see her either dominate with freshness or show rust early

WATCH

Liverpool Knight's fitness after 190-day absence will be crucial given his prominent racing style needs sustained effort

NOTE

Whatsupwithyou and Miss Maverick's early battle will set the tempo and determine whether hold-up horses get into contention

WATCH

El Galactico's hold-up style requires a strong pace to be effective, making the leaders' duel critical to his chances

NOTE

Sir Galahad's ability to secure an ideal tracking position behind the leaders will determine his winning prospects

4:20 — Pirtek Stoke Classic Novices' Handicap Hurdle

2m7½f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Hillwalk likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Saint Vic led; the map had Hillwalk in front.

Cinnodin won at 6.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Hillwalk

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 7

WalkinthepresentJaja JimmyGolly GoshDonttellyamumjackThe Kings SoldierSaint VicInca

Hold Up · 4

ShinealightCoolkatieGood Boy GriffCinnodin

Hillwalk will take them along at a steady gallop with his prominent style, likely joined by any of the numerous hold-up horses if they break well. With 11 of 12 runners preferring to sit off the pace, this creates a tactical nightmare where positioning will be crucial. The sustainable early pace set by Hillwalk will allow the field to stay bunched until the business end. This race shape strongly favours horses with tactical speed who can get into contention from mid-division, as the pure hold-up horses at the back will face a wall of traffic when the race develops.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hillwalk Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Hillwalk maintains his prominent position without pressure and dictates fractions

His sustainable pace neutralizes the hold-up brigade's finishing kicks while giving him first run. The lack of early pace pressure allows him to reserve energy for a telling move approaching the final flight.

HillwalkWalkinthepresentGood Boy GriffCinnodin

Mid-Division Breaks Clear

30% probability

If the pace quickens from halfway and creates gaps in the field

Horses positioned in fourth to sixth can strike while those further back get caught in traffic. The tactical speed required to move from mid-pack suits runners who don't need to come from last.

Good Boy GriffCinnodinCoolkatieWalkinthepresent

Cavalry Charge Finish

15% probability

If Hillwalk sets genuine pace and the field stays tightly bunched until late

The race becomes a sprint finish where the best turn of foot wins regardless of position. Fresh legs and class tell as stamina becomes less relevant over the extended trip.

CoolkatieShinealightGood Boy GriffJaja Jimmy

Traffic Chaos Benefits One

10% probability

If the field splits into two groups with uneven pace distribution

One section gets a perfect setup while the other faces impossible positioning. The winner emerges from whichever group gets the cleaner run and more suitable fractions.

DonttellyamumjackThe Kings SoldierSaint VicInca

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Hillwalk's jumping under pressure - if he makes an error when asked to quicken, it opens the race up completely

WATCH

Traffic problems for Coolkatie and Shinealight who need significant luck from their hold-up positions

WATCH

Good Boy Griff's ability to get competitive position early rather than relying on late charge

NOTE

Walkinthepresent's tactical positioning given his versatility could prove decisive advantage

NOTE

How quickly the pace develops after the first mile as this will determine whether hold-up horses can get involved

4:50 — QuinnBet Handicap Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

2m5f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Pony Soprano likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Doyouknowwhatimean led; the map had Pony Soprano in front.

Pony Soprano won at 3.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Pony Soprano

Prominent · 3

NickelforceDoyouknowwhatimeanSki Lodge

Midfield · 2

Grand ClermontJet Smart

Hold Up · 3

Tune In A BoxUkantangoStart Again

Pony Soprano will dictate terms from the front with no natural early pressure in this field. The prominent brigade of Doyouknowwhatimean, Ski Lodge, and Nickelforce will track within striking distance, while the hold-up quartet of Tune In A Box, Ukantango, Start Again, and Jet Smart sit further back. With Pony Soprano able to control fractions unchallenged, this sets up perfectly for the prominent racers who can position close enough to strike when the pace inevitably quickens approaching the business end. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can avoid getting caught behind the inevitable late traffic jam.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Tracker Strikes

45% probability

If Pony Soprano sets sustainable fractions and prominent runners get first run

The pace-tracked horses launch their challenges in good time before the hold-up horses get organised. Traffic issues compound problems for those coming from the rear as the field bunches approaching the final fences.

DoyouknowwhatimeanNickelforceSki LodgeGrand Clermont

Hold-Up Hero Emerges

30% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong or prominent runners hit traffic problems

The patient tactics pay dividends as gaps appear late for the hold-up brigade to exploit. Ukantango or Tune In A Box time their runs to perfection when others have shot their bolt.

UkantangoTune In A BoxStart AgainJet Smart

Pony Soprano Wire-to-Wire

15% probability

If Pony Soprano gets away with slow fractions and finds extra when challenged

The front-runner maintains enough in reserve to repel all challengers after controlling the tempo throughout. His class tells when the pressure mounts in the closing stages.

Pony SopranoGrand ClermontDoyouknowwhatimeanNickelforce

Late Chaos Benefits Outsider

10% probability

If multiple fallers or severe interference occurs at crucial stages

The race falls apart tactically with established contenders hampered or unseated. Start Again or Jet Smart benefit from cleaner passages when others encounter trouble.

Start AgainJet SmartGrand ClermontTune In A Box

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pony Soprano's jumping under pressure after lengthy absence as any mistake gifts race to trackers

WATCH

Ski Lodge's confidence over fences following recent fall which could affect jumping rhythm

NOTE

Tune In A Box's fitness levels after 56-day break in what looks a competitive handicap

WATCH

Traffic problems developing for hold-up horses if pace becomes crawling and field stays bunched

NOTE

Ground conditions remaining consistent as any deterioration favours different profiles

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 2 May 2026.

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